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29Metals Limited
1/24/2022
Thank you for standing by and welcome to the 29 Matters Limited December quarter report. All participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question and answer section. If you wish to ask a question, you will need to press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Mike Sleveski, Group Manager, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thanks very much, Winnie. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Mike Sliferski here. Welcome to 29 Metals December quarter and full year 2022 production report conference call. The call is being recorded and will be available for replay via the 29 Metals website and also accessible from the open briefing website. 29 Metals Managing Director and CEO, Peter Elbert, will commence the discussion before passing to Chief Operating Officer, Ed Cooney, who will lead through our operating performance. Ed will pass to our CFO, Peter Herbert, to discuss the financial performance before handing back to Peter Albert to facilitate Q&A. Also in the room is Mark Van Heerden and Cliff Tuck, both of whom will be available during Q&A if you've got any specific questions on exploration and sustainability and ESG. So I'd now like to hand over to Peter Albert, please, to commence the discussion. Thanks, Peter.
Yeah, thanks. Thanks, Mike, and thanks for the introduction. And welcome, everybody. Thank you for joining us this morning. On today's call, we will cover 29 metals performance for the December quarter and group guidance for 2023. You will recall we released an operational update to the market on the 21st of December, which was prior to the finalization of our December quarter results. We'll hear outcomes. Plus, we also released preliminary guidance on the 2023 outlook. Starting with safety, a generally encouraging quarter with our TRIPA, Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate, continuing to reduce, now sitting below 10 per million person hours worked. And our LTIFR increased as a result of three lost time injuries in the group for the quarter. Turning to overview of production performance, let me say how pleased we are with the performance in the December quarter. At our last quarterly, we were on target to achieve a good finish to the year, especially in zinc from Golden Grove. In the December quarter, for the group, we produced 22,000 tons of zinc, as well as 8,000 tons of copper. Golden Grove produced its highest quarterly copper equivalent production result for the year at 14,251 tons of copper equivalent. Overall, for the group, we incurred net C1 costs of $66 million, down approximately 30% on the previous quarter, supported by strong by-product credits. And whilst absentees and concerns, which were always more prevalent at GG than Golden Grove and Cap Copper, have largely abated, labour pressures remain across the industry. Nonetheless, turnover rates at both operating sites appear to be stabilising in recent months, and we have successfully recruited a number of key roles. The labor pressures have also put significant pressure on contractors offsite and onsite, as well as regulators in both states. In the September quarter, 2022, we signed a new five-year contract with Burncut at Golden Grove, which commenced from the 1st of October, 2022. And we're now in discussions with Burncut in relation to the contract at Capricorn Copper, which comes up for renewal this quarter. And some more details around production. As noted previously, overall production for the quarter was pleasing, enabling us to deliver against or exceed our 2022 guidance metrics. On a 2022 annual basis, 29 metals met or exceeded our guidance for all metals, i.e. copper of 40,800 tons, zinc of 57,600 tons, both within the lower half of guidance as guided earlier in the year. Gold of 26,600 ounces and silver of 1.57 million ounces met or exceeded guidance. The strong finish to production for the year supported copper equivalent production for the quarter of 19,700 tons with full year copper equivalent of 73,400 tons compared to 2021 copper equivalent production of 68,200 tons. Ed will discuss production outcomes in more detail shortly. Turning to commodity prices, copper prices have been slowly but surely climbing during the last quarter, with copper rising from about $3.47 a pound to $3.80 a pound, and more recently as high as $4.28 a pound. Zinc during the quarter was broadly flat at around $1.35 a pound, but has risen in recent weeks to as high as $1.53 a pound. And notwithstanding commodity prices recovering as many industry participants had predicted, our focus in any price environment is on delivering production and managing costs. We remain very positive about the outlook for the commodities we produce, supported by the inevitable demand requirements for copper to support the transition to a greener global economy. Turning to costs, and in relation to costs, net C1 mine operating costs have been well managed with a reduction of about 33% over the previous quarter, supported by strong byproduct credits. This is also evident in the full year results with mine operating costs across the business of approximately $75 million per quarter, yielding a competitive C1 cost of $2.46 US a pound. Capital development, sustainability projects, growth and exploration investment for the year combined at about 112 million Aussie dollars are in the middle of the guidance range with sustainability and growth projects focused on ventilation upgrades and paste plant installation at Golden Grove. And turning to capital investment, capital investment in sustainability and growth projects are investments in our future. A number of key projects have been advanced in the December quarter, including the Paceville plant at Golden Grove has now delivered pace to a number of underground stoves at Gosselin Hill, progressively delivering pace to deeper stoves. The chiller plant at Gosselin Hill was delivered and commissioned by year end, considerably enhancing underground operating conditions. Likewise, at Capricorn Copper, a new chiller plant facility has significantly improved operating conditions at the Mammoth Mine. And new ventilation facilities at both sites have been impacted by breakdown of equipment and commissioning challenges. We're working closely with the vendor to rectify these challenges as soon as we can and as soon as possible. The latest TSF extension at Golden Grove was completed and operational in the December quarter. And the next TSF lift extension at Golden Grove was submitted for approval in the last quarter and in the December quarter and is anticipated to be approved with construction commencing in this quarter, March 2023. The next TSF lift extension at Capricorn Copper was initially submitted for approval in August 2022 and is anticipated to be approved in this March quarter. New high-volume evaporators were commissioned during the quarter and are now operational at Capricorn Copper. Unfortunately, there was a delay due to equipment delivery, but they're now making a significant impact on water management at Capricorn Copper. And the Cervantes and Gosling Valley studies were completed, and the results were leased to the market during the last quarter, December quarter. In terms of financial outcomes, Peter Herbert will discuss in greater detail, but a couple of highlights. Strong revenue of close to $209 million for the quarter. An unaudited net debt of $32 million at year end. Copper hedges now fully closed off with final settlement occurring early in October 2022. And 29 metals paid its first dividend, an interim dividend, two cents per share, also in October. Those are the headline numbers, if you like, for December 22 and the end of the full year. Let me turn to 2023 guidance now, released today with the December 22 quarterly report. In December, we released preliminary guidance for 2023 with an operations update, and guidance released today adds granularity to our announcement late last year. Copper metal guidance of 36,000 to 43,000 tons against approximately 41,000 tons produced in 2022. Thick metal guidance of 54,000 tons to 61,000 tons against approximately 58,000 tons produced in 2022. Gold metal guidance of 20,000 ounces to 23,000 ounces against approximately 27,000 ounces produced in 2022, and silver metal guidance of 1.15 million ounces to 1.33 million ounces against 1.57 million ounces produced in 2022. Guidance for copper and zinc reflects our expectations of the impact from reduction in milling rates of Capricorn copper being implemented to manage tailings capacity as we continue to work through the regulatory approval process for the next planned tailings storage facility lift. The recent ventilation fan challenges at Golden Grove and previously reported shortfall in development advance, particularly during the first half of 2022 at Golden Grove. Guidance for precious metals reflects a great profile of planned ore sources as a result of the direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 and labor market pressures in 2021 and 2022. And zinc guidance reflects a very strong finish to the month we had in December. Currently, 29 metals anticipates returning to normal milling rates at Capricorn Copper early in the June 23 quarter. In respect of cost guidance, Operating cost guidance at a total of 643 million to 740 million as compared to 2022, total OPEX of 659 million. Generally higher for 2023, reflecting activity and the impacts of cost inflation continuing to be experienced in the sector. Capital cost guidance of a total of $113 million to $143 million as compared to 2022 total capex of $111 million, reflecting investment in capacity and higher capitalized development. Our capital cost guidance for 2023 includes growth capital of between $20 to $25 million associated with early stage planning works on life of mine tailing storage facilities, and a portion of development capital at Xantho Extended, which will support longer term production outcomes as production ramps up from Xantho Extended. Also included in capital cost guidance is exploration costs of between 9 to 14 million, including resource conversion drilling, which was previously reported to sustaining capital. I'll now hand over to Ed Kearney, the Chief Operating Officer on production activities at the two operating mines and exploration activities for the group. Ed will then hand over to Peter Herbert to talk about financial and commercial outcomes. So thank you. Over to you, please, Ed. Thanks, Peter, and good morning, everyone. The December quarter production performance was good with significantly higher zinc, gold, silver, and lead offset by lower copper. At Golden Grove, mining activities, volumes and development events were all higher relative to the September quarter. Production was sourced from zinc-dominant ore sources, consistent with the mining schedule, and at quarter's end there was approximately 70,000 tonnes of ROM stocks ahead of the mill, comprising predominantly copper ore. At the Xantho Extended ore body, a new surface cooling plant was successfully commissioned with encouraging improvements to underground operating temperatures. Overall development advance was pleasing with consistent capital development progress and a significant increase in lateral ore body development relative to the September quarter. Production from each of the stoves at Xantho Extended has performed in line with expectations with good grade reconciliation and geotechnical performance. The pasteball plant commissioning advanced with three stoves now filled higher up in the mine and a fourth stope currently being filled lower down in the mine. And in parallel, underground reticulation was extended further towards the Xantho extended ore body. In terms of the mill, throughput was significantly higher than the September quarter, reflecting higher run time and higher throughput rates as a result of the higher proportion of primary zinc ore milled. which is typically softer than copper mineralisation. Higher feed grades and lower pyrite levels in the zinc feed contributed to higher recoveries, except for copper, which was lower due to the lower copper grades in the zinc ore. Application for a further lift on TSF3 was submitted midway through the December quarter, with an approval anticipated in the March quarter and construction to commence immediately following. This lift is intended to provide approximately two years' capacity, with engineering well-progressed on a fourth and life-of-mine tailing storage facility for Golden Grove. The application for this life-of-mine facility is expected to be lodged later in the September quarter. The procurement of two important new booster fans intended to increase ventilation volumes to Xantho extended and supporting higher mining activities has been delayed. and we are engaging closely with Avendor to manage this delay. Moving on to Capricorn Copper, which had a softer quarter due to lower tonnes milled and lower feed grades. Mining volumes were impacted by poor truck availabilities and ventilation constraints in the sub-level cave, which was driven by commissioning issues with the new surface fans. We have since reinstated underground primary ventilation to partially restore mining activities in the sub-level cave, while the surface fan commissioning issues are resolved during the March quarter. Tons milled were lower, reflecting a planned shutdown, which was well executed. However, runtime was then impacted by a subsequent downtime to replace the trunnion bearing on the sag mill. Feed grades and recoveries were lower due to a combination of lower grade greenstone material in the ore feed and a lower proportion of higher grade material from the sub-level cave. The approval process for the next lift of the Esperanza TSF remains ongoing with milling constraints being implemented during the March quarter as the process continues. And post quarter end, in line with planned reduced processing in the March quarter and coinciding with heavy rainfall, the site team took the opportunity to release treated water consistent with the site's environmental permits. And positively, three new high efficiency evaporators were successfully commissioned in early December. These have significantly higher flow rates relative to the previously installed equipment and will contribute to reduce the volume stored water on site. And additionally, two rental surface chiller plants were also commissioned with encouraging improvements to underground operating temperatures at mammoth or body being measured. In terms of exploration, during the quarter, drill testing and resource conversion drilling continued at both Capricorn Copper and Golden Grove. At Golden Grove, drilling at Cervantes continued in the December quarter with a focus on upgrading the mineral resource category within the central portion of the ore body, as well as testing for potential mineralisation to the north of the interpreted feeder position. Drilling is proceeding well and will continue into the March quarter. The results of the bulk of the Cervantes drilling conducted in the December quarter is expected to be included in 29Metal's update on mineral resource and ore reserves estimates, which are expected to be reported in the March quarter. Xantho extended resource conversion and extension drilling targeting the deepest parts of the known Xantho extended resource was concluded in the December quarter, and the ore body remains open down plunge with drilling activities planned to resume early in the June quarter. Exploration activity at Capricorn Copper during the quarter also included regional drilling and ground-based geophysical surveys across multiple prospects on the exploration leases. Surface drilling at Esperanza South continued in the December quarter, targeting approximately 100 metres downslunge of the mineralised intercepts from the drilling reported previously in the September quarter. And this drilling will conclude early in the March quarter. Underground drilling was conducted across Greenstone, Mammoth and Esperanza South in the December quarter and assay results are pending. At Redhill, there was limited activity during the period, reflecting the seasonal nature of the exploration work in the southern part of Chile. I'll now hand over to Peter Herbert to discuss the financial outcomes of the quarter.
Thank you, Ed. Good morning, everyone. $29 million of revenue of $209 million in the December quarter was increased 8% on the December 12th. Higher unordered revenues for the quarter, less. Stronger by-products, particularly thinker revenues, as a result of the strong production in the December quarter. This was all set by material commissaries, and a lot of this price was provided during the December quarter. Unaudited revenues included net positive QP interest of approximately $25 million for the quarter, as the prices generally improved, having a positive impact on rail arts and army and cross-portion sales. Lower copper sales during the December quarter reflects timing differences between production and sales, particularly at Golden Grove, and high zinc throughput at Golden Grove as well. Turning to costs, Group site costs were approximately $15 million higher than the prior quarter, driven by higher activity levels at Golden Grove, including higher mine tons and development meters, and cost escalation on certain inputs and the impact of contractual rise and fall at Capricorn Copper. Group selling costs were higher as a result of higher TCRC costs, driven by a higher proportion of sink sales, partially offset by a slight reduction on group transport costs. Group C1 costs reduced by approximately $274.66, reflecting higher by-product sales at Golden Grove. The increase in unit costs recorded in the December quarter reflects higher site costs, as discussed, partially offset by higher by-product credits and lower copper sales recorded during the quarter, particularly at Golden Grove. This resulted in December quarter C1 unit costs of US$2.76 per pound and US$2.46 for the full year. Given sector-wide cost pressures, cost controls remain a key focus for management as we look ahead to 2023. Unlawful cash at 31 September was $172 million, down from the balance of 30 September of $189 million. This cash balance was after payment of debt service costs, including principal amortization of US $6 million, final settlements of copper hedges and gold hedges during the quarter, totaling $2 million, and receipt of tax refunds of $18 million, and finally payment of approximately $10 million for the 29 metals interest. Following final settlement of the copper hedges, 29 metals copper production commencing in the December quarter is fully unhedged. On a net basis, the group had unordered net debt of $32 million at the end of the quarter, being roughly in line with the result of 30 September. Post-scheduled amortisation, drawn debt reduced to US$138 billion, and 29 metals drawn on term facilities will continue to amortise on a quarterly basis. Stamp duty payable in connection with the acquisition of gold remains outstanding, and 29 metals maintained a $26 million provision in relation to that stamp duty. Thank you very much. Back to Peter.
Thanks, Peter, and thanks, Ed. So, Winnie, I think we can go to Q&A from here, please.
Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star 2. If you are on a speakerphone, please pick up the headset to ask your question. Your first question comes from Mr Matt Green from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning, gents. Just a question on guidance to start with. The capex at Golden Grove, last year, your commentary was suggesting that that was it for sort of major capital with the pace plan for the Benz upgrade. So just keen to know why we're seeing growth capex more than doubling into 2023.
Sure.
So I think the two major items in growth capital there, Matt, comprise early works on life of mine tailings facilities, a new TSF facility at Golden Grove that we believe will provide a life of mine solution. In addition, when we look at the development meters which we expect to improve year-on-year for the reasons that we discussed. You know, a portion of that capital does relate to sustaining, you know, future production beyond what we expect to achieve at Exanto this year, and a portion of that becomes capitalised into the growth capital bucket.
Okay. That's helpful. Thanks. So how should we be thinking about growth capital then beyond 23 at Golden Grove? I mean, aside from, you know, the Banshees and Gotham Valley, I mean, in the current operations, anything that we should be aware of?
I think we'll have more to say on the tailoring facility as we advance the works on that. The capital allocated for this year is early stage, so we don't have anything definitive to say on the longer-term outlook for that at this point in time. And in terms of Zandu extended very much a year-to-year proposition, the only reason to allocate capital to growth out of that is if there is work to support expanding production in future years. That's not something that we expect to be every year going forward, but it is an assessment that we'll need to make at the start of each year.
Okay, thanks. And I guess just keeping on Xanthro extended, how are the ventilation constraints impacting development migrates? If you could just provide a bit more color as to what you're seeing there at the moment.
Yeah, I'll take to that one. In 2022, we've now extended a number of ventilation fresh air risers down to the lower operating levels. We've also, as I said, commissioned an additional surface chiller plant. So operating conditions as we currently stand are pretty reasonable, certainly a marked improvement on what they were previously. Looking ahead though, the two booster fans that we've mentioned, The purpose of those is to add additional volume later in the year to support even higher mining activities, truck haulage, et cetera. So they're key for us to successfully be installed and commissioned to support higher mining activity levels in the later part of the year.
Okay, that's great. So we're not seeing, I mean, you were sort of 20% behind on development last year. We're not seeing a risk of you falling further behind on your development.
No, so the development activity in Q4 was good. You know, we achieved the highest all-body lateral development that we have year-to-date, and that was, you know, using the current the current ventilation system, but those new Fusafans do support higher activity levels again from what we were seeing in Q4.
Okay, that's helpful. And I guess just on the medium-term profile at Golden Grove, I guess guidance this year and I guess last year was quite different to what you presented in your IPO. How should we be thinking about the Zinc profile at Golden Grove? It's 24 and 25. You've upgraded your reserves since the technical report, changed your stope heights and sequencing, and obviously some of the challenges around development. How should we be thinking about grade uplift, I guess, over the Megan term? I mean, I appreciate you've not given any guidance, but relative to what was presented a couple of years ago, how should we be thinking about this?
Thanks, Matt. Today's focus really is on 2023, of course, and certainly aware of a keen interest in looking beyond 2023. We're working through that, and we'll have more to say in coming periods, so coming weeks, but not in a position to say too much more in this forum today.
Okay. Thanks very much, James. That's all from me.
Thank you. Your next question comes from David Radcliffe from Global Mining Research. Please go ahead.
Hi. Good morning, Peter and team. My first question is on the impact on 23 numbers through that cumulative impact of, you know, development issues, ventilation and the tailings approvals. So how you may be changing your approach to planning in this tough environment? Are you actually going to bring forward maybe any required future projects? to try and avoid similar issues, just trying to get some colour around how this is impacting on the way you plan for projects, both current and future growth ones.
Thanks, David. Certainly looking to bring forward or not bring forward to initiate activate projects in a timely fashion and no question. No question that these impacts that we currently have in terms of approvals and ventilation. We anticipate those will be relatively short-lived, hence, as we've indicated, an impact on the first quarter production, looking to get back into normal activities post that. And I'm not looking to accelerate anything to advance any other projects that we currently have. working towards the longer-term outcome for both projects. So if you're thinking of Goss and Valley and Cervantes, for example, the plan there, as we've indicated, Certainly for Gossam Valley is to get that approval into the regulator sort of third quarter this year. Cervantes, the drilling is ongoing and the resource conversion ongoing. So both of those projects are very attractive, but, you know, they've got to go through a process to bring them to fruition. And we're not changing that discipline process that we're going through at this point as we get to conclusion on both of those projects.
Okay, thanks. And then just wondering if you could provide more colour on the comments about pulling back on regional drilling. It seems sort of unusual, a $4 a pound plus copper price. So is this just more of a you're trying to preserve some cash or does it go to the prospectivity you see?
I think what we've, no, not to prospectivity. I mean, the regional opportunities at Capricorn are extensive and very attractive, and we will, and as you point out, copper prices are doing very well, so that will, to generate more revenue, more cash, and we'll deploy funds appropriately. And of course, exploration is, and the opportunity at the amount, all around the amount eyes are in line, very attractive for us. So anticipate doing quite a bit of work there this year, subject to, of course, performance and revenue.
Okay, so then given how tough the environment seems to be in terms of, you know, building new projects. How much focus corporately do you think you'll have in 23 to adding new projects or optionality and growth compared to last year? Is it something that you think is more relevant this year than last?
I don't think it's any more relevant this year than last year. We're focused on bringing on those projects. In terms of the organic growth projects we have, if that's where your question is focused, I mean, those are brownfields developments and certainly very attractive in just about any scenario. And we will, as I said earlier on, be bringing those along in the disciplined fashion that we have described to the market previously.
Okay, thanks. I'll pass it on.
Your next question comes from Alexander Paparonell with Citi. Please go ahead.
Hi, Peter. This is Ed. Regarding the tailing stand permitting process at Capricorn Copper, what is the likelihood of the approval timeline you've got it blowing out? And can you also provide some more colour on what the long-term tailing strategy is for Capricorn Copper?
I'm surprised by the question, Peter. What's the timing of the approval? I'm quite a bit blown out. Okay. Thanks, Alistair. So we're working very closely with the regulator and have been doing for quite some time, as you understand, and certainly anticipate that we get that approval in this quarter, and we're in preparation for that and in preparation for completing the works on that, and as indicated in the quarterly report, looking to get back into normal production in the June quarter. If that were to change, we would update the market accordingly as soon as that was apparent, but that's certainly our expectation right now. In terms of longer term, We are focused on, as I think we've indicated in here, life of mine telling storage facility designs at both projects. And that work is advancing. And again, working with the regulator on those activities. in terms of the design and then ultimately the construction and operation of the long-term tailings facility at both sites. Both sites, of course, have got plus 10-year mine lives, and we're looking at the life of mine tailings facility to support that and probably beyond that, given the resource potential of both operations.
OK, great. Thanks. And are there any plans to look at hedging zinc prices given the recent rally?
I'll take that one. I think the position is clear. We don't look to hedge commodity exposures selectively. You know, as we look at our financing options, we'll always review that situation. But at the moment, the preference is to remain unhedged to the fullest extent possible.
Okay, great. Thanks. I'll pass it on.
Your next question comes from Mitch Ryan from Jeffreys. Please go ahead.
Good morning, Peter and team. One question for me. With regards to the new tailings facilities, obviously you're in the design phase. When do you think you'll be in a position to update the market on that?
Obviously described in this report what we're anticipating in this quarter and of course come the next quarter we will update the market at that time with the expectation that we'd be back to operations at that point in time if something were... Sorry to clarify, I'm not talking about your existing fatalities facilities, I'm talking about the life of mine that you're examining.
Like, when will we get a capital number and a timeframe for that? Oh, absolutely.
Yeah, sorry about that. I misheard you. That work will be at the earliest later this year. We're working through those designs with our consultants and the earliest would be later this year, Mitch. I can't give you a precise date.
OK. And so the earliest would be this calendar year and the latest would be next calendar year is...
If you want to put a timeline up. I think, I mean, Mitch, at Golden Grove, as we've said, the TSF4, so the life and mind facility, the engineering designs for that are well progressed with some mission planned in the September quarter this year. Capricorn Copper is probably, you know, the one that needs a bit more work. And that's, you know, something that we can update the market this year.
Thank you very much for the clarification. Appreciate it.
Your next question comes from Adam Baker from Macquarie. Please go ahead.
Yeah, hey, guys. Just following up on the tailings down at Capricorn. Just wondering with this TSS lift at Esperanca, is it correct that you only get about one year's life of tailings capacity on that lift? And then I'm just wondering what happens after that one year. Can you do another incremental list to get another year or do you need to then build a brand new facility? Just thinking if there's going to be a gap in production towards the end of this calendar year.
Thanks.
Yeah, no, I can take it. You know, the longer-term work that we're doing will address the second part of your query, but the current lift, you know, will cover us for the 2023 guidance period. And the life and mind work that we're doing, well, the outcome of that will inform, you know, sort of future capacity and where that may go.
Is it possible to have a second incremental lift on top of the current one that you're trying to get through permitted now? Or is that not possible? Is it maxed out at capacity?
That's one of the options that we're looking at.
Sure, thanks. And like my plan, appreciate that you're trying to do something there. Just wondering what that could look like with regards to timeline and also what it actually looks like. Is it likely to be two to three year guidance kind of range or are you looking at getting a full life and mind plan out for both operations?
No, as indicated earlier, Adam, we're working through that now. The focus, of course, here is on the 2023 outlook and we were looking to say something about the future in the coming periods, but we're not in a position to be doing that today.
Sure. And maybe just one final question on the labour market. How are you guys going, the staffing levels on site? What's the current turnover rates like? And what are the key roles that you're having trouble filling at the moment?
Ed might respond in here also, but as indicated in my comments earlier, Adam, our The turnover rate has significantly stabilized. We have been able to recruit most of our key roles that we were looking for, some senior appointments. But the general labor pressures that persist across the industry, we're not inured against that. So it's a very competitive environment, and we remain very focused on understanding what that environment looks like and ensuring that our employees and retention strategies put us in the best position. And with our turnover rates stabilizing, we believe we're on the right path there. It is a challenging environment. It tends to be more challenging in the west than the east.
Sure, I'll pass it on back.
The next question comes from Ben Nions from Jardin. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good morning, everyone. A question for Ed, just on the broader context of Xantho Extended at Golden Grove. Just given the issues to date with development metres, Ed, if you were to broadly break the mineralisation at Golden Grove into Xantho Extended and then everything else, all those other multiple ore sources, can you just maybe give us a feel for how What's a sustainable number of tonnes that you think you can extract from Xantho Xtended confidently on a sustainable basis? Thanks, mate.
Well, yeah, Ben, I mean, I think, you know, as we've said going forward, the whole plan behind Xantho Xtended is to, you know, increase production tonnes from that old body year on year. You'll see that we are... Investing significantly in terms of base fill plant, reticulation, insulation infrastructure, fiber optic backbone, all those enablers. 2023 has high raw tons relative to 2022, and our plan is to sustainably, consistently grow that. Probably not in a position to give you a definitive number in terms of raw tons by year over time, Our plan is to sustainably grow that from where we currently stand and where we have been.
Okay. Thanks, Ed. I was just thinking back to the IPO documentation and there were some tables included therein that had up to a million tonnes essentially on a sustainable basis, call it three or four years, around about a million tonnes coming out as ANSO extended. Yeah, is there any kind of context you can give? Like, so how much tonnage comes out of each of these 45-metre-high stoves, for example? How many development metres are required if you're thinking about a million-tonne per annum development from this singular ore body? Just, you know, any kind of broad parameters you might be able to provide around those, or is that sort of million-tonne rate just simply no longer relevant? Thanks, Ryan.
Oh, look, I wouldn't say it's no longer relevant. I mean... You have to be mindful, Ben. That was done at a certain point in time, right, that plan? And we have stated that we are behind in development. So the development ultimately opens up the access to mine, you know, the number of states required. So ultimately, once we get all the ventilation in place, the development in place, you know, that's all the enablers to increase the production rate. The 45-meter lift stove will be a more productive sort of production strategy, if you like, because it's less stoves to turn over. That's less effort to produce the equivalent number of stoves. So all other things being equal, that should help us get to the milestones that we want to achieve. Sorry, Ben, I think just to answer your broad question there, the target of a million tonnes is still there for Xantho Extended. Obviously, ventilation and development and the 45-metre stoves, all that will get us along that path. So to fundamentally answer the question, the target is still a million tonnes from Xantho Extended.
Okay, outstanding. Thank you very much.
The next question is a follow-up question from... Actually, there are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr. Albert for some closing remarks. Please go ahead.
All right. Well, thanks, everybody, and thanks, Ed and Peter, for your words through the presentation. Your closing remarks, despite the multiple external factors and challenges last year, 29 metals teams have delivered what we said we would deliver. I know that we got through the September quarter and there was some disbelief that we would deliver as much zinc as we did in the fourth quarter, but that was always our plan. We had a very good finish to the year, especially at Golden Grove, and our costs were pretty much in line with forecasts and guidance. The challenges of COVID and absenteeism are largely behind us, although as we discussed just now, labor pressure, labor market pressures continue to put pressure on the whole industry. But we're in a, you know, we find ourselves in a, probably in a position better than most, fared better than most through last year. And as I indicated just now to a response to a question, our targeted recruitment and retention campaign has been successful. But the lack of labour in the first half of 2022 did cause us to focus activities, especially at Golden Grove, on production over development. And the outcome of that is a 2023 guidance outlook, which is tempered over what it might otherwise have been. And this year, besides the operational performance, we intend to focus on aggressive cost management programs, on the Gossam Valley approval submission, which we talked about briefly, advancing resource conversion at Cervantes, which we talked about briefly, and continuing and advancing the cobalt studies at Capricorn Coffee Tree, which we hadn't talked about, as well as developing those long-term tailing storage facility designs for both operations. As I've said a number of times, we're not commodity price forecasters, but recognize that the metals that we produce are of strategic value in terms of the global decarbonization commitments. And the globe will demand, the world will demand material, more material from production of the metals that we produce. Our view as miners has to be medium to long term, but also to manage for the short term. Our long term view is very positive about copper and other critical minerals. In the last three weeks, we've seen significant upward shifts in both copper and zinc metal prices. And as approval times get longer and more difficult to secure for new operations, the value of having operating mines with brownfields organic growth opportunities becomes more and more apparent. Thanks, everybody, for listening to our presentation today.
Let us conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.