5/4/2023

speaker
Matt
Investor Relations Officer

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us for this presentation of Safeguard Scientific's first quarter 2023 financial results. Join me on today's call and webcast are Eric Salzman, Safeguard's Chief Executive Officer, and Mark Herndon, Safeguard's Chief Financial Officer. Following our prepared remarks, we will open up the call to your questions. As always, today's presentation includes forward-looking statements. Reliance on forward-looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, the uncertainty of the outcomes of corporate strategic transactions, if any, the uncertainty of the future performance of our companies, our ability to make good decisions about the monetization of our companies, the ongoing support of our companies, our inability to entirely control our companies, fluctuations in the market prices if any of our companies are publicly traded, and the effect of regulatory and economic conditions generally, and other uncertainties described in our filings with the SEC. Many of these factors are beyond our ability to predict or control. As a result of these other factors, our past financial performance should not be relied on as an indication of future performance. During the course of today's call, where to just expect, anticipate, believe, and intend will be in our discussion of goals or events in the future. Management cannot provide any assurance that future results will be as described in our forward-looking statements. We encourage you to read safeguards filings with the SEC, including our Form 10-Q, which describe in detail the risks and uncertainties associated with managing our business. The company does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements made today. With that, I would now like to introduce Eric.

speaker
Eric Salzman
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Matt. Thanks for joining us this afternoon for our Q1 2023 earnings call. The macro challenges we highlighted on our last two earnings calls relating to a more difficult capital raising and M&A environment continue to impact many of our companies. Given that, we thought it would be helpful to categorize the portfolio into two different buckets. Bucket one contains our four companies that are funded, growing, and executing on their business plans, albeit in a more difficult environment. Bucket two includes three companies that are facing near-term leverage and liquidity issues, which could adversely impact the values that are recoverable to safeguard. Additionally, One company sits between these two categories, and while it will require additional funding and operational adjustments, it is not facing the same near-term challenges as the three companies in bucket two. Bucket one includes Clutch, Moxie, Mequilibrium, and Prognoz. We expect these four companies to continue to make progress, and our plan is to exit in the ordinary course over the next two years. Those exits are expected to represent the vast majority of proceeds to safeguard. The three companies in bucket two are facing critical challenges stemming from high debt loads, elevated burn rates, and or limited M&A interest. These challenges have become more difficult over the past two quarters as the financing and M&A environment has weakened. While the operating performance of bucket two companies is mixed, the main factors creating their issues are leverage, liquidity runway, and burn rates. As we've highlighted on last quarter's call, this profile of company is extremely difficult to finance or sell in the current environment. For each of our bucket two companies, we are actively working with our co-investors and senior lenders to find a path to address leverage and liquidity challenges with the goal of preserving our ownership interests and achieving recovery value. We continue to explore all types of approaches to extract value from these positions. There are no assurances that we will be able to achieve this goal for bucket two companies, and we have reduced our expectations of exit proceeds, recognizing that the proceeds to safeguard could be de minimis. Note that we expect the outcome to these situations to be known over the next four months and we will update investors accordingly. As described in our press release, we deployed $3 million in a financing round for Prognos which closed in April. The financing positions the company well to execute on its business model and we were joined by both new investors as well as existing ones who see the attractive business opportunity to use real-world data to drive better healthcare outcomes. Progno's platform is used by over 70 life science customers to accelerate the development of new drugs, improve the safety and efficacy of existing drugs, and identify new patient populations that may benefit from specific treatments. This capital should fund the company to cash flow break even, And further details about this financing will be released by Prognoz in the near future. Let me now address a question we received from several investors regarding Safeguard's cash balances and stock buyback plan. We had nearly $19 million in cash at the end of the first quarter, almost $16 million after the Prognoz deployment. We have estimated our follow-on deployments for the remainder of the year at $0 to $1.5 million and our OpEx is stable at its current level. This means we will likely have excess cash beyond what we expect to need to operate and run off the portfolio. As disclosed in our press release, we completed our $3 million stock buyback plan this past quarter. We approved the plan in March 2022 prior to the start of the Houlihan-Loki process because we had an open trading window. Since that time, the trading window for us has been closed due to the Houlihan-Loki discussions that we have been unable to expand the existing $3 million buyback plan or establish a new buyback plan. As it relates to the Houlihan-Loki timeline, as we indicated on the last earnings call, we expect to announce a decision on the process between June and December of this year. At the conclusion of that process, we will reevaluate ways to return excess cash to our shareholders through buybacks or dividends. In the meantime, we will use our cash resources sparingly and judiciously. I'll now provide an update on portfolio M&A and exits. We have two active M&A situations in the portfolio. One of our companies launched a sale process earlier in the year and has received several non-binding initial indications of interest. Those interested parties are currently performing further diligence and have been asked to submit letters of intent in the next few weeks. While it is still early to handicap the odds of the deal happening, if one were to move forward, it could close in Q3 or Q4. Another M&A process we mentioned on last quarter's call involved one of our companies that has been in discussions for a stock-for-stock merger. The parties continue to work on this deal but the timing has extended from the original timeline and terms are likely to be modified. We are hopeful we can agree on terms acceptable to both sides, but there is no assurance a final deal can be agreed to. Note that neither of these companies are in bucket two. There is also ongoing M&A and capital raise activity at some of the bucket two companies as part of their restructuring efforts. let me talk about our strategic process. On our strategic process, we are in exclusive discussions with one counterparty. While we cannot go into too much detail at this time, the goal of the transaction is to enable the vast majority of exit proceeds from the portfolio to flow to our current shareholders, to reduce our operating expenses, and to gain scale. We are in their structuring and diligence phase, so there can be no assurance that a deal will be reached. This transaction, should it move forward, would be subject to safeguard shareholder approval. I'll now provide some company highlights. The Q1 highlights that we discussed today relate to our bucket one companies. Note that these are not exhaustive and do not reflect all the risks inherent in these venture stage companies. Moxie increased the number of live connections to its healthcare providers by 49% in Q1 2023. Its Q1 revenues per healthcare provider site is up 142% year on year, and the company was issued its first patent. Equilibrium exceeded plan revenues and EBITDA targets for Q1. Its Q1 2023 revenues were up 28% year on year. Its EBITDA loss was reduced by 70% year on year and operating cash flow improved by 51%. For Prognos, the biggest highlight is the funding round that we mentioned earlier. On the business side, 100% of the business has pivoted to the marketplace model the company is executing to plan and is on track to nearly triple its bookings for 2023. Clutch's Q1 total revenues were up 54% year on year and reoccurring revenues were up 30% year on year. In Q1 2023, the company added nine new customers and onboarded five new customers. Now let me comment on public comps in trading multiples. We regularly track the revenue multiples and revenue growth of our publicly traded peer companies to help investors triangulate on what some of our companies could be worth using these same metrics. Given the bucketing of the portfolio that we described at the outset, we believe that these trading data points are relevant for the five companies which are not in bucket two. For the bucket two companies, given their situations, traditional valuation metrics do not apply. As of April 25th, our tech-enabled healthcare peers were trading at 3.6 times 2023 consensus revenue and 3.5 times 2024 consensus revenue. 2023 consensus revenue growth for these tech-enabled healthcare peers was 11%, with 12% consensus revenue growth for 2024. As of April 25th, the marketing technology peers, which is relevant for Clutch, were trading at 2.8 times 2023 consensus revenues and 2.6 times 2024 consensus revenues. 2023 consensus revenue growth for these marketing technology peers was 10% and 13% consensus revenue growth for 2024. Note that this data has not changed much from our Q4 2022 call. At this time, I will hand it over to our CFO, Mark Herndon.

speaker
Mark Herndon
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Eric. State Guard's net loss for the quarter into March 31, 2023 was $3.5 million, or 22 cents per share, as compared to the net loss for 2022's next first quarter of $6.7 million, or 40 cents per share. As we disclosed last quarter, we completed the remaining purchases under the $3 million 2022 share repurchase plan during the quarter, by acquiring about 25,000 shares earlier in January. In total, the 2022 repurchase program repurchased 736,577 shares at an average price of $409 per share. State Guard ended the quarter with $18.8 million of cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and marketable securities. We continue to have no debt obligations. Our general and administrative expenses were $1.2 million for the first quarter of 2023 and 2022 on a rounded basis. Year-over-year decrease was 4%. Similarly, corporate expenses for the quarter, which represent general and administrative expenses excluding stock-based compensation, severance expenses, and non-recurring and other items, were $0.8 million on a rounded basis for each of the first quarters of 2023 and 2022. The year-over-year decline was 6.4% there. We continue to expect the quarterly level of corporate expenses have stabilized at this approximate point. With respect to our ownership interests, we have an aggregate carrying value at March 31st, 2023 of $12 million as compared to $15.4 million at December 31st, 2022. This quarter's activity was limited to the application of equity method accounting, which generally reduces our carrying value based on our share of the losses of our companies. Our reported share of the losses of our equity method interest in the three months ended March 31st, 2023 was 2.6 million as compared to 3.9 million for the comparable period in 2022. This decrease is largely the result of several companies reaching zero carrying value. At that point, we generally cease recording losses from that entity. I'd also like to remind everyone that we report our share of the losses from the equity method companies on a one-quarter lag. So this quarter's share losses reflect the fourth quarter of 2022. Also, with respect to our ownership interest, the third-party debt of this group of eight companies was approximately $226 million versus $209 million at the 2022 year end. This increase is primarily related to one of our companies accessing a line of credit that had previously been established at Silicon Valley Bank. Cash at the same group of eight companies has decreased to about $59 million from $71 million last quarter. This decrease primarily related to the quarterly burn at a couple of companies. In terms of revenue performance, we reported an 8.9% increase in this group of eight companies for the trailing 12-month period into December 31, 2022, due to the one-quarter lag. We continue to see our fastest growth from Moxie and Mechilogram. Now it's time for us to turn it over to the Q&A segment of the call, so ask the operator to open up the lines for questions.

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