5/12/2026

speaker
Sandra
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Struer Q1 Figures 2026 conference call. I am Sandra, the course call operator. I would like to remind you that all participants have been listed in only mode and the conference has been recorded. The presentation will be followed by a Q&A session. You can register for questions at any time by pressing star and 1 on your telephone. For operator assistance, please press star and 0. The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast. At this time, it is my pleasure to hand over to Udo Müller, CEO. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Udo Müller
CEO

Yes, thank you, Sandra. Dear investors, dear analysts, welcome to today's Q1 2026 earnings call. Let us dive straight into the numbers and details. On the top line, revenues in Q1 amounted to €495.6 million representing an organic growth of 1.1% compared to 475.5 million euros in Q1 2025. On a reported basis, revenue grew by 4%. Moving down the P&L, adjusted EBITDA reached 119.3 million euros compared to 117.4 million euros last year. This represents a stable year-on-year development with EBITDA adjusted remaining essentially flat at a higher margin level. On adjusted EBIT, we reported 41.7 million euros up from 39.7 million euros in Q1 2025. This corresponds to a 5% increase, highlighting that operating efficiency improvements continue to support earnings despite moderate top-line momentum. Adjusted net income amounted to 70.6 million euros compared to 16.2 million euros in the prior year period. This translates into a 9% year-on-year increase. Turning to cash flow, free cash flow adjusted improved significantly. In Q1 2026, we reported an adjusted free cash flow of minus 9.7 million euros compared to minus 35.1 million euros in Q1 2025. This represents an improvement of 72% year-on-year. Henning will elaborate on this in detail later in the finance section. Finally, CapEx before M&A amounted to 16.5 million euros, down 8% year-on-year from 70.9 million euros. This level of investment reflects our continued focus on disciplined capital allocation while maintaining the operational flexibility required to support our core activities. All in all, Q1 2026 demonstrates a stable and resilient financial performance. We deliver positive organic revenue growth, protected profitability at both EBITDA and EBIT level, improved net income, and achieved a very strong improvement in free cash flow, all by keeping capital expenditure under control. Let's have a look at the news numbers in the middle of the chart first. As always, and please keep in mind that those show gross rate card developments, and the net revenue is on average six to seven points lower. On a like-for-like and cross basis, the out-of-home category is outperforming all other media except for desktop mobile. With a share of around 10%, out-of-home maintains its strong position in the German advertising market. Translating the gross need numbers into net revenue, in Q1 2026, not only that market in total was negative by around minus five to minus six. At the same time our total out of phone business was up by more than 5%. DOH alone delivered 12% growth and programmatic DOH grew at the same rate. So far my remarks and with that I hand over to Henning.

speaker
Henning
CFO

Thank you Udo and a very good morning everybody. With that let us start the final section with a quick look at the Q1 26 P&L where Udo already has touched upon the key items. In total, we delivered a decent set of results for the first quarter. Given the good performance of the out-of-home sector and the digital and dialogue segment, we were able to more than offset the comparatively weaker performance of our third segment, data as a service and e-commerce. Overall, these developments enabled us to increase revenue by around 4% to 496 million. Reported growth includes a net scope effect of approximately 400 basis points, support from the acquisition of Amivida in October last year, offset by minus 40 basis points from the disposal of the Statista strategy unit at the beginning of this year, and a currency headwind of 50 basis points, minus 50 basis points, primarily US dollar related at Statista. Excluding these effects, organic growth came in at 1.1%. EBITDA adjusted amounted to €119 million, €2 million or 2% higher compared with Q1 2025. The exceptional items for the quarter were €9.2 million after €2.5 million in the prior year, mainly due to restructuring measures. Accordingly, reported EBITDA was down by 4%, from €115 million to €110 million. Depreciation and amortization were basically unchanged, with €80 million compared to €81 million in Q1 2025. With that, reported EBIT for the quarter came in at €30 million, some €4 million lower compared with Q1 2025. The financial result was €-17 million up to €-15 million in the prior year period. This is due to currency effects. Accordingly, earnings before tax came in at €13 million compared to €18 million in Q1 of the prior year. The tax rate was basically unchanged with around 30% in the reporting period. And with that, the tax result follows the development of the EBT. All in all, reported net income for the quarter came in at close to €9 million after €13 million in Q1 2025. Adjustments were up to €5 million, mainly because of higher pre-tax exceptionals as described before. Accordingly, net income adjusted was €80 million after €16 million in the prior year. Let us now switch over to the cash flow. Main driver for the cash flow development was working capital, which followed seasonality with an outflow of €12 million. This is 26 million Euro better than in last year. While earnings, as we have just seen, were below prior year and IRPX 16 lease payments were just a notch higher, cash outs for taxes, others and investments were a notch lower. Cash outs for interest were on prior year level, whereas lower interest rates are being offset by higher debt. So altogether, free cash flow adjusted was minus 10 million Euro after minus 35 million Euro in Q1 25. Let me come to the net debt development. In the sequential view from the end of Q4-25 to the end of Q1-26, net debt was up by roughly €10 million in accordance with the adjusted free cash flow for the first quarter of minus €10 million. Net debt year over year was up by €17 million to €881 million, including adjusted free cash flow of €132 million, our dividend payment last year of almost minus €129 million, dividend payments to minority shareholders of minus 13 million, minor M&A payments of minus 2 million, and cash out for the share buyback of minus 2 million. The remaining difference of minus 3 million euro is, among others, due to an increase of overpayments from customers, a decrease of accrued interest expenses, and lower financial liabilities recognized from profit transfer agreements at companies with minority interest. With that, our leverage ratio increased slightly compared to the prior year period to now 2.33 times, where there's 2.18 in Q1-25. Let us now take a look at the performance of the individual operating segments in the past quarter. As is customary, let's start with out-of-home media. In Q1-26, we were able to increase our revenue by 5.4%. With revenue growth of 12%, digital out-of-home was the key driver supported by jumpstart of our flagship billboard, The Whale. in the Hamburg main station. While out of home, saw a slight decrease of 0.6%, the services division grew by nearly 17%, mainly owed to newly won clients. Overall, we increased segment revenue from 210 to 220 million euros. Adjusted EBITDA grew on a comparable basis from 86 million euros to 97 million euros, or 12%. The adjusted EBITDA margin followed a similar trend, improving from 41% to nearly 44%. A similar picture emerges when looking at the adjusted EBITDA excluding IFRS 16 effects, our cash EBITDA proxy. This increased by nearly 33% to 44 million euros, while the margin improvement by over 4 percentage points from just under 16% over 20%. Lease expenses before IFRS 16 were 65 million euros, 29.4% of sales, which is less than in last year's quarter, 30.2%. The delta between both EBITDA figures, the effect from IRF-16, decreased slightly year over year. As explained in our last call, owing to recent renewals, we expect a reduced fixed trend exposure going forward. In the digital and dialogue segment, revenue increased by 12%, from 206 million to 231 million euros. This positive trend was driven by the dialogue division, which achieved organic revenue growth of over 8%. Taking into account the successful acquisition of AmiVida, revenue rose by 26% to €136 million. Revenue in the digital segment amounted to €95 million in Q1-26, as positive programmatic public video performance could not offset or not fully offset lower revenues in the online media. This trend is reflected in adjusted EBITDA and came in at €27 million or 11.6% from a margin perspective due to a revenue-driven earnings reduction at our content business. As expected, performance in our third segment fell short of the results from the same quarter last year. Revenue declined in both sub-segments, causing total segment revenues to drop from €91 million to €79 million. Let's take a closer look at this development. Developments in e-commerce should be viewed in light of the weak consumer environment. At the same time, Assam's online business was migrated to a new platform. With that, revenue for the quarter came in at 42 million euro, minus 14% below the prior year. In addition to the sale of Statista's strategy and consulting business, data as a service was impacted by the weak US dollar, which during the transition from a seed-based to a data and volume-based business model could not yet be offset by growth in Statista's core business. Excluding scope and FX rates development, segment revenue declined organically by minus 9.4%. Adjusted EBITDA came at 6 million euro compared with 11 million euro in the same quarter of the previous year. With that, let me hand you over back to Udo for the outlook and closing remarks.

speaker
Udo Müller
CEO

Thank you, Henning. Before ending the presentation, let me just have some comments on the outlook for Q2 and the current trading momentum. For Q2 2026, we expect a solid performance both as a group and consequently on segment levels. For our core order form business, we anticipate revenue growth for the second quarter that is around the Q1 level. The same applies to the digital and dialogue segments. Here too, the trends from the previous quarter are expected to continue largely unchanged. For the data as a service and e-commerce segment, we see a significant improvement compared to the previous quarter. However, in absolute terms, we still anticipate a single digit percentage decline compared to the same period in 2025. Let me now close the presentation with a short outlook into our financial calendar for 2026. Our next event will be our annual general meeting on June 3, which will be held virtually. The halfway figures will be presented on August 13, and Q3 figures will be published on November 12. And don't forget our webinar on transformation on June 17. As always, updates, reports, and roadshows presentation can be found on the IR website. Thank you, everyone. And we're now happy to take your questions.

speaker
Sandra
Conference Call Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and 1 on the telephone. You will hear a tone to confirm that you have entered the queue. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and 2. Participants are requested to use only handsets while asking a question. Anyone who has a question may press star and 1 at this time. Our first question comes from Julien Roche from Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Julien Roche
Analyst, Barclays

Yes, good morning, everybody. My first question is, any comments on the recent rumors of a 2.5 billion bid for the whole company? Udo, would you be willing to step away or will you continue to manage the company for the foreseeable future, whomever the owner of the company is? That's my first question. The second one is for Henning. What was the 9 million of exceptionals in Q1 and how much do you expect for the full year? And then lastly, on the AI seminar on June 17th, will we get a qualitative overview or will we get some financial targets in terms of at least cost savings? Thank you.

speaker
Udo Müller
CEO

Yeah, thank you. So, look, we don't comment rumors. Since the thing appeared in the press, there's all the time something new. Most of the time it's nonsense. I'm the CEO of the company and I have no intention to change it in the foreseeable future.

speaker
Henning
CFO

Well, Julian, the second question on the level of exceptionals, which were around 9 million euros, so quite a bit higher than in the prior year. more than 50 percent of that relates to the dimension changes in the management board and the remainder relates to restructuring measures some of those in dialogue and some of that in statista can you repeat the third question please

speaker
Julien Roche
Analyst, Barclays

My third question was, well, first of all, Henning, what number do you expect for the full year in terms of exceptional? And then the third question was on the AI seminar on June 17th, will we only get a qualitative overview of what you intend to do or will we get some financial targets, especially in terms of cost savings?

speaker
Udo Müller
CEO

Let me answer the last one first. It's more a strategic session. But as you know, we have some changes here in the top management, so we have to reorganise ourselves. Let's say 90% we're going to have, the June 17, the 10% also that we postponed that. But it's about strategy. It's about strategy. I mean, we clearly see some cost savings because you saw we have 9 million adjustments because of restructurings in the first quarter already. So what we're doing right now, we try to straighten our processes we have here. let's say four independent parts of the company in the core segments. So we are going to put it together more to one unified media company, but it's a bit too early. And we also don't want to create confusion inside the company earlier as necessary. So that's why. We clearly are here in a transformation process, and that is what I already said, already reflected in the restructuring cost of the first quarter. So we're going to see more restructuring costs throughout the year.

speaker
Henning
CFO

Yeah, we will see more, but compared to the prior year, I mean, currently the forecast stands, I'd say, at 20 to 25 million as we speak. It's a little bit higher than we had in the prior year.

speaker
Julien Roche
Analyst, Barclays

Thank you.

speaker
Sandra
Conference Call Operator

The next question comes from James Tate from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
James Tate
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, thank you. Good morning. Yeah, it's James Tate from Goldman. I've got two questions, please. I guess firstly, on out of home, you're giving guidance of the stable growth around 5% for Q2. But could you help talk about some of the monthly trends within that given the conflict in the Middle East? So how did March and April compare to January and Feb? Did you see a slowdown there? And how is the order book looking for May and June, particularly as the comp should get easier in Q2? And secondly, could you touch on some of the moving parts to the cost base for 2026, particularly around the exposure to energy costs? What impacts are you seeing to the business here and what measures could you take to offset and protect margins? Thank you.

speaker
Udo Müller
CEO

Yeah, James, look, energy costs are not a significant impact to us. Plus, we have secured energy costs for a midterm period, so we don't expect any impact here for the running year. Trading momentum is actually what we said, we don't track really months, we look at quarters. I mean, right now, clearly we see a little bit of impact, for example, whatever blow-up has lost some one or two or three million orders from Middle East travel campaigns, etc. It depends, obviously, on what's going to happen from now on. Nobody knows what's going to happen. Maybe the war is finished, as Trump says. I'm a bit sceptical, if I read what the Iranians are suggesting now. But we all have to wait for what's happening. The energy costs have less an impact to our company but to the overall economy, obviously. And so maybe you should implement, instead of ABTA, ABTTA before interest, taxes and Trump depreciation, because nobody knows what's going to happen. But on the company itself, we don't see impact. Trading momentum right now is, I think, satisfying in the light of the overall Insecure is what we have, but I think nobody can give a serious forecast what's going to happen during the year because nobody knows if you have a full-blown war in four weeks or if the whole thing is over. Good, I understood. Thank you. You're welcome.

speaker
Sandra
Conference Call Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to register for a question, please press star followed by one. The next question comes from Lisa Nazir from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Lisa Nazir
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Great, thank you. I have two questions from my end. The digital out-of-home revenue growth of 12% in Q1, could you maybe give us some color as to what that's been driven by? Is it the national level customers mostly, or has there been a pickup from the small and medium-sized companies that you have said you'll target going forward? And on the back of the strong sort of 5% growth in Q1 in out-of-home media, 5% guided for in Q2, Are you changing the way you're thinking about the full year outlook as well? I'm aware of all the uncertainty that you just discussed, but could you maybe remind us what you expect for the full year organic revenue for straw and how comfortable you think those numbers are? And also on profitability, could you remind us what your 2026 outlook is and whether you're confident this can be reached with all that's going on? Thank you.

speaker
Udo Müller
CEO

Thank you, Nisla. The 12% growth is mainly driven by a national turnover. We expect the trend to continue throughout the year, actually. We don't want to change the guidance now, because the same reason what I said before, but also don't forget if I'm talking about insecurities, we don't talk about massive changes. Even if you have a crisis, if you look in the last 20 quarters, we talk about 1%, 2%, 3% up and down. But this is something which is clearly difficult to forecast in the current scenario. It's just guessing. So that's why we don't want to adjust the guidance right now. I missed something?

speaker
Sandra
Conference Call Operator

The next question comes from Anna Patrice from Burenburg. Please go ahead.

speaker
Anna Patrice
Analyst, Berenburg

Yes, hello. Follow up on my side. On the out of home, the training was better than you expected initially. So if you can elaborate a little bit more where the growth comes from and where you see the ongoing positive momentum in terms of the out of home. Then on Statista, Q4, there was positive, little positive, like-for-like. Q1, there is a bit of negative, like-for-like, so it's a bit volatile. What are your expectations for the coming quarters, and is there any update, or when should we have any update on what's going on with the business transformation? And then last question on the digital. How do you see also the... the trends going forward and how can you protect your margins here given the negative impact from declining digital?

speaker
Udo Müller
CEO

We think, to start with the last question, this is a temporary effect because last year in the first quarter we had the rare situation that the American elections and the German elections were both in the first quarter, although they produced a lot of traffic and traffic always translates in turnover automatically. So we are absolutely optimistic for the full year for our own inventory, especially the online. If you look at the overall development, then what we already discussed since a couple of quarters, through the LLMs and through the new LLM Google search, we see a decline in traffic for special interest websites. So this is third-party inventory where we sell advertising for third-party publishers. But the online is the biggest news portal now in Germany, and we are completely unchanged, optimistic that we don't see any decline here. The opposite, we expect also this year small growth on the online. But again, in first quarter was a temporary effect because last year we had a lot of traffic from American and German elections.

speaker
Henning
CFO

Maybe to build on what Udo said earlier, the good out-of-home performance, as we understood, was mainly driven by a strong business from the national sales team. If you look further into where is this actually originating from, it's mostly FMCG, retail, food retail, telecommunications, and the service sector actually growing nicely above average in the first quarter.

speaker
Udo Müller
CEO

Statista, this is also a little bit unchanged here. I don't think that turnover and ABTA, it's a key relation metric for Statista going forward. Right now, we see really positive developments traffic-wise, for example, from perplexity, which is the most important L&M solution here for research. and we believe in a very good way, but what I already said a couple of times, I think we need to wait until the fourth quarter until we can show on a wider range of numbers the positive development of Statista. I think the key point for Statista's evaluation is, are we able to prove that company GPTs Are we coming better with Statista or not? And at the moment, we can prove that on a wider range of customer, then you immediately have a completely different valuation from Statista. But therefore, obviously, companies need to introduce first their company GPT. And the first thing they're doing then, they integrate their own data. And after this is achieved, they have the company GPT, they integrate their own data, then they start to think about the third party data sources. And this is a process where we're right now in, so we are negotiating and talking with a lot of key clients around the world. And we see a positive development, but I think we need six months more until we can prove that on a more reliable, broader range. But I think in the meanwhile, the market accepted a simple formula, shit in, shit out. Sorry for that. But you need reliable data. You need trusted data to produce for professional purposes. For private stuff, you can use an LLM also for data and it's a mix of entertainment and concrete results. But for professional use, you need to be 100% sure. that the results are correct, and therefore you need trusted data. And that's what Statista is delivering. Statista is globally the biggest platform for statistic data, completely unchanged. And after a phase of, let's say, insecurities from our customer side, we see more and more conviction that our customers are coming back. The few ones who left us are coming back and signing deals with Statista Connect. We are positive, but we need at least six more months. Again, I don't think that this year's turnover in APTA is a really important figure here. I think if you look at the size of the transformation Statista is going through, because the whole sales strategy right now is going to be transformed. I think it's a very positive result that this keeps turnover and results stable. And don't forget, we expect for this year a cash flow of 10 million better results than last year due to restructurings which are also taking place in Statista because AI is also allowing us to produce more efficient and cheaper than we did that before. But that is obviously also not the key for future valuation. The key will be clearly to prove that we make LLM company GPT's results better than with Orchartista. And that is the mission we are on right now.

speaker
Anna Patrice
Analyst, Berenburg

Okay, understood. And thank you. And maybe just a last follow-up question on the margins at out-of-home, so there is a considerable jump in margins. Is there something special in the Q1, apart from nice growth, or what should we expect for the rest of the quarters? The same improvement?

speaker
Henning
CFO

Understood, Dana. But first of all, you know that Q1, in terms of the sales volume and also the absolute margin level, is usually below the prior year. So you should not read the tick-up that we have seen now as a an indication for the full year. Q1 was supported by good development in the service business that I mentioned. Plus, I think if you look at the mix of how we actually, how we channeled trails to the different parts of the inventory, we had a quite favorable mix in terms of the revenue shares we are, let's say, owing our partners. So I would say we are positive on the margin for the full year, but not to the extent that you have now seen in Q1.

speaker
Anna Patrice
Analyst, Berenburg

Okay, understood. And Henning, just thank you. It was a pleasure working with you.

speaker
Henning
CFO

Thank you very much. Same for me.

speaker
Sandra
Conference Call Operator

For any further questions, please press star followed by one. Star followed by one. It seems that there are no further questions. Back over to you, Mr. Miller, for any closing remarks.

speaker
Udo Müller
CEO

Okay, thank you very much for your time. I hope you have a positive summer. And thank you very much for listening and hope to see you soon. Thank you very much. Goodbye. Goodbye. Take care.

speaker
Sandra
Conference Call Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over. Thank you for choosing Coral School and thank you for participating in the conference. You may now disconnect your lines. Goodbye.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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