speaker
Conference Operator

Good afternoon. This is the Co-Reschool Conference Operator. Welcome and thank you for joining the In with Q3 2022 Financial Results Conference Call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Fabio Ruffini, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations

Good evening, everyone.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you for taking the time to join us. With me today is Diego Galli, Inuit General Manager. Before we begin, please allow me to draw your attention to the Safe Harbor Statement on page 2. Following some prepared remarks, we will be happy to take your questions.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Over to you, Diego. Thank you, Fabio. Welcome, everyone. It's a pleasure to speak with you today in my capacity as a general manager. Over the past two and a half years, I had the opportunity to be part of an important industrial project, the first tower spin-off in Europe, with a business model enabling protection from macrovolatility due to strong MSAs and highly visible and diversified organic growth, in which is an enabler of digitalization, and we are confident about the opportunity set ahead of us. Mobile data consumption continues to grow, creating capacity needs. 5G rollout is expanding. A technological leap that means more sites, more point of presence, more dedicated coverage for indoor and outdoor. We are an infrastructure partner to customers seeking efficiency network deployment. Through sharing economics, we allow savings in cost and capex to operators. In the current context, this can be an opportunity, and it is confirmed, for example, by the demand we are seeing for new sites. Growth in digital infrastructure is evident, and we are well positioned to capture it. Quite a few variables have changed since our business plan presentation in November 2020. both macro and industry-specific. Overall, the context remains positive with supportive demand. As part of our regular cycle of planning, we intend to provide a strategic update to market in the first quarter of 2023. There is a clear opportunity to further develop our partnership role with operators and to drive another step up in new services. The execution of the business plan will be supported by a renewed board, as we can see on slide four. Since 2015, our business has evolved in a significant way, and with it, in with shareholding and corporate governance. Following the AGM in October, we made a further step towards best practices. Today, our board is composed by a majority of independent directors, and include representatives from the asset management industry, an industrial player, and infrastructure fund. To this, we had a business model with a diversified client base, two tier one anchors, and the role of a neutral host in the market, with unchanged commitment to the execution of the business plan. The main results of Q3 on page five. The trajectory of financial input risk was solid. I would single out plus 9% organic revenue at this level for the third consecutive quarter, double-digit growth in EBITDA with margin expansion, plus 27% free cash flow with leverage down to 5.4 times. API delivery has become less volatile. We deliver more than 100 sites as expected despite the summer months. This is a function of the improved internal site delivery process and progressively shorter permit timing. I would also like the 16% growth in all points of presence. New sites and new POPs are expected to pick up in Q4, based on the current pipeline. Q3 was also a very good quarter in terms of least cost efficiency, despite the effect of inflation and the growing perimeters. leads renegotiation buyout. Transactions are up to 700 and allow us to be almost at the target we set ourselves for the year. The main component of our revenues are laid out in the next three pages, beginning with the anchor 10 on slide six. Anchor points of presence are up 7%, stable as compared with Q2. Over the past year, we added more than 2,400 points of presence, driven by MSA commitments and the need of Tim and Vodafone to roll out 5G in the most efficient way. Demand for new sites continue to be solid. On the common grid front, the past two quarters discounted some operational fatigue. We consider this to be temporary. And based on the visibility we have today, we expect to see a better number starting already from Q4. Anchor and message are an important part of our growth story, both in terms of commitment and preferred supplier role. They are win-win partnership with our clients, benefiting from the sharing economics.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations

Turning to our other clients on page 7.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Point of presence by other clients continue to be up strongly, plus 16% year-on-year. This is one of the highest growth rates in the industry, the result of having added 1,700 new tenants over the past year. Pitch-for-less access clients are confirmed as the main component of this growth. This segment of the market has reached about 10% of broadband connection and needs more mobile sites to add new clients. We expect fictual success players to continue developing their network. The Osmo category was strong as well, particularly within smart metering gateways for utility sector. Our infrastructure services expand and towers become more and more a node of the digital network. Moving to new services on page 8. New services were up 40% year-on-year. This is driven by dedicated coverage projects where darts and repeaters work in synergies with towers. During 2022, the health care vertical has been the most interesting. We cover more than 40 hospitals with a tenancy ratio of 2. There are more than 3,000 locations in Italy which need to be covered by 2026. Corporate headquarters, transportation hubs, entertainment venues, hospitals, stadiums, industrial sites, and public administration buildings. That solution are an answer to a clear need to have best quality connectivity indoor in a context of growing data use in location with high traffic and to enable advanced applications, something that Wi-Fi cannot deliver. There are also evident cybersecurity advantages with DAS. And we are well positioned to capture this growth with Tier 1 anchors and a leading market position. Moving forward, we expect a further pickup in new services. Moving to our P&L on page 9, we already touched upon the drivers for revenue growth, plus 9% in organic growth, with all those clients up by more than 30%. InWit has multiple growth drivers, and they have progressively been activated. For example, we have also been successful in providing additional technical services to clients, and all our prices have been very solid. Margins continue to expand, with EBITDA after lease reaching 69% when excluding one-off severance costs booked in Q3. On the cost side, we are not seeing any unusual pressure. Lease cost efficiency goes on, and lease costs were contained. notwithstanding the growing asset base and the inflation linked in leasing contracts. As a reminder, our business model benefits from inflation, since 1% inflation means more than €5 million a bid after lease, and it is protected from energy costs, since they are a pass-through. Current impact of inflation is limited, since we are applying on revenues last year 1.9% average figure. As you know, This will be a material impact from 2023 onwards. Now on cash flow on the line 7. Recurring free cash flow generation in the quarter was strong at more than 120 million euros, up 26% year-on-year for a cash conversion ratio of 62%. This is a structural feature of our business model based on limited recurring capex and the neutral net working capital cycle. and highly secured growth capex below the recurring free cash flow line. In line with guidance, we expect recurring free cash flow to accelerate farther in Q4. Leverage came down to 5.4 times, on track to be further reduced into year-end. We progressively create balance sheet flexibility. In the second half of 2023, we expect leverage to fall below five times. In terms of capital allocation, we share the framework with priorities for cash deployment within a leverage corridor of five times to six times. The application of the framework necessarily takes into account external factors, such as financing conditions and market prices. In the current context, we need to be more cautious when we look at inorganic growth, and there are options available to us which are more organic APEX, and additional shareholder remuneration. It is fair to say that on a relative basis, today the attention is more on those rather than on M&A. 2022 guidance, as well as the recently improved business plan guidance, are confirmed. The figures you see in the page are based on inflation scenario of 6.5% in 2022, 1.9% in 2023. Higher inflation would mechanically add up to our run rate. Inuit can deliver highly secured organic growth, strong margin expansion, and compelling shareholder returns. This culminates in more than €700 million recurring cash flow in 2026. Zooming in on 2023, we are confident in-width growth will accelerate further as compared with 2022. MSA commitments will step up with more size. All the volumes are more visible, and OTMO will continue to develop. We will further expand certain verticals in dedicated coverage. On top of this, we will benefit from 2022 inflation particularly on MSAs which don't have a cap. So, 2023 is set to be a year of double-digit growth with high degree of visibility. A few final remarks on page 12. The results of the first three quarters demonstrate that in 2022, we are beginning to reach the benefits of the industrial logic of today's English. Italy is a market where there is the need to complete and improve mobile coverage and lags behind other European markets in terms of digitalization. In this context, it has specific advantages in the form of the best assets in the market with the leading market share, strong MSAs, multiple sources of growth, clients and products. and technological expertise, which position it well for the future of the tower companies. Towers are evolving into a key node of the digital ecosystem, behind the role as real estate or passive-owned infrastructure. And we are well positioned even in the current environment, where macro-volatility is elevated, and the telecom industry is looking at efficiency in cost and capital. We are confident to be able to thrive in this context with downside protection and growth opportunities and look forward to updating you on our progress. With this, I thank you and we are now ready for the Q&A session.

speaker
Conference Operator

Excuse me, this is the Coral School Conference operator. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and 1 on their touch-tone telephone. To remove yourself from the question queue, please press star and 2. Please pick up the receiver when asking questions. Anyone who has a question may press star and 1 at this time. We will pause for a moment as callers join the queue. The first question from the English Conference School comes from Giorgio Tavolini with Intermonte. Please go ahead.

speaker
Giorgio Tavolini
Analyst, Intermonte

Hi, good evening and thanks for taking my question. I was wondering if you can elaborate more on the delay or reduction in the 5G investments. And if you can comment more on the impact from the IR CTI on your anchor payment P&Ls, if you can comment. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thanks, Giorgio. Yeah, we are aware of the rumors about slowing the FEDG investments and the challenges that our customers have in this current environment. Though the MSA structure is very clear, and so it's supported by the clear framework, and we do see demand for new sites actually very strong. And it's actually more up to us to satisfy the demand as fast as possible. So we do see our customers showing and pressuring us for new sites, as well as progressing on the new tenants on existing sites, in some cases with, as we said, some operational fatigue, which is more in terms of execution rather than strategic choice. Let me also say that as we do see our mission is really to support the anchor tenants as well as all the customers in the market, supporting their network deployment to be efficient and effective. So this is the mission of our company. So in this context where clearly the pressure on our customers is high, it can also offer some additional opportunities for us to create additional opportunities again to support them to deploy in an efficient and effective manner through their network, also through the optimization of OPEX and offload of GAPEX.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations

Many thanks.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yeah, sorry, I'm not sure I did reply entirely on your point related to the CPI. And again, on that one, the contractual clauses in the MSA is clear and straightforward, and we don't expect any contractual revision.

speaker
Giorgio Tavolini
Analyst, Intermonte

Okay, clear. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from Andrew Lee with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andrew Lee
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, good evening. Thanks for your comments, Diego. And it's interesting that we've had two tower companies in one day basically step away largely from any interest in acquiring or in doing M&A within Europe on the tower front. Just wondered if you could maybe elaborate on your thinking as to why it's less attractive now. I think you mentioned financing, maybe pricing as well as an issue and how we should then therefore think about how you balance a more cautious approach to gearing, which you mentioned, and shareholder returns versus organic capex. I appreciate that there's multiple strands to that question. Second question was, hopefully much shorter and briefer, which is just on the land leases. They were down a percent year on year in the second quarter, and obviously they're flat now. As you mentioned, inflation linkage kicks in. Have we seen a full quarter impact from the inflation linkage in the land leases this quarter? Therefore, how should we think about land lease trends in Q4 and into 2023? Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yes. With regard to capital allocation, we confirmed the overall framework. The point is about the application of the framework and the criteria we set as part of the framework. And in the current context, how can I say, the application of the framework has to consider the fact that the cost of debt is significantly higher. And for Inuit, actually, the M&A would be in 2023 actually financed by the additional debt. So this is one factor. So that would be simply more expensive than before. The second element is looking at current valuation and the valuation gap between public versus private. makes the scenario more challenging than some time ago. So the two considerations actually brings us to have a more cautious approach that, I mean, clearly we will continue to monitor and assess, but that's the likelihood to meet the criteria we set is clearly less. Let me also put in perspective the fact that we We are and we want to explore further opportunities for inorganic growth in sort of inorganic, let me say, or additional investments in the local market, opportunities to partner further with the ANCORs or to accelerate on the land buyout. So there are opportunities which are compelling where actually is at this stage more, the most of our focus. The overall balancing between shareholder remuneration and acceleration on investment will be driven again by a logical approach, and I think clearly the ability of the management to identify additional investments with compelling returns, so significantly higher than cost of capital, will be clearly an important input for the decisions. On ground leases, yes, in Q3 we have seen actually a different trajectory and we have seen the impact of the inflation. The inflation on ground lease cost has been faster than on revenues because particularly in MSA you may remember that in the current year inflation is 1.9% and there is the mechanism whereby actually 22 inflation will be fully reflected but starting from 1st of January, 2023. While on groundless cost, there is a progressive update on inflation based on the due date of the contracts. So, the impact has been faster and will be completely offset starting in January when we will see the full impact, the full benefit of revenues. Having said that, the impact has been significant and in Q4, actually, we do expect a stabilization of groundless cost. So what we have seen in the last two quarters will stabilize in Q4. And next year, we will see clearly the three dynamics, not only the continuous benefit of the efficiency initiatives, but also the impact of the grower base and the inflations. So I think that overall ground risk cost will be to be assessed in combination of revenue growth. As far as efficiency targets, we are well in line. Actually, we've been a little bit faster. And last comment is actually to highlight probably the mix of intervention, of actions, of transaction will change a little bit. We have run really a lot on the renegotiation initiatives, which will slow down a little bit in the next quarter, while gradually we will see more asset, more buyout coming through. Okay.

speaker
Andrew Lee
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you very much for the cover. Welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from Roshan Ranjit with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Roshan Ranjit
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for the questions. Just got two, please. Diego, going back to your comment earlier on about a pickup into Q4, I think you've previously said organic sites for the year should be around 500, organic site ads, sorry, should be around 500. Are we still thinking around that figure, which implies quite a big Q4? And I guess coupled to that, previously we were thinking the anchor would accelerate their pop at. And I think we saw that slightly this quarter. But it seems to be that the OLOs have now slowed down. Is there anything going on there that will be useful to know? And second question, just related to the previous question, you highlighted a change in the shift of buyouts versus negotiations. And I think the long-term target was around 20%, if I'm not mistaken. Is it possible to update us on that number where you think percent of sites owned can now go? Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

It's an option. Yes, starting from the first, the number of sites, yeah, it's confirmed for year-end at about 500. I was happy for the quarter last quarter. We delivered 110 sites. That is actually more than the double of last year. Last year in Q3, we delivered 50 sites only. Now we did 110. That is an important step up. Last year in Q4, we delivered 170 sites. So, actually, there are all the conditions that we do see the pipeline to reach the 500, which would mark a positive improvement compared to last year, and would be also important to enter next year, where we do expect a further acceleration. With regard to the new tenants on existing sites, yeah, on OLO, we are On Anchor, we are basically stable in about 500, 550. There is potential to do more. We do see the different steps of the pipeline, a good number. The process to go through the pipeline is taking a little bit longer than expected for the operational fatigue in the execution, in the operational activities. So we do think that this can go a little bit up already starting from Q4. With regard to the other customers with the holos, fixed wireless, MNOs, and utilities, actually we are, in the second quarter, we are very close to 500. That's a good number considering that still the contribution from MNOs is quite limited. So we need to put in the perspective that the potential business with IEA does not come through. So actually this is a number which is mostly driven by fix for less access, which is very interesting, and as it has been for the last quarter, but also complemented by this new kind of customers, which are the utilities. where at economics, similar to Pitfall's success, are picking up, and we do expect this to continue in the future. So we think it's a good run rate. Again, we'll go better in Q4. We'll be higher in Q4. But the real potential and further opportunity here, as discussed at length in the past, is the resolution of the dispute. And at that point in time, all those will be better in number and clearly in value. The last point is about buyouts. Yes, let me say the aspirational target of 20% is still there. is we are moving gradually to that relatively, let me say, not pushing too much. It's really, and we don't want to push, let me say like that, because the market is very easy to hit up. So we need to manage it carefully. But yeah, we intend to do a little bit more in the next quarter.

speaker
Roshan Ranjit
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Great. That's very helpful. Thank you. Welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from Jacob Bluestone with Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jacob Bluestone
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. I just had one, please. I was just interested, I mean, when you talk about capital allocation, you mentioned M&A as well as investments and shareholder remuneration. What about debt buybacks? I think your bonds are trading at sort of 80 cents in the dollars, so buying back debt using other sources of liquidity could deliver you. Is that something you would consider, or is that not really on the radar?

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations

Yes, thanks, Jacob.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yes, the buyback is an option as part of the chapter of additional shareholder remuneration. I think that the, so I was, yeah, coming back, coming to your point, the, yeah, so the debt, debt buyback, yeah, it's, we are assessing it, we are considering it. It's not particularly convenient in these days, so it's, Yeah, it's an option we are considering, but it does not appear to be convenient. And we need to consider the right level of the leverage, because anyway, we need to consider that we will keep on the leveraging significantly quickly, and we will be net cash positive starting by the end of 2023. That is another element to put in the equation. So As I think we said already in the past, I think we are in a situation where we are in the condition to assess the different options, to calibrate them. We don't have any pressure in terms of timing. What is key is that we keep on the leveraging. We are approaching the time when we will be next-edge positive, and then clearly we will monitor in the next continuously how the market conditions will evolve.

speaker
Jacob Bluestone
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you. That's helpful.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from Sam McHugh with BMPXN. Please go ahead.

speaker
Sam McHugh
Analyst, BMP XN

Hi, Diego. Two quick questions. First on interest costs. The euro board is up about 200 bits in the last six months. and you have about 600 or 700 million of floating debt. I think it's about 13 to 15 million of extra kind of run rate interest. I was just interested if you could kind of outline how much of that will hit the cash flow this year. Is it kind of a two, three million and then another 10 million headwind next year? A bit of a detail on the timing of the credit facility payment. And then secondly, on the ground leases, I think you said you're expecting to stabilize in 4Q. I was just wondering if you meant quarter on quarter, year on year, P&L, lease costs, cash lease costs. What specifically were you talking about? Thanks very much.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yeah, thanks, Sam. On interest costs, the U.S. photon is about a couple of million in the next quarter, between 2 and 3, and about 10 million in the next, in 2023, based on the current rates. With regards to ground risk costs, yes, it was stabilization quarter of quarter. Thank you.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations

Great. Thank you very much.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from Fabio Pavan with Mediobanca. Please go ahead.

speaker
Fabio Pavan
Analyst, Mediobanca

Yes, good evening and thank you for taking my questions. Actually, if I may say a very quick one. First one is when you will be asking your strategic update, you should expect also an updated guidance to be share with the community considering the board composition has changed or is it just kind of strategic update? Second question is again with let's say focus on the governance was wondering if the new board members have managed to discuss about the implementation of the European Remedies and if there is any news on that front. And finally, a quick follow-up on the debt side to confirm you don't have any need for refinance before 2025. Thank you very much.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yes, thanks, Fabio. Starting from the first one related to the strategic update is an update. The business plan targets are confirmed. The update will take into account the changes in the context, I mean, inflation, interest rates, the 5G recovery funds, the Open Fiber Project. So, The business plan is confirmed and will be updated in a context that we do see being positive. So we remain positive about the overall scenario and the role we continue to play in supporting the operators developing their plans in an efficient and effective manner. Yeah, that's with regards to the first question. The second question on the remedies, there are no specific updates. You know well the story. I think we have no specific update, but what just we can say is that we can, it's clearly we are, an actor which has limited levers that can be played. But as stated already in the past, we think that it's rational to think that a solution will be found, a solution that will balance the interest of all parties involved. With regard to the last question, which is related to the debt, Yeah, the first maturity is by 2025, so we don't have any due date in the short term, so no obligation in the short term.

speaker
Fabio Pavan
Analyst, Mediobanca

Thank you very much. Thank you. You're welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from George Yerodiakonou with CTE. Please go ahead.

speaker
George Yerodiakonou
Analyst, CTE

Yes, good afternoon. I've got two questions, please, both follow-ups from some of the previous questions. The first one is around, I think Giorgio at the beginning talked about the relationship with the ANCOR tenants. I just have two questions on that. Firstly, on timing, whether you plan to perhaps engage with them to come up with perhaps a new framework agreement before your update in Q1 next year? And then secondly is just to understand what kind of extra services you are looking into adding as part of any discussions you have with them. Are we talking more about maybe adding some of their, you know, motorway, whatever other assets they had, which you acquired already from one of them? Or is it more an idea of perhaps moving into active components of the network and having a more central role within the network strategy? My second question is just on your comment around leverage and more focus on shareholder returns and maybe acquisitions in Italy than anything else. Can I also ask whether you are at all thinking of maybe being more towards the very low end of the range, given the market conditions, rather than more in the middle? I'm just curious if it's just the allocation or maybe you are thinking of being a bit more cautious on the actual leverage as well. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yes, thanks, George. In terms of relationship with our anchor tenants, there is a continuous commercial discussion, a relationship. There is no plan, nothing about change of the framework agreement. It's a continuous discussion about the services provided. which are continuously provided and additional opportunities. Clearly, as part of the planning cycle, our planning cycle, as well as their planning cycle, this conversation will be a little bit more frequent in the next month to bring us to the plan. But again, all this in the framework of the commitments which have been defined in the framework of our role of preferred supplier, which is clear, and keep on exploring opportunities to develop further business. And actually, this conversation goes across the spectrum you mentioned from, let me say, limited potential transfer of assets. We think that the transaction we did with Vodafone on the highway tunnels was a good example, and we would like to do more of those. It's a win-win approach where we can take assets and make them shared assets to benefits of both the anchor and us. So for those, we will try to do more of those. Also, for the medium-long term, we are potentially thinking about, interested about extending our perimeter and extending our competencies as well. the evolution of the network towards open run and the need of efficiency for the operators may help the industry to transition to a model whereby the passive infrastructure operators do a little bit more in the value chain. So that one would be consistent. We are happy to explore and considering it for an additional opportunity. With regard to leverage, let me say we set the corridors between five to six, clearly in terms of there is a timing opportunity, a timing window, actually, where, yes, we may be closer to five or around five for a little bit longer than expected or originally planned. Particularly thinking again about the cost of additional capital, additional financing, and thinking about the fact that we will be net cash positive by the end of 2023. So there may be a logical thinking where we can be closer to five for some quarters and then re-leverage when maybe the market, the debt conditions will be better. They will be complemented by positive cash generation.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations

Very clear. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from Luigi Minerva with HSBC. Please go ahead.

speaker
Luigi Minerva
Analyst, HSBC

Yes, good evening. Thanks for taking my two questions. The first one is a follow-up on the capital structure and the capital allocation. Thank you, Diego, for clarifying that the framework is confirmed and also the leverage corridor. I presume that one thing that is different in current market conditions is that you wouldn't re-leverage up to pay a dividend or in a similar way as you wouldn't leverage up to fund M&A because of the debt market conditions. So eventually I think there will come a time probably in early 2023 where you would have to give clear indications whether the extra cash flow will be distributed to shareholders or used for organic growth opportunities. So, I mean, the question is essentially, you know, given the limitations from the debt market, should we expect a clear guidance in early 2023 about whether the extra cash flow will go towards organic opportunities or shareholder distribution? And the second question is simpler and it's about the electromagnetic emissions legislation. I know it's very early days with the new government, but I was just wondering whether you've heard anything from the new counterparts in governments on the topic. Thanks.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations

Yes, thanks Luigi.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yeah, clearly the capital allocation will be a topic which will be discussed and presented in the strategic update in February. I think that today we have made, let me say, a step and will be a little step in clarifying the direction and the preference in these days as the relative preference has shifted and clearly the relative weight, the relative interest for M&A is clearly more cautious. So that is what I would comment with regards to the first question. The second question was on the EMF limit. Yeah, it's early days for the new government. The previous government, as you may remember, was very close with the commitment from the digital minister to change them, to lift them by the end of August, but the government didn't have enough time to bring that to conclusion. As we all know, I think the The lift would make sense, particularly in this historical phase where there is the need to accelerate investments in the recovery funds, the next generation EU funds, a context as well. So the rationale is still valid. And let me say that in other fields we do see the government making decisions giving some direction, for instance, for the oil, the offshore drilling. We will see. We will keep on doing our job to keep this topic alive and to bring it to the attention to the government.

speaker
Luigi Minerva
Analyst, HSBC

Thank you so much. You're welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from David Guarino with Green Street. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Guarino
Analyst, Green Street

Thanks. Two questions for me also. The first one, with the rising cost of materials that are needed to support your CapEx plan, I was a bit surprised to see you guys maintain your longer-term guidance. So does that mean you're reducing the amount of projects to offset those high costs, or are you just seeing less cost pressure maybe than we're seeing on our end? And then the second question is, You've been clear about this, I guess, for a few quarters now, but there's more measured pace of lease renegotiations or buyouts just because of a concern that the market might overheat. Could you just elaborate a bit on how that overheating scenario might play out? Does that mean landlords, they start talking to each other when in with active in the market? I just want to try to better understand what causes the prices you might pay to actually rise. Thanks.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yeah, with regards to the cost of material, we have seen a spike actually at the end of last year, beginning of this year on materials for new sites in particular. um and then it came down a little bit we overall um have an impact on on capex in a range of five percent of the overall capex capex envelope so we are facing some impact but not not i would say significant and the overall the the raw materials prices which are relevant for us are more stable than a few quarters ago. And with regard to the groundless cost, the market, we have the benefit to be in the market where there are plenty of small landowners. But actually, in the market where here and there also come some land aggregators, And what is delicate is not bringing the market to pay higher multiples because actually, yes, then the market becomes quite transparent. So it's really play it in a smart way when finding deals which are, by the way, strategic sites for us and good multiples or with partners, with sellers, which are, can I say, genuine partners more than, how can I say, speculators, which may also then speculate on other deals. Yeah, I hope I did. Was it clear?

speaker
David Guarino
Analyst, Green Street

Yeah, no, I think that's helpful. Appreciate it.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from Stefano Gamberini with Equita. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Stefano Gamberini
Analyst, Equita

Good afternoon, everybody, and Diego, congratulations for a new role as managing director of the company, and good luck. I have a Also to your question, if I may, could you elaborate a little bit more about the new POPs from our containers? These new POPs slowed down in the last two quarters. You expect to pick up next year, but you have a target of 11,000 new POPs by 2023, and this couldn't be reached, probably. Could you give us an idea, considering that now revenues are up 7%, if I'm not wrong, penalties for anchor tenants will start if they do not reach a certain level of revenues, what could be right now the level of new POPs they should install by 2023 in order to avoid penalties in the contract you have with them? The second question regarding, in general, FWA, if I'm not wrong, the average revenue for an FWA was in the region of 3,500 euros per POP. versus the 10,000 US for the MNOs, clearly excluding the young co-attainants. Is this figure still working, or are you able to increase in the last quarters, and also do you expect the same in forthcoming quarters, the average spending, or the average cost, sorry, for a new pop from FWA, thanks to a series of services or some other improvement in the contacts in order to reach the target you spent for 2023 Boards of Revenue and EBITDA. Thanks.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks Stefano.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

With regard to the first question, yes, KPIs have been slightly below the trajectory of the previous quarter and the target, the plans are there. It's a question of timing. So they are taking more time to get through. In the meantime, we compensated the lower KPIs with other sources of revenues, including other services. So let me take it also from the upside point of view, that when the the KPIs a little bit later, but we'll come through. We'll add up to the other sources of revenues which we have been able to develop in the meantime. Just to confirm again that the pipeline and the demand and the overall plans are still supporting the plan targets. It's just a question of phasing and timing. With regard to pictureless access, Yeah, the prices are still around that level. It's a price which is related to the electromagnetic space utilization. And let me say that in relative terms, it's really convenient for us. Those are equipments which are quick to be installed. They take low space. And yes, prices are holding up. and volume as well are at a high level, and we do expect volume to be high also in the next year. Let me say just the only fixed-wallet access exception to the average will be the open-fiber rollout and the open-fiber projects where actually doing those is related to new sites as well, so actually the prices will be higher and to allow and to support the proper return on the investments of the new sites. Thank you.

speaker
Stefano Gamberini
Analyst, Equita

Just a quick follow-up on this topic. You said we expect an acceleration, still very high, FWA in forthcoming years. Does it mean at least to reach these 500 POPs per quarter or 2,000 POPs per year? per year as FWE also in forthcoming years?

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

We think that on the HOLOS, actually, yeah, we will stay at this level with the opportunity to do more as soon as also the MNOs will contribute. Thanks a lot.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from Jerry Delis with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jerry Delis
Analyst, Jefferies

Oh, yes. Good evening. Thank you for taking my questions. First question, you mentioned earlier that it's inconvenient to look at buying back your debt, at least at the moment. I just wanted to try to understand why that might be. I mean, is it really the case that with your debt yielding 5.5%, you just simply see better ways of investing that capital, in which case there would possibly not be any situation in the foreseeable future where you would look to buy back your debt. And then my second question was, you know, in relation to the leverage corridor, you've obviously talked about five to six times in the past. I'm not exactly clear. Are you reconfirming that that five to six times leverage corridor won't change when you deliver your strategic review in Q1 next year. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

No, thanks, Gerry. And the first question allows me to be more clear, actually, because we in 2022 is not generating net cash after the capex and dividend payments. We will be net positive start by the end of 2023. So this means that repaying debt requires additional debt to finance it. And then there is the arbitrage between the two is not, as far as we have assessed, is not convenient. The second point about the corridor, yes, the policy still holds. We think that there's a policy between five to six times makes sense. And that's the policy, and then, yeah, so it is confirmed.

speaker
Jerry Delis
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, thank you very much.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is from Fernando Cordero with Santander. Please go ahead.

speaker
Fernando Cordero
Analyst, Santander

Hello, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my only question. You have already discussed that the M&A approach today is tougher considering the rates and rate situation. I would like also to discuss at which extent you are also seeing or you are requesting, sorry, high returns for the organic growth topics in that sense. Historically, you have talked or you have discussed the 10% internal rate of return project, internal rate of return project. for the organic growth investments. Is that 10% still valid? Are you looking for higher returns considering the current situation?

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thanks, Fernando. Actually, yes, we have a policy of minimum return of double-digit IRR, and we keep it as a floor, honestly. We are not updating it. These are investments with long, long, long, long time perspective, long time horizon. And, yes, we do think that having the policy of a minimum of double-digit return makes sense.

speaker
Fernando Cordero
Analyst, Santander

Okay. Very clear. Thank you. Welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator

The next question is a follow-up from Giorgio Tavolini with Intermonte. Please go ahead.

speaker
Giorgio Tavolini
Analyst, Intermonte

Just a follow-up. I was wondering whether in the current environment you are seeing particular initiatives from your clients to reduce energy consumption of their active equipment. We read about the Iliad switching off some equipment overnight, and if so, if you see scope to collaborate with them in providing support in these initiatives? And in particular, if there is a clear relationship between energy costs and the current restrictive electromagnetic limits in Italy. In particular, if so, if you see this a good point to rediscuss the electromagnetic limits in Italy. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yeah, thanks, Giorgio. Yes, we... We are exploring options with the customer to support them in reducing the energy, the energy consumption. So we are trying to identify options, and we are thinking and working with them on those. With regard to the... EMF and energy link, actually, no, we are not aware. We may follow up, but we are not aware of any direct link between the EMF limits and energy consumption.

speaker
Giorgio Tavolini
Analyst, Intermonte

Many thanks.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator

Gentlemen, there are no more questions registered at this time.

Disclaimer

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