7/18/2022

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Linus Red Earth's quarterly results briefing. At this time, all participants are in the listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. I would now like to hand the call over to Linus Red Earth. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jane
Investor Relations

Good morning and welcome to the Linus Rieris quarterly investor briefing for the quarter ending 30 June 2022. Today's briefing will be presented by Amanda Lacaze, CEO and Managing Director and joining Amanda, Garen Sturzenegger, CFO and Sarah Leonard, General Counsel and Company Secretary. I'll now hand over to Amanda. Thanks, Jane. Good morning, everybody.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

I have the benefit of seeing how many people are on the call, and we've just about cracked the time again. So clearly, people are interested on a Monday morning in what's going on at MINUS. So of course, what a great year. This is the last quarter of what's been an excellent year. And as you look at the report and see the you know, sort of the evolution from the first quarter through to the fourth quarter, you can see that. About $950 million in sales. And of course, just for everybody, I want you to know that these are unordered sales results. We will put those through when we put out the full year results. But nonetheless, about $950 million in sales. And finished the year with $965 million in cash. whilst spending quite a bit of money on our growth projects through the quarter. This does set us up excellently for ongoing growth projects as we seek to ensure that we grow at a minimum with the market in the years to come. And of course, during the quarter, We had the small triumph of the US project, the award for the phase two to phase four of the HRE, funding the first heavy rare earth separation plant outside of China that has been built in many years. As the report states, we, We were a little disappointed with our production outcomes. We started the quarter really with the wind behind us and with a great deal of confidence. Water, which, pun intended, has been bubbling away in the background as an issue in Malaysia for several years, really created a lot of challenges for us this quarter. The team there has really demonstrated their very best can-do attitude as far as water is concerned. Those who have been with us for a while will remember about three or four years ago we built another processed water pond so we have the ability to have a lot of storage on site. We also have run pipes to some local sort of storage locations and we've put in water treatment solutions to ensure that we can use those in our production process. But this quarter's outages were so significant that they did actually cause us to have to shut down production on more than one occasion. The team once again though with their fabulous can-do attitude has really been looking at, and this is part of our sustainability program anyway, how can we continuously reduce the amount of water that we use so that this is no longer such a risk in the business and we are this month implementing a new change which has the objective of reducing our water consumption by about 40%. So hopefully that will give us further protection. But frankly, if there's no water coming through the pipes and there's no water coming out the sky, it can be very difficult, even with the best recycling technologies in place. Having said that, still an excellent outcome in terms of production. It was only some 90 tons less than last quarter, and last quarter was our record. And price continued to hold up despite some of the inside China market dynamics. Of course, with all mineral companies, there's a lot of discussion at present about what's going on with costs and input costs in particular. And we've not been immune to these, as you will see. Some of our costs have gone up by up to, I think one of them went up by about 70%. But on average, about 20% increase in our chemical reagents that we use in the process. and that just once again reinvigorates all of our initiatives which are targeted at improving efficient use of chemicals and the team is working on various different projects including opportunities to recycle chemicals within the process once again to ensure that we keep our muscle in terms of cost and don't just sort of get thrown around with some of those cost increases. Having said that, recently we've seen some moderation of that and so we hope that that will continue. So the growth projects, well, you know, Kalgoorlie have been there several times during the quarter. The fabulous service that is offered these days by the airlines saw me actually sleep there with half a dozen of my colleagues and another 120 of my closest friends. That was in the Kalgoorlie Airport terminal. I wouldn't really recommend it. It's not the most comfortable of places to spend an evening. It was still worth it to see our site and to see our site as it's developing. And I know that some of the people on the call today will be at Diggers and Dealers in a couple of weeks' time. We will be running bus tours. People won't be able to get off the buses on site because we've got a lot of people doing a lot of work there at present. But, gee, it's really exciting. I happened to be there once. one of the days when we were lifting one of the kiln pieces into place and that was pretty exciting. We've now got all five of them in place. The kiln's been rotated for the first time. The welding process is on foot and we have just, every time I'm there and I've been there sort of maybe only 10 days apart at different times during the quarter, I can see a difference. So we have shared, for those who won't have a chance to see it, some photos of the site so you can see just sort of how much progress is being made. The big process water tank there was pretty exciting to see that as it was constructed and lifted for each phase. So things are moving along very smartly in Kalgoorlie. And of course, as I've indicated before, the US award of the phase two to phase four for the heavy railroads is very exciting for our company. And we look forward to moving that project along. So really a very good year. We're excited to be entering the new financial year. The market continues to evidence significant growth. We're seeing accelerated uptake of many of the technologies in which rare earths are essential. including, of course, the famous electric vehicles, but also wind, automation and electronics. And as I said before, our challenge is to grow as fast as the market is growing. And you can see some of the projects that we're doing to be able to underpin our ability to continue to serve the increased demand of the customers we have today. and the firms who would like to be customers of Limus in the future. So with that, I'm very happy to take any questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. At this time, we'll begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for a name to be announced. There may be a short silence while questions are being collected. Once again, to ask a question, please press star 1. First question comes from the line of David Dettelbaum from Colwyn. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Dettelbaum
Colwyn Analyst

Morning, Amanda. Thank you for the time today.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Morning, David. Nice to hear from you. I guess it's evening for you, though, isn't it?

speaker
David Dettelbaum
Colwyn Analyst

It is. No better way to spend a Sunday evening. I wanted to talk about just the water consumption tweaks in Malaysia. Can you just talk through, you know, It seems like you've experienced this issue in the past. Why wouldn't have this initiative been undertaken sooner? And is there a trade-off that you anticipate with operations on selling sort of total REO concentrate versus the NDPR? Because certainly the NDPR volumes held up relatively well in this quarter.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Yeah, so this has been various iterations of these challenges and we've done a lot of We've implemented a lot of initiatives to improve our ability to withstand some of the changes from the local water supplier. Way, way, way back relatively early on when I was living in Malaysia was the first time we had a water outage. in Quantana and it was not just industrial it was residential as well and I was sort of looking around thinking gosh can I get buckets of water out of the swimming pool to put into the toilet systems and then discovered that in fact there was a tank water storage tank in the ceiling which is pretty common so that just gives you a sense for the fact that people have an expectation that there may be outages. They have varied reasons for the outages through from sites collapsing in the dams or pumps not working as efficiently as they could do. There's always another reason for it, but the outcome is that for someone who uses a lot of water as we do, It's very challenging. We have three very large process water storage ponds on site. The third was built in I think it was 2017 after we'd had a previous really sort of challenging period. As well as that there were some disused pits sort of close to the plant and we've set up pipes from there so that we can bring in water from those areas as well. So why didn't we put the recycle in previously? Well, it's just part of an ongoing schedule of improvements that we have. It's a little more complex than running a pipe from a local sort of water catchment area. the team has been working on it for some time and it's being executed actually this month. So we expect that that should be an excellent outcome for us. But still, as I said, when the supply is as disrupted, at times almost nothing coming down the pipe, it is challenging to be able to respond to that. And you're right, absolutely. We have prioritized when we are sort of limited on water when we're rationing it, we absolutely have prioritized the NDPR production rather than the other materials. So we prioritize NDPR. Secondarily, we prioritize the SEG that we produce and then the lanthanum and the cerium after that.

speaker
David Dettelbaum
Colwyn Analyst

I appreciate that, Amanda. So I guess, would it stand to reason that we would see an inordinately high number of REO produced in the subsequent quarter, or should things just be normalizing as this new process is instituted?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

No, we won't see an inordinately high production because the We have other constraints on the amount that we can produce downstream for our lanthanum and cerium materials, even if we've got it all coming from the upstream ASICs into product finishing. There is a ceiling on the amount that we can precipitate and either produces a carbonate or an oxide.

speaker
David Dettelbaum
Colwyn Analyst

Thanks, Amanda. I'll let some others ask them and hopefully reach you later.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Thanks, David.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you for the questions. Once again, to ask questions, please press star one. The next question comes from the line of Daniel Morgan from Barron Joy. Please go ahead.

speaker
Daniel Morgan
Barron Joy Analyst

Hi, Amanda and Sam. You did spend a little bit of time talking about growth and in your report you outline that you expect the market to perhaps double over 10 years to 2030. If you were to outline further growth, can you just talk about the bottlenecks in your Linus 2025 footprint you will have and where might you think about investing? Is it mostly you'll need to invest in Mount Weld? Is there surplus capacity that is being built in Kalgoorlie? you know, might you invest further in the US? Thank you.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Thanks, Daniel. Yes, we are very well progressed and we'll provide more detail on this as we move through. But yes, as we identified, I think, all the way back in 2019, the next step up, significant step up in capacity is not a de-bottlenecking task. Primarily, we actually have to make some substantive steps. So Mount Wells, certainly continuing to explore the Mount Wells ore body is important. We have more than 25-year mine life at present, and we have excellent prospectivity for increasing that mine life. Last week, the week before last, I was out at Mount World and walking along the bottom of the pit, looking at some of the different areas and what we know about the grade of the material. So yes, we will be making investments in exploration and processing at Mount World. as we move through the ore body. Yes, we've got the uplift that we get out of Kalgoorlie and yes, we will be looking at opportunities to further develop our existing facility in Malaysia and also the U.S. investment is pure growth.

speaker
Daniel Morgan
Barron Joy Analyst

Thank you and in any Investments, what are the major permitting bottlenecks that you might face in the various regions?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Permits everywhere, they just take time. I actually talked a little bit about this last week as well, and even at Mount Weld, as we think about Mount Weld, the work that we need to do there, requires us to increase our disturbance envelope, and that just takes time. Out in that world, as you know, you've been there, we don't have a lot of close neighbours, we don't have any remarkable flora or fauna, but nonetheless, it still just takes time to do the work. And so we don't see any showstoppers in terms of permitting. We just see that it's a process that maybe takes longer than we think for the benefit and that we are a company that really focuses on sustainability. It's one of our core values. We don't seek to get permits to do things which are going to um rape pillage and plunder we actually want to do things in a responsible and you know as responsible a fashion as is possible so we would like to see more streamlined permitting processes really everywhere um it's not specific to any particular geography in which we operate

speaker
Daniel Morgan
Barron Joy Analyst

Thank you. And the Malaysian press has at times written about that you're seeking to amend the requirement to cease cracking and leaching in Malaysia from time to time. Is this something that you're definitely seeking and on the table and is there a point at which you have to go, okay, well, that's an opportunity for us or... you know, might a decision not be made and you have to go, right, we have to expand our footprint without, you know, Malaysia helping.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

So our position has always been that the Malaysian operations have been a bit of a political football. They are maybe the most reviewed industrial operations operation in Malaysia there's been four separate scientific reviews none of which have recommended shutting down any part of the plant and so and indeed each of those reviews has found that Linus is compliant with all regulations and that the operations are intrinsically low risk so we don't think there is any evidence for the conditions which were applied to the most recent renewal of the licence and we continue to engage with the local regulators on that basis.

speaker
Daniel Morgan
Barron Joy Analyst

Just a last question on that water issue which has been an impact during the quarter. Has the issue of water availability extended into this quarter? Should we expect that the September quarter is still going to be impacted by this? And I imagine that the 40% target you're seeking to reduce freshwater use, that is not a costless thing. You'd be doing it in the normal course of business if it was. So what is the cost in dollars or efficiencies or why haven't you enacted this in the past? Thank you.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Why haven't we enacted it? Just because we have, it hasn't been the highest priority initiative on site. So as with anything, you can't do everything all at the same time. And so we've had other things where we might, and even as we talk about water management, where we've been able to get bigger benefits by focusing our efforts in those areas. It has been on our to-do list for a little while and now it is at the top of the to-do list. Of course it is beneficial, any opportunity to recycle. So this is recycling the water that we're talking about is clearly going to be, well, we think about it, reduce, reuse, recycle. So recycling water or at some time in the future, we're hoping that we'll be able to identify a process where we'll be able to recycle chemicals, for example, is beneficial in the business. So there's no magic for why it wasn't done any time sooner. It's just been a case of having the resources available to do the work where those resources may have been doing other work that we saw at the time as being higher value at. So really that's the situation. Will it continue? Possibly. It's unpredictable. That's the biggest issue which is why we've put in all of these strategies to mitigate the risk. It's unpredictable. One day we might be getting 600 cubes an hour and the next day we might be getting 50 cubes an hour. So it's the unpredictability which is the challenge and so that's why we're trying to buffer that with as we talk about this, over sort of a journey, starting with increased sort of storage on site through to now sort of the greater roots, I think.

speaker
Daniel Morgan
Barron Joy Analyst

Okay, thank you very much.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you for the questions. As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 and wait for a name to be announced.

speaker
spk08

No questions?

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Once again, to ask questions, please press star one and wait for a name to be announced. Full-up questions from David Deckelbaum. Please go ahead.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Amanda, didn't expect to be back so soon, but... No, no, everyone's very quiet today, David.

speaker
David Dettelbaum
Colwyn Analyst

Well, at least you have plenty of app listeners out there. I'd like just some comments around the market. When you think about the first quarter and second quarter, sorry, or the June quarter, rather, your fourth quarter, obviously some impact from COVID-related shutdowns in China. Did you get the sense that many of the Magnet customers there were sort of destocking inventory levels that they had around NDPR? Do you foresee sort of a pent-up demand scenario as China potentially reopens into the remainder of summer and then into sort of December quarter there? Or is there – this is just perhaps a bump. Things were normalized, but demand was just at depressed levels. I'm just trying to get a sense if you have any color around the sort of customer inventory levels relative to norms.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Magnet makers are holding a lot of stock, of course, because the price has been as high as it has been over the past 12 months. And so we don't see that as being a risk. The situation in China is that the producers have been able, you know, Even when Baotu was shut down for a couple of weeks, the northern rare earths was able to continue production, bearing in mind that it's got an integrated industrial complex there. I think China continues to be unpredictable for as long as the zero COVID policy persists. But generally speaking, demand is strong, and we're not expecting to see there being any reduction in demand growth, and particularly not in outside China consumers. And our customers' demand has continued to grow, bearing in mind, as everybody knows, most of our NDPR is sold outside of China. and that demand has continued to be very strong and to grow right through the last year, and customers are forecasting continued growth. We also have much more interest from magnet buyers in outside China areas seeking to secure their raw materials, so we see that as a very robust you know, sort of source of growth for the business as we move forward.

speaker
David Dettelbaum
Colwyn Analyst

I appreciate the color there. And perhaps just the last one for me. The line is 2025 vision. Again, congrats on getting the award from the USDOD on the heavies. You know, that's obviously a, you know, it's not an enormous separation facility and sounds like you all plan to co-located light rare earth separation circuit there as well along the Gulf Coast. But I guess as we think about doubling that production from the 2019 reference level, I know it's in your custom to kind of come to the market when you have something concrete, you know, and you don't necessarily want to get out ahead of your skis. But when we think about it, do you foresee all of that growth and the ability to match the growth of the market coming all from Mount Weld, or do you think that there is a requirement to figure out ways to find third-party feedstock?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

We actually have a team, David, whose job it is to assess third-party options. There is nothing available today, and even on the most optimistic of project plans, there's nothing available within the sort of timeframe that we're talking about. So we assess the third-party feed options. We have a database. We do test work when we've got to the stage where we've got enough detail or we've got material. But there's no third-party feedstock available. However, the additional point on this is that when we have looked at this and we've looked at other sources that there is nothing at this time where it is more economically beneficial to source from somewhere other than Mount Wells because the Mount Wells ore body is unique. it's great and the fact that we're already there sort of puts it well ahead of everything else so we're looking at it we're happy to process in a new plant configuration we will be able to accept concentrate and we will be able to accept mixed rare earth carbonate but nobody has material available for us to purchase at this time.

speaker
David Dettelbaum
Colwyn Analyst

That's helpful, Colour, especially, certainly as we think about Mount Weld supporting all these feedstock initiatives globally. But thanks again for the time today.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Thanks, David.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you for the questions. Once again, to ask questions, please press star 1 and wait for our name to be announced. The next question comes from the life of Jay Ellenson. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jay Ellenson
Colorado-based Investor

Hi, Amanda. It's Jay from Colorado.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Hi, Jay. How are you?

speaker
Jay Ellenson
Colorado-based Investor

I'm doing well. How about yourself?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Good, good. And thank you for that lovely gift that you sent. It's got pride of place in the boardroom. For everybody else who doesn't know, Jay found a wonderful gift box with a sample of each of the rare earth elements. And it's just lovely. So as I said, thank you for thinking of it.

speaker
Jay Ellenson
Colorado-based Investor

Well, I found that in my travels and I saw it and I thought you guys might appreciate it. So I'm glad you got it. Yeah, yeah. Okay, I have a question. I've been reading a little bit about the challenging power grid in Texas. And I mean, it's challenging even by Texas standards. But it went down last winter and they had rolling blackouts and so on. And I'm just wondering in the planning of this new facility for both the lights and the heavies, is there going to be some alternative source to mitigate the rolling blackouts and the uncertainty sometimes in the Texas grid? which appears to be getting better?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Oh, Jay, I can't answer that directly right now. At all of our sites, we are looking at power and we are looking at the ability to use alternate power sources. As we seek to reduce our emissions intensity over time, Certainly, finding renewable sources is a key part. In some instances, they can come off the grid. In other instances, we're going to have to look at site-specific installations to assist. I'm not close enough right now to some of those issues in Texas. We're still quite a long way. So from that being sort of a key issue, we're just starting our process of finalising the project plan now that we've got approval. And of course, the next step will be the famous permitting process, which will no doubt keep our team very occupied for some time yet.

speaker
Jay Ellenson
Colorado-based Investor

Great. Just one other question. The US dollar is getting really strong. I noticed it's on parity with the Euro just recently. Does that really affect getting a $120 million contract? Does that affect it in any way?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Sorry, I just got a message from someone else on the call saying, A number of the analysts are trying to register questions and not coming up. So sorry, as we think about the effect of currency, the US dollars grant in the US, we will be spending most of that money in US dollars in the US. So the exchange rate's not going to be such a big issue. Having said that, we continue to work with the DOD on what might be any changes in the external environment which may affect the costing or otherwise of this facility. In terms of the rest of our business, generally speaking, because we've talked about this previously, we operate The price of rare earths is truly sort of set in renminbi, even though it's reported in US dollars. And of course, we operate in Malaysian ringgit in Malaysia and Australian dollars in Australia. So we do get a number of natural hedges. I don't think in the time that I've been here that all of the currencies have been going in the same direction at the same time. But I think specifically to your U.S. question, it is U.S. dollars in the U.S., so the exchange rate is less relevant.

speaker
Jay Ellenson
Colorado-based Investor

Okay. Thanks so much, Amanda. Questions?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

So we understand that people are having trouble actually logging to ask a question.

speaker
Jane
Investor Relations

So Jen's telling me. It seems to be that, fortunately, the Australian dialing number is preventing some people from asking questions. So apologies for that. We have been advised that if you dial in with the US number, it will allow it to, but it does seem there's an issue with the Australian dialing number at the moment.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We do have a question from the line of Paul Young of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Paul Young
Goldman Sachs Analyst

Good morning Amanda and team. I went through the US number and now it's working, so good morning. Amanda, the first question is on this water issue again. I still don't follow as to what is the exact issue on the supply. Is this a political issue or is it actually an equipment issue with the supplier?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

It's equipment. It's not political. As said, yeah, and it's been a rolling number of issues. Our team is working very closely with the suppliers, PIPE, P-A-I-P, not P-I-P-E. When last I was in Malaysia about three weeks ago, I met with the CEO as well. He's assured us that The new pumping system, which will be in place in August, will make this a thing of the past. But we are necessarily cautious in believing that anything will, that there's a magic solution, because we've been dealing with this off and on for, as I said, at least the last six years. And it's a rolling number of issues. It started off the first time that there was an issue, one of the berms in the water storage facility collapsed and needed to be replaced. The latest is really to do with the age of the pumping equipment and it's being replaced.

speaker
Paul Young
Goldman Sachs Analyst

Okay, thanks. And then how do you reduce your water consumption? by 40% so quickly? Is it the fact that you weren't recycling any of the process water?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Well, we had some recycle, but yes, this is a significant step up in recycling in Essex. And, you know, I will just highlight for everyone that the objective is the 40%. It doesn't mean it will do that on day one. You know, these changes always, we have to, you know, sort of phase them through and we certainly don't want to create, you know, sort of further challenges for ourselves in terms of throughput. But it is really, you know, when we talk about this, this isn't like just all of a sudden. I mean, because it is upstream SX where we're doing this, you know, it's either going to work really well. It will work. We're confident of that. But we did a lot of bench work and tests before implementing this at a plant scale. So we go into it with a relatively high degree of confidence.

speaker
Paul Young
Goldman Sachs Analyst

Okay thanks Amanda and then back on to Kalgoorlie and just the timing of that project relative to the broader 2025 plan for Linus. Just an observation looking at the you know progress on the projects in the quarter some really good progress in mechanical completion which is great see you know sort of erection accelerating there but but if I look at it and go well I sort of feel like that you know commissioning by sort of March or June quarter next year producing carbonate it's going to be a bit of a stretch but then again you know extension of the license in Malaysia will allow you flexibility more flexibility to potentially increase you know, production beyond the 10 and a half thousand tonnes of NDPR. So it might be you sort of need both anyway. And I think probably the market's coming to that conclusion. So that probably tells me that, you know, you need that licence extension, but then the political backdrop, and it sounds as though, you know, that's probably a realistic outcome. But I guess, where am I sort of wrong with that thesis?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Nothing's in the bank quite yet. So certainly anything that allows us to continue to use installed assets is beneficial and a high value add for our customers. The world at large continues to question whether we will execute our projects on time. I would make the point that Linus is the only non-Chinese producer who has executed its projects on time. So we look at the Kalgoorlie facility, we look at our project plan, we look at our ability to execute and get feed on. If we thought that there was a significant gap in that, we, of course, would disclose that to the market.

speaker
Paul Young
Goldman Sachs Analyst

Okay, great. And then the last question for me, Amanda, is on the US Heavy Earth Refinery. I'm trying to think how we think about this, should think about it from the perspective of improvement and realised pricing. you know, the heavies to China at the moment, you know, you must be getting a discount because you're not obviously producing the final oxide product. It will be when you build a refinery in the US. Probably costs go up a bit. But from a margin perspective and earnings standpoint, it must be positive. So how do we think about the improvement in realized pricing across the heavies in particular?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Yeah. Yes, Paul, Bethesda is correct. We wouldn't be doing... it if we didn't see that this is correct. We wouldn't be doing it if we didn't see that we were going to increase our margin. Well, we might be doing it because there will be a margin uplift. The best way for you to think about it is really to think about the costs associated with separation. You can see those in the Chinese pricing, really. You can see the ongoing costs associated with heavy rare earth separation, and that gives us a sense of the likely scale of the uplift. But we haven't disclosed the specific number because it also, as you're saying, I mean, we're now in the detailed execution phase. and inputs and a variety of other things in the U.S. are going to affect the finally realized margin, but certainly we see that there will be an uplift in our heavies contribution.

speaker
Paul Young
Goldman Sachs Analyst

Okay. Thanks, Amanda. We'll have to make some assumptions, so I'll pass that on. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks. Thank you for the question. Next question, so it comes from the line of Trent Allen from CLSE. Please go ahead.

speaker
Trent Allen
CLSE Analyst

Cal Airport. I think we've all spent more time there than we would like to. It was as pleasant as it is. Now, I just had a question about, just back on the water again, you might have covered this with Paul while I was going back in, but do you have a conceptual CAPEX number for those changes? Also, might it increase the OPEX at the LAMP? That's my first question.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Yeah, I know the CAPEX. The CAPEX number, you will not see it as being remarkable within our CAPEX spend. So it's within a normal-scale business sort of CAPEX allocation. So there's no sort of millions of dollars associated with doing this. The second thing is actually you should reduce our operating costs, but water is not that expensive in Malaysia. So once again, you won't see that as being a significant outcome. The driver for doing this is because it's going to give us more stability in process, not cost.

speaker
Trent Allen
CLSE Analyst

That's cool. Is it reasonable to think, I mean, it might take a little while to ramp up the way these chemical processes do. Might it be finished sort of by the end of this calendar year or earlier than that?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

It should be, the process should be, the work required to do this should be completed within this month. And you're right, the uncertainty is always can you just cut over 100% or do you find yourself with some challenges and you have to go back to your previous process while you address those challenges. We've seen that with any number of initiatives that we do within the business. But that's just part of our normal management. And it, once again, should be invisible to you and to the market. We just should be managing that as part of our change management framework.

speaker
Trent Allen
CLSE Analyst

Okay, thanks. Also, Paul touched on the line of 2025 and your deadlines there. It looks like Kalgoorlie's tracking pretty well. What about the PDF in Malaysia? You've started construction there. Will that be, you're expecting that to be finished by the deadline next year? And can you remind me of what that is at that time?

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Yeah, so the PDF, once again, when I was up there about three weeks ago, and with the board, indeed, we toured the PDF site. Really, you know, progress is going very well. The PDF contractor is using a contractor who has done work previously on the Linus site, so is very familiar with, you know, sort of the design elements, and progress is very good. And yes, we are tracking absolutely to timeline. The first transfer of material into the PDF is scheduled for late next calendar year.

speaker
Trent Allen
CLSE Analyst

Okay, that's cool. Thank you for that. We'll see you in Kalgoorlie in a few weeks.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

Terrific. Thanks, Trey.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Questions? Once again, to ask questions, please press star 1 and wait for a name to be announced.

speaker
Amanda Lacaze
CEO & Managing Director

You know, as we're waiting for questions, Jen, because she's so wonderful, always does a Q&A, you know, and writes down what she thinks are going to be the really difficult questions that I might be asked. um and uh gives me you know sort of proposed answers i'm wondering since people can't actually get on to ask questions whether i should uh ask some of the questions that she's put in there but then i think well no uh because she only she only includes the really hard questions um sorry i'm just trying to I've got one of the questions that maybe people might be interested to ask is whether the COVID-19 situation in WA and in Malaysia, whether that's having any effect on production. And as the quarter just passed, of course in Malaysia we've had actually very low caseloads, like with so many places, that's increasing now with the new Omicron variant. But we have really tried and tested safety protocols to look after the health of our people, and they have served us well through the two years of the pandemic, and we expect that will be the case moving forward, but we continue to you know, we continue to encourage our people to get their boosters. In WA, once again, we are seeing, you know, sort of continuing relatively high caseloads. Once again, we have well-established protocols that are protecting our people on site. And, you know, we continue to have people that voluntarily continue to wear masks in relevant situations. And that really is about ensuring that they're protecting each other as much as it is about protecting themselves. So that was one question I thought that maybe some people would be interested to hear. But I hear that we have no more questions. I'm hoping that it's not just a technology issue. And for any of the analysts that do have questions that they were unable to ask online, please feel free to drop Jem and or me a call, a line, and we will certainly find a way to get back to you today. So thanks, everybody, and have a great week. So thanks, everybody.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Gentlemen, that concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating.

Disclaimer

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