5/13/2021

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Good morning, everyone, from Wellington, New Zealand. Thanks for joining our investor briefing today covering Xero's financial and operating results for the 12 months ending 31 March 2021. As you know, I'm Steve Bamos, Xero's CEO, and I'm joined by Kirsty Godfrey-Billy, our CFO. Before I go over today's agenda, I do want to start by acknowledging that COVID does continue to create uncertainty and challenge for many. So I do hope that you and the people you care about are safe and well. The first item on the agenda is a business update, including a review of our performance during the year. I'll pass then to Kirsty to cover our financial results in detail before I provide an update on strategy and outline Xero's FY22 outlook. We'll then move to Q&A. Now, before I give an overview of the results for the year, I want to make a couple of initial remarks that sum up what has been a unique period. I'm really proud of Xero's people and the way they've supported our customers and each other through this time. We finished FY21 strongly and we enter FY22 with increased momentum and confidence in our long-term strategy as we continue to invest and prepare to capitalise on the significant opportunities ahead of us. So moving on to a high-level summary of our results on slide five. First and foremost, it was pleasing to see growing momentum as the year progressed. after the initial disruption of COVID-19 in the early stages of FY21. Xero's total subscribers increased by 456,000 to reach more than 2.7 million subscribers at the end of March. A more challenging operating environment in the first half was followed in the second half by our best-ever half-year result in terms of subscriber additions, and in fact it was our best-ever March. Many geographies delivered record or close to record levels of subscriber additions. Our performance reflects the value of Xero to our customers. It may well also indicate that cloud accounting and other digital services are seen as increasingly essential by a growing number of both small businesses and their advisors. Overall, the 20% growth in subscribers contributed to a 17% increase in annualized monthly recurring revenue, or AMRR, which grew to $964 million. ARPU or average revenue per user at the end of the year was down 1% versus the prior year period on a constant currency basis and Kirsty will talk more about ARPU in her remarks. Lifetime value increased 2.1 billion or 38% to 7.6 billion. This was driven by the AMRR performance combined with a much lower level of churn and modest margin improvement. Our operating revenue for the year climbed 18% year-on-year to $849 million. We'd also flagged that while price rises and subscriber growth that occurred later in the year are fully captured in AMRR, their impact on our reported operating revenue was limited. Alongside the top-line measures, Xero delivered a strong set of profit outcomes, even though the two halves of the year were very different. We reduced sales and marketing in response to COVID-19 in the first half And as conditions improved, we picked up our spending, which helped drive the highest subscriber additions in the second half. EBITDA for the full year of $191 million increased by 39% from the prior year period. We delivered a net profit after tax of $19.8 million, which was a $16.4 million increase on last year. This includes two largely offsetting one-off items related to the recognition of a deferred tax asset and the refinancing of our convertible note, and Kirsty will talk to these. Free cash flow also increased by a similar degree, rising by $29.8 million to $56.9 million. I'll sum up by saying that while we had an unusual first half, momentum built during the year and the results reflect the ongoing growth of our customer base and the value they place on their zero subscription. We can see this in the churn and customer activity metrics too that I'll cover on slide six, the next slide. The table on the left shows a significant fall in churn, down by 12 basis points to 1.01% over the year. The middle chart shows a steady increase in employees paid through zero payroll since January last year, and this increased 29% from the low point seen in May 2020. The right-hand chart shows monthly invoice payment value has grown by more than 50% on pre-COVID levels. I'll now update you on our operational achievements in the year under our three strategic priorities, driving cloud accounting, growing the small business platform and building for global scale and innovation. So first on slide seven, we have driving cloud accounting. Now, just to recap, This is about growing subscribers and increasing the penetration of small business cloud accounting software. We saw good growth in subscribers across all our markets, and I want to spend a few moments describing how we achieved this. And we'll start with Australia and New Zealand on slide eight. In the first half, Australia became Xero's first geography to pass through a million subscribers, and that was a great milestone. We ended the year with more than 1.1 million subscribers adding a record 201,000 net subscribers. In the first half we benefited from single touch payroll which facilitated access to JobKeeper and we also had an enhanced data plan and continued adoption that we saw by accounting and bookkeeping partners that helped drive subscribers in H2. New Zealand had its strongest net subscriber result in three years with 54,000 net ads We finished FY21 with 446,000 New Zealand subscribers, an increase of 14%. The starter plan enhancements also contributed to New Zealand's subscriber growth result. And as we mentioned in the first half, we saw increased partner channel adoption in New Zealand. This continued in the second half, and we believe it's evidence of the potential for increased migration by late adopters. Operating revenue grew by 12% year on year in New Zealand. Moving on to the international segment on slide nine, this segment performed strongly despite being more impacted by the disruption of COVID-19, especially in our major northern hemisphere markets during H1. We saw a marked recovery in H2 and it was pleasing to see international breakthrough of a million subscribers over the year. We continue to make progress in the UK, adding 107,000 subscribers to grow by 17% and reach 720,000 subscribers at year end. The revised deadlines for the next phase of making tax digital are now coming up in 2022 for the second phase of VAT and 2023 for income tax. We expect this to be a further catalyst for small business digitisation and cloud adoption. Revenue in the UK increased by 22% to $224 million. In North America, we passed a quarter of a million subscribers in half one. In half two, we went on to deliver our strongest ever net ads in a half-year period. For the full year, we added 44,000 net subscribers, growing 18%. In difficult conditions, these results reflect underlying progress from execution of our partner-led strategy in this market. Revenue for North America grew to $57 million, an increase of 2% on the prior year, or 6% in constant currency. This was below subscriber growth, but is largely explained by the absence of Zerocon revenue and the bundling of Hubdoc in FY20. As Hubdoc subscriptions were most concentrated in North America, there was a more pronounced impact to revenue in this market. Our rest of world subscribers grew by 40% to 175,000 and revenue by 27% or 32% in constant currency. In Singapore, we saw good traction with our go-to-market playbook. We now have live bank feeds with all major banks in Singapore, and government initiatives have helped drive the digitisation of small business compliance. We will also launch Singapore dollar billing from mid-July this year. We also acquired a technology solution called Invoici, which complements our acquisition of TicStar by enhancing our local e-invoicing functionality in Singapore. In South Africa, we improved our local product fit, releasing improvements to our VAT solution and launching a VAT e-filing trial. Moving on to slide 10 and our second strategic priority to grow the small business platform. This is really about extending and enriching Xero as a platform to drive customer value and adding new revenue streams to Xero's top line. Platform revenue grew 21% and now makes up 7% of total group revenue consistent with last year. This reflects strong growth from our adjacent products and service-driven income, which was largely in the form of payments. Collectively, these grew at just under 40%. The result also includes a modest second-half contribution from WADL, which was acquired during the year. Other revenues, which includes non-recurring revenue and workflow max, fell by 28% on the prior year, and as we mentioned, the half of these were impacted by the presence of physical events. Now I'll move on to our third strategic priority on slide 11. Building for global scale and innovation is about preparing Xero to realise our long-term aspirations. When it comes to attracting, inspiring and retaining world-class talent, we continue to build and enhance our people capabilities through recruiting and development of our teams in the year. Optimising Xero's operational and financial structure is also a continuous focus. A great example in the period was our convertible note refinancing and use of some of these funds for three acquisitions over the year. We also continued our efforts with integrating and aligning our social and environmental impact activities with our wider business functions. Our efforts in this area are an important element of pursuing Xero's purpose and ensuring long-term trust with our stakeholders. A couple of highlights were working on a plan to evaluate and increase the racial and ethnic diversity of our employees, beginning with North America, being included in the Bloomberg Gender Equality Index for a second year, And further, to our net zero zero commitment, we work certified carbon neutral through the Australian Government's Climate Active Program. We're proud of our progress, but we know there is more to do in this domain. With that, I'll now hand over to Kirsty to take you through the financial results.

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

Thanks, Steve. Hello, everyone. I'm Kirsty Godfrey-Billy, Xero's CFO, and I'll now take us through our financial results for FY21 in more detail, starting on slide 13. To recap, at the start of FY21 and just after COVID-19 was declared a pandemic, we implemented a scenario-based spending and investment plan. This looked to manage the business for a range of revenue scenarios while ensuring continued progress on our strategic priorities. Starting the year with this approach has seen us report strong growth in profitability and free cash for the full year period. However, it's really important to highlight the difference between the two halves. We said at our H1 result in November that a return toward more normal market conditions in H2 was likely to drive a return to positive sales and marketing cost growth. Though a lot of uncertainties remain, conditions did improve in H2, and we found new ways of working that give us the confidence to undertake a record level of investment in sales and marketing for a half-year period. Examples of how we did things differently include focusing more on digital advertising and also holding online events which reached wider audiences. This approach to sales and marketing contributed to the strong subscriber numbers we have reported, particularly in the latter stages of the year. Annualised monthly recurring revenue, or AMRR, increased by 17% versus FY20 to $964 million. When it comes to profitability indicators, EBITDA for the year rose 39% to $191 million. Free cash flow increased versus the prior year period by almost $30 million to $56.9 million. For the year, this is equivalent to 6.7% of Xero's operating revenues. Operating cash flows increased by 31% over the prior year period to $218.6 million. This was again in excess of EBITDA and reflects strong monetization. Investing cash flows, excluding investment and acquisitions, increased by 16%, or $22 million to $162 million, reflecting higher capitalized development spend. The capital generated in the form of free cash in FY21 is a demonstration of zero-SAS-driven business model and the settings under which we operate the business, particularly in the first half of the year. While a pleasing result for this year, it remains our absolute priority to reinvest capital generated by the business to drive long-term growth. On slide 14, Xero's SAS metrics show the strengths of Xero's business model. I'd like to call out the key metrics on the left-hand side. ARPA of $29 decreased by 1% in constant currency is already discussed. This small change largely reflects a shift in mix due to growth within our international segment as our partner-focused strategy gained momentum. ARPU within the ANZ segment increased slightly with the announced price rise in Australia partially offset by some mixed impacts, including the enhanced data plan. As Steve has mentioned, churn fell in the period. Gross margin increased slightly to 86% due to further incremental efficiency gains. Overall, these movements contributed to a 15% year-on-year increase in LTV per subscriber to nearly $2,800. A key driver here was the decline in churn, and this supports our view that awareness of the value and importance of cloud accounting to our small business customers and their accountants and bookkeepers looks to be increasing. Total lifetime value on the bottom right increased by 38% over the year to reach $7.6 billion. adding over $2 billion. CAC months increased from 14 months at the end of FY20 to 14.8 months, reflecting the slowdown in H1, as well as the skew towards our international segment in H2. LTV to CAC increased to 6.4 from 5.8, primarily from the growth in LTV per subscriber, as discussed. Overall, our SAS metrics for FY21 show clear evidence of the value we're creating in both the ANZ and the international segments. On the next slide, starting on the left-hand chart, incremental gains in cost to serve resulted in the gross margin moving up 0.8 percentage points to 86%. When it comes to CAC in the middle, total cost as a percentage of revenue reduced by more than 7 percentage points to just over 36%. This decline was due mainly to our actions in H1, when spend was only 32% of revenue. This shifted to 40% of revenue in the second half, which was more consistent with levels seen in the pre-pandemic period, and was a contributor to the higher subscriber additions. Looking to the right-hand chart, product costs, including OPEX and CAPEX, as a percentage of revenue, increased to almost 37%. This was a five percentage point increase on the prior year, in part reflecting timing differences between investment spend into product and our top line results for the year. Our investment into product is critical to supporting customers and delivering on our long-term product and strategic plans. So in summary, investment spend continued during FY21 with an eye on our long-term aspirations. Sales and marketing, or CAC, was more dynamic and reflected both the conditions and our discipline spending and investment plan. On the other hand, Product costs were a reflection of the multi-year spending plan we have in train to execute our long-term strategy. Moving to slide 16. Here we have our summary income statement for FY21 showing year-on-year changes. Alongside the usual indicators, there are some different outcomes this year that I'd just like to highlight. Operating revenue increased 18% to just under $849 million. revenue growth for the year tracked relatively closely to the 20% growth seen in subscribers, but a couple of factors are worth considering. Firstly, this result was dampened by the absence of revenues from in-person events, such as XeroCon. This had a one percentage point impact on operating revenue. Secondly, the timing of subscriber additions during the second half of the year, particularly the strong addition seen in the first quarter, limits their contribution to the current year operating revenue results, sorry, that was in the final quarter. As I've already called out, gross margin improved versus the prior year period to 86%. Moving to operating expenses, I've already outlined the decision-making behind these trends. The overall flex in sales and marketing spend in H1 saw them falling 2% in the year. Product spend increased by 40% year-on-year as we supported our customers and continued to invest. There are some specific examples of variable costs that have contributed to changes in our expense ratio in the current environment. Advertising and marketing costs increased significantly from the first half to the second. These costs were running at roughly half of pre-pandemic levels in H1, but rebounded to similar to prior year levels in H2. We've mentioned zero con revenues, but associated costs from these events were also absent from our FY21 cost structure. Overall, advertising and marketing costs were down 18% for this year. Travel costs in the first six months of FY21 fell by 99%. As some travel resumed in the second half, travel and related expenses did increase, but only really modestly. For the full year, travel costs were down 97% versus the prior year. These costs would be expected to change further as conditions, border protections and travel practices continue to normalise. EBITDA was $191 million, which is $53 million increase year on year. The EBITDA margin of 22.5% improved by 3 percentage points year on year. Net profit of $19.8 million was $16.4 million higher and included a net $7.8 million negative impact from two largely offsetting one-offs. After demonstrating a history of taxable profits in New Zealand, Xero has this year recognised a deferred tax asset on its accumulated New Zealand tax losses. This, combined with the related benefit from R&D expenditure, has resulted in a $65 million benefit to Xero's FY21 tax expense. This was more than offset by losses in transaction costs related to the concurrent issuance of Xero's 2025 convertible notes and buyback of Xero's 2023 convertible notes, or a $72.8 million drag. Moving to slide 17, total liquid resources stood at just under $1.3 billion at the 31st of March. The main movement in our cash position over the year has come from the convertible note issuance that I'll talk about in more detail in a moment. Our overall liquidity position comprises cash and cash equivalents, short-term deposits, and undrawn committed debt facilities of $150 million. Deducting our term debt liability of $854 million, our net cash position at the end of FY21 was $257 million, up from $111 million at the end of FY20. These figures do not reflect initial payments of $150 million on the completion of our plan day and TICSDA acquisitions, which closed post the period end. Our existing liquid resources adjusted for these amounts continue to support our strategy as we drive the business forward. Before I finish, I just wanted to provide some commentary around the new convertible notes which were issued late last year. This transaction was Xero's largest ever capital raise to date and was a strategic step in optimizing Xero's financial structure to support our strategy. To recap, there were four elements to these transactions. Firstly, the issuance of the new Xero coupon, $700 million US convertible notes due in 2025, with a 35% conversion premium to the share price at the time. These were improved terms on the existing notes. Secondly, the buyback of the existing notes to reduce dilution financed in part from the proceeds of the new notes and the remainder from new shares. Thirdly, unwind of the existing call spread arrangement, which realized proceeds of $77 million. And finally, Dilution of the new notes was reduced through a new call spread at a cost of 57 million US to raise the effective conversion premium to 75%. Net funds raised from these transactions were 408 million US dollars or 577 million New Zealand dollars. When it comes to total interest costs on the new notes, we expect those to be broadly similar to the costs incurred on the old notes but with no cash element. Greater detail on the convertible can be found in our annual report in notes 6 and 15. So to finish, the actions we took from a financial perspective to support the group strategy this year have been significant and have put us in a really strong position. I'll now pass back to Steve to provide some more detail on our other strategic achievements in FY21.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Thank you, Kirsty. So, having given you the update on our operational performance, I'll talk now about progress we've made executing our strategy. Now, our three-year strategy was developed with a 10-year lens to ensure that we do as much as we can now to see the opportunities for growth that we believe will be substantial contributors to our business and success in the future. So, moving to slide 19, I want to start by reflecting on product investments. As Kirsty said, product investments continue to be a significant priority despite the challenges we saw in H1, and they remain an important part of our natural rhythm as a SaaS business. Our product investments are inclusive of everything from improvements in response to customer feedback through to the work being done on a range of opportunities for the long term. During FY21, in addition to the enhanced data plan, we increased functionality and added value for our customers in a number of ways. For example, we enabled our UK accountants and bookkeepers to lodge company tax for their clients directly with HMRC using Xero Tax. We made it easier for Australian accountants and bookkeepers to collect client documents and get digital signatures with Xero HQ using document packs. In Australia, we also delivered tools to help customers assess their eligibility for the JobKeeper wage subsidy, make payments to employees and file the required information with the Australian Tax Office. In the US, we enhanced our local product through the addition of forms and schedules to help accountants and bookkeepers prepare for and file their clients' tax returns. We also continued to invest in the capabilities of our product and technology teams and the reliability, scalability and security of Xero's platform. Moving to slide 20, I want to talk about the acquisitions we made in FY21. This was by far the most productive period of M&A we've had to date. and we really did leverage the capabilities we built and added in FY20. As you know, we announced the acquisitions of Waddle, TicStar and PlanDay. They varied in size from a consideration of up to $25 million for TicStar, $87 million for Waddle and $305 million for PlanDay. The acquisition of Waddle reflects our ambition to continue to grow the small business platform and help solve customers' financial needs by managing their cash flow and accessing capital. We announced this acquisition back in August 2020 and completed it in October. So Waller's contribution is relatively modest at this point. We are progressing a number of connections right now with lenders who share our vision of improving access to capital for small and medium businesses. And for example, we are piloting in-product referrals with NatWest in the UK. In March, we announced the acquisition of TicStar, a provider of e-invoicing infrastructure. We believe e-invoicing is likely to be adopted by more governments and countries around the world. Just this month, the Australian government reinforced its commitment to increasing the awareness and adoption of e-invoicing through their digital business plan. Both TICSTAR and Plan Day were completed on the 1st of April 2021, so they'll contribute to our FY22 results. We expect all three transactions to have an impact on Xero's operating expenses in FY22 that I'll cover in my outlook remarks. If I now move to the next slide, I want to talk a bit more about Plan Day. As our largest transaction today, this acquisition has had a lot of interest, so I want to give you a little bit more colour on how we think about Plan Day's use case and TAM. The acquisition of Plan Day marks a key step for Xero and our entry into workforce management as a category, a new category. This extends a small business platform to better serve employers and their employees. There's more detail on the slide, slide 21. I encourage you to visit Plan Day's website. But I wanted to give you a very simple example of how business uses Plan Day. So let's consider Ingrid, a business owner who runs a cafe employing 15 staff in Frankfurt. Ingrid knows that her business's biggest asset is her team and scheduling staff time can be a headache. She chooses the Plan Day Plus plan and pays €449 per employee user per month or just under €70 every month in total. This gives her access to the platform where she can manage shifts and also work with a bookkeeper to make sure she runs the payroll effectively and remains compliant with local working regulations. PlanDay's mobile app allows Ingrid's employees to communicate easily with her and each other to book or swap shifts and track hours worked. We estimate that across Xero's existing markets, plus those in which Plan Day currently operates, there's a TAM or total addressable market in excess of 100 million employee users of businesses like Ingrid's. Overall, we see a significant opportunity within the workforce management category. Now to the outlook on slide 22. You can read our full statement on the slide, but I thought I'd call out a couple of key elements here and provide some context. Firstly, we are reiterating that we are a business with a focus on growth, and our preference is to reinvest cash generated. This has been an unusual year, and as we've discussed, the two halves were very different. As FY21 progressed, we moved from responding to the uncertainty of the pandemic back towards a growth setting, and we think it's helpful as a result to provide expense guidance to reflect this. For FY22, total operating expenses excluding acquisition integration costs as a percentage of operating revenue are expected to be in the range of 80% to 85%. This is consistent with levels seen in the second half of FY21 and the pre-pandemic period. Integration costs associated with acquisitions announced during FY21 are expected to increase total operating expenses as a percentage of operating revenue by up to 2% for FY22. And as stated before, plan days expected to contribute approximately three percentage points of additional operating revenue growth in FY22. So to close, I wanted to finish my remarks with a quick summary of our position. In a challenging year, we've continued to demonstrate our ability to execute our strategy. We talked you through evidence of that through our strong results and progress on M&A over the year. We continue to deliver sustained growth, adding subscribers, enhancing our core product proposition, and further activating growth opportunities in financial services and adjacencies. We build a business that our customers and partners really value, and you can see that in our total lifetime value of $7.6 billion. What you see today is the result of investments made over many preceding years. The investments we are making today are crucial to the development of the additional growth opportunities we have over the long term. We're always learning and each day getting a better sense than ever of the long-term opportunity and how we capitalize on that. Our capacity to generate free cash flow combined with our capital allocation framework and existing financial resources puts us in a strong position. When we see fit, this gives us the capacity to adapt quickly to changing conditions and vary the pace of our investment spend as we move towards our long-term objectives. Before I conclude, I want to acknowledge and thank the entire team at Cross Zero for their hard work this year. I also want to thank all of you online and on the phone today for joining us and I'll now hand back to the moderator for your questions.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. At this time if you wish to ask a question please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request please press star 2. Please limit your questions to one at a time. If you wish to ask further questions please rejoin the queue. Your first question comes from Paul Mason from E&P. Please go ahead.

speaker
spk02

Hi, guys. The first one from me is about TickStar. I was hoping you could maybe expand on the functionality that gives you, given you already have invoicing capabilities in your key markets, what the extra functionality it's delivering for you sort of is going to provide to customers that they didn't have before. Thanks.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Yeah, thanks for the question, Paul. So, So when we talk about e-invoicing, there's a number of layers to it. There's the application layer, which is about sending and receiving e-invoices in and out of the Xero application or Xero platform. Then there's another layer, which is where TickStar comes to play, and that is the access points. So how and where you and your customers connect into the e-invoicing infrastructure, and then As we see that as important and developing and scaling, we want to make sure that we can expand our e-invoicing capabilities and service with a level of reliability and robustness that we would want. So that's why, given its early stage and a growing area, we felt it was really important for us to go beyond the application layer into that next layer of the infrastructure as well. Thanks for the question.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Gary Sheriff from Royal Bank of Canada. Please go ahead.

speaker
Gary Sheriff

Hi, Steve and Kirsty. A question in terms of subs momentum over the last six weeks post the March year end, particularly around the UK's lockdowns have eased. And secondly, whether or not you've seen any change in the Aussie market as JobKeeper ended at the end of March. Thanks very much.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

So Gary, thanks. The UK performance, I think obviously the first half was very, very challenging. And I think as we saw everywhere, there was a period of adjustment for all businesses. The position we have in the UK market is strong. We have accountant and bookkeeping partners. We've got momentum and a significant position in that market. So I do think the second half really reflected the fact that you know, we got going again, that our accounts and bookkeepers and their clients operated and responded to the changing conditions. And we were able to engage and adapt our working conditions as well to working more remotely and dealing with the challenges of COVID. I mean, it's still challenging in the UK environment, but it was pleasing to see that performance for sure in the second half. In terms of what lies ahead with JobKeeper, look, one of the things that we're definitely observing is And I think it's reflected in the discussion around Churn that Kirsty touched on. We do think there's strong evidence that these SaaS services, online services, the cloud and applications like Xero are more important than ever. And that customers are embracing that and needing them and seeing the importance of them. So that's a real positive effect. In terms of what we can expect in the macro environment as JobKeeper and other assistance rolls off. We'll just have to wait and see. Obviously, we'll take close note of that, and that is one of the macro factors we'll keep our eye on. Thank you. Thanks, Gary.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Kane Hannan from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kane Hannan

Morning, guys. Just on that rebound in your international sub-growth across the board, I'm just interested if there's any comments you can make around whether that snapped back at the start of the half and then gave a pretty consistent sort of run rate, or whether the momentum built across the half to give that record march, I think you mentioned, Steve.

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

Yeah, thanks, Cain. I mean, we, you know, as you've seen, we certainly did have a stronger H2, and, you know, it has sort of ramped up, particularly in that international market throughout the half, and that's where you see the difference between, for example, our sub-growth and our revenue growth, where we've picked up the subscribers by the end of the year and had slightly sort of tailing percentage of revenue growth.

speaker
Cain

Thanks, Cain.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Lucy Hang from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Lucy Hang

Morning, Steve, Kirsty. I guess one question. Just with the FY22 OPEX guidance, so where are you seeing a greater uplift moving forward? Is it mainly in sales and marketing or more so in product development? And if you can maybe give us some colour around, you know, which regions or what type of capability you're stepping up investment in, that would be great. Thanks.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Yeah, thanks, Lucy. Look, I think it's important that we maybe give you a little bit more insight to what we're looking at here. So when we are setting our investment levels, there are a bunch of factors that we really consider carefully. It starts with our strategy and the opportunities we have to serve customers and solve or address the needs of small business customers. And that's very much anchored in those three pillars of our strategy, and we can talk more about that as well. So it starts there. Then what we do is we look at that range of things that we can be doing to help our customers driven by our thinking around strategy and we look at capability. Do we need to build the capabilities? Do we have the capabilities? Do we partner? Do we acquire? Then we look at capacity. Do we have the resources and have we prioritized? So we're always looking at the relative prioritization and the sequence of things because We have a range of opportunities and sequencing them is also a factor. Then you get to things like the stage of development and how much capital you allocate to things that might be in discovery mode versus those initiatives that are in delivery mode. We also look short term and long term and look at the mix of what are the things we're doing to serve our customers' needs now. So obviously in H1 we looked at cash flow, forecasting, business dashboards, and the ability for our customers to access and administer subsidies through payroll. They were short-term priorities that received capital, but we've got many that are more longer-term initiatives that are around the development of financial services, the link of zero workflows to money flows, and also what we're now looking at in extending payroll and expenses into the realm of time scheduling and attendance. So that short-term, long-term dimension. We then also look at the macro environment and consider that and then really tie it together by looking at the economics, the relative return on investment of these initiatives that we can be pursuing and how that plays out then in our overall settings. So it's a very, I think really two things. It's a very disciplined approach. It considers a whole range of factors And there is very strong competition in Xero, given the breadth of our strategy and the size of our opportunity. There's strong competition across a whole range of initiatives where we can allocate capital with confidence that we'll deliver short and long-term benefit, which means new subscribers, it means new revenue streams, and ultimately flows through to ARPU.

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

And I think just, Lucy, if I can add to what Steve says. You know, the outlook specifies that range of 80 to 85, and really where that's coming from is just accepting the fact that throughout FY21, there was a very, very abnormal first half, and so we're just putting everyone's focus back onto the fact that we're, in the future, going to be running our business, you know, back to normal, back to pre-pandemic levels, and that's where we link back to the 80 to 85. Great, thanks.

speaker
Cain

Thanks, Lucy.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Roger Samuel from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

speaker
Cain

Well, hi, Monique. My question is around product investment and, you know, geographies. I mean, can you give us a timeline as to when you can launch your core accounting product in Europe, given that you have closed the transaction for plan day? And, yeah, maybe perhaps this is the reason why you are ramping up your investment and product development because you're entering a new market?

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Yeah, thanks, Roger. Well, a significant part of our investments are always about making sure that we really address the opportunities and the workflows of accounts, bookkeepers and small business in the markets we operate in. And you've seen the progress we've made in the UK with UK tax. We also have continued to evolve and develop our roadmap for North America. And right across the board, in every market, there are opportunities for us to do more. So that's definitely a key focus. We're really pleased about the fact that the acquisition of Plan Day gives us a much stronger understanding and presence of five new markets. And we'll certainly consider that and learn from that as we go forward and consider at what point in time we enter markets in addition to the ones we're currently in. Thanks, Roger.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Elise Kennedy from Jarden. Please go ahead.

speaker
Elise Kennedy

Hi, Kirsty. Hi, Steve. I had a question around your platform revenue and in specifically the payments opportunity. If you can talk to the role that WADL plays in potentially driving the other income line and how and when this will be realised?

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Yeah. Hi, Elise. The revenues and the adjacent revenues around financial services are very much around payments and payables, so making payments and receiving payments at this particular point in time. The WADL acquisition is really aimed at opening up a new opportunity, a new way of small businesses getting access to capital. So it's really moving the invoice financing category, which has been available to larger enterprises for some time. and leveraging the data in Xero and the connections to lenders to open up that category so the invoices that are owed can be turned into a source of capital for small business. So that is a new category. It's an evolving aspect of our business and it's an important element of our plans for connecting Xero workflows with money flows as we go forward. Thanks, Steve. Thanks, Elise.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Bob Chen from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Bob Chen

Good morning, guys. Just a question around the ARPU, how we should think about it longer term. You obviously pushed through some price rises towards the end of the period, but what's the plan going forward and how should we as investors think about your ARPU going forward with the product mix as well?

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

Yeah, thanks very much for the question. Yeah, so, I mean, as you will have noted in FY21, you know, APU did remain pretty stable. It certainly had some substantial FX headwinds in the international sector, and that's why, you know, the differences between 11% decrease in reported numbers or it's only a decrease in 3% in constant currency numbers Now, this in a way was drawn because of the fact that we were shifting more towards the more efficient lower Apu partner channel, which has been the way in which we've been able to really be successful, and particularly H2 through the more troubled Northern Hemisphere international markets. What we also did throughout the year was we continued with our payroll-only solution in Australia, but we also reinvigorated our revised starter product because We felt that that was really required by our customers, you know, those that were starting out, choosing to start up businesses, for example, in a very unusual COVID time. Now, they obviously have headwinds, if you like, on our APU. And so you have a few different mixes going on within the APU where you've got the lower APU products being, you know, growing and being a more prominent percentage, if you like, of our subscription mix. But then you also have the drive of the platform revenue and the adjacent products and services and financial services. And that's where, you know, it was really pleasing to be able to see in FY21 that even though the platform revenue number excluded Hubdoc in FY21, it still stayed consistent as a percentage of operating revenue at 7% year on year from FY20. So as far as the outlook going forward, I'm obviously not going to give you guidance as to APU, but But certainly in the shorter term, we'd still see those swings and roundabouts, if you like, of both the drivers, the lower products, but also the attach of the adjacent products. And I think what's important to remember is that ARPU is actually only one part of driving growth in our revenue. The other part is subscriber numbers. So you really need to ensure that you win the subscriber and then work With that subscriber, you'll be enabled to, in time, also overlay the additional platform revenue. So in the shorter term, I think, ARPU is going to be relatively stable. And then we'll just sort of watch the space as we drive forward.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Rowan Sundram from MSP Financial. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rowan Sundram

Hi, Steve and Kirsty. Just, I guess for me, a question on the gross margins and how should we think about the impacts from acquisitions on that and going forward? Thanks.

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

Yeah. Thanks, Robin. Yes, I mean, we are so thrilled at where we're managing to now hit with our gross margin. I remember, you know, over the last few years, we've been really driving towards getting to 85, and so being able to report 86 is, you know, is a figure really to be proud of. And, you know, as you'd be aware as you're asking the question, that is an incredibly good gross margin percentage when you look at other technology companies that we could be acquiring. And so the chances are that acquisition could, you know, could be at a lower margin. However, depending on the size of them, you know, even though they have a slightly, you know, maybe lower margin initially until we really embed them into our processes and and increase their margin within that acquisition. You know, depending on the size of them, if they're not material to the size of the business, they shouldn't have too much of an impact on our margin going forward.

speaker
Rowan Sundram

Okay. Thanks, Kirsty.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Tom Beadle from UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Tom Beadle

Hi, everyone. Thanks. Just a question just related a bit to Kane and Lucy's questions. I just wanted to dig into the relationship a bit more between your subscriber growth and marketing costs. So, obviously, that subscriber growth is really strong in the second half. Could you talk about what it maybe looked like on a more granular, say, monthly or quarterly basis throughout the half? There was obviously that really strong March, sorry, You know, what gave you the confidence to invest in sales and marketing to drive that growth? Was there any sort of trigger or data that you saw and interested to hear about how these actions influenced your subscriber growth towards the end of the half and how this all might have influenced your CAC months? Thanks.

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

Yeah, Tom, I'll kick off and then if Steve's got anything to add, he can. Yeah, so I suppose, as we've talked around before, this has been a year where we have worked incredibly agilely with managing our cost base. If you think about the conversation we were having 12 months ago, we had a variety of different revenue scenarios and we're really pivoting our cost base based on where we saw our revenue and where we saw the opportunity. And so we've been working incredibly closely with each of the different regional leaders to work with them to ensure that they are correctly receiving the right level of investment to make sure that they are taking the opportunity that they see. And so we did absolutely start to see confidence level grow in the different markets and as our people on the ground and as our regional leaders saw that, then we were able to invest appropriately and that's what we did and that's why we That's why we saw the growth in H2 and we also saw that uptick in spend back to more normal sort of pre-pandemic percentage levels.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Yeah, I think it's spot on. I think one thing I would add is that the marketing investments we make aren't necessarily about the in-month sales. So there's also an element to this of continuing to drive growth longer term, building brand, building awareness and driving growth in the pipeline. So that was another reason was not just our increasing sense of positivity through the half, but also our view that that was going to continue through 22. Thanks, Tom.

speaker
Tom Beadle

Great, thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. You now have a follow-up question from Gary Sheriff from Royal Bank of Canada. Please go ahead.

speaker
Gary Sheriff

Yeah, hi, guys. North America, just trying to get a sense, is the subs growth you're seeing there, is that driven more out of Canada? I just know that you've alluded to traction in the US being hard. I'm just trying to get a sense out of the growth rates between the US and Canada. Thank you.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Thanks, Gary. Look, both contributed in a very positive way. You know, we're executing the playbook when it comes to engaging with accounts and bookkeepers in both markets. Really pleased with the teams we have on the ground in both countries now. And we've also really got our product teams much more strongly connected to the needs of our customers in North America. So we've got a roadmap there that we're progressively working on. So, yeah, contribution from both markets.

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

I suppose just to add to that, Gary, there was certainly a high proportion of based on the larger size of the opportunity that we've got in the US market for that FY21 result.

speaker
Cain

Thanks, Gary. Thank you.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Paul Mason from E&P. Please go ahead.

speaker
spk02

Thanks. This is sort of a related question to Gary's. I've seen in the accounts that you guys have mentioned that you've signed BDO as a global partner. I just wanted to get some colour on how that came about and whether that's something that is a key part of your strategy now, or whether the partner strategy is still largely more driven at the country-by-country, individual level. Thanks.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Thanks, Paul. A lot of the work we're doing is around our continuing to develop and grow our go-to-market capabilities. So if you look at what that means, it means that we're getting much more focused on looking at industry segments and verticals, but we're also looking at the larger firms and the opportunity to partner with them. We have got good relationship with a number of the large firms. BDO in particular has been a very strong partner to Xero for many years. The idea here is that Whilst we still execute very much locally in terms of the partners of these firms and the small business clients they have, the reason for doing this is that there's real value in bringing some consistency to the relationship at a global level and making sure we're very aligned, not just in the way we execute in market, but also explore opportunities to collaborate, do a bit of joint innovation around how we help them develop continue to digitise their practice at the same time provide differentiation to their clients that is in a sense combined with what Xero offers. So it really is something that we are open to doing with others but it's a really good step in terms of moving our focus to enterprise level engagement more so than that very local engagement that's typically characterised our work in the past. It's a pretty natural part of continuing to grow and let's call it to increase the sophistication of our go-to-market capabilities. Thanks, Paul.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Kane Hannon from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kane Hannan

Hey, guys. Just on the M&A strategy and the productive period you've obviously had, Is this the sort of run rate of acquisitions we should be thinking about for Xero, or is this a bit of an anomaly and things might slow down from here? Cheers.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Yeah, look, I think the way that I would look at it is to say that it's not M&A for M&A's sake. We've got a strategy to execute and that driving our strategic initiatives is really a combination of what we do organically and where acquisitions and also partnerships can help us reconsider them. I would just say that we'll continue to assess opportunities in M&A. We'll also continue to explore partnerships as well as execute organically across our strategic priorities and we'll be able to talk about the flow and the key steps there as they come. Thanks.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Gareth James from Morningstar. Please go ahead.

speaker
Gareth James

Oh, hi, guys. Yeah, just on the North America segment, just noticed that between the first and the second half, you had 14% subscriber growth, but I think reported revenue fell by 3%. So I was just hoping to get a bit of explanation behind that. And also, if you could give some guidance on the YALPU outlook for North America also, please.

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

Yeah, so we... I'll start with the first thing. So there was definitely difference between our subscriber growth and also our revenue growth in North America and that was really linked to Hubdoc and also looking at the Lower Apu partner channel and so really if you normalise that, you know, the numbers do get far back, you know, close, far back to being sort of equal on those cases. We also, of course, didn't have zero con coming through for the FY21 year, which we'd had previously as well within the revenue numbers.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Could you add a second part to the question as well? Could you repeat that?

speaker
Gareth James

Yes, sorry. It was just on the ARPU outlook for North America.

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

Yeah, so we don't drive down, Gareth, into APU per particular countries. But as I mentioned before, we have had relatively stable APU for the year. In constant currency, international did fall by a small amount because of the difference in product make going through the partners. A partner strategy is certainly a very important part to us of the North American strategy. And so therefore, that will be reflected in the APU going forward, but also the expectation that we'll be able to drive platform revenue across those subscribers as well.

speaker
Gareth James

Okay. Thanks, guys. Thanks, Gareth.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. Your next question comes from Lucy Hang from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Lucy Hang

Thanks, just a follow-up question. So are you able to talk through the competitive dynamics across some of the key markets, whether you've seen any change or whether the dynamics have remained relatively stable? Thanks.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Yeah, Lucy, I think describing it as relatively stable is not far off the mark. I think I always need to say and do say that across our markets, there's still tremendous opportunity given the relatively lower rates of penetration of cloud accounting around the world relative to Australia and New Zealand. So again, the competition is something that we obviously keep an eye on, but in a developing market, it's a good thing to have others also promoting the benefits of small businesses operating their business in the cloud. Thanks, Lucy.

speaker
Xero

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr Vamas for closing remarks.

speaker
Steve Bamos
CEO

Okay, well, look, thanks, everyone. I really appreciate you taking the time and joining the call and for your support. So thanks, everyone. All the best, and I'm sure we'll be talking.

speaker
Kirsty Godfrey-Billy
CFO

Thank you.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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