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4/22/2024
Good morning and thanks for joining us. With me today is Chief Operating Officer Simon Jester and Chief Financial Officer Ryan Gurner. I am pleased to present the group's March quarter performance, despite adverse weather having an impact. With these events now behind us, we are focused on maintaining the strong operational momentum so far seen in the June quarter. And I am particularly proud of our people who demonstrated resilience during the period and delivered our results in a safe manner. Thank you. For the March quarter, we sold 401,000 ounces of gold at an all-in-sustaining cost of Australian dollars, $1,844 an ounce, generating underlying free cash flow of $143 million, which is up 40% from the December quarter. Each of our production centres remains in a positive free cash flow position, and as a group, we remain financially resilient billion. This financial strength allows us to fund all of our growth investments, exploration activities and capital management initiatives. As you can see in our results, KCGM stands out this quarter, providing a glimpse of what's in store for this asset going forward. KCGM, our largest and lowest cost asset, delivered a groups highest free cash flow per ounce. This performance is driven by increased access to the high-grade Gold Pike North material, an area we will be mining for the next five years. Getting access to this material was a multi-year effort, but the financial returns have been exceptional, and the three-year effort was well worth it. For the KCGM mill expansion, the enabling works were completed and on-site construction advancing to plant. Exciting to see this activity underway at KCGM, which will double the plant's throughput to 27 million tonnes per annum and lift production to 900,000 ounces per annum by FY29. And this will establish KCGM as a top five global gold mine. For FY24, we expect to produce 1.6 to 1.75 million ounces of gold at an early sustaining cost of Australian dollars, $1,810 to $1,860 an ounce. an ounce. Before I hand to Simon, Pogo continued to perform well with net mine cash flow of $21 million, bringing its full year contribution to date of $90 million. Quarterly gold sales were 59,000 ounces at an early sustaining cost of US$1,567 an ounce. During the quarter, Pogo had a plan shut as well as experienced some unplanned downsizing, which has since been resolved. Grades were lower than expected due to stoke mine sequencing, although grades have increased so far during the June quarter. And pleasingly, mine development rates continue to strengthen, averaging a monthly rate of around 1,600 metres a month from five development jumbos. Simon will now speak to the Australian operations.
Thank you, Stuart. For the Kalgoorlie Production Centre, including Casey Jam, Karasu Dam, Kanana Bell and South Kalgoorlie, We sold 227,000 ounces of gold, up 3%, at an Australian all-in sustaining cost of $1,592 an ounce, down 5%. This production delivered a mine operating cash flow of $302 million, up 5%, quarter on quarter. on the Casey Gem Mill expansion, plus $32 million on Casey Gem open pit mine development and the new tail storage facility, which has a 147 million tonne capacity. At Casey Gem, open pit material movement was slightly lower than our planned movements at 15.8 million tonnes in the quarter, due to rain and prioritisation of the movement to Golden Pike North, Arroyo Brown Hill and the East Wall. The Open Pit team has been successfully managing the priorities well with another 30,000 ounces mined from Golden Pike North. We remain on track to regain full access to Golden Pike North in FY25. Underground mining volumes for the Kalgoorlie region were flat at 1.51 million tonnes and 2.5 grams to deliver 123,000 ounces. The higher grade was driven from Casey Gem and Karasu Dam as we regained access to improved scheduled areas. KCGEM's underground operations increased development 16% to 3.8 kilometres for the quarter, with the FIM underground area achieving its first mined ore during the quarter. The development will continue to ramp up quarter on quarter as a key lead indicator for opening up new mining fronts, followed by production increases. The Karasu Dam underground mines all performed well with 53,000 ounces mined in the quarter. Open pit movements increased 10% to 1.1 million BCMs despite significant and constant rain impacting results. The Kalgoorlie operations increased mine ore volumes while a paste plant at South Kalgoorlie was successfully commissioned during the quarter to ensure maximum extraction of the high-grade plus 5 grams per tonne motor room ore area. Processing volumes in the Kalgoorlie Production Centre reduced 15% from a combination of planned major mill shutdowns, unplanned regional power interruptions in Kalgoorlie and significant rain across the region, causing interruptions to maintenance and the supply chain. Despite these challenges, KCGM's gold increased 13% quarter on quarter to 127,000 ounces as underground and open pit mine grades improved. Pleasingly, the recovery at Casey Gem also improved 2% from a range of improvements across the plant. Canal Nabel had significant power outages during the quarter from the grid, while Karasu Dam milling was also impacted by rain. The Casey Gem Mill expansion spent the $95 million with staged handover work areas to the major contractor. The primary crusher excavation was completed with the first concrete pour completed during April. The new mill footprint and coarse ore stockpile areas are on track to be handed over in the June quarter. The engineering and design works are progressing well with 35% complete and remain on track. We are very pleased with the on-ground construction activities which have commenced on time and to plant. At our Yandall production centre, including Jundee, Thunderbox and Bronzewing, we sold 114,000 ounces of gold at an Australian oil and sustaining cost of $2,070 an ounce. This production delivered a mine operating cash flow of $101 million, while we spent $64 million on growth capital projects. Primarily, $21 million was spent on the Aurelia open pit. At our Jundi operation, development advanced for 6.9 kilometres with 780,000 tonnes of ore mined and 73,000 ounces. Processing achieved above nameplate mill throughput despite significant rain impacts, which meant reagents to site were impacted. The mill head grade was lower due to a drawdown of low-grade stocks and mine head grade. The Jundi renewable project progressed well with the 16 megawatt solar farm and 12 megawatt battery to be commissioned early in the June quarter. The 24 megawatt wind farm foundations have all been poured and we are waiting for the large crane to install the turbines during H1 of FY25. The Thunderbox underground operation achieved 490,000 tonnes of ore mined at a slightly higher head grade of 1.8 grams per tonne. The Wonder Underground mine ramped up throughout its first full quarter of operation, averaging 292 metres a month, and will be on all during the German quarter. This is a great start by Northern Star Mining Services and is already putting this mine well ahead of budget. For the quarter, the underground and open pit operations successfully mined 1.37 million tonnes of ore above what the Thunderbox process plant milled. At the Thunderbox process plant, we milled 1.13 million tonnes for the quarter and sold 45,000 ounces of gold. The throughput averaged 735 tonnes per hour for the quarter, Availability was a low 70% for the quarter, with a major shutdown completed in February, followed by significant conveyor belt issues and a lack of ability to rectify with the major lightning and rain events. Our ball field was also flooded, leading to a lack of water getting to the process plant. The focus is on achieving a step change in mill availability. improvements made in Q3 are resulting in increased runtime. Our goal is to stabilise throughput above 5 million tonnes per annum while we address availability across the plan. I would now like to pass over to Ryan, our Chief Financial Officer, to discuss the financials.
Thanks, Simon. Good morning, all. As demonstrated in today's quarterly results, Northern Star remains in a robust financial position. Our balance sheet remains strong as set out in Table 4, Page 9, with cash and bullion of $1.1 billion and remain in a net cash position of $174 million at 31 March. Despite the challenges faced during the quarter, our assets continue to generate positive free cash with the group's growth capital being funded from operations. Figure 9 on Page 10 sets out the company's cash and bullion investments movement for the quarter, with the key elements being Quarter on quarter total cost reduction of both the cash cost and all the sustaining cost level, resulting in the business generating $524 million of cash flow from operations. Prudent capital expenditure totaling $298 million, $38 million of exploration investment and $45 million of lease payments resulted in banking $143 million of free cash flow for the quarter. Importantly, all production centres continue to generate positive net mine for cash flow. Growth capital investments in the quarter related to key growth projects, including waste removal at Finn South and the East Wall at Casey Gem, development at Fim Underground, development at Palfrey Underground and Woolworth Open Pit at Karasu, development at Aurelia Open Pit and Wonder Underground, and $95 million for the Casey Gem plant expansion. which includes work performed and commitments in respect of the enabling works, which are now completed, with construction activities at the site being progressed. Total spend for FY24 is expected to be approximately $415 million, with the reduced spend relating to the timing of some procurement packages being finalised. It is important to note that this is not expected to impact the date for practical completion, with engineering, design and construction remaining on track as planned. Also during the quarter, the company paid its interim FY24 dividend of 15 cents per share, totalling $169 million during the quarter. On other financial matters, year-to-date depreciation and amortisation of 695 per ounce is at the midpoint of the guidance range of 650 to 750 an ounce, and is expected to remain within that guidance range for the full year. For the quarter non-cash inventory charges for the group, $12 million, with the majority of these non-cash inventory charges relating to the milling of historical stockpiles at Casey Gem and are a component of IBIDAR. In the March quarter, we commenced allocating mining costs associated with additions to the long-term inventory stockpiles at Casey Gem. Prior to the approval for the development of the Casey Gem Mill Expansion Project, which was made in June 2023, these stockpiles were carried at nil book value As previously communicated, processing of this material is scheduled to commence post completion of the mill expansion in FY26 and will generate significant cash flows to the business. The effect of this change has resulted in a $9 million net credit to cash cost per ounce in respect of Q1 and Q2, which has been recorded in the March quarter. Physicals relating to these long term stockpiles over the last three quarters of the financial year are provided on page 12 of the report. In respect to the company's on-market share buyback, no additional shares were purchased on market following the company's half-year results release. Up to $131 million remains outstanding with the program open until September this year. Notwithstanding the challenges during the quarter, we are confident of a strong finish to the year in respect of production, lower costs and robust free cash generation. From the delivery of higher milk tonnes and graded from KCGEM, higher grades at Jundi and increased processing output at Thunderbolts and Pogo, positioning our portfolio for significant cash flow generation, aligning to our company's purpose of delivering superior returns to our shareholders. I will now pass you back to the moderator for Q&A. Thanks very much.
Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star 2. If you're on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. Your first question comes from Levi Spry with UBS. Please go ahead.
Good morning. Thanks for your time today. Maybe one question for Simon. The issues at Thunderbox, maybe a bit of information today to absorb. I'm still catching up, sorry. Can you step us through the issues there and, you know, what the plans are over this quarter and how we think about, I guess, 600,000 ounces from that hub for next year?
Yeah, thanks, Levi. Certainly a very challenging quarter at Thunderbox with probably the best way to think about it is weather probably impacted us, you know, 5%, 5% to 7%. This is a combination of not being able to get water to the process plant, reagents and a few things like that. So that was the sort of one-off anomaly that we've certainly seen post that all rectified and back on. And then really the rest of the downtime that we saw is probably... mostly around the crushing circuit of about 5-7% impacting the mill throughput and just the boat ability to run. We did have a lot of conveyor belt rips which impacted us over the quarter and just lightning and storms and couldn't rectify that. What I was really pleased about at Thunderbox though was the the same period we actually got the wonder underground mine up into um full production uh and we'll certainly be on all uh during the june quarter which is ahead of plan uh really thanks to a great start by the northern star and nsms uh mining teams to to bring that project on time um and ahead of ahead of plan so that will give us a high grade uh boost and uh wonder underground sort of has 3.2 grams average reserve grade. So we're looking forward to getting high grade into the mill.
Yeah, thank you. Thanks, mate. But just so I understand the milling capacity, I thought you said something about 5 million tonnes you're targeting now as opposed to the 6. Can you just talk me through the program there?
Yeah, later on that. rate in quarter four so really it's a great great driver to get those ounces but you've seen that obviously reflected um you know across the groups of where those ounces have fallen back so our attitude at that plant there still is work required to ensure that the availability is maximized and we can maintain at or above the six million ton um we won't get that rate We know the work. We know the planned activity is really around the capex associated with future proofing that asset to be reliable at $6 million.
Yeah, got it. Thanks. And just one last one. Ryan mentioned a 415 capex number. Sorry, can you just calibrate that? What's that compared to?
Are you talking about the expansion project, Levi? Yeah, so that's right. So... The forecast for the full year on expansion period is 4-15. We initially guided 5-25. So there's been, as I was sort of saying in my call or in my talk, there's been some delay to the awarding of procurement packages by the contractor. And so they're quite lumpy, you know, milestone payments. So they've been delayed significantly. There's no delay to, you know, engineering, design, construction. That's all on plan. So, yeah, so when we got it initially 525, what we're saying now is it's more likely going to be 415 for the year we buy.
Got it. Roger. Thank you. Thanks. Thanks.
The next question comes from Kate McCutcheon with Citi. Please go ahead.
Oh, hi. Good morning, Stuart and Tim. Just at POGO, you're running a reserve grade there of 8.5 grams per ton, which is inclusive of dilution and recovery by definition. Should we think about the mine grade over time getting to this level, and what are the key things that have to happen there? Or is there a piece of work still to be worked through on head grade over the long haul?
Yeah, thanks, Kate. Absolutely is something we're working through. We are recutting presently as we're talking everything across the group on resource reserves, obviously with relation to cut-off grades, relation to revenue side of things, which is only modest changes to those, but we're looking at the actuals of POGO, so how we've achieved development grades, how we've achieved through the current plan at the moment. What we do see at POGO, given you've got a plus 7 million ounce resource above 10 grams, moving cut-off grades brings a lot of material in or out, depending on how that's treated. And then we're looking at the 1.3 million tonnes we've been able to achieve, obviously, 1.4, 1.5 million tonnes through that plant. What's the right happy place for that? So, yeah, we've still got 300,000 ounces in our head. You know, the head grade would have been dependent on and the recoveries. I'm not hanging on 8.5 as a number for reserves. I'm hanging on, you know, costs and margin and for activities. So I think there's probably some compromise on that reserve grade, but it doesn't diminish the quality of the deposit. It's really just the factors we apply.
Okay, so a tonnes versus grade.
It is. With that, it's a large fixed cost base. Yeah, so we're spending, you know, $30 million a month at Pogo. We're obviously targeting to get that down to $25 million. It's going to take a lot of effort with that, with the energy costs and a few external forces on us. But it's really that denominator of gold sold. And so the economy's the scale of that plant, you know, ramping up throughput. You've seen some great throughput through it. And, you know, it's really some plan shots that are in place to rectify some things. The mill motor still needs to be replaced. So all that planned work ahead is a security of throughput. You know, I think whether the reserve has an eight-handle on it, you know, that's indifferent to what the margin and the quality of the asset's going to be. I can make it nine grams and shorten the life. I can make it seven grams and extend the life, and that's what we're balancing at the moment.
Okay, got it. And more a strategic question, if I look across the portfolio, you've got a few assets which are higher cost and are a bit lighter on free cash flow. You've got Aussie dollar gold at almost a record, $3,600. How are you thinking about any divestments here? Are they conversations that are happening or is this the go-forward portfolio that you've got now for the next, for the short term, I guess?
Yeah, I mean, all assets are contributing. And, you know, on the front page there, we've got our all income. an ounce above our all-impost. So all assets are generating strong cash and obviously servicing and funding, our exploration, our organic growth, our dividends, all those things are benefiting from it. And the asset portfolio we have today is our strategy, our five-year strategy to deliver our 2 million ounces by FY26. So they're important, they're key, we're using them effectively. It's a decent gold price and people are asking us about M&A. Selling assets at this price is great, but who can afford them or who will pay for them? We're not here to sell things just for the sake of it. You need to really have good discipline around these things and all these assets matter to us at the moment.
Okay, got it. And then just super quickly, you're spending 100 mil less on KCGM this year.
capex guidance has stayed the same is that just rounding in the wash or is there more capex going in elsewhere like thunderbox yeah around our allocation so you know when we see these things you know whether slipping over a month or so it's reallocation of funds that we have surplus to that so absolutely you know things like wonder coming on early and ramping there where you put your effort it's more it's more not having the money or having excess money to then reapply. I think the planning around it, we understand that there's a three-year build, you know, $1.5 billion, which has 10% continuous to unit. It's all around the timing. The other benefit is that that east wall remediation is essentially complete this financial year, so that the expenditure around that works on the east wall, again, falls away, and then the reapplication of that Yeah.
Okay. Thanks, Stu.
The next question comes from Matthew Friedman with EMST Financial. Please go ahead.
Sure. Thanks. Morning, Stu. Great to see first off from the citizen underground during the quarter. I'm sure the team would be excited about that. Can you remind us please of your plans around, I guess, a more holistic scoping study or feasibility study on the KCGM underground piece. And I guess the second question to that is, you know, similar to what Kate was just asking around the group holistically, you know, you've got a high gold price. At KCGM specifically, you're going to have ample mill capacity post the expansion and probably a very significant underground endowment in terms of resources and reserves. So how do you constrain that underground study to balance NPV, risk of executing and capital that you need to deploy? How do you constrain your sort of option set around that study? Thanks.
Yeah, so I think I'll start with just backwards on the resource reserves. We'll obviously get into the finalisation of that now. We'll get to the next month, so we'll be publishing those resource reserves and they will show the quality and scale and the opportunities around the Kalgoorlie district that feeds into that expanded mill. And it's not just FIM underground. There's lots of other great things that are regionally able to be brought through to that plant. So that's pretty exciting. We'd be pretty pleased to be able to publish and talk about those things. On the current underground FIM, I'll just let Simon speak about progress there and the attitude, but there's two parts to this. That's the current immediate access, but the overall larger underground I've sort of spoken about below the pit will come in post the pit mining so that it doesn't disturb any of the pit activity. But the current FIM underground is kind of independent of that pit activity.
Yeah, Matt, what you'll see with the female underground is it's very small capital outweighed to incrementally just keep bringing on more development, more access and more stopes. You can see the... The reserve grade is around 2 grams a tonne for KCGM Underground, so we see good cash flow generation as we start to really ramp up the mine. But you're not going to see a massive capital investment for no ore production. Very, very quickly, you'll see the ore production keep ramping up at KCGM Underground, and then it becomes just a broader grade displacement piece for the KCGM mill. So over FY25 and 26 we'll displace one gram per tonne material and we'll put in two grams from the underground. But first door at Femiston Underground is really great. We will certainly be adding new portals in plans underway to ramp up the production areas at Casey Gem. So super exciting. We're seeing plenty of growth every time we drill a hole there. So looking forward to getting out the resource and reserves in the June quarter and we're seeing good growth at Casey Gem Underground.
And Matt, we were adding resources for less than $10 an ounce. So this is the The organic opportunity here to grow and expand and to generate cash from these ounces, they are essentially on our doorstep and very effective and efficient organic growth.
Yeah, got it. Thanks, guys. Thanks for that detail. I guess what you've described is, as Simon said, a fairly sort of incremental growing stoking operation. How do we think about you know, longer-dated future plans to transition that to something more of a bulk operation like a sub-level cave or something? Is that still on the cards and is that likely to sort of come out when you present updated reserves and resources, as you said, slated for the June quarter, I think you said, sorry, Simon?
Yeah, so the works that's happening that's incremental is also establishing drill platforms. large-scale cave-style mine below the open pit will first need to be drilled out. We're talking about multi-year drill-outs and assessments and talking about multi-million ounce targets that are coming into that plan. So I know we're trying to talk about what's the capex number that we should be looking at. and scale and quality of the resource, and then the drill density to make that resource reserve. Firstly, we don't want to do expensive, deep, timely, you know, directional drilling that was occurring before we owned it. We want to get down with truck accessible decline drill drives and basically drill this out to the level that we're confident to put shapes around and minor signs, and it will be concurrent with the mining activity at Golden Pike, which is the next four or five years, pulling the Golden Pike floor out. I will not start a large underground and, you know, create or disturb the activity in the pit whilst that's being mined. So don't double dip on Dovenpike North being mined and a large underground coming on top. Talk about the expansion of Mount Charlotte, the mining between the super pit and Mount Charlotte expanding and adjacent to those works, which is independent to the super pit.
Got it. That's pretty clear. Thanks, Stu.
So the 900,000 ounces essentially coming from those blended ore from open pit, underground and stockpile sources, that's what we're essentially levelling to and the current outlook and forecast on CapEx is with that.
Yep, got it, thanks. And then an exciting sort of longer-dated opportunity to go bigger in the underground.
Yep, you know our plan, how we iterate. Once those things are done, we don't stop. We'll re-look at that. Steve McClare's team will be assessing those opportunities.
The next question comes from Mitch Ryan with Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Morning Stu and team. Thanks for the question. You've called out a revision of the one-half costs at KCGM of $71 an ounce. Just making sure my back of the envelope is sort of right. I'm going $71 an ounce times all the one-half ounces to get $15 million of costs. So I guess my question is, one, is that calculation correct? I'm assuming that wasn't in the prior cost guidance of $1,730 to $1,790, but it is in the $1,810 to $1,860. So if you hadn't had that $71 an ounce revision, the cost guidance actually would have been about $10 an ounce higher at a company level. Is that correct?
Yeah, Mitch is right. You're right. I mean, the $71, though, relates to... ounces sold in this quarter so it's an adjustment in in this quarter so if you're looking at that's why i said in my notes dollar value is sort of like nine million bucks so um as i as i mentioned it's it's it's because ultimately there there were costs going to the other all sources that that actually rendered up on stockpile from a material perspective um And so that's why we're like, well, hang on, we're going to mill this material. We've got to allocate costs to it. And so that's why we've revised those numbers.
Okay. Okay. And it is in the revised community-wide guidance of 1810 to 1860? Yes.
Yeah, that's right. There are a number of costs in our direct control and there are a number that were outside of our control related to the elevated gold price. So obviously a lot of our wages and salaries are linked to gold price mechanisms up and down. You know, royalties are linked to gold price up and down. So above our assumptions. But then there were hard money costs. related to increases in inflation as everyone's experiencing, they're real. So we don't like it ourself. And, you know, gold price, sorry, our costs are going up, you know, $40, $50 an ounce. But when you zoom back out, gold price has gone up 10 times that, $400 to $500 an ounce in the same period. So the two are somewhat linked. It's going in the wrong direction for us. But, you know, gold price has covered up a lot of that in cash flow generation and margin expansion has occurred.
Yes, definitely. I appreciate that, Kyle. That's it from me. I'll pass it on.
Your next question comes from Al Harvey with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
G'day, Stuart team. Maybe just on POGO, can you kind of elaborate a bit more on the impact of the power outage there? I know you said it's not expected to normalise until late in the June quarter, so just wondering you know, how you get comfort in that kind of timeline to get things sorted out and what kind of risks we have into 2025 there.
Yeah, no worries. Thanks, Al. Yeah, so there's a few things there that have disrupted us on power, but all the power is generated through a cooperative. So costs to that cooperative, whether they come from our asset or come from the state, basically give it back out to the suppliers. So energy costs go up and down. And then obviously when we have power disruptions there, During the winter season, you've got lots of issues around your heating and freezing and locking up of those things. So basically when the plant goes down, we're buying heavy gas into winter to generate the heat, to keep things warm, keep them moving. And those costs are extraordinary. But the cost of not doing it, and there are other parties in the state where they've got their... their mill's frozen, you've got to wait for the season to thaw out. So we just, when you're jammed in those corners, you run gas and heat your stuff up so that doesn't freeze.
Sure, thanks, G. And maybe just back on the resource and reserve update in May. I think last exploration update we had, there were some good results coming out of POGO, like STAR, Just wondering how we think about production growth potential at Pogo, what are kind of the constraints on scale, how are you thinking about opportunities further afield in North America? And I guess, yeah, how do you balance up that growth in terms of opportunities around the super pit and Aussie mines?
Yeah, before we put our eyes further afield in North America, we see huge value in really proving out what's there at Pogo. And so Star, as an example, is a great target we're continuing to drill. I'm pretty excited about being able to show people more step-outs from that. It's still early stages, so as far as to get shapes and things around it, we've got to get the density into it. And then obviously Goodpasta is still sitting on the back burner, but we're drilling between the main mine and Goodpasta to fill in gaps that go in under the river and essentially give us a pathway to get from Pogo to Goodpasta economically. And then Hill 4021, the other side, is also a pretty exciting extension. So we like all of the results we're getting there. I guess what we're finding is a lot of the same material. 10 gram resource. Ideally, we find an old lacy one load where it's, you know, one ounce material, but we're still testing for those things. So at the moment, it's about life going on to the end of the asset as opposed to something being accelerated and brought forward and supplementing higher grade. Prior to our ownership, the head grade of Pogo was 13 grams. obviously talking about putting through, you know, around eight grams a tonne, there is material that can be found there that is a superior grade. If we can find it through the same melt throughput, we can really, you know, drive value and margin out of it. So that's what we're trying to target. And that is our focus before we step out away from the Pogo mine in North America.
Great. So basically... Anything, any material step change there is going to need a pretty chunky exploration hit around that ounce per tonne mark. Is that kind of the crux of it, Stu?
No, no, finding exactly what we have there is fine. The question of whether we accelerate it, whether we kind of put extra effort and expenditure to accelerate it, is if it appears greater than the average grade that's sitting there. So if Goodpast was sitting there at 15 grams per tonne, it would be my priority target developing across drilling at our bringing into the mine plant earlier. It's exactly the same as what we have. And I've got, you know, 7 million ounces of 10 grand material. Good past there's 1 million ounces of it. So it's the same grade. So I guess what I'm saying is unless it's better, and it's the same attitude at every other mine we operate, if something's better... Flunder Underground, it gets ramped up, accelerated, put into Thunderbox Mill before another underground that's three grams or two grams, et cetera. So it's just the same attitude of trying to – it's not high grading, it's prioritising your cash flows and maximising your PV.
Sure. Thanks, Stu. And I guess just to round it out, so, you know, just broadly growth options in North America, you're pretty happy just – ticking away at Pogo. Is there any plans further afield, things that you're looking at? I know some peers have been looking at a few bits and pieces out that way.
You've seen us test the water with the Asisco evaluation with windfall, and we didn't get there. So anything we look at is always disciplined. I think it's going to be a challenge in this environment to find value. in North America, so it doesn't mean we won't look at things, but I think it's a challenge for anybody, anyone in Australia with our currency at the moment. I'd like to reiterate that our organic opportunities are phenomenal, and that's where our effort and energy and focus, and that's what's in our control that we can determine and deliver into.
Yeah, awesome. Thanks, Stu. Thanks, Al.
Your next question comes from Ben Lyons of Jardins. Please go ahead.
Thanks. Good morning, Stu, everyone on the call. Just want to talk about the grade profile at Jundee, please. Pretty sure I asked the same question following the December quarterly SAT. But we've got a new low, a new five-year low in mine grade at Jundee, about 2.9 grams, well below reserve grade. So firstly, maybe you can just elaborate on your confidence in lifting the grade into the June quarter, you know, talking to Stoke Sequencing, open faces, etc. But more importantly, on a sustainable basis going forward, what we should expect for the grade coming out of the Jundi underground. Thanks, guys.
Yeah, I'll throw this on. Yeah, minor mill grades can alter, and obviously when we get a record milling throughput, it's going to be supplemented with lower grade material that averages it down. But I'll throw this on, just a general outlook. There's quite a blend of sources for material from Jundi. Yeah.
So certainly... Yes, low for the quarter, but the impacts for getting the dirt from the ROM pads and from Ramone, a lot of high-grade ore stranded out at Ramone, and Ramone on average is lower grade than Jundee. But during the quarter, we couldn't truck it across due to, you know, 190 mil of rain up there versus the average of sort of 19. So 10 times the normal amount of rain meant it was... We couldn't move things. And even within our current Jundi operations, we had to not mine some of the better grades at the bottom of the mines, just while we part of our flood management plans. So we're certainly kicked out of areas that we wanted to mine during the quarter. And then you've got to flow on into the mills. with milling low-grade stocks due to crusher wet dirt that we can't crush, as well as just not being able to get the right dirt into the mill. So in terms of quarter four, yep, Jundi's going to have a big quarter. We're confident of that and tracking well leading into the end of the year. So we're confident, Ben.
Yep, yep, cool. I'm picking that up. Sorry, can I just tease out one of those comments, Simon? Your inability to access some of the deeper ore sources underground due to your flood management plans, I think, to paraphrase what you said. Sorry, can you just possibly elaborate on how the underground sequencing was impacted by what was going on with a bit of rainfall at the surface?
It's just looking after the safety of our employees. So when you get 100 mil of rain in sort of 10, 12 hours for that part of the world, there's obviously a lot of water that flows into some big historic open pits. So you get a build-up of water in your open pit fairly quickly and it's just good management that we won't operate the bottom areas of that particular mine. for a period, and then the pumps catch up and you get on top of it again and go forward. So it's just those short-term interruptions, well managed by the site team, and then we go back to business as usual.
It sounds dramatic, Ben, but it's 101 for underground miners. There's clouds in the sky and rain coming in the northern parts of Australia that dump it on you in a hurry. you just bring all your equipment and your people back up above your bottom few levels because where does water go? So the amount of people that have flooded jumbos and boxes and fans and done this is you just pull back and operate in higher levels until it dries out as a precaution pretty much basic Underground 101.
Okay. Outstanding. Thank you very much for the education, guys.
Your next question comes from Alex Barkley with RBC. Go ahead.
Thanks. Good morning, Stuart and team. Just a quick follow-up on HOGO grades. You called out that there was an improvement there in your pre-release announcement. Just wondering exactly what that was about, something to do with maybe Stoke development ratio or reconciliation, or was that positive later in the quarter, into April? Just trying to understand, you know, what the... positive aspect was there.
Thanks. Yeah, thanks, Alex. Look, it's just where we sit in the cycle. We're looking for any glimmer of what's good, what's bad, what's average, what's expected, what's not. And so the best thing at Pogo really on the development rate, nearly averaging 1,600 metres a month through the quarter, means we're opening up new mining areas. We're getting very productive at doing that. Usually that gives us a lower average grade because there's more development material which has been trucked, which is getting milled at a lower grade. We don't see that as a negative. We see that as, you know, opening up new areas and giving us options in the future. And then we look at reconciled grades from our stoping activity and is it planned, is it on track, is it above. So our highlights were basically on improving grade and getting, you know, you get... 1,000-ounce days, you'll end up with 1,500-ounce day. Now, you can't timesplit 30 and you can't timesplit 365, but that's what you look for at a high-quality, high-grade asset when it clicks out like Dundee can do, when it can knock out 1,000-ounce days and 1,500-ounce days. that you've got these high-grade pockets that excite us. So I guess that's where we're buoyant about it. You all look at averages and three months and trends. We're right on the face of the data looking at deposits and reconciling and understanding what's in front of us.
Yep. So could you remind me again what the sort of life of mine – stoke development ratio for ore is and when do you expect to get there?
We're trying to be at around 65% to 70% stope ore. So we've been at that and we've highlighted that our mining dilution is excessive for what we've designed. I think back to Kate's question on will we adjust those factors for the reserve grade because it sits at 8.5 grams, likely yes because controlling – so when you're in an underground mine, you've got stressors that help you and it holds the ground together. When you're mining in a mountain, there aren't confining stressors and you have excessive dilution because it's not held up. And so there's a calibration at Pogo when we're at a certain RL, at a certain height in the mountain, or if we're level with the valley, or if we're below the valley floor. The factors, just gravity, doesn't help us with the confining stresses in that mountain, or if you're actually in confines. So I'm getting into detail here, but this is not an easy answer, and we're going to have to come up with one number, and there's actually 10%. It's going to go up and down. It's going to be multiple factors for multiple mining zones, but you're going to see one number at the back end and it's going to be a very profitable one.
Okay, interesting. Thanks very much, guys.
Once again, if you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Your next question comes from David Radcliffe with Global Mining Research. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning, Stuart and Tim. So my question's on hedging and the hedge book. And if given spot prices where they are, you've given any thoughts to changing the policy given the market's obviously not great today. I saw you had another 160,000 ounces at about a thousand bucks higher than what you delivered to, which is obviously positive. But are forwards really the right way to go? And what is the thoughts here given that the balance sheet is obviously strong and you're now adding ounces past sort of when the KCGM expansion is expected to be delivered.
Yeah, thanks, David. The mark-to-market doesn't look good, but it doesn't mean it's wrong because a mark-to-market is purely... It's never going to be realised as far as you've got a four-year profile, I guess, to spot, and you can't deliver it into spot. So we understand it, but a mark-to-market number is irrelevant, really. the policy is being maintained. So as we deliver into, we potentially add, but we do it strategically. And as you see the profile of pricing lift, I mean, you can get forwards that are an ounce currently, it doesn't mean we fill our boots up. It just means we methodically go through and replace and we stay at or around that 20% of our production profile whilst we're spending capital, whilst we have debt drawn. That's a prudent capital management strategy. We always will look at that policy and view whether that's the right blend going forward. But essentially at the moment it's achieving Yeah, so it sort of sits around, you know, I think the minimum's around 8%, the maximum around 35%. We're sitting around about 20% of our forward production hedged over the four years.
Okay. So it continues on, I guess, post the need for capital at a similar rate, is what you're saying?
Yeah, that's the policy, and we've still got, you know, two and a half years of our FIM build. um and you know some questions earlier asked around a large underground at kcgm that will need capital all these things are viewed in the in the thoughts of um secured returns this this is a very very unique circumstance with where the current spot gold is and where it's come from in in the time frame and we are so well positioned and leveraged to significant cash flows. So our eight, our all-in cost was $2,600 and the spot is $3,600 Australian dollars an ounce. And I think there'll be a lot of gold miners dusting off plans or pits or how do they bring material in at these levels. We already made those decisions years ago and we're already advancing and have spent the capital, developed the mines and have the tap a fair way on. throughout this investment process when people are still evaluating it. And the only way they're going to make those commitments to make those investments is to either draw debt, raise equity, and to do that, they're going to need to put some hedges on to guarantee outcomes or financial returns, because this all was not economic at other levels, and it's very economic at these levels. And hedging for gold miners is an absolute outstanding tool, not offered to other commodities, and we use it appropriately to secure payback periods, guarantee investment returns. You run spot price through our current Fimmerston mill expansion, it takes the IRR to 30%. These are outstanding returns and outstanding outcomes. And forwards, hedging, secures those for gold miners that's not afforded to other quantities. So we love it and we'll continue to use them as we need. Thanks.
All right, brilliant. Thanks for the comment. I'll pass it on.
The next question comes from Daniel Morgan with Baron Joey. Please go ahead.
Hi, Stu and Tim. Just coming back to Thunderbox, is there anything at the mill which suggests an overall design flaw that needs rectification? Will you be able to run it at 6 million tons per annum in 2025? might rectifications be needed in 2025?
Thanks. Yes, they're both, I think. Yes, they're Daniels. We see things that we want to address. Yes, we'll need some modest capital to do that and that will guarantee us those throughput rates. That assessment, those works now, and it reduces risk effectively to deliver that 6 million tonne per annum. So, yeah, we're working through what that work is required, committing to that scope, and we'll give that guidance in FY25.
Thank you. And big June quarter, as is the way. How much of the drivers of this, you know, travel into FY25? So, obviously, this quarter you'll have an absence of plan mill shutdowns, but you've also got very high grades. Is the high grade portion temporary or might it continue? Thank you.
We still have shuts planned as you see us in usually quarter one and quarter three. whether that's by design or by, you know, those mills every six months need a plan. As far as grades, if we're talking about things like KCGM, you know, Golden Pike North, We just end up with more and more material as we free up that and open up the pit floor as the east wall remediation work is absolutely completed by end of June. And we've got free access into that golden pipe north. So that's where that grade there continues. And, you know, Togo, Jundi, Wonder Underground, all these things are, you know, within the cycle. There's no homogenous average grade. It's, you know, up and down and it's sporadic and it's in the mine plan and ultimately it will deliver an average. that's where the growth's being driven.
Thank you so much.
Thank you. No further questions at this time, and I'll hand back to Mr Tonkin for closing remarks.
Great. Thank you very much, everyone, for joining us on the course day, and I look forward to updating you as we continue to advance our profitable organic growth strategy. Have a great day.
