Deutsche Euroshop Uns/Adr

Ladies and gentlemen, good morning from the team of Deutsche Euroshop in Hamburg. I'm here on that call with our CFO, Olaf Borkas, and our investor relations team. And thank you for joining us for the presentation of our preliminary results for 2020 and an update on the situation in our centers and for the Deutsche Euroshop group. We are all confronted with the continuing spread of the coronavirus and its strong impact on the economy and business too. You will find a map showing the situation in our countries of business on page 4. As of yesterday 18 out of 21 of our centers were open only in respect of shops which sell goods for the daily needs or take away in case of gastronomy. But this changed nearly daily. In Germany a soft lockdown started at the beginning of November and was then tightened to a hard lockdown mid-December, which lasts until today, and, after the decision of the German government yesterday, will continue at least until the 18th of April. In that period, there were just very few exceptions for non-essential good retailers to operate, e.g. short-term regional openings or click-and-meet offerings. The situation was just slightly better in our foreign markets. Since late 2020, there have been some openings for a limited time in Austria, the Czech Republic and Poland, giving some relief and opportunity for tenants to do business, especially around Christmas. The situation in Hungary was better for most of the duration of the pandemic, as stationary retail was only subject to a soft lockdown. However, since 7th of March, also Hungary has a hard lockdown for stationary retail. The situation is therefore again challenging and this is also visible in the development of the overall frequency of the group, which you'll find on slide 5. Nevertheless, to get a more balanced view, one should also look at the positives. It's what we use as a motto for this year, that is anticipation. People are looking forward to the return to normality. What we, And that only we see is that people quickly come back to the centers and shops wherever they get the opportunity. It is positive to observe this to happen continuously, even though there are always still destructive restrictions in place, such as limitations of numbers of visitors, mask wearing requirements, or very limited gastronomy offerings. In autumn, the frequencies returned quickly up to 80%, of the pre-corona levels, and certain numbers could be also achieved in the short opening periods between lockdowns since end of 2020. Fair to say that these levels were still below the normal levels, given the extraordinary circumstances. That all had, of course, and continues to have a strong impact on the tenant turnovers. On slide six, you see the retail turnovers of our German tenants with a minus of 23.1% for 2020. You can also see the development of the turnovers over the quarters, Q2 and Q4 being hit most. On the next slide, you can see the numbers for the tenant turnovers for the portfolio on a like-for-like basis. We saw similar numbers in Germany, that is for the full year, a minus of 22.7%, Abroad, the number was minus 11.1%. However, in general, the numbers have to be interpreted with some caution as many tenants did not report due to the pandemic and the shop closings. However, the magnitude of the impact is obvious, especially for some segments such as services. This is mainly travel agencies with minus 59%. Food catering, minus 73.5%. or, very important for us, shoes and textile, with minus 33 and minus 29.4% respectively. Consequently, most of the invoices seen so far came from the fashion sector. The insolvency ratio of our tenants, that is the proportion of retailers that have filed for insolvency since the start of the pandemic, stands at 8.9% of our rents, Last reported number in November was 7.3%. Most of the tenants target to restructure their businesses, and some retailers have already successfully ended the insurgency proceedings. On slide 8, you can see our collection ratio since the start of the pandemic. It follows, not surprisingly, the same pattern as the customer footfall, and it's strongly dependent on the lockdown period. The collection ratio represents the ratio of the received to invoiced amounts after corona-related concessions, and this for rents, service charges, and marketing contributions. For the full year 2020, this number was 89.6%, and for January and February of 2021, it is currently around 60%. I now come to our leasing portfolio on page nine. The proportion and ranking of our top 10 tenants was mostly unchanged. This group now accounts for 20.8% of our rental income and the weighted maturity of our lease contracts, you'll find them on page 10, remained at around five years and that's the level of 2019. This shows that we were able to sign or prolong a substantial proportion of leases even in the very specific corona year 2020. For the next five years, we see a rather equal share of leases that come up for releasing, e.g. yearly around 9% to 13% in terms of rental income. Our occupancy ratio now stands at 95.4%. that is 2.2 percentage points lower than at the end of 2019. It remains an important target for us to keep vacancies low, even though that's not easy in times of shop closings and corona and presumably more incidences to come up with the extended duration of the lockdowns. ECE, our operating partner, is in continued dialogue with our leasing partners and this in the further cooperative spirit with the aim to find mutually feasible solutions for the periods of mandatory shop closings. However, the magnitude of the negative impact of Corona on stationary retail, as well as the legal framework we are working in, led and will also lead to the need of rent concessions in 2020 and 2021 respectively. We'll come to the impact on our P&L last year in a minute. We are confident that we are, with our strong balance sheet and solid financial resources, good positioned to weather also the ongoing challenges. However, as the duration of the pandemic and especially the shop closings is uncertain and the economic situation in the aftermath of the next shop reopenings may be challenging, we have decided to take extraordinary steps as precaution. To preserve the company's financial flexibility in this extraordinary situation, we've decided to propose to the General Assembly to limit the payment of the dividend for 2020 to the mandatory minimum amount of $0.04 per share. So for the update of the current situation in our centers and concerning our portfolio, and I will now come to the preliminary results for 2020, and we'll start with evaluation of our shopping centers on page 11. Last year we carried out a valuation for our shopping centers mid-year for the first time as the extraordinary conditions required a review of the fair values of our centers by our external appraiser GLL. Since then there were very little investment activities in the shopping center market and already before the breakout of the virus transaction volumes had slowed down due to the special market sentiment concerning e-commerce. is comprehensible demand reduced further in 2020 as the stationary retail and shopping center business was hit hard by the lockdown however again important and worth to be mentioned the market did not come to full standstill certain sizable or even landmark shopping center transactions could be completed in france germany and switzerland after the start of the pandemic nevertheless the enduring pandemic and the increased uncertainty had an impact on shopping center yields and thereby on discount and capitalization rates. Furthermore, market rents were on average adjusted slightly downwards by our appraiser, whereas assumptions for releasing times and capex requirements have been raised. All those factors led to a negative valuation result of 429 million, This corresponds to an average devaluation of 10.7%. The stabilized net initial yield for our portfolio came up by 29 basis points and now stands at 5.41%. And you can find the sensitivity of the valuation results to changes of the main value drivers provided, or you can find them at this table at the lower part of the slide. I'll now come to the revenues. on the next page. And the revenues should only be a part of the economic impact of the pandemic, as most rents were invoiced according to their respective lease contracts. The online section here came from our Polish center, where the specific legal situation led to a temporary suspension of rents for the period of lockdowns. And this accounts for minus 3.2 million. And for the whole portfolio, insolvencies The loss of turnover-based rents and higher vacancies led to a further decline of minus 4.3 million. Furthermore, there is an extraordinary item to be considered. Due to a change in the disclosure, the revenues, as well as the operating costs, the revenues increased by 5.7 million in 2020. The corresponding change in 2019 was an increase of 5.6 million. Property tax and building insurance are no longer reported on a net basis. However, such accounting change leaves the NOI unchanged. The like-for-like effect of such service charges changes contributed a slight plus 0.1 million to the revenue change and total revenues decreased by 3.2% year-on-year to now 224.1 million. Our regional profile remained unchanged with 83% of revenues coming from Germany. On page 13, we show you the development of our EBIT, and the major financial effect resulting from the pandemic is reflected in the allowances for rent receivables due end of last year. These allowances were made in relation to realized and or expected losses of rent in connection with tenant support measures, e.g. rent concessions. or in relations to actual and likely insolvencies. Such allowances amounted to 29.2 million for last year and should reflect the major part of the negative effects from the first lockdown. In that respect, we expect another 5.5 million or minus 5.5 million, I should say, that will affect the results for the following financial years due to the straight line accounting method. Overall, EBIT decreased by 36.3 million to 161.2 million. The allowances for rent receivables have been determined on the basis of the arrangements with the tenants and for the cases still to be contractually finalized on the basis of various criteria, such as the magnitude of the impact of the crisis on certain types of tenants and their capabilities to cope with this extraordinary situation. Let's now come to page 14 and to the financial result, which slightly improved to minus 33.6 million. Several input factors almost neutralized each other. Interest savings of 5.6 million and a lower minority result of 4.9 million had a positive impact on the financial result. Whereas on the contrary, the equity result was 7.6 million lower due to corona-related declines in revenues and higher allowances for rent receivables also in our JV companies. The remainder of the change resulted from the exceptional tax-related one-off item last year. On slide 15, you see that the EBT adjusted for the valuation came down from 163.1 to 127.6, which is a minus of 21.8%. Again, the major input factors were the corona-related declines in revenues, high allowances, the interest savings, and the tax-related one-off items. Looking at the operating profit, the EPRO earnings on the next page, that means the following. The EPRO earnings declined by 33.8 million to now 124.5 million. On a per share basis, the EPRO earnings decreased from 2.41 euros, excluding the one-offs of 2019, to now 2.02 euros. And for the purpose of transparency, the EPRO earnings per share, including one-offs 2019, were 2.02 euros. We now move on to the consolidated profit of the group on slide 17. And the consolidated results decreased substantially by 363.8 million to now minus 251.7 million. The main impact here came from the valuation results that contributed minus 254.1 million And last, here's extraordinary positive effect from the release of deferred tax and tax refunds in amount of minus 73.4 million and 9 million respectively. The standing assets contributed further minus 35.5 million to the change and earnings per share decreased from plus 1 euro 81 to minus 4 euro 07. Please follow me now to page 18 and to the development of the FFO, which excludes the evaluation results and other one-off items. The FFO decreased from 149.6 million to now 123.3 million, or on a per share basis, from €2.42 to €2. We'll find the detailed calculation on the right-hand side of the slide. It should be mentioned again that the FFO is calculated as usually earnings-based and therefore does not reflect the untypical high receivables outstanding. The cash flow of the company should therefore be analyzed by taking into account the cash collection ratio. This ratio, after legally required or contractually agreed corona-related temporary rent concessions, was, as mentioned before, 89.6% end of last year. I'm coming to the balance sheet now on page 19. Our total assets amount to 4.24 billion. This is a decrease of 321 million euro compared with the reporting date end of 2019, which is mainly due to the lower market values of our properties as of 31st of December 2020. Because of the lower cash collection ratio last year, our receivables after allowances increased by 12.4 million. Nevertheless, our consolidated liquidity as of 31st of December 2020 had further improved to now 266 million or net 236 million, excluding drawing of the short-term credit line in an amount of 30 million at the end of the year. Due to the impact of the valuation of the result, total equity, including minorities, decreased by $286 million. And as end of the year, current and non-current financial liabilities stood at $1.54 billion, which was $29.1 million higher than at the end of 2019. Here, scheduled repayments were offset by an increase of loans and an amount of 15.7 million to finance investments in our A10 center and the city Arcaden Wuppertal. In addition, and as just mentioned, the credit line was drawn in an amount of 30 million as at balance sheet date. Non-current deferred tax liabilities decreased visibly by 53.8 million to now 325 million, resulting from the reduced fair values of our investment properties. Our equity ratio remains at a strong 54.6% and the consolidated LTV now stands at 32.9%. On a look-through basis, that is the LTV calculated fully proportionally according to the group share and all assets, the LTV now stands at 35.8%. Also, a continued very reasonable and low level. On page 20, we'll find the EPRANET tangible assets, which are reported for the first time. One should note that for Deutsche Euroshoppe, the formerly reported EPRANET asset value numbers were identical with the recalculated historic EPRANTA results. EPRANTA decreased now to 37.38 Euro per share, that is a minus of 11.6%. And this equals the discount to the current share price of 53%. So far, the preliminary numbers will provide you with all further details in our annual report to be published in April. On the next two pages, we give you some information on our debt. Some 600 million of our consolidated bank debt matures in the next five years. Currently, our consolidated debt bears an average interest rate of 2.18%, and our weighted maturity for our loan portfolio now stands at 5.1 years. On the right-hand side of page 17, you will see that we have fixed a loan of 70 million at 1.18% interest rate for 10 years for our City Gallery Wolfsburg already last year. After this status report about the impact of the pandemic on 2020 and early 2021, and looking confident ahead, I want to give you a short outlook on our normal operations and on our financing activities. And you'll find a summary of the major points on slide 24. Leasing activities were and are, of course, the key or the central key in the current situation. In 2020, we could keep the weighted maturity for our lease portfolio at five years. That shows that besides the big current challenges, stationary retail has its valuable space in the segment. While omnichannel obviously gets more important, physical shops remain a very important part of the business of retailers. In these difficult times, we have proven that we could prolong lease contracts with many tenants, including our top 10 tenants and also primary retailers such as Apple or Kaufland. Looking at Omnichannel, we are happy that all of our German centers are connected to the digital mall. While the online availability check is now working for 780 shops and 2.8 million products in the German ECE portfolio, one important next step is the testing of deliveries out of the centers. and this project is ongoing. Looking at the financing activities. Last year we extended our credit line of 150 million for five years and have closed or signed two loan agreements with a total amount of 127 million with due dates in December 2020 and June 2021. Furthermore, we are working on signing three more loan agreements with a total amount of 118 million with due dates in June and July 2021. Here we work on track. All banks we are working with have confirmed us that they continue to work on such refinancing also under the current extraordinary circumstances. Looking at liquidity and dividends. As said before, as the duration of the pandemic and especially the duration of the shop closings is uncertain, we've decided to propose to the General Assembly to limit the payment of the 2020 dividend to the mandatory minimum amount of four cents per share. We do this for prudent liquidity management and risk management reasons. We will return to our policy of stable and continuous dividend payments after this extraordinary situation has been overcome. For the same reason as just mentioned, it is currently not possible to estimate the impact on the group's earnings. Therefore, a forecast for the financial year 2021 is not possible. A new forecast will be issued as soon as this is feasible. One final and closing remark. on our solid balance sheet, low level of debt, continued stable liquidity position, and the expectation that VexSign now becomes more and more available, the management of the JiruShop is confidently looking ahead. So far my presentation, and we are happy to take your questions now.

The first question is from the line of Yap Queen from Kampen. Your question, please.

Hi, good morning. A few questions from my side, if you don't mind. Maybe just do them one by one to keep a bit of overview. So looking at the rent collection rate for 2021, obviously this is shaping up quite negatively and not surprisingly. How would you say is your current expectation for 2021 versus 2020? Should we already expect a similar or even worse rent collection rate for the full year? And what is the current status of the government support for tenants to also pay rent? And would that influence the kind of recovery expectation for those uncollected rents so far?