7/30/2026

speaker
Rachel
Moderator

So now I'd like to extend a warm welcome to all of our guests today for the 2026 half year results. Before I begin, I would like to acknowledge the Gadigal people of the Eora nation on whose traditional lands we are gathered on today. And I pay my respects to elders past and present. I extend that respect to all indigenous peoples around the globe. I acknowledge they continue to play an important role within our communities and our businesses. We are here today with our CEO Simon Trott and CFO Peter Cunningham to present to you these financial results. This will be followed by a Q&A session. As a reminder, the usual cautionary statements apply. Now I'm very pleased to introduce Chairman Murray, Chairperson of the Metropolitan Local Aboriginal Land Council, who will deliver our Welcome to Country today before Simon commences the presentation. I now invite Chairman Murray to the stage.

speaker
Chairman Murray
Chairperson of the Metropolitan Local Aboriginal Land Council

Good morning, how are you? How was the coffee? Good. My coffee was a bit like that. But a world and a country, particularly in this country, has been subject to a lot of criticism. particularly on the right and particularly on the left and there's no middle ground but if you are wanting to be welcomed by First Nations people particularly here in Sydney, New South Wales and Australia you do the right thing by acknowledging the First Nation but I want to pay respects to the Gadigal people of the Eora Nation I don't know if you understand when it comes to sunrise and sunset Sunrise comes from the east, then it travels and the sunlight travels all over, particularly Sydney, Sydney region, and then New South Wales, then across all the different cleans. There are something like in New South Wales, there are 54 cleans. Across Australia, there are over 500 different cleans. We're not as homogeneous, not as one, we're as many. And that's the purpose, is that you would have a different relationship From neighbouring clans and in particular here in Sydney. There are no traditional owners here in Sydney. So the five local Aboriginal land councils that come by default are the traditional custodians. So it means a lot that you understand the respect. We've been here for thousands and thousands of years and We want to continue to have that relationship with yourselves and to make sure, if you can, have a good dialogue and understanding and a commitment. One of the things about us as a cohort First Nations people, we are the poorest. We are the poorest Australians and we don't see that wealth transfixed or trans related to us. because all the different legislative laws that have taken place since colonisation of Australia. So I'm not going to dwell in that because I think you know what I'm saying. So with that, welcome to Sydney, welcome to all the delegates, welcome to all the investors, welcome to Sydney and I pay respects to the Gadigal people of the Eora Nation. So with that, that's one thing about coming here, understanding the colonial aspects of Sydney. and that's what we've got. We've still got the colonial fix. So with that, welcome to Gadigal land, Aboriginal land, always was, always will be Aboriginal land. Thank you very much.

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

Thank you to Chairman Murray for that welcome to Gadigal country. And good morning and good evening and thanks very much for being here. As Rachel mentioned earlier, joined today by Peter Cunningham, our CFO, together with two other EXCO members in the audience, Jerome and Mark. So I'll start with safety, and this half we lost two of our colleagues, and I'll carry that with me. Nothing we report today means anything if our people do not go home safely. Safety is my first priority, it is Rio's first priority, and it will always be. Across the business, we are continuing to make the changes that we need to ensure our people stay safe. Now, let me tell you where this business is heading. This has been a strong half with real momentum building month on month. We're running our assets harder and smarter. Moving fast, changing how we work, and today it's showing through in the numbers. I said at Capital Markets Day last December that Rio was entering a new era and becoming stronger, sharper and simpler. Seven months on, I'm here to show the evidence. Now, two things drive everything we do. A relentless focus on both performance and on returns for you, our shareholders. Everything else follows from that. Let me take you through it. There are three reasons why Rio is the mining and the metal business to own. Firstly, we have a leading exposure amongst diverse side miners to the biggest trends of our time. Electrification, AI and digital together with traditional demand. Our commodities, copper, aluminium and lithium and iron ore sit right at the heart of these trends. These are the materials the world needs and Rio is positioned to supply them at scale. Second, along with the right commodities, we also have world class assets. They are large, low cost and scalable and we've got the balance sheet and the skills to monetise them. What makes Rio distinctive is this combination with its embedded growth. Major projects, tracking to plan and in several areas ahead. Simundu is now more than three quarters complete. OP continues to ramp up and is achieving record production. Lithium in-flight projects are advancing and the Rose Ridge study is progressing on track. This is a portfolio built for the decades ahead. Now we've talked about being more diversified and today we're delivering. Nearly 60% of EBITDA in the first half was delivered from copper, aluminium and lithium. Thirdly, and this is where I want to spend most of the time today, we are focused on driving outstanding performance. This is where we have a real opportunity to unlock our potential. These three strengths set us apart and together these are why we continue to deliver both industry leading returns as well as growth. That means consistent shareholder payments, resilience through the cycle and capturing market outsides. Outstanding performance is what turns a great asset base into a great business. and today I'll flip things around in the pack because I want to talk more about our performance first before then coming to the macro. Across the business we're changing how we operate. This goes well beyond taking out costs although we're doing that as well. We're building a more agile Rio Tinto, pushing decisions closer to the assets where our people have the accountability to act. Our momentum is broad based and you can see it in our first half numbers. We grew copper equivalent production by 3% and free cash flow rose by 75%. And the strength of this performance meant we could deliver a 43% higher interim dividend worth $3.4 billion. So let's focus on what's underpinning these operational results. When I launched our program to build a stronger, sharper, simpler Rio Tinto at Capital Markets Day last December, I told you I'd deliver $650 million in productivity benefits, and we've delivered. We've already banked $870 million to the end of June. I also told you that we would continue to grow the program. Again, we've delivered. Today I can announce we are targeting a year-end run rate of $1.8 billion, almost triple where we were just seven months ago. and there is substantially more to go as our momentum grows. This is all consistent with creating an operating culture that underpins the strongest and most valued metals and mining business and then maintaining that into the future. I'll give you a bit more sense of what we've been doing. This is not a top down exercise where we simply squeeze budgets. It's a structural change with more than 80 large initiatives running at every level of the business. This is about how we manage contractors, how we source raw materials, how we invest in digital and innovation, how we structure our teams. It's about the people closest to the work finding better ways of doing it. This is the culture of excellence I want to embed at Rio, codified through our new management operating system. Let me walk you through a few examples. At OT, we have redesigned the way we approach underground development, harnessing data and speeding drawbell construction. This is accelerated production, helping to generate around 80 million in productivity improvements. In the Pilbara, we've generated around 55 million in annual benefits. By removing redundant capacity through stronger system resilience, building on the changes we made to product strategy. And we've delivered around $40 million in annual savings across our Atlantic aluminium operations with a sharpened focus on contractor management. This follows a focused Kaizen looking to remove bottlenecks across all sites. To me, this is what operational excellence looks like in practice. It's not about slogans, it's about thousands of people making better decisions every day. And our results-driven operating model gives us the right structure to maintain that momentum. Our drive to raise performance is unlocking our copper portfolio's potential. And since 2020, we've achieved industry-leading EBITDA growth while maintaining one of the lowest cost positions in the sector. And there is more to come as we target 1 million tonnes of copper by 2030. OT continues to ramp up towards 500,000 tonnes a year, while Kennecott is targeting 40 to 50% production growth. And beyond 2030, we have a compelling pipeline of high-quality opportunities, including both brownfield and greenfield sites. So we have industry leading copper growth today, a clear path to 1 million tonnes by 2030, an exceptional portfolio of options to continue creating value well into the next decade. I've talked about how we're changing the way we work to drive outstanding performance across our assets. Let's look at the power of applying those principles across our full portfolio. We have large, low-cost assets in all the right commodities. Each has exceptional frontline teams with unique abilities. We're a leading low-cost copper producer at scale, the number one global iron ore producer, leading integrated Western aluminium producer, and the best pipeline of Tier 1 lithium options Targeting 200,000 tonnes of capacity by 2028. Together these Tier 1 assets are the engines of our business and they generated around 85% of our product growth EBITDA last year. And as we continue to improve performance, these advantages only strengthen. Let me now go back to the macro and tell you about the markets we operate in. Our portfolio gives us leading exposure among diversified miners to the biggest trends of our Electrification, AI and digital together with traditional demand. Starting with electrification, as you can see, up to 60% of the value of raw materials in an electric vehicle comes from our commodities. Of particular note is the ramp up in battery electric storage, critical for grid firming and managing the power demands of renewables and hyperscalers. And then there's AI and digital. Up to 70% of the value of materials that goes into a data centre comes from our commodities. The scale of investment is extraordinary. Hyperscale CapEx forecasts to reach near US$1 trillion next year. And let's not forget traditional demand. Our commodities account for as much as 65% of the value of materials needed to build a modern office tower in a fast-growing city. As India and the other economies continue to develop, we expect another construction wave as cities grow vertically. So, if you want exposure to the major growth trends of our time, Rio Tinto is the business to own. And the question I ask myself every day, how do we capture even more of the opportunities ahead? The answer is what I've mentioned, driving outstanding performance, having the right assets in the right commodities, and ensuring we allocate capital with discipline because ultimately capital efficiency and discipline is the bedrock of a resource business. We maintain a strong balance sheet with a single A credit rating. Every asset must justify its spot in the portfolio and we rigorously allocate capital to projects that deliver value and returns to our shareholders. World-class projects like Simundu and OT showcase that we can execute AtScale across commodities and across countries. Among our peers and against the wider industry, we've demonstrated leading performance on capital and schedule adherence. We're now reaching an inflection point as those investments start to generate cash. Turning then to cash release, our work to progress opportunities this year to release up to 5 billion of cash from our asset base is advancing. And finally, before I hand to Peter, I want to revisit our interim payout of $3.4 billion. This 43% uplift illustrates how far we've come over the half. It reflects the benefits of the previous investments and it shows our continuing commitment to you, our shareholders, as we continue to build our momentum. Now over to you, Peter.

speaker
Peter Cunningham
CFO

Thanks, Simon. We've delivered a step change in our financial performance this half, supported by stronger commodity markets, particularly copper and aluminium, which now represent almost 60% of our EBITDA. However, this was not just a price story. As Simon mentioned, our productivity program is delivering. We have strong momentum and see substantial opportunity ahead of us. The earnings uplift has translated directly into cash, with free cash flow rising by 75%, and even with our increased capital investments, we were able to reduce net debt during the period. In line with our usual practice at the interims, we're declaring a 50% payout for the dividend, delivering a 43% increase to our shareholders. These results demonstrate that we can deliver growth and shareholder returns at the same time. Let's unpack EBITDA through our standard waterfall. Underlying EBITDA increased 28% to $14.8 billion. The improvement was driven by two distinct sources of value creation. Stronger commodity prices increased underlying EBITDA by $3.6 billion, with $2 billion from copper and $1.3 billion from aluminium. These more than offset the $1.5 billion of external headwinds, namely foreign exchange, inflation and a rise in market-driven prices. Let me just touch on these movements in a bit more detail. It's important to distinguish between those that are persistent, such as general price inflation, and those that are more temporary in nature, such as higher diesel and raw material prices following Middle East supply disruptions. We would expect the latter to reverse over time, and therefore class them as temporary and one-off. Turning to the controllables. These contributed a further $1.2 billion. And as Simon outlined earlier, we have already banked $870 million of productivity benefits. These directly correlate to deliberate management actions to structurally lower our cost base and improve volumes consistent with the full potential of each asset. Each initiative, like the three Simon mentioned earlier, attracts through from inception through to delivery into our financials and built into our guidance. In addition to our productivity programme, our results are also benefiting from our growth investments, with higher copper and gold volumes from the ongoing ramp-up at OT and our Argentinian lithium operations. There were, however, some offsets. Mining performance at Kennecott is expected to recover in the second half as geotechnical management activities conclude and access to planned mining areas is restored. However, following the furnace breach in late June, some metal sales and associated cash flows will shift into 2027 while remediation work is completed. And at IOC, production performance remained challenged by pit and asset health The broader point is that while commodity prices remain important, creating value for shareholders is increasingly within our control. It will be driven by improving operational performance, delivering our growth projects successfully, and maintaining disciplined capital allocation. Let's have a look at the product groups. Copper was the standout. EBITDA increased 84% and free cash flow more than trebled, reflecting stronger pricing and the continued ramp-up of OT. We continue to advance our next wave of growth, reaching key milestones at Resolution and Lagranca, and expect to complete a feasibility study for Winnu around year-end. We delivered an impressive iron ore result, achieving our highest first half Pilbara production since the 2018 record, and benefiting from resilience pricing. Productivity improvements offset exchange rate and diesel price headwinds, and we are on track to deliver full year unit costs within guidance. Simundu is progressing at pace. Construction of the Simfer mine and port is more than three quarters complete, and we're building inventory across the system as we ramp up. The project remains a key source of future volume growth and portfolio value. Aluminium sustained its strong operational resilience. Smelting performed particularly well, which together with stronger markets drove a 31% increase in EBITDA. Our commercial teams continue to navigate the evolving tariff environments. And finally Lithium. Market conditions continue to improve, supported by stronger demand from battery energy storage. And on the growth front, we delivered Phoenix 1B and Salda Vida ahead of schedule. Rincon remains on track and we continue to evaluate our attractive expansion options. Given our strong earnings and cash flow performance, I thought it important to remind you of our capital allocation framework. We expect our cash generation to keep improving as we deliver growth, productivity and cost reductions and we remain on track for a 3% CAGR copper equivalent production uplift to 2030 and a 4% CAGR reduction in unit cost. Our first priority is sustaining replacement and decarbonisation capital which protects our strong cash flow base and strengthens the portfolio. We expect to spend around $7-8 billion a year here. Next, shareholder returns. We've paid out 60% of underlying earnings for 10 years. This provides you with cash flow today, while keeping us disciplined with how we deploy residual capital. As Simon mentioned, we are progressing around $5 billion of cash release opportunities in 2026, with a broader pipeline exceeding $10 billion. These options provide flexibility to further strengthen the balance sheet, invest in value-accreted growth and support shareholder returns. We will remain disciplined, pursuing only those opportunities that create value and align with our capital allocation priorities. In summary, we have a strong platform to deliver industry-leading returns while at the same time investing in growth. Our CapEx guidance is unchanged, up to $11 billion in 2026 and 2027, before a reduction from $2028 to $10 billion in real 25 terms. Sustaining capital is stable at around $4 billion a year. Replacement spend is fundamentally about strengthening the business, extending life and improving cash flows from our assets. Returns are high. We assess the current portfolio as delivering an average of 26% IRR By 2030 our plan includes delivery of a significant step up in Pilbara mine and port capacity including commencing phase 1 of Rose Ridge Secondly the upgrade of our bauxite system in Queensland Thirdly extension of Kennecott beyond 2040 and OT development and lastly the ongoing modernization of our Canadian hydropower plants which support our highly competitive aluminium smelters. Later this decade we will benefit from a significant uplift from the performance of these world-class assets. For gross copper capital, copper dominates our future plans. For now we'll spend about a billion dollars a year on lithium and completing Simundu by the end of 2027. Turning to the balance sheet, we were able to reduce net debt while funding $5 billion of capex and paying the 2025 final dividend of $4.2 billion in the half. The balance sheet is in very good shape and we have options to reduce net debt further. We are committed to our shareholder returns policy and have established a 10-year record of paying at the top of the range. In line with our usual practice at the interims, we're paying out at 50% with a 43% uplift in the absolute dividend given the rise in underlying earnings. So let me leave you with three key messages. First, this has been an outstanding half. With strong operational performance across the portfolio, we captured the benefit of stronger markets while continuing to improve the business. Second, we have real momentum. Productivity, cost reductions and operating performance are translating into the financial results. And third, we have the financial strength to execute. The balance sheet is strong, cash flow generation is robust and our portfolio is weighted towards the commodities where we see the greatest long-term opportunity. That gives us the confidence to invest in disciplined growth and continue delivering attractive returns to shareholders. And now, back to Simon.

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

Thanks Pete and thank you to all for joining us. At Rio we have a leading exposure to the biggest trends of our time. World-class assets in the right commodities, providing volume, resilience and upside. Relentless drive for outstanding performance and we're making the changes we need to our business to make sure everyone goes home safely at the end of each day. At Capital Markets Day I told you there was much more to come. Today you can see momentum and growing confidence in our results. Thank the $870 million in productivity benefits and almost tripling that run rate to $1.8 billion by the end of this year. Advancing our growth projects at pace and paying an interim dividend of $3.4 billion to you, our shareholders. And I'm single-minded about continuing to deliver returns and growth. because that will become the most valued metals and mining business. So thanks for your attention and look forward to your questions.

speaker
Rachel
Moderator

Okay, so now we have around 45 minutes for Q&A. I please ask you to limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. There'll be plenty of time to get through it. Please remember to state your name as you begin. We will start with two here from the audience and then we'll go to those online. So, four.

speaker
Paul Young
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks. It's Paul Young from Goldman Sachs. Simon, Peter, well done on driving the productivity gains in the half. I commend you for that. Can we just talk about the gap between $870 million you've exited at the end of June and the $1.8 billion, the increase there? There's obviously three buckets here. There's OPEX, there's CAPEX, there's some productivity-related costs out as well. So of that billion-dollar increase, How do we actually think about the breakdown of that billion dollar increase?

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

It's important to distinguish between banks and the run rate. So in some businesses where we've got a run rate, We've got to see some of those benefits come through and there's obviously some transition costs as we make the changes that we need to our business. But on the breakdown, do you want to talk to that?

speaker
Peter Cunningham
CFO

Yeah, I mean, Paul, on the slide on our waterfall, we set out that breakdown between costs and volume there. You know, the cost was about the 530 and then the volume was the rest. I mean, this year I expect a very similar breakdown for the full year as we bring that through. But it is very dependent. I mean, this is bottom-up and being driven by the business. So it will change, but that broad profile will continue.

speaker
Paul Young
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, great. And kind of a question on the aluminium business. I know we've got Jerome here. And it really surrounds, you know, what the strategy is and how it fits into the $5 billion to $10 billion of BSC BSC BSC It doesn't seem to come up along conversations around the focus on streamlining this business so I'm just wondering where it fits in as far as simplification and that strategy considering that it appears you're looking to grow the business.

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

So as I moved into the role we had a bit of a step back and really looked across our full business and the commodities we want to be in and you've seen us simplify the business down to the three product groups and the four commodities. and we chose those commodities because we see those as the strongest in terms of growth going forward and reflecting our own position in those assets and so we've got the best aluminium assets in our view in the industry. We've got a list there of ways that we're looking to improve those business, improve the cost position of those business as well as Jerome and his team driving performance within the existing business as an example on the slide today and I would say and earlier this year the whole of Exco went out around the different operations around the world and did a Kaizen and we spent a week in the operations rolling up our sleeves really to underline the importance that we focus. I spent my week with Jerome in the aluminium business and just the system they have embedded for that continuous operational improvement. Applying some of that elsewhere in the group is really liberating some advantages and so we've got a great position across bulk site, alumina and aluminium. The question for us and as you can see from the notes, how do we further strengthen that and build on it given particularly the cap in China and you're seeing some of that snelted capacity start to build elsewhere.

speaker
Rachel
Moderator

James from RBC.

speaker
James
Analyst, RBC

Hi Simon and Peter. The first question is on the resolution copper project. Can you please provide an update on that and what the next steps are for the project and Callas that we should be looking for? Thank you.

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

So the next step for resolution is drilling out the ore body and so we've got rigs on site. We should be inspecting the ore body shortly and that's the next phase of that project is to really characterise the ore body. That'll allow us then to make decisions around what the development path for that looks like. We needed to get the land exchange to be able to get on the ground and do that work and particularly learning from OT. We've got to make sure So we really understand the all body characterisation geotech to make the decisions we need on that project and so that's the thing to watch for as we move through that phase of the study.

speaker
James
Analyst, RBC

Thanks Simon. My follow up question is just on the potential 5-10 billion of asset divestments. Any comment you can make on that please?

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

No, progressing. I mean, you've seen really strong cash generation today. The balance sheet's in good place. And probably refer to my comments around capital discipline and efficiency. The divestment program, 5 to 10 tracking. We'll make decisions about that and make sure that we get full value. And so targeting $5 billion of announcements this year as part of that broader program.

speaker
Rachel
Moderator

Okay, I'd just like to go to the operator, just also to explain for those on the line how to ask a question. Over to you, operator, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you very much. To ask a question, please press star 1 1 on your telephone keypad. So just to repeat that again, if you wish to ask a question on the audio, please press star 1 1 on your phone keypad. Thank you. Back to you.

speaker
Rachel
Moderator

Thank you. I believe we do have one question on the line. If we could go to that next please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Yes, no worries. I'll get to that now. Our first question from the line is Lachlan Shaw from UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Lachlan Shaw
Analyst, UBS

Yeah, morning, Simon, team. Thanks very much and congratulations on a strong first half. I just wanted to start in the Pilbara. So just with the replacement lines, obviously they're progressing on track for first time next year. How should we think about that in terms of characterising the impact on the portfolio FE grade? And then I'll come back with my second question.

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

So the replacement projects are probably similar to the material we've got available to us at this point, Lachlan. The change in the Pilbara is really as we get into Rhodes Ridge. Obviously Rhodes Ridge, significant ore body, as I've said a few times before, we'd love to be in it, mining it today, but in some ways better ahead of us than behind. And so as we get into Rhodes Ridge, that's where some of that better grade material is. Now probably related to your question, the changes we made to product strategy is putting the business in a much stronger position in terms of the flows through that business being able to stabilise and you can see that in the Pilbara unit costs in terms of the work Matt and the team have been able to do.

speaker
Lachlan Shaw
Analyst, UBS

Yeah, great. Thank you. And look, sort of related, and I guess this ties into, you know, the really good work you're doing on productivity, but obviously operating conditions in the Pilbara now are undergoing, you know, a little bit of change. First time in 30-odd years we've got, you know, incremental unionisation coming into more and more sites. How do you think about this, Simon, in terms of your potential to impact operations and How should we think about the ability to manage that and mitigate some of these forces on a short, medium term basis?

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

Thank you. In Australia and any jurisdiction we operate around the world, we obviously operate in accordance with the local terms and conditions. Our focus has been and continues to be how do we best work together with our employees to make sure that we have the conditions. Thank you for joining us today.

speaker
Rachel
Moderator

Thank you Lachlan. We've got one more question online so we'll do the second one before coming back to the room.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Yes, thank you. Just a moment for our next question. Next we have Aidan Moore from CLSA. Please go ahead.

speaker
Aidan Moore
Analyst, CLSA

Good morning. Thank you for taking that question. A few updates in recent weeks around 2.3.2 tariffs in the US. I was interested in how you're thinking about investment into the alley sector off the back of that. How does it change your view on that market? Is it moving the dial at all or what would you need to see to be increasing investment into smelter capacity in the US?

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

Thanks. If I take a comment on trade policy more generally, you have seen over the last few Trudy Cunningham, Jerome Pecresse, Mark Davies, Rachel Arellano, Trudi Charles, I think Jerome working together with commercial has done a fantastic job in terms of being able to move flows around to respond to policy changes and so the impact on the business has been relatively modest but we're certainly mindful of it as we look ahead and really needing to Thank you.

speaker
Rachel
Moderator

Thank you, Aiden. Then over to you, Lyndon.

speaker
Lyndon Fagan
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Thanks. It's Lyndon Fagan, J.P. Morgan. Simon, just wanted to touch on iron ore. So obviously very well run under your management quite recently. And now we've found an extra 400 million of productivity gains. And so I guess I'd just like to unpack what exactly that is.

speaker
Chairman Murray
Chairperson of the Metropolitan Local Aboriginal Land Council

That's my first.

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

So, as I've outlined earlier, across the portfolio, and this is more than 80 initiatives, but really at its heart what it is, is making sure that people on the frontline have the tools, the systems that they need and that accountability really sits in the frontline to make better decisions. I'm sure Iron Ore is better run today and isn't that a good thing? And we're making other changes to the business to really empower and liberate the frontline. So those system flows I talked about in the Pilbara, that's really looking from mine all the way through to port. How do we maximise the efficiency of those And there's no surprise in that because the two are completely correlated. I think Matt and the team have managed to park up something like 80 pieces of kit that we don't need to operate, which obviously flows through to safety, it flows through to cost savings as well, but as an example of when you get your system flows more consistent and stronger, actually you can liberate some capacity. Part of the savings I outlined today is about stopping redundant plant as we choke feed the other plants.

speaker
Lyndon Fagan
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Thanks. Next one I had was on Kennecott. So obviously officially ends in 2032 but work well underway on a life extension. Just wondering what is needed to FID that project and whether you can share some more details about what it looks like beyond 2032.

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

So progressing at pace, we're well into that work and so that decision will be coming In the not too distant future and extend it out into the 2040s and so looking very promising. We've got a bit more work to go in terms of what the co-commitments around that look like. Obviously the de-weighting of the wall and the geotech associated is also supporting what that looks like moving forward.

speaker
Katie McCutcheon
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, good morning, Katie McCutcheon at Bank of America. In the result, we have the new disclosure around the tax dispute in Mongolia from the prior years, and I think we're now up to about 900 mil if you put everything together. How do we think about this moving forward? Obviously, optically, that's not a great place to be. Are there any more decision points to work through or anything you can talk to us about?

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

Some of the changes you've seen announced around Mongolia were embedded as part of that investment decision. Looking at the shareholder loan, it got revisited periodically. I think the thing to take away from it, we continue to engage closely with the Mongolian government and we'll continue to To resolve things that need to be resolved as part of that project and so really happy with the way that project continues to ramp up. It's going to be a fantastic asset for us for many, many decades and we need to make sure that we have strong community support including with the Mongolian government and so we'll continue those discussions as we go forward.

speaker
Peter Cunningham
CFO

Glynne Nix, please.

speaker
Glyn Lawcock
Analyst, Barron Jury

Hi, good morning. It's Glyn Lawcock with Barron Jury. Simon, Peter, I'm pretty sure you chose your words pretty carefully today. You know, Simon, you said significantly more to come post the end of this decade and the 1.8 being cost out, and then Peter said you've got real momentum. Can you maybe try and give us a little bit more insight into what lies beyond 26? You know, I know you've got the 3% volume growth, 4% unit cost reduction, but can you help us think about where this journey gets us to? I know you've reluctantly been, but I'm willing to give some numbers.

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

There's a plethora of numbers today, Glenn. I do always try and use two words carefully. I think you've got to go back to what we're talking about. I mean, as I've tried to articulate today, this isn't just about squeezing budgets or cutting work that we need to do, and that is top of mind. We've thought carefully about and the rest of the team. Trudy Cunningham, Mark Davies, Rachel Arellano What are the requirements or the distinctive characteristics? How do we run businesses within Rio? And that's the work that we've been doing and seeing huge benefits from that. We need to embed that in each and every business. And so the run rate you've seen today we're really confident of through this year. You've seen the money we've already banked. And I'd say there's significantly more to go because sitting behind these numbers and all the projects that are flowing through, some of which you can see in the numbers, some of which are going to flow through in the years ahead. and so on. This is a change in the way that we do our work.

speaker
Glyn Lawcock
Analyst, Barron Jury

Nice side steps Simon. But 1.2 billion this year versus last year is the target there and so can that momentum be sustained, like real momentum to Peter's words, another 1.2 billion the following year or does it start to get harder?

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

The program will mature and so inevitably you start with some of the decisions in front of you. I think for us there's two bits. There is maintaining the momentum on the increase but also making sure Thank you very much.

speaker
Rahul
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Rahul and Morgan Stanley. So I just want to go back perhaps to the copper business. So obviously, Lyndon talked to you a bit about Kennecott. Beyond 2030, Kennecott becomes increasingly important to extend, mainly to have good copper momentum. So I guess my question is in two parts. Firstly, you've had a bit of unpredictability at the outset and Apex is the next one that comes up. Beyond 2030. So in that development, how can you de-risk that to make sure that you have much more predictable production profile? Smelter perhaps needs a bit of work there as well in terms of predictability. But then I guess the second part of the question is, are there brownfield opportunities that the market doesn't see within the portfolio for copper or beyond resolute? Absolutely, because that's not brownfield. Or do you need to solidify that by doing inorganic moves to kind of have a clearer path beyond 2030 in terms of your growth?

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

So the great things about T1 assets is the optionality they provide and it's true in copper and hence We've got the million tonnes by 2030 really building off the ramp up at OT 40 to 50 production growth at KUC. In terms of KUC, I want to start by talking about safety. and the rest of the team. We've had a significant impact on the business and the team and really a moment in that business to reflect on where we were and what we needed to do to make sure that that business operates safely. I think the teams responded well seeing that in underlying performance and they need to build on that. As we look forward to some of the decisions coming at us in the near term, like the APEX extension of life. As I said, that will take it out to 2040. Amazing ore body. We'll certainly look and continue to look for ways we can supplement that. Obviously the underground project as well is progressing. It is a real strategic card for us having a smelter in the US, one of only two

speaker
Rahul
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

In terms of the other brownfields opportunities within any other assets that you'd like to call out, does OT have perhaps flexibility in the mine plan that helps you bring forward a bit of copper? from later years or is there anything you'd like to highlight beyond inorganic opportunities?

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

The focus for OT needs to fairly and squarely be on continuing that ramp up. It's that singular focus and I'll talk about some of the examples today on harnessing data to drive drawbell development. That's flowing through in terms of the ramp up and so that's where the team's primary focus is. We're obviously looking beyond that in terms of what that next sequence of developments looks like. Thank you.

speaker
Rachel
Moderator

Fantastic. Any further questions here in the room? I believe we have no further questions online. Lyndon, second round. We'll go with that for a while. A few more minutes.

speaker
Lyndon Fagan
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

I'll just add one more thing. Just back to resolution, to what extent do you think you'd have to build a smelter as part of that project given the current administration's

speaker
Simon Trott
CEO

So that's one of the things we'll assess as part of the study. We expect that material to be processed in the US. Clearly smelter builds is one of the things we'll consider as part of the assessment of that project. We've got KUC smelter as well and so that's all ahead of us in terms of making a decision on which path to take.

speaker
Rachel
Moderator

Any final question here in the room? Okay. Then thank you all for joining us today. For those online, we conclude our time with you now. And for those here in Sydney, I welcome you back to the room where you entered for a light refreshment with us today. Thank you again. And with that, we conclude the presentation. Thank you.

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