4/25/2023

speaker
Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the first quarter 2023 Halliburton Company earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising you your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, David Coleman, Senior Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Coleman

Hello, and thank you for joining the Halliburton First Quarter 2023 conference call. We will make the recording of today's webcast available on Halliburton's website after this call. Joining me today are Jeff Miller, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Eric Correa, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Some of today's comments may include forward-looking statements reflecting Halliburton's views about future events. These matters involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to materially differ from our forward-looking statements. These risks are discussed in Halliburton's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, recent current reports on Form 8-K, and other Security and Exchange Commission filings. We undertake no obligation to revise or update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason. Our comments today also include non-GAAP financial measures. Additional details and reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our first quarter earnings release and in the quarterly results and presentations section of our website. Now, I'll turn the call over to Jeff.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. Halliburton's performance in the first quarter, again, demonstrated the earnings power of our strategy, strong competitive position, and execution for our customers. Here are some highlights from the first quarter. Total company revenue increased 33% compared to the first quarter of 2022, with strong activity in both North America and international markets. Operating income grew 91% year over year. Operating margin was 17 percent, a strong start to the year and 530 basis points over the first quarter of last year. International revenue grew 23 percent year-over-year with strong activity in all markets. North America revenue grew 44 percent year-over-year with growth across every basin. The Completion and Production Division posted 20 percent margins, an increase of nearly 700 basis points year over year. The drilling and evaluation division grew revenue 17% year on year, while margins expanded more than 100 basis points. Before we continue, I'd like to recognize the employees of Halliburton for their outstanding execution on every dimension of our business, safety, service quality, and financial results. The work you do each day matters to our customers and shareholders. Thank you. I'll start with a few comments on the macro. Everything I see today validates the strength and duration of this multi-year upcycle. The world requires more energy from all sources, including oil and gas, driven by population growth and economic development. Multiple years of structural underinvestment in oil and gas supply can only be addressed by strong activity over the next several years. The commodity price volatility experienced in the first quarter does not change our view of customer demand and a tight services market. Our customers around the world recognize this, and we expect their spending to grow in 2023 and beyond. Further, we expect much of this investment will be directed towards development activity, which is great for Halliburton as it drives outsized demand for our products and services. My view of this upcycle is confirmed by what I hear from our customers and see in the world's oil and gas markets. The Halliburton outlook for both the current year and the long term is strong. Now, let's start with our performance in the international markets. Our revenue in the first quarter grew 23% compared to the same period of last year, reflecting strong activity in all regions. Halliburton executed its strategy to deliver profitable international growth through leading technology offerings, improved pricing, and disciplined capital allocation. I expect international spending to grow high teens for the year 2023, with most new activity coming from the Middle East, Asia, and Latin America. I am confident in this outlook because we have a strong pipeline of awards that will commence later this year and beyond. Our completion tool order book grew 40% year on year in the first quarter, which generally represents work delivered within the current year. And finally, pricing continues to trend up for all product lines in all regions. I'm excited about all segments of our international business. Today, I'd like to provide more color on our offshore business. We generated nearly 45% of our international revenue in the first quarter from our offshore business. Here are a few examples of differentiated technologies that drive a higher level of performance, service quality, and reliability for our customers. Halliburton's intelligent drilling and logging while drilling platforms, iCruise and iStar, in combination with Logix, our automation platform, delivered the longest reservoir section in a single run for a customer offshore Norway. Our latest wireline imaging technology, Strata Examiner, delivered high-resolution borehole imaging data allowing a customer to increase reserve estimates during a recent exploration campaign in the Mediterranean Sea. Palo Burtin's digital solutions allow our customers to reduce cost per barrel and increase efficiencies. Repsol, and Petrobras all recently selected Halliburton Landmark's DecisionSpace 365 applications powered by iEnergy Cloud. Our trusted science and machine learning algorithms enable customers to optimize subsurface, well construction, and production-related decisions. Cognitus, Halliburton's offshore automated cementing system, delivers cement jobs remotely with minimal human direction and intervention. More than 30 cement jobs were completed this quarter in the North Sea alone. Finally, I'm excited about the progress of our technique FMC Alliance on all electric completions. I believe this technology will over time substantially change the cost and performance of deep water completions and subsea infrastructure. As I look at 2023 and beyond, I am excited about our international business. Our customers are clearly motivated to produce more oil and gas, service capacity is tight, and pricing is increasing. Our differentiated technologies and our execution drive margin improvements and growth across our international business. Turning to North America, as I expected, Halliburton achieved strong results despite volatile commodity prices. We delivered on our strategic priority to maximize value in North America differentiated technology, and alignment with high-quality customers. I know it's on your minds, so let me briefly discuss the natural gas markets. First, I firmly believe that the gas market softness will be solved as 6 billion cubic feet per day of additional LNG export capacity comes online in the next 24 months. Second, in response to market conditions, We are moving three fleets from gas basins to oil basins to satisfy specific customer demands. Finally, we retired one Tier 2 diesel fleet, which will reduce our near-term maintenance costs and accelerate Halliburton's transition to E-Fleets. These actions reduce our gas market exposure by about 30% and maintain financial returns. I reiterate my expectation that North America customer spending will grow at least 15% in 2023. At today's oil prices, I believe that our customers will execute their activity plans and the market for highly efficient equipment and quality services will remain tight. Our strategy is to maximize value in North America. Let me be crystal clear about what that looks like. we improve the performance and utilization of our existing fleet, and we align with high-quality customers who value our operational efficiency and consistent execution. Here's what the customers are telling me. Halliburton's performance is different, not only better than your competitors, but even better than your own past performance. Our step change in performance, safety, and operational efficiency comes from our investments in new technologies, crew training, and process improvements. As a result, today we see a 60% improvement in pumping utilization across our entire North America land fleet since 2019. Second, we only deploy service capacity to attractive return opportunities. We are always finding ways to improve average fleet returns. We invest in differentiated products and services that improve margins and asset velocity. Our patented Zeus E-Fleet and Smart Fleet are examples. They maximize asset values for our customers and structurally improve returns for Halliburton. Our Zeus E-Fleets continue to outperform for our customers, and Smart Fleet adoption is accelerating. We delivered about six times more Smart Fleet stages in the first quarter than a year ago. Halliburton's position and outlook in North America is strengthened by the uptake and contract duration of our E-Fleets. The contracting structure for E-Fleets, which we only deploy on multi-year contracts and our technology roadmap for the future, creates structural strength in Halliburton's North America business. Halliburton's E-Fleet technology is proven to deliver better performance, lower total cost of ownership, and increased operating efficiency. For customers with the mandate to produce barrels over the long term and maximize the value of their investment dollars, the attraction to E-Fleets is self-evident. To summarize, I believe Halliburton is uniquely positioned to deliver financial outperformance. Our strong execution culture, differentiated technology portfolio, and collaborative approach with customers give us a strong competitive advantage. I am confident that we will execute our strategic priorities and deliver shareholder returns by maximizing value in North America, delivering profitable international growth, and driving capital efficiency. Before I turn it over to Eric, I'd like to leave you with two financial points. First, given my outlook, I expect the execution of our strategy will deliver significant and growing free cash flow. While our previously announced capital return framework provides a minimum of 50% free cash flow back to shareholders, it also gives us the flexibility to return more cash to shareholders in the form of share buybacks. Everything I see today points towards more cash to shareholders. Now, I'll turn the call over to Eric to provide more details on our financial results. Eric?

speaker
David

Thank you, Jeff, and good morning. Let me begin with a summary of our first quarter results. Total company revenue for the quarter was $5.7 billion, a 33% increase over the first quarter of last year, while operating income was $977 million, an increase of 91% year over year. Operating margin for the company was 17.2% in the first quarter, which is an increase of 530 basis points over the first quarter of 2022. These results were primarily driven by increased global activity, improved pricing, and strong seasonal product and software sales. Our first quarter reported net income per diluted share was 72 cents, which more than doubled from the same period last year. Beginning with our completion and production division, Revenue in the first quarter was $3.4 billion, a 45% increase when compared to the first quarter of 2022, while operating income was $666 million, an increase of 125% when compared to the first quarter of 2022. CNP delivered an operating income margin of 20%, driven by increased activity, improved pricing, and service efficiency in North America. In our drilling and evaluation division, revenue in the first quarter was $2.3 billion, an increase of 17% when compared to the first quarter of 2022, while operating income was $369 million, an increase of 26% when compared to the first quarter of 2022. D&E delivered an operating income margins of 16%, driven by strong wireline, testing, and drilling-related services globally, and an uptick in international activity. Now, let's move on to geographic results. Our first quarter international revenue increased 23% year-over-year due to solid product sales, activity increases, and pricing gains across multiple product lines. In North America, revenue in the first quarter was $2.8 billion, a 44% increase when compared to the first quarter of 2022. This increase was primarily driven by increased stimulation activity and efficiencies, higher activity across our well construction product lines in North America land, as well as higher activity across multiple product lines in the Gulf of Mexico. Latin America revenue in the first quarter was $915 million, a 40 percent increase when compared to the first quarter of 2022 due to increased well construction services and stimulation activity in Mexico and Argentina and higher completion tool sales across the region. Europe-Africa revenue in the first quarter was $662 million, a 2% decrease when compared to the first quarter of 2022 as a result of the sale of our Russian operations, along with decreased activity across multiple product service lines in Norway. This decrease was partially offset by increased well construction services and stimulation activity throughout Africa. Middle East Asia revenue in the first quarter was $1.3 billion, a 30% increase when compared to the first quarter of 2022, primarily due to improved activity across multiple product service lines in Saudi Arabia, higher completion tool sales, improved well construction services, and increased project management activity across the region. Now I'd like to cover some additional financial items. In the first quarter, our corporate and other expenses were $58 million. For the second quarter, we expect our corporate expenses to be up about $5 million. Net interest expense for the quarter was $79 million. For the second quarter, we expect this expense to be about flat. Other net expense for the quarter was $69 million, primarily related to unfavorable foreign exchange movements. For the second quarter, we expect this expense to decline approximately $15 million. Our effective tax rate for the first quarter came in at approximately 21%. Based on our anticipated geographic earnings mix, we expect our second quarter effective tax rate to increase about 50 basis points. Capital expenditure for the first quarter were $268 million. We anticipate that our remaining capital expenditures will increase quarter over quarter into the end of the year, and total capital expenditures to be approximately 6% of our revenue for the full year. Our first quarter cash flow from operations was $122 million, and free cash flow was a use of $105 million. These results were primarily driven by seasonal investments in working capital. As is typical for our business, we anticipate our cash flow will be back-end loaded for the year. We expect to generate strong free cash flow for the rest of 2023. As a step toward achieving Halliburton's capital return policy of returning at least 50% of annual free cash flow to shareholders, we repurchased approximately $100 million of common stock during the first quarter. Finally, turning to our near-term operational outlook, let me provide you with some comments on how we see the second quarter unfolding. In our drilling and evaluation division, we expect the seasonal revenue decline in software sales to be partially offset by further improvements in global drilling activity. As a result, we anticipate sequential D&E revenue to increase low to mid single digits and margins to decline 50 to 100 basis points. In the completion and production division, we anticipate sequential revenue to increase low to mid single digit and margins to improve 25 to 75 basis points. I will now turn the call back to Jeff.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thanks, Eric. Let me summarize our discussion today. Halliburton's performance in the first quarter demonstrated the earnings power of our strategy. My outlook for Halliburton is strong. I expect international year-on-year growth in the high teens and North America growth in excess of 15%. And finally, everything I see today points towards more cash to shareholders. And now, let's open it up for questions.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 1 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. To withdraw your question, press star 1 1 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Dave Anderson with Barclays. Your line is open.

speaker
Dave Anderson

Great. Thanks. Good morning, Jeff. How are you? Morning, Dave.

speaker
Jeff

So let's just get right into it. Despite the strong numbers you put up in North America this quarter and the guy for second quarter, which kind of firmed up everything. The bear case has been this has been heating up during the quarter with the recount softening a bit. EMT is suggesting pricing is poised to come down. On the other hand, we're hearing from you, other service companies, that you don't see this slowdown. In fact, prices continue to rise. So I wonder if you'd help us sort out the disconnect here. Does the difference lie in the customer mix? I know you highlighted the gas market, particularly the differentiation of equipment. Just a lot of rhetoric keyed up during the quarter. I'm just wondering how we should be thinking about your U.S. land activity and the pricing trend in the second half. Thanks.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, well, thanks, Dave. Look, prices aren't moving down. And I think from our comments, I've told you what we've done and what we plan to do. You know, overall margin improvement comes from, you know, structurally bifurcated market, as you described, demand for high quality services are very much in demand, and hard to deliver. And quite frankly, the cost of frac hasn't changed. I mean, the engines are moving up the you know, they're still inherent inflation in the frac business today. There's not a connection there. As I look out at the rest of the year, we continue to improve the earnings power of our fleet through bifurcation, delivery of E-fleets, retirement of equipment that needs to be retired. Be clear, not stacked, but retired. Then finally, efficiency and you know, sort of repositioning around better pricing.

speaker
Jeff

But pricing, in your mind, continues to move higher. And I would assume that pricing from last year is still continuing to roll through your fleets?

speaker
spk03

I would say on average, yes.

speaker
Jeff

And if I could just shift gears over on the international side, your Middle East business doesn't get a ton of credit on the street, despite actually being just as big as one of your bigger peers on a relative sense. I was wondering if you could talk about how you see the pace of activity progressing this year in the Middle East. Are you still ramping up on contracts? I think you had kind of alluded to that in your prepared remarks. But what is your outlook on tenders in the Middle East this year? And I guess finally, should we expect to see a lift in D&E margins next year based upon what you're seeing in pricing activity levels this year in the Middle East?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, look, pricing is improving, and I would expect B&E margins to improve along with that. I would still argue early innings of activity increase in the Middle East. So I'm pleased with our growth, so thank you for pointing that out. But I see this continuing. You know, rig counts aren't necessarily at near peak. I think we've got a lot of opportunity to continue to run. And then broadly international, it's beyond the Middle East. Pleased with the growth that we saw in the first quarter. And just a reminder to everyone that in Q1 of 22, Russia was 2% of our business. And so that's really pretty strong growth.

speaker
Jeff

Absolutely.

speaker
Operator

Okay. Thank you, John.

speaker
John

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. We have a question from Arun Jalraman at J.P. Morgan.

speaker
Arun Jalraman

Yeah, good morning, Jeff. Just digesting service prints and outlooks thus far, we are seeing or observing more resilient conditions in U.S. frac versus drilling. I wanted to get your thoughts on why do you think this is the case and how do you see things playing out in terms of your drilling-related segments at Sperry and North America over the balance of the year?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, look, I think Wells drilled in North America are really a function of duct count. As the ducts get drawn down, more wells have to be drilled. I think fluctuation in drilling, it's interesting that you see fluctuation in drilling, but a very steady march in terms of frac. I think some of that is managing cost at the margin, but the fact is they don't produce more without fracking wells. I'm not surprised to see that. I think our D&E business in North America remains strong. You know, confident in what we're seeing there. We continue to sort of make gains in the drilling part of the business, and I would say the other service lines are very strong.

speaker
Arun Jalraman

Great, great. And just my follow-up, Jeff, you mentioned that you have some sort of relationship with FTI on the electric side. I was wondering if you could maybe give us some more details about on that partnership?

speaker
Jeff Miller

This is an opportunity to mine what the two companies really do well. There are particularly areas where we overlap and we're taking advantage of that. We've been working on a series of things and one of which is all electric completions for about five years. We just signed up for another five years with TFMC. great partner in this area. What we deliver ultimately will be, I think, a revolutionary all-electric solution that really only it takes the two of us to solve for. It's not the bulk of either one of our businesses, but the fact is in this narrow space, we bring some really unique synergies and opportunity to develop technology. And so, Very pleased with the relationship and the progress that we're making up to and including. We're jointly marketing and selling some solutions today.

speaker
spk26

Great. Thanks a lot.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from James West with Evercore ISI. Your line is open.

speaker
James West

Hey, good morning, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff

Morning, James.

speaker
James

So, Jeff, I know you spend, gosh, probably 60-plus percent of your time on the road seeing customers and a lot of that, the majority of that internationally. Could you maybe describe the customer conversations at this point, where they are with their sense of urgency, where the pushback is, if any, with pricing, or is there more concern about availability? It's kind of how we're thinking about the cycle as it takes off. from here and just curious to hear what you're hearing on the ground.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thanks, James. The discussion is more around availability than anything else, whether it's services that we provide, capital, more importantly, availability of tools and people. And a lot of the planning, we're even doing planning today, I mean deep planning today for 24 activity that we expect to ramp up. And so there's enough concern around availability in 24 that significant resources are committed now to solving for that. So I've got a lot of confidence in the runway internationally and the amount of work that we've won.

speaker
James

Okay, that's great to hear. And then on North America, the 15% plus growth that you're anticipating and forecasting for this year, is there how much, I guess, could you describe how much of that you think is just kind of the pure inflation in the market, whether it's, you know, rig rates or fracture rate costs, that kind of stuff, versus, you know, rig count or, I guess, activity-led growth?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, James, it's... You know, I think it's a combination of the two, and certainly the more activity you have, the more sort of inflation type you see. But if I just sort of look back to look forward, if I take last year, 5% production growth last year, year on year, translated into about 50% revenue growth for us. I know in 23, the outlook's for, let's say, 3%. uh production growth and i think published estimates at least today around operator capex or 17 or so um you know i think it says a couple of things number one producing oil doesn't get easier i mean it demands more of our services uh and higher quality services and so i'm confident that you know we're going to maximize value in north america and i think that that combination of activity and And price is what delivers the north of 15%. Okay.

speaker
James

Got it. Thanks, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thank you.

speaker
Jeff

Our next question comes from Roger Reed with Wells Fargo.

speaker
Operator

Your line is open.

speaker
spk30

Yeah, thanks. Good morning. And congrats on the quarter there. Just a couple things to follow up on, Jeff. Your comment in the opening about 45% of your international coming from offshore and obviously talking a little bit about planning for 24, which greater visibility on offshore a lot of times than others. I was just curious how you see that potentially changing. Does it increase as a percentage of mix and how should we think about that in terms of you know, enhanced visibility, top-line growth, and maybe margin expansion.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, thanks. Look, I'm pleased with the growth on a percentage basis of our position in offshore, the amount of offshore work that we're doing. Look, I think it continues to grow, and I expect our position as we continue to bring out the types of technologies I talked about continue to help drive our growth in offshore work. And so we are levered heavily to offshore, and this is all service lines are levered to offshore. And I think that as we see that business grow, I expect, yes, it does translate into top-line growth and margin growth. And I think that what's clear, though, also is that it's higher service intensity, but it also requires more equipment to do offshore work. So it has to a bit of a double effect in terms of growing revenues and margins, but it also tightens up the rest of the business by virtue of consuming backup tools and additional shifts of people. And so as offshore grows, that has a tightening effect really on everything, which again helps to drive better margins and better growth.

speaker
spk30

Okay. And then mine-related follow-up on that, you mentioned the smart frack had picked up quite a bit in the U.S. I think it was up six times roughly versus a year ago. Any thoughts for what that growth rate is going forward, and should we anticipate sort of any change in terms of margins as that goes forward, positive, negative, or unchanged?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, look, I think that that growth continues at sort of that pace. This is one of those solutions that is very affordable and scalable and provides important data to operators, particularly as the focus becomes productivity per foot. And so this is really the best way, maybe the only way, to meaningfully measure where the sand goes. And as a result of that, that's the building block of what produces more oil. What's better complexity? Where's the sand? What's the most efficient solution? And so I expect that continues to grow at a very fast pace. And we've continued to introduce more technology around that solution so that it's easier to deploy. And ultimately, this is one of those things that our target is to be the most efficient solution in the marketplace. And as it scales, it becomes more valuable to us. And in my view, it's a very sticky solution because it's one of those things that once you have that data and it becomes part of a working process, then it becomes very sticky over time.

speaker
spk22

Understood. Thank you.

speaker
spk13

Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff

One moment.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

speaker
Neil Mehta

Good morning, Jeff. Good morning, team. First question is about the comments about moving three frac fleets from gas to oil basins. Can you talk about whether you see more potential for this to happen? What are some of the switching costs associated with that? And is this the beginning of a greater trend?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Well, look, I think what we demonstrated is that's what we're going to do. Clearly, gas economics are challenged today, and I don't think it's something that service prices solve. And so I think gas is incredibly important, and I expect that it continues and even gets stronger as we build into the LNG capacity that gets built here in the U.S. Along the way, we see opportunities for unmet demand in oil, and we've made the moves we described. We also want to accelerate our E-Fleet as a percentage of our overall fleet, which requires that we retire fleets along the way. From our perspective, that is the path that we take. It's gas operators are continuing to operate and they are working and really to that end actually just placed an E-Fleet into the gas basin with an operator. So there's clearly an outlook that gas recovers.

speaker
Neil Mehta

Jeff, can you talk about the return of capital comments? You had mentioned you could see a scenario where you go in excess of the 50% of free cash flow back to shareholders. Talk about how you're thinking about using the buyback as a tool to create value.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Well, as I described, our outlook is strong. I expect we generate a lot of free cash flow. And yes, I believe that as we do that, we'll be able to return more cash to shareholders. And so we took a step in Q1, but obviously the ability to you know, to flex there is going to be with share buybacks.

speaker
spk10

Thanks, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff

One moment. We have a question from Scott Gruber from Citi.

speaker
Operator

Your line is open.

speaker
spk18

Yes, good morning. Just want to stay on that same line of inquiry. You know, given the appetite to go above the 50% threshold, Jeff, is there an appetite to pursue buybacks with vigor here near term, you know, when the stock is quite attractively priced, or do you wait until the cash flow is you know, show up later this year and risk buying at a higher price. It's a fundamental state tight, as you can see.

speaker
David

Yes, Scott, it's Eric. So generally speaking, how we think about cash returns today is, I mean, obviously, we just raised the dividend. We intend to continue to do

speaker
Scott

you know, small bolt-on acquisition, technology-driven tap acquisition, continue to chip at the debt as well as we go along. But clearly today, the bias is towards increasing buyback as we go through the year. So, yes, directionally, that's correct.

speaker
spk18

Got it. And then an unrelated follow-up, you know, I'm just looking at your year-on-year incrementals in D&E, and they appear quite strong. And I would guess, you know, this is largely driven by operating leverage and mix around offshore and technology, just, you know, given previous commentary. And I would guess pricing is less impactful today at this juncture with potentially more of a price contribution in the years ahead. Is that a fair assessment or is pricing having a significant impact here already in 2Q if you look year on year at D&E margins?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Well, pricing certainly has improved year on year, but I think more importantly is the depth of the technology that we're introducing and sort of the duration. And I don't want to get away from that. It's not a point in time. I think we've got pricing improving, but at the same time, we've got substantial capital efficiency happening also in terms of the technology. So the we've been pretty clear about the technology that we are investing in is driving capital efficiency, which means that we capture more of the value in cash flow over time. And so I would expect to see the margin improvement that you saw this quarter year on year to continue in terms of incrementals. And I say it that way, I've always said that our expectation is that we stack improvement each quarter in terms of margins in D&E, and expect that to continue to happen. Obviously, there's some intra-year cyclicality, but I think the key is if we look at each year by quarter, then we ought to be stacking improvements quarter on quarter, and I think we've got a long runway ahead of us in D&E.

speaker
spk18

But it does sound like it's more of the kind of structural investments you made around technology and and driving your asset turns and mix more than pricing today. Is that fair, Jeff?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, I think that is reasonable to say. Yeah.

speaker
James

Okay. Got it. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thanks. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff

One moment.

speaker
Operator

We have a question from Chase Mulvhill with Bank of America, Maryland. Your line is open.

speaker
spk25

Hey, good morning, everyone. Good morning, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff

Good morning, Eric. I guess maybe if we can kind of hit on free cash flow. You know, if we think about your outlook, you know, your North America outlook was maintained, and it looks like you kind of bumped up your international outlook. So I'm guessing that it would probably, you know, imply a bump to your free cash flow outlook. I think last quarter you said free cash flow should grow at least 20%. which seemed conservative when you gave it. So with a better international outlook and still maintain North America, any updates on how we should be thinking about 23 free cash flow?

speaker
David

Yes, Chase, it's Eric. So directionally, as you said, we're very confident in the outlook of the business, the kind of profile of free cash flow. Typically, we're going to start generating meaningful free cash flow in Q2 and in H2 as we're done with the buildup of working capital we did in Q1. And directionally, you're right, our outlook right now is more north of 30% than it was 20% in Q1. So, yes, we're revising our projections up. Okay, awesome.

speaker
Jeff

And then unrelated follow-up, you highlighted a lot of digital wins in your press release and also in your prepared remarks today. So question around this, are you starting to see more digital adoption by your customers? And if so, what's been the catalyst for accelerated adoption? And I'm going to give this one a try. And any chance that you could speak to how material digital revenues are today for Halliburton?

speaker
Jeff Miller

I think the adoption is going to always be around business cases and what creates value for customers. I think the idea that we're just going to go digital has started and stopped because it was proven unsuccessful. What we see is now more meaningful adoption around real solutions, software solutions, and automation solutions. It is a big business, but it's one that's spread throughout the business as well. We tend to think about it in two buckets. We tend to think about it as software is one activity and automation as another. Both are generated from the same technical capacity. By that I mean the capacity to do software at scale, a lot of that resident and landmark, the software business sort of being one thing, and then the automation, which is many of the same tools maybe applied differently throughout the rest of the business. And it has a meaningful effect on our performance, our margin outlook. It's going to have – it will continue to do that, you know, even in our – Offshore in the drilling business in terms of automation of what the drilling tools can do, and probably equally onshore North America in terms of what we can do with frac fleets from a maintenance and performance standpoint. It's not something we necessarily advertise, but it's very inherent in the type of performance and efficiency that we see today.

speaker
spk16

Okay, perfect. Appreciate the answers. I'll turn it back over.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yep, thank you.

speaker
spk13

Thanks, Chase.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Luke Limone with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

speaker
Luke Limone

Hey, good morning, Jeff, Eric. Hey, Luke. Hey, Jeff, you raised your international growth outlook this year from at least mid-teens to high-teens. Can you unpack this a little bit and maybe just talk about what's changed, what's accelerating, and what you have more confidence in?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, I think I have more confidence in Well, really three things. One, the indicators that we're looking at, things like completion tool order book, which has grown meaningfully, and that all focuses on this year. I would say pricing sort of improvement that we're seeing. Pricing and tightness around equipment around the world internationally is another meaningful one. And then finally, just we're winning awards and we're growing. We're selective about the awards we're winning. Again, our strategy is profitable international growth, emphasizing the profit part of that statement. But at the same time, we are seeing success and we're seeing success in a lot of different markets. And so because of that, we see a path to sort of high teams.

speaker
Luke Limone

Got it, good deal. And then maybe on the geomarket, you touched on the Middle East script earlier, but could you expand on what you're seeing in Asia and Latin America for the balance of the year?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, I'm seeing Asia again pick up, particularly in terms of development type work, which is obviously right there in our wheelhouse. And then also in Latin America, Clearly, we see activity growth in Brazil. But really, throughout the region, we see the imperative to produce more oil and gas. And clearly, oil and gas is an important part of the economies of Latin America. And so there's a lot of motivation to be more effective and to deliver more oil and gas, partly for economic reasons and for tax revenues. But I think I'm really encouraged by what we see.

speaker
Luke Limone

All right. Great. Thanks, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff

One moment for our next question.

speaker
Operator

We have a question from Steven Dengaro with Stifo. Your line is open.

speaker
Steven Dengaro

Thanks. Good morning, everybody.

speaker
spk24

Good morning, Steven.

speaker
Steven Dengaro

So curious, when we look at the U.S. pressure pumping world, you know, a lot of the competitors have expanded services at the well site. I'm going through all things from vertical integration to well site integration. How are you seeing it from your eyes as far as how it impacts how, how it impacts pricing and your profitability in the business at the well site?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Well, we view all of this very strategically in the sense of looking at returns, long-term returns, and where we create value in terms of competitive advantage. Vertical integration, for the sake of vertical integration, in my view, is not necessarily creating more value. What we're doing in the frack space, and really in every business that we're in, is focus on where do we create technical differentiation, so what creates competitive advantage for Halliburton. When I think about what we've done with electric fleets, what we've done with smart fleet, really meaningful things. The inputs to the business are the inputs to the business, and those are maybe good businesses for others, but they aren't places where we create competitive advantage. For that reason, You know, it's not just how much volume can we capture around the wellbore. It's really where can we capture volume and create competitive advantage. And so I like where we are in our approach to it.

speaker
Steven Dengaro

Thanks. And then just as a quick follow-up, are you seeing tightness in sand? And is that a profit center for you? And any material movements in that, you know, over the last couple quarters?

speaker
Jeff Miller

No, not a lot of movement in the last few quarters. Again, I view it like all inputs to our business. It's going to fluctuate at different times, different levels. There's a lot of sand in the world, and it's quite available. I don't view that as a long-term impediment to anything that we're trying to do, just given the you know, availability and really how to go about producing it.

speaker
Steven Dengaro

Excellent. Thank you for the color.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. And that's all the time we have for questions. I'd like to turn the call back to Mr. Jeff Miller for any closing remarks.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yes. Thank you. Um, and thank you all for participating in today's call. Uh, let me close out the call with just a couple of comments. Uh, First, Halliburton's performance in the first quarter demonstrated the earnings power of our strategy. And then secondly, my outlook for Halliburton is strong, and everything I see today points towards more cash to shareholders. I look forward to speaking with you next quarter. Let's close out the call. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

This concludes today's conference call.

speaker
Jeff

Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Thank you. Thank you. you Bye. music music

speaker
Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the first quarter 2023 Halliburton Company earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising you your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, David Coleman, Senior Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Coleman

Hello, and thank you for joining the Halliburton First Quarter 2023 conference call. We will make the recording of today's webcast available on Halliburton's website after this call. Joining me today are Jeff Miller, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Eric Correa, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Some of today's comments may include forward-looking statements reflecting Halliburton's views about future events. These matters involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to materially differ from our forward-looking statements. These risks are discussed in Halliburton's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, recent current reports on Form 8-K, and other Security and Exchange Commission filings. We undertake no obligation to revise or update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason. Our comments today also include non-GAAP financial measures. Additional details and reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our first quarter earnings release and in the quarterly results and presentations section of our website. Now, I'll turn the call over to Jeff. Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Halliburton's performance in the first quarter, again, demonstrated the earnings power of our strategy, strong competitive position, and execution for our customers. Here are some highlights from the first quarter. Total company revenue increased 33% compared to the first quarter of 2022, with strong activity in both North America and international markets. Operating income grew 91% year-over-year, Operating margin was 17 percent, a strong start to the year and 530 basis points over the first quarter of last year. International revenue grew 23 percent year-over-year with strong activity in all markets. North America revenue grew 44 percent year-over-year with growth across every basin. The Completion and Production Division posted 20 percent margins, an increase of nearly 700 basis points year over year. The drilling and evaluation division grew revenue 17% year on year, while margins expanded more than 100 basis points. Before we continue, I'd like to recognize the employees of Halliburton for their outstanding execution on every dimension of our business, safety, service quality, and financial results. The work you do each day matters to our customers and shareholders. Thank you. I'll start with a few comments on the macro. Everything I see today validates the strength and duration of this multi-year upcycle. The world requires more energy from all sources, including oil and gas, driven by population growth and economic development. Multiple years of structural underinvestment in oil and gas supply can only be addressed by strong activity over the next several years. The commodity price volatility experienced in the first quarter does not change our view of customer demand and a tight services market. Our customers around the world recognize this, and we expect their spending to grow in 2023 and beyond. Further, we expect much of this investment will be directed towards development activity, which is great for Halliburton as it drives outsized demand for our products and services. My view of this upcycle is confirmed by what I hear from our customers and see in the world's oil and gas markets. The Halliburton outlook for both the current year and the long term is strong. Now, let's start with our performance in the international markets. Our revenue in the first quarter grew 23% compared to the same period of last year, reflecting strong activity in all regions. Halliburton executed its strategy to deliver profitable international growth through leading technology offerings, improved pricing, and disciplined capital allocation. I expect international spending to grow high teens for the year 2023, with most new activity coming from the Middle East, Asia, and Latin America. I am confident in this outlook because we have a strong pipeline of awards that will commence later this year and beyond. Our completion tool order book grew 40% year on year in the first quarter, which generally represents work delivered within the current year. And finally, pricing continues to trend up for all product lines in all regions. I'm excited about all segments of our international business. Today, I'd like to provide more color on our offshore business. We generated nearly 45% of our international revenue in the first quarter from our offshore business. Here are a few examples of differentiated technologies that drive a higher level of performance, service quality, and reliability for our customers. Halliburton's intelligent drilling and logging while drilling platforms, iCruise and iStar, in combination with Logix, our automation platform, delivered the longest reservoir section in a single run for a customer offshore Norway. Our latest wireline imaging technology, Strata Examiner, delivered high-resolution borehole imaging data allowing a customer to increase reserve estimates during a recent exploration campaign in the Mediterranean Sea. Halliburton's digital solutions allow our customers to reduce cost per barrel and increase efficiencies. Repsol, and Petrobras all recently selected Halliburton Landmark's Decision Space 365 applications powered by iEnergy Cloud. Our trusted science and machine learning algorithms enable customers to optimize subsurface, well construction, and production-related decisions. Cognitus, Halliburton's offshore automated cementing system, delivers cement jobs remotely with minimal human direction and intervention. More than 30 cement jobs were completed this quarter in the North Sea alone. Finally, I'm excited about the progress of our Technip FMC Alliance on all electric completions. I believe this technology will, over time, substantially change the cost and performance of deepwater completions and subsea infrastructure. As I look at 2023 and beyond, I am excited about our international business. Our customers are clearly motivated to produce more oil and gas, service capacity is tight, and pricing is increasing. Our differentiated technologies and our execution drive margin improvements and growth across our international business. Turning to North America, as I expected, Halliburton achieved strong results despite volatile commodity prices. We delivered on our strategic priority to maximize value in North America through capital efficiency, differentiated technology, and alignment with high-quality customers. I know it's on your minds, so let me briefly discuss the natural gas markets. First, I firmly believe that the gas market softness will be solved as 6 billion cubic feet per day of additional LNG export capacity comes online in the next 24 months. Second, in response to market conditions, We are moving three fleets from gas basins to oil basins to satisfy specific customer demands. Finally, we retired one Tier 2 diesel fleet, which will reduce our near-term maintenance costs and accelerate Halliburton's transition to E-fleets. These actions reduce our gas market exposure by about 30% and maintain financial returns. I reiterate my expectation that North America customer spending will grow at least 15% in 2023. At today's oil prices, I believe that our customers will execute their activity plans and the market for highly efficient equipment and quality services will remain tight. Our strategy is to maximize value in North America. Let me be crystal clear about what that looks like. we improve the performance and utilization of our existing fleet, and we align with high-quality customers who value our operational efficiency and consistent execution. Here's what the customers are telling me. Halliburton's performance is different, not only better than your competitors, but even better than your own past performance. Our step change in performance, safety, and operational efficiency comes from our investments in new technologies, crew training, and process improvements. As a result, today we see a 60% improvement in pumping utilization across our entire North America land fleet since 2019. Second, we only deploy service capacity to attractive return opportunities. We are always finding ways to improve average fleet returns. We invest in differentiated products and services that improve margins and asset velocity. Our patented Zeus E-Fleet and Smart Fleet are examples. They maximize asset values for our customers and structurally improve returns for Halliburton. Our Zeus E-Fleets continue to outperform for our customers, and Smart Fleet adoption is accelerating. We delivered about six times more Smart Fleet stages in the first quarter than a year ago. Halliburton's position and outlook in North America is strengthened by the uptake and contract duration of our E-Fleets. The contracting structure for E-Fleets, which we only deploy on multiyear contracts and our technology roadmap for the future, creates structural strength in Halliburton's North America business. Halliburton's E-Fleet technology is proven to deliver better performance, lower total cost of ownership, and increased operating efficiency. For customers with the mandate to produce barrels over the long term and maximize the value of their investment dollars, the attraction to E-Fleets is self-evident. To summarize, I believe Halliburton is uniquely positioned to deliver financial outperformance. Our strong execution culture, differentiated technology portfolio, and collaborative approach with customers give us a strong competitive advantage. I am confident that we will execute our strategic priorities and deliver shareholder returns by maximizing value in North America, delivering profitable international growth, and driving capital efficiency. Before I turn it over to Eric, I'd like to leave you with two financial points. First, given my outlook, I expect the execution of our strategy will deliver significant and growing free cash flow. While our previously announced capital return framework provides a minimum of 50% free cash flow back to shareholders, it also gives us the flexibility to return more cash to shareholders in the form of share buybacks. Everything I see today points towards more cash to shareholders. Now, I'll turn the call over to Eric to provide more details on our financial results. Eric?

speaker
David

Thank you, Jeff, and good morning. Let me begin with a summary of our first quarter results. Total company revenue for the quarter was $5.7 billion, a 33% increase over the first quarter of last year, while operating income was $977 million, an increase of 91% year over year. Operating margin for the company was 17.2% in the first quarter, which is an increase of 530 basis points over the first quarter of 2022. These results were primarily driven by increased global activity, improved pricing, and strong seasonal product and software sales. Our first quarter reported net income per diluted share was 72 cents, which more than doubled from the same period last year. Beginning with our completion and production division, Revenue in the first quarter was $3.4 billion, a 45% increase when compared to the first quarter of 2022, while operating income was $666 million, an increase of 125% when compared to the first quarter of 2022. CNP delivered an operating income margin of 20%, driven by increased activity, improved pricing, and service efficiency in North America. In our drilling and evaluation division, revenue in the first quarter was $2.3 billion, an increase of 17 percent when compared to the first quarter of 2022, while operating income was $369 million, an increase of 26 percent when compared to the first quarter of 2022. D&E delivered an operating income margins of 16%, driven by strong wireline, testing, and drilling-related services globally, and an uptick in international activity. Now let's move on to geographic results. Our first quarter international revenue increased 23% year-over-year due to solid product sales, activity increases, and pricing gains across multiple product lines. In North America, revenue in the first quarter was $2.8 billion, a 44% increase when compared to the first quarter of 2022. This increase was primarily driven by increased stimulation activity and efficiencies, higher activity across our well construction product lines in North America land, as well as higher activity across multiple product lines in the Gulf of Mexico. Latin America revenue in the first quarter was $915 million, a 40 percent increase when compared to the first quarter of 2022 due to increased well construction services and stimulation activity in Mexico and Argentina and higher completion tool sales across the region. Europe-Africa revenue in the first quarter was $662 million, a 2% decrease when compared to the first quarter of 2022 as a result of the sale of our Russian operations, along with decreased activity across multiple product service lines in Norway. This decrease was partially offset by increased well construction services and stimulation activity throughout Africa. Middle East Asia revenue in the first quarter was $1.3 billion, a 30% increase when compared to the first quarter of 2022, primarily due to improved activity across multiple product service lines in Saudi Arabia, higher completion tool sales, improved well construction services, and increased project management activity across the region. Now I'd like to cover some additional financial items. In the first quarter, our corporate and other expenses were $58 million. For the second quarter, we expect our corporate expenses to be up about $5 million. Net interest expense for the quarter was $79 million. For the second quarter, we expect this expense to be about flat. Other net expense for the quarter was $69 million, primarily related to unfavorable foreign exchange movements. For the second quarter, we expect this expense to decline approximately $15 million. Our effective tax rate for the first quarter came in at approximately 21%. Based on our anticipated geographic earnings mix, we expect our second quarter effective tax rate to increase about 50 basis points. Capital expenditure for the first quarter were $268 million. We anticipate that our remaining capital expenditures will increase quarter over quarter into the end of the year, and total capital expenditures to be approximately 6% of our revenue for the full year. Our first quarter cash flow from operations was $122 million, and free cash flow was a use of $105 million. These results were primarily driven by seasonal investments in working capital. As is typical for our business, we anticipate our cash flow will be back-end loaded for the year. We expect to generate strong free cash flow for the rest of 2023. As a step toward achieving Halliburton's capital return policy of returning at least 50% of annual free cash flow to shareholders, we repurchased approximately $100 million of common stock during the first quarter. Finally, turning to our near-term operational outlook, let me provide you with some comments on how we see the second quarter unfolding. In our drilling and evaluation division, we expect the seasonal revenue decline in software sales to be partially offset by further improvements in global drilling activity. As a result, we anticipate sequential D&E revenue to increase low to mid single digits and margins to decline 50 to 100 basis points. In the completion and production division, we anticipate sequential revenue to increase low to mid single digit and margins to improve 25 to 75 basis points. I will now turn the call back to Jeff.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thanks, Eric. Let me summarize our discussion today. Halliburton's performance in the first quarter demonstrated the earnings power of our strategy. My outlook for Halliburton is strong. I expect international year-on-year growth in the high teens and North America growth in excess of 15%. And finally, everything I see today points towards more cash to shareholders. And now, let's open it up for questions.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 1 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. To withdraw your question, press star 1 1 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Dave Anderson with Barclays. Your line is open.

speaker
Dave Anderson

Great. Thanks. Good morning, Jeff. How are you? Morning, Dave.

speaker
Jeff

So let's just get right into it. Despite the strong numbers you put up in North America this quarter and the guy for second quarter, which kind of firmed up everything. The bear case has been this has been heating up during the quarter with the recount softening a bit. E&P is suggesting pricing is poised to come down. On the other hand, we're hearing from you, other service companies, that you don't see this slowdown. In fact, prices continue to rise. So I wonder if you'd help us sort out the disconnect here. Does the difference lie in the customer mix? I know you highlighted the gas market, particularly the differentiation of equipment. Just a lot of rhetoric keyed up during the quarter. I'm just wondering how we should be thinking about your U.S. land activity and the pricing trend in the second half. Thanks.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, well, thanks, Dave. Look, prices aren't moving down. And I think from our comments, I've told you what we've done and what we plan to do. You know, overall margin improvement comes from, you know, structurally bifurcated market, as you described, demand for high quality services are very much in demand, and hard to deliver. And quite frankly, the cost of frac hasn't changed. I mean, the engines are moving up the you know, they're still inherent inflation in the frac business today. There's not a connection there. As I look out at the rest of the year, we continue to improve the earnings power of our fleet through bifurcation, delivery of E-fleets, retirement of equipment that needs to be retired. Be clear, not stacked, but retired. Then finally, efficiency and you know, sort of repositioning around better pricing.

speaker
Jeff

But pricing in your mind continues to move higher. And I would assume that pricing from last year is still continuing to roll through your fleets?

speaker
spk03

I would say on average, yes.

speaker
Jeff

And if I could just shift gears over on the international side, your Middle East business doesn't get a ton of credit on the street, despite actually being just as big as kind of one of your bigger peers on a relative sense. I was wondering if you could talk about how you see the pace of activity progressing this year in the Middle East. Are you still ramping up on contracts? I think you had kind of alluded to that in your prepared remarks. But what is your outlook on tenders in the Middle East this year? And I guess finally, should we expect to see a lift in D&E margins next year based upon what you're seeing in pricing activity levels this year in the Middle East?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, look, pricing is improving. And so I would expect B&E margins to improve along with that. I would still argue early innings of activity increase in the Middle East. So I'm pleased with our growth. So thank you for pointing that out. But I see this continuing. You know, rig counts aren't necessarily at near peak. I think we've got a lot of opportunity to continue to run. And then broadly international, it's, you know, beyond the Middle East, pleased with the growth that we saw in the first quarter. And just a reminder, you know, to everyone that in Q1 of 22, Russia was 2% of our business. And so that's really pretty strong growth.

speaker
Operator

Absolutely. Okay. Thank you, John.

speaker
John

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. We have a question from Arun Jaramaram at J.P. Morgan.

speaker
Arun Jalraman

Yeah, good morning, Jeff. Just digesting service prints and outlooks thus far, we are seeing or observing more resilient conditions in U.S. frac versus drilling. I wanted to get your thoughts on why do you think this is the case, and how do you see things playing out in terms of your drilling-related segments at Sperry and North America over the balance of the year?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, look, I think Wells drilled in North America are really a function of duct count. As the ducts get drawn down, more wells have to be drilled. I think fluctuation in drilling, it's interesting that you see fluctuation in drilling, but a very steady march in terms of frac. I think some of that is managing cost at the margin, but the fact is they don't produce more without fracking wells. I'm not surprised to see that. I think our D&E business in North America remains strong. You know, confident of what we're seeing there. We continue to sort of make gains in the drilling part of the business, and I would say the other service lines are very strong.

speaker
Arun Jalraman

Great, great. And just my follow-up, Jeff, you mentioned that you have some sort of relationship with FTI on the electric side. I was wondering if you could maybe give us some more details about on that partnership?

speaker
Jeff Miller

This is an opportunity to mine what the two companies really do well. There are particularly areas where we overlap and we're taking advantage of that. We've been working on a series of things and one of which is all electric completions for about five years. We just signed up for another five years with TFMC. great partner in this area. What we deliver ultimately will be, I think, a revolutionary all-electric solution that really only it takes the two of us to solve for. It's not the bulk of either one of our businesses, but the fact is in this narrow space, we bring some really unique synergies and opportunity to develop technology. And so, Very pleased with the relationship and the progress that we're making up to and including we're jointly marketing and selling some solutions today.

speaker
spk26

Great. Thanks a lot.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from James West with Evercore ISI. Your line is open.

speaker
James West

Hey, good morning, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff

Morning, James.

speaker
James

So, Jeff, I know you spend, gosh, probably 60-plus percent of your time on the road seeing customers and a lot of that, the majority of that internationally. Could you maybe describe the customer conversations at this point, where they are with their sense of urgency, where the pushback is, if any, with pricing, or is there more concern about availability? It's kind of how we're thinking about the cycle as it takes off. from here and just curious to hear what you're hearing on the ground.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thanks, James. The discussion is more around availability than anything else, whether it's services that we provide, capital, more importantly, availability of tools and people. And a lot of the planning, we're even doing planning today, I mean, deep planning today for 24 activity that we expect to ramp up. And so there's enough concern around availability in 24 that significant resources are committed now to solving for that. So I've got a lot of confidence in the runway internationally and the amount of work that we've won.

speaker
James

Okay. That's great to hear. And then on North America, the 15% plus growth that you're anticipating and forecasting for this year, is there how much, I guess, could you describe how much of that you think is just kind of the pure inflation in the market, whether it's, you know, rig rates or fractured costs, that kind of stuff, versus, you know, rig count or, I guess, activity-led growth?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, James, it's... You know, I think it's a combination of the two, and certainly the more activity you have, the more sort of inflation type you see. But if I just sort of look back to look forward, if I take last year, 5% production growth last year, year on year, translated into about 50% revenue growth for us, I know in 23, the outlook's for, let's say, 3%. uh production growth and i think published estimates at least today around operator capex or 17 or so um you know i think it says a couple of things number one producing oil doesn't get easier i mean it demands more of our services uh and higher quality services and so i'm confident that you know we're going to maximize value in north america and i think that that combination of activity and and price is what delivers north of 15%. Okay, got it.

speaker
James

Thanks, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thank you.

speaker
Jeff

Our next question comes from Roger Reed with Wells Fargo.

speaker
Operator

Your line is open.

speaker
spk30

Yeah, thanks. Good morning, and congrats on the quarter there. Just a couple things to follow up on, Jeff. Your comment in the opening about 45% of your international coming from offshore and obviously talking a little bit about planning for 24, which greater visibility on offshore a lot of times than others. I was just curious how you see that potentially changing. Does it increase as a percentage of mix and how should we think about that in terms of enhanced visibility, top-line growth, and maybe margin expansion.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, thanks. I'm pleased with the growth on a percentage basis of our position at offshore, the amount of offshore work that we're doing. Look, I think it continues to grow, and I expect our position as we continue to bring out the types of technologies I talked about continue to help drive our growth in offshore work. And so we are levered heavily to offshore, and this is all service lines are levered to offshore. And I think that as we see that business grow, I expect, yes, it does translate into top-line growth and margin growth. And I think that what's clear, though, also is that it's higher service intensity, but it also requires more equipment to do offshore work. So it has to a bit of a double effect in terms of growing revenues and margins, but it also tightens up the rest of the business by virtue of consuming backup tools and additional shifts of people. And so as offshore grows, that has a tightening effect really on everything, which, again, helps to drive better margins and better growth.

speaker
spk30

Okay. And then mine-related follow-up on that, you mentioned the smart frack had picked up quite a bit in the U.S. I think it was up six times roughly versus a year ago. Any thoughts for what that growth rate is going forward, and should we anticipate sort of any change in terms of margins as that goes forward, positive, negative, or unchanged?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, look, I think that that growth continues at sort of that pace. This is one of those solutions that is very affordable and scalable and provides important data to operators, particularly as the focus becomes productivity per foot. And so this is really the best way, maybe the only way, to meaningfully measure where the sand goes. And as a result of that, That's the building block of what produces more oil. What's better complexity? Where's the sand? What's the most efficient solution? I expect that continues to grow at a very fast pace. We've continued to introduce more technology around that solution so that it's easier to deploy. Ultimately, this is one of those things that our target is to be the most efficient solution in the marketplace. As it scales, it becomes more valuable to us. And in my view, it's a very sticky solution because it's one of those things that once you have that data and it becomes part of a working process, then it becomes very sticky over time.

speaker
spk22

Understood. Thank you.

speaker
spk13

Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff

One moment.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

speaker
Neil Mehta

Good morning, Jeff. Good morning, team. First question is about the comments about moving three frac fleets from gas to oil basins. Can you talk about whether you see more potential for this to happen? What are some of the switching costs associated with that? And is this the beginning of a greater trend?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Well, look, I think what we demonstrated is that's what we're going to do. Clearly, gas economics are challenged today, and I don't think it's something that service prices solve. And so I think gas is incredibly important, and I expect that it continues and even gets stronger as we build into the LNG capacity that gets built here in the U.S. But along the way, we see opportunities for unmet demand in oil, and we've made the moves we described. We also want to accelerate our E-Fleet as a percentage of our overall fleet, which requires that we retire fleets along the way. And so, from our perspective, that is the path that we take. Its gas operators are continuing to operate and they are working and really to that end actually just placed an E-Fleet into a gas basin with an operator. So there's clearly an outlook that gas recovers.

speaker
Neil Mehta

Jeff, can you talk about the return of capital comments? You had mentioned you could see a scenario where you go in excess of the 50% of free cash flow back to shareholders. Talk about how you're thinking about using the buyback as a tool to create value.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Well, as I described, our outlook is strong. I expect we generate a lot of free cash flow. And yes, I believe that as we do that, we'll be able to return more cash to shareholders. And so we took a step in Q1, but obviously the ability to you know, to flex there is going to be with share buybacks.

speaker
spk10

Thanks, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff

One moment.

speaker
Operator

We have a quick question from Scott Gruber from Citi. Your line is open.

speaker
spk18

Yes, good morning. I just want to stay on that same line of inquiry, you know, given the appetite to go above the 50% threshold. Jeff, is there an appetite to pursue buybacks with bigger here near term, you know, when the stock is quite attractively priced? Or do you wait until the cash flows, you know, show up later this year and risk buying at a higher price if the fundamentals stay tight as you foresee?

speaker
Scott

Yes, Scott, it's Eric.

speaker
David

So generally speaking, how we think about cash returns today is, I mean, obviously, we just raised the dividend.

speaker
Scott

We intend to continue to do, you know, small bolt-on acquisition, technology-driven tap acquisition, continue to chip at the debt as well as we go along. But clearly today, the bias is towards increasing buyback as we go through the year. So, yes, directionally, that's correct.

speaker
spk18

Got it. And then an unrelated follow-up, I'm just looking at your year-on-year incrementals in D&E, and they appear quite strong. And I would guess this is largely driven by operating leverage and mix around offshore and technology, just given previous commentary. And I would guess pricing is less impactful today at this juncture with potentially more of a price contribution in the years ahead. Is that a fair assessment or is pricing having a significant impact here already in 2Q if you look year on year at D&E margins?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Well, pricing certainly has improved year on year, but I think more importantly is the depth of the technology that we're introducing and sort of the duration. And I don't want to get away from that it's not a point in time. I think we've got pricing improving, but at the same time, we've got substantial capital efficiency happening also in terms of the technology. So we've been pretty clear about the technology that we are investing in is driving capital efficiency, which means that we capture more of the value in cash flow over time. And so I would expect to see the margin improvement that you saw this quarter year on year to continue in terms of incrementals. I say it that way. I've always said that our expectation is that we stack improvement each quarter in terms of margins in D&E and expect that to continue to happen. Obviously, there's some intra-year cyclicality, but I think the key is if we look at each year by quarter, then we ought to be stacking improvements quarter on quarter, and I think we've got a long runway ahead of us in D&E.

speaker
spk18

But it does sound like it's more of the kind of structural investments you made around technology and driving your asset turns and mix more than pricing today. Is that fair, Jeff?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, I think that is reasonable to say, yeah.

speaker
James

Okay, got it. Thank you.

speaker
spk13

Thanks. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

One moment. We have a question from Chase Mulvhill with Bank of America, Maryland. Your line is open.

speaker
spk25

Hey, good morning, everyone. Good morning, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff

Good morning, Eric. I guess maybe if we can kind of hit on free cash flow. You know, if we think about your outlook, you know, your North America outlook was maintained, and it looks like you kind of bumped up your international outlook. So I'm guessing that it would probably imply a bump to your free cash flow outlook. I think last quarter you said free cash flow should grow at least 20%, which seemed conservative when you gave it. So with a better international outlook and still maintain North America, any updates on how we should be thinking about 23 free cash flow?

speaker
David

Yes, Chase, it's Eric. Directionally, as you said, we're very confident in the outlook of the business, the kind of profile of free cash flow. Typically, we're going to start generating meaningful free cash flow in Q2 and in H2 as we're done with the buildup of working capital we did in Q1. And directionally, You're right, our outlook right now is more north of 30% than it was 20% in Q1. So, yes, we're revising our projections up. Okay, awesome.

speaker
Jeff

And then unrelated follow-up, you know, you highlighted a lot of digital wins in your press release and also in your prepared remarks today. So, question around this, you know, are you starting to see, you know, more digital adoption by your customers today? And if so, what's been the catalyst for accelerated adoption? And I'm going to give this one to try and in any chance that you could speak to how material digital revenues are today for Halliburton.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, I think the adoption is going to always be around business cases and what creates value for customers. And, you know, I think the idea that, you know, we're just going to go digital has started and stopped because it was proven unsuccessful. And so what we see is now more meaningful adoption around real solutions, software solutions, and automation solutions. It is a big business, but it's not one, it's one that's sort of spread throughout the business as well. And so, you know, I think that the, you know, we tend to think about it in two buckets. We tend to think about it as software is one activity and automation as another. And both are generated sort of from the same technical capacity, by that I mean the capacity to do software at scale, a lot of that resident and landmark, the software business sort of being one thing, and then the automation, which is many of the same tools may be applied differently throughout the rest of the business, and it has a meaningful effect on our performance, our margin outlook, it's gonna have, it will continue to do that, Even in our offshore in the drilling business in terms of automation of what the drilling tools can do and probably equally onshore North America in terms of what we can do with frac fleets from a maintenance and performance standpoint. It's not something we necessarily advertise, but it's very inherent in the type of performance and efficiency that we see today.

speaker
spk16

Okay, perfect. Appreciate the answers. I'll turn it back over.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yep, thank you. Thanks, Chase.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Luke Limone with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

speaker
Luke Limone

Hey, good morning, Jeff, Eric. Hey, Luke. Hey, Jeff, you raised your international growth outlook this year from at least mid-teens to high-teens. Can you unpack this a little bit and maybe just talk about what's changed, what's accelerating, and what you have more confidence in?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, I think I have more confidence in, well, really three things. One, the indicators that we're looking at, things like completion tool order book, which has grown meaningfully, and that all focuses on this year. I would say pricing sort of improvement that we're seeing, pricing and tightness around equipment. around the world internationally is another meaningful one. And then finally, just we're winning awards and we're growing. We're selective about the awards we're winning. Again, our strategy is profitable international growth, emphasizing the profit part of that statement. But at the same time, we are seeing success and we're seeing success in a lot of different markets. And so because of that, you know, we see a path to sort of high teens.

speaker
Luke Limone

Got it. Good deal. And then maybe on the geomarkets, you touched on the Middle East script earlier, but could you expand on what you're seeing in Asia and Latin America for the balance of the year?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yeah, I'm seeing, you know, Asia again pick up, particularly in terms of development type work, which is, you know, obviously, right there in our wheelhouse. And then also in Latin America, clearly we see activity growth in Brazil. But really throughout the region, we see the imperative to produce more oil and gas. And clearly oil and gas is an important part of the economies of Latin America. And so there's a lot of motivation to be more effective and to deliver more oil and gas. partly for economic reasons and for tax revenues. But I think I'm really encouraged by what we see.

speaker
Luke Limone

All right, great. Thanks, Jeff.

speaker
Jeff

One moment for our next question.

speaker
Operator

We have a question from Steven Jengaro with Stifo. Your line is open.

speaker
Steven Dengaro

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. Good morning, Stephen. So curious, when we look at the U.S. pressure pumping world, you know, a lot of the competitors have expanded services at the well site. I'm going through all things from vertical integration to well site integration. How are you seeing it from your eyes as far as how it impacts how, how it impacts pricing and your profitability in the business at the well site?

speaker
Jeff Miller

Well, we view all of this very strategically in the sense of looking at returns, long-term returns, and where we create value in terms of competitive advantage. Vertical integration, for the sake of vertical integration, in my view, is not necessarily creating more value. What we're doing in the frack space, and really in every business that we're in, is focus on where do we create technical differentiation? So what creates competitive advantage for Halliburton? And so when I think about what we've done with electric fleets, what we've done with smart fleet, really meaningful things. The inputs to the business are the inputs to the business, and those are maybe good businesses for others, but they aren't places where we create competitive advantage. So for that reason, You know, it's not just how much volume can we capture around the wellboard. It's really where can we capture volume and create competitive advantage. And so I like where we are in our approach to it.

speaker
Steven Dengaro

Thanks. And then just as a quick follow-up, are you seeing tightness in sand? And is that a profit center for you? And any material movements in that, you know, over the last couple quarters?

speaker
Jeff Miller

No, not a lot of movement in the last few quarters. Again, I view it like all inputs to our business. It's going to fluctuate at different times, different levels. There's a lot of sand in the world, and it's quite available. I don't view that as a long-term impediment to anything that we're trying to do, just given the you know, availability and really how to go about producing it.

speaker
Steven Dengaro

Excellent. Thank you for the color.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. And that's all the time we have for questions. I'd like to turn the call back to Mr. Jeff Miller for any closing remarks.

speaker
Jeff Miller

Yes, thank you. And thank you all for participating in today's call. Let me close out the call with just a couple of comments. First, Halliburton's performance in the first quarter demonstrated the earnings power of our strategy. And then secondly, my outlook for Halliburton is strong, and everything I see today points towards more cash to shareholders. I look forward to speaking with you next quarter. Let's close out the call. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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