8/20/2025

speaker
David Stevens
CEO and Managing Director

Hello and welcome to Harmony's full year 25 results presentation. I'm David Stevens, the CEO and Managing Director of Harmony today. With me today is Simon Ward, our Chief Financial Officer. Harmony has produced a very strong profit result this financial year, which I'm really looking forward to sharing with you today. This result has been underpinned by the work we have done developing and launching Stellair 2.0 over the past 24 months. This has set us up to capitalise on the huge market opportunity we have in front of us, particularly as interest rates and market conditions continue to improve. We're also upgrading our financial year 26 cash impact guidance to record levels. Now turning to slide two. Today I'll begin with our financial year 25 key highlights, then our financial year 26 profit guidance, and then I'll remind you of Harmony's key differentiators before handing you over to Simon, who'll take you through the financial results in detail. Finally, I'll discuss our outlook, strategic priorities, and highlight the embedded value in our business before responding to your questions. Now turning to slide three, and then onto slide four to highlight our key achievements for financial year 25. This year we achieved a $5.5 million statutory net profit after tax, up $18.7 million on the prior year, driven by our underlying cash NPAT result, with non-cash accounting adjustments netting off to less than $200,000. This was primarily driven by our $5.7 million cash NPAT, which is up over $5 million from the prior year, driven by improvements across all key metrics and our continued loan book growth. As a result, we delivered 16% cash return on equity for the full financial year. Cash return on equity is our cash NPAT for the year divided by our average total equity. Furthermore, we exceeded our 20% cash return on equity guidance for Q4 25, achieving 24% in the final quarter. Our loan book continued to grow, up 9% on the prior year, with Stellia 2.0 propelling 40% growth in the Australian new customer lending. And following its deployment in New Zealand, June new customer originations were an impressive 50% higher than the prior June. Our net interest margin on new lending during the year continued at over 10%, raising the average NIM for the entire loan book to 9.3%, back within our targeted 9-10% range. Our loan book credit performance continued to strengthen, with credit losses down to 3.7% for the year from 4.1% in the prior year. Our high levels of automation drove further efficiency gains, with our cost-to-income ratio continuing to fall, now down to 19%. With all these metrics heading in a positive direction, Harmony is well capitalized for continued profitable loan book growth with total warehouse capacity over $1 billion, $23 million in unrestricted cash, plus $14 million in additional accessible cash. This being loans funded by Harmony, which are available to be drawn down as further unrestricted cash. Now turning to slide five. This year's record results are a direct outcome of the successful rollout of our next generation platform, Stellair 2.0. This slide provides a clear picture of the immediate and powerful impact it's having on the business. In Australia, where we've now had a full year operating on the new platform, Stellair 2.0 has safely increased the number of new customers we approved by 70%. The new platform does this by better assessing a wider range of applications, particularly for smaller loan sizes, without changing our prime credit risk appetite, boosting new customer lending by an incredible 40% compared with last year. And this success isn't limited to Australia. We completed the rollout of Stellia 2.0 in New Zealand during the fourth quarter and the impact was immediate. In June 25, we saw a 50% increase in new customer originations in that market compared to the prior June. Crucially, this new customer growth is the engine for our future profitability. As the graphic on the bottom left shows, a consumer direct model creates a powerful annuity of returning customers. On average, an existing customer will borrow an additional 150% of their initial loan value over time, and they do so at near zero additional acquisition costs for Harmony due to the direct relationship we already have with them. So the investment we make now in acquiring new customers today directly fuels our profitable growth for the years to come. Now turning to slide six. At Harmony, we're committed to our reputation of delivering on our promises to the market. I'm therefore delighted to confirm that for financial year 25, our first year of providing profit guidance, we not only met but exceeded our upgraded guidance with a record cash in part of 5.7 million, surpassing our already upgraded market guidance of 5.5. We also exceeded our ambitious 20% cash return on equity run rate guidance with fourth quarter cash return on equity of 24%. This performance was underpinned by achieving our key strategic and operational goals for the year. The successful rollout of Stellar 2.0 platform across both Australia and New Zealand is now complete and our net interest margin of 9.3% for the year, firmly within our target range. Now turning to slide seven and then onto slide eight. Our outstanding performance in financial year 25 has set a strong foundation for the year ahead, giving us a confidence to set ambitious but achievable targets for financial year 26. As a result, we are lifting our financial year 26 cash impact guidance by 20% to $12 million. As you can see from the chart, this represents 111% increase on this year's record result and a compound annual growth rate of 320% since financial year 24. This significant growth will be driven by several key factors. First, we expect the full year impact of Stellair 2.0 across both Australia and New Zealand to drive our year-end loan book to over $900 million. Second, we will deliver this growth while maintaining strong margins. We expect our net interest margin to remain within our target 9% to 10% range and our risk-adjusted income to further strengthen to around 6%. This lifting guidance is a reflection of our confidence in the proven scalability of our platform and our team's ability to execute. We feel we're entering financial year 26 with strong momentum. Now turning to slide nine and onto slide 10. I'd like to take a moment here to provide a quick recap of what sets Harmony apart from others. We're Australia and New Zealand's largest 100% online consumer direct lender. We have a total market opportunity of $150 billion with our current market share less than 1%. So we have a huge total addressable market in front of us. Our algorithms partner with Google to attract prime, high-intent customers at low cost. And then our direct relationship with those customers and great customer experience sees them returning again and again for their next borrowing needs at near zero acquisition cost. We use deep first-party data and AI models to deliver a prime loan book at a 5.7% risk-adjusted income, that being our income after both funding costs and credit losses. We're funded by three of the big four Australian banks, plus public securitizations. Our Stellair automation drives a low cost-to-income ratio of 19%, and our cash return on equity for the year was 16%, and we achieved 24% in Q4 25, exceeding our 20% market guidance. Just a quick reminder of our products on the right hand side of the page. Our loans are up to $100,000 with an average new loan size of $17,000, which is dispersed to customers within minutes. We offer personalised rates based on borrower's risk profile. We don't charge any fees other than a one-off establishment fee and all our loans are fully compliant with applicable consumer legislation. Our loans are typically used for renovations, debt consolidation and helping people with life events such as travel, education and weddings. Now turning to slide 11. To profitably build scale, it's clear you need automation. For that, you need advanced automation and AI capability. And doing that successfully, you need more than just tech. You need massive amounts of quality first-party data. First-party data means the financial information is direct from the customer, not hand-picked or pre-filtered by a broker. We consistently attract over 10,000 new customers each month. All of this data is used to continually train our AI models. This is a huge number of new customers for any business. This high volume of consumer financial data, combined with over 11 years of historical data, effectively supercharges training of our AI learning so that we can optimise for sophisticated, highly efficient marketing with platforms such as Google, giving us the right customers at low cost, and risk-adjusted income in excess of 5.7%, going through more accurate risk assessment of customers. This combination of data, AI and automation built into our technology platform has been a core feature of Harmony since our inception 11 years ago. Now turning to slide 12. The power of Stella's machine learning goes far beyond assessing customers at their point of their loan application. It plays a significant role throughout the entire lifetime of our relationship with a customer. Harmony is highly selective when it comes to audience targeting. We need to ensure our marketing spend is efficient and effective. This is where sophisticated customer acquisition models play a key role. And again, where the huge amounts of first party consumer data is key. When these models are used with powerful digital marketing platforms like Google, Microsoft ads and Facebook, the result is highly targeted and cost-effective customer acquisition. What this means in practice that we can acquire the right customers for the right price at scale and critically, we can forecast this with a high level of reliability. Proof of our ability to target the right customer with the right product is reflected in our Google reviews and shopper approved scores with 60,000 reviews at an average score of 4.7 out of five. Moving to the second column, naturally we work hard to ensure we deliver a great customer experience so we can create annuity revenue as satisfied customers return with minimal customer acquisition cost. This experience is underpinned by our automated, simple and streamlined 100% online process. And in the third column, our ability to scale remains an important factor in the Harmony model, and our continued investment in technology remains a key enabler. Already in this year, we have achieved a cost-to-income ratio of 19%, which is exceptional. The diagram at the bottom of the page shows how all of this combined to support the lifetime value of a customer. Our customer acquisition model helps us to attract the right customers. Our application and loan experience is highly tuned to customer satisfaction, so customers return to Harmony for their future needs. Based on our experience, this cycle is expected to lead to 150% in additional originations to the same customers at minimal acquisition cost. For example, an average customer taking out an initial loan of $20,000 would later return to Harmony for an additional $30,000. So cumulative total borrowings of $50,000, and that's just our experience so far. Now turning to slide 13. At Harmony, we have an experience and shareholder aligned leadership team. We have deep FinTech experience and have a large personal stake in the business with board and management owning around 30% of the business. The leadership team has a long-term commitment to the business with an average tenure at Harmony of over seven years. We included in our appendix Harmony's shareholder composition and further detail on substantial shareholders and the remaining shareholder makeup. Now turning to slide 14, I'll hand over to our CFO, Simon Ward, who will take you through our financial results in more detail.

speaker
Simon Ward
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks David, and hello everybody. Please turn to slide 15 summarising our key financial metrics for the year. As you'll see, this year we've delivered significant gains across almost every key metric. I'll briefly touch on each of these now before going into more detail on the following slides. Firstly, our loan book continued its strong growth trajectory, up 9% this year to 829 million, continuing its consistency of growing every half since we listed in 2020. This growth drove a corresponding 8% lift in revenue to 132 million. Our need interest margin, or NIM, improved by 50 basis points to 9.3%. And even more crucially, our risk adjusted income, which is our margin after both funding costs and credit losses, improved by 90 basis points to 5.7% on lower credit losses. John Wilkinson, Our acquisition to origination ratio saw a slight increase this year to 3.4% as we invested in accelerating new customer growth, taking advantage of the higher customer conversion rates delivered by Stellia 2.0. John Wilkinson, That investment fuels our future growth pipeline where our customers return for future borrowing but at near zero additional acquisition costs due to our direct relationship with those customers. Our cost to income ratio continued to improve, dropping another 100 basis points to a market leading 19%. This is a direct result of the operating leverage achieved from our highly automated platform. These improvements across key metrics have driven our statutory impact of $5.5 million and cash impact of $5.7 million, 740% higher than last year and exceeding our upgraded market guidance. A capital efficient balance sheet means that the strong profit result translates to a full year cash return on equity for shareholders of 16%. That return on equity has climbed through the year as our book has grown, reaching 24% in the fourth quarter, surpassing our 20% final quarter guidance. On the next few slides, I'll discuss each of these performance metrics in more detail. So turning now to slide 16, looking at our line book and revenue. The successful rollout of Stalia 2.0 is now driving growth in both markets. The group loan book grew by 9% on the prior year to finish at $829 million. This growth accelerated through the year as Stalia 2.0's benefits were increasingly realised, with 65% of the growth occurring in the second half. This growth was led by our Australian business, where, with a full year of Stelia 2.0, the loan book grew by 19% to $489 million. Australia now represents 59% of our total group loan book. In New Zealand, while the loan books are a modest 2% contraction over the full year, the rollout of Stellia 2.0 in the final quarter has already reversed that trend. The impact was immediate with new customer originations in June 25, up over 50% on the prior June. Turning to the chart on the right, loan book growth plus an increase in the average portfolio interest rate, drove revenue growth of 8% to 132 million. Turning now to slide 17, looking at our lending margins. A key differentiator for Harmony is the strength of our lending margins, underpinned by our proprietary credit assessment models, which drive attractive pricing to prime borrowers alongside low credit losses, with those low credit losses then unlocking competitive funding rates. Looking at the chart on the top right, you can see the three core levers of our lending margin. The top line shows our average portfolio interest rate has continued to climb, now at 16.9%, as we originate new loans at higher yields and older, lower yielding loans pay down. At the same time, our funding rate has remained stable year on year at 7.8%, Then, crucially, our actual credit losses have improved significantly, falling 40 basis points to 3.7% back within our targeted range. Next, looking at the chart on the bottom right, you can see the outcome of these positive trends. The combination of high lending rates and stable funding costs lifted our net interest margin by 50 basis points to 9.3%. With new lending being written at an average net interest margin of over 10%, we expect this portfolio NIM to continue to strengthen. The ultimate measure of our portfolio's profitability is risk-adjusted income. By combining the stronger NIM with lower credit losses, we've delivered a 90 basis point improvement in our risk-adjusted income, which as I've mentioned now stands at an exceptional 5.7%. When I look around the industry, many focus only on their NIM, not taking into account credit losses, which clearly misses a key part of the story. Our focus is on our risk-adjusted margin, taking into account both funding costs and credit losses. With a risk-adjusted margin of 5.7%, Harmony is a standout performer in the prime lending market. Next, turning to slide 18, I'll provide more detail on this year's strengthening credit performance. Our consumer direct model provides us with rich, deep consumer data, unfiltered by brokers or other intermediaries. We use this data to train our AI credit models and this has enabled us to build a prime loan book of resilient borrowers, with 72% employed in either professional, office or trade roles and 87% aged 30 years and older. Further demographic detail on the loan book is provided in the appendix to this presentation. Looking at the chart on the top right, you can see again that credit losses have fallen by 40 basis points to 3.7%. This improvement was expected as the impact from an older Australian scorecard replaced several years ago, which temporarily lifted losses last year, is now well behind us. The New Zealand loan book has continued to prove very resilient despite tighter economic conditions this year, with losses stable at near historic lows. With the New Zealand interest rate easing cycle reducing pressure on household incomes, we expect New Zealand credit performance to be further supported. Next, moving to the chart on the bottom right, our 90-plus day arrears, which are a forward-looking indicator, remain very low at less than half the Australian market average. The temporary bump in the fourth quarter to 0.7% was operationally driven by the final stage of migrating our loan book to the new platform. and I'm pleased to report was short-lived with July arrears already back down to 0.6%. Next, turning to slide 19, looking at our operating expenses. A key feature of Harmony's business model has always been our Stelia platform and the high levels of automation that it provides, enabling us to scale our loan book without proportionally scaling operating costs. This year provided another clear demonstration of that leverage in action. While our loan book grew by 9% and revenue grew by 8%, our cash operating expenses increased by only 1%, well below the rate of inflation. I think this is a case where the dollar amounts provided even better context for the scale of this operating leverage. This year revenue increased by close to $10 million, while cash operating costs only increased by $300,000. As the chart on the right shows, this operating leverage has enabled us to continue driving our cost to income ratio down from 24% in FY23 to 20% last year and now to 19% this year. It's a combination of this loan book growth, strong risk adjusted margins and a scalable cost base that delivered our record results this year. Statutory MPAT of 5.5 million, cash MPAT of 5.7 million and a cash return on equity of 16%. With fourth quarter at 24% is our cash return on equity run rate heading into FY26. Next, turning to my final slide, slide 20, looking at our capital position. Harmony has a well diversified funding programme with warehouses from three of the big four Australian banks and a securitisation programme. As is typical with warehouse funding arrangements, Harmony's own money is also invested in its loan book. The strong credit quality of Harmony's loan book means that we can be very capital efficient with borrowings funding 96% of the current loan book and Harmony providing the rest. The chart on the left shows in the red section, Harmony's required cash contribution of 36 million for its current loan book of 829 million. On top of this, Harmony has an additional $14 million, which is entitled to draw down as cash from funders at any point. Plus it has $23 million of unrestricted cash on hand. These together add to $37 million of cash, which can support growing the loan book by over 80% to $1.5 billion today without the need to raise any equity. Then in addition to already being able to support a loan book of up to $1.5 billion, David Allsopp, Being profitable means how many can reinvest profits for its contribution and growth beyond that 1.5 billion with every 1 million of profits funding an extra 25 million of loan book growth. David Allsopp, So, in summary, we have a profitable scalable and self funding business model that is well capitalized for the significant growth ahead. David Allsopp, And with that turning to slide 21 i'll hand you back to David to take you through our outlook.

speaker
David Stevens
CEO and Managing Director

Thanks, Simon. Continuing now to our outlook, please turn to slide 21 and then 22. On this slide, our vision is clear. We're evolving Harmony into a customer-centric financial ecosystem. This means moving beyond a single product to a suite of powerful and inclusive financial products. The strategic priorities you see here, product expansion, AI leadership and customer retention, are the pillars of this vision. With our new Stellair 2.0 platform now fully operational, we're not just talking about incremental changes, we're focused on significant value-driven initiatives. First, product expansion. Our plan includes launching a secured vehicle loan and a revolving product. These new offerings will expand our market reach and meet a wider range of our customers' financial needs. Next, AI leadership. Our focus here is on agentic lending, which is all about personalization at scale. By leveraging our deep data and AI capabilities, we will deliver a truly tailored experience for each customer from the moment they apply right through their entire experience with Harmony. Finally, customer retention. We're committed to rewarding loyalty and driving even stronger repeat business. Key initiatives here include developing loyalty offers and rewards, launching a mobile app for iOS and Android, and unlocking a one-click application process for our existing customers. This is a forward-looking strategy that leverages our core strengths in data and automation to drive a new era of growth and innovation. Now let's dive a little deeper into these priorities on the next slide. Now turning to slide 23. This slide provides more detail on our immediate product focus for financial year 26. Let's start with product expansion, auto. The goal is to redefine auto finance. Our ambition is to not just offer a loan, but to provide a seamless integrated buying experience. We'll differentiate ourselves with offers like no deposit loans, cash before you buy, compelling rates and money in seconds. We'll attract customers early in their journey with value added services like free vehicle reports and valuations. Ultimately, our vision is a hyper automated platform that makes car transactions effortless from browsing to driving. Moving to customer retention, our focus is on evolving from a transactional lender to a company that's always on for our customers. We will reward loyalty and drive repeat business by transforming the experience of our existing customers. This will be achieved through precision personalization. We'll use dynamic data-driven underwriting to provide highly relevant and competitive offers to our loyal customers. Instant access. Our new mobile app will enable instant access with features like one-click application and always-on loan limits for eligible customers. Rewarding loyalty. We'll launch a loyalty scheme with specific features and offers to show our existing customers how much we value their business. This focused approach in financial year 26 will lay the groundwork for our broader strategic vision, ensuring we continue to accelerate growth and enhance profitability. Now turning to slide 24. Next, I want to take a moment to again highlight an important insight, which is a significant value that is embedded within Harmony's existing loan book, which may not be well understood. You can see in the chart on the left that Harmony's own equity in loans on its balance sheet, plus its net cash, being our cashless corporate debt, totals $50 million. Then on top of this, the expected risk adjusted income from that existing loan book is at least an additional $75 million. Risk adjusted income is our net income after deduction of funding costs and credit losses. Importantly, that $75 million of risk-adjusted income is based on our realistic typical repayment experience, with most borrowers paying off their loans ahead of schedule, as we do not impose any fees or penalties on them doing so. If we calculated based on the contracted repayment schedule, the embedded risk-adjusted income would be significantly higher than $75 million. Finally, that $75 million is the discounted value of the risk-adjusted income, having already been discounted back to today's money at a 12% discount rate. This takes the total value embedded in just the existing loan book to at least $125 million. Another way to think of this is that the $125 million is essentially the minimum sale value of just the existing loan book cash flows. Then, moving to the right-hand side of the page, there is the additional value embedded in Harmony's business model, our proprietary platform and processes, which enables us to further build this loan book every day. We have a proprietary highly automated customer acquisition and credit assessment engine in Stellair 2.0, which delivers over 10,000 new applicants creating an account every month. Our great customer experience then sees those customers returning again and again for their future borrowing needs at next to zero additional cost to Harmony due to that direct relationship with those customers. Our AI models attract prime borrowers at a net interest margin of over 10% and a risk adjusted margin of over 6% and does this at a 19% cost to income ratio. We also have an established and diversified funding program in place with warehouse funding from three of the big four Australian banks and an ABS program with existing total capacity of over a billion dollars for immediate growth needs and the market confidence to expand beyond this when required. Now turn into slide 25. We're about to move to answering your questions that have been raised during the presentation, but I'd first like to take the opportunity to remind you that Harmony has set up Investor Hub, which is a dedicated platform for investors to learn more about us and engage directly with Harmony's leadership team. I'd encourage you to sign up as this is where we regularly post new content, including videos accompanying our ASX announcements, interviews, research reports, and webinars. You can join that whether you're a shareholder or not. Now turning to slide 26. And as I wrap up, just a reminder from our earlier slide, we have upgraded our financial year 26 market guidance from a cash in part of 10 million to 12 million. From tomorrow, we'll also be resuming our share buyback program announced in April 25, which has been paused between the end of financial year and these results. Under this program, Harmony has authorized a buyback up to 5% of its ordinary shares on market. The buyback commenced on the 13th of May, 2025, and will end no later than the 29th of April 26. The board and management continue to see significant value in the company's equity at current levels and believe it's in the best interest of all shareholders for the company to continue buying back its own shares. That concludes the results presentation for today. We'll now turn to answering your questions. Just a reminder, you can submit a question at the bottom of your screen.

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