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spk05: Welcome to the first quarter 2023 Financial Results Conference call and webcast for Zoetis. Hosting the call today is Steve Frank, Vice President of Investor Relations for Zoetis. The presentation materials and additional financial tables are currently posted on the Investor Relations section of Zoetis.com. Presentation slides can be managed by you, the viewer, and will not be forwarded automatically. In addition, a replay of this call will be available approximately two hours after the conclusion of the call via dial-in or on the investor relations section of zoetis.com. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode, and the floor will be open for your questions following the presentation. If you would like to ask a question at that time, please press star 1 on your touch-tone phone. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star 2. In the interest of time, we ask that you limit yourself to one question and then queue up again for any follow-up. Your line will be muted when you complete your question. When posing your question, please pick up your handset to allow optimal sound quality. Lastly, if you should require operator assistance, please press star zero. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Steve Frank. Steve, you may begin.
spk13: Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Zoetis First Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. I am joined today by Kristen Peck, our Chief Executive Officer, and Wetney Joseph, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'll remind you that the slides presented on this call are available on the investor relations section of our website and that our remarks today will include forward-looking statements and that actual results could differ materially from those projections. For a list and description of certain factors that could cause results to differ, I refer you to the forward-looking statements in today's press release and our SEC filings, including but not limited to our annual report on Form 10-K, and our reports on Form 10-Q. Our remarks today will also include references to certain financial measures which were not prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles or US GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable US GAAP measures is included in the financial tables that accompany our earnings press release and the company's 8-K filing, dated today, Thursday, May 4, 2023. We also cite operational results which exclude the impact of foreign exchange. With that, I will turn the call over to Kristen.
spk08: Thank you, Steve, and welcome everyone to our first quarter earnings call for 2023. Today, we reported solid first quarter results of 4% operational growth in revenue, as expected, based on our diverse portfolio and strength in international markets. As we indicated in February, we expected a softer first quarter and a stronger growth for the remainder of the year, And we are reiterating our full year guidance for operational growth of 6% to 8% in revenue and 7% to 9% in adjusted net income, given the underlying strength of the pet care market. In the first quarter, our international segment led the way, growing revenue 10% operationally and was partially offset by a 1% decline in the U.S. Our livestock portfolio drove the results with 12% operational growth in revenue, while companion animal product revenues were flat operationally. The performance in livestock was based on double digit operational growth for cattle, poultry, sheep, and fish. In the case of U.S. cattle, this performance was supported by an improvement in the supply of key products. Meanwhile, our companion animal portfolio in the U.S. declined due to distributors destocking and reducing their inventories in the first quarter, as well as higher purchases in the fourth quarter of 2022, which occurred in anticipation of price increases and based on promotional programs. We see strong end market demand in companion animal channels based on data from veterinary clinics, retailers, and pet owners. And we view distributor inventories as a short-term impact on our companion animal sales. For example, while our sales into distributors declined in the quarter as we expected, our product sales from distributors out to veterinary clinics were up approximately 8% and our product sales out of retail channels to pet owners were up about 35%, affirming a healthy pet care market in the U.S. Pet owner demand for products is expected to grow during the second quarter, pulling through more inventory and allowing purchase patterns by distributors to become more aligned with the underlying demand throughout the year. Other dynamics in the U.S. vet clinics also continue to show momentum and trending in a positive direction. Clinic visits increased 2% in the first quarter, showing an increase for the first time since 2021. Meanwhile, clinic revenue and average spend per visit continue to grow even in the face of inflationary pressures. Revenue and average dollars per visit increased 11% and 9% respectively in the quarter. The combination of evolving pet owner demographics, innovative medicines, and an unbreakable human-animal bond all continue to support a positive and growing companion animal market where we lead. Despite the Q1 distributor issues in the US, our overall growth was driven by strength in international markets, which delivered 10% operational revenue growth in both livestock and companion animal portfolios. This quarter's results are a testament, once again, to how our diverse portfolio and geographic presence help deliver steady and predictable growth. Turning now to adjusted net income, we saw a decline of 3% operationally in the first quarter, which was in line with our expectations. The first quarter reflected significant investments in our U.S. pet care field force and shifts in the go-to-market model for diagnostics, costs which were not incurred fully in the year-ago quarter. We also saw increased investments in R&D, which we have discussed previously. The investments in diagnostics are maturing and gaining traction in the U.S., and we continue to grow and expand outside of the U.S. We expect a return to growth in U.S. diagnostics for the year as we build our VetScan Images AI platform, refine and grow our reference lab business, and bring further innovative offerings to the space. Looking ahead, we see strong demand driving double-digit operational growth for our innovative companion animal portfolio and relatively flat operational growth in our livestock portfolio this year. We will continue to invest in the franchises and capabilities that support our future growth, including large and growing product areas like parasiticides, dermatology, monoclonal antibodies, vaccines, and diagnostics. For example, we continue to build out key product franchises through lifecycle innovations and claim extensions in products like Sempericatrio, Cytopoint, and Draxen. We are also expanding our global reach with approvals in additional markets for new livestock vaccines like Protiviti for beef and dairy calves and Lasatec for swine. And most recently, we purchased a manufacturing site outside Atlanta, Georgia, which will be used as a new monoclonal antibody vaccine and pet care product operation to add capacity for our expected growth. As you know, our monoclonal antibody and vaccine platforms are rapidly growing, and this new site would substantially expand manufacturing capacity for our biologics portfolio and ensure long-term supply across all global markets when it begins operations in 2026. While the overall economic uncertainty remains a headwind globally in 2020-23, we have proven to be up to any challenge. We have learned valuable lessons and built new muscles, especially over the last three years, developing more agility, flexibility, and resilience in our business and our people. Despite the unusual mix of results in our first quarter, I continue to feel very positive about our full-year guidance and how our diverse portfolio and vision for the future of animal health can drive long-term sustainable growth and create value for our customers and shareholders. We will continue to be disciplined yet adaptable in our approach to the opportunities, potential challenges, and economic shifts that could occur throughout the year. We remain committed to delivering strong growth in 2023 based on our market leadership, innovative franchises, and diverse portfolio while continuing to invest for the future. Thank you. Now, let me hand this off to Wetni. Wetni?
spk10: Thank you, Kristen, and good morning, everyone. We had a solid start to the year. with growth driven by our livestock business and strong international market performance. Echoing Kristin's comment, our Q1 results are in line with our expectations. As we indicated on our Q4 earnings call, we expected the first quarter to be below the low end of our forecasted annual operational growth rate of 6% for 2023. In the first quarter, we generated revenue of $2 billion, growing 1% on a reported basis and 4% on an operational basis. Adjusted net income of $607 million declined 3% on both a reported and an operational basis. Of the 4% operational revenue growth, 5% is from price, with a 1% decline in volume. The volume decline is driven primarily by U.S. companion animal distributor destocking in the quarter. Our livestock portfolio led the way in terms of species growth, growing 12% operationally, with companion animal revenues flat on an operational basis in the quarter. Livestock growth was broad-based, with double-digit operational growth across cattle, poultry, sheep, and fish. The growth in cattle was driven by additional supply of key products in the US. We saw growth in our poultry portfolio driven by higher sales of vaccines. Our sheep products benefited from favorable market conditions in Australia, as well as our acquisition of Gerox in the fourth quarter of 2022. Finally, our fish portfolio continues to perform well, with double-digit operational growth driven by strong vaccine performance in Norway. Sales of our companion animal products were flat operationally in the quarter, with growth in our monoclonal antibody products, Cytopoint, Labrella, and Selencia, offsetting declines in Apoquil, parasiticides, and anti-infectives. Our monoclonal antibodies for ulcerative arthritis pain in dogs and cats, Liguela and Silencia, posted $51 million in revenue globally in the quarter, with strong demand for both products. Additionally, Silencia benefited from our U.S. launch in the third quarter last year. As for Liguela in the U.S., we still anticipate approval in the first half of this year, with a launch later in the second half. Empirica Trio posted global revenue of $151 million in the quarter, representing an operational decline of 7% versus the comparable 2022 period. This was primarily the result of U.S. distributor destocking during the quarter, as well as pre-price increased buying and promotional activity during the fourth quarter. This decline was partially offset by growth in our international markets from increased clinic penetration and launches in new markets. Our key dermatology portfolio declined 3% operationally, with $290 million in global revenue. This decline is attributed to the impact of pre-price increased buy-ins in the U.S. and Q4 and in Japan in the comparable period in 2022. Cytopoint partially offsets this decline with double-digit growth based on continuing veterinary preference for injectables, which keep revenues in the clinic. Cytopoint better reflects underlying market demand due to our direct sales model on our dermatology portfolio and the lack of retail channel impacts. While we do believe conversion from Apoquil to Cytopoint may be accelerating, our overall outlook for our key dermatology portfolio remains unchanged. Our companion animal diagnostics portfolio declined 3% operationally, with declines in the U.S. partially offset by growth internationally. Now moving on to revenue growth by segment for the quarter. U.S. revenue was $1 billion in the quarter, declining 1%, with companion animal products declining 7%, and livestock sales growing 15%. Companion animal performance in the quarter is reflective of the expectations we set in the prior quarter and is the result of distributor inventory and promotional impacts. As Kristen mentioned, demand for the veterinary market, as demonstrated by distributor sales to clinics, is healthy and growing. We continue to see robust sales outgrowth across our companion animal portfolio, including strong growth in parasiticides, and our key dermatology products, and our outlook for the full year remains unchanged. U.S. vet practice trends are improving, with clinic visits up 2% in the quarter and clinic revenue growth up 11%. Average revenue per visit is up 9%. These trends are slightly better than we expected and largely reflect the normalization of the COVID impact on vet clinic visits. Total visits in the quarter remain above pre-pandemic levels and clinic revenues have grown on average of 10% annually over that period. Spend per visit remains elevated as the standard of care continues to increase. Turning to product performance, the companion animal decline in the U.S. was driven largely by a decrease in sales of our parasiticides portfolio, as well as key dermatology products. Semperica Trio posted sales of $127 million in the quarter, declining 13%, driven by distributor destocking, partially offset by growth in patient share, where we continue to outpace the overall flea, tick, and hardware market. Our outlook for TRIO remains unchanged as we continue to see strong customer demand and continued conversion from topicals and collars. Key dermatology product sales were $184 million for the quarter, declining 5%. Apical cells were negatively impacted by high sales in Q4 ahead of our 2023 price increases and significant retail buy-in in Q1 2022. Cytopoint sales growth partially offset the apical decline due largely to its injectable administration, which is preferred by clinics. The U.S. companion animal decline was partially offset by growth in sales of Selencia, which launched in the third quarter. We continue to see solid clinic penetration growth in Selencia and expect to drive awareness of feline OA through our DTC advertising campaigns. U.S. livestock grew 15% in the quarter, primarily resulting from our cattle business, where we have improved several supply outages which impacted our revenues throughout 2022 and replenished our channel partner inventories. While we will continue to see benefit from improved supply, the replenishment impact is largely isolated to this quarter. We also saw growth in Cinevex due to expanded label claims. Our poultry business also contributed to growth, driven by expanded sales of vaccines. Moving on to our international segment, where revenue grew 3% on a reported basis and 10% operational in the quarter, with companion animal and livestock revenue both growing 10%. Increased sales of companion animal products resulted from our monoclonal antibodies for alleviation of osteoarthritis pain, small animal parasiticides, as well as the impact of our Jurox acquisition, which was completed in the fourth quarter of last year. We continue to be encouraged by the performance of Librella and Silencia. Librella generated $34 million, or 74% operational growth, driven by strong underlying demand and the removal of supply allocations that were in place for the first half of 2022. Silencia delivered $9 million in the first quarter sales internationally, driven by stronger demands. Empirica Trio was the top contributor to growth for our international small animal parasiticides with $24 million in revenue, growing 47% operationally due to expending market share in the flea, tick, and heartworm space. Our international key dermatology portfolio was flat operationally in the quarter. We saw double-digit operational growth across most of our major markets, driven by higher compliance and new patients. However, this growth was offset by large pre-priced buy-ups of apricots in Japan in Q1 2022. Our international livestock segment also grew 10% operationally in the quarter, with growth in four of our five core species. Growth was driven by our cattle portfolio, which benefited from price increases in certain emerging markets. Our sheep business had an exceptional quarter, with high demand in Australia due to favorable market conditions as well as the impact of our Xerox acquisition. Poultry also contributed to growth in the quarter, with higher key account penetration in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, as well as the benefit of price. And lastly, our fish portfolio continues to perform well, driven by growth in salmon vaccines in Norway. Swine was flat for the quarter, with strong sales in China, partially offset by intermittent supply constraints in some markets. Now moving on to the rest of the P&L for the quarter. Adjusted gross margins of 70.8% declined 80 basis points on a reported basis compared to the prior year, resulting from higher manufacturing costs and unfavorable product mix. This was partially offset by favorable foreign exchange and price increases. Adjusted operating expenses increased 12% operationally, with SG&A growth of 11% operationally, driven by headcount-related compensation costs as a result of our U.S. small animal field force expansion, which largely began in Q2 of 2022, and higher T&E. R&D grew 19% on an operational basis, driven by higher project spend for our pipeline candidates. Advancing projects include disruptive, novel innovation, and lifecycle management. R&D remains our first priority in capital allocation. Other income and deductions in the quarter are reflective of a favorable benefit associated with a settlement in the current period for prior period underpaid royalties related to sales of certain products. The adjusted effective tax rate for the quarter was 20.5%, an increase of 160 basis points driven by lower net discrete tax benefits in the quarter and less favorable jurisdictional mix of earnings, partially offset by higher benefit in the U.S. related to foreign-derived intangible income. And finally, adjusted net income declined 3% operationally, and adjusted diluted EPS declined 1% operationally for the quarter. Capital expenditures in the first quarter were $223 million. We are still anticipating a significant increase in capital expenditures for the full year of 2023. We continue to make investments to support our future growth, including manufacturing capacity for monoclonal antibodies, as well as oral solid dosage. In the quarter, we repurchased $283 million of Zoetis shares and grew our dividend over 15% versus Q1 2022. Now moving on to guidance for the full year 2023. As we have mentioned, the first quarter has gone largely as we expected. We are therefore reaffirming our 2023 guidance provided during February's earnings call. Note that guidance reflects foreign exchange rates as of late April. foreign exchange rates have been volatile over the quarter. We will continue to monitor the impact of this volatility going forward. For the year, we continue to expect revenue between $8.575 and $8.725 billion, representing a range of 6% to 8% operational growth. We also continue to expect adjusted net income to be in the range of $2.49 to $2.54 billion, representing operational growth of 7% to 9%. And finally, we expected adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of $5.34 to $5.44 and reported diluted EPS to be in the range of $5.03 to $5.14, both consistent with our February guidance. Just to summarize before we go to Q&A, we remain confident in our ability to deliver on our full-year guidance commitments and expect more normalized growth in subsequent quarters. We continue to see positive trends and solid fundamentals in the underlying demand and are confident that our innovative portfolio will continue to allow us to grow in line with or faster than the market. Now, I'll hand things over to the operator to open the line for your questions. Operator?
spk05: Certainly not this time. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your touchtone phone. You may withdraw your question at any time by pressing star 2. Once again, that's star 1. We'll take our first question from John Block with Stifel. Please go ahead.
spk12: Thanks, guys. Appreciate it. Good morning. I'll ask both up front. I think importantly, is the channel now normalized in the U.S., Kristen? And then, you know, some rough, crude math, but if you were down 7%, U.S. companion animal and sales out were up 8%. It's over like a 1,500 basis point delta. And I sort of landed over a hundred million dollars in sales if you quantify that. So can you guys, you know, bridge how you get there? I guess there's the 25 to 30 million of parasit last quarter. Are the disties working down inventory by a week? Whatever you can do to bridge that would be helpful. And then a quicker one, an easier one. Librella, I think you said approval still expected 1H. So launch 2H. Is that the full launch, call it, before the end of the year? And then, you know, again, Kristen, how do you feel on your ability to serve demand? We believe there's a lot of Cilentia users that are chomping at the bit to get at it. So, you know, do you expect U.S. Librella supply to be an issue at all? Call it 1H24. Thanks, guys.
spk08: Sure, John. I'll start with your second question. It's pretty straightforward. Yes, we continue to expect approval of Librella in the first half with the launch in the second half. The timing of exactly that, a full launch, we would obviously, we've always said, do early experience first and then go to full launch. The full launch could be very late in the year. But as we continue to, and I'll reiterate again, the Librella is not in our numbers for the year. We do not include in our numbers for the year a product that's expected to launch very late in the year. for obvious reasons. So we would do early experience as we've always done with a full launch. If we did a full launch, it'd be very late in the year based on what we're saying. And no, we do not anticipate any supply challenges on a full launch in 2024, whether it's late this year or early 2024. We don't see any challenges there. On your second question on distributor, I think we'll spend a bunch of time on that today. Obviously, there's a lot of complexity in that one. But again, it is in line with what we expected. And we really don't think the trend you see in the quarter is going to continue. Let me let Whitney get into all the details, because I know this is probably the biggest question we've been hearing early this morning. So Whitney, do you want to go through some of the details?
spk10: Sure. John, the start of your question was, are we at normalized levels? So I'll start there first. And yes, we're at normalized levels here sitting here in the second quarter. And let me just step back and give you a little bit more details here. As Kristen said, we came into the year, and as you may recall on the last call, we described how we saw increased buying in the fourth quarter driven by promotions that we ran on parasiticides given we had recovery of supply late in the year as we got through some of our supply constraints. And there was more pre-priced buy-in given the level of price increases we were coming into 2023 with. in the fourth quarter above what I would call normal levels of pre-priced buying. So we expected to see destocking in the quarter, which is why we said that the first quarter would be below the low end of the range of growth that we have for the year at 6% to 8%. So we've seen destocking in the first quarter down to, I would say, the lower end of our normal range that we've experienced historically. And as we step into, and by the way, given rising interest rates, that is not unexpected. And then as we got into April, we saw slightly more destocking as we started the quarter, but those have normalized and have been reflected in the guidance that we just reiterated today. And so we're not anticipating a return back to normal levels in terms of inventories, so our assumption in our guidance is that they'll stay about where they are now. Now, to be clear, if you look at the end market demand dynamics, they remain very strong. As we said in our earnings release, sales out of distributors into clinics were up 8% on a volume basis in the quarter. And if you look at retail, sales out to pet owners were up 35% on the quarter. We've seen for the first time in about a year, vet visit increased by 2%. And if you look at derm patients, for example, visits increased in the quarter versus a year ago. And so, again, we've seen normalization since then. And by the way, in international markets, what we didn't see we haven't seen and don't expect to see the level of destocking that we've seen in the U.S., you saw 10% operational growth in our international markets across livestock and comparing animal. And so, again, we're not assuming a return to those levels, and these are factored into our guidance, and were contemplated when we gave the initial guidance back in February.
spk05: And we will take our next question from Aaron Wright with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
spk04: Great, thanks. Two questions, one on livestock, one on companion. So on the livestock side, was there a stocking benefit across livestock in the segment in the quarter? Can you quantify that for us and how much of the strength in U.S. livestock should continue in the coming quarter given that you expect flat for the year? And you touched on DERM a little bit on the companion animal side, but you mentioned Apoquel declined with no competitors in that segment. And And your direct distribution strategy, what drove the decline? And does that volatility that you're seeing across that retail channel for this product change how you think about leveraging that alternative channel? And are you proactively shifting customers to try to point ahead of competition? Thanks.
spk08: Sure. Thanks, Erin. Again, livestock did grow 12%, as you mentioned, which was in line with what we expected. But the growth really was driven by resupply or increased supply of a lot of key products. As we reiterated in our prepared remarks, we continue to expect a flattish growth for livestock for the year. If you look at it, we saw, if you look at the US business, we think you'll see it's really more of a one-time sort of getting back into supply in some of this. Is it slightly up or slightly down? I think a lot of that is genuinely going to depend on China. With its return to travel and dining out in China will drive growth in a number of our markets around the world. in our export markets such as Brazil or Australia or even the U.S. So we continue to expect and built into our guidance for the year is to have a flat-ish livestock number, which obviously gets back to Wetney's point, which is we're expecting very strong double-digit growth in companion animals. As you look at DERM for the quarter, it did decline, but this is largely due to the destocking of the pre-pice buy-ins and promotions in the U.S. And as Whitney mentioned in his remarks, the one-time issue in Japan back to Q1 of 2022. In fact, if you pulled that out, international had double-digit growth if you take out Japan's. So again, this performance was in line with our expectations, but really importantly, it is not indicative of our view of our expectations for the year. We continue to expect double-digit growth for the rest of the year and for the overall year for dermatology. Our sales out remain really strong. We're seeing a lot of uptake right now in Cytopoint. More and more pet owners are really seeing the compliance benefits of it, the efficacy of it, and vets love it because it obviously stays in the clinic. As we continue to see the shift here with compliance, I think, again, we'll underscore our growth there. And the other thing I'd mention that Whitney mentioned is DERM visits continue to grow in Q1, and we're not really seeing any pushback from customers on the price increases that we did do. So we continue to expect strong growth for DERM for the year. For our last guidance, double-digit growth for DERM.
spk10: Yeah, I would just add the first quarter is not indicative of the year here, Aaron, similar to the overall results. And so to your point around retail channels, et cetera, we don't see us changing that. I think the fact that at Cytopoint we expect to continue to lead the growth for our key DERM franchise will change the mix between those two, but not changing the overall picture. And our expectations for DERM remain the same for the rest of the year. And we're off to actually a strong start in the second quarter for DERM, both in the U.S. and internationally.
spk05: And we will take our next question from Michael Ricekin with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
spk03: Great. Thanks for taking the question, guys. First, I want to ask about sort of the top line progression through the rest of the year. I think you had pointed, you know, to some softness like you previously, and you talked about just now lightening on what you saw in distributors to start the second quarter. But any additional color you could give us as sort of we go through the rest of the year, given there is a A relatively steep ramp implied in numbers right now just to hit your $8.65 billion and 68% operational growth. So just talk about the step up in 2Q, 1Q to 2Q versus 2Q to 3Q, 4Q. And then as a follow-on to that, Kristen, you touched on Librella earlier, but I was wondering if you guys could comment on the other product launch expected this year, the competitor to Superica Trio. We haven't seen that yet. Obviously, it can come any day, but just curious what you're hearing on that and if your thoughts on what's going on in the para-certified market have changed regarding that in terms of what some of your competitors are doing with stocking, what some of your competitors are doing with promotions of some of their products, and sort of how that's impacting your view on para through the rest of the year. Thanks.
spk10: Hey, Mike. I'll start with progression for top line for the year, and then I'll turn it over to Kristen, and she'll cover Librello launch. QO competition. So with respect to progression for the balance of the year, we expect normalized growth across the year, starting with the second quarter, which obviously we're already about halfway into the second quarter. And as I mentioned just a little bit ago, we've got a strong start, particularly in Durham, but across the board to what I'll call more normalized mix and normalized cadence for the balance of the year. One thing I would say is with respect to Q2, And that's normalized operational growth rate I'm referring to. If you take a look at FX, for example, that was about three points of headwind in the first quarter. Based on where rates are right now, I would expect about two points of headwind on the second quarter. So when you math out operational growth to reported growth, you should take that into consideration. That turns around in the second half, again, based on where rates are now. And it ends up being, you know, slightly unfavorable on the year-on-year on FX on the top line and slightly favorable at the bottom line. So that's how I would sort of think through the progression. But again, starting with the second quarter, you should expect normalized growth to get to the guidance that we just reiterated at 6% to 8%. Sure.
spk08: And let me pick up your second question, which was the other product. We are continuing to expect competition in the second half of the year. for some parent and trio. But I want to underscore that, you know, if you look at the first quarter, we actually gained share. So as we said, there's very strong underlying demand for some Perica Trio in the U.S., and even with competition coming, if you look at our performance, it was in line with our expectations. Again, we said it's not indicative of the year. And we continue to expect strong growth for the remainder of the year, even with competition in the second half. So we have been expecting this competition. The good news is it's later than we did expect. As we think about it, we've talked about this before, we're not expecting them to radically change any pricing. If they would really, I think given they are the leader right now with HeartGuard, NexGuard, they would really cannibalize their own business. And I think it's important to keep in mind, even if you look at the quarter, they ran very strong promotions ahead of their launch. And even with those promotions, you know, we gained share in that quarter. So we remain very confident in the strength of Semperica Trio, in the strength of our relationships with vets, in the pet owner's satisfaction of it. We do expect competition. We think they'll bring a product, as I said, in the second half of the year, but we remain confident of the strong growth for some Pericatria, as we said before, for the year.
spk05: All right. We'll take our next question from Nathan Rich with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
spk02: Great. Thanks for the questions. Sorry to keep honing in on the destocking dynamics, but Could you maybe just talk about how the first quarter U.S. companion animal sales kind of played out month by month? It seems like January and February probably saw the bulk of the impact from the pre-buying and pull forward into the fourth quarter. It sounded like the destocking might have occurred a little bit later in the quarter. I think just as people are looking to get better visibility on the improvement in the second quarter, could you maybe just comment on how March or April played out just as we think about kind of where the business is heading into the second quarter?
spk10: Yeah, so look, I'll be happy to answer the question in terms of the stocking. We saw the stocking from the start of the quarter, just as we anticipated and as we discussed on the prior call, given the dynamics coming out of Q4. As we mentioned, too, in the last call, the timing of our supply recovery in terms of last year would have had an impact on the cadence on the year, which is playing out exactly as we thought. I'll give you a little bit more color perhaps that might be helpful if you think about what the end market demand looks like. When we look at our sales out of distribution to clinics, we said it's 8% volume growth on the quarter. If you look at how those played out for March, the end of the quarter, they're actually above that number for us. So we haven't seen anything in terms of what the end markets are that would indicate a slowdown. And as I said, we've had a strong start to the second quarter, and we're sitting here in the middle of the second quarter And I'm saying that we would see normalized growth starting in this current quarter for the balance of the year.
spk08: Yeah, and I think I want to also reiterate what Whitney said earlier, which is, you know, they are at very low levels, the lower, you know, end of their ranges. But our guidance expects that they do not go back up. We believe that given the current interest rate environment, our expectation is that they will stay at this level. So, again, our confidence in the guidance we're providing is assuming that they're not going back up. They will stay at the levels that they're at now.
spk05: And we will go next to Louise Chen with Cantor. Please go ahead.
spk07: Hi. Thanks for taking my questions here. So I wanted to ask you on your upcoming investor event, what will you discuss here? What are some of the key things that you're going to be going over? It's been a while since you've had an investor event. And will you be disclosing more additional pipeline products, longer-term guidance, anything from that front? And then I also wanted to ask you on your diagnostics business, what's the outlook for the remainder of the year on that business? Thank you.
spk08: Sure. We are excited for our investor day. You know, we spent a time talking to a lot of our investors over the last six months as to what they're looking about. Our focus there will be really on building confidence in our medium to long-term growth expectations. We've gotten a lot of questions, obviously, on our pipeline and R&D. So you'll see us, as we mentioned, our press release, Rob Holzer, our head of R&D, will be coming to give more detail on our R&D portfolio. And we also look forward to introducing you to other members of our leadership team, so you get to meet them as well. We're excited to share what we view as the short, medium, and long-term growth aspirations and give you some confidence and more detail around all of those. So, Whitney, do you want to take her second question on diagnostics?
spk10: Yeah, happy to, Kristen. So, look, on diagnostics, we have seen increased productivity from our diagnostics team, particularly if you look at the U.S., where we made the change about a year ago into the second quarter. In this first quarter, we actually saw very strong placements across our instruments, including images as well. Those will help drive growth from a consumer perspective and look at the rest of the year. Consistent with our guidance, we said we would expect to see improvements in terms of that to the productivity given the new field force and the change out that we did last year. And we would expect to see return to growth in the U.S. in the back half of this year. And again, we're lapping those changes that we made, which we firmly believe are going to drive long-term growth for the business in addition to innovation that we continue to work on in terms of diagnostics.
spk05: And we will take our next question from David Westenberg with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
spk01: Hi. Thank you for taking the question. So, you know, just to get on the Simparica Trio franchise and sort of the distributor dynamics here, I usually think about the parasiticide portfolios being heavy in a March to August season. As we take a step back or take a zoom out look, do you think any of the dynamics that have happened with sort of the distributor destocking is going to be a net negative for the annual sales of the product. Put another way, do you think maybe this impacts the timing of missing the flea and tick season in any of this kind of dynamic? And then, you know, just to reiterate on the inventory question on the livestock portfolio, it doesn't have the same dynamics, right? So, I mean, like the price increases in livestock were not the same As the price increases in companion, therefore, you wouldn't see some of that same distributor dynamic. And then if I could squeeze just one more, I didn't see the inventory or the balance sheet yet. So just wanted to see if inventory levels trended up or down. Thank you. Sorry, that was a lot.
spk08: Sure. Let me start with Trio, and then I'll let Whitney take the other two. I want to underscore what we said earlier. We have very strong demand in sales out. And so what you saw in TRIO in the first quarter was a stocking issue. But as we look at the demand for the product and where it's going, it has no effect on the flea and fixes and did we meet it. We had full supply in. I think what makes it a little complicated and as unusual was the supply issues we had in Q3 Q2 and Q3 of 2022 put us putting a lot more inventory into the channel at the end of Q4, trying to restock shelves against what we thought, if you remember, was going to be a launch in Q1 of a competitor. So I think there's obviously some quarter to quarter stocking dynamics, but I want to underscore demand for this product remains strong. We gained share in the quarter. We are now at normal inventory level. So no, we do not see anything. If you look at the Q2 to Q3 of the product, which we would agree that is normally Q2 to Q3 is the strongest sales normally in parasiticides. So we continue to see very strong demand for the product. You know, obviously there is some quarter to quarter stocking stuff that is relatively unique as you looked at the end of 2022 and the beginning of 2023, but we don't think that actually signals through anything in the demand for the product or importantly, the strong growth we see for the product for the year, even as we said, assuming competition in the second half.
spk10: Yeah, look, I think there were a couple of other parts to your question I'll touch on in terms of livestock. We're not seeing the same dynamics in livestock. Look, I think if you look at where we ended last year, maybe we're in the middle of the range, towards the bottom of the range, might have been slightly increased in the quarter given the recovery of some supply for certain products, as we mentioned in our prepared commentary. But overall, not any meaningful movement there to speak of. And then with respect to our balance sheet on inventory, as you know, we are ramping up certain products, anticipating launch and approval of certain other products that will continue to drive inventories up for us. If you look at operating cash flows on the quarter, they're actually favorable to last year because as inventories continue to increase, we saw really strong performance on receivables and other NAPs. So overall, operating cash flows look favorable versus a year ago.
spk05: And we will take our next question from Balaja Prasad with Barclays. Please go ahead.
spk00: Good morning, everyone. Thanks for the questions. A couple from me. Firstly, could you give an update on the supply chain issues which impacted growth in 2022, be it on the vaccine side or TRIO or monoclonals? And would you foresee and anticipate any supply chain issue impacting any of your key products this year? Secondly, I wasn't sure I got the term decline fully as this is not a distributor-dependent segment. Can you provide some numbers around the DERMS segment and help us understand what led to the decline?
spk08: Sure, I'll start with your first question on supply chain, and maybe Whitney can build on my answer from before. With regards to the supply chain, as we expected, we have completely normalized the supply chain. We always have some small level of challenges, as we mentioned before, in the biologics. But the challenges we saw in 2022 have been resolved, as we indicated they would be. We're back into normal supply on these products, as you look at whether that's parasiticides or, importantly, our monoclonal antibodies. As expected, those are at normalized levels. You know, we'll have some small number in bios, as we always have, and all of our competitors generally have. But supply chain has been normalized, and, you know, we don't foresee any specific supply chain challenges in 2023 going forward. But maybe, Whitney, you can build off my previous comments on DERM and see if you can clarify some of those questions.
spk10: Yeah, I'd be happy to. So the DERM story is similar in terms of the stocking from pre-priced buy-ins that we saw in the U.S., into retail in Q4, as well as a year ago, if you look at Japan, and if you look at our reporting last year in Q1, you would have seen a significant growth rate for Japan in the first quarter, driven by those pre-priced buy-ups in Apoquil. And then you saw that go the other way in the second quarter. So if you were to, I would say, poor pharma, The results for the first quarter, taking into account what I just said, you would see double-digit growth for the Durham franchise in both the U.S. and international.
spk05: And we'll take our next question from Chris Schott with J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.
spk06: Hi. This is Ekaterina on for Chris. Thank you so much for taking your questions. So first on price increases. Any feedback from the price increases in the beginning of the year? Are you seeing any pushback from veterinarians or pet owners? And any initial thoughts of how you'll be approaching price increases in 2024? And then the second question is on diagnostics. Any thoughts on the proposed Mars-Tesca acquisition and the impact that will have on the diagnostics market? Does it change the lettuce's plans and diagnostics or the investments you're making in that market? Thank you so much.
spk08: Sure. Thanks, Katarina. I'll take your second question first, and then let Wetni take your first question on the pricing. You know, I really think the margins acquisition of HESCA confirms that the veterinary diagnostics market continues to be incredibly attractive investment area. You know, most importantly, it reinforces our strategy, we think, the sound around committing to execute it around, you know, in the U.S. specifically, building our reference lab network and continuing to invest in innovation, importantly, in our point of care We've had a robust start to 2023 as we look at our images, our virtual lab, our reference lab offering. We really believe it's resonating with customers. And really, our focus is on leading with cutting-edge medicine, really rolling out our virtual lab, which we really think is a differentiator. And we think that's what differentiates Zoetis overall is innovation in the space, innovation around point-of-care innovation and customer experience. and innovation in the reference lab. So, no, we really see that acquisition as reconfirming our strategy, and really we're going to accelerate our growth focused on innovative diagnostics. So, Watney, do you want to take our second group of questions around pricing?
spk10: Yes, sure. Look, we have not seen any pressure in terms of end market demand given our price increases. We took 5% price on the quarter that's up versus 3% last year. If you look at the end market, dynamics that we described earlier, you're seeing significant growth out from distributors to clinics. But also importantly, you're seeing significant growth from retail into pet owners. And we continue to see increased patient visits, for example, in DERM, et cetera. So we have not seen any resistance there in terms of price increase. And by the way, if you look at international, we grew 10% in companion animal on the quarter given price increases as well. despite some pre-priced buy-in, which is normal in the fourth quarter. So we haven't seen any signs of that. If you look at livestock, that actually marginally offset some of the price increases we would have seen in companion animal. We're going to see some impact on Jackson, but not meaningful at the level that we've seen previously, as we previously said. And actually, we saw some volume offset to that, positively offsetting some of the price increases. on the Jackson side. So all told, in good shape in terms of what we're seeing in terms of market reaction to our prices. And in terms of what it means for 2024, too early, too early to tell. We won't go into that yet.
spk05: And we'll take our next question from Brandon Vasquez with William Blair. Please go ahead.
spk11: Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. The first one is just on guidance. You know, you started off the year pretty strong despite kind of inventory levels creating a little bit of noise here, but if you kind of read through that, you're looking at, I don't know, like, high single digits, maybe even double digits operational growth to start the year, reiterated guide for six to eight percent operational growth. So, the question being basically what would get you to that low end of that operational growth range given the strength you're already seeing in the year if you kind of read through the noise?
spk10: So look, if you look at the end market dynamics that we see, we see strength there. So I think that supports certainly the mid to high end of our guidance, I would say. If you look at what it means for the rest of the year, and I'll reiterate this point, which is we're already halfway through the second quarter. And again, we're seeing strong starts of the quarter and we'll see that normalized growth rate, including mix, by the way, for the balance of the year. And keep in mind, right, our guidance didn't change including what we expect from livestock for the balance of the year, right? We went from saying livestock could be minus one to plus one. We're saying it's flattish. Basically the same thing. So how Q1 has played out is exactly as we thought, essentially, and therefore the rest of the year is the same. And so no point in our guidance range is any, you know, I would say more probable than the other. We feel great about where we are on the year. and how it's starting out for us in the second quarter in particular, despite what you'd describe as the noise in terms of the inventory levels.
spk05: And we'll go next to Steve Scholar with TD Cohen. Please go ahead.
spk09: Thank you. A couple questions. First, the new manufacturing facility in Georgia, is the investment based predominantly on increased forecasts for current products or positive late stage R&D progress for which we, at least on the outside, currently don't have visibility, or is it some combination? And in the prepared remarks, you referred to disruptive novel innovation in the pipeline. Should we expect to get a window on that during the May meeting? And can you tell us if this is likely mainly directed at currently untreated diseases, more species, wider claims with an existing species, improve dosing or something else? Thank you.
spk08: Sure. The new manufacturing facility right outside of Atlanta, Georgia, will be both to support current products and the growth in our current products, as well as we'll target launching some of our new monoclonal antibodies out of that facility as well. It's a very large facility. It gives us tons of flexibility, which is what we found really exciting about the opportunity to be able to use it for lots of different things and really build a strong center in the South with a great labor market, you know, really good access to workforce that we think makes a lot of sense. So we actually, we see the facility's ability to do both, and that is currently the intention. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we would expect it to be, you know, fully operational by 2026 and doing both at that point. With regards to Investor Day, we will be looking at the whole portfolio. We'll give you more details, which we've been asked for, around the pain opportunity and what we're expecting there. We'll also talk about some of the new disease areas we've mentioned before. We'll give you a sense of what we think those markets could look like. A lot of those markets are new markets, so we'll help you size that market. We'll talk a lot about what our pipeline looks like and what we're doing now. So we'll give you information both on a species basis on, you know, importantly on sort of key technologies as we talked about in monoclonal areas, monoclonal antibodies, and then also, lastly, talk about some of these emerging big new markets that we think we can attack with some of our new novel technologies.
spk05: And there are no further questions at this time. I'll turn the program back to Kristen Peck for closing remarks.
spk08: Thank you. So look, just to summarize, we really see a very positive and sustainable demand for our product based on what we've talked about for a long time, which is the fundamental drivers of animal health. We are confident that Zoetis has the industry's most diverse and durable global portfolio. And, you know, this is really founded on innovative science, as we've talked about, and supported by a high-quality supply chain. We'll remain focused this year and going forward on our five key growth catalysts, dermatology, pet parasiticides, pain diagnostics, and emerging markets. And we're going to continue to invest in the talent, the pipeline, and the capabilities that support this future growth while ensuring that we can adapt to the dynamic environment that we all operate in. And we really look forward to sharing more about this with you. Our vision, our pipeline, our strategies for growth, at our Investor Day on May 25th. And there you'll hear more from me, Wetney, our head of R&D, Rob Holzer, about the confidence we have in the animal health industry, and importantly, our ability to grow faster than that market and the investments that we're making to create that value for our shareholders. So we announced the event this week, and I hope you can all join us virtually or at the New York Stock Exchange. As always, you can find more details about our investor relations information on our website. So thanks so much for joining us today.
spk05: Thank you. This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time.
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