7/30/2026

speaker
Kelsey
Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the West Fraser Q2 2026 Results Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode, and following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press star 0 for the operator. This call is being recorded on Thursday, July 30, 2026. During this conference call, West Fraser's representatives will be making certain statements about West Fraser's future financial and operational performance, business outlook, and capital plans. These statements may constitute forward-looking information and forward-looking statements within the meaning of Canadian and United States security laws. Such statements involve certain risks, uncertainties, and assumptions which may cause West Fraser's actual or future results and performance to be materially different from those expressed or implied in these statements. Additional information about these risk factors and assumptions is included in both accompanying Wes' webcast presentation and in our 2025 annual MD&A and annual information forum. As updated in our quarterly MD&A, which can be assessed on Wes Fraser's website or through CDAR Plus for Canadian investors and EDGAR for United States investors. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Mr. Sean McLaren, President and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Kelsey. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our second quarter 2026 earnings call. I am Sean McLaren, President and CEO of West Fraser, and joining me on the call today are Chris Virostek, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Matt Tobin, Senior Vice President of Sales and Marketing, and other members of our leadership team. On the earnings call this morning, I will begin with a brief overview of West Fraser's second quarter and then pass the call to Chris for additional comments before I share some thoughts on our outlook and offer concluding remarks. Our second quarter results reflect continued progress in a market environment where underlying demand remains measured. We generated $50 million of adjusted EBITDA with positive contributions from each of our three core reportable segments. Through the first half of the year, we produced approximately the same amount of Southern Yellow Pine as in the prior year period despite operating one fewer mill, reflecting productivity gains and the continued high grading of our U.S. lumber portfolio. We are pleased with the ramp up at our new Henderson Mill as production has more than doubled in Q2 versus Q1 and is regularly exceeding levels of which the old mill produced. Our team sustained shipping momentum in the US South, navigating significant transportation cost and availability challenges. In Canada, SPF production increased by 13% compared to the previous quarter. In EWP, we completed the safe wind down of our high level Alberta OSB mill during the quarter on time and under budget. This strategic decision more closely aligns our production footprint with customer demand, enhancing operational efficiency. We are encouraged by our performance in Europe, which has resulted in the strongest first half results since 2023. We continued to strengthen our balance sheet. We ended the quarter with approximately $1 billion of liquidity, maintaining strong financial flexibility. We are closely tracking wildfire conditions in British Columbia and Alberta. At present, all West Fraser facilities remain safe and there have been no wildfire-related impacts to our operations. Our focus remains on operating safely, serving our customers, improving the competitiveness of our assets, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and allocating capital with discipline. With that high-level overview, I'll now turn the call to Chris for additional detail and comments.

speaker
Chris Virostek
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Sean, and a reminder that we report in U.S. dollars and all my references are to U.S. dollar amounts unless otherwise indicated. In the second quarter, we achieved sales of approximately $1.4 billion and delivered adjusted EBITDA of $59 million with a $13 million favorable softwood lumber duty adjustment contributing to an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 4%. This compares with sales of approximately $1.3 billion and reported adjusted EBITDA of negative 66 million in the first quarter, which included a 114 million non-cash duty adjustment relating to prior year periods. Including the duty adjustments, underlying consolidated performance was stable between the quarters. The lumber segment generated 41 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q2, compared with reported adjusted EBITDA of negative 84 in Q1. Including the first quarter duty adjustment, The lumber segment generated modestly higher adjusted EBITDA this quarter. We were encouraged by both higher mill nets and higher shipment volumes during the quarter. Results were also affected by the seasonal timing of Canadian logging costs during spring break-up, as certain costs are expensed during the temporary shutdown of logging operations rather than capitalized into inventory and NRV adjustments around quarter-end pricing trends. The North America EWP segment generated $13 million of adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter, a slight improvement from the $11 million generated in the first quarter. North American OSB economics were primarily influenced by pricing dynamics, while controllable costs remained largely in line with Q1 levels, despite ongoing resin inflation. North America OSB was also impacted by an NRV adjustment influenced by quarter-end prices. We have analyzed the impact of the 50% tariff announcements made earlier this month under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930. For context, year to date, approximately 3% of our Canadian plywood shipments and 20% of our LVL shipments have been exported to the U.S. Our MDF shipments to the U.S., which represent approximately half our MDF shipments, are not directly subject to tariffs. We continue to assess the potential indirect effects on downstream customers and end markets. In Europe, we generated $13 million of adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter, improving on the $10 million earned in the first quarter. The Europe market continues to benefit from an improved environment of higher demand. Although resin and freight costs increased, we were able to effectively manage these increases through our pricing strategy. Our other operating segment showed an $8 million adjusted EBITDA loss, which was principally due to a maintenance shutdown at Caribou during the quarter. Bridging our results from Q1 to Q2, higher realized prices in both lumber and Europe generated an incremental $51 million of adjusted EBITDA. Duties and tariffs were lower, which includes the $13 million adjustment we discussed earlier. Higher resin and freight costs and changes in inventory valuation reserves contributed most of the offsets to higher realized prices. Majority of the increase in freight costs was recovered through adjustments to freight adders included in our invoicing. Canadian SPF shipments were up 18% from Q1, mainly due to the restart of our Blue Ridge, Alberta facility mid-March. Additionally, SYP shipments were up 5% despite the transportation shortages facing the U.S. South. We generated $192 million of cash from operations as the seasonal working capital investment began to reverse. enabling us to repay $148 million of operating borrowings during the quarter. This cash flow helped us reduce our net debt in the quarter by $140 million. We exited the quarter with only $55 million drawn on our $1 billion revolver resulting in a 5% net debt to capital ratio and giving us ample financial flexibility to continue to execute on our business plan. It was not to repurchase any shares in the second quarter to maintain financial flexibility and strengthen our balance sheet during this phase of the cycle. Compared with the first half of 2025, unit costs across our U.S. lumber portfolio were approximately 4% lower in the first half of 2026 by lower production and Henderson startup costs. We are targeting continued improvement in these numbers as Henderson ramps up during the remainder of 2026. We have made no changes to our shipment guidance across our main products. as well as our capital expenditure range of $300 to $350 million. Transportation and resin costs have risen in the first half of the year. Outbound transportation costs are largely passed on to the end customer in all of our markets. Resin and wax costs are influenced by oil prices. We estimate that a $10 change in crude oil prices impacts annual resin and wax costs by approximately $15 million. Compared to Q1, we estimate there was a $13 million overall increase to our wax and resin costs. This is across both our North American and European EWP business. Encouragingly, against that backdrop, we have seen a decline in fiber costs, especially in the U.S. South, that has offset much of this increase. There remains a lot of uncertainty on oil prices, but we have been successful at managing and mitigating these impacts to our business. With that overview, I'll pass the call back to Sean.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you Chris. I'll now shift to our general outlook and add some concluding remarks. Looking ahead, our priorities are focused on improving the competitiveness of our assets and positioning the business to perform through a range of market conditions. In U.S. lumber, our multi-year portfolio optimization continues to translate into improved performance. As Henderson continues to ramp, we expect further production gains and lower unit costs. We also expect to maintain shipping momentum while effectively managing ongoing transportation constraints and finished goods inventory levels. In North American OSB, we believe the market will reward efficient operators. Our portfolio has been enhanced by the closure of High Level, the progress at Allendale, a continued focus on reliability improvements and strong inventory and cost management. These actions lowered our unit costs in Q2, and we remain focused on further improvement. Pulp industry closures remain a headwind for lumber residual realizations in the US South, but they are also increasing regional pulpwood availability and lowering OSB fiber costs, an example of these offsets within our diversified portfolio. In Canada, our lumber mills increase production and shipments materially from Q1. We expect limited pressure on fibre inputs as the overall Canadian lumber supply has been shrinking. Duty rates will also drop coming out of the AR7 review when they take effect later this year. Our Canadian Panels business continues to deliver reliable results. Our focus for the second half will be on managing potential tariff exposure mainly in our LVL and MDF businesses and continuing to focus on unit cost performance across all mills. In Europe, our OSB operations delivered strong year-over-year growth in both pricing and volumes, with teams successfully navigating energy-related cost pressures through strategic pricing, procurement, and disciplined operational execution. Over the longer term, we continue to see support for wood-based construction in Europe, including increased adoption of timber frame in the UK. The demand environment remains challenging. Mortgage rates are elevated and consumers are focused on affordability. Notwithstanding these pressures, lumber pricing has improved given the tightening supply-demand balance, reduced European imports, and transportation constraints. OSB prices remain near levels that are challenging for higher cost capacity. Our priorities continue to lower our cost base, managing production and working capital. Summarizing our discussion today, Our second quarter performance demonstrates that the investments and portfolio actions we have taken are delivering results. The breadth of our portfolio is an important advantage. We reported positive EBITDA in all three of our operating segments and supporting our operations is a strong balance sheet that provides us full financial flexibility with $1 billion of liquidity and low net debt levels. Thank you again for your time and continued interest and we look forward to updating you next quarter. With that, we'll turn the call back to the operator for questions.

speaker
Kelsey
Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press the star followed by the 1 on your touchtone phone. You will hear a prompt that your hand has been raised. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press the star followed by the 2. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. One moment, please, for your first question. The first question comes from Ben Isaacson from Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ben Isaacson
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thank you very much and good morning, everyone. I just have three quick questions, if that's okay. First one is, can you provide some color on these transportation constraints? Is there more than one issue? Is it getting worse? Is there a solution that it could improve over time? How do you frame these transportation constraints? Issues, thanks.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Okay, good morning, Ben. What I might do is ask Matt Tobin here just to give a bit of an update on transportation.

speaker
Matt Tobin
Senior Vice President of Sales and Marketing

Good morning, Ben. I would say that, you know, it's been a multi-layered challenge. I think, you know, if we go back to quarter four, we saw a lot of bankruptcies from trucking companies taking out supply. And then on top of that, we layered a spike in fuel. And then usually end of Q1, early Q2 is a seasonally tight period for trucks in the south. So we see produce pick up and just increased demands. So, you know, we've seen that easing as of late. We've seen also railways responding, more product moving by rail, a little bit of easing as the seasonality of that tightness slows down. But I think with the geophilic pressures and the fuel, it'll remain tight, but we do see that easing somewhat here.

speaker
Ben Isaacson
Analyst, Scotiabank

Great. Thank you for that. My second question, Sean, you mentioned that duty rates will drop later this year. Would you expect pricing to fall on a dollar-for-dollar basis, or is there an opportunity for margin capture? What is your experience watching these duties change over the years and through different cycles?

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, you bet, Ben. I'll make a couple of comments, and then I'm going to ask Matt to just add on to that. Obviously, duties impact the cost floor. and really market conditions are supply-demand related. So it really depends on the supply-demand dynamics for that product in that moment. It's really difficult to predict. If there's an imbalance there, pricing will be based on demand. If they're not, then really the cost floor adjusts and it really depends on actions from producers from everybody who's supplying that market. So really, really difficult to predict. I might ask Matt if he would add anything to that.

speaker
Matt Tobin
Senior Vice President of Sales and Marketing

No, I agree. I think it's really a question of supply demand and what demand is as those things change. We've been navigating this environment for the last 9 or 10 years, and I'd say we historically have had a long-term advantage on rates, and Survived Demand will tell us what happens when the rates drop off from there.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Matt. I think I might add, we continue to lean into our integrated model in Western Canada and work on our cost structure and our competitive position, regardless of what the border measure is.

speaker
Ben Isaacson
Analyst, Scotiabank

That's perfect. Thank you. And then just a final one for Chris. Chris, you mentioned that you have not done buybacks this year. You do have an open NCIB, I believe. But I found that the tone in your Q2 MD&A has improved somewhat. Leverage is now moving in the right direction. Direction, Liquidity is Ample. What do we need to see in order for you to want to restart buybacks? Are there certain metrics that you're looking for?

speaker
Chris Virostek
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Ben. Great question. I think as you probably heard in our remarks and noted in the MD&A, we're quite pleased with the progress that we're making organizationally across the company. It really spans across all the segments, seeing Seeing improvements in Europe, the Henderson ramp-up proceeding, the successful wind-down of high-level, managing through the geopolitical impact on oil and resins and things like that. That being said, maintaining financial flexibility to preserve full optionality of a range of outcomes for us remains a priority for us. Whether that be organic growth and continued investment in the business, inorganic opportunities that may present themselves at this time in the cycle, or share buybacks. It'd be hard to nail it down to a single factor or a couple factors that we say are going to influence that decision. It's really looking at all those variables and where do we think we can We can deploy capital in the way that creates the most value for shareholders over the long term. And that's really going to guide our thinking here. I do think that this far in on the lumber side, we are starting to see potentially an inflection point on the lumber here. And we've worked very hard over the last three years to do the right things for the business in as much of a cycle agnostic way as we can.

speaker
Ben Isaacson
Analyst, Scotiabank

That's perfect. Thanks so much. Appreciate it.

speaker
Kelsey
Operator

Thank you. And your next question comes from Amir Patel from CIBC Capital Market. Please go ahead.

speaker
Amir Patel
Analyst, CIBC Capital Markets

Hi. Good morning. Sean, with your European OSB business finally rebounding, how do you think about your positioning in Europe and potential to expand that platform into other wood products, just thinking as perhaps some more distressed assets might come to market?

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, good morning, good morning, Amir. Of course, we're pleased with our progress over in Europe. I think, as I mentioned on prior calls, we have a strong management team, you know, efficient assets, and I think some of the, even though the macro conditions in Europe are, you know, not great, I would say, you know, our cost position and location of our assets, I think as there's... and others. In terms of growth, what Europe brought to West Fraser was just another region for us to look at opportunities and I think any growth opportunity would Thank you for joining us. You know, we've done a lot of work on our portfolio the last four or five years, and I think we are very much in the mode of operationalizing those investments and making good progress in each one of our segments on the investments we've made. Really, our Bemidji project is the only major project that we have that is kind of under construction and will be ramping up early next year. and it's really a relife of a very solid asset. I would say we do have a basket of other opportunities, but our focus today is getting the value from the investments we've made and operationalizing that and keeping our focus there.

speaker
Amir Patel
Analyst, CIBC Capital Markets

Thanks, Ryan.

speaker
Chris Virostek
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

My add to that is through this cycle, we've done quite a lot of counter-cyclical investing and so if or when we reach that inflection point, We're not entering that with a bunch of deferred capex or deferred maintenance that we need to catch up on. We feel we've done a really good job through the bottom of this cycle of maintaining and hydrating our asset portfolio.

speaker
Amir Patel
Analyst, CIBC Capital Markets

Great. Thanks. That's all I had. I'll turn it over.

speaker
Chris Virostek
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Kelsey
Operator

Thank you. Again, if you do have a question, please press star 1. Your next question comes from Keaton Mentora from BMO Capital Markets.

speaker
Keaton Mentora
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Please go ahead.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Kelsey, I don't think Keaton is... Keaton, I don't know if you're on. We can't hear you. May need to go to the next question.

speaker
Kelsey
Operator

Perfect. So our next question comes from Sean Stewart from TD Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Sean Stewart
Analyst, TD Bank

Hi. Good morning, everyone. A couple questions for Sean or Matt. Trying to get a sense of what you're seeing from North American customers in terms of what products demand. We've seen a Great lift in lumber prices year-to-date for a lot of the reasons you laid out on the supply side, but we have 30-year mortgage rates up 70 to 80 basis points since February. Affordability would still seem to be compromised. Can you give us a sense for OSB and lumber what you're seeing in terms of order file activity, demand pull across, I guess, both new home construction and repair and remodeling?

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

I'd ask Matt to maybe provide some commentary on that.

speaker
Matt Tobin
Senior Vice President of Sales and Marketing

Sure. You know, I think like we talked earlier in the call that, you know, on the lumber side, we're seeing a little bit better supply-demand mix, and that's held prices, you know, over the quarter. And I'd say, you know, we see consistent ordering and no real shifts in change, I would say, over the last period, other than, I'd say, just that a little bit better balance, I feel like. and then on the R&R side, we don't really have great visibility into R&R but while imperfect, we think treaters offer a good lens into R&R and I'd say we're seeing seasonally in-line order patterns from our treaters and our customers and I wouldn't say we had seen a meaningful shift in demand that would change our view from the last few quarters in either R&R or new home construction.

speaker
Sean Stewart
Analyst, TD Bank

Okay, that's encouraging. Sean or Chris, I think a lot of the wording in previous calls with respect to North American M&A ambitions was you want to keep your powder dry, preserve financial flexibility, but you did anticipate more opportunities coming to market. In the initial stages of a cyclical upturn, and I don't know if what we've had year-to-date qualifies as a cyclical upturn yet, but has the M&A opportunity set in North America evolved at all year-to-date? Are you seeing more opportunities?

speaker
Chris Virostek
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

I wouldn't say it's changed much at all. I'm just speculating, but I would imagine folks are waiting to see if there's durability to this. We're really only a couple of quarters in SYP to improve conditions and hard to say when others make choices about what they may want to do. And I think what I would add is I think we've been fairly consistent all along that one of the main things that we're looking for is quality, is high quality assets. and those we're going to be pretty selective on if those opportunities do arrive.

speaker
Sean Stewart
Analyst, TD Bank

Thanks for that. Just one last quick one. North American engineered wood costs or unit costs were really held in check nicely this quarter. That was a surprise to us. And I know there's a lot of moving pieces, some of which you highlighted, but between lower pulpwood costs and Maybe margin benefits associated with high level being out of the mix. Can you give us a sense of if either one of those two items weighed or was a more important determinant of that cost progression this quarter? That was a nice surprise from our perspective.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, maybe just a few comments on that. I'd say, frankly, across the company, but as it relates to our North American OSB team, we continue to lean into cost reduction and I think it's a whole number of things. One, I think we've become very adept at flexing our portfolio of assets to meet our customer demands as they fluctuate. As we saw demand drifting lower and like lumber, we took action early at high level It took a number of months to unwind the log inventory there. We've really yet to see the full benefit of that, but redeploying those products to other mills will improve our efficiency and we expect to continue to help us manage cost. Finally, really operationalizing the capital investments we've made. Allendale, Chambord, both are meeting exceeding expectations and continue to operate at a high level and have really allowed us to reduce cost. That along with, as Chris talked about in his comments, kind of southern wood cost as pulp mills have been restructured. As it relates to our drains that support our OSB mills, we've seen more competitive fiber coming to market.

speaker
Sean Stewart
Analyst, TD Bank

That's great. Thanks for that context, Sean. That's all I have.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Sean.

speaker
Kelsey
Operator

Thank you. And our last question comes from Keaton Mantora from BMO Capital Markets.

speaker
Keaton Mentora
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Please go ahead.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Keith, you may have a line problem. We can't hear anything here.

speaker
Kelsey
Operator

Okay. So we do have one last question from Matthew McKellar from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matthew McKellar
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I appreciate all the help so far. Just a couple of cleanups on costs. First, I guess, how would you expect diesel prices to affect your Canadian log prices in Q3? I think you've been consuming quite a bit of the log deck built through Q1 during Q2. What's the impact of rolling on to, I guess, more current costs as you progress into Q3? Thanks.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, you know, what I might – the way I might answer that, Matthew, is – I think most of our agreements with our contractors, we would have fuel riders in there, so there'll be some impact depending on where diesel pricing is at that moment. Saying that, I think we have a number of other cost initiatives underway in Western Canada that are going to allow us to manage any inflationary pressure there and manage those costs in the coming quarters.

speaker
Matthew McKellar
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, great, thanks. And then shifting over, I appreciate the help with the sensitivity provided, but maybe just to come to a bit of a finer point, given recent volatility, any nuances around timing, do you have a sense of how much of a sequential headwind resin and wax cost should be for North American EWP in Q3 versus Q2? Thank you.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, again, I think we've provided some sensitivities. The way I would describe that sensitivity in our disclosure is all things being equal. We had that headwind in Q2, but through a number of other initiatives, we were able to more than offset that. I think we're going to continue to be navigating changes in the resin market. Our agreements we have around resin pricing and our Other kind of chemical inputs are good. And I think we're going to be pretty, you know, it's going to affect the industry and I think we'll be pretty well positioned to navigate through it.

speaker
Matthew McKellar
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Thanks for the help. I'll pass it back.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Okay.

speaker
Kelsey
Operator

Thank you. And there are no further questions at this time. You may continue your conference, Mr. McLaren.

speaker
Sean McLaren
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Kelsey. As always, Chris and I are available to respond to further questions, as is Anil Agarwala, our Director of Treasury and Best Relations. Thank you again for your participation today. Stay well, and we look forward to reporting on our progress next quarter.

speaker
Kelsey
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that's your conference call for today. We thank you very much for your participation. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-