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Hayward Holdings, Inc.
2/25/2026
Welcome to Hayward Holdings' fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. My name is Carrie and I will be your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. During the question and answer session, if you have a question, please press star then one on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Kevin Masca, Vice President, Investor Relations, and FP&A. Mr. Masco, you may begin.
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. We issued our fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings press release this morning, which has been posted to the Investor Relations section of our website at investor.hayward.com. There you can also find the earnings slide presentation referenced during this call. I'm joined by Mr. Officer. and Evian Jones, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that during this call, the company may make certain statements that are considered forward-looking in nature, including management's outlook for 2026 and future periods. Such statements are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, including those discussed in our most recent forms 10-K and 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission that could cause actual results to differ materially. The company does not undertake any duty to update such forward-looking statements. During today's call, the company will discuss non-GAAP measures. Reconciliations of historical non-GAAP measures discussed on this call to the comparable GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release and the appendix to the slide presentation. All comparisons will be made on a year-over-year basis unless otherwise indicated. Additionally, I'd like to highlight a change in accounting principle. During the fourth quarter 2025, we changed to a preferred presentation of warranty costs from SG&A to cost of sales. This change has no impact on net sales, operating income, net income, or adjusted EBITDA. The change has been applied retrospectively to all periods presented and affects cost of sales, gross profit, and SG&A expense. Tables outlining this presentation change are included in our earnings press release and in the appendix, to the earnings slide presentation. I will now turn the call over to Kevin Halloran.
Thank you, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. It's my pleasure to welcome all of you to Hayward's fourth quarter earnings call. I'll begin on slide four of our earnings presentation with today's key messages. Hayward delivered strong fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, outperforming expectations and extending our momentum. Our team executed at a high level across the organization, translating into sales and earnings growth continued gross margin expansion and robust cashflow generation. I'm pleased to report that our net sales increased 7% in the fourth quarter against a very strong prior year comparison. Gross margin expanded and adjusted EBITDA increased 4%, demonstrating our ability to drive profitability even as we continue to invest in the business. Our full year performance was strong across all . Net sales increased 7%. Gross margin achieved a record 48%. and adjusted EBITDA grew 8%. These results underscore the success of our business development strategies and the durability of our aftermarket driven model. Cashflow generation was exceptional, enabling a further meaningful reduction in net leverage to 1.9 times by year end. At the same time, we're executing on our strategic priorities. We're investing in innovation, operational excellence, and customer experience while maintaining a strong financial profile. These actions are strengthening our competitive position and supporting long-term value creation. 2025 also marked the 100-year anniversary of Hayward's founding in 1925, a remarkable milestone and testament to our resilience. It was important to us that we honor that legacy with strong performance in our centennial year, and I'm proud to say we did exactly that. As we enter our next century, we do so with a solid foundation for future growth and an unwavering commitment to our customers. Looking ahead, we enter the new year with confidence in the strength of our business and our ability to execute our strategic growth initiatives for the full year we expect continued sales and earnings growth. With net sales increasing approximately 4% and adjusted diluted EPS increasing approximately six to 12% turning out of slide five highlighting the results of the fourth quarter and full year. Net sales in the fourth quarter increased 7% to 349 million against a strong prior year comparison of 17% growth. Gross profit margins continued to expand and adjusted EBITDA increased 4%. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 29.4% was reduced largely due to the increased variable compensation costs associated with better than expected performance. Adjusted diluted EPS increased 7% to 29 cents. For the full year, 2025 net sales increased 7% to 1,122,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA increased 8% to 299 million, each exceeding our most recent guidance. Profitability was strong with gross margin increasing to 48% and adjusted EBITDA margin increasing to 26.7%. Adjusted diluted EPS increased 15% to 77 cents. Overall, this performance reflects solid growth and margin expansion, balanced against targeted strategic investments in the business to support long-term value creation. Turning now to slide six, I'd like to share some strategic accomplishments from the year. 2025 was an important and successful year for Hayward, our centennial year, and one in which we delivered on our financial commitments while further strengthening our position as a premier company in the industry. I'm extremely proud of our team's performance And I want to thank all of our valued customers and vendor partners for their efforts throughout the year. Our aftermarket model focused on serving the large installed base of existing pools with regular equipment replacements and upgrades represents roughly 85% of our total sales and continues to prove its resilience. We generated another year of solid growth and profitability through a challenge macroeconomic backdrop in which new pool construction in the US approached post GFC lows. From a financial standpoint, we delivered robust growth in sales and double-digit increases in both adjusted diluted EPS and free cash flow, enabling a meaningful reduction in that leverage to 1.9 times. At the segment level, North America delivered record margins. Canada continued its strong performance, and we were very pleased with the performance of Clore King in the first full year of ownership, strengthening our position in commercial pool equipment. Europe and the rest of the world showed a solid recovery in sales and margins, reflecting the benefits of our organizational realignment and operational focus. As I reflect on the post-pandemic period for the industry, we have now delivered two consecutive years of top-line growth aligned with our long-term algorithm, 6% in 2024 and 7% in 2025, alongside meaningful margin expansion and balance sheet delevering. Further, looking back to before the pandemic, our six-year CAGRs from 2019 to 2025 are approximately 7% for net sales and 10% for adjusted EBITDA, underscoring the sustainable organic growth trajectory we believe our business can deliver over time, despite some year-to-year variability. Beyond our financial results, we executed on key strategic growth initiatives to further strengthen the foundation for Hayward's next century of growth. As a technology leader, we increased our disciplined investments in research, development, and engineering to support growth-enhancing innovation. We launched several differentiated products during the year, including the introduction of OmniX Automation Ecosystem. I'll discuss this in more detail on the following slide. Hayward has a longstanding culture of operational excellence and continuous improvement, and we demonstrated our capabilities again in 2025. We successfully mitigated the impact of tariffs, realigned our supply chain, and continue to de-risk our sourcing footprint while making strategic investments in automation and productivity. We also continue to elevate the customer experience. We recently expanded the network of Hayward Hubs, opening one in California in the fourth quarter, and our fifth hub is scheduled to open in Florida soon. We also increased training and support for dealers and trade professionals. After a successful pilot program, we are now scaling up the use of AI-enabled technical service agents to improve efficiency and service quality for our customers. These efforts are supporting successful dealer conversions and share gains. Turning now to slide seven. Last year, we first introduced you to OmniX, an industry-first automation platform providing wireless connectivity and app control for a suite of products without the need for a central controller. This strategy directly addresses the need of the approximately 3.5 million U.S. pools with little or no automation, offering a seamless path to modernization. Today, I'm excited to share another key step in building out the OmniX ecosystem. Now, every new Hayward variable speed pump and gas heater is OmniX enabled. As homeowners replace older equipment, they will get automation as standard. lowering the barrier of large upfront costs and making aftermarket upgrades more accessible. With more OmniX-enabled products on the horizon, our ecosystem will continue to offer robust aftermarket upgrade options, driving further growth and giving pool owners even more ways to enhance and enjoy their pools over time. Additionally, our new OmniX products feature a common, intuitive, universal display. For pumps, this also includes universal communications, supporting seamless aftermarket integration with existing non-Hayward automation systems. On slide eight, innovation in the aftermarket remains core to our strategy given the large addressable market for efficient connected products. Here we showcase several new products, each designed to unlock significant aftermarket upgrade opportunities for Hayward either by providing access into new product categories or by broadening compatibility with competitive systems. Starting on the left hand side of the slide, we've expanded our variable speed pump line with superior performing OmniX enabled four horsepower models for large residential and small commercial pools. This is a key established segment of the pump market not previously served by Hayward. Our new color logic LED landscape lights allow homeowners to create coordinated custom color effects across the pool, spa, water features, and now their surrounding landscape. The track jet pressure cleaner shares many of the same performance elements as our successful track back suction cleaner fast cleaning and improved access to hard to reach spaces. entering the pressure cleaner category opens up another segment of the automatic cleaner space for new and replacement installations in Europe. New pumps have been introduced as direct drop-in replacements for the extensive installed base of competing products, presenting a promising opportunity to increase market share. Finally, we've also expanded our pool lighting product line. These lights present an excellent aftermarket alternative for trade professionals seeking robust lighting solutions compatible with non-Hayward systems. Collectively, these new products unlock incremental aftermarket opportunities by enabling easier upgrades replacements, and conversions across both Hayward and non-Hayward pool pads. Turning now to slide nine, I'd like to briefly revisit the strategy we're executing to drive growth and value creation in 2026 and beyond. Hayward is fundamentally a growth company built on a strong and reliable organic growth engine complemented by disciplined and organic opportunities. On the organic side, our product management and engineering roadmaps are focused on delivering innovative energy efficient and highly automated solutions that elevate the pool ownership experience. This includes industry leading technology platforms like OmniX positioning us at the forefront of connected intelligent pool solutions. We continue to enhance the overall customer experience through investments in sales and marketing programs, additional Hayward hubs, as well as hosting premier industry events that reinforce our leadership and deepen engagement across the channel. Our commercial pool and industrial flow control businesses, those smaller in scale are high quality, high potential contributors to our portfolio. We are experts in water movement and treatment solutions focused on accelerating profitable growth in these attractive categories that scale our core capabilities. We have a proven track record of expanding margins from already strong levels. Over the past six years, our gross profit margin has expanded more than 700 basis points from 41% to 48%. We continue to see long-term margin upside supported by four pillars, productivity gains, a richer mix of higher margin technology products, operating leverage from increased capacity utilization, and proactive price cost management. Finally, as we've emphasized, we maintain a balanced and disciplined approach to capital allocations. prioritizing organic growth investments while pursuing strategic acquisitions that enhance our product portfolio, expanding our geographic reach and strengthening customer relationships. In summary, we are confident that our strategy positions Hayward to deliver sustainable, profitable growth and compelling shareholder returns in the years ahead. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Avian to discuss our financial results in more detail.
thank you kevin and good morning turning to slide 10 we're pleased with our quarter four financial results net sales rose seven percent to 349 million against a strong prior comparison of 17 growth mostly on price gains to offset inflation gross profit grew 10 to 169 million gross margin improved 160 basis points YEAR-OVER-YEAR AND 70 BASIS POINTS SEQUENTIALLY TO 48.5%. AS DISCUSSED, WE CHANGED WARRANTY ACCOUNTING, MOVING COSTS FROM SG&A TO COST OF SALES, LOWERING GROSS PROFIT AND SG&A, BUT NOT AFFECTING NET SALES, NET INCOME, OR ADJUSTED EBITDA. UNDER THE PRIOR PRESENTATION METHOD, GROSS PROFIT MARGIN WOULD HAVE BEEN 52.1% FOR THE QUARTER. ADJUSTED EBITDA INCREASED 4%, to 103 million, with a margin of 29.4%, a decrease of 80 basis points year over year. During the quarter, we incurred increased variable compensation, reflecting strong annual performance, one-time legal expenses, and further investments into our sales and advanced engineering teams. The effective tax rate was 9%, down from 14%. Adjusting the loop to DPS rose 7% to 29%. Turning to slide 11, for fiscal 2025, net sales increased 7% to $1.12 billion, and we're ahead of expectations. Growth came from 5% price gains and 1% from Hawking acquisitions. Gross profit rose 11% to $539 million. Margin was at 170 basis points to a record 48%. Under the prior presentation method, gross margin would have shown 51.5%. We increased research, development, and engineering spending by 6% to 27 million. Sales, general, and administrative expenses grew 14% to 247 million, mainly from higher compensation expenses. The execution of our sales and customer care investment plans increased and the integration of clocking. Adjusted EBITDA rose 8% to 299 million, and the margin increased 30 basis points to 26.7%. The effective tax rate was 18%. Adjusted diluted EPS grew 15% to 77 cents. Moving to slide 12 for a discussion of our quarter four segment results. North America sales were up 8% to $309 million, mainly from price gains. U.S. sales were up 8%. Canada was up 10%. We saw a strong in-quarter and early buy demand for 2026. Gross margin was up 80 basis points to 50.1%. Europe and rest of the world sales held approximately steady at $41 million. 5% FX gain offset lower prices and volumes. Europe sales up 7%, rest of the world down 9%. Gross margin was up 590 basis points to 35.8%. Adjusted segment income margin up 350 basis points to 16.3%. On slide 13, for a review of our full-year segment results, North America sales are up 7% to $959 million, with 6% higher pricing and Claw King's contribution. U.S. and Canada up 7% and 6%, respectively. We were pleased to see the Canadian performance continue to improve. Gross margin was at 150 basis points to 49.9%. Adjusted segment income margin was consistent with the prior year at 32.4%. Europe and rest of world sales were up 4% to 163 million, driven by 2% volume and 2% FX gains. Europe up 5%, rest of world up 3%. Gross margin was up 230 basis points to 36.7%. Adjusted segment income margin up 280 basis points to 17.4%. Commercial and operational actions improved performance across the segment. Turning to slide 14 for a review of our balance sheet and cash flow. Free cash flow increased 20% as a result of improved profitability and working capital management, reducing net leverage to 1.9 times and increasing liquidity by 164 million. This strengthens our ability for continued organic investment, strategic M&A opportunity pursuit, capital return while maintaining disciplined leverage. Moving to slide 15. For capital allocation, we balance strategic growth investment with shareholder returns while maintaining prudent leverage. As an OEM, we prioritize organic investment into our manufacturing and supply chain footprint, followed by strategic M&A while remaining opportunistic for share repurchases. In the fourth quarter, we made a modest anti-dilutive repurchase of $4 million. Turning to slide 16 to discuss our outlook for 2026. net sales are expected to increase approximately four percent and we're introducing adjusted diluted eps guidance of 82 cents to 86 cents we expect free cash flow in the region of 200 million exceeding 100 of net income inclusive of modest working capital improvement net interest expense of approximately 45 million a normalized effective tax rate around 24 percent and increased capex of approximately 40 million as we continue to focus on upgrading our operational capabilities we're confident in our ability to execute in the current climate and remain positive on pool industry growth given the strength of the aftermarket with that i'll turn the call back to kevin thanks i've been i'll pick back up on slide 17. before closing i want to thank the team again for their performance
Hayward delivered another strong quarter and year. We've achieved two consecutive years of solid growth and six-year CAGRs of 7% for net sales and 10% for adjusted EBITDA, underscoring the strength and resiliency of our model. At the same time, we delivered the balance sheet to under two times while investing in the business. As the macro environment evolves, our unwavering confidence in the fundamentals of our aftermarket-focused business and our proven ability to execute positions Hayward to capitalize on emerging opportunities and deliver substantial long-term value for our shareholders. We concluded our first 100 years with momentum and were energized by the many opportunities that lie ahead for Hayward. With that, we're now ready to open the line for questions.
Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the start keys. And our first question will come from Ryan Merkle with William Blair.
Hey, everyone. Nice job this quarter. I want to start with the fourth quarter beat. Can you just talk about what the source of the upside surprise was in 4Q? And then, you know, secondarily, can we use normal seasonality as we think about modeling first quarter 26?
Morning, Ryan. I'll turn it over to Ivy to talk about the seasonality. But as for the fourth quarter, there were a lot of positives, and for the full year for that matter. Notably, early by, it turned out well for us. We received incremental orders year on year. And overall, we shipped a lower percentage of those orders in the fourth quarter because of stronger in-quarter demand, despite comping off a heavy prior year due to the weather and the hurricanes in Q4 of 24. Obviously, that would result in carrying over larger order file into Q1 of of 2026. You know, I think when you look at how the orders or how fourth quarter played out, we were pleased to see, you know, high single digit, or even in the case of Canada, low double digit year on year growth with U.S. up eight, Europe up seven, and again, Canada up 10. So those are, you know, three really big markets, important markets for us. And then, you know, posting record gross margin in fourth quarter at 48.5% on the operating performance are things that I think we're real proud of. But, you know, like any year, when you close out fourth quarter, it gives you the opportunity to reflect on the full year. And with 2025 being our 100th year, something that very few companies get to experience, it's allowed me to step back and take some perspective and Overall, I would just say the resilient performance of the organization is something that I'm really proud of, and I want to thank all my colleagues for inside of Hayward. The market's not giving much right now, but the team really did deliver across all major financial and strategic metrics last year. As you well know, new construction's been down four consecutive years, and it's really been cut in half from the 2021 high. Net sales were up 7% last year and a similar 7% for the six years ending 2025. Delivering record gross margins at 48% is a real highlight. Adjusted EBITDA, 10% CAGR, as I said in the prepared remarks, delivering 300 basis points over that six-year period. And I don't want to leave out free cash flow. Last year, it represented nearly 150% of net income from profit performance and working capital improvements around specifically receivables and inventory. So strategically, the team's done a great job around innovation. I spent quite a bit of time in prepared remarks talking about some of those great products that are finding their way into the market, investments around sales and service, and not to be left out, de-risking the supply chain, all posted positive outcomes for us. So, you know, as I put a bow on 2025, our centennial, you know, I really think it does affirm Hayward's core strengths around discipline execution, cycle tested business model that's tied to the installed base and aftermarket demand. as well as implementing a growth strategy that's delivering results. So a lot to be proud of. And again, I applaud the team for such strong performance. Around seasonality?
Seasonality, yeah. Good morning, Ryan. We expect a normal year. I mean, as you know, Q1 and Q3 are the lower top and bottom line result periods for us, and Q2 and Q4 are the high result periods. Gross margin's We expect to modestly expand in 2026 with greater gains, I would say, in the second half based on the cumulative effects of the operational improvements we'll deliver in the year. So a normal seasonal year with Q1 and Q3 being lower, Q2 and Q4 being higher.
Got it. All right. Well, thanks for all that color. That's great. And then just a quick follow-up on the guide here. Can you just talk about your assumptions for aftermarket, new pool, and if there's any channel dynamics we need to think about that would be helpful? Thanks.
Yeah, from a channel standpoint, I don't think there's anything really to note there. We felt good about a year-ending inventory levels from a days-on-hand standpoint across our largest channel partners. No shadow inventory from what we can tell. And I just think that we've all gotten much better about managing those inventory levels coming through the COVID experience a few years back. As for demand that's informing the guide, I would say it's fairly normal demand for what we've seen in 2025. We're not calling for new construction to necessarily get better. I don't think that would be prudent at this point with what we see. And we continue to see the aftermarket, or we expect the aftermarket to continue to perform, particularly with some of the new products that we're bringing that I think can offer solutions to the aftermarket for upgrade and automating their pad.
Great. Thanks for that. Best of luck this year.
Thanks, Ryan. Our next question comes from Rob Wertheimer with Mellius Research. Rob, your line is open. Okay. Since we don't have a response, we'll go next to Jeff Hammond with KeyBank. Sorry, we'll go to Nigel Coe with Wolf Research.
Oh, okay. Defaulting back to Nigel here. Okay, that's good. Good morning, guys. Just going back to the 1Q comment, just wondering if there's any, obviously we've had some pretty severe weather in the northeast and a little bit colder in the south as well. So any impacts to note there and maybe good or bad impacts to note? And just want to confirm, Kevin, you mentioned that there's a bit more waiting on the early bioprogram in 1Q, this 4Q this year?
Yeah, what I had said to Ryan's question, Nigel, was that we, as a percent of what was received or collected through the Early Buy program last year, that a smaller percentage of that was shipped in Q4. As for Q1, you know, we're not going to get too granular on it. But, yeah, it's been a rough winter. Um, you know, I would say several weeks ago, there were some, um, some frozen conditions and some markets that aren't accustomed to that. By and large, the team is seeing very little in terms of equipment replacement coming from that. Uh, I don't think a great deal of work, uh, is done this time of year in the Northeast, but a very little will be done, uh, until this, uh, uh, a storm passes, um, So I would say overall, the winter has been more severe for the first two months of 2026 than what we have seen in prior years.
Okay. Thanks, Kevin. And then maybe just a quick update on the tariff situation. There's obviously been some changes ongoing. And then just bring us up to speed on the supply chain realignment as well.
Sure. Good morning, Nigel. I mean, look, tariffs in 25, it was a challenging year. I think at this point we are declaring victory on that specific battle, but obviously a new year, potentially new challenges. What I would say, though, before I get into the fullness of the answer here, is we have to call out just how extremely proud Kevin and I are of the entire Hayward team. on the way they handled, I'd say, tariffs in 2025, it took the entire team to deliver success here. A lot of moving pieces, and we declared victory with a record gross margin at the end of 2025. But getting back to the question, look, we've demonstrated we can manage offsetting tariffs with price increases and then aggressively focusing on operational improvements. We have reduced our dependency On China, from 10% entering 2025 down to approximately 3% by the end of the year in terms of U.S. cost of sale exposure to China. It comes with a cost. We do recognize that moving out of China comes with an incremental cost. It's probably costing us incrementally $5 million to $6 million or about a 1.5% cost increase in cost of sales. We're still digesting, I would say, the recent SCOTUS ruling and the response from the president. But based on initial view of how tariffs are looking from those comments, we believe we've covered the exposure in our guidance and don't see any additional threats and puts and takes by country. But we believe on a net basis, we're fully covered within the guidance that will be given. I think what we've demonstrated, Nigel, is Tetris has become for us a managed variable and not a year-by-year structural headwind. We can deal with it. We've previously mentioned how we're handling our Chinese operation. We'll downsize that facility. Folks that are listening to this call, they're a great team, and we'll recalibrate that facility to service our rest of world business. Great. Thanks, guys.
And as a reminder, that is Star 1 if you would like to ask a question. We'll go next to Mike Halloran with Baird.
Hey, good morning, guys. It's Pez. I'm for Mike. Wanted to talk a little bit about the increased investments here. Obviously, a notable step up in CapEx. You talked about the increased investment in RD&E, talked about the increased investment in customer success and operations. um maybe just give us a little bit more color where's the spending going particularly on the capex side it's a it's a pretty notable jump um and then any color you can give on the um raised investments that you you're spending broadly at the centralized level yeah let me take uh let me take the capex and then turn it over to kevin
We've communicated, Pez, over the last couple of years that we're likely to step up CapEx investment program. Historically, it's been 2% to 3% of revenue. We've communicated we have ambition to upgrade our U.S. manufacturing footprint, and we're doing that. We're doing it sequentially around the three sites that we have. We took a step up in 2025 with CapEx just tipping over 30 million. We've communicated 40 million in terms of 2026. This reflects upgrading, automation, modernizing, and a little bit of onboarding of assets as we come out of Asia. We think it's a good step forward for these facilities. More to come as we step through 2026 in how we communicate success around what we're doing here. But at the end of the day, we still remain a very light CapEx business, even at these slightly increased levels. So it's not going to be a large consumer of cash. And as we made in our prepared remarks, cash flow for 2026 is still going to be above 100% of net income, approximately $200 million. So it's not a large consumption of cash here, but it's a great step forward in the operational capabilities of our U.S.
footprint. As for the investment, Pez... Yeah, we've really been consciously investing back into the business, I'd say, over the last, call it 18 months or so, specifically around a few key areas around R&D and then around the customer experience, sales, and marketing. We think it's the right decision to invest in the downturn, so we're better positioned to benefit when the market recovers. As for early indications in terms of feedback and payback, you saw in the prepared remarks a long list of new products that are hitting the market that are really innovation breakthroughs as well as specifically targeting the established aftermarket out there. some of these are new category entrance for us a four horsepower is not a product that we participated in so that's kind of blue sky opportunity for us and we've really been out of the pressure cleaner market for some time as well on top of that though more drop in replacement for uh for competitive product in the aftermarket uh you know is all the result of that uh investment as for the front end um you know we have some great feedback coming out of the field around some dealer conversions, around product training. You heard me talk in the prepared remarks about the establishment of the hubs, which are fit-for-purpose training centers in large markets. So we believe that this is reinforcing our innovation reputation, and it's having the service trade out there more best trained to handle Hayward product and install Hayward product into the marketplace.
Great. That's super helpful. And then just following up on the new product, you know, where do we stand from a vitality index perspective? Where are we looking to go? And then how does the making of Omniacs and automation standard impact the ASP of the product portfolio.
Yeah, Pez, I'll touch on the vitality next. We continue to make improvements there. As we mentioned in our prepared remarks, we have a lot of good new products on the slate that will contribute to revenue and profitability in 2026, and it will elevate up Vitality Index year over year. You know, we remain focused on investing. We've stepped our RD&E investment protocol inside the income statement, as well as on the balance sheet, supporting our facilities with the necessary assets to get after some of these new product platforms. So we're very encouraged now with the momentum that we're gaining in terms of products that have been introduced in the last three years, which are in our revenue profile for 2026.
As for OmniX and how it plays into a fully connected pad out there, we believe that majority of new builds will continue to go the fully wired, fully connected with an Omni control panel installed at that time. But I think that OmniX also plays to the affordability concern out there, that if someone wants to still have an automated pad at time of new build, that they can do that a bit more affordably than maybe the fully connected product pad out there. So, you know, we love bringing new products into this ecosystem and bringing automation to what we estimate to be about three and a half million in-ground pools in the U.S. that don't have any form of connectivity or automation to it. And that's an enormous TAM expansion opportunity for us and for the whole industry to bring automation.
Great, thanks. I'll pass it on.
And moving next to Brian Lee with Goldman Sachs.
Hey, guys. This is Tyler Bissedon for Brian. Thanks for taking our questions. Just first, on your 4% sales growth guidance for the year, how much of that is predicated on a return to positive volume growth versus continued price increases?
Yeah, I mean, we've assumed in terms of guidance, approximately 3% global net price gain year over year and modest volume growth. The pricing will be a little bit higher inside the United States than outside the United States, where we see more modest price increases. As you know, we don't realize all the price given discounts, but plus 3% price and modest volume growth year on year with FX being somewhat neutral.
Super helpful. And while you guys expanded gross margins in the quarter, adjusted EBITDA margins declined a bit and you partially attributed that to targeted strategic growth investments. Should we expect these investments to persist throughout 26? And then I also noticed you didn't provide any EBITDA guidance for the year. Are you planning to provide that later in the year or directionally are you expecting EBITDA to increase year over year?
Let me address almost the entirety of the question. Inside Q4, the majority of the dilution to the margin on adjusted EBITDA was attributable to high rental compensation for both management bonus and sales incentives following a great close to the year. We beat top-line, we beat bottom-line, and we beat our balance sheet targets the full year. So this higher variable compensation, I would say, diluted margins in the queue by approximately 130 basis points. That won't necessarily repeat as we step into the year. Targets are reset, and therefore variable compensation is reset. Also in the course, we recorded costs associated with the settlement of certain litigation. And then as you mentioned, we have continued to invest in our research development and engineering and our sales team infrastructure. And we do expect to leverage that cost base in 2026. I would say in terms of the guidance, you know, we have matured here as an organization. We do believe the adjusted deleted EPS metric is a more complete and accountable measure for us. But I do want to be clear, you know we've we've guided adjusted diluted EPS up 612 at the mid point 9% growth, it is squarely driven on operational performance. we're not assuming any material changes in the capital structure it's about execution efficiency margin delivery inside the income statement, the aggregation. of depreciation, interest, expense, and tax in absolute dollars is fairly comparable year over year with 2025. Depreciation is higher given we're investing in our facilities. Interest expense is lower given the accretion of cash onto the balance sheet and the interest earnings on that. And our tax charge on the business in dollar wise will be higher, but the effective tax rate will be lower.
Super helpful. Thank you.
Moving on to Seri Boroditsky with Jefferies.
Good morning. This is James for Seri. I got dropped during the call, so sorry if this has been already asked. But can you kind of update us on what you're hearing from dealers out there? Like how much bad blood do they hold? And what do they tell you about kind of olivine season for 2027 since one of your competitors kind of talked about like no recovery into 2027 as well. So kind of just wanted to hear your thoughts on it.
You know, we, in the first quarter, we do have a lot of interactions with dealers, regional trade shows, big one in Atlantic City. There's several dealer buying group It shows some of the distributors have retail summits, et cetera. I would say that there's cautious optimism. I'm not in a position to aggregate, you know, overall what kind of an order file or backlog they're carrying into 2026. But I would say in general, those that I spoke to, I really felt there was, you know, we weren't assuming any step level action. change from year ending 25 into 2026. But in terms of leads, it was prompting some general cautious optimism heading into 2026. I wasn't quite clear on the question around 2027 or
Yeah, it was more so like what does your discussion with light dealers tell you about potential 2027 holiday season? I think you kind of answered it.
Yeah, I'm not sure that I would have good insight into 2027 at this point with so much of 2026 yet to play out.
Right, right. Yeah, thanks for the call. And I guess on the pool mix here, can you kind of provide what higher end versus lower end pool mix is currently looking like versus like historical average? And if lower end pool comes back in 2026 or 2027, should we expect some pressure on margins or would volume incremental like offset that?
I would say in general, in terms of new construction, the whole industry is pretty aligned with the fact that call it the 60,000, I'm rounding up from what the current estimates are in terms of U.S. in-ground construction, that the makeup of that build count last year was largely kind of mid to higher end. And that's been the case for a few years now. as we see with the ticket value of those um of those uh builds you know we would we would like to think that with some economic macro improvement um that more of that entry level pool uh would would become a part of the mix um you know i i would say content um from our perspective might be a bit less but in terms of margin you know i would say that the equipment that goes on that entry-level pool has a similar margin profile to the higher end. So I wouldn't assume that that would throw off margin pressure with that segment of the new build market rebounds.
Yeah, I'll just add to that. I mean, most of our products have similar structural gross margins. And then with the additional volume, if and when this business does return, We'd expect to get leverage across the fixed cost base within the business, but within the factories and across the installed SG&A base.
Great.
Thanks for taking the question. Sure.
We'll take our next question from Rob Wertheimer with Mellius.
Hey, good morning. Sorry about before. Our phones went dead. I'm not sure why. Hello, Rob. Good morning. So question is just a little bit on technology-connected pools, benefits, and so on. So was there anything in technology development and competitive front and your own data that made this a good moment to invest a little bit more in OmniAction-specific? And then more generally, could you just talk – obviously, as a consumer, the benefits to having automated pools are great – But maybe just recap, you know, differences between a fully wired, fully connected automated pool and what, you know, what maybe OmniX could do and what benefits that has for you. Thank you.
Yeah, sure. You know, I mean, we're very proud of the ratings that our Omni system receives online. And I think that's really reinforced from voice of customer engagement. that we get back. We do believe, I think as an industry in total, we have identified this upgrading and automating of the installed base as an opportunity that's available. You know, we really felt it's time for us to give the marketplace more tangible opportunities, more affordable opportunities to do that and really do it at one piece at a time as natural break-fix occurs through the natural course of enjoying your pool. I think that's a great entry point to get in and bring automation forward. Frankly, up until very recently, we had a single variable speed pump, which is now the funnel has broadened, Rob, with all variable speed pumps now having the OmniX capability and that universal comms, which I spoke about, which allows you to drop in onto a competitive pad, and it can talk across the equipment that is on that pad. There was a second part of your question, which if you could remind me the second part of the question.
I think you touched on it. Was there anything that made this the right moment for investment? And then just in general, you know, what the benefits to you are, because consumers see huge benefits. You get maybe more pull through, more share, more dealer engagement. I'm just looking for a general overview of how you benefit from that technology. Thanks.
Yeah, yeah. I really do think this is an opportunity to upgrade that aftermarket and And I think the way that we've positioned the universal comms capability in our variable speed pump really broadened the funnel that it doesn't just have to be a Hayward pad that could take on that variable speed pump. in the future, that it's a more wide-open aftermarket opportunity for us. So we're going to continue talking in future earnings calls about additional products that will be bringing the OmniX capability that you can, again, build piece at a time, build out the network or the ecosystem to have full-fledged automation in a pool that may be 10 years old or older.
And moving on to Jeff Hammond with KeyBank Capital Markets.
Hey, good morning, guys. Good morning, Jeff. Just disconnected as well. I noticed in your investments, you know, internal and external, you mentioned kind of industrial flow, which is a small piece of your business. And just it's not a business you talk about much, but just wondering, you know, how you're leaning in on that and should we expect some external growth focus there?
It's a great question. Uh, and I'm glad you picked up on it cause it's a business that we're spending a lot more time understanding what it can become. Um, we spent a lot of time in 2025, you know, um, you know, understanding how that could, how that could grow. When we look at it broadly, uh, Jeff, we see ourselves as experts in water management, whether it's filtration, whether it's filtering, treating, et cetera. And for our first hundred years, we've really focused that capability around residential and commercial pools. And we're trying to determine how that could be leveraged potentially into some other end markets. Nothing really to debut at this point, but it is getting more of the leadership teams involved And we're seeing if this, call it roughly $50 million business, that's extremely profitable, by the way, can become something bigger and more important. Obviously, broader flow control, fluid management, operates in much larger TAMs than the pool industry. So those are the things that have grabbed our attention and that we're spending time determining can it be a bigger platform inside of our business.
Great, great. And then just back on the four horsepower pump and the pressure cleaner, can you just talk about the TAMP for those markets and what you think entitlement is in terms of kind of market share once you're immature in those spaces?
Yeah, I mean, we have, I'll keep our ambitions maybe to myself, but I will identify what we believe those TAMs to be, not necessarily in dollars, but in the four horsepower range. We believe somewhere around a quarter of all pumps are three and a half horsepower or larger. And so it's a meaningful segment of the pump market. And frankly, up until now, we were unable to participate in because our largest pump was about 2.7 horsepower before this for horsepower. So it's an enormous opportunity in an established market. We're really proud of the performance that we have with this new introduction, and we're spending a lot of time educating the marketplace on this new product. As for pressure cleaners, I'll use a round number of You know, in U.S., it's roughly 100,000 units per year. That's about a $50 million. I'm using round numbers here, Jeff, but it's an opportunity that we don't have in either of these two product categories any real volume in our current financials. So that's what has me so excited. For us, we brought great performing product to the marketplace, and now it's our job to get it promoted and educate the marketplace on some of the features and benefits of these new products that we've introduced.
Okay. Appreciate it. Thanks.
And moving next to Andrew Carter with Stifle.
Hey, thank you. Good morning. I wanted to ask, first off, just to confirm, your adjusted EPS guidance for the year does not include any shared purchase. And also, our math suggests your leverage will drop into the low one in 20, in 2026. Is that correct? So I guess, could you refresh, but could you remind us of kind of your cash flow priorities beyond organic investing?
Yeah, good morning, Andrew. Yeah, absolutely. Adjusted diluted EPS guidance for 6 to 12 does not contemplate any material change in the capital structure of the business. This is about execution of operating performance of the business, top line growth of 4%, modest gross margin expansion, further SG&A leverage, good operating profitability growth in the business. In terms of the second part of your question, The, yeah, well, look, the signaling that we're putting out here with $200 million worth of cash flow in the year will... ...the balance sheet right now. Kevin's been mentioning throughout the call opportunities that exist inside M&A. Nothing imminent there. We'll continue to update you as we go through the year. We've got a little bit higher CapEx. But, yeah, we're delivering the balance sheet into a really healthy position absent any other deployment. And then the very last part of the question, Andrew?
I think, oh, I know what it was. It was about the priorities for cash flow beyond organic investment.
Yeah. So, look, I mean, capital allocation remains, as we previously communicated, we're always going to put the first dollar back into the business. In terms of upgrading our facilities through CapEx and making sure that they're well maintained, second dollar will go to M&A opportunities. And, you know, with the balance sheet in the position it is right now, we feel good. We have a lot of optionality. And as Kevin mentioned, you know, we've done really good here with the commercial business. We'll continue to look at tech on opportunities in pool, and we're beginning to look a little bit into the flow control space where we see very credible large TEMs that align with our core competencies. So a lot of great optionality when it comes to M&A. And then we remain opportunistic around share repurchases. We instituted a $450 million share repurchase program toward the end of last year. We've executed a little bit of that in Q4 in terms of anti-dilutive share repurchases. And, you know, again, we remain opportunistic there. But first dollar will be back into the business, second dollar to M&A. And while I'm on this topic, I just want to come back and reaffirm to Tyler, look, adjusted EBITDA is an important metric for us. And we will continue to report adjusted EBITDA as we step through the year. But we're anchoring on adjusted diluted EPS as our guidance metric. We believe that holds us to a higher standard as an organization, but we will continue to report adjusted EBITDA inside our earnings materials as we step through the year.
Thank you. Second question. Per your 10K, there's a pretty notable shipment difference between your top two customers. Some of that would be market share, but I guess I would ask in terms of inventory levels, is there a big difference in approach? And I guess could you also kind of comment overall where channel inventory levels are today?
Thanks. I would say we don't see any major difference in terms of inventory approach between the two large partners that you're referring to. And if I'm the second part of the question, broadening it to more distribution and channel partners that we get data from, We would say that we feel that our inventory exiting 2025 is in a very healthy spot to be able to serve the upcoming season, Andrew. I did just want to circle back because a colleague here pointed out to me when I was answering Jeff Hammond's question. around the four horsepower, I think I said all pumps installed. What I meant to say was all variable speed pumps, because there's still a number of single speed pumps out there that I wanted to make sure I clarified on. So thanks for that.
Great. I'll pass it on. Thank you.
Thanks, everyone. Thanks.
And this now concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the floor back over to Kevin Halloran for closing comments.
Thanks, Carrie. I want to thank all our employees and partners around the world. Your dedication and hard work have been essential, not just in closing out a strong year, but in helping us conclude Hayward's first hundred years with real momentum. We're excited for what's ahead as we begin our next century. If you have any follow-up questions, please reach out to our team. We appreciate your continued interest in Hayward and look forward to speaking with you again on our next earnings call. Carrie, you may now end the call.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.