6/13/2024

speaker
Brian Napack
Executive Chairman

These responses reflect management's views as of today and will include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those statements. The company does not undertake any obligation to update them to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. Also, Wiley provides non-GAAP measures as a supplement to evaluate underlying operating profitability and performance trends. These measures do not have standardized meanings prescribed by U.S. GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies nor should they be viewed as alternatives to measures under GAAP. Unless otherwise noted, we will refer to non-GAAP metrics on the call, and balances are on a year-over-year basis and will exclude held-for-sale assets and the impact of currency. Additional information is included in our filings with the SEC. A copy of this presentation and transcript will be available on our investor relations webpage at investors.wiley.com. I'll now turn the call over to Matt Kister.

speaker
Matt Kister
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Brian. And thank you everyone for joining us today. What a difference a year makes. Today we look forward with renewed confidence and optimism as a leaner and stronger Wiley. We are executing with much greater discipline and rigor. We have met and exceeded our stated commitments. And we are seeing strong momentum in our businesses and value creation activities. I'll start by reviewing how we did against our objectives and provide an update on the emerging and exciting GenAI opportunities in front of us. I'll walk through our fourth quarter and full year performance and then review our momentum heading into fiscal 25. Christina will walk through our value creation plan progress, reinvestments, segment performance, and fiscal 25 outlook. After summarizing, we'll open it up for questions. Jay Flynn will be joining us as well. Wiley is enabling the creation of new knowledge and its application in critical areas of the global knowledge economy in science, medicine, technology, and engineering, in business, economics, and finance. As a knowledge company, Wiley has played a foundational role in everything from the industrial revolution to the information age. Now Wiley is beginning to play a critical role in the rise of artificial intelligence and machine learning. Our knowledge, content, tools, and services remain as relevant as ever. It's been a very eventful year for Wiley, and I'm proud to say that we finished strong. Research is seeing strong underlying momentum heading into fiscal 25 after some unusual challenges to start the year. Demand to publish and output are well ahead of expectations. Learning continues to outperform driven by solid execution and favorable market conditions. Gen AI demand is accelerating. We've already executed two content rights projects for large tech companies. I'll talk more about this opportunity in a moment. We're piloting GenAI productivity tools across the organization. We're deploying it in our research publishing platform and using it to drive publishing efficiency and detect research integrity issues. Today's Wiley is about execution, blocking and tackling, and creating meaningful shareholder value. To that end, we have closed on the sale of two of our three divestitures and the third is in process. We further accelerated our $130 million cost-saving program with 70% of it now actioned and in-year savings higher than anticipated. Finally, We increased share repurchases in the second half of fiscal 24 and rewarded shareholders with a dividend raise for the 30th consecutive year. We have more work to do, of course, to realize our full potential, and that work will never end. We are going to continue to deliver cost savings and efficiency gains above and beyond the $130 million program as we drive toward further margin expansion beyond fiscal 26. I am very pleased about our progress so far and very confident in our direction of travel. Let's talk about how we delivered on our stated commitments. When I stepped into the role right around mid-year, I said that we were going to be relentless in our execution and move with certainty on our value plans operational improvements, RE-ORG, and culture. This is what we've done. We delivered revenue at the higher end of our guidance as projected. Today's Wiley is more predictable and focused with greater visibility and consistency. All of us are proud to say that we exceeded our EBITDA and EPS guidance even after revising them upward in Q3. Today, Wiley is leaner, more competitive, and more efficient. We set out to accelerate our restructuring plans and operating improvements over the back half of the year, and we've done exactly that. Last June, Christina projected to exit the year at or better than our fiscal 23 adjusted EBITDA margin, which was 23.3%. We delivered a Q4 margin of 28.3%, or 25.6% excluding the AI deal. This is not a sustained exit rate heading into fiscal 25 as seasonality played a role. That said, we remain on track with our margin expansion targets in fiscal 25 and 26, and we fully expect to deliver on these while reinvesting for sustained long-term growth. As discussed, We have materially exceeded our in-year cost savings goals this year. We originally projected $30 million and ended with $60 million of savings. This is the result of relentless execution and the importance of hitting the ground running. Free cash flow is a consistent strength of ours, and we delivered $114 million versus our projection of $100 million, mainly due to cash earnings outperformance. As a reminder, we're in a muted two-year period for cash flow due to restructuring and investment, but we expect to be back in the $200 million range in fiscal 26 and see continuous upside from there. Finally, the Wiley culture has been reinvigorated by the move to a much simpler and more efficient organization. Everyone is in sync and rowing in the same direction, It's just a lot easier to get things done here. Let's talk about the AI opportunity. Wiley has become one of the early beneficiaries of Gen AI development. Our high quality content in science, learning and innovation is foundational for training and fine tuning large language models and applications. Large AI developers, and R&D intensive corporates can use it to greatly improve the accuracy, safety, and impact of their models and shorten their time to market. Demand is therefore accelerating. This quarter, as previously discussed, we executed a $23 million licensing project with a large tech company for our previously published learning content. We're following that up with a $21 million project with another tech company for a mix of learning and research content to be recognized in fiscal 25. Both of these projects are of limited duration with limited rights and use, in this case for model training purposes. They are non-exclusive, subject to extension, and do not constrain us from pursuing further opportunities. We see the new AI business opportunity in two stages. The first as discussed is content licensing or providing limited access to select content for the purposes of developing Gen AI models. The opportunity is right here and now. In addition to the two executed deals, We're seeing significant interest from other LLM developers for increasingly specific and technical content. This is precisely what Wiley specializes in, with over 200 years of history behind us. It's still too early to size these opportunities, but we are seeing a growing interest while remaining prudent on the scope of the rights granted. The second stage is developing new business models around content application that brings us ever closer to the customer. These include recurring licensing arrangements as these models evolve and as companies bring our content into their AI environments. For example, Wiley is a leading provider of scientific content. We can embed this content into gen AI applications for pharmaceutical companies, healthcare providers, chemical companies, government agencies, and many others. Wiley is also a leading provider of business and economics content, which we can embed into applications with financial services providers. These are just some examples of the opportunities ahead. In addition to content licensing and application, another very real GenAI opportunity for us is in product and publishing innovation. Through various AI-based tools, we are transforming how we publish by shortening authoring time and effort, increasing editorial productivity, and streamlining content workflow. We have already deployed AI into our research platform, using it to safeguard research integrity at the point of article submission. In fact, we've introduced a new service that incorporates six distinct tools to identify potentially compromised content, including papermill similarity detection, problematic phrase recognition, researcher identity verification, and Gen AI content detection, among others. We're already piloting this service with key society and publishing partners as the industry tackles this issue head on. Through our past experience, we've become a thought leader in this area, and we're sharing our insights with others. Finally, we're already deploying AI to materially improve office productivity and customer service as we begin to transform how we work. In customer service, for example, we're already seeing cost savings and reductions in handle time through the latest AI augmentation and automated processes. To summarize, Wiley is highly valued and well positioned in the evolution of AI. With closing deals, developing additional opportunities, and seeing both quality and efficiency gains today. As I've said before, we are confident that the advancement of these technologies will be a contributor to customer value, productivity, and growth in the years to come. Let me briefly touch on our performance for the quarter. Christina will provide more detail. As a reminder, we will be excluding our held for sale or sold assets in our commentary unless otherwise noted. We finished strong due to our accelerated value creation plan savings and the $23 million GenAI Contents Rights project and learning. Adjusted revenue was up 4% to $441 million driven by growth and learning, including the GenAI Content Rights Project. Academic continued to outperform as it has all year. This was partially offset by timing and lower ancillary print and licensing revenue in research. Adjusted EBITDA rose 7% to $125 million from the combination of revenue growth and restructuring savings. As I mentioned, adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter was 28.3%. Adjusted EPS rose 2% to $1.21, with strong revenue performance partially offset by tech write-offs as part of legacy decommissioning. Our Q4 gap results continued to be impacted by the divestitures and related activity, as well as restructuring. On to our full year performance. As a reminder, Fiscal 24 was a transitional year as we made the necessary moves to become a higher performing and more profitable Wiley. These structural changes and transition year dynamics were evident in our GAAP results shown here. I'll be focusing on our adjusted results. Full-year adjusted revenue declined modestly to $1.617 billion. Outperformance in learning was offset by a decline in research due to the COVID research lag and the effects of the Hindawi disruption. Also note we had some currency favorability on revenue this year of about $11 million. Adjusted EBITDA was down 3% to $369 million, largely due to revenue performance. Our adjusted EBITDA margin for the year was 22.8%. Adjusted EPS was down 19% due to a combination of lower operating income and higher interest and tax expense. And as noted, free cash flow of $114 million compared to $173 million in the prior year due to a combination of transition year factors, including lower cash earnings and restructuring, plus higher interest. As a reminder, we don't report an adjusted free cash flow metric, so this number includes the held for sale assets. Let's talk about our momentum heading into fiscal 25. I'll start with research. Submissions growth, a critical leading demand indicator, has risen to 15% on a trailing 12-month basis. This is considerably higher than we expected and speaks to the global research you demand to publish, be recognized, and further one's career. Wiley enables all of this as a leading peer review publisher. Output growth has rapidly accelerated. After a slow start, we saw marked improvement throughout the year with output growing by mid-single digits in Q4. We're seeing solid growth patterns return in the U.S., EMEA, and Japan. And we're seeing strong demand in the high-growth markets like China and India. In fiscal 25, we expect to see continued mid-single-digit output growth, and that's reflected in our revenue projections. Third, our institutional models are strong with steady growth expected. As a reminder, these models, which include both subscriptions for research libraries and institutional open access agreements with consortia or single institutions, are recurring in nature. Fourth, gold open access is expected to continue to deliver about 20% growth To refresh, Gold Open Access is our author-funded OA model. As always, journal quality and impact are paramount, and we remain very well positioned as a best-in-class publisher with leading portfolios in chemistry, material science, energy, oncology, food science, and many others. Finally, the development of our research publishing platform is accelerating. We recently successfully completed our first large-scale journal migration, and we're now expecting to have the platform fully deployed in fiscal 25, earlier than we originally projected. This platform will allow us to deliver incremental growth by standing up new content offerings and improving article refer and transfer. It should lead to a material reduction in turnaround times and cost per article, and allow us to detect research integrity issues through the use of AI. After some outliers this year, we're now seeing the obvious upside of a simpler Wiley focused intently on its research core. Let's now turn to our momentum in learning. It was a consistently good year above and beyond the Gen AI deal. Market conditions turned favorable, particularly in academic digital content and courseware. Undergrad enrollment increased for the first time since the pandemic. Institutions gravitated towards inclusive access models, where the cost of digital course content is added to the students' tuition and fees. And our STEM courseware product continued to see strong growth in adoptions and usage. We expect this positive momentum to continue. I want to take a moment and commend the team this year for not only delivering better than expected revenue growth, but significant margin acceleration as well. In professional, we're seeing very good momentum in signing up new authors and titles, a result of simply focusing on this profitable business more than we have in the past. Given the long lead time to publish, we'll see the benefit of these signings beginning in fiscal 25. Our assessments business grew modestly in fiscal 24, but we expect better growth from the recent expansion of our sales partner network. Finally, as noted, we're going to continue to respond to and actively pursue opportunities for our learning content in Gen AI models. In summary, we're pleased with our overall momentum heading into fiscal 25. I'll turn it over to Christina.

speaker
Christina Bossler
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Matt, and hello, everyone. I want to start by thanking our global colleagues for all they've done to get us here. We are a much stronger company than we were last June. At this time last year, we announced our value creation plan. I said then we were about to embark on a clear and decisive plan to simplify our portfolio. This would enable us to focus on our most competitively advantaged businesses in order to drive consistent growth while streamlining the organization, expanding profit margins, and deploying our capital more efficiently. So let's review our progress to date. We reorganized the businesses from three disparate segments into one go-to-market research and learning team under Jay Flynn. This has been a great move for us, and we continue to advance commercial gains and unlock synergies from this important realignment. We've closed on the sale of both University Services and Wiley Edge. Total consideration for both is approximately $175 million, subject to adjustments. Our primary goal here was to free ourselves of these stressed non-core assets to focus on our profitable and cash-generative core. The remaining divestiture across knowledge is in process and is immaterial. We actually have $90 million of run rate savings in our $130 million savings plan. with 60 million of it being realized in-year. The remainder will be actioned in fiscal 25 ahead of schedule. The key drivers here are corporate overhead savings, business savings from the consolidation of various functions in our real estate footprint, as well as technology savings from the retirement of legacy systems and reduced hosting costs. During the year, we further consolidated our office footprint with two office closures and four reductions. Since March of 2020, we've reduced our global office footprint by around 40%. Also note, as part of our tech consolidation and modernization, we wrote off tech debt this quarter. As a reminder, we expect half of the $130 million of savings to flow through the margin and have to be reinvested. This is reflected in our fiscal 25 outlook and fiscal 26 targets. In addition, We will also be reinvesting a portion of the proceeds from our large content deals towards driving sustained profitable growth. Let's talk about where we're reinvesting. Our primary objective is to drive additional growth in research where we have strong competitive advantage and pent-up demand. This includes scaling our journal portfolio and refer and transfer capabilities, extending our flagship journal brands into additional verticals, and optimizing go-to-market to attract and retain authors. It also includes expanding our editorial capacity and corporate research sales teams. We will also invest in signing new in-demand authors and titles on the learning side to better leverage the publishing infrastructure we have in place. Second, we are investing in GenAI growth and productivity initiatives, including optimizing our content for LLM deployment, leveraging GenAI in our content-enabled applications, and developing new business models. We are also investing in AI productivity tools for our colleagues. We're modernizing our systems to improve speed, decision-making, and productivity. We've talked about two specific areas here, our research publishing platform and our infrastructure modernization. We are confident these initiatives will enhance revenue growth and margin acceleration beyond fiscal 26, as we grow to meet the ever-increasing demand to publish and take full advantage of the GenAI opportunity. We also expect to lower our costs to publish through workflow automation, content reuse, and the decommissioning of legacy systems. Finally, we expect to deliver a superior author experience through faster turnaround times and article transfer, which we believe will give us competitive advantage in the marketplace. Let's turn to our research performance in this unusual year. We had the adverse Hyundai impact and the COVID research lag. As noted, the Hindawi Journal portfolio is now integrated within the Wiley Open Access portfolio, and the COVID lag is fully behind us. So I'll focus on the quarter. Research revenue is down 3% due to timing and declines in our ancillary print and licensing revenue. The timing impact involved a portion of our journal revenue slipping into fiscal 25, a fairly common occurrence stemming from the divergence of our fiscal year and the research library budget season. We expect to recover this delayed revenue in Q1. Research Solutions had a down quarter due to soft market conditions for advertising and recruiting, offsetting moderate growth in our publishing solutions business for societies. We have good visibility based on customer contracts signed in fiscal 23 and 24, and so we expect better performance in 25. In Q4, adjusted EBITDA for research declined 12% due to the unusual year-over-year incentive comp swing, which we've discussed all year. Our Q4 margin was 34.6%. In summary, we feel good about research heading into fiscal 25. Strong publishing KPIs and trends are expected to deliver double-digit revenue growth in gold open access, steady growth at our multi-year institutional models, and material improvement in the solutions. Let's talk about learnings outperformance. The team executed exceedingly well in driving both mid-single-digit growth and 600 basis points of margin expansion this year, yet another outcome of a more focused Wiley. For the quarter, academic revenue rose 22% or 8% excluding the Gen AI deal, driven by continued strong growth in digital content and courseware and rights and licensing. Also, according to industry data, U.S. undergrad enrollment rose 1.2% in the fall and 2.5% in the spring, so a positive trend there after several years of decline. Professional revenue rose 13% in the quarter, but was down 5%, excluding the Gen AI deal. Performance was driven by modestly lower backlist and frontless sales. To refresh, Gen AI content revenue is split evenly between academic and professional. Adjusted EBITDA and learning for the quarter rose 54%, mainly driven by revenue performance and cost savings. Our Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin was 43.5%. In summary, we feel good about learning. Higher education market conditions are more favorable now than in recent past, both in terms of enrollment and demand. In professional, we drove higher title and author signings, which will start to come online in fiscal 25 and beyond. In assessments, We expanded the number of sales agents by 19%, which gives us a good outlook for our personality assessment and team development products. Okay, let's move from segments into corporate expenses. For the year, we saw a 4% increase as expected in the corporate line to $163 million, offsetting value creation plan savings. The net increase was largely due to the lower incentive accrual in the prior years due to underperformance, higher executive costs this year related to severance, and transition year consulting fees. Let's turn now to our fiscal 25 outlook. Given many indicators and favorable trends, we're projecting full year revenue of $1.65 to $1.69 billion for a top line growth of 2% to 4%. This is driven by an expectation of low to mid single digit growth in research and low single digit growth in learning. Two important things to note. First, Our outlook includes both Gen AI content deals with 23 million recognized in Cisco 24 and 21 million recognized in Cisco 25. It does not reflect additional content licensing deals for Gen AI models. We will update our guidance during the year if additional deals materialize. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in a range of 385 to 410 million for a growth of 4 to 11%. This reflects a margin target of 23 to 24%. Performance is expected to be driven by a combination of revenue growth and continued cost savings partially offset by reinvestment in research, gen AI, and infrastructure modernization. Adjusted EPS is expected to be in a range of $3.25 to $3.60 for growth of 17 to 29%. The primary drivers are higher expected adjusted operating income and accrued interest income from divestitures, offsetting higher interest and tax expense. Free cash flow is anticipated to be approximately $125 million, up from $114 million. This is due to improved working capital and lower restructuring payments, offsetting higher capex and higher incentive compensation payments compared to the normally low payouts in the prior year. As noted, We anticipate CapEx to be approximately $130 million compared to $93 million this year due to near-term infrastructure investments. So, cash flow remains below historical norms in fiscal 25 due to a combination of elevated CapEx and restructuring activities. As a reminder, we expect to be at $200 million in fiscal 26 as cash earnings continue to improve, CapEx normalizes, and restructuring tapers. In terms of quarterly phasing, The $21 million GENAI content rights project in fiscal 25 will be recognized in the first two quarters of this year. Moving on to our financial position. Free cash flow for the year of $114 million was down $59 million as expected. Lower adjusted EBITDA, higher restructuring interest payments, and lower incentive comp payments offset lower capex. For the year, we allocated $122 million towards dividends and share repurchases, up $10 million versus prior year. $45 million of that was used to acquire 1.3 million shares at an average cost per share of $34.71. This compares to 832,000 shares repurchased in the prior year period. Our current dividend yield remains above 3.5%. Finally, Net debt to EBITDA ratio was 1.7 at the end of April compared to 1.5 in the prior year. With that, I'll pass it back over to Matt.

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