11/17/2023

speaker
Komia
Representative Director, President & Group CEO, Tokio Marine Holdings

Hello, and good evening, everyone. This is Komia speaking. I thank you for sparing your time with us this evening despite your busy schedule. I also like to appreciate your continuous understanding and support you extend towards Tokyo Marine. First of all, I would like to explain about the earnings highlights and messages from the management based on such highlights. Please turn to page three. They are mainly Three points I would like to convey to you today. First is the continued strong performances. Looking at the most recent earnings, although we are impacted by natural catastrophes and capital loss in North America, underlying profit, excluding one-off effect, continues to perform well, especially by key overseas entities. In fact, Four-year projections on a normalized basis, excluding one-off effect, is revised upwards by 5 billion Japanese yen to be 675 billion yen, and that would make year-on-year 9% growth. Second point is on shareholder return. As I have been saying, I still believe that profit growth and DPS growth should be in tandem to each other. Since profit momentum is strong, DPS in fiscal 23 will be unchanged at 121 yen, and that will be 21% year-on-year growth of DPS. Stock to capital will be adjusted with the discipline. Recent ESR remains strong at 133%. One stop of that. There is also one profit to be generated from group reorganization. Considering various factors, including business investments and current M&A pipeline and other factors comprehensively, share buyback for fiscal 23 will increase from the original announced 100 billion yen up to 120 billion yen. This will be explained in more details from our CFO, Mr. Okada, later on. The third point is concerning various incidents at PM&F, which we know is causing concerns among consumers and market participants. On the issue of fraudulent insurance claims at Big Motor Company, as we have news released in August, we are prioritizing recovery of damages being done to customers. and we are executing measures such as support for safety checks for customers and proactive insurance policy grade adjustment. And so far, as well as going forward, for fraudulent insurance claims, it will be not tolerated. We will be dealing with this issue dedicatedly. In the issue of potential price fixing among Japanese non-life insurers, as we have news released in September, there is ongoing investigation by a special committee headed by several external lawyers. We cannot disclose any findings from this investigation. However, TM Holdings will instruct and monitor steady implementation of initiatives to prevent recurrence of similar matters by TMNF. On top of that, on the group level, we will strengthen and enhance governance on group level so as to eliminate concerns and anxiety currently felt by stakeholders. So the first point about the continued strong performance, I would like to explain about this in more detail. Please turn to page four. The first is on top line. Financial performance in the first half of the year was the net premiums written increased by 7.5% and like insurance premium decreased by 1.3%. Both are exceeding the original projections we had at the onset of the year. These numbers include some yen depreciation impact. But even if we exclude the FX factor, I believe we can say that the business momentum is still strong, mainly due to increased revenue from rate increases and expanded underwriting in the international business, and also increased sales for domestic specialty insurance. Therefore, we are revising the top-line projection upwards, specifically excluding FX on year-on-year basis, net premiums written, will have upward revision to year-on-year plus 3.6% and life premium to year-on-year minus 1.7%. Next, we will explain more about adjusted net income. Please turn to page five. Adjusted net income for the entire group was 275.5 billion yen. That makes progress rate for this year to be roughly 41%. which is lower than the average focus rate of 44% at this time of the year from the past five years. Main reason for this is one of the factors such as natural catastrophes and impacts on the depreciation for domestic P&C business. Excluding these one-off factors, I would say that the underlying business condition is still strong. Let me explain about each business in more detail. First, on Tokyo Marine and Ichigo Fire business, the pace of not-kept-budget spending is accelerated due to July hail damage and multiple typhoons. Also, progression of yen depreciation led to increasing provision for reserves of foreign currency denominated outstanding claims. These two factors make the rate of progress to be low, but exceeding these one-off factors, roughly, we are still in line with the plan. Recently, we had hike in auto loss ratio compared to the original fiscal year plan. And in response to that, we are hiking auto premium rate in January 2024. That will be premium hikes for that product division and top line growth surrounding specialty insurance continues to be strong. For international business, progress in the first half of the year excluding FX impact in amplifying profits in yen terms was 49%, almost in line with the plan. There is no change to the color of business since we had explained about this in August at the first quarter earnings. So against the negative developments such as natural catastrophe occurrence, capital loss in North America, loss reserve development in overseas run of reinsurance business are being offset by strong underwriting results by key entities such as Delphi Financial Group and PMSR in Brazil, as well as increasing North American investment income, making international business to be in line with the plan. Now I will explain about full-year adjusted net income projections. Please turn to page six.

speaker
Okada
Chief Financial Officer, Tokio Marine Holdings

Full-year adjusted net income projections on actual basis for fiscal year 23 is down 15 billion yen from the original projections to 655 billion yen, or up 6% year over year. This is due to the robust underwriting performance of key overseas entities, gains from sales of business-related equities, while also taking into account increase in NATCAT losses from wildfires in Hawaii and increase in capital losses in North America. A large part of capital losses in North America comes from recording reserves for CECL. This is a result of a deep dive based on rise in interest rates, deterioration of office demand, and current real estate market conditions. Tokyo Marine will leverage our long-term and predictable funding characteristics to manage solidly with appropriate risk management in place. Please turn to page 7. This is four-year adjusted net income projections on a normalized basis, excluding one-off factors such as natural catastrophes exceeding average year level. In a sense, this represents our current performance on a normalized basis that will be the launch pad for fiscal year 23 profits, up 5 billion from the original projections to 675 billion yen. Compared to normalized basis profits of the previous year, this is up 9% year over year. I'd like to say that our underlying capability is steadily rising. The growth drivers of profit continue to be both unfocused, strong underwriting, and strong investment income. In other words, The company is realizing world top class profit growth organically. Token Marine is indeed on a journey of profit growth. We are at a different stage than before. I intend to take steady steps to achieve even higher highs. And that is all for me for now. Thank you very much, Mr. Komia. And now I would like to ask Mr. Okada to cover capital policy. I am Okada, CFO. I will cover shareholder return. And therefore, please turn to page 8. As we have said in the past, our shareholder return is based on dividend, and the policy is to increase DPS sustainably in line with profit growth. As Mr. Komia mentioned earlier, adjusted net income on an actual basis will be revised slightly down due to one-off factors, but five-year average adjusted net income funding source of dividends has increased from $400 billion to $475 billion, roughly the same level as the original forecast. Therefore, DPS for fiscal year 2023 will be maintained at 121 yen as originally planned at a plus 21% DPS growth. Please turn to page 9. Regarding capital level adjustment and share buyback as a means to adjustment, our stance remains intact. In other words, as always, if there are M&A or risk-taking opportunities that contribute to increasing corporate value and ROE, we will execute those deals. But if we are not blessed with such an opportunity, we will execute share buyback. And now... As stated in the document, our current ESR is 133% within target range and strong. In addition, as shown on page 42, we moved... transferred pure shares in North America directly under TMNF in the same way as other overseas group companies. And this stock transfer, as a result, is expected to generate one-time profits of about 40 billion yen. This profit, as a definition of adjusted net income, is deductible, therefore by nature will not be reflected, but through increase in net assets, it will be reflected in ESR number end of March next year. In addition to this, by taking into account current M&A pipeline, business environment, among others, comprehensively, share buyback in fiscal year 23 will be increased from the originally announced 100 billion for the year to 120 billion yen. To be more specific, 50 billion yen has always been been decided and executed in the first half. Execution for the remaining $70 billion has decided in the board meeting held today. We will continue to steadily execute our business strategies, raise EPS and ROE, and respond to the expectations of the capital market. That is all for me. Thank you very much, Mr. Okada. And now I would like to ask Mr. Comilla to cover governance-related matters before closing. Again, this is Komia speaking. Before closing our initial comments, I'd like to say a few words on governance and management thinking. Page 10 of the slide deck summarizes recent incidents at TMNF, and I have covered this at the outset. Addressing individual cases and putting countermeasures to prevent recurrence, among other things, we will take as a company goes without saying. We intend to take ownership in contributing to the transformation of the P&C industry in Japan with transparency. On page 11. you will find issue analysis and actions as TMHD holding covering not only Japanese issues but also overseas issues. The expansion and diversification of our global business has potentially led to a variance in the maturity level of internal controls in each business. There may be businesses where it is preferable to step up holding's involvement than before. While we have been developing and strengthening various frameworks, there may be an opportunity for us to more effectively utilize diverse and external perspectives. That is how Holdings sees the incidents from a group management perspective. Next week at the RR briefing, I will announce the qualitative targets for the next midterm plan. Strengthening group-level governance is one of... the main pillars. By utilizing external perspectives, we will bring integrated group management to the next level where high-quality management is realized that balances growth and governance at a high level. Your continued support and understanding is greatly appreciated. And that is all.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-