2/12/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good morning and welcome to the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 Pilgrims Pride earnings conference call and webcast. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. At the company's request, this call is being recorded. Please note that the slides referenced during today's call are available for download from the investor section of the company's website at www.pilgrims.com. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Andrew Rajewski, Head of Strategy, Investor Relations and Sustainability for Pilgrims Pride.

speaker
Andrew Rajewski
Head of Strategy, Investor Relations and Sustainability

Andrew Rajewski Good morning and thank you for joining us today as we review our operating and financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 28, 2025. Yesterday afternoon, we issued a press release providing an overview of our financial performance for the quarter and the year, including a reconciliation of any non-GAAP measures we may discuss. A copy of the release is available on our website at ir.pilgrims.com, along with slides for reference. These items have also been filed as Form 8Ks and are available online at sec.gov. Fabio Sandri, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Matt Galvinoni, Chief Finance Officer, will present on today's call. Before we begin our prepared remarks, I would like to remind everyone of our safe harbor disclaimer. Today's call may contain certain forward-looking statements that represent our outlook and current expectations as of the day of this release. Other additional factors not anticipated by management may cause actual results to differ maturely from those projected in these forward-looking statements. Further information concerning these factors have been provided in yesterday's press release of Form 10-K and our regular filings with the SEC. I would now like to turn the call over to Fabio Sandri.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Andy. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. So, for the fiscal year 2025, we established new financial milestones as net revenues reached $18.5 billion and adjusted EBITDA rose to $2.3 billion. Our adjusted EBITDA margin was 12.3%. In the West, consistent execution of our strategies, along with strong chicken demand, bolstered our demand. Demand for our key customers grew significantly over the category average for the year. Our brand building accelerated as the combined retail sales of Just Bear across Fresh and Repair exceeded $1 billion, further diversifying our portfolios and resonating with consumers. Operational excellence efforts improve efficiencies in processing and live operations in Big Bird, mitigating commodity cut-out volatility throughout the year. Given these efforts, the U.S. grew both in top-line and bottom-line. Europe completed several projects to enhance the efficiency of its manufacturing footprint, consolidated back-office support, and optimized mix and innovations. Key customer partnerships strengthened as sales and volume both increased compared to last year. Our portfolio of key brands continue to grow, further diversifying our portfolio. Based on these efforts, margins and overall adjusted EBITDA continue to improve. Max Group grew sales through increased sales volumes of branded offerings across fresh and prepared and growth with key customers, despite commodity pricing volatility. Equally important, we initiated a series of investments in both fresh and prepared to drive profitable growth while reducing the volatility of our business. For the fourth quarter of 2025, we reported net revenues of $4.5 billion. We have adjusted EBITDA of $450 million, and our adjusted EBITDA margin was 9.2%. Our key four results reflect the robust nature of our strategies to drive strong margins during changing market conditions. In the U.S., Fresh increased market share through continued focus on quality, service, and innovation. Our Fresh business improved efficiencies both in plant and live operations. Repair Foods continued to drive category-leading growth across retail and food service, further diversifying our portfolio. Investments to grow our presence in key customers, increase capacity in value-added and enhance operational efficiency, continue to progress as planned. In Europe, we increased overall adjusted EBITDA compared to the same quarter prior year. Our fresh operations drove the majority of the gains through improved productivity and enhanced mix. Key customer demand was stable, while our portfolio of key brands continued to grow. Mexico faced difficult circumstances given increased imports of animal-based proteins, and unbalanced fundamentals in the live market. Our diversified efforts continue to gain traction as branded fresh and prepared offerings both rose compared to last year. Turning to supply, the USDA indicated that ready-to-cook production for the U.S. rose 2.1% year-over-year in 2025, driven by increased headcount, improved live performance, and higher average live weight. Egg sets were higher than 2024, giving a more productive layer flock and record hatchery utilization. Hatchability improved sequentially in Q4 with seasonality and a younger flock, but are still below the five-year average. Cheek placements were higher throughout the entire quarter compared to last year. After peaking in Q3, live weights declined and ended the fourth quarter consistent with prior year levels. Looking forward, USDA reports a 1.9% year-over-year decline in the layer flock in January 2026, alongside a 3.1% drop in pullet placements compared to Q4 of 2024. Given these factors, along with other considerations, the most recent USDA estimates suggest moderate production growth of 1% in 2026 compared to last year. As for overall protein availability, USDA projects growth of 1.5% in 2026, with challenges in the beef production partially compensated by higher beef imports. From a demand standpoint, consumer sentiment remains low, given continued economic uncertainty. Inflation for food at home and away from home continue to impact consumers' available income. Nonetheless, chicken's affordability was exceptionally appealing across channels and categories. In retail, consumers continue to stretch their budgets through more frequent trips with smaller basket sizes. Within the channel, the meat department continues to lead performance as it is remain a key priority for consumers. Chicken experienced volume growth across all cuts versus prior quarter. Boneless, skinless breast prices decreased 1% compared to last quarter, while prices of other proteins rose, especially ground beef that is set in new, all-time highs. As a matter of fact, when compared to two years ago, prices of boneless at retail was reduced by 1.7%, while prices of ground beef have increased 22%. As a result, record pricing spreads emerged, further strengthening demand for chicken. Similar to boneless breast, dark meat from boneless thighs also continued to experience significant growth. increased slightly versus last year as velocity more than offset changes in mix, distribution, and pricing. Consumers also look for convenience, and in the frozen chicken category, we saw significant growth with continued strength in velocity. In food service, rising costs associated with dining out continue to pressure overall restaurant traffic, particularly in the full-service format. However, growth in QSRs and non-commercial channels compensated for these declines, supported by operators' continuous strategic focus on chicken through value offerings, limit-time promotions, and menu innovation. Chicken-centric QSRs are leveraging the protein's affordability to drive traffic and engagement, outperforming the broader dining sector. Within food service, boneless dark meat volumes are growing at double-digit rates, across all segments. Wings are gaining momentum and tenders continue to deliver steady, consistent growth. In exports, industry volumes accelerated during Q4. Within pilgrims, demand was primarily driven from the Southeast Asia and Mexico. Pricing remained high relative to historical levels and continues to be elevated in the first quarter of 2036. While trade disruptions have impacted certain markets given the high-path AI outbreaks, the overall effect has been relatively muted on both pricing and volumes as most U.S. trading partners quickly limit restrictions to either the county or specific zones. As a result, trade simply shifts from other locations outside the impacted area during the restriction period. Moving forward, we expect exports to remain strong and well-diversified across markets. Turning to feed inputs, corn moved marginally higher in Q4 compared to previous quarter. However, prices moderated in January as the U.S. corn realized new records in harvest area, yield, and total supply. While record demand currently exists, Corn ending stocks are still expected to increase to 2.2 billion bushels, creating the highest stock-to-use ratio since 2019. Soybeans and soybean meal rallied in Q4, giving the resumption of U.S. soybean sales to China. Strong domestic interest and export demand for soybean meal. Potential upside appears limited, given favorable weather in South America for soybean production and relatively slow pace of U.S. soybean exports. Since shipments are below average, the USDA anticipates ending stocks will rise by 350 million bushels, up 7% versus prior year. Global soybean stocks and processing capacity are also expected to increase, generating ample supplies of meal. Global wheat stocks continue to be well supplied and production increased by 41 metric tons versus prior year. Every major producer experienced above average crops reducing the risk of physical disruption in shipments. Additional takeaway may emerge from increased wheat acreage planted in the UK. Within the US, our diversified fresh portfolio increased volume compared to the same period last year as consumers continue to seek affordability offerings for their meal occasions across retail and food service. Our higher attribute differentiated offerings in case ready accelerated its marketplace presence, as volumes to key customers increased nearly two times the category. Sales and profitability rose compared to last year from sustained growth. Small birds also realized similar success, as volumes to QSR remain robust, despite the slow market for boning chicken and whole birds. Given continued market shifts to boneless cuts, extensive key customer partnerships, and growth aspirations, we will evaluate and adjust our portfolio to match demand accordingly. In Big Bird, Commodity cutout values fell nearly 20% compared to last year. Nonetheless, the business was able to improve its efficiencies in live operations and in production. Equally important, we further leveraged our position as the leading supplier of NAE meat to support our robust growth or value-added offerings. To that end, Big Bird will continue to increase supplies to our internal prepared foods, reducing volatility and enhancing margins for our portfolios. During the quarter and the beginning of 2026, our team also undertook a variety of projects to strengthen our key customer partnerships and enhance operational excellence, including investments within Big Bird to increase our portioning capacity and differentiated cuts. Through these efforts, our team managed to plan a downtime and adjusted production across locations accordingly to ensure sufficient availability, maintain quality, and uphold service levels. In prepared foods, sales grew 18% compared to the same period last year, giving branded growth across retail and food service. JustBear momentum continues to accelerate market share in retail. It rose nearly 300 basis points compared to the same period last year. Equally important, it has the highest velocity of any brand within the frozen chicken. Further growth opportunities exist through increased distributions. Our innovation and approach to both flavors under the Pilgrims brand also continues to receive accolades, as People's Food Award recognized our cheesy jalapeno nugget line as a category winner. In food service, we continue to build our presence, giving continued growth with distributors, national accounts, and schools. Our investment in a new prepared facility in Georgia to meet demand for our fully cooked offerings remain on schedule. Turning to Europe, consumer sentiment continues to be relative to subdued. Nonetheless, we improved our profitability and maintained stable demand compared to the same period last year, giving consistent execution of our strategies. Within retail, chill meals and fresh offerings were among the fastest-growing categories. As such, our chicken business drove profitable growth, lead by our differentiated Pro3 offerings that select customers. Our added value business remained steady, Whereas pork experienced challenges from excess supply, as animal health issues emerging in Spain, triggering export restrictions in the EU. Despite these challenges, our team maintained volume and increased profitability compared to last year. Our diversification efforts through key brands continue to progress, as overall sales and volumes rose compared to last year. Fridge rate bursts increased share yet again, given the effectiveness of recent changes to pricing and packaging. The momentum for the rollover continues to accelerate from additional distribution with new customers. The Richmond brand was challenged by low-cost private label offerings, but recent investments in promotional and innovation activity have been beneficial in resuming our growth trajectory. We continue to develop our innovation pipeline in close collaboration with our key customers. To that end, we have created a variety of new platforms in chill meals, focused on diet, health, and ethnic offerings. To date, market acceptance has been promising, given incremental distribution awards and consumer interest. In food service, visits fell at QSRs, giving concern regarding affordability. As a result, our volumes were impacted, especially during the late half of the Q4. To reverse this trend, several of our QSR customers reignited promotional activity during 2026. In Mexico, Challenging market circumstances arose in Q4, given increased imports of animal-based protein. As a result, the short-term supply of meat and poultry in Mexico increased to levels not previously experienced. These conditions were further amplified by weakened market fundamentals in the live commodity market, as improved growing conditions increased supply. Nonetheless, we continue to drive our strategies, growing volume in retail, QSRs, and food service channels compared to last year. We also increased volumes by double digit in our fresh branded portfolio versus Q4 of 2024. JustBear continues to be extremely well received as sales have grown more than two times compared to last year. Similarly, repair sales volumes increased by 8% versus last year, led by key customers in food service and QSR. Based on these efforts, we continue to diversify our portfolio and reduce the volatility for our business. Despite these short-term challenges, we continue to have growth ambitions in Mexico, given its long-term growth potential, status as a net importer of animal protein, and effectiveness of our strategies. Our growth plans will further mitigate the volatility of our portfolio, resulting in higher, more resilient earnings profile. We have already begun implementation of our plans. In fresh, our efforts to build domestic supply, create national distribution capabilities, and diversify our geographical presence remain on schedule, with growth in the south region, in Veracruz, and in the peninsula region, in Merida. In prepared, we are doubling our capacity of fully cooked products through the expansion of our facility in Port Veneer. We anticipate our increased capacity coming online during the second quarter, further enabling growth for the second half of the year. Our growth intentions in Mexico are not isolated, and overall prospects for chicken remain strong globally, given relative affordability, emerging trends in consumer preferences, and healthy attributes. As such, our growth investments previously announced in the U.S. can further capitalize on these trends, reinforce our strategies, and strengthen our competitive advantage. Given this environment, our portfolio will also continue to evolve to support key customer growth in fresh, We are converting one of our commodity Big Bird plants to a case-ready plant. We expect this conversion to become operational during the first half of 2026. To support the expansion of Prepare Foods, we will install equipment upgrades, modify our plant layouts in Big Bird, leveraging our internal supply of differentiated NAE portion raw materials. Regardless of these investments, We fully expect to remain consistent in our quality and service levels, giving our extensive network of facilities and overall supply chain capabilities. More importantly, we will have fortified our key customer partnerships and improve operational efficiencies, which will reduce volatility, enhance margins, and drive profitable growth. In sustainability, our journey continues. We've made significant headway, in the reduction of our carbon-based direct and indirect emission intensity used for processing compared to last year. External agencies continue to recognize progress in environmental and social matters as our scores improved compared to last year. Improvements in the team member development continue to be exceptionally well received as over 2,300 team members or their dependents have signed up for our Better Futures program. of which 780 have begun their selected academic pathway. With that, I would like to ask our CFO, Matt Galvanone, to discuss our financial results.

speaker
Matt Galvanone
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Fabio. Good morning, everyone. For the fourth quarter of 2025, net revenues were $4.52 billion versus $4.37 billion a year ago, with adjusted EBITDA $415.1 million and a margin of 9.2% compared to $525.7 million and a 12% margin in Q4 last year. For fiscal year 2025, net revenues were $18.5 billion versus $17.9 billion in fiscal 2024, growth of 3.5%. While increasing adjusted EBITDA by 2.5%, from $2.21 billion in fiscal 2024 to $2.27 billion this year. Back-to-back years with adjusted EBITDA margins greater than 12%. Adjusted EBITDA in the U.S. was Q4 came in at $274.2 million, with adjusted EBITDA margins at 10.6%. Our U.S. business continued its momentum in the quarter in fresh retail and with QSR key customers, driving above-category growth in these categories. Big Bird achieved further operational improvements. However, we faced year-over-year commodity market pricing headwinds negatively impacting profitability. Our prepared foods business continued its momentum of branded products sales growth with both retail and food service customers, driving year-over-year profitability improvement in the quarter. For the fiscal year, U.S. net revenues were $11 billion versus $10.6 billion in fiscal 2024, with adjusted EBITDA of $1.63 billion and a 14.8% margin, compared to $1.56 billion and a 14.7% margin last year. The U.S. business maintained its margin profile through increasing sales volumes and delivering operational efficiency. In Europe, adjusted EBITDA in Q4 was $131.4 million versus $117.1 million in 2024, a 12.2% increase. For the full year, Europe's adjusted EBITDA improved 11.4% to $453.1 million in 2025 from $106.9 million in 2024. Europe drove improved profitability with growth in poultry sales and through the impacts of the series of operating efficiencies implemented over the last few years. Our European business's streamlined organizational structure and focus on innovative offerings has positioned it to partner more efficiently with our key customers in the region. We recognized approximately $31 million of restructuring charges during the year, down from $93 million in 2024. While we continue to pursue efficiency measures, we anticipate the majority of these charges for these programs are behind us. Mexico made $9.5 million in adjusted EBITDA in Q4, compared to $36.9 million last year. When considering the full year, Mexico made $186.7 million in adjusted EBITDA, or an 8.8% margin, falling short of last year's 11.8% margin. Mexico experienced lower market pricing in the fourth quarter, driven by higher availability of imported animal-based protein. Although we did record $77 million in litigation-related settlement charges, our GAAP SG&A expenses in the fourth quarter were lower than last year, primarily due to a decrease in legal settlement expenses and cost efficiencies realized in Europe. For the full year, SG&A expenses were flat to last year, with slightly lower legal settlement costs being offset by higher brand marketing investments. Net interest expense for the year was $110 million. Currently, we forecast our 2026 net interest expense to be between $115 and $125 million. Our full year 2025 effective tax rate was 27.9%. We recorded a discrete tax item in the fourth quarter related to a catch-up for U.S. state unitary taxes, which will not reoccur next year. As such, for 2026, we anticipate our effective tax rate to approximate 25%. We have a strong balance sheet, and we'll continue to emphasize cash flows from operating activities, management of working capital, and disciplined investment in high-return projects. As of the end of the year, our net debt totaled approximately $2.45 billion, with a leverage ratio of less than 1.1 times our last 12 months adjusted EBITDA. Our liquidity position remains very strong. At the end of the fiscal year, we had over $1.8 billion in total cash and available credit. We have no short-term immediate cash requirements, with our bonds maturing between 2031 and 2034, and our U.S. credit facility is not expiring until 2028. We finished the year spending $711 million of CapEx. Included in our 2025 capital spending were the growth projects in Mexico, the Big Bird Plant conversion to support a key retail customer, early progress in our new prepared foods facility in Walker County, Georgia, to support our Just Bear brand growth plan, and other projects that Fabio previously mentioned. The Big Bird Plant conversion and the Mexican projects are on track to be completed by April. Currently, we forecast 2026 CapEx spending to be between $900 and $950 million as we progress through these and the other projects to support prepared foods growth previously noted by Fabio. As mentioned in the past, our sustaining capital spend approximates $400 million per year. We will continue to follow our disciplined approach to capital allocations as we look to profitably grow the company and will continue to align investment priorities with our overall strategies of portfolio diversification, focus on key customers, operational excellence, and commitment to team member health and safety. Operator, this concludes our prepared remarks. Please open the call for questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We will now begin question and answer session. In the interest of allowing equal access, we request that you limit your questions to two, then rejoin the queue for any follow-up. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touchtone phone. If you are using a speaker phone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys to minimize background noise. To withdraw your question, please press star, then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. And your first question today comes from Ben Thurr with Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ben Thurr
Analyst, Barclays

Yeah, good morning, and thanks for taking my question, Fabio Mathis. Two quick ones. So number one, maybe just on the current growing conditions, and you've laid it out in your prepared remarks, what kind of like the cutout levels and pricing is compared to historic levels and particularly versus the last two years. So as we look into the first quarter and with hatchability coming down, How much of that would you say is, like, related to just the genetic issue coming back up, or is it more of the weather-related, just given the cold weather we had over the last couple of weeks, even in areas where chickens are grown? So just about the market dynamics right now and how we should think about the supply side for 1Q.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thank you, Ben. Good morning. Yeah, I want to look at the supply, and we always start with the breeding flock. And when you see the size of the breeding flock, we are with a total number that is down 1.9% year over year. So we have less breeders. But I think in terms of age, they are younger, which will generate more eggs and help on the hatchability. But nonetheless, it's a smaller number. Giving that input and some other factors like the weather and the seasonality, I think USDA is projecting the growth of supplying chicken for the Q1 at only 1.2%. In a total for the year, that will be only 1%. I think the hatchability issue is part of this breed that we have. And there's a lot of questions about breed. And I think the important thing for us is that we look at the overall profitability of the bird, not only one trait or another. So when we look at the profitability of the bird, we look at, of course, hatchability, but we look at conversions and we look at yields. And as of today, this bird, despite having hatchability that is below the five-year or below previous years, it still has the better yield and the better performance in terms of feed conversion than other birds. So I don't expect any significant changes in the breed. Of course, there is always new breeds coming online, but it takes time for the new breeds to roll out.

speaker
Ben Thurr
Analyst, Barclays

Okay, perfect. And then my second question, just around like within capital allocation, obviously CapEx, you've mentioned the 900 to 960 million. That's a good 200 million increase versus last year and kind of like brings us to half a billion investment for the year versus sustaining. So as you kind of like laid the land in terms of these projects, the Big Bird conversion, things in Mexico, prepared foods, what else is in the pipeline? I know you've made some announcements in Mexico a couple of weeks ago. So just help us understand framing that capex for now and also how much of that capex kind of like carries then potentially into 2027 as you roll out more projects, just to think about like the path of CapEx beyond 2026.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Great point. And I think we're always looking for the trends in the market and how can we support our key customers and we can improve our portfolio, right? So, in that regard, we're always looking to grow our prepared foods and I think we mentioned how and we are growing in regions where we are not in Typically in Mexico, we are in the norte region and in the central region. We were not present in the south region and in the peninsula, and they're increasing our investments in those two regions. And that is a smaller, and it's every year as we want to grow steady in those regions. So we'll have some investments in 2027. On the conversion, to increase our support to a key customer. It's going to be all done during this year. And the changes on the internal supply of meat from our big bird to our prepared foods will be all done this year. I think the only thing that you can have for 2027, as we mentioned, we are seeing this trend of change of bone-in small birds to a more boneless. I think we all discussed about the sandwich horse many years I've been discussing that, and we're seeing that trend, and we may convert one small bird plant to a more deboning plant rather than a bone implant.

speaker
Ben Thurr
Analyst, Barclays

Okay, perfect. Thanks, Fabio.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from Peter Galbo with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Peter Galbo
Analyst, Bank of America

Hey, Fabio. Good morning. And, Matt, thanks for taking the question. Fabio, maybe just to pick up on Ben's question on the, I guess, the rally we've seen to start January in commodity prices. Just try to think about, and I know it's a hard crystal ball, but like the sustainability of that given some of it is, you know, the tailwinds to the category and other competing proteins being lower versus kind of the storm impact and maybe that's having an upward pressure on prices. Just how do you think about maybe the sustainability of some of the price move we've seen, you know, into what is going to be, you know, historically and even seasonally stronger period.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thank you, Peter, and good morning. We are seeing several trends supporting the demand for chicken. Starting with overall, we're seeing these macronomic indicators that show that the consumers have been watching their spending closely and have growing concerns about the inflation. So, As the inflation in food away from home is outpacing the food at home, consumers are looking for ways to save, and they are moving to retail. So when we go to the retail, we see that they have more frequent trips and lower baskets. And chicken demand has increased overall because, as we mentioned on the preparing marks, compared to last quarter prices in retail, for boneless breast has gone down 1%, while we see all the other competing protein prices going up. I think that created, as we mentioned, the highest spread on record. If you look at the prices of chicken compared to the prices of beef, we have a spread of close to $2 per pound, and that is increasing the demand for chicken in the retail. When you go to the food service, despite this lower food traffic, I think the food service operators are trying to attract consumers with promotional activity. I just mentioned the sandwich wars. And we're seeing the menu penetration of chicken going up in the food service. So we saw also a growth in the food service in the range of 2% to 3%. So I don't think that we're going to see change in those big trends during 2026. And As I mentioned in terms of supply, USDA, because of the size of the breeding flock and the state where we are in in terms of hatchability and the high utilization on the hatcheries, we are seeing the supply growing only 1%. So I think the trends are very positive, especially for the grilling season.

speaker
Peter Galbo
Analyst, Bank of America

Great. Okay, thanks for that. And, Matt, maybe just a couple of cleanups. If you could help us, I think you gave the interest tax and CapEx, but maybe anything on DNA for the year and then how you're just thinking about the SG&A levels, which continue to be, you know, pretty impressive how we might think about that for 26. Thanks very much, guys.

speaker
Matt Galvanone
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, no problem, Peter. Yeah, good morning. So from a DNA perspective, depreciation and amortization, you know, we're looking to track to about $520 million for the year for 26. You know, 2025 was about $460 million. And then SG&A, you know, what I would tell you is kind of think about it sort of $140 million a quarter. I think that will help kind of get you guys pretty close, you know, maybe just a little north of that for the full year using that $140 a quarter.

speaker
Peter Galbo
Analyst, Bank of America

Awesome. Thanks, Chris.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your next question today comes from Andrew Strelczyk with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ben (for Andrew Strelczyk)
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Hi, good morning. This is Ben covering for Andrew. So I'll start with Mexico. Just if you could dig a little deeper on what happened there during the quarter, and then we're wondering maybe what happens moving forward in the first half of 26. Is the supply-demand situation cleaned up there, or should we expect some lingering pressure, just trying to understand the potential cadence there. Thanks.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, sure. Good morning. And as we've been saying, Mexico can be very volatile quarter over quarter. But on the year, we've always seen growth and very positive results there. In Q4, I think we have a series of events. Q4 typically is a good quarter for Mexico. But during this quarter, we saw some shifts. in the exports market, and Mexico was the most attractive market for especially breast meat from Brazil and other locations, and we saw a significant increase in the exports to Mexico on the breast meat. We also saw a significant increase in pork exports to Mexico, which increased a lot the supply of meat. That impacted more the norte region. At the same time, in the central region, that includes the Mexico City, we saw the growing conditions very favorable for chicken. And after a strong first semester, we saw the supply of chicken increasing in that region. So we have the two regions affected by different aspects. So we saw this increase in supply in the center to impact the live market prices. And because of that, we saw the weaker Q4 than anticipated. That's why we are creating the portfolio they are creating, and we're talking about growing to different regions. So growing in the south region, in Veracruz, and growing in the peninsula, because these areas are more insulated from the north and from the central microdynamics. On the lingering effects, I think we are seeing now the market more into the normal season patterns. We're seeing slowdown in the growing conditions in the center. And we always mention that there are several small players when the profitability is very high in that region, they come to the market. And when the profitability starts going down, they exit that market. And we are seeing that. So we are seeing a more stable supply and demand. And on the Norte as well, we're seeing that all the freezers are completely full in the Norte region, so I don't think that there will be any more increase in the exports to that region. So we see the volatility in Mexico, and that's why we are evolving our portfolio to be a more resilient earnings.

speaker
Ben (for Andrew Strelczyk)
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Got it. Thank you for that color. That's very helpful. And then my last question will be about the EU-UK business. You know, very strong performance during the fourth quarter there, well over 6% operating margin. How much of that was seasonally driven, I guess, is the first part of the question. And then you pointed out in the 10K in particular – strength in domestic demand for fresh products. So if you could kind of tie that into the volume strength and profitability strength in the EU and UK, and just thinking about starting 2026, I mean, if it wasn't seasonally driven in the fourth quarter, would we expect, you know, 6% plus margin to sustain there. So that's my last question.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks. Yeah, thank you. Yeah, there is always seasonality in the UK, especially in the pork operation. But what we are seeing in Europe, and there's no different than other places of the earth, is the strength of the chicken business. So we're seeing the affordability, the availability And also our strategies, and we are resonating with the key customers and consumers with the differentiated offerings. So we are seeing a strengthening in the chicken business in the region. But I think there is seasonality, and Q4 is typically stronger in Europe than other quarters. I think we will see significantly improvements quarter over quarter within this seasonality. So I think we will have a better quarter in Q1 than we have the same year ago in Q1. Although we are seeing some weakness in QSR that started during Q4 because of, again, the prices of specialty beef. Our business in the region on the QSRs were a little bit impacted on the traffic. But we are seeing some promotional activity on those QSRs. We expect an improvement during this Q1. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from Poran Sharma with Stevens. Please go ahead.

speaker
Adam (for Poran Sharma)
Analyst, Stephens

Hey, this is Adam on for Poran. Thanks very much for the question. So obviously, the beef environment continues to be a tailwind for chicken. In our eyes, there's Two big moving pieces there, one, Mexican cattle imports, and two, the pace of heifer retention. Just wanted to get y'all's opinion on how those two factors on the two extremes, slow versus aggressive heifer retention and the resumption or lack of cattle imports could impact chicken demand and therefore broiler margins. Thanks.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think when we look at the retail, and I mentioned that we saw the spreads at the highest number ever, right? And I think this is something that's been growing over time. And I think 2025 and 2026 has been exacerbated by the effects that you just mentioned on the price of the live animals here in the U.S. and some capacity reductions in the beef industry. I think it's very difficult to look at the sensitivity on how much that delta needs to be to trigger trade downs. But I think what we are seeing is that the consumer really impacted in the inflation, especially on the food away from home, and we're seeing all this demand for chicken in the retail. And I think it's the same in the food service, as I mentioned. is a matter of availability because when you look at the USDA expectations for 2026 is for the production of beef going down. So it will depend a lot more on the imports and what type of cuts will come from these imports from South America and other regions. So we don't expect the prices of beef to reduce significantly during 2026, as you mentioned, because of the retention that have started. So I think that could be something that we'll see in 2027. But I think overall, we are seeing a very strong demand for chicken both in retail and food service.

speaker
Adam (for Poran Sharma)
Analyst, Stephens

Thank you. That's helpful. And for my follow-up, I was wondering – I think you touched on it briefly in your prepared remarks, but – If you could just give a brief state of the union of the disease pressure you're seeing, like in Spain. I know we've seen somewhere between 100 to 150 positive cases of ASF in Spain, but yeah, anything else you can add there would be great.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, of course. Our European business has been impacted because of that. I think what we are seeing is the ASF in Spain. Spain is one of the largest producers in the world of pork, and because of the ASF, they've been... banned from exporting to China. Because those exports don't go to China, they end up in the European region, typically in UK. And that is generating a lot of supply, especially in the sausage business. And that is creating some impact in our branded business. Because our Richmond brand is a well-established brand. In UK, when it's competing with this external meat and all this private label sausage, it ends up impacting in prices. And that's why we mentioned that the Richmond brand was facing some challenges during Q4, but we expect some promotional activity. And the resilience of that brand is amazing. We've been growing year over year. So we expect that impact to reduce. Now, How long that is going to continue on the ASF in Spain, and how is that going to impact long-term the UK? I don't think that that is something that we can foresee, but I don't believe that it's going to be a long-term impact, as we are seeing the herd being reduced throughout Europe. Okay, great.

speaker
Adam (for Poran Sharma)
Analyst, Stephens

Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from Leah Jordan with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Leah Jordan
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to go back to your comments about food service in the U.S. You know, you talked about the consumer shifting to retail, which is a head spin for the channel, but you continue to grow nicely. So just seeing if you could provide more detail on the demand you're seeing there, any nuance between QSR versus others. And how much can new business wins continue to offset any broader industry slowdown there, or how do you think about lapping the strength that you've had over the past year in innovation and LTOs?

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thank you, Leah. Yeah, well, again, like I mentioned, the food service traffic is a challenge and has been challenged over the last year, and the food service operator are looking for promotional activity to drive traffic. When you drill down into the segments, what we are seeing is a slowdown in the full-service restaurants, compensated by increases in the non-commercial, especially hospitality, schools, and growth in the national accounts. When you look at the promotional activity, it has been even the known chicken QSRs are doing a lot of promotions with chicken. And we saw the increase in the overall industry close to 3%. So we don't expect that to change during 2036 for the factors that we already mentioned on the availability of lean beef on the burgers and the availability of other proteins and the affordability and versatility of chicken.

speaker
Leah Jordan
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, great. Thank you. And then just for my second question, just wanted to ask about Just Bear a little bit more. You've shown some nice acceleration across prepared foods overall, but Just Bear has been really strong for you with the share gains that it's had. You know, I know we're still waiting on that new plant to open, but how do you think about growth to that brand over the coming year, you know, considering distribution and velocity? And then you think ultimately longer term, how do you think about continuing to increase brand awareness or household penetration there?

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. It's a great point. And I think the brand awareness is still not at the levels of national expansion that we expected. But we are seeing that JustBear is the number one in terms of velocity where we are. And I think that's very important for the retailers. As we are discussing with our key customers, On the distribution side, if you have JustBear in your shelves, you can see that the shelf is turning faster than with any other segment. I think it's innovation which is going to play for us to continue to grow. I think we have a very strong core product, but we can innovate and stretch that brand to some other different being chop and form because it's a whole muscle. today, but there's a lot of opportunities in chop and form. And the Just Bear Grant promise is exactly what the consumer is looking for today, which is a clean label, no additions of antibiotics or any other items that the consumer is looking today at the labels and comparing. And that's why that is resonating so well with the consumer. So it's gains in distribution. because we're still not very national. We went from 1% to 13% market share in a matter of five years, but still have a lot of distribution to gain, and the velocity that will continue because of how that brand and the brand promise is resonating with our consumers.

speaker
Leah Jordan
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from Thomas Henry with Heather Jones Research. Please go ahead.

speaker
Thomas Henry
Analyst, Heather Jones Research

Good morning, folks. Thanks for taking the question. On Europe, could you elaborate on any trends besides the seasonality driving the strong volume performance and any expectations of these continuing into 26? Thank you.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think it's a normal seasonality. We see the the end of the year, a lot of promotion activity in terms of hams and bacon and other kinds. But as a long-term trend, what we are seeing throughout the year is the growth of chicken. That's more important than the seasonality. I think the consumer is facing the same challenges in Europe that they're facing in the United States on the inflation. And when you look at the breakdown of the growth in total grocery, Grocery is growing 4%, but chicken is growing 8-10%. So there is the seasonal effects, and we saw some growth in the fresh pork, close to 5% this quarter, but the long-term trend is more growth in the chicken side. And of course, with the innovations that we are doing, the partnerships that we are doing in Europe on the meals, we're also creating some new lines that are generating great results. The meals are a very affordable way for a family to have their needs. So I think it's something that we're investing together with key customers on differentiating, creating better experiences for our and differentiate in terms of ethnicity for the consumers.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from , with Santander. Please go ahead.

speaker
Santander Analyst
Analyst, Santander

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. Just two quick ones. The first is, where do you see today the capacity of grandparents of shipping in the U.S.? And the second one, if you could talk a bit about the new trade permit of EU towards the Brazilian chicken. and whether this could have any impact on the business there. Thank you.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thank you. On the grandparents, the information we have is the USDA information. When we talk about the size of the breeding flock, it includes the grandparents. And when we look at the number, it is down 1.9%. And that includes the processors and includes the grandparents. So I don't see any or we don't have any information about significant increase in the grandparents' size of that. On the impact of the Mercosur Agreement or the UK, Europe, and Brazil, what we are seeing is the normal continuation of a long-term export from Brazil, which is one of the largest chicken exporters. to Europe, I think Brazil typically export breast meat, and that breast meat goes to the food service. When you look at the UK consumer, they give great value to the provenance. And our chicken business and our pork business in Europe are mainly on the retail side because we are local producers. Because the standards of producing in UK, both chicken and pork are higher than everywhere else in the world. So the consumer pay a premium, and they have this important trait of provenance. So when we look at the impacts of these agreements, it's more on the food service area, and we have a strong food service there that can benefit from cheaper raw material being from Thailand, being from Poland, or being from Brazil. So I think it is a good They win for our food service production in UK. But it doesn't have a big impact on the retail side.

speaker
Santander Analyst
Analyst, Santander

Thank you, Fabio.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And the next question comes from Priya Rai Gupta with Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Priya Rai Gupta
Analyst, Barclays

Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking the question. Matt, for the last two years, the operating cash flow, before looking at changes in working capital, has been pretty consistent, around $1.6 billion or so. Is there any reason that we should think about 26 looking different from that? And then secondly... Just as we think about the working capital piece, you know, what are some of the trends that we should keep in mind as to whether that will be sort of a positive or negative contribution to the cash from operations?

speaker
Matt Galvanone
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks. Thanks, Bria. Good talking to you. Generally, I don't see a major change kind of from your first question, you know, relative to everything. Of course, we are increasing our CapEx spend, you know, intentions here for 2026 versus 2023. by, you know, call it almost $200 million. So that, of course, will come into play. But relative to working capital, I think when you look back to 2024, right, we had a lot of kind of tailwinds for us with the large grain cost decrease in 24 versus 23. You know, of course, things flattened out more in 25. What we really saw there in the inventory side is we had some more purposeful increases in what I'll call width or finished goods because we were able to procure some cheaper breast meat at, you know, kind of opportune times, which increased some of our inventory levels. AR was kind of some of that, I'll call it headwind, was really more just higher sales pricing. So overall, I would say I don't see the repeat on the negative side on the inventory that we saw in 25. Of course, we'll have to watch and see what grain does, but kind of where grain sits today, we feel it should be more flattish. And then we'll just watch and monitor in AR. Hopefully that helps.

speaker
Priya Rai Gupta
Analyst, Barclays

Yeah, that's really helpful. And then just one follow-up on the CapEx piece. So there's a headline just talking about 1.3 billion in investments in Mexico through 2030. So as we think going forward, and I know you gave us a little bit of context into 27, but how should we think about that 1.3 billion specifically related to Mexico? over 26 to 30, if you could give us some directional sense.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thank you. I think that is a long-term vision that we have, just like I mentioned, to grow in regions where we are not and grow our prepared foods. So that includes significant growth in the south region and in the Merida region, as well as the duplication of our prepared food facilities. And in that investment is included also some investments done by growers, to support that growth. So it's not totally from us, but it's because of our projects, and that will help close the gap in Mexico. Mexico is a big importer of meat, and we believe that with our growth in Mexico, we can reduce the need of the imports by 35%, which helps a lot in the food security for the region.

speaker
Priya Rai Gupta
Analyst, Barclays

That's helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Fabio Sandri for any closing remarks.

speaker
Fabio Sandri
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thank you, everyone, for attending today's call. Throughout 2025, we accelerated our performance through a leadership mindset, living our values, and driving our methods. Given our teamwork, we deliver yet another strong year. 2026 started with several weather events that impacted many regions where we operate, and I'd like to thank our team members and extend my deepest appreciation for their efforts every day and their dedication to our company and our communities. Moving forward, we must continue to drive our efforts with an unwavering focus on team members' safety and well-being, product quality, and sustainability. When combined with our strategy and approach, we can achieve our vision to be the best and most respected company in our industry, creating an opportunity for a better future for our team members and their families. Equally important, we initiated the next chapter in our growth journey through investments across all regions. Based on these efforts, we can further drive profitable growth, reduce volatility, and enhance margins throughout our entire portfolio. To that end, I look forward to strengthening our legacy in 2026 and beyond. Thank you all.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The conference call has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-