3/18/2024

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us for today's presentation of KMD Brand's financial results for the first half of the 2024 financial year. My name is Michael Daly and I am the CEO and Managing Director of the group. I'm joined on the call by Ben Washington, our Interim Group Chief Financial Officer. We'll be talking through the presentation lodged on the NZX and ASX this morning. Unless otherwise specified, all financial numbers are in New Zealand dollars. When it comes to questions, can phone participants please follow the instructions of the operator? Online participants may ask a question at any time during the presentation by clicking the ask a question button. And those questions will be addressed at the end of the presentation after the questions by phone are cleared. Today's presentation will begin with a summary of the key first half results. We will then discuss the group's financials, brand results, a strategy update, and a closer look at Kathmandu. We'll conclude with a trading update and then our outlook for the second half. I'll begin with a summary of the key first half results. Drawing your attention to slide four, sales were 14.5% below last year's record sales result, reflecting ongoing weakness in consumer sentiment. Sales declined for all three of our brands, cycling their strong sales growth achievements last year. Despite the challenges on sales, it was pleasing to see gross margin increasing and expenses and working capital reducing despite the inflationary environment. Gross margin remained resilient despite currency headwinds, improving 10 basis points year on year to 58.8%. Operating expenses were $15.8 million lower than last year despite continued inflation pressures. Operating expenses benefited from restructuring implemented last year and lower variable costs associated with lower sales. with sales almost $80 million lower than last year, and despite improvements in gross margin and operating expenses, underlying EBITDA decreased by $30 million to $15.1 million. Networking capital ended $18 million lower than January last year, with reductions to both inventory and receivables balances, a significant achievement given the first half sales result. Moving to slide five now, and looking more closely at the group's sales history, you can see from these sales charts just how strong last year's sales result was, as all brands and channels rebounded post-pandemic. We're now operating in a more challenging consumer environment than we were 12 months ago, but first-half sales this year remain above the COVID-impacted years. Moving to slide six, we have had many highlights from our iconic brands in the first half, but I just want to call out three that really stood out and are representative of the positive direction we are heading in. The Ripkel Flashbomb Fusion wetsuit is the latest in a long history of leading-edge wetsuit innovations. Following successful launches in ANZ, North America and Europe, this innovative product has given Rip Curl its 11th consecutive SBIA Wetsuit of the Year award. Earlier this year, Kathmandu launched its refreshed loyalty program, Out There Rewards. Similar to Rip Curl's new loyalty offer, the program rewards members for engaging in their passion, getting outdoors. Kathmandu's loyalty proposition had not fundamentally changed for many years and was becoming less effective with the primary focus on discounts. A revamped and innovative new program in what has become a competitive market for awards is just what we need to continue to deliver in this space. It's early days with plans in place to expand the reach of this program with exclusive partnerships and further targeted personalization. And finally, we have extended our offer in a new category of oboes. Following the commercial success of the katabatic style, our first foray into the popular fast hike category, oboes has now launched the katabatic wind program, With market-leading technology and innovation delivering even faster and lighter performance, we expect this range to open doors for new distribution and consumer connections. I'll now hand over to Ben Washington to take you through the financials in detail. Thanks, Michael.

speaker
Ben Washington
Interim Group Chief Financial Officer

Drawing your attention to slide 8, we'll now go through the group's preference loss for the first half of FY24. Our statutory results include the adoption of IFRS 16. For comparability, the impact of IFRS 16 has been excluded from our underlying results, as well as the notional amortization of Ripkill and Oboe's customer relationships. As Michael described in his introduction, sales for all three brands have been impacted by a challenging consumer environment. Group sales for the first half of FY24 were 14.5% below last year's record sales result. Kathmandu saw cost of living pressures soften consumer sentiment from the fourth quarter of last financial year. compounded by the warmest winter on record in Australia. With the brand's current reliance on winter weight product, the sales result for the first half of this year has been disappointing. Rip Cool and Oboz are both cycling record sales results for the first half of last financial year. While the direct-to-consumer channels for both brands have recorded single-digit declines, the wholesale channel has been more challenging. Wholesale customers for both brands have made short-term correction to reduce inventory holdings to de-risk their own business in the current consumer environment. The wholesale customer destocking period has caused a short-term flow-on effect to our wholesale sales channel. Statutory EBITDA was 64.4 million for the half. On underlying comparable basis, EBITDA has decreased by 30.2 million to 15.1 million due to the disappointing sales result. Gross margin remained resilient, increasing 10 basis points despite currency headwinds. The US dollar hedge rate used to purchase inventory in the first half of this year was down approximately 7% from the rates achieved in the first half last year. The currency headwinds were fully offset by lower freight rates, improved channel mix, existing low margin business, and new product introductions. Operating expense control has been a real focus for each of our brands, finishing $15.8 million lower than last year, despite continued inflation pressure. Operating expenses benefited from restructuring implemented last year and lower variable costs associated with lower sales. Now looking at a more detailed view on slide nine of sales. Our sales in our largest international regions have decreased from last year's highs. All key global regions have delivered sales above COVID-19 impacted years. Sales decreased year on year by 16.6% in Australia, 14% in New Zealand, and 15.9% in North America, with Europe and the rest of the world holding up better than ANZ in North American markets, with a 2.2% and 7.4% decline year-on-year. Kathmandu challenges dominated the ANZ result, and we'll talk more about the challenging wholesale market in North America when we come to Ripco and Oboe's brand slides. Sales declines spread across all of our channels to market, albeit with direct-to-consumer sales performing better than wholesale sales, especially for rootkill and oboes, with direct consumer sales channels decreased 4.4% in aggregate. Moving on to slide 10, customers continue to return to shopping in stores. Our omni-channel offering provides customers the choice of in-store or online shopping. Whilst online sales have moderated, the channel remains significantly above pre-pandemic levels, with nearly 30% growth in online sales since the first half of FY20. Kathmandu delivered 16.4 million of online sales in the half, comprising 10.9% of the direct-to-consumer sales. Rickhill delivered 18.5 million of online sales, also comprising 10% of direct-to-consumer sales. Oboz delivered a record 3.8 million of online sales, a 34.2% increase on last year. Moving on to our balance sheet on slide 11. We have a very strong balance sheet position with low net debt, significant funding headroom, and improving inventory levels. Inventory is well positioned, $5 million lower than last January despite over $3 million increase in inventory balance year on year from the translation of regional inventory balances to NZ dollar reporting currency. With significant trade still to come in the second half, we expect the July 2024 inventory balance to be lower than July last year. also contributing to the net working capital decrease of over 18 million year on year, trade receivables have been well managed. At the 31st of January, 2024, the group had a net debt position of 96.2 million with significant funding headroom of approximately 190 million. Moving to slide 12, we're expecting an unwind of inventory to underpin traditionally strong operating cashflow generation in the second half year. As previously communicated in the FY23 results release, the balance between interim and final dividend will be adjusted to better reflect the profitability of each half. As a result of this change, and due to the first half performance, the directors have not declared an interim dividend. Our dividend policy remains aligned to first half and second half earnings weightings, with a target payout ratio of 50 to 70% of net profit after tax. Moving on to our brands, each of our brands has experienced a challenging start to the year in terms of weakened consumer sentiment, cautious wholesale customers, and sales underperformance. In this environment, our brands have worked hard to control gross margin, operating costs, and working capital. On slide 14, we'll talk through Ripkill. Ripkill is cycling a record sales result for the brand last year. sales in the first half of the year were impacted by wholesale customer caution, with sales down 9.2% year-on-year. Direct-to-consumer channels performed comparatively well, decreasing by 5% against cycling record results last year and reflecting weakened consumer sentiment in key global markets. Stronger direct-to-consumer results were delivered in Europe, Asia, and South America. Online sales have stabilized 4.3% above last year, and remain significantly above pre-COVID levels. Wholesale sales were 14.1% lower than last year as wholesale customers actively reduced the inventory holdings in response to the challenging consumer environment. We are optimistic that the wholesale customer inventory reduction cycle will end, giving us a more positive FY25 outlook in the wholesale channel. Gross margin increased 90 basis points, reflecting improved pricing and freight rates. along with reducing low-margin liquidation business in North America and Europe. Operating expenses were well controlled despite the continued inflation pressure. Moving to slide 15. Kathmandu total sales decreased 21.5% year-on-year, reflecting ongoing weakness in consumer sentiment. Kathmandu sales have softened over the last eight months with a combination of weaker consumer sentiment the warmest winter on record in Australia and an over-reliance on winter weight product, resulting in a disappointing first half. Sales were impacted in both Australia and New Zealand, with Australia down 22.9% and New Zealand down 15.9%. Online sales decreased 36.9% to 16.4 million as consumers returned to shopping in stores. Online sales represented 10.9% of direct-to-consumer sales and remain above COVID-19 levels. There is a clear opportunity to improve the recent online sales performance. Kathmandu's international sales opportunity remains a longer-term goal. In the first half, $1.7 million was delivered to Canadian and European customer accounts as we continue to test and learn in these markets. While gross margin decreased 240 basis points, this was driven by specific clearance of end-of-line product in August. Excluding the month of August, gross margin for the remaining five-month period was 50 basis points lower year-on-year, despite currency headwinds. The long-term fundamentals impacting gross margin remain strong. Operating expenses were tightly managed while facing continued inflation pressure. Operating expenses were almost $10 million lower year-on-year, benefiting from restructuring implemented last year and lower variable costs. Later in this presentation, Michael will take you through a deeper analysis of Kathmandu's recent challenges and update you on the focus areas for the brand to improve execution and profitability. Finishing up on slide 16, Oboz. Oboz was citing a record sales result for the brand last year. Sales in the first half of the year were impacted by wholesale customer caution, decreasing overall sales by 20% year-on-year. Online sales grew 34.2%, with strategic promotional activity. The online channel remains a key growth opportunity for the brand. Wholesale sales were 23.5% lower than last year as wholesale customers actively reduced the inventory holding in response to the challenging consumer environment. We view the wholesale customer caution as a cyclical reaction to the North American market. Gross margin has improved strongly by 450 basis points. reflecting lower freight rates, improved channel mix, improved pricing, and new product introductions. We continue to build areas of brand, online, and product to support the long-term growth objectives, which also include international expansion. As the North American footwear market recovers from its cyclical inventory reduction and discounting phase, we expect to leverage this operating expense investment with sustainable growth in sales and significant improved profitability. I'll now hand you back to Michael.

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Thanks, Ben. Moving to slide 18 and reminding you of our strategic pillars, our strategy remains unchanged. We will achieve our vision of building global brands by our continued investment in market leading innovative products engineered for purpose and made specifically with the outdoors in mind. We are actively building our brands to have global appeal, presence and reach through investing in world class brand and customer experiences. Elevating our digital capabilities remains a key focus, building off the launch of Club Rip Curl and the relaunch of Out There Rewards. We will continue to tailor our personalisation of offers to our customers while continuing to improve and streamline our digital experience to the customer. We will use the power of the group to leverage operational excellence across brands, with digital transformation being a key enabler. We are a leader in ESG. Sustainability is now part of the DNA of each of our brands, woven into decision-making in all parts of our supply chains. Moving to slide 19, the sales challenges in the first half of this year have impacted our progress towards the group's KPI targets. We have provided an update on the latest KPI results on this slide, but the key message is that we remain committed to the short, medium and long-term goals that we've previously communicated. We remain confident in the group's abilities to drive towards these targets. Recent trading has delayed our progress with our EBITDA margin target of 15% of sales changing to a medium-term timeframe. Also, with our immediate focus on improving execution and profitability in Kathmandu's local A&D business, Kathmandu's international aspirations move to a longer-term goal. Next, we want to give you some more context on Kathmandu's current position. Drawing your attention to slide 21, Kathmandu has been negatively impacted by a number of external factors in recent years, which slide 21 details. These include COVID lockdowns, reduced tourism, changes in the competitive landscapes, and most recently, weather and softened consumer sentiment. I do want to point out that the rolling 12 months to May 2023 represent the most recent 12 months of uninterrupted trade post-pandemic and immediately prior to the warmest winter on record in Australia. Kathmandu delivered 463 million of sales at almost 16% EBITDA margin during this recent rolling 12-month period. It's also worth noting that despite the external challenges in recent years, Kathmandu remains the outdoor leader in the ANZ market. Onto slide 22 now. Not all of Katmandu's challenges in recent years have been due to external factors. We outline on slide 22 the areas across brand and product where our execution has not been sufficient. In product, our reliance on winter weight product has increased, specifically in outerwear. Our breadth and depth of core categories has been insufficient, and our outerwear inventory investment has been overweighted compared to other categories. Unfortunately, though innovation continues to be a focus for Kathmandu, it has not delivered commercial outcomes in recent years. Product development timelines had less flexibility to allow us to capitalize on emerging market trends. Until recently, product was developed on an 18-month plus timeline with an industry standard. Finally, in terms of product, there has been too much reliance on vertical brand products versus leveraging third parties, including OBOs. For brand, our execution of the rebrand since 2021 has been inconsistent. We also had a lack of connection with target customers. And prior to our recent Out There Rewards launch, the Kathmandu loyalty proposition has not fundamentally changed for many years, becoming less effective over that time. Slide 23 looks to summarize the immediate focus areas of the Kathmandu team led by CEO Megan Welsh. The customer is key. We will focus on targeting outdoor enthusiasts in key product activity segments, hike, outdoor active and adventure travel. We need to exceed the expectations of our target customers by focusing on product and brand. With product, our key focus is to reduce our reliance on outerwear. While we have managed to build and maintain a strong outerwear business, it has come at the cost of other categories where execution hasn't been to the same level. To do this, we must continue to innovate and invest in broader categories to address the year-round needs of our customers. Our spring-summer product must provide a stronger balance to our autumn-winter product. We must react to market trends faster and produce more regular product drops. In the first half, we leveraged Rip Curl's suppliers and delivered 80 new SKUs on reduced timelines, and we have over 100 planned for the second half. We have expanded our third-party brand strategy and are actively leveraging premium brands in categories we are not experts in, like on-running shoes, blunt umbrellas, and hydro-flustering bottles. For brand, we know we have strong equity in AMZ, but execution needs to be refined and more authentic to the outdoors. Loyalty is an important part of this. The launch of Out There Rewards in the first half has connected our customers more authentically with our brand than ever before, but we need to continue to expand this program with further targeted personalization. In-store and online, we must deliver a premium brand and product experience. bringing to life an authentic outdoors connection with technical and sustainable features clear to our outdoor enthusiast customer. We'll achieve this by continuing to build our talent pool, ensuring our people bring specialist expertise while truly understanding our customer. Our medium-term ambition is to deliver $500 million in sales with a 16% EBITDA margin. We are committed to Kathmandu being a premium brand and the continued market leader in ANZ. With new leadership and an action plan in place, we are optimistic about the future for the Kathmandu brand. Okay, moving on to the outlook. On slide 25, we highlight a sample of innovations for our brands. Rip Curl is arguably the number one surf brand globally in today's market. Through reigniting the search as the primary product, creative and marketing vehicle, Rip Curl plans to inject this strong brand DNA into new innovative products and collaborations centered around athletes. with execution tailored to regional markets. Kathmandu is the market leader in the outdoor market in ANZ with a long history of cutting edge outdoor innovation. Here are some examples of exciting innovations launching this half. The new Sika range in stores now is a new insulated active jacket and vest made from recycled materials. In a first for Kathmandu, the insulated trailhead will extend the adaptability of an already successful rain jacket with the addition of insulation. Coming this winter is an exciting sustainable addition to the hugely popular Epic Puffer franchise. The Epic Special Edition is made from fabric drawn from end-of-life tyres. Oboz is one of the newest and fastest growing hiking footwear brands in the market. Recently, Oboz has launched the new Cottonwood range, its most sustainable hiker to date. It's an important direction to the brand, consistent with the group's strategic pillars, and timely in the North American and European markets as enhanced regulations are introduced. And finally, as we hit slide 26, I want to take you through a brief trading update and our outlook for the sales. Group sales for February were minus 3.5% below last year. While noting that February is not a significant trading month, we have seen improvement on year-to-date sales trends from each of our brands. February sales trends have continued into the start of March. As we begin the second half trading, it's important to remind ourselves that the group will be cycling less challenging sales performance last year, particularly Kathmandu in the fourth quarter. As I've already stated, improving Kathmandu sales performance and execution is our immediate priority as we approach the key winter trading period. I've taken you through Kathmandu's focus areas that we believe will start to materially improve Kathmandu's performance progressively over the next 12 to 18 months. The Kathmandu team are already implementing these changes at pace. With regards to the wholesale market, we are optimistic that the wholesale customer inventory reduction cycle will end, giving us a more positive FY25 outlook in the wholesale channel for both Rip Curl and Oboz. Despite the challenging consumer environment and with significant trade still to come in the second half, we do expect the July 2024 inventory balance to be lower than July last year. We expect this ongoing reduction of working capital to drive strong cash flow generation in the second half. We believe that our portfolio of the iconic global outdoor brands and leadership in sustainability, we remain a unique investment proposition and well-placed for the future. Okay, time for questions. This now concludes the formal part of today's presentation. I want to thank you all for your taking the time to join us on this call. I would now like to open the call for questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question over the phone, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw that question, again, press star one. Thank you. Your first question comes from the line of Guy Hooper from Jarden. Please go ahead.

speaker
Guy Hooper
Analyst, Jarden

Yeah, thank you. Morning, everyone. Let me just quickly on the balance sheet. I know you've so it called out you've got plenty of headroom. Can you just talk a bit about your covenants, particularly around the fixed charge covenant?

speaker
Ben Washington
Interim Group Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, thanks, Guy. We've obtained some relief for the 31st of January period and the 31st of July reporting period, so we've got sufficient headroom on the banking covenants for the next reporting period.

speaker
Guy Hooper
Analyst, Jarden

Okay, thank you for that. Maybe just, can you tell us what the covenant is?

speaker
Ben Washington
Interim Group Chief Financial Officer

It's 1.25 times at January and 1.35 times at July.

speaker
Guy Hooper
Analyst, Jarden

Okay, thank you. And maybe just, I guess, on the product side for Kathmandu, I mean, you sort of have that statement in there around some of the product innovation not delivering. I mean, can you talk a little bit about the product misses in that Kathmandu brand and I guess, what we should expect to see on the product side, I guess, over the next six to 12 months. And then the second part of that, just on the third-party strategy, I mean, how deep do you kind of plan to go or how wide do you plan to go in terms of categories that you'll look to supplement with third-party strategies?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, Michael here, Guy. Yeah, look, in terms of the Kathmandu product pipeline, look, it's a challenging, obviously, market for the consumer with the cost of living crisis and so forth. But what certainly resonates in this market is good product. And unfortunately for us, particularly our spring-summer offer that we've had for the last six months just did not resonate as strongly as we would have liked. We didn't have particularly a lot of newness. to encourage the consumer to come back to us. We did have a stretch rain jacket and trailhead, which worked quite well. But outside of that, to be honest, we really struggled. We did some fast injections of some newer product, T-shirts, fleece and so forth, which again worked really well, but not enough to cover for the loss of sales across a broader category. Looking forward, we're more excited about what the pipeline brings us in the future. I mentioned earlier just some of the new products outerwear jackets we've got coming in and certainly beyond that I'd expect to see the innovation extend not only through outerwear but into other core categories whether they be fleece, pants, backpacks, travel packs and so forth. So certainly that's the focus of the team we've assembled under Megan and that will be the ongoing focus for us into the future. In terms of the third party strategy, look I don't think it necessarily goes too wide. You know, the Kathmandu brand can't be everything to everybody. You know, there is a limit to where the brand can extend, but there are some products that the outdoor enthusiast does need and would expect to find in our stores. So certainly we'll be making sure that we have the very best brands in specialist products where we don't feel that the Kathmandu brand has a natural place. So, for example, in footwear, we think that, you know, with oboes, With brands like On and Hocker, we are in a much better place than we are if we're just focusing on the Kathmandu brand. So really just looking at those sort of specialist categories where we feel it's a bit too far of a stretch for Kathmandu. But that said, it'd be very targeted to products for the outdoors.

speaker
Guy Hooper
Analyst, Jarden

Great. Thanks for that. I guess there's one last one. Now, look, I know you guys stay away from providing guidance at this point, but I guess as we look forward, you're cycling what was, I guess, a particularly tough period for Catman to do. I mean, like, what are your, I guess, expectations, particularly as these comps turn, I guess, the easier, you know, how do you feel about your ability to, I guess, perhaps defend that result last year?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, look, it was a tough winter for us, particularly in Australia, and given our reliance on winter weight product, particularly outerwear. Look, we think, you know, depending on, I don't like to predict on weather, but we're well placed. I think the most important thing is we've got new innovation, new products coming into the cycle. You know, I was in the showroom yesterday looking at all the products landing over the next couple of months, and Certainly, I walked away from that with excitement that we're giving our sales teams the best opportunity to not only defend last winter, but hopefully do a little bit better than that. Obviously, that's not a forecast, but certainly, you know, we plan for success. And with the pipeline of products we're coming through, not only in store now, but coming in the next couple of months, we feel that we're well-placed to, at very minimum, defend last winter.

speaker
Guy Hooper
Analyst, Jarden

Great, appreciate the color. I'll pause there. Thanks.

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Thanks, Guy.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kieran Carling from Craig Investment Partners. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kieran Carling
Analyst, Craig Investment Partners

Morning, Michael and Ben. First question from me is just on, I guess, Kathmandu's relative underperformance versus MacPak. Just wondering if you can give us a bit of insight there on, you know, where you think you're underperforming that competitor and perhaps what you're seeing in the promotional environment.

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, look, MacPak's been owned by Super Retail Group now for a good five plus years. You know, Super Retail are one of the best retailers in this region for a reason. And I think they've done a great job with the MacPak brand and they're executing really well, growing aggressively in terms of store count, pushing across their broader channel. and their stores look and trade well. So all credit to them on that front. For us, we're focusing on what we're doing. We certainly feel that we've built an amazing brand and certainly have a really strong outerwear jacket business, but we need to be known for more than that. And that's probably what's hurting us the most at the moment relative to not only MacPak but any other broader competitors. We need to have the consumer wanting to come to us to buy more than just outerwear. And we've got ourselves in a position now where You know, our outerwear business is up towards, you know, 40 plus percent of our total business, and that's probably just a bit too much. So for us, as I mentioned before, our focus is on executing stronger across a broader core category and effectively taking what we've done across our outerwear business over many years and really looking to, you know, once and for all push into some other core categories and execute better. And we feel if we do that, that our numbers and comparative performance relative to outdoor and other sectors will improve for sure. Great, thank you.

speaker
Kieran Carling
Analyst, Craig Investment Partners

And just on your store rollout targets for Kathmandu, can you touch on what your expectations are for the second half there? And, you know, whether this is the right economic

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

environment and given the brand's current performance um to be rolling out new stores yeah we we had a push through of new stores last year prior to the winter um this is the sort of time we'd normally be opening we do have uh i think two opening up in the next month or two but that'll be it um for this um at least the next six months we'll reconsider once we see the winter trade but Look, as was sort of indicated in our presentation, we feel that focusing on the fundamentals of the Kathmandu brand, the fundamentals of the Kathmandu product pipeline is where our focus needs to be at the moment. And certainly that's where I've got the team, Megan, and her team focusing on. And with that, we'll probably slow for this year in terms of store counting. We still remain committed that we think 200 stores across the region is fine, but we want to get those foundations and fundamentals right. I think focusing on that for the balance of 2024 is our priority, and I think we're well positioned to go back into some store openings in 2025 and beyond. But that said, we will finish the year a couple more stores up from where we are today.

speaker
Kieran Carling
Analyst, Craig Investment Partners

Cool, thank you. And then the last question from me is just on your balance sheet. Can you provide some colour as to where you see your inventory and net debt positioned at year end? Do you still see cash neutral as being achievable?

speaker
Ben Washington
Interim Group Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Karen. A lot of it will depend on, I guess, the winter trade for Cape Mandu. We have signalled we believe the inventory balance will be lower year on year, and we're still targeting that. 0.5 times EBITDA as a net debt target. So, yeah, that's probably all I can comment on at this stage.

speaker
Kieran Carling
Analyst, Craig Investment Partners

Okay. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Bianca Selderas from UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Bianca Selderas
Analyst, UBS

Hi. Good morning, Michael and Ben. First question is just on OBOS. So you mentioned that's one of the fastest-growing hiking brands, but at the same time, sales were well below last year. I appreciate that sort of higher cons, but could you just talk a bit about how that works, I guess, and who you are taking market share from?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, good day, Bianca. Yeah, look, Oboz is obviously, since the acquisition, has been a very successful acquisition for us, minus that sort of three- to six-month period where we had some supply chain issues on the back of COVID closures in Vietnam. We've seen good growth from that brand. It has become one of the most well-respected brands in the wholesale market in the US, which is great. We're very proud of that. Certainly, though, it has got some channel and geographical concentrations that, you know, in the long term we're looking to address. You know, if you look at that business at the moment, the way it's structured, you know, we're sort of 95% wholesale and, you know, realistically 90-plus percent U.S., so... With that concentration and given the state of the broader outdoor market in the US, particularly in the wholesale environment, which is fairly well documented from any of the US outdoor brands, we're certainly struggling with some momentum on that wholesale accounts just because we see the whole market looking to de-risk and reduce their inventory levels. And given our concentration of that wholesale, we are in the middle of that cycle, which we anticipate will, you know, run for a nine to 12-month period. So if you look at our online performance of our store there in the US, I think we're up 34% year on year. So, you know, the consumer demand for the products is strong. Everything that we hear from our wholesale account base, the demand for Oboz is as strong as ever. That's supported by our D2C. But we do just have to cycle through this cycle you know, de-inventoring that's happening in the market, particularly in the USA. Certainly as we go beyond into future years with the relaunch of the brand across Australia and New Zealand and a launch in Europe in the next couple of months, we'd like to see that geographical and channel concentration reduce, which will certainly overcome these sort of short-term blips, which we very much see it as a short-term blip.

speaker
Bianca Selderas
Analyst, UBS

Okay, that's helpful. Thank you. And then moving on to the Ripkill brand. So there has been some social media backlash a couple of weeks ago. Has that had an impact on your sales for that brand or is it still having an impact?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Look, no noticeable impact. Obviously, it was one that, you know, within the Ripkill bubble was quite distressing there for a couple of days when we found ourselves in a divisive debate that we didn't particularly plan to be in. But no, look, there's no noticeable impact on sales from that event and it's not something that comes up on a day-to-day basis at all at the moment.

speaker
Bianca Selderas
Analyst, UBS

Okay, thanks. And then last question, just on your... Yeah, if I'm looking at your SG&A, including leases, so as a percentage of sales for the half, that's around 56%, which is quite high and looks even higher than... peak COVID times. What's driving that?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Look, Bianca, it's quite clearly just a sales problem. If you look at the actual underlying costs, they are down and down significantly in the six months. The team, through restructuring at the start of the year and ongoing focus on cost reductions and productivity gains, have done a good job in reducing expenses, but That said, it just hasn't been enough to cover for the sales loss. So certainly from our point of view, it's more a sales problem. We agree that 56% or whatever it is, is too high. It's not maintainable. We think that through addressing the sales challenge we have at the moment, through continued product innovation and bringing faster and more desirable products into our ranges on a more consistent basis will address the sales problem. We have ongoing momentum in expense reductions and margin enhancement, which we have had for the last period of time. We expect that to continue as we continue to realise the benefits of bringing the brands together and integrating the brands, which we've still probably got a good 12 to 24 months of runway of those efficiencies coming through. which should help underwrite continued cost improvements. But fundamentally, our expense to sales ratio at the moment is high on the back of our sales challenge.

speaker
Bianca Selderas
Analyst, UBS

Okay, thanks. That's all for me.

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Thank you. Thanks, Bianca.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Paul Correo from 4C Spar. Please go ahead.

speaker
Paul Correo
Analyst, 4C Spar

Hey, morning guys. Maybe just a quick couple of questions from me. If I pick up from where Bianca left off on Repcurl, could you just talk to us a little bit about the sales rates there? You obviously, through four months, you guys were minus 6% and that fell off a bit towards the end of the year, minus 9%. And then in Feb, you guys seem to be trading a little bit better. Is that all coming through the wholesale channel or is that more direct to consumer? Yeah.

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, g'day, Paul. Look, a little bit of both. You know, to be honest, we were sort of hoping for that blazing hot El Nino summer that never really eventuated, to be honest. So we were a little bit more hopeful, particularly in the southern hemisphere for the summer. You know, some places in Australia in particular did really well, like Sydney, where it's been consistently hot. But in other parts, you know, we did see some softening. But, yeah, look, overall, we feel relatively... You know, it's hard to say we feel relatively happy where Rip Curl is at, given we've got a sales decline, but we are coming off record sales. We have grown that business significantly over through the COVID period. And, you know, when we look at our sales performance for the first half, you know, DTC, we're sort of looking at negative 4% to 5% circups. We're thinking that coming off those record highs, given the broader consumer market, A low single-digit decline in DTC is about where the market's at, obviously something we will continue to focus on improving. Wholesale is a little bit higher than that, closer to sort of, in some parts of the world, it's above 10%, and that's just part of the ongoing inventory reductions we're seeing across the whole outdoor and surf industry as our wholesale accounts look to de-risk. We expect that to soften up, sorry, improve a little bit, I should say, in the next six months and see those trends come back to at least the DTC. And indeed, you know, as we see some improvement or some settling consumer sentiment, there's no real reason why we can't return to growth very shortly.

speaker
Paul Correo
Analyst, 4C Spar

Cool, thanks. And maybe just a second question on CapMan2. Obviously, you guys have quite a big focus on the product pipeline going ahead, but is there any concern about some of the old stock that has sort of missed the mark and if there's going to be any residual stock left over and if you're going to need to discount to move some of that stuff?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

No, look, we've been super aggressive. You recall that through the last financial year, we dropped $40 million of inventory. Well, I think it was about $37 million of inventory through aggressive trading and clearing of any potential problems. I was the acting Kathmandu CEO at that time. And to be honest, I wanted to make sure we had a clear deck for the incoming CEO. So Even our margin took a little bit of a hit in the first half as we did a final sort of clearance in August. So, no, we're really clean, to be honest. Any of our problems have been dealt with and we're looking at a good, clean pipeline for Megan and her team to execute on.

speaker
Paul Correo
Analyst, 4C Spar

Yeah, maybe just a quick follow-on from that. You know, you spoke to sort of 18 months is what the product development pipeline used to look like or the development time, sorry. What does that sort of look like now? You spoke to sort of improving?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, look, the key part for us is that the Kathmandu brand has been guilty of seasonal planning, drop 90% of the products at the start of the season, that sits in stores for five, six months and then wait for the next season. Certainly what we're looking to do is get a bit of balance between mainframe ranges that come in at the start of the season and but then regular and consistent freshness that comes into store each month and also giving us the ability to have some quick strike or fast strike product as well. So we've certainly started to do that, leveraging Rip Curl's capabilities in that space. We have done that in the last year. six months and dropped a variety of, as I mentioned, I think it's 80 SKUs that we dropped in the first six months. That brings it back to circa 30 weeks or something like that, which is still relative to fast fashion. It's still relatively slow, but we're not a fast fashion operator. We're an outdoor operator until certainly from our experience that that sort of timeline allows us to get products into market to follow trends or address things that we have missed. And that's a capability that we didn't have previously that we do have now. And we certainly think that that sets us up better for the future as we move forward.

speaker
Paul Correo
Analyst, 4C Spar

Cool, thank you. And maybe just a final point on the balance sheet, you know, come second half, do you think it would be more important that debt gets paid down or that a dividend gets paid.

speaker
Ben Washington
Interim Group Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Paul. Yeah, that's something we'll certainly look at once the second half trade is in the bank. We've been pretty clear on our dividend policy, so we'll reserve judgment to see what the second half trade looks like at this point.

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, and just to add that, we're speaking... Yeah, with the rundown of inventories we expect, we've got some reasonable good momentum. We've referred previously to us holding a little bit more in terms of Rivka wetsuits and OVOs footwear than we would like coming out of the supply chain issues of the last couple of years. We're progressively running down that inventory. There's nothing wrong with that inventory. It's all inventory that is planned to be in the line for two to three years. When we see that run down, that should give us another good boost on cash flow for the second half that there's no reason why we can't be looking to both pay down debt and pay dividends in the second half, assuming obviously trade goes well.

speaker
Paul Correo
Analyst, 4C Spar

Perfect. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes on the line of Julian Mulcahy from EAP. Please go ahead.

speaker
Julian Mulcahy
Analyst, EAP

Mike, just a couple more questions on inventory. So you're saying that the inventory levels in Kathmandu is clean and it's really just Rip Curl where it overstocks?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, it's essentially Rip Curl and Oboz are both still holding remnants of that build-up in supply of those goods that we were having trouble to get, you know, sort of two years ago. So... we're still running those down progressively over the next, realistically, the next six to nine months. So I would say by December of this calendar year, the inventory will be reset to back to the levels we would expect it to be. And you'll see that noticeably at the end of financial year.

speaker
Julian Mulcahy
Analyst, EAP

Right. So when the wholesalers go through their restocking phase, is that going to be in the first half of FY25 or the second half? When would it sort of impact on your sales?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, look, that's the million-dollar question. The harsh reality is we don't know. Obviously, we don't have great transparency on what inventory levels they're holding, and obviously it also goes to what trade they're going to do in the coming periods. We had said previously that we felt spring, summer, northern hemisphere sell in, which is go-to-market May, shipments December, January, later in the year. We're hopeful to see some, I guess, return to normality and see wholesale customers looking to, I guess, normalise inventory then. But time will tell, to be honest. So that's all we're hopeful for. That's what we're planning for. So we'd like to see at least... the trend soften up to a neutral trend. That's what we'd probably be targeting, but we've just got to see. The market will tell us what that is. We've got some exciting products, both on the Ripkill and Oboe side, so we think that stands us in good stead, but ultimately the market will tell us, and we'll know more a couple of months after that season launch in May.

speaker
Julian Mulcahy
Analyst, EAP

So if the wholesale customers took a view that you know, retails back and it's going to be a good summer for middle of next year, so their Northern Hemisphere summer, when would they put orders through to you to restock for that?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, so they've got to commit to inventory for the Northern Hemisphere spring-summer. They have to commit to inventory effectively the middle of this year, so for deliveries early next calendar year. So, you know, if we do see... I guess, a normalisation and the end of the inventory destocking phase. The first signs would come through with this sell-in, but that will only have an impact on, effectively, the second half of next financial year if there is still ongoing challenges that would then push out another six months. So, yeah, that's the sort of timelines. We haven't seen anything particularly in the market as yet to give us a strong read. It's just... Depends on, like I said, how their trade goes and how their own inventory is. And just the context of everyone, I mean, this is just coming about from everyone having a lot of inventory coming out of COVID because everyone was spooked about supply chain.

speaker
Julian Mulcahy
Analyst, EAP

Right. And just finally, so with the expected reduction in Kathmandu inventory in this half, Is that based on like a normal winter or if we have another repeat winter or what, like last year's warm winter?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, look, the way we buy that winter weight product is such that, you know, even we saw with that past winter, the worst winter on record in Australia, we didn't see a noticeable jump up in inventory in Kathmandu, just based on how we buy that, you know, they've their rolling styles, we top up the buys as needed. So we can trade through one of those tough winters and manage that well, particularly with our outerwear business, given the volume and the way we buy it. Probably the greatest risk to us, Julian, is more as we push and try to build out more of our spring-summer offer. taking risk in those spaces can create inventory issues. We don't have any at this point in time, but certainly that's one that we'll need to monitor and watch as we go forward. But certainly from the Kathmandu inventory point of view, even despite the significant sales challenge we've had our inventory is really clean where we are holding a little bit more we'd like it's black puffer jackets to be honest which will clear out in this winter so we don't really have any concerns in terms of inventory exposure or risk as we speak but of course the teams are constantly watching that for the future to make sure that they don't get caught and that's just about risk management that we deal with on a day-to-day basis okay thanks michael

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And we have no further phone questions at this time.

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Okay, thanks. We're going to switch to online questions now.

speaker
Online Moderator
Online Q&A Moderator

We have a question from Oiven Reimer. The question is, when you say March has continued the February pace, do you adjust for the free leap day trading in February, a 3.6% boost to trading hours, with March being negative 6% adjusted for the late day or negative 3.5% not adjusted for the late day.

speaker
Ben Washington
Interim Group Chief Financial Officer

Yes, thanks for the question. Yeah, adjusting for the late day makes sense and would be more in line with the adjustment for March.

speaker
Online Moderator
Online Q&A Moderator

Next question is from T. Chong. Can you please clarify what exactly medium term means for performance targets on your page 19 of the slides? Is it five years, 10 years or longer? Do you think a very general aspirational timeline and soft targets would be sufficient to turn around the company?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, well, addressing the second part of that question to start with, you know, in terms of the day-to-day execution of what we need to do to, you know, you know, improve the Kathmandu brand in particular. I mean, that is something that we're working on every day, you know, every hour, every week. Of course, we have some aspirational plans out there, but that's not necessarily what drives, that drives our direction. But in terms of the pace and speed and veracity that we go after initiatives, that's driven by, you know, management's desire to improve this as quickly as possible. And we'd like to think that with this autumn, winter that is in store now and moving into future seasons that as each season goes, we will get better and better on the Kathmandu side. So yeah, in terms of the timeline for those, obviously the timeline varies depending on what the goal is. If we're typically talking medium term, we're talking three to five years. If we're talking long term, we're talking five years plus. The main thing for us with those goals that we put out there is to be clear with the market in terms of where we're headed, and we have no problems as a management team being held out to that. We think that's a better dynamic to have than not putting any goals out. So, yeah, that's our position.

speaker
Online Moderator
Online Q&A Moderator

Next question is from Brad McFarlane. While I understand the loss of sales due to market sentiment, can you please explain the loss of market shares in that pack and what is being done to address this?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, look, as I mentioned earlier, I think Backpack's done a great job. And, you know, to be honest, I do find in my experience that having good competition helps the broader industry. So we welcome that competition. And certainly from my point of view, as I mentioned, we've got some work to do ourselves in terms of our execution, execution not only in terms of our product pipeline to make sure we've got innovative products coming, not only in outerwear, which we've done a great job of, but in other categories that are needed for the outdoors. But also we've got some work to do just to be more consistent in terms of our brand execution to make sure we're remaining authentic to the outdoor consumer. So that's certainly where our focus is. And you would have seen one of the slides where we show what our focus is for the Katmandu brand. As I mentioned earlier, we're just looking to execute better and better season by season. Spring, summer that just passed was not a good season for us. We know that. It was a very disappointing result. And we're focused on making sure we execute better, not only for autumn and winter, but each season that goes beyond. And we're confident that we will do that. And if we do that and do that well, then we should certainly start to see us trade better than what we have over the last couple of years relative to our competitors.

speaker
Online Moderator
Online Q&A Moderator

Next question is from Cameron Blair. Have Kathmandu considered developing the underwear section? if developed to a strong quality, would or could these products elevate sales of other Kathmandu products?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, I'm not sure which brand you're referring to. I'm presuming Kathmandu. Look, both Kathmandu and Ribcurl have dabbled in this area more for... underwear that can be worn in the outdoors and then in the water with the Splash line with Kathmandu and Rip Curl certainly has an offering for swimwear but look it's not something that we are planning to go into a underwear basics there's plenty of other companies like Bonds and others that do that well to be honest we'll probably leave that space for them. But that said, we have dabbled in that space in the past, and it's probably not one that we think is a natural place for a surf or an outdoor brand. But I appreciate the insight, and we'll give it some thought.

speaker
Online Moderator
Online Q&A Moderator

The next question is from T. Chong. Can you please give an update on your plan for expanding Kathmandu into the U.S. market?

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, look, in terms of the U.S., the U.S. is one of the most competitive outdoor markets in the world. So certainly from that point of view, when we do decide to go into the U.S., we need to make sure that we execute well. Certainly the U.S. has been the place where a lot of brands from our part of the world, whether it be Australia or New Zealand, have tried and failed. So we're very conscious of that. Look, we have no immediate plans to push hard into the USA with the Kathmandu brand. We're very happy being in a test and learn phase with Kathmandu in Western Europe and in Canada. To be honest, given our broader fundamental challenges with the Kathmandu brand in Australia and New Zealand, that's our focus at the moment. We need to execute better there before we worry about pushing too hard internationally. At this stage, we're just remaining in a test and learn in Western Europe and Canada. We're happy with that. We'll consider the USA down the track, but at this point in time, it's not something that's on our radar, to be honest. It has been reported previously that we had a plan and we paused it, but to be honest, it was never a very expanded plan. So it's just not on our radar at this point in time. We'll consider it on an annual basis, and when the time's right, we'll certainly look to launch, and when we do, we'll certainly let the market know.

speaker
Online Moderator
Online Q&A Moderator

The next question is from Oiven Reimer. Will the third-party strategy extend beyond footwear, bottles, and umbrellas? Is there a silver bullet in third-party brands that could drive group sales? For example, noticing Oka is now in stores.

speaker
Michael Daly
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, thanks, Oiven. Look, you know, I'm a big believer that, as I said earlier, that, you know, It's very hard for brands to be everything to everybody. And so I do feel that both for Rip Curl and Katmandu, there is a place for third-party brands, whether they be hard goods, whether they be specialist goods, that we can't do ourselves. It's very hard for our brands to go head-to-head with specialist footwear brands. So that's something we're aware of. Hocker and On have done a great job for us. They're performing really well, as is Solomon. And certainly... We expect that we'll continue to ramp up Oboz, our own brand, in our stores, and that's probably the one that we really need to ramp up a lot more, and you'll see that come to life significantly over the next couple of months as we roll out some shopping shops for Oboz within Kathmandu. So, look, we think third parties have got a great part to play. Is there a silver bullet? Well, you know, there are certainly brands that come and go in surf and outdoor that are providing specialist product that we think that, can play a real key role in our stores. And to be honest, our teams, particularly on the Kathmandu side, need to be better looking out for those brands and that's what they'll be looking to do. We've put a new buying team in place, a commercial buying team, to really be scouting those brands. This is the first drops that they're putting in and I'm excited about what they can deliver in the future. That's all the questions for today. Thank you very much for participating. We'll call it a day there. Thank you very much. Cheers.

Disclaimer

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