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eDreams ODIGEO S.A.
2/28/2024
Good morning, everyone, and thank you all for joining us today for our Q3 fiscal year 2024 results presentations for the nine months ending 31st of December, 2023. I'm David Alarro, the Director of Investor Relations at E3 Sogegio. As always, you can find the results materials, including the presentation and our results report on the Investor Relations section of our website. I would like to remind you that today's presentation will be shorter than the half and full year results, since in the quarterly results, we just have a limited financial review. I will now pass you over to Dana Dunn, our CEO, who will take you through our results highlights.
Thank you, David. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. I'm pleased to be here today and to tell you that the prime model continues to be super successful. with our results speaking for themselves. Once again, profit margins and profits are up significantly due to the strong Prime subscriber growth. Prime members are up 38%. We've achieved record-breaking revenues and a remarkable 54% growth in cash EBITDA over the last 12 months. In addition, cash EBITDA margin further improved five percentage points versus the nine months of FY23. Consequently, our cash EBITDA margin improved from 12.5% in the nine months 23 to 17.5% in the nine months of our financial year 24. We also added 3.2 million subscribers in the last 24 months. We are on target to meet our self-set targets for FY25. And in light of the ongoing growth and reconfirmation of our self-imposed FY25 guidance, we are pleased to announce a share repurchase program of 5.5 million shares of up to 50 million euros. If you can now please turn to slide four, which is a summary of our performance for the first nine months of our fiscal year, 2024. In the nine months of FY24, the strength of the prime model drove strong growth and significant profit improvements again, with record-breaking revenues surpassing the 500 million mark in cash revenue margin for the first time and hitting an all-time nine-month peak of 158.9 million euros in cash marginal profit. We continue to remain confident that we are well on track to meet our FY25 guidance. Some of the key highlights for today's presentation are one, In the nine months of FY24, the strength of the prime model continues to drive strong growth and profit improvements. Specifically, cash EBITDA was up 54% to 88.6 million euros, and cash EBITDA margin gained five percentage points in just one year. Cash marginal profit was up 34% year on year to a record 158.9 million euros. with the cash marginal profit improving by six percentage points over the last year. Prime's percentage share of cash marginal profit reached 78% of the group's total. Our results are mostly driven by subscription. And our free cash flow, excluding non-prime working capital movements, more than doubled from 20 million euros in FY23 to 41 million euros over the 12 months of the third quarter of FY24. The second highlight is that the EDA prime model is now firmly established as a success. In the nine months of FY24, we reached 5.4 million members. That's a 34% increase versus the same period of last year. Prime cash revenue margins significantly improved, which resulted in the prime share of total cash revenue margin increasing from 45% in the nine months of FY23 to 62% in the nine months of FY24. And the growth in cash marginal profit for prime outstripped cash revenue margin. With the increased maturity of our prime member base, cash marginal profit for prime increased by 82% versus the nine months of FY23. And the prime share of the group's total cash marginal profit reached 78% with the marginal profit improved by seven percentage points since the nine months of FY23. The third highlight, year-end guidance and our FY25 guidance. For FY24, we anticipate further growth in prime membership to end the financial year FY24 between 5.75 and 5.9 million members and a range of cash EBITDA between 120 and 122 million euros closing in on our self-set guidance. Today, more than two years on from when the guidance was announced, we continue to be on track or slightly exceed all those targets. Fourth, longer term and beyond 25, we do have strong fundamental growth potential. And that's why the attractiveness of our segment of triageal leisure, that we continue to benefit from the strong consumer demand for leisure. in which there's a clear structural shift from offline to online. Also, we'll benefit from EDO's ability to further increase household membership penetration from low levels in the markets in which we currently offer Prime. And we'll expand Prime, of course, into new markets, going well beyond the 10 that we currently operate in. There's also new customer segments, as well as launching new products and services under Prime. The fifth highlight you'll hear about today is the equity buyback. In light of our ongoing growth and reconfirmation of our self-imposed FY25 guidance, we're pleased to announce that the Board of Directors has approved a share repurchase plan of 5.5 million shares in order to fund the LTIP plans for employees until FY27 for a maximum of 50 million euros. Now let me pass it over to David, who will take you through some of the KPIs of our prime model and the strong growth and significant profit improvements in the nine months of FY24.
Thank you, Dana. If you could all please turn to slide six of the presentation, I will take you through some of the KPIs of the prime model and financial results in more detail. As expected, with the third quarter the lowest in travel demand of the year, the net ads were lower than the previous quarter. However, the run rate required for the next five quarters remains in line with that achieved in the past four quarters. In the last 12 months, we have grown the primary base by 38%. Please turn to slide 7. Profit margins were up significantly due to the growing maturity of prime members, resulting in strong improvements in profitability during the last fiscal year. In the third quarter of fiscal 24, cash margin or profit margin in our prime segment improved by 7 percentage points to 38% on a 12-month basis from 31% in the third quarter of fiscal 23. Cash EBITDA also improved substantially by 6 percentage points, increasing to 17.3% on a 12-month basis from 11.6% in the third quarter of fiscal 23. If you please turn to slide 8. Let me remind you that when looking at prime versus non-prime, we still think it makes more sense to look at our business on a last 12-month basis as prime is an annual subscription business and seasonality impacts the pattern of net ads in a particular quarter. The non-prime part is also influenced by seasonality patterns. Our KPIs reported today show strong growth and significant marginal profit uplift as maturity of our prime members increases. We have reached in the last 12 months a 58% share of cash revenue margin and 71% share of cash marginal profit being delivered from Prime members versus 44 and 56 a year ago. We are increasingly more of a subscription-led business. As we now have a much larger proportion of our Prime members in the second and subsequent years of membership cohort, the level of profitability of Prime continually improves. Please turn to slide nine of the presentation. In the nine months of fiscal 24, we delivered a strong growth in cash EBITDA and substantial improvements in margin as prime membership maturity increases. Looking at the first nine months of fiscal 24, already 62% and 78% of our cash revenue margin and cash margin of profit respectively are not from prime members. This is higher than the 58 and 71 we saw previously for the last 12 months, marking a positive tendency. We are every quarter more of a subscription business. In the nine months of fiscal 24, we delivered solid growth in cash revenue margin, increasing 10% versus the same period last year. This was achieved following the continuing successful expansion of the prime level base. Cash revenue margin for prime rose by 51%. resulting from the 38% growth of Prime members, and as expected, because Prime ARPU, as anticipated and guided, increased to 79.5 euros, converging towards our target of 80 euros per user. ARPU is rising because of the increased usage of the program and value per member. This also results in increased revenue margin because there is an increasing amount of the ARPU recognized. Cash marginal profit and cash EBITDA improved 38% and 54%, respectively, between the nine first months of fiscal 23 and the nine first months of fiscal 24. As guided, the maturity of prime members is the key driver for profitability, and significant and constant membership growth has resulted in sharp profitability improvements as increasing members renew membership. Cash margin or profit margin increased six percentage points to 31% from the nine months of fiscal 24 from the 25% that we used to have in the nine months of fiscal 23. Cash EBITDA margin in the nine months of fiscal 24 also achieved very substantial improvements and stood at 17% versus 12% in the period of 23, a five percentage points advance. Cash EBITDA was up 54% year-on-year to €88.6 million, which compares to €57.4 million in the first nine months of fiscal 2023. Please turn to slide 10 of the presentation. Revenue margin, excluding adjusted revenue items, increased by 13% to €474.2 million, mostly driven by an increase in primary revenue margin, up 67%, following the successful expansion of the prime member base. Prime revenue margin growth was somewhat offset by the non-prime revenue margin, which decreased 23% versus the nine months of fiscal 23 due to both the positive impact of a catch-up of Omicron bookings in fiscal 23 and the focus on the prime side of the business. Variable costs were broadly in line with the nine months of fiscal 23, despite higher revenue margins. as the maturity of prime members reduces the member acquisition costs. Overall, the first nine months of fiscal 24 have seen a continuation of improving trends we saw in the fiscal 23, with significant improvements in profitability as more prime members renew. Fixed costs increased by €12.3 million, mainly driven by higher personnel costs as we scale the business. This is as guided and in line with our plan. As a result, adjusted EBITDA at 55.5 million euros more than tripled versus the same period of last year at 17.2 million euros. Adjusted net income was a loss of 0.2 million euros in the nine months of fiscal 24, substantially better than the 25.8 million loss in the nine months of fiscal 23. This improvement was mostly driven by the 38.3 million increase in adjusted EBITDA, which was partially offset by 12.3 million more of the Spanish tax expenses on higher taxable profits. Turning now to slide 11, I will take you through the cash flow statement. In the nine months of fiscal 24, we ended the third quarter with a positive cash flow from operations of 62.5 million euros, following the successful expansion of the prime member base, which resulted in higher EBITDA. In the nine months of fiscal 24, we had a working capital inflow of 5.6 million euros, again driven by the growth of the business. The lower working capital inflow in the nine months of fiscal 24 versus the same period of last year is driven by the higher increase in volumes between March 22 and December 22 associated with a catch-up effect for Omicron bookings. The volumes between March 23 and December 23 have been more stable. We have ample liquidity. and headroom to deliver our plans, a consequence of our strong business model, cash generation, and active management. At the end of December 2023, the liquidity position was strong at €202 million. We have invested €36 million in the nine months of fiscal 2014, an increase of €9.1 million as we capitalized our software. Cash used in financing amounted to 17.9 million euros compared to 33.1 million euros in the first nine months of fiscal 23. The difference of 15.2 relates to the absence in fiscal 24 of two elements in the first nine months of 23. The net repayment of 11 million euros to the revolving credit facility and the payment of the cost associated with the refinancing of 4.9 million. If we look at full 12-month cycles, our free cash flow, including non-prime working capital, more than doubled from €20 million in fiscal 2023 to €41 million over the 12 months through December 2023. I will now turn the presentation over to Dana to do some closing remarks.
Thank you, David. Let me leave you with final closing remarks before we move to the Q&A session. Please turn to slide 13. More than two years on from November of 21, Capital Markets Day, the business has transformed and we have made significant progress towards our goals. We've completed almost two-thirds of the journey towards our initial target date of March 2025. On the prime membership side, we've achieved 67% of our FY25 target with 5.4 million members. On the cash EBITDA side, we've achieved 64%. We're absolutely on track to meet our guidance of FY25 and have momentum. Beyond this, we're far stronger with a unique and highly valued customer proposition with a far more stable business than is now a subscription instead of transaction business. You please turn to slide 14. I'll conclude with our strong fundamental growth potential beyond FY25. The longer term potential beyond FY25 remains huge. Prime is only currently available in 10 countries. Yet as a transaction model, we're in 44 countries. So over time, we'll expand Prime to many more countries. Also within each country where Prime is currently offered, we're nowhere near the normalized household penetration of Prime. This will provide further growth. Third, many subscription programs evolve into more segmented offers by customer and product segment. And these two provide significant growth opportunities for us. So overall, as you can see, EDU is now a much higher quality business with a pivot to our subscription model. This delivers loyal and repeating customers resulting in more and more profitable and predictable business. We're delivering high underlying profitability and have huge growth potential. It's now indisputable that Prime is a success and has been firmly established. It has delivered significant uplifts in profit margins. That will continue because we have the right model, right people, right structure to seize and deliver on the exciting value-creating opportunities ahead of us. All of this will drive superior returns for shareholders, excellent service for customers, while at the same time transforming and revolutionizing the industry.
Thank you, Dana. With that, we would now like to take your questions. We will answer the questions sent to us in writing the webcast. We will take questions on a first-come, first-served basis. We'll also try to group questions of similar nature. Should we not have time to respond to questions from the webcast, the investor relations team will make sure those are answered afterwards. So now let me go to our list of questions of today. The first question comes from Francisco Ruiz of BNP Paribas Exxon. There are two questions. The first one says, your fixed costs are close to the level of 100 million euros you indicated in your 2025 plan. Can we see an increase in this level next year? Well, let me first talk about the driver of the fixed cost increase. This is driven by what we said was going to be an increase in our development capacity and the company, which was a clear target that we gave back in November of 21. We have been successful at attracting talent. And it is true that in the last quarter, we have in round numbers about 25 million of fixed costs. So, yes, the 100 million euros are likely to be slightly higher. But what is an absolute commitment of the management team is the cash EBITDA, which is one line below, for 180 million euros. So whatever fixed costs that we end up having in fiscal 25, which is likely to be slightly higher than the 100, will be compensated by additional cash margin for profit levels. The second question from Francisco Ruiz is, although it is not an information you usually give, could you tell us your reputation on Prime members has increased compared to previous quarters? You're right. This is not a metric that we disclose on an ongoing basis. What I can say is that there has not been anything noteworthy to mention in terms of material change in the level of repetition of bookings of our prime members. The next question comes from Pratish Rastogi of Faro Wealth. It says, congrats on the results. What will be the cadence for the buybacks? Will you purchase when you think stock is cheap? Or will it be timed with the issuance of LTV rewards for employees? Thank you for your question. In practice, it's actually none of those two, the drivers. The way that the regulation works in Spain, which is not too dissimilar from the U.S., is that there are regulations about how much of the volume you can do on any given day. And we are capped at 25% of the volume of that day. And also in terms of the price that you offer, it is set by the prices at that moment in the market. So we're not allowed to increase the price. And further, the type of agreement that we have with the broker is one that is the most common, but it's used by companies in Europe, which is one in which the broker is totally independent. So we, as a company, we do not determine the speed or price at which the broker buys. The broker is independent, will continue to buy until the mandate is exhausted, either because it has purchased the full 5.5 million or because it has exhausted the 50 million euros of investment. That's the way it works. We as managers do not determine the speed or how much you do on a given day or depending on how the share price is. The next question comes from Abraham Mevora from MAP Capital. Can you please explain the softness in total bookings? While in the very short term, it's a number of prime customers that will affect prime revenue, if prime customers don't book, they will ultimately cancel their prime subscription. Bookings is therefore an important indicator, and it's showing softness being down 2% year-on-year. Would you care to explain these dynamics? Well, we don't disclose the prime bookings. So I don't know where you're getting the 2% that you are referring to. The bookings that we do disclose are the ones on the non-prime side of the business. If I look at the total bookings without giving the answer, because that is something that we consider competitive, and that's why we don't disclose it, the number of bookings from prime members in the third quarter of fiscal 24 are substantially higher than the prime bookings done in the same quarter of the previous year, as you would expect. So, as I said, also as partly as a response to the previous question, we see no material change in the way that the prime members are, let's say, behaving on a regular basis in terms of the number of bookings per year that they do. The next question comes from Guillermo Matheus Antaio from CaixaBank. Hello. Hello. How have prime members evolved over the first two months of 2024? That's not a number that we provide anymore. We actually provide something a lot better, which we had not done in a long time, which is to give a quarterly guidance for the prime members that we expect to have in this last quarter of the fiscal year. And you have our guidance there for a range between 5.75 to 5.9% median prime members as end number for March 24th. And we currently have no more questions coming from the audience. So again, sorry, I'm being told that there are a few questions coming in. I just need to get them on the screen. So if you just give me 30 seconds. The question says, thanks for the presentation. Can you comment on any impact from Ryanair's more aggressive approach to OTAs in terms of your volumes and pricing? And are you having any discussions with them around agreeing to become an official partner like On The Beach or Kiwi?
Let me take that, David. So first of all, let me provide some context. We are one of the largest flight retailers in the world. We are a technology-based company, first and foremost. And the way in which we get content is through many different sources. In part, that's a scale advantage that we have. When you look at some of the deals that you mentioned, like, for example, On the Beach or Love Holiday, those are UK primarily based businesses that focus, you know, almost exclusively on the UK and exclusively on the package part of the market. This is very, very small and very different than the business that we are actually in for it. And we get content through multiple sources in it. Now, clearly, we evaluate, like everything, all of our options for it. And that is one option, one way in which you mentioned. But we have many other options in other ways, given our scale and size.
Okay. Well, again, if you want to ask additional questions, you can always do it by reaching our investor relations team or the email address, which is investors at idrisregio.com. I want to thank everyone for joining us in the webcast. And before we conclude the call, I would like to inform you that on Thursday, the 30th of May, We will be hosting our webcast results presentations for the full fiscal year 2024. Have a very nice afternoon. Thank you very much. Thank you. Bye.