7/22/2026

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Sigma Foods second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. All participants are currently in listen only mode. After the company's prepared remarks, we will open the call for a question and answer session. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. The replay will be available on Sigma Foods investor relations website later today. I will now turn the call over to Hernan Lozano, Sigma Foods IRO.

speaker
Hernan Lozano
Investor Relations Officer

Thank you, operator. And good morning to everyone joining us today. Further details regarding our second quarter results can be found in the press release and earnings presentation that were distributed yesterday. Both documents are available in the investor relations section of our website. Before we begin, please note that today's discussion will include forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially. Sigma Foods undertakes no obligation to update these statements. It is my pleasure to participate in today's call together with Rodrigo Fernandez, CEO, and Roberto Olivares, CFO. Today's agenda is straightforward. Rodrigo will start a strategic overview, Roberto will follow with a financial review, and we will conclude with Q&A. With that, I'll turn the call over to Rodrigo. Thank you, Hernan, and good morning, everyone.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Sigma Foods continued to build on the strong start of 2026, delivering record second quarter volume, revenues, and comparable EBITDA. This good performance reflects the adaptability of our diversified business model and reinforces active trajectory toward our financial objectives. During the quarter, we also made meaningful progress on several strategic priorities by investing in strengthening our manufacturing network and complementing our portfolio through a disciplined acquisition. In Europe, we reached important milestones in our capacity recovery plan. We advanced in the startup process of new bacon production capacity at La Gureva plant and continued the construction of our new facility in Valencia to begin production in summer of 2027 as plant. Together, these assets will restore the capacity lost in the torrente plant flooding and support the long-term profitability and growth of our European business. In the United States, we completed the acquisition of Royal Wood Foods, a sausage producer with a leading brand in the South Earth region. This bolt-on transaction complements ongoing organic initiatives, including a recent nationwide Sigma product launch as we expand our participation in the sausage category, which represents a high potential opportunity for U.S. operations. In addition to disciplined investment in high return projects, returning capital to shareholders is a core component of our capital allocation strategy, with cash dividends representing the primary mechanism. During the second quarter, we paid the first installment of our approved annual cash dividend, totaling $76 million. The second installment will be pending on top. We also executed opportunistic share buybacks reflecting our constructive view of the underlying value of the business, particularly in the context of the recent share price drops. From a valuation perspective, We're actively engaging with consumer sector investors and analysts to strengthen awareness of Sigma Foods as a leading global food company. These efforts have contributed to expanding our sell-side coverage, enhancing our reach within the investing community, and supporting a greater understanding of our long-term value proposition. We appreciate the opportunity to connect with all market participants. As we reflect on the first half of 2026, Sigma Foods has made encouraging progress across multiple fronts. Our diversified business is well positioned to navigate a food market environment where we continue to see a healthy balance between external tailwinds and headwinds. Looking ahead, we have greater confidence in delivering our full year EBITDA guidance of 1.1 business. With that, I will now turn the call over to Roberto for a more detailed review of our first quarter financial results.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Rodrigo, and good morning, everyone. The second quarter represents another period of solid consolidated results, driven by consistent execution and the positive effect of currency translation. Revenues were up 6% versus second Q25 and increased 10% in the first half of the year. Reflecting moderate volume growth, stable currency-neutral average prices, and a favorable foreign exchange conversion effect. Importantly, comparable EBITDA was 17% higher both on a quarterly and accumulated basis, with strong contributions from Mexico, Europe, and Latin America. Let me walk you through key results by region. Mexico delivered another outstanding performance with record-high second-quarter volume, revenues, and EBITDA. In the current consumer environment, we continue to see different volume dynamics by channel, categories, and brand segments, with a stronger momentum in retail relative to whole service, in the dairy category, and in value-oriented brands. Positive Volume Growth Improving input cost and a favorable currency translation effect boosted accumulated EBITDA by 23% versus the first half of 2025. In Europe, volume and comparable EBITDA continued to grow, supported by the fresh meat business, which benefited from a temporary decline in the light-hot prices in Spain. The business delivered its highest second quarter comparable EBITDA since 2021, reflecting the continued progress of our turnaround efforts. Due to late, comparable EBITDA is 66 higher than the first half of 2025. In the United States, seasonal trends supported sequential increase of 12% in volume, 9% in revenues, and 12% in EBITDA. Excluding the integration of Royal Woods Foods. Toward the end of the quarter, we also observed early signs of year-on-year improvement in monthly volume trends. We expect further improvement in year-on-year trends during the second half of 2026. Also, the integration of Royal Woods Foods is advancing as planned, with results during the first two months of operation in line with our expectations. On a final note, Latin America continues positive momentum, delivering record second quarter volume and the fourth consecutive quarter of sequential EBITDA improvement, supported by better price-cost alignment and an operation of efficiencies across the region. Moving on to selected items below the EBITDA line. Our accumulated net financial cost was $123 million compared to Thank you very much. Thank you. which benefited from extraordinary items including insurance reimbursements related to property damage as well as higher foreign exchange gains. Let me close with a brief comment regarding our strong balance sheet. Net debt ended the quarter at approximately 2.9 billion, up 78 million quarter of quarter, reflecting primarily a non-cash foreign exchange conversion effect. Our net leverage ratio stood at 2.7 times at the close of the second quarter. We expect this key metric to trend lower, closer to our long-term target of 2.5 times by year-end, supported by strong cash generation. Sigma Foods remains well-positioned to continue investing in its business model. Thank you, Roberto.

speaker
Hernan Lozano
Investor Relations Officer

We will now open the line for questions. Operator, please.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Dear participant, if you like to ask a question, please use the raise your hand button of your Zoom tool.

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Our first question comes from Ben Taylor of Barclays. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Ben Taylor
Analyst, Barclays

Good morning, Rodrigo, Roberto, Hernan.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks for taking my question.

speaker
Ben Taylor
Analyst, Barclays

Two quick ones I had for you. First of all, you've highlighted some of the sequential improvement in your prepared remarks, particularly in the U.S., So as we're looking into the back half and thinking of just normal seasonality, but still kind of like a protein market that it's somewhat stretched too thin, particularly on the beef side. Are you seeing any opportunities as it relates to kind of like some sort of share gains within your portfolio against other core proteins? And within that, What is your cost outlook from a raw material piece? Because you obviously highlighted the lower chip prices, etc. So just as you look into the second half, what's your outlook, volume, and cost? And then I have a quick follow-up on Europe. Thank you.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Ben. Good morning. This is Roberto. Let me answer the question from the end of your question, and then I will move to the beginning. We are seeing a better dynamic in raw materials, particularly in the turkey segment. As we reported in our earnings release, turkey thigh and turkey breast has increased significantly during the quarter, and we're seeing that new level of prices increasing. at least to continue at that level, if not to continue a little bit lower. In the case of pork, which is also a relevant component of our cost structure, particularly in Europe, we're also seeing a better dynamic there, given the ISS in Spain that is helping us to mitigate any impact there. In the dairy segment, I would say, particularly some meat proteins and non-fat During the quarter, it was a little bit tighter, the market. Hopefully, by the second half of the year, we will see a very dynamic start. In regards to the sequential improvement, there's some seasonality, I would say, particularly in the second quarter in the U.S. because of the summer season and how volume trends. But for the second half of the year, we do expect that the year-on-year trends on volume for the U.S. to get better. Due to two things. First, a better comparable base, a lower comparable base. And the second one, as well, new listings that we are getting into the main retailers In our categories, and I will say in adjacent categories or high potential opportunities for us in the U.S., like the case of Cook Cleaner Sausage. In regards to market share, I will say that in most of our categories in the U.S., or in our biggest category in the U.S., which is hot dogs, we are pretty much in line with the industry, so our market share has remained solid there. In other categories where we see high potential opportunities, as in the case of ham and poultry or dinner sausage, we are gaining some share in those categories, which is still a small portion of ourselves, but where we want to continue growing in those seconds.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

And just as a compliment, Ben, I would say that By the end of the quarter, by June, we saw almost flat compared to last quarter. So we expect something similar in the third quarter, seeing almost flat in the U.S., and we see a positive comparison compared to fourth quarter to compare to fourth quarter 2025, volume-wise.

speaker
Ben Taylor
Analyst, Barclays

Perfect. And then in Europe, real quick, you had again a quarter with higher fresh contribution, which kind of like brought your prices down. So how long should we expect this to last? Is that still something that's probably going to be a drag on pricing, just average pricing in the third quarter, just given what the dynamics are right now? Or how should we think about the pricing dynamics as it relates to the fresh business?

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Thank you, Ben. I think the first reason is important to think about price-cost alignment. And at the end, Thank you very much. That is a number that we should be consistent with, and if price of raw materials go up or down, I think what is important is just to follow through and then give that return.

speaker
Ben Taylor
Analyst, Barclays

Okay, makes sense. Thank you very much. Congrats on the results.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Ben.

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Our next question comes from Rodolfo Ramos of Radesco. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Rodolfo Ramos
Analyst, Radesco

Good morning. Hi, Rodrigo, Roberto, Hernan. Thanks for taking my question and congrats on the great results. It was interesting to see the slide with the marketing campaign with Luis Garcia. Would you say that there was a notable influence Alvaro Fernandez Garza, Eduardo Olivares, Carlos Jimenez Barrera, Rodrigo Fernandez Martinez, Sergio Rolando Zubiran Shetler The second one is that it's a bit on the cost side. I mean, you're getting clearly breathing room on some of your import cost. I mean, does the, you know, the news around the Strait of Hormuz or El Nino, I mean, does that make you worry at all for the second half or maybe even next year? Thank you.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Rolfo. Let me start with the first one, and I'll leave the second one for Roberto. The campaign in Garcia actually was pretty good. The food, instead of food, and it was very viral. And at the end I would say that we do have campaigns for the rest of the year. That was a good campaign, but we do have campaigns also for the rest of the year in the different geographies. It is important to support the brands all over the place. And we do see sales growth In other regions for the rest of the year. Low single digit volume, but we do see positive in all the geographies. And again, all of them supported with some campaigns. And as far as Mexico for this quarter, we do see, depending on the category, so we do see very good growth on dairy, especially if you think about it in volume, in yogurts. We do see a lot of growth in yogurt such as Griego, which has very nice contribution and attempt. What we do see is that people are using some dairy products like yogurt for different occasions. Before it used to be for breakfast, for example, and now they use it between the day and some other things. So we do see a positive, stable change for the future in yogurt. We also see some... Some positive trends on the proximity channel within Mexico and also in value brands. And if you think about the case of pricing and mix, it also depends a lot on raw materials. So we have been increasing prices, for example, in the case of Turkey in the last couple of months, years. And what we see forward, again, it's having a good price-cost alignment. which at the end will allow us to have some volume growth, which is important. Margins that comes from Presto's limit, but at the end, if they have returns. So if you think about what we think going forward, it's both balancing the volume for having revenues growth in the medium long term, but at the same time with very nice if they have returns going forward.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

If I can just compliment a little bit on the question on volume. regarding the World Cup. So we were expecting a little bit more volume coming from the food service sector. We didn't see that much as we expected, so we have a limited benefit from there. We saw, and this was all over the news, lower expected international tourists, particularly in Mexico or chartered stays if they were vacationing and and higher ticket prices that we think that affected the overall performance of the industry. However, as Rodrigo mentioned, a lot of the growth that we saw in Mexico during the quarter has to do with retail and has to do more with the dairy and the category. So that's the good part about the diversification that we have different levers that we can pull out If you see there's a lot of volatility in the market, you just mentioned two different drivers of that volatility. We have seen some impact in some of our costs, particularly those related to freight. In some regions in the U.S., in Mexico, we have seen some additional costs as well in some of the plastic packaging for our products. However, as we have said in the past, we do not see this impact as something that we cannot manage through our Even revenue management initiatives or efficiencies that we're looking in the organization. So there's still some headwinds, I would say, in the second half of the year. But as we mentioned in our initial remarks, we remain confident that the tailwinds, particularly neat raw material, is going to help us offset that headwind.

speaker
Rodolfo Ramos
Analyst, Radesco

Thank you. And maybe one last one, if I may. Can you remind us your FX sensitivity?

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Sure. For each peso of depreciation, the translation effect is around $30 to $35 million of translation in medida.

speaker
Rodolfo Ramos
Analyst, Radesco

Wonderful. Thank you and congrats on the result.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Roberto. Thank you.

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Our next question comes from Nicolás Rodríguez of Citi. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Nicolás Rodríguez
Analyst, Citi

Hi, Rodrigo, Roberto, Hernan. With first half Comprova EBITDA effectively halfway to 1.1% Thank you, Nicolas.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

We are, I would say, we are on track on all geographies in regards to what we expected in Gaia. I know that the U.S. is performing a little bit softer than the rest of the region, but that was our initial assumption since the beginning of the year. We see better dynamics, particularly in Mexico, that could potentially... In general, all of the regions are tracking in line with what we expected since the beginning.

speaker
Nicolás Rodríguez
Analyst, Citi

Okay, thank you. If I may, another, you highlight an improvement in U.S. trends during June. Could you discuss what's changing during this month? What's happening in June, please?

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Perfect. There are two things, Nicolás. On one side, as Roberto mentioned, we had our comparison base. Last year, we lowered a little the inventories that we had with some promotions and taking away that, but June, as I said, was almost back. But at the same time, Roberto also mentioned that we have had new listings in national retailers. Those listings have been going through the months of the quarter, so by now most of them are on, and therefore we expect those listings also to help us out within the next months until the end of the year.

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Thank you so much, you guys.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you very much.

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Our next question comes from Enrique Morello of Morgan Stanley. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Enrique Morello
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi everyone, thank you so much for taking my question. I have two follow-ups here. The first one on Mexico's top-line growth, more specifically on pricing. You mentioned some price increases in some categories, some discounts in others, and the idea that you have been conveying for a while of passing through the lower costs for consumers as well. But thinking about the prices for this quarter specifically, were there any mixed effects or something like that that impacted the unit revenue growth, having in mind the deceleration? And considering the favorable costs on a sequential basis that you mentioned as well, and considering that even with lower accelerating unit costs, you also grew margins a lot in MaxScope, If you could also comment on how are you thinking about the magnitude of potential additional discounts going forward and what are you expecting in terms of elasticity from the consumer or volume growth coming from those discounts in the second half of the year, that would be very helpful. And my second follow-up on the below-the-line dynamics... We noticed the higher net financial results that you mentioned in the initial remarks. I understand as well the higher effects results you mentioned, but just make sure if there was any one-off effect or non-cash effect that impacted that line during the quarter and how should we think about that normalized behavior going forward. Those are my two follow-ups. Thank you very much.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Enrique. This is Roberto. Let me go first through your second question, the net financial cost. If you see, almost 90% of the change has to do with lower FX gains in second Q26. And that has to do with the appreciation of the Mexican peso. In the second Q25, the Mexican peso appreciated around 1 peso and 43 cents. while in the second quarter of 26 the peso appreciated around $0.60. So in the second quarter of 26 we have a lower appreciation of the Mexican peso. Our U.S. denominated debt is translated into a lower peso figure as the peso appreciates and this is reflected in the net financial cost as a net exchange. So most of the effect, again, has to do with the next financial cost. It has to do with that effect. And the remaining 10% has to do with higher interest expense coming from a large proportion of PESO-denominated debt, as in this year we moved a little bit more of our debt into Mexican PESO to be more in line with our editor generation. Let me move now to your first question regarding Mexico's top line and additional volume dynamics. Let me just say that we, Roger was mentioning that in previous years, due to the inflation of Turkey, we have increased prices. Actually, this quarter, prices, if you compare it to last year, Thank you very much. Our managing margin going forward, we, as we have said in the past, we are very conscious of trying to incentivize volume. So we will try to manage our revenue management initiatives in order to also capture a good margin, but also being able to incentivize volume in the long term.

speaker
Enrique Morello
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

That's helpful. Thank you very much.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

I think that the last thing that Roberto said is very important, and it's a good way of thinking about it, how we think about it. It's just how to make sure that we can have sustainable volume growth for the long term, but balance with a good EBITDA return. So at the end, those are most of the two check balances that we do very often in other geographies. for the present and for the future.

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Our next question comes from Felipe Ucos of Scotiabank. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Felipe Ucos
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thanks, operator, and good morning. Rodrigo Roberto Hernan. Quick question on SG&A. As a percentage of sales, SG&A has been running a little bit hotter than historically, and I asked about that last quarter. It's mostly been coming on the sales and distribution front, and you explained that a lot of that had to do with product mix. Just wondering if there are other things in play there. Not sure if perhaps you shifted the timing of your marketing spend because of the World Cup, or if there's any shift across regions that has probably making regions with higher SG&A profiles take a bigger chunk of the participation. Any color that you can give is on what things are moving there, but perhaps more importantly, what you expect for the coming quarters and for the long run, given that that had been such a stable number for five years and it's been rising quite fast. And then the second one on M&A, the Roger Woodfruits acquisition, Just wondering about the rationale behind this one. Clearly, it plays in a space where you're already present and it complements the portfolio. But it also calls my attention that it's a local brand. So just wondering if this is something you're planning to bring to the national level. And also, if you can discuss any footprint deficiencies that you can have, because obviously you're going to have a plant in a new location in the U.S. I'm just wondering if that's going to happen in the Thank you.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Felipe. This is Roberto. Let me answer the first one related to expenses. If you see expenses, expenses grew, how they grew over the quarter versus last year, Around one-third of the effect has to do with the appreciation of the Mexican peso. So if you see currency neutral, you still see a growth, but a lower one. Then a lot of that has to do with payroll increases to inflation. There are some additional freight costs, as I explained. Not only are we seeing a higher freight cost to fuel, but also availability, truckers' availability, and in general, other dynamics in the freight industry that are impacting cost. And also we say that as we move more, more yogurt volume is usually a little bit less efficient than processed meats. So that's also increased a little bit more freight. And marketing, as Rodrigo mentioned, we have been investing a little bit more on marketing as we're trying to incentivize volume and capture more market share. So that has also increased a little bit the expenses.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

And Felipe, this is Rodrigo on the Roger Wood side. Thank you. First, we had our first two months and we're very happy with the results we have had. And it's important to talk about sausages. We do see a good opportunity in sausage in the U.S. We see it as a high potential opportunity. It's a market where the margins are healthy. And at the same time, you do have some regional players in the different geographies within the U.S. and finally we do see some opportunities of products and innovation within the whole market. So the way we think about it is organically we're going to continue delivering new innovation for now. For example, we have one called the Sausage Project. It's a chicken-based sausage. It's kind of a supplement or instead of rotisserie chicken that can be used for everything and things like that we do see continue launching within the U.S. And at the same time, as I mentioned, there's a lot of strong regional players that we think that inorganically we can pursue. All of them, just like Los Santos, we did in cheese, or like Royal Woods that we just did. These are bolt-on acquisitions that might happen. But once you get a couple of them, then you can start looking at footprint. We don't see... An opportunity in the short term in the footprint. On the opposite, we're going to use some of the available space that we have at the plant to produce some of our sausages that we're launching organically. But we do see that there might be some other Bolton acquisitions that can happen in the U.S. and with that consolidate a couple of strong local regional players with amazing products. And with that, to be able to consolidate and to grow in the sausage category in the U.S.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

I would like to compliment Felipe that Royal Wood Foods is very synergistic. We in terms of cost synergies, S&A synergies, and we do expect to increase the margin in that business going forward.

speaker
Felipe Ucos
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay, understood. Thanks for that. And if I could do a follow-on on buybacks. Looks like you started making some purchases in the open market, but it was still very small. So, wondering if there are any plans that you can discuss about getting more aggressive on this side in the coming quarters, given that valuation has come down a little bit in the last few months? Or is it more or less a pace you want to maintain?

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Felipe. Talking about share buybacks, they represent and additional mechanism for the company to return value to shareholders, complementing the primary channel of capital returns, which for us is cash givens. And as you mentioned, the business has delivered strong start of 2026 and will maintain positive momentum through the rest of the year. But at the same time, like you mentioned, the share price has declined since the start of the Iran conflict. And we believe this temporary disconnect between the performance of the business and the market valuation does create an opportunity, an attractive opportunity to repurchase shares at levels that are in the best interest of the shareholders. Having said that, we would love to allocate maybe a little more capital to share repurchases on the current circumstances, but at the same time, we also recognize that the net leverage ratio remains slightly above the long-term fabric that we want of 2.5 times. So this is why we have been actively giving buybacks selectively and opportunistically and at the same time having a commitment to a strong balance sheet. So you might see something within similar levels for the rest of the year.

speaker
Felipe Ucos
Analyst, Scotiabank

Super clear. Makes all the sense. Thanks a lot.

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Our next question comes from Alejandro Fuch of Itaú. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Alejandro Fuch
Analyst, Itaú

Thank you, operator. Hola, Rodrigo, Robert, Hernan. Thank you for the space for questioning. Congratulations on the results. I only have two quick ones. The first one may be in Mexico in terms of competition. wanted to see maybe Rodrigo if you could elaborate a little bit more what are you seeing currently you know for your main categories in terms of competition and also how does the market react when we see let's say improved cost environment for many of your categories do you see a little more maybe aggressiveness in terms of pricing for some of the competitors or is it very I'll say rational competition going forward that'll be the first one and then the second one also on M&A and I appreciate all of the callers that you just gave, but wanted to know should we expect more M&A going forward and if so, which countries and sectors would be more interesting in looking at? Thank you.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Leandro. Let me start by the second question, talking about M&A. The strategy that we have, which is... Thank you very much. Thank you. The amount of value that you can bring to the company. Most of these companies usually, just like Los Santos or just like Royer Woods, are companies that were started by the founder and the founder doesn't have a second generation to pass it to or something similar. And those are the opportunities that we see that add a lot of value to the company. Those are the opportunities that with the knowledge that we have of the market, with the knowledge that we have in formulation, With the scale that we have for buying some raw materials, with the structure that we have on both on the central side, but at the same time on sales, bring a lot of synergies. So we don't have anything huge in any of the geographies. We don't foresee anything closing in the short term, but we do have open conversations within the geographies of this type of bought-on acquisitions that could happen in the future that depend a lot on timing and depend a lot if the owner is at the time on selling the business or not. But we do see proactively, again, small acquisitions within the different geographies that when they come, We expect them to bring a lot of synergies one by one.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Let me talk about your first question regarding Mexico and competition. I would say it depends a lot on the category. We are usually the, we have usually the leading position in the category, so whenever there's some cost fluctuation, volatility, there's Usually, it's us trying to be the price-setters, and that has remained during this volatile time. I would say in Jehovah particularly, and we have discussed that, we're gaining presence. We are particularly in those subcategories of yogurts that are growing mostly Greek, as Rodrigo mentioned, and other functional yogurts. We see that as a very good dynamics. And we have seen, in general, very rational and good competition in most of the categories.

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Our next question comes from Fernando Olvera of Bank of America. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Hello. Can you hear me, guys?

speaker
Hernan Lozano
Investor Relations Officer

Hi, Fernando. Loud and clear.

speaker
Fernando Olvera
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi. Perfect. Thank you for the questions. I have a quick follow-up regarding cost. I would like to hear your thoughts and if you see any risk on meat cost given the increase of grain prices. And my second question is related to the U.S. If you can give us some color about the volume performance of national and Hispanic brands and what is your outlook for coming quarters? Thank you.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Fernando, this is Roberto. Let me talk about cost. So, I mean, as I mentioned previously, there's a lot of dynamics and volatility, particularly in raw materials. We're seeing now a friendlier environment, but definitely there's a possibility for higher costs. additional costs in the future, but due to grains and everything regarding what is happening in the Middle East. Let me just say that usually there's a lot of dynamics or levers that move the price of protein. Some of them definitely are the input costs, the grains, etc. But what we have seen recently is More particular in protein is that external effects such as, or not external, but other effects such as diseases, like what is happening with ASF in Spain, or what happened with avian influenza in the US at the beginning of last year, or or those types of things are the ones that move the prices, at least in what we have seen recently in the recent history, more than higher input costs. Having said that, there's obviously a risk and that depends on how deep or how long the conflict remains in that region. But as we have done in the past and we have proved it, if that happens, we will try to protect margin by having some revenue management initiatives and being very cautious about not affecting the consumer in the long term. In regard to U.S. volume outlook, let me talk about, we continue to see some growth in Hispanic brands, particularly as we are growing into some existing clients, but also getting some new customers. As we have mentioned in the past, we're getting more of our Hispanic brands portfolio into amazing channels. as Hispanic is becoming more mainstream in the U.S. And in regards to national runs, as Rodrigo mentioned earlier, we saw better dynamics in June than we saw at the end of the quarter. And we do expect that the G&G trends on volume

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Our next question comes from Froyland Mendez of JP Morgan. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Froyland Mendez
Analyst, JP Morgan

Hello guys, can you hear me well?

speaker
Hernan Lozano
Investor Relations Officer

Yes, Froyland.

speaker
Froyland Mendez
Analyst, JP Morgan

Thank you so much for the space. Regarding free cash flow, in the first half, cash generation and the leveraging looked somewhat muted if you compare it with the EBITDA generation. Can you guide us through what specifically needs to happen in the second half to improve the free cash flow generation and the leverage reduction? And my second question is more on Europe. Into the second half, what is the right margin cadence that we should expect given the new capacity ramp-up and maybe what is left from insurance recovery, etc.? Thank you so much.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Portland. Let me talk about protest flow first. Usually, during the first half of the year, we usually invest a little bit more on networking capital. If you see, because we're building some inventory, both for materials and products for the summer, the second half of the year usually has lower investment in networking capital. In regards to CAPEX, we do expect to continue investing in CAPEX to be very close to our guided number of CAPEX, investment in CAPEX of around $460 million dollars. That just for everyone. So remember that we are investing around $100 million more this year because of the UTIEL plan, the current recovery capacity that we're investing in Spain, that most of that investment was paid by the insurers last year. So, if you see the second half of the year, we do not expect net debt to change that much of the figure that we reported in this quarter, but we do expect a higher last month's EBITDA of $1.1 billion, which will lower the net leverage ratio closer to our long-term target. In regards to Europe, there's a lot of seasonality in European EBITDA. The second half of the year, and particularly the fourth quarter, significantly higher than the rest of the year. We do expect to continue with that seasonality during this year. In regards to the insurance recovery, we are... reflecting the payments that we receive from time to time in each month of the part of the business continuity or the business interruption part of the insurance. So there's no change in there. And we do expect, again, the seasonality of the payments to be in line with the previous one. And at the end, we were seeing Europe very in line with what we expected since the beginning of the year in terms of guidance, which represents a significant increase versus last year.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

And further, the only thing I would add is that we do see business interruption until we have the facility Thank you very much. Thank you.

speaker
Froyland Mendez
Analyst, JP Morgan

If I could follow up just on the update on the sale of Grupo Bal, where are we and when do you expect this to happen?

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

So now it's under the Spanish Commission of Competition and we do expect Our next question comes from Hernan Barrera of PGIM. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Froyland Mendez
Analyst, JP Morgan

Hey, how's it going?

speaker
Hernan Barrera
Analyst, PGIM

Quick one from me. Regarding the U.S. side, can you just tell me what happened? Remind me on the reason for the weakness on a year-over-year basis in organic terms. Thank you.

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you. So, yeah, I think it has to do mainly with last year during the second quarter of 2025, the I would say on top of the software consumer environment that we're seeing in the U.S., last year we have a higher comparable base because we did some inventory optimization sale in the second quarter of 2025. We reduced our inventory days, our finished product inventory days, and that reflected the higher comparison base. If we're Remove that effect out of the numbers, again, as we have mentioned of June, we saw an improvement, a significant improvement in volume results. And I would say June is almost last versus last year in terms of volume. And again, what we're seeing in terms of listings, particularly in the national brands, We are expecting the second half of the year to be better.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

This is the way we thought about it from the beginning of the year. So even though it's a little bit old last year, it's on track on what we're expecting. And as Roberto mentioned, we do see both volume growth and EBITDA growth. on the U.S. compared to last year on the second half of the year.

speaker
Hernan Barrera
Analyst, PGIM

Great. Thanks. And just to quickly follow up on that, you mentioned more kind of promotions last year, but when I'm looking at margins, it looks like there was actually slight compression compared to last year. Am I seeing that right?

speaker
Roberto Olivares
Chief Financial Officer

If there's a margin, there's some mix effect. I would say particularly in the Hispanic branch business, that has to do with two things. First, I would say lower sales of Hispanic product in the independent retail stores versus big chains in the U.S., as well as I would say a little bit lower margin in the dairy category in the U.S. just because milk is a little bit higher than last year.

speaker
Q&A Operator
Operator

Great. Thank you so much.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

And on a similar basis, if you see the rest of the year compared to 26 compared to 25, the second half, you might see an EBITDA per ton on the second half better compared to 2025 from the U.S. Great.

speaker
Hernan Barrera
Analyst, PGIM

Thank you again.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

There being no further questions, I would like to return the call to management.

speaker
Hernan Lozano
Investor Relations Officer

Let me turn the call back to Rodrigo for closing comment.

speaker
Rodrigo Fernandez
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Hernan. We're pleased with the positive momentum we have built through the first half of the year. Strong operating execution, disciplined capital allocation, and a healthy balance sheet position as well to continue delivering consistent results. We greatly appreciate the continued support of our investors and business partners. We look forward to updating your next quarter. Thank you all for your interest in Sigma Foods.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

This concludes today's conference call.

Disclaimer

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