10/31/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Linus Rare Earth's quarterly results briefing. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star 1 and 1 on your telephone keypad. You will then hear an automated message saying your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 and 1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Linus Rare-Earth. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jen
Investor Relations Moderator

Good morning and welcome to our investor briefing for the September quarter of FY26. Today's briefing will be presented by Amanda LaCaze, CEO and Managing Director, and joining Amanda today are Gardin Sturzenegger, CFO, Daniel Havas, VP Strategy and Investor Relations, Chris Jenny, VP Sales and Market Development, and Sarah Leonard, General Counsel and Company Secretary. I'll now hand over to Amanda LaCaze. Please go ahead, Amanda.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Thanks, Jen, and good morning, everybody. Thank you all for joining us this morning. And I am sure, because I actually have a sneak preview, that there are many questions. There are many in the queue already, so I will keep my introductory comments relatively short. I expect many of you will want to talk about the various geopolitics. We do live in an interesting world, don't we? But I want to start by talking about our business performance because, you know, we had a strong quarter in terms of business operations. The operating cash flow at about 55 million positive was a really pleasing return to a more – what we would see as a – a better level and we see that, as we look at current market settings, gives us quite a deal of confidence as we move forward. Of course, we are still seeing some runoff, particularly associated with the major projects, particularly Mount Wells, but that should mostly be flushed through the system by the end of this calendar year. That strong operating cash flow of course reflects sales. I know that everyone likes to get very focused on production numbers and of course we are very focused on production numbers but what actually matters is what we sell. We don't bank tons, we bank dollars and so we had a good quarter in terms of sales at $200 million for the quarter. the best in several years reflecting both the higher volume and also the higher prices that were achieved during the quarter. Production at just over 2,000 tonnes of NDPR and sort of very positively nearly 4,000 tonnes in total. I thought it was quite interesting that we've seen a number of comments about, well, it was a bit less than what was expected, but then when I really interrogated those, we're talking about less than 100 tonnes being the difference between expectation and performance. Put that in perspective, it's about four days' production for us. you know, we had our production where we wanted our production to be. It served all of our key customers without creating any supply side pressure or causing us to need to sell ahead of finalising a number of agreements on which we are working. With respect to the heavies, and, you know, I may regret the fact that, no, on the heavies, we have for the first time disclosed the amount of DYTB. And once again, I read some commentary about it being a bit lower than was expected. And I would remind everyone that, you know, the way that we have characterised the DYTB circus that we've got at Malaysia at present is it was really an opportunity, you know, sort of development for us. We had some mixer settlers available. It's just a small circuit, which is selectively separating a portion of the DYTB, not even all of it within the SEGH that we've produced alongside our current NDPR. But sufficient to test the market ahead of our larger expansions. I would also just to assist people to understand that we're not actually selling our SEGH into the market at all at present. We are stockpiling it ahead of future processing capability. And then in response to some of the questions I've had about, you know, sort of sales volumes and how quickly do they come online, some are done and dusted. Others, This is a new product and customers have certain qualification periods. Suffice to say that in terms of testing the market, we have identified extremely strong demand and we have also identified a preparedness to pay because of the scarcity of the material from outside China sources and of course, That is the reason why it is the first of our Towards 2030 projects that we will be bringing online, which is the full-scale HRE separation facility. And to do the full-scale separation requires us ultimately to put in a new building, put in new mix of settlers, precipitation, filtration and furnaces. But we, as I think everybody who follows us knows, we are always keen to move as quickly as we can. And so we have looked at what are opportunities to incrementally increase production as we move forward with the larger plan. And that includes, you know, doing some work with our current SX configuration, which would allow us to bring Sumerium online, Sumerium production online in the first half of 2026 calendar year. And Sumerium is an element which is In demand at present, we require those customers who need it to finalise some agreements with us on price. As I said, the little circuit that we've got at present is sufficient to have given us an opportunity to test the market. And as we think about how we derive a value from our heavies, it is a combination of the margin just on the sale of the heavies. But bear in mind, it's relatively small markets. You know, the total outside China market for DY, we estimated about 400 tonnes. So, you know, there's a certain amount which comes from just the pure margin on sales. And more beneficially, really, in the medium to long term, is the ability to bundle it with our other product in a way that serves customers' total needs rather than them having to have multiple suppliers. During the quarter, operations ran very smoothly. At Mount Weld, we operated on our old plant for most of the quarter as we were completing our commissioning activities for the new plant, which are progressing to plan. And we had a pretty exciting time where, as we're bringing on our new gas hybrid renewable power station, we were able to run the plant for, I think, close to a week on 100% renewable power only. And that's pretty exciting for everybody in Linus. In Kalgoorlie, as we've identified, we've made certain flow sheet adjustments, which are now delivering results. and we expect now to be able to progressively ramp up production in very good order. And at the LAMP, running very smoothly, but as we've indicated in the release, we will be doing these tie-in works for SM and SX during this quarter. That alongside some of the continuing market volatility means that we are going to manage our production rates very carefully and make trim to accommodate some of that tie-in work because we see the early production of samarium as being very valuable. During the quarter, many of you who were on the call participated in our capital raise, which sets us up for the next stage of growth, creatively named towards 2030. We've already disclosed some of the areas where we will be utilising that funding, the new HRE plant in Malaysia being the most significant. And then we've also released two magnet non-binding MOUs, but I can assure you that we are progressing to definitive documentation of those MOUs as quickly as possible. We are also continuing to negotiate long-term supply agreements with key end-users in each of the sort of key categories, so magnifiers most certainly, but also electronics. I mean, you know, this is a high-demand market and particularly in terms of microcapacitors, significant growth and a preparedness to pay for quality which Linus can deliver. So then turning a little to the geopolitics and the effect on the market. And I say again that we are managing carefully and sort of managing risk as we look into this very volatile market. But let's suffice to say that Rare Earths has... Well, in our view, because we think rare earths is the most important thing, we wake up thinking about it in the morning and go to bed thinking about it at night. But it's definitely got the attention that it deserves from various different governments. And as you look at some of the announcements that have been made, you can see that for now, the key focus has been on some of the development projects. And, you know, I would offer the view that this is because they are relatively easy for governments to execute with their current funding instruments. You know, every government has something like our EFA or has other sort of, you know, Some of the other sort of policy initiatives are a little more complex and will require governments to think about some different systems to be able to support it. But I would assure you that governments do understand that this is not a simple supply-side fix, even though some of the announcements may lead you to think that they think that right now. There is a recognition that there is a market failure which is shown in the price and also in the development of processing capability, including metals and magnets outside of China. And it's actually a little less about resource, but resource has a very long lead time, but it is more about market failure. And I think as everybody who's even sort of a passing observer would know, the MP deal does address all these elements. It addresses the issue of market failure with the price floor. It addresses the issue of market failure and processing with its support for the development of magnet making in the US. And I think that it seemed to come out of nowhere, but MP was facing an existential crisis as a result of, you know, the tariff and trade restrictions between China and the US and, you know, sort of the timely implementation of that there was important. But I think that what we're seeing right now is many governments who are actually working together. You know, we're looking forward to hearing some... expected outcomes from the G7, to ensure that the policy settings are right and that, you know, the like-minded governments are aligned in their approach. And I think governments also understand that there is no use pouring capital into this sector if the businesses can't be profitable in the long term. And, of course, that is the importance of getting the policy settings right, particularly on price. For Linus, yeah, because as I said before, we always like to get things done yesterday. Working with government can sometimes be a little frustrating because things take the time that things take. However, I would remind everyone that as the only proven operator in the current proven supply chain, we have options and we have value. And we will not spend that value cheaply. But whilst the market continues to be volatile, we will manage prudently. And I would simply point you to our track record of ensuring that we do get full value from whatever dynamics we see in the market. So for us, as we look at this, we see a good quarter in terms of performance, the uplift in price. Because we are a current producer, it's flowing through into our bank accounts immediately, and we continue to see the international focus on the rare earths market. is ultimately a very positive thing for Linus and look forward to sharing with you in the future some better outcomes in that space.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

So with that, I'm happy to take questions. Thank you, Amanda. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 1 and 1 on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. Please ask one question. If you have more questions, please re-queue. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please stand by as we compile the Q&A roster. First question comes from Daniel Morgan from Baron Joey. Please go ahead.

speaker
Daniel Morgan
Analyst, Baron Joey

Hi, Amanda and Tim. My first question is just on production volume. which was slightly down sequentially quarter on quarter. Just looking to understand that a bit more, is that a reflection of, you know, demand being still patchy? Is it you're looking to negotiate off-takes and so on, you know, let's not produce a lot and go into inventory? Or is it, three, you know, there has been some disruption to the operations from tie-ins at Mount World, some modifications to fixed volume at... fix quality at Kalgoorlie, et cetera. Can I just understand how, volume, how are you looking to set the business near term?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, Daniel, we produced almost exactly what we intended to produce. So, yes, you're right, I think it was 80 tonnes, 70 tonnes less than it was last quarter, but somewhere around about that 2,000 tonnes was, you know, we were very comfortable with that. It was not... There were no significant operating disruptions, certainly not from the new assets. And, yeah, we don't... We never see value. I mean, we carry a little bit of inventory, but we never see value in producing a lot of product for inventory. And, you know, this was sufficient to ensure that we met customer needs Across all geographic markets, you know, so we do continue to make sales to, of course, our Japanese customers, but also to customers in China and in the rest of the world. But we were able to serve all of that and there were no issues with Mount World and Calgary, as we said, we had, you know, operating at lower rates as we did make some flow sheet changes there which now, you know, appear to be doing exactly what we planned for them to do and the lab worked very, you know, exactly according to plan.

speaker
Daniel Morgan
Analyst, Baron Joey

Sorry, just to clarify, should I take that as 2,000 tonnes a quarter as sort of where the business should sit for the near term until something changes?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

I think we will... I think the market is so volatile right now that we will be cautious about, you know, sort of even giving that vaguest of guidance, Daniel. Suffice to say that we will... ensure that we are continuing to meet the demand of all of our strategic customers and are working on developing new sales agreements.

speaker
Daniel Morgan
Analyst, Baron Joey

Okay. Thanks, Amanda. I'll read you on the queue.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks. Thank you. Next, we have David Deckelbaum from TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Deckelbaum
Analyst, TD Cowen

Thanks, Amanda, and congrats on all the exciting announcements out there.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Thanks, David.

speaker
David Deckelbaum
Analyst, TD Cowen

I wanted to follow up just to talk about the heaviest facility in Malaysia and the priority around samarium. Is that informed by just process flow sheet, or is that where you see the highest value products coming out of the heavy mix, or is it in response extremely near-term potential around off-take agreements?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

It's mostly about demand. So the highest demand materials are the DY and TB. Unfortunately, we can't significantly increase that production until we put in that new circuit. The Sumerian we can do by making a change to one of our circuits which adds an additional outlet and so given that there is significant demand for samarium in some very targeted sectors, we think that we can do that without causing too much disruption to production. So that would mean that instead of having to wait until 2027 for that material, it should be available in the first half of next year. But it definitely is an in-demand material, but we are finalising relevant price agreements on that as we speak, which are an important part of us you know, sort of deciding to proceed on this pathway.

speaker
Matthew Hope
Analyst, Ordmanet

Appreciate it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Just a moment for our next question, please. No more questions! Oh, Christ! Next question, we have Jonathan Sharp from CLSA.

speaker
Jonathan Sharp
Analyst, CLSA

Yeah, hi, Amanda and team. Congratulations on yesterday's announcement. Definitely a big positive. And my understanding is that this will likely open doors to other customers, not just with heavies, but also NDPR. So it really should help with those NDPR sales as you ramp up, which is positive. But that's not my question. My question is around incremental cost of processing the heavies. um specifically in the solvent extraction separation phase now i know you're not going to tell us what the costs are but so maybe i'll ask it another way what proportion of total unit costs of the heavies within the solvent extraction i would imagine it's quite um okay so um there are no sign you

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

With what we're doing right now, there are no significant incremental variable costs to the separation of the heavies. Because the circuits were already in place, we did have to load those, but that's already been done in the back half of last financial year. And, you know, the contribution to cost of running that circuit and running the, you know, furnaces and product finishing is not significant. So really this is giving us a, you know, almost this tiny little circuit gives us a bit of a free kick. When it comes to the bigger facility that will come into operation in 18 months' time, once again, we would see that it's not going to be – there will be some incremental costs, but what we're basically doing is today we process or up until – We process the SEG, it goes through solvent extraction and then it goes through product finishing, you know, the wet cycle and then into, you know, and it's calcined. And so what we're doing is that we won't be using those facilities and we will be able to use what we've freed up there for other products. and it will be simply going through the different facilities. So we have the capital cost of all of the new mixer settlers. We will have the capital cost of first fill of those, loading them with material, but the incremental cost to process will be relatively small.

speaker
Jonathan Sharp
Analyst, CLSA

Okay, thanks. I'd love to know the amount, but I know you're not going to tell me, so I will jump back in the crew queue, and I'll have another question later. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Okay. Thank you. Next, we have Chun Jung from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Chun Jung
Analyst, Bank of America

Good afternoon, Amanda. Thank you for taking my question. My question is for your price realisation for this quarter. Well, in AUD, $54 per kilogram, but you have heavy rare earths produced for this quarter. For example, the European so-called benchmark for terbium is around $4,000 per kilogram. That's like four times versus China's price, right? And the same as dysprosium. I'm wondering what happened to your price realization for this quarter? NDPR quarter over quarter. in China was up 26% and then you have heavy. So if you can provide us any color on the heavy price, how does that work? The European price versus China price as well as your NDPR price. I'm not saying that NDPR price jump realized in your revenue. Thank you.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Sure. Okay. First of all, the heaviest pricing You can see we made nine tonnes. Even if we sold every one of those nine tonnes for, I don't know, $10,000 a kilo, it is not going to move the dial on the average pricing yet. So let's just put that aside. And then on the NDPR, as we explained previously, some of our major customer contracts reference an end of prior month So when the price is going up, we tend to lag it a bit on the way up, and when it's coming down, we lag it on the way down. So you have not seen the full value in this quarter of the uplift in price during the quarter, and that's just a reflection of the way that our pricing contracts operate.

speaker
Chun Jung
Analyst, Bank of America

Can I have a follow-up, Amanda, just on what you commented on the NDPR? So the way could I expect it will realize price is because your pricing contract is lagged a month or two, and then you have increasing NDPR price. And then for the heavies, which means you quoted some amount, but are you achieving sort of the European price?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

I'm not even sure where you're getting the European price from. We are achieving... On the products that we have sold to date, we are very pleased with the price and it is not pegged to... Each of the prices is a customer-specific price and negotiated with each customer on a commercial and confidence basis. But it is not... It is not anything even vaguely like the inside China price. It is, as we said, the market demand is strong and we have a great deal of flexibility in choosing to whom we sell and at what price we sell.

speaker
Chun Jung
Analyst, Bank of America

Sure, I understand. Thank you, Amanda. I'll pass it on.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Thank you. Next we have Paul Young from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Paul Young
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi Amanda, hope you're well. Yes. Amanda, another question on the heavy rail circuit. Just trying to understand from a – and first of all, thanks for providing the production data. It does take a while for the heavies to work through the circuit, you know, a couple of quarters, so I understand there's a lag there, but just trying to understand the capacity and production from a modelling standpoint, what we should be throwing in the models. And I know that you do have 1,500 tonnes of SEG capacity and this announcement, the 180 million, you're achieving another, you'll get 3,000 tonnes of heavy earth oxide products. So just wanting to understand, is this incremental? So at the end of this, are we getting... one and a half and three for four and a half thousand tonnes of total capacity of heavies, oxides?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

No, no, no, no. We will have the one outcome, which is the tonnage that we were talking about yesterday. It is not additive to the tiny little DYTB circuit that we have in place right now. Once we put in the new facility... right, we will then free that circuit up and we will use it productively for some other purpose.

speaker
Paul Young
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, understood. Okay, that's helpful, Amanda. Just a part B to that then. Just with Mountwell, when you look at, on the go for when Mountwell's fully ramped up and you look at the Duncan Ore and you look at the the assemblage and the heavies coming through, whether you campaign that or not, can Mount World, under the expanded scenario, or the expansion, I should say, fully feed that heavy circuit? And what percentage? And will you have spare capacity to take, I guess, a third party on it, Clays and Malaysia?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, yeah. Okay. Excellent question, Paul. We could high-grade... I've got quotation marks around in the air here, but high grade for the heavies at Mount Wells, which would mean that we would deplete them faster, of course, if required to 100% feed that circuit. But between now and when that circuit comes online, we have a number of things that we need to do to improve. Our recoveries on heavies are not at the same rate as our recoveries online. Because we haven't managed for that over many years, you know, to be fair. And they do perform differently right from the float circuit in Mountwell through to Malaysia. So we will be... I want everyone to always understand we are thoughtful in the way that we manage these things. And so there's no point in sort of mining more heavies but then having it report to tailings because we haven't actually optimised our processing. And we've got time to do that before the new plant is operating in Malaysia. So that's the first thing for us to do. But our preference would be that that facility will take feedstock from And absolutely our preference is from developed ionic clay deposits in Malaysia in addition to the feedstock coming from that wealth. And so we have a team whose job it is to work with various Malaysian partners on that development process. The Malaysian ionic clay, all indications are that it will perform in the same way that the ionic clays in southern China and Myanmar and Laos perform and we see this as being an excellent opportunity to further contribute to Malaysian economic development and also because as we know ionic clays will typically give us a higher, you know, sort of proportion of heavies and so therefore suitable for feeding to this new plant. So that's a very long answer to your question, Paul, which was, yes, we could if we had to serve it out of nut well, but our preference will be that we have at least two feedstocks and potentially more if any other projects come online into that facility.

speaker
Paul Young
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

That's helpful, Amanda. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks, Bob. Thank you. As a reminder, please ask one question. If you have a follow-up question, please reach Q. Next, we have Mitch Ryan from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mitch Ryan
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks, Amanda. You called about... Can you comment on the cost pressure as you move Consumables supply chain away from China? How long do you expect until your supply chain is completely independent and could you help us understand what percent of your cost base do those consumables currently represent?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

We have been working on this since the first trade spat that started in April because China is quite nuanced in its use of non-price controls alongside the price controls that it's used over time. And so we have identified alternate supply sources for all inputs in our facilities, both consume consumables and also equipment. We at present see that there will be some cost penalties associated with those but we won't see those in this financial year because of the way that we've managed inventory in particular. So given how much things can change at present in the rare earth world on almost a daily basis. I'm disinclined to provide a cost forecast niche for, you know, sort of nine months' time, but we are confident in our ability to source relevant materials without crippling the business. I wouldn't want to be trying to build a new rare earth facility, however, just right now with no access to any China equipment at all. When we built Kalgoorlie, we did make a decision not to put any Chinese equipment in it. It's probably got a, you know, probably on the equipment cost, cost is probably about 25 to 30% more than if we'd had Chinese sourced equipment. So I think this will be a bit of a challenge for some of the new projects proposing to construct over the next little while.

speaker
Mitch Ryan
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. And just given that comment, I assume, therefore, that the heavy rare earth circuits that's being proposed at Malaysia will also apply the same strategy? Sure. Yeah. Well, time...

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

I can assure you this, that if we went to a Chinese supplier today and asked them to ship to Linus a new piece of kit of some sort, that they would probably say, thank you very much, but our production line is full, if they were being polite. And if they weren't being polite, they'd just say no. Okay.

speaker
Scott Rowell
Equity Research, Rumour Equity Research

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Thank you. Next we have Greg Spencer from Canaccord. Please go ahead.

speaker
Greg Spencer
Analyst, Canaccord

Thank you. Good morning Amanda and team. I'd like to ask about a topic that seems to be getting everyone breathless at the moment and that's price floors. We know that such things have been floated with respect to the Australian Critical Minerals Reserve and we all have to think that Linus would be a candidate to get some such floor pricing. Do you think – what kind of impact is that going to have given that you are working on additional supply contracts independent of Asia Metals Index? And aside from the Japanese contracts, what kind of impact on pricing should we be thinking about? I'm really just trying to figure out where the base level pricing or reference point should be for your main product being your NDPR.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, good question, Rach. I think that governments do recognise, as I said in my opening comments, that it's one thing to put the capital on the ground to build a project, the next challenge is to make it work, but it's altogether another thing for that to become a profitable business. And to become a profitable and sustainable business, it needs to have, you know, pricing, a functioning market in terms of pricing. So I think governments absolutely do understand this. And they also understand that whilst it's important to... support and, you know, we support this development of the industry over time. I mean, the ultimate remedy for all of this is to have an outside China industry of sufficient scale to balance out the inside China capability. But today, there is only one... There is a functioning supply chain and Linus is at the heart of that supply chain. And so therefore, you know, ensuring that policies are put in place which support that supply chain success is really important. So I think, as you said, Reg, it is highlighted in a number of the announcements I think we look here in Australia and we see that the government is not fearful of taking action to support or to intervene where industries are at risk. But I think that what we've got is a number of governments who are seeking to make sure that whatever they do, is aligned and ultimately constructive. Having said that, our view would be that the MP deal sets the flag, goalposts here. That'd be a better way to describe it, wouldn't it? And I mean the goals, not the behind.

speaker
Greg Spencer
Analyst, Canaccord

Thanks, Amanda. I'll have a follow-up associated question to that, but I'll take that offline and pass it on. Thanks very much. That's helpful.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Thanks, Ray.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Next, we have Austin Yoon of Macquarie. Please go ahead.

speaker
Austin Yoon
Analyst, Macquarie

Hi, Amanda. Hi, Austin. Yeah, thank you for taking my question. Just a quick one. I see a point out in the... opening remark, AMP is not a full solution for the U.S. government. I'm conscious that you do have a project in the U.S. right next door and feeding to this heavy risk demand. Can you get an update on that discussion? A lot has happened in the last few weeks. Does the current market condition provide a bit of support to accelerate that project? Thank you.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

So we have references in the report and we also did use a carefully considered form of words when we went to the market for the capital at the end of August. where we are at present is that there is significant uncertainty as to whether we will proceed with that facility and if so in what form but we continue to work with the dow and in particular on off-take agreements which will ensure that the dow um you know has has the materials which are critical for their applications and that Linus is in a position to be able to gain benefit from our capability and that includes the construction of the plant in Malaysia. I think, you know, I've told you previously about, you know, sort of the fact that when we are doing something ourselves on our own sites, we're able to deliver projects, you know, much more quickly than on any other scenario and much more cost effectively. And ultimately, that's why we've made the decision to, you know, sort of focus our attention on delivering the new plant in Malaysia. Bearing in mind that a lot of our engineering and design work that we've undertaken over the past four or five years actually feeds in very productively to that. And it's well worth remembering also that it remains that the key markets for rare earths remain in East Asia and Southeastern East Asia. And so it also remains that the location of our processing facility in Malaysia is really fit for purpose.

speaker
Austin Yoon
Analyst, Macquarie

Thank you. That's very clear.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Next we have Matthew Hope from Ordmanet. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matthew Hope
Analyst, Ordmanet

Thanks, Amanda. I just wanted to circle back to the NDPR pricing. Certainly with your discussion about what was happening in the market, you're referencing China. And again, I think you indicated your Japan contacts linked to end-of-month prices in China. I just wonder, is there any mechanism to start to de-link from China? Because China pricing is obviously quite different. from the rest of the world in most products and even NDPR seems to be a bit lower than what's outside China. So is there any mechanism to sort of renegotiate those or change them or do they roll off over time?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

We can change them, but customers have to have a preparedness to pay. And right now, notwithstanding everything which is written, most customers... have an option to source magnets from outside China or magnets from inside China and still 90% of them are sourced from inside China. So we are able, on occasion we would say that, we often talk about this as probably three segments of customers. One who understands that they should embrace a risk based pricing model, you know, because of the risk to their business of having to shut down. And bear in mind there are at least a couple of car lines that shut down in April, May this year as a result of the new licensing regime in China. There's a group of customers who are continuing to assess and recognise they probably need to do things differently. And then there's, you know, a fairly substantial group of customers who think that, you know, if they keep their fingers crossed and their eyes closed and wish very hard, that this will all go away and they'll be able to just continue to use cheap materials from China. We're working through those groups and, of course, our primary focus is on the first group, which is the ones who recognise that risk-based pricing, which is fair pricing, is something that they need to embrace within their business. And we are progressively, you know, sort of working on various different agreements with those customers. But across the market, well, you're just going to have a different price outside China from the one inside China is, you know, That's something which will rely upon customer performance and potentially policy settings. The various governments can influence that pretty quickly and we've seen it with some of the sort of settings. For example, US defence industries can't use material sourced from China. from 1 January 2027 under the DFARS Act. So, I mean, governments can do it, but not all customers outside China understand that if they want ongoing supply, that they need to pay a fair price.

speaker
Matthew Hope
Analyst, Ordmanet

Right, OK. And just for the DYTB question, noted what you said about the recoveries being lower and the fact that the circuit's very small. So does that mean that, you know, the sort of nine tonnes of DY and TB that's produced in September quarter, is that kind of normalised or has it still got a fair way?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

No, it's got some upside to that, Matthew.

speaker
Matthew Hope
Analyst, Ordmanet

Right. OK, thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Next, we have Rahal Arnaud from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rahal Arnaud
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, Amanda and team. Thanks for the call. Look, a lot of my questions have been asked, but I still have one which I wanted to touch upon, which is the Malaysian ionic clay deposits. Could you help us perhaps understand sort of, you know, how much you've looked into them? I'm sure you've looked at them a lot given your land plant, but I want to understand in terms of, you know, firstly in terms of the processing side of things, I would believe that the processing costs are lower but then some ionic clays can be problematic as well in terms of acid use and obviously carbonation, etc. How do these things sit and then why has Malaysia sort of not been able to do that themselves in the past and kind of has struggled in terms of volumes? Thanks.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Yeah, so we've quite progressed. We have announced one MOU with the Clarendon State Government and the deposits which are sitting in Malaysia either sit, it's not quite as easy as it is in Australia where the Crown owns all of the minerals under the ground. Some of them are owned by the state, some of them are owned privately, some of them are owned by the royal families. So we're sort of working through that process and where relevant, you know, are executing agreements with the relevant owners. Now, we're in Pahang, so, you know, sort of the states sitting on the east coast of Malaysia are particularly attractive to us, A, because they appear to have the right sort of geology, and B, because, you know, their proximity to the plant. In terms of the ability to process and upgrade that material, and why haven't the Malaysians done it to date, you know, a fair bit of that material has previously gone into China for processing, and so, you know, there's not been sort of the same focus on domestic processing, but Last year, the Malaysian government, recognising the value of this, introduced a moratorium on the export of unprocessed rare earth materials with the objective of encouraging more development in this sector and, as I said, very responsive therefore to Linus as sort of a company with skills in this area. But the more general comment about why hasn't it been done is because not very many people know about processing rare earths. You know, Linus is one of the very few firms outside of China that does know how to do it. And so that's really the partnership that we're looking to develop in Malaysia. And we see it as a highly prospective opportunity for future feedstock for particularly that heavy circuit, but those clays will also, not only will they bring us heavies, but they will bring us additional NDPR as well.

speaker
Rahal Arnaud
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Excellent. Thank you for that. Cheers. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Next, we have Regan Barrels from Bell Porter Security. Please go ahead.

speaker
Regan Barrels
Analyst, Bell Potter Securities

Hi Amanda and Sam. A lot of my questions have been asked. Just one on, I guess, the broader market dynamics. Obviously the governments around the world, especially in the Western world, are supporting a lot of these projects and we're seeing a lot of companies state that they'll come online within the next couple of years and add supply to the market. I'm just curious on your view, is there enough room for everyone to be feeding into the ex-China market and how does that sort of infer your thinking around capacity expansions up to that 12,000 tonne ground rate?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Thank you. Thanks, Joe. I don't actually spend much time thinking about them. I've got more than enough time to think about our own business. I think that... The earliest date that anyone's even, you know, sort of suggesting is I think late 27 and I would be surprised if there's anything coming to the market at scale at that time. But the more substantive question is, is there demand outside China? Yes, there is. can it be served with the industry structures the way that it is today? Well, actually, it could be serviced via the, you know, in terms of resource, via sort of current operators, that is Linus and MP. However, it is the metal and magnets that need to significantly grow to be able to serve the outside China demand. But, you know, industry forecasts are for continuing growth and there is no reason to suppose that it won't continue to grow somewhere in the, you know, certainly in the high single or low double digit numbers on an annualised basis. So there's going to be much demand and as I said, in my earlier comments, the best thing for everybody is for there to be critical mass in the outside China industry. But it is really important, and I think that governments do understand this, there is still a big gap between where we are today and getting to a stage where there is a you know, large functioning outside China industry and in the meantime, you know, it's incumbent on them to protect the current functioning supply chain and Linus is at the centre of that. So, yeah, look, there's demand. It's just a case of making sure that there's capability in all stages of the value chain

speaker
Regan Barrels
Analyst, Bell Potter Securities

And so if you see, I guess that, I'm calling it love, but if you see that supply into the market, does that, I guess, shape your thinking around capacity from LAMP and your business?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

I think not particularly, no. No, we run our own race. We focus on the customers that we seek to acquire and anyone who wants to chase us, that's fine. But, you know, we run our own race.

speaker
Scott Rowell
Equity Research, Rumour Equity Research

Excellent. Thank you. Thanks for taking my question.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Thanks very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Next, we have Scott Rowell from Rumour Equity Research. Please go ahead.

speaker
Scott Rowell
Equity Research, Rumour Equity Research

Hi, Amanda. Thanks very much for the detail you've offered today. I'm... Looking, I guess, a bit more at the future, when you did your equity raising at the time of your footwear result, which if you can believe it is only two months ago almost to the day, you gave some splits around the uses of the funds, particularly in those growth areas of ad resource scale, increased downstream capacity and expand into the metal and magnet supply chains. You got some indicative splits there and I'm just wondering if you have adjusted any thinking given such a lot has happened in this sector over the last two months as to where the best incremental returns on capital for Linus are across those growth areas over the next five years as you work towards your 2030 strategy, please, if anything has changed materially or as you say, you're still in running your own race?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

No, nothing has changed materially. I think that what we've said and we said then was the first project that we would bring back to the market would be the heavies and we have done that. And it is, you know, and that is because it is absolutely a gap right now in the non-Chinese markets. You know, there's been a lot of questions today about, and I've responded and maybe been a little bit harsh on, you know, some customers, but whilst customers are still reliant upon China for their heavies, right, it makes it sort of tricky for them to be shifting their lights, you know, sort of demand as well. So that's why the heavies has been absolutely front and centre for us in terms of, you know, development and we can have that operating and we have an excellent track record in terms of execution. We can have that operating, we expect, you know, in calendar 2027 with some of, as we've said, the product earlier. And that, we think, will be really important in terms of our overall product offering at into the market and giving customers confidence to switch their supply chain. So it remains top of the pops because it's not just about the margin on the hemi's but it is about the NDPR that goes with it. We look at that and we say, okay, so we've got capacity there and you would have noted that we probably have a bit of headroom in that capacity. So that means that the next thing, which is really important for us to nail, is additional complementary feedstock sources. We ultimately are a minerals and minerals processing company, so we live or die on the quality of our resources. And so adding more to that is sort of the next priority. Very quickly followed by ensuring that there is the opportunity for us to sell that into non-China processing facilities, both metal and magnet making. So the three areas remain exactly the same with the priority as I've just described, but that is really pretty much what we said two months ago. I think you would all be very disappointed, notwithstanding everything which is going on sort of geopolitically, if two months after a capital raise I said to you, oh no, all the cars are in the air and we're going to change everything. You'd be, you know, what's going on? Don't they know what they're doing here? I think it is very easy to get distracted by the daily announcements, but if we tried to change course every time a politician somewhere in the world had some sort of a thought bubble, then we would not be the business that we are today. So we understand the market. We understand what our customers need and that ultimately is the thing. You can't run a business on government funding forever. You actually need to meet your customers' needs and be a supplier of choice and we understand what are the policy settings that we want from government to make this a proper functioning market into the future. So, Scott, long answer, short answer is what we said when we asked you to sign a cheque stands.

speaker
Scott Rowell
Equity Research, Rumour Equity Research

I'm smiling and nodding with you. Thank you very much for that.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Okay. I see that it's three minutes past 12, so I'm not sure, Maggie, how many... One last question from Matthew as a follow-up.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Would you like to take it? Okay, yep, sure, sure. So we have Matthew here. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matthew Hope
Analyst, Ordmanet

Thanks. Yeah, just a question on the Novian MOU. Was the intention there just to sell more rare earths than Novian, or is it actually to get involved more like the JS Link and get involved in the entire magnet factory and the profits there from?

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

So you know what? Chris Jenny, who's our head of sales and market development, is on the line and he is working very closely with Nobion and I'm going to let him answer that question.

speaker
Chris Jenny
VP Sales and Market Development

Thanks, Amanda. Hi, Matthew. Yeah, great question. Yeah, it's early days. Nobion are a fantastic operator. They're the only existing magnet supplier into the US with very aggressive growth plans. So we're working through them. What is the best model? not just for commercial customers but also defence customers. So we'll keep you updated as we progress.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

And so, Matthew, we will sell more product and we potentially will engage directly in how to support the aggressive growth plans that Chris has articulated.

speaker
Matthew Hope
Analyst, Ordmanet

All right. Thanks very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Thank you, Amanda. We have no more questions.

speaker
Amanda LaCaze
CEO and Managing Director

Well, once again, thank you all for joining us. You know, the rare earth market continues to be an exciting place to operate. So, yeah, look forward to catching up with all of you in the near future.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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