speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

Good morning, this is the Course Call Conference Operator. Welcome and thank you for joining the INWIT full year 2024 results and strategic update conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Fabio Ruffini, Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Development. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Development

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. As usual with me today is Diego Galli, Inuit General Manager, and Emilia Trudu, CFO. Before we begin, please allow me to draw your attention to the Safe Harvest Statement on page 2. And following the brief presentation of the results and the 2025-2030 business plan, we will open the floor to questions. Now, over to you, Gabriele.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thank you, Fabio. Good morning, everyone. In today's session, we share a solid set of fiscal year 24 results with revenues up by 8%. An updated view of the product context and reference markets, new financial targets to 2030, and an optimized balance sheet. INWIC is about to turn 10 years old, and the industrial logic at its core is confirmed. The tech industry is in a challenging moment, and neutralized players can help, leveraging on sharing economics to deliver investments in digitalization in the most efficient way, creating value for all. INWIC is unique in this regard. Unlike most tower companies, We build towers from the ground up with a true industrial approach, and we have two anchor tenants. As a result, the business model is more efficient and allows for disciplined capital deployment at attractive rates of return. This is evident in the targets we share today. 6% EBITDA growth per annum to 2030 for a 78% margin. Tenancy ratio of 2.6 times. 1.5 billion euro capex of two-digit unlevered IRR. 400 million euro in share buybacks with focus on 2025. 5.2 times leverage by year-end via a 200 million euro special dividend. And more than 1.5 billion euro of residual headroom to add layers of value creation. From an industrial perspective, we see the most compelling opportunities in new towers, both for coverage intensification and the push on co-location. Expansion towards smart infrastructure, like DAS Indoor, IoT, and large connectivity projects. And real estate efficiency, where we will do two main things. Double the current rate of land ownership. and use land at the base of the towers for solar energy production. Actionable industrial areas of value creation, which build on specific track records. Beyond that, keeping a disciplined approach to capital allocation, we see today buying back in with share as a very accretive use of capital. Let us now move to the quarter and fully resolve. I would highlight another strong set of industrial KPIs with more than 900 new sites in the year and 270 in the quarter. Tenancy ratio improving further to an industry-leading level of 2.3. 9% growth in EBITDA with margin going up by 1 percentage point. And leverage stays flat despite the execution of a share buyback and 100 million euro extra dividends. 2024 was very busy from a commercial perspective. We developed further the indoor coverage connectivity market through dust technology in a number of verticals. We added major projects like Rome 5G, Sierra Milano, and the Milan Underground. This resulted in nearly 50% growth in smart infrastructure revenues, and the addition of several iconic locations to our portfolio. We also made progress on the ESG front, further progress, continuing to integrate sustainability in our business. And we were pleased to see that the efforts are recognized by independent experts. In summary, in a context of transition for the industry, INWIT continues to display a resilient growth trajectory and growth the asset base, affirming our leadership. We continue to support clients in their effort to improve the mobile network and stand ready to capture additional growth opportunities. Let us now skip a few pages to slide 11. In this page, we show the industrial and financial progress of Inuit over the past few years. We added almost 300 million euros in revenues, growing high single digits. Marketing construction revenues up more than three times. Cash flow was up in the double digits. Nearly 3,000 new towers, tenancy ratio moving from 1.9 to 2.3, land ownership more than doubled. All of this translated in a growing return on capital employed at nearly 8%. confirming the soundness of Inuit business model with visible impact of our investments already in terms of cash flow generation and return on capital. In the next page, another perspective on our evolution. From a governance perspective, we transition from M&O control to a fully independent company with no ties between shareholders and major clients. Operationally, our ability to roll out new sites went up from a few hundred to nearly a thousand per year. From a commercial perspective, we were awarded important large projects, especially in Milan and Rome, and built a sales force for smart infrastructure assets. From the point of view of the share price, in a challenging context for long-duration assets, and we delivered the best relative total shareholder return since 2021 among listed tower companies in Europe and U.S. Going forward, the plan offers investors a dividend yield of more than 5% today and a 6% CAG of EBITDA after lease until 2030. Let us now move to the context of the 2025-2030 business plan on page 14. The technological context for digital infrastructure assets continues to evolve. Connectivity is more integrated across large areas, venues, transport corridors, and industrial parks. With a blend of technologies, 5G public and private networks, fiber, IoT, Wi-Fi, Other relevant emerging trends include more frequent network sharing among operators, growth in data centers from large hyperscalers to regional nets, both for telco applications including on-the-run and advanced digital services such as Industry 4.0 and AI. Towers are and will remain central in this evolution. Part of the digital ecosystem that goes from passive infrastructure to active small cell, DAS, Wi-Fi, IoT, and edge computing. We do look with interest at these developments, potentially evaluating opportunities where we can have a specific angle and deliver synergies. A few words on the market context on page 15. Here are two main messages. Data traffic in Italy is growing at double digit rates until 2030, or more than 2.5 times from today's level. And in the digital infrastructure, Italy today is lagging behind peers. Connecting the dots, there is need for more investments in the network to close the gap. Mobile network investments cannot be postponed indefinitely. More investments would be an inversion in the trend over the past few years, where operators have been limited by budget constraints. The unsustainable structure of the Italian telco market has facilitated relevant transactions over the past year or so, as we can see in the next page. In 2024, nearly every one of our largest clients went through a transformational event, both in mobile and fixed-service access. While in the short term, this had an impact on the pace of mobile investments, we are going in the direction of an healthier market with stronger operators, lower leverage, and better ability to grow and invest. The key topic for investors in this context is whether there will be 4 to 3 consolidations in Italy. Our view is that this would be neutral to positive for our companies as it would trigger additional investments. Inuit has both a strong market position and a very protective MSA, which are valuable in case of consolidation. Italy is a concentrated market from a tower company perspective, and we are exposed to the incumbent and first challenger. Our locations are the best and difficult to replicate, especially in the context of low EMS limits, a limited permit to be misused. The MSA has a clear all or nothing clause, with limited churn allowed and no clause for price or volume renegotiation. We believe the nothing option is not realistic, as it does not create value for our clients, and the contract is effectively never-ending. There is also an active share in protection, so more frequencies translate into higher revenues. MSAs are complex contracts that involve a significant purchase price in exchange for rights and limitations that go both ways. They are based on a structure of long-term tenure and specific pricing, and all the features of the MSAs are interconnected. Our priority is to continue working with our Anchor clients in the long term and to find the best answers to their needs, leveraging on sharing economics to drive efficiency and value for all the parties involved. In this context, in the context we discussed, INWIT has the strength of the best power assets in Italy and one of the leading portfolios of digital infrastructures. Macro sites with more than 50% market share in city centers, 70% of which are connected with fiber. More than 650 indoor locations covered, as well as 1,000 kilometers of highways and roadways, equipped with more than 10,000 dust remote units and repeaters. Land owned at 14% of total, or more than 20% of raw land sites. With the neutral host model, we serve every MNO and fix for the success player in the market, as well as utility companies with hosting of smart grid gateways, government agencies and police forces, and dozens of location owners in verticals such as hospitality, enterprise, healthcare, retail and banking. Based on the best assets in the market, we plan on growing the business further with three main growth pillars on page 18. starting from Towers, where Inuit aims to affirm its leadership in new builds, both for commitment and future densification needs, and growing co-location for MNOs, field service access, and IoT. In smart infrastructure, the business plan continues the expansion in Dusseldorf, growing key verticals for MNOs and location-honored clients. leverages on a pervasive IoT gateway network offering lower-end connectivity and services. Also, in the context of larger projects similar to Rome 5G or Sierra Milano Exhibition Center. In real estate, we will invest into more than double today's rate of land ownership and also start a new project to produce solar energy used by active equipments on towers taking advantage of specific investments, incentives. Towers are the common denominator of all growth projects, with opportunities to tap into adjacent markets, from active run to edge data center, based on the way the market will develop in the near future. Let us now spend a few words on each of the three areas of growth, starting from Towers. Emilia, up to you.

speaker
Emilia Trudu
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Diego. For towers or macro sites, we estimate a market potential between 7 and 12,000 new towers in Italy by 2030. As a function of data growth requiring additional towers, mostly in urban areas, the shift to 5G in suburban areas, implying an average one new tower every six upgrades from 4G, and 9,000 kilometers of roads and railways lacking quality connectivity today. The figure includes the current rollout commitments of the mobile operators. We plan on maintaining a leading market share on towers, as detailed in the next page. We expect to build about 3,500 new towers between 2025 and 2030. a 2% caregiver for an end-of-period figure of more than 28,000. New towers will be mainly destined to anchors and to the next-generation new programs. Open Fiber posed its rural plan in 2024. However, we have visibility on new co-location POPs with Open Fiber starting in 2025. Moving to POPs over the 2025-2030 period, we expect to add about 14,000 POPs, of which more than 5,000 by 2026, for a tenancy ratio at 2.5 by 2026 and 2.6 by 2030. This is based on a market view where densification happens only to a limited extent There is very limited growth in the FWA market, and higher de-hosting will add about 50% of the OLO's POPs in the next two years. In other words, these figures do not imply a market improvement in the short term, which should be a source of upside. As compared with the previous plan, by 2026, These figures are a reduction of about 1.5 thousand OLO stops, mostly FWA. The view on anchors is confirmed. Moving to page 21. The technology shift from 4 to 5G represents a challenge for indoor connectivity of higher frequency bands. and indoor is where most of mobile data consumption happens. For this reason, and for the better performance, security, and user experience features of distributed antenna systems, we expect continued demand for dedicated indoor connectivity. Also, there is growing interest and availability of public funds for large projects, particularly smart cities and smart transportations, employing a variety of technologies, from DAS to small cells, fiber, Wi-Fi, and IoT. We estimate a market potential of 2,000 new locations by 2030, or more than 65% higher than today. Our ambition for this business is on page 22. Building on the recent results, we expect smart infra revenues to go from about 70 million euros today to more than 175 million by 2030, with a weight in total revenue nearly doubling to more than 12%. This is based on the expectation to cover about 1,000 locations by 2026, and more than 1,300 by 2030, about twice as much as today at 610. In terms of size of projects consistently with market trends, we do assume a slight growth over time. The projections imply we will continue to be one of the leading players in Italy in dedicated connectivity projects. This is because InWit can deliver ability to manage complex projects from a technical, operational, and risk perspective, unmatched ability to partner with top operators as clients, and structurally high tenancy ratio, which improves the overall attractiveness of the project via sharing economics. Moving to real estate infrastructure on page 23. The business plan, in terms of CapEx deployment efforts, represents a relevant push on real estate on two fronts, working both on lowering costs and adding a new source of revenue. InWit approach to real estate is based on a specialized internal team and a pervasive market coverage. This is needed because of the market structure. characterized by high volume of small-sized transactions. The plan assumes 500 million euros capex to buy land at accretive rates, bringing land ownership to above 30% in 2030 for a run rate saving of about 50 million EBITDA after lease. This is above and beyond the previous business plan. which targeted 20% by 2026. On energy, we are launching a new project. We are using towers and land we own to install solar panels, providing part of the energy used by the active equipment. Install capacity will be about 60 megawatts, or 10% of our need. This will be done in a seamless way as part of the MSA in place, with revenue coming both from customers in the MSA framework and subsidies. Just as a reminder, energies are passed through in the P&L, but the project will allow us to reduce purchasing volume for our next margin. We will deploy about €100 million in 2025-2027, For an impact starting from 2028 of about 20 million euros revenues and more than 10 million euros EBITDA. This is a completely new source of revenue. Both real estate initiatives build on our expertise, taking advantage of a visible market opportunity with low execution risk. Let's tie up the CAPEX plan on page 24. We expect to deploy just below 600 million euros CAPEX in the next two years for a total of 1.5 billion euros by 2030. In terms of investment pays, the outer years of the plan will see an annual CAPEX run rate of around 230 million euros. with about 80 million euros allocated to real estate, drivers that will further boost free cash flow to equity. For greater transparency, we have provided more granular capital details, as you can see in the top right side of the chart. Of note here is that 25% will be devoted to towers and upgrades, Real estate is the largest portion at about 30%. Smart grid infrastructure will require just over 15% of the total envelope. The new solar energy self-consumption project is also factored into the plan, and maintenance cap will remain broadly stable over the plan at the current amount of around 20 million euros per year. Overall, the plan adds about 300 million euros in a bid after lease, implying two-digit returns on investment. Based on our model, the more we add additional tenants and infrastructure, the higher returns can go well into the teams. On to the subject of capital allocation on page 25. In which EBITDA growth trajectory allows for progressive reduction in leverage, starting from a year-end 2024 position already below peers and below our structural and short-term target range. Growth capex alone would leave the balance sheet at suboptimal levels, with 4.5 times leverage in 2026 and 4.4 in 2030. For this reason, and given the compelling returns today in buying back our shares, we will deploy 400 million euros in share buybacks over a 12-month period starting from the upcoming AGM, and 200 million euros in the form of a special dividend on top of the ordinary dividend, which is growing at 7.5% until 2026, and at least 5% from 2027 to 2030. The combined effect of these two tools will allow a very effective use of capital, crucial by BEX, and a rapid return to our target leverage, reaching 5.2 times by year-end 2025. This capital recovery strategy is after funding €600 million CAPEX over the next two years and leaving €1 billion for additional investments and or shareholder returns. We remain convinced that deploying capital at a creative rate is the best way to create long-term value. In the coming quarters, we will continue to monitor the market and update you on potential additional capital allocation decisions. We are also glad to highlight Standard & Poor's recent decision to relax the leverage triggers for Inwood, which confirms the company's business strength and financial soundness. We move now to the business plan targets on slide 27 with Fabio. Thank you.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Development

Thanks, Emilia. Good morning, everyone. So the context of the business plan targets is one with limited inflation feeding into 25 P&L, progressively going up to 1.7% and then 2%. We'll find detailed assumptions in the annex to the presentation. Real growth in 25 is in line with 24 levels at about 3%, given the current limited mobile cab expanding in the market, particularly in OLOs. There's continued growth in smart infrastructure, increasing its weight on revenues to more than 12% in 2030, implying a double-digit CAGR, more lead cost efficiency via land buyout for a target EBITDA margin of 78%, which is best in class. This equates to revenue growing to a CAGR of 4.5% to 2030, operating leverage with EBITDA after lease, growing at 6% per annum over the period, and a similar trend, more than 5% CAGR for underlying recurring free cash flow. We estimate that over the 25 to 2030 period, about 60% of total revenue growth, which in total is 300 million, is committed today, so 60% of the 300 million. Additionally, As mentioned, even with dividend policies extended, DPS growth is confirmed at 7.5% until 2026 net income with payment in 27, and it will be at least 5% from that moment on to 2030, aligned with the growth trend in the business, leading up to 72 cents a share, at least 72. When including the capital deployment initiatives announced today, we expect leverage to be at 5.2 times in 2025, in our target range for the short term, trending down to 4.8 times in five years. Lastly, in the next page, we show the overall trend of cash returns to shareholders based on payment years. In-width delivery is a compelling combination of growth and yield with further optionality. The ordinary dividend per share will grow to about 72 cents in 2030, also benefiting from The structural 100 million increase we delivered in 23, and continuous DPS growth, 7.5% for the next two years, and then at least 5% afterwards. In terms of share buybacks, after the completion of the first plan in 24, this year we'll see a much larger program, 400 million in 12 months, concentrated in the current year. Today we're also introducing another tool in the form of a special dividend, 200 million euro payment in November 2025, taking us in the target leverage range. Cash returns will be particularly strong in 2025, nearly a billion euro, more than 10% of market cap today. Now back to Diego for concluding remarks. Thank you, Fabio and Emilia.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Just a few words to sum up Inuit equity story in this macro and industry context. We have a leading position in the market with barriers to entry and secular growth trends. a location advantage, and exposure to the leading clients. We run an industrial model of capital deployment, building sites from the ground up, investing in real estate of double-digit and leveled returns, for industry-leading return on capital. The business model is resilient, with strong long-term visibility and protections in case of macro and industry evolutions, including in case of consolidations. Even in a challenging industry scenario, we continue to grow EBITDA margins at 6% per annum, while delivering a yield today above 5%. Beyond that, we are ready to take advantage of opportunities above and beyond the business plan targets, both in terms of market development and additional capital deployment. With this, I thank you for your attention and we are happy to go to the Q&A.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. This is the Coruscant Conference Operator. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and 1 on their telephone. To remove yourself from the question queue, please press star and 2. Please pick up the receiver when asking questions. Anyone with a question may press star and 1 at this time. The first question is from Rohit Modi of Citi.

speaker
Rohit Modi
Analyst, Citi

Hi, congratulations and great set of results and thank you for the opportunity. Just a couple of questions from my side. Firstly, given the environment right now in Italy, if you can give us more context around your current discussion with your anchor tenants as well as OLOs in terms of, you know, Also, in context with the recent comment from FASTWEB regarding renegotiation of the contracts, it would give us more color around that if you already started discussing with them on existing contract. Secondly, what forces each of your guidance, current guidance is coming from the commitments that you already have in place. and what is based on, you know, the expectations that you think, you know, in terms of connectivity requirement that you see that's coming from your assumptions, basically. I'm just trying to understand the upside and downside on that. And thirdly, on your leverage and flexibility on leverage, what are the factors where, you know, you will be okay to move beyond $500 5.1, 5.2 times in terms of leverage, given you have already reached within your target range now. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thank you, Rohit. So the first question is about the relationship with our customers, where actually this is a constant dialogue and work together. We have an intense rollout plan to deliver and plans to improve the connectivity outdoor and indoor. So there are multiple projects from the MSA to the other, to the next generation EU funds, to the plans to improve the indoor connectivity. And based on the strong contracts that we have, the strong plans that we have in place, that's our ongoing stable relationship with our customers, anchors, and all those. With regards to the second question, the revenue profile and the commitment, the committed profile, as we have shown, we will grow revenues by 2030 by more than €300 million, overall at about 4% to 5%. and the majority is committed, slightly more than 60% is committed. The second question is about leverage. And as we shared, for us structurally, we can get to a leverage of up to six times on structural basis. In the short term, we remain a little bit more prudent between five times and 5.5 times. We are happy to get to the middle of the corridor by year-end. This is the result, as we shared, of the investment plans. We think attractive shareholder remuneration. There is still a financial headroom which is available for keep on capturing market opportunities. The context is evolving. I think it's It's good to have this level of flexibility. As we shared, we see the towers at the center of the digital ecosystem, but we also see how the ecosystem is evolving, and we are happy to assess opportunities in the adjacent areas. As always, with the discipline approach, looking at accretion and synergies, If these opportunities will emerge, we will be happy to assess them. Otherwise, we will continue with the usual approach of balancing organic growth and shareholder remuneration.

speaker
Rohit Modi
Analyst, Citi

Sorry, just one clarification. So your guidance is based on the commitment you had with Vodafone, the previous Vodafone Italia, and not with FastShare as of now. That's correct.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Of course, we assume continuation of all the MSAs. I mentioned some features of the MSA. One particularly relevant is the all or nothing clause, which is a cornerstone of the overall deal and for us is absolutely normal and there is no reason why we shouldn't continue to consider and work on clearly on the continuation of the MSA. long-term investments. Thank you. Welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

In the interest of time, I kindly ask to limit yourself to one question at a time. The next question is from Andrew Lee of Goldman Sachs.

speaker
Andrew Lee
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, morning, everyone. The question was basically trying to understand how stretch-stroke conservative you've been in your 2030 guidance Maybe I can put it into two parts. Part one is on your assumed densification by operators for 5G within the 2030 guidance. What are you assuming in terms of the level of densification that you're expecting and when? Obviously, that's a relatively hard thing to call in terms of timing. What's clear in terms of your near-term guidance is you've been working all out to drive efficiencies to offset the shortfall in tendencies at the moment. Is this the maximum run rate you can achieve in terms of cost savings that you're delivering right now, and are you factoring that into your longer-term guidance, too? Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thanks, Andrew. Good morning. Yeah. As mentioned, by 2030, we will grow revenue by 300 million euros. At ballpark, we can share, split the overall pie in three parts. And one third overall is inflation. One third is towers and colocation. And one third is smart infrastructure. This is based on inflation. which will go to 1.7 and then 2%, and let me say a cautious view on densification. Data growth will continue, and particularly on the subset of sites which are the sites where most of the data traffic is used, and this will require additional densification for traffic, for managing the traffic. There will be densification also in terms of coverage in suburban areas. There is need for densification on the transport corridor overall. We took, I would say, an overall cautious view on densification overall. In terms of efficiency and land, we think it's a balanced approach. We have strong capabilities. We have been delivering well so far, and we will continue doing so. At this stage, honestly, no, we don't see room to go higher and faster, but let's see how the market will develop. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question is from Roshan Ranjit of Deutsche Bank.

speaker
Roshan Ranjit
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Great morning, everyone. Thanks for the question. Diego, you mentioned the mix of the drivers going ahead, and you've adjusted your assumptions for the OLOs. Now, clearly, this has been a discussion point over the last 12 months. So is it possible to get a sense of the commitments that you have from the OLOs? I mean, previously, you have given a number for the quarters ahead. So we do get a sense that whilst... perhaps lower than what you had previously thought. It is a pickup from the current levels. Anything you can say there will be super helpful, particularly given the mixed shift towards IoT, which I guess is a slightly lower pricing point. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yeah. Thanks, Roshan. Yeah, we discussed in the last several quarters now about the softness of OLOS. We capture it now in the guidance. It's 1,500 lower point of presence. We have clearly good visibility, and we see customers also getting out from, let me say, strategic review and plan redefinitions. So we have, honestly, better visibility than one year ago. We embedded in the plan a soft 2025. And let me also say that clearly this is an important contribution for us, but gradually we have also assumed that 50% of the OLOs is basically other kind of tenants, so mostly IOT, so basically at a relatively low price. So I would say that overall the plan, yes, has embedded the recent trends with, again, a cautious approach looking forward

speaker
Roshan Ranjit
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Great. Thank you. To follow up on the point you made around the lower pricing, I mean, how feasible is it to increase pricing here? I mean, are you pricing it at a relatively competitive level where you can see upside in the coming years given the demand for IoT? Yeah.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Let me say it's not a price by category. It's a question of mix of the different categories. And So there is no dilution overall in any specific category, but, again, it's the mix where in this plan the IoT weight is higher than in the past, and this has an impact on the overall average price for all of us. Okay, thank you.

speaker
Fernando Cordero
Analyst, Banca Santander

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question is from Luigi Minerva of HSBC.

speaker
Luigi Minerva
Analyst, HSBC

Yes, good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking my question. If I may, I want to go back to slide 16 and the MSA and all the terms that you summarized there, and it's all very helpful. Now, if I read your bullet points, I think the contract looks really robust, which is consistent with your messages over the years. I guess where we are struggling is reconciling that slide with the message from Swisscom that sees a renegotiating window in 2026. So, you know, just trying to get to the bottom of this, you know, does 2026 offer Vodafone fast web room to renegotiate the terms? And particularly then if I look at your change of control protection with the extension eight plus eight, does it mean that the eight plus eight are kind of reset and start from 25 or 26 or we continue with the phasing of the previous contract disregarding of the change in control. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thanks, Luigi. I think we will be consistent in our commentaries on this. The MSA is rock solid for all the systems of closest and substantial industrial logic of the overall deal. The change of control clause is an additional protection embedded in the contract. I would rather not comment on our clients, but let me also say that I noted also some evolution in the narrative there. And I think that is key. What I mentioned before in which business model and the MSAs have been, are, and will be, and will keep on creating value for all the parties involved in the framework of a complex MSA where all is interconnected and all parties have been able to gain in the past as well as in the future. So our dramatic focus is on working on the future on being an efficient company, capable from an industrial point of view, and able to address the needs of customers who have the need to keep on maintaining a top network and developing a top network as a source of competitive advantage. We are the way to do that in an efficient manner, and that's where we are focused on.

speaker
Luigi Minerva
Analyst, HSBC

Thank you, Diego.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Grazie a te.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question is from Maurice Patrick of Barclays.

speaker
Maurice Patrick
Analyst, Barclays

Yeah, thanks, guys, for taking the question and the call today. Sorry to kind of come back to the Swisscom FastWeb public comments. I was a bit surprised to see Swisscom negotiating in public. I'm sure from your perspective you'd rather do it in private. But any comments there would be welcome. But in terms of you have given guidance to 2030, which can we assume – In terms of 2030 guidance, that assumes minimal change to the MSA structure, despite the fact that it was a point of renegotiation. Any points you can give to that? I sort of note comments from Mark Petuano of Celnex regarding the Spanish consolidation, where he effectively said, with Maz Orange, post the deal, he sort of broadly protected the perimeter of the MSA, maybe with some more investments. I'm curious if there's any sort of thoughts in terms of what assurances you can give us that there won't be changes to the MSA, given your guidance that you have given beyond that breakpoint. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yeah, thanks, Maurice. Let me go to 2030 first. Again, the MSA is a complex structure with long-term investments and long tenure. The plan and the Our work is based on MSA's terms in terms of pricing, volume, overall terms, so there is absolute continuation because there is no reason for thinking differently. Then, as I said before, there is the need and the opportunity to keep on investing on the industry, on the quality of the network, on densification and quality, and that's where There is additional opportunity to work together with our customers to leverage on the sharing infrastructure model, the sharing economics, and keep on creating value. And that's, again, in the logic of the MSA, where there is a committed part and there is the extra commitment, over-commitment, which I think would be a way to support the densification needs.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Development

Sorry, Maurice, does this answer also the first bit of your question, which we didn't catch 100%?

speaker
Maurice Patrick
Analyst, Barclays

No, that's right. I mean, I guess given that you've given site build to 2030, are those all agreed with the anchors, or is that your expectation of what they'll want?

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yeah, the clear leader is the full MSA until 2030. is until 2026 is fully committed. From 2027 onwards, there is some on top of the committed profile. Great, thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

You're welcome. The next question is from Milo Silvestre of Equita.

speaker
Milo Silvestre
Analyst, Equita

Ciao, buongiorno a tutti. Two questions from my side. The first one, if you could elaborate on the commitment part, for the growth of new services. The second one is concerning Swisscom. If you can elaborate on what kind of flexibility can you give to MNOs or if you see a risk pressure on the non-committed part in order to give some kind of relief to MNO clients, even in the still challenging environment.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thanks, Milo. In terms of the first part of the question, overall committed growth is 60% with regards to new services. Most of it is not committed. So it's part of development plans with the MNOs and location owners, but not specifically committed. Clearly, or can I say it's contracted in the sense that we do invest when there is a contract. So the investments in new services have double-digit returns and are certain, are sure. Again, on the flexibility, flexibility is win-win. If there are win-win on a new contract, Areas of investments, that's our commitment and our focus to find solutions based on our business model, industrial capabilities, and ability to finance long-term initiatives. That's where we work on win-win framework agreements.

speaker
Luigi Minerva
Analyst, HSBC

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question is from Fabio Pavan of Mediobanca.

speaker
Fabio Pavan
Analyst, Mediobanca

Yes, hi, good morning, and thank you for taking my question. Actually, thank you for this strategy update. Provided the plan has been risked and you told us that there would be an increased densification need, my question for you, Diego, is... What is your degree of confidence that this potential revamping demand for new sites, new coverage may come already in the second part of this year or early next year? Or rather, you think that first market needs to become more rational and then we may have a speed-up in demand for new sites? Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thanks, Fabio. Yeah, I would say that the plan does not assume any improvement in the overall context and level of investments. Densification starts in the plan by 2027, but I think also looking at the numbers in terms of new sites, if you look at the run rate per annum, basically until 2026 is about 800 per annum after is about 500 new sites per annum. In the last couple of years, we did almost 1,000. So actually, the numbers embed even a slowdown of the run rate in terms of new sites build up. Having said that, the data growth and the quality of the network in Italy does call for additional investments, and the changes in the structure of the market are the catalyst for a more sustainable industry where investments have a proper return from the operator. So I would say that the upward, the upside scenario is where this would happen. if not a little bit of slowdown compared to the current rate.

speaker
Fabio Pavan
Analyst, Mediobanca

Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question is from Giorgio Tavolini of Intermonte.

speaker
Giorgio Tavolini
Analyst, Intermonte

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for taking my three questions, please. The first one is on slide 18. It highlights two missing opportunities in your business planning, the run as a service and the edge data center. So have you engaged in discussions with anchor tenants regarding the opportunity to manage active equipment? And what level of commitment do you perceive from your anchors? And regarding the edge data centers, why you have not announced any steps in this direction as some of your peers have done so far? The second question is on ground lease optimization. You announced a push to double land ownership to over 30% by 2030. with this cost per site to drop below 6.5 thousand euros per site per year by the same time frame. So what is the ballpark figure for the run rate discussed in EuroMillion after the completion of this land buyout initiative? Because if I cross-check the implied target for EBITDA and EBITDA after lease between 2026 and 2030 at the midpoint, the lease impact appears to move from 190 million to something like 175, so this seems a very modest reduction. The third one is on the telco asset of Raiwei. I was wondering if you confirm this interest, and in particular if you see any synergies in terms of higher risk costs, considering that these sites would be rented by Inuit, given that the equipment would be remaining stored on Raiwei's towers. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thanks, Giorgio. Let me try one by one. On demand sharing and far edge, they are two areas of potential development and natural extension of our role as a neutral host and leveraging on sharing economics. We are open particularly in demand sharing and stand available on supporting and assessing and working together with our customers if the opportunities will be of their interest. On the edge, it's an interesting area. Far edge, again, is an interesting area. We are assessing it and considering the time frame of the plan and the scenarios we have assessed we think is an area of opportunity which eventually could go as run sharing on top of the plan considering that we have a material financial flexibility to deploy for additional investments always with the two criteria we shared, either being accretion and synergies. The groundless cost is Clearly, the combination of continuous optimization initiatives and land buyout, but at the same time, we will continue to add inflation, and we grow the base by 3.5 thousand new sites, which will create additional, of course, additional cost, and also there list costs related to indoor cover resurrections. So the MAF has to consider both the natural cost increase as well as the saving initiatives. All these will bring in with up to 78% EBITDA margin by 2030, which shows the quality of the investments, both the top line and the efficiency we are making and their return. In general, on the third question, when we are always open to assess and interested to assess opportunities in our space to extend our perimeter and our assets in the mobile space, and that's so particularly in Italy, it's a perfect place where we're extending our base. So if any opportunity will emerge, we will be very happy to consider.

speaker
Giorgio Tavolini
Analyst, Intermonte

Many thanks.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question is from Fernando Cordero of Banca Santander.

speaker
Fernando Cordero
Analyst, Banca Santander

Hello. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question and also thanks for the presentation. My question is a follow-up on the land acquisition plan, not just from the financial side but also from the strategic side. I would like to understand at which standards you're incorporating in your decisions to buy land. Which of your sites are, let's say, are more strategic or generating more traffic in order to prioritize the land acquisition in those sites? And also to understand at which standards of this land acquisition plan is also to protect from the potential land aggregator risk. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yes, thanks, Fernando. Yeah, when we decide to acquire land, it's a combination of financial and strategic considerations. Clearly, we are focused on towers, which have a strategic relevance. And let me say that also this approach now will have also the angle of the energy program. We will run the self-production of energy tools mid-sized solar panels at the bottom of the towers. So using the land that we do have or marginally extending it. So we will do some additional synergies there, combining our land acquisition program with the solar energy self-production program. And clearly, our capacity to buy land and our organization Our approach of having a strong and competent internal team to manage a network of real estate agencies has proven to be very effective so far, not only in delivering efficiency, but also in managing the land aggregators that here and there have emerged in the market in Italy, but so far no major impact. And we do expect this will continue.

speaker
Fernando Cordero
Analyst, Banca Santander

Okay, fair enough. Thanks, Diego. Welcome.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question is from Andrej Kadesija of UBS.

speaker
Andrej Kadesija
Analyst, UBS

Hi, good morning, everyone. Two questions for me, please. Those are more or less follow-ups. The first one on just the growth opportunities. So in your presentation, you talk about the need for densification, and you kind of, you know, put the number at between 700 and 12,000 spice that Italy needs. And then in your guidance, you basically take the assumption of, you know, which is your market share of the lower end of that. So three and a half thousand out of the seven. So I guess the question is what needs to happen in the market from your perspective for your shares to actually be kind of 6,000 over the midterms. So what needs to happen for densification efforts to accelerate in Italy would be one question. And then second question, please, you know, coming back to the Swisscom or Vodafone situation, but from a different angle, not talking about kind of recontracting around prices perhaps, but what can you do to maybe change the contract somehow in a way that would, I guess, help Swisscom recover? contain the impacts of lease liabilities and their balance, if that is even possible. For example, changing the duration of some of the parts of the contract or anything like that, that would be possible if there's any comment on that. Thank you very much.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Thanks, Andrei. Yeah, you're right. We expect the need in the market between 7,000 to 12,000 new towers by 2030 to address the traffic increase and the coverage needs. And we have positioned our plan at the bottom of this range, assuming then a broadly 50% market share. Then, as we said before, it's broadly a continuation, if not a slowdown of current trends. What would need to happen to do more is an acceleration in the investments from the operators, so a market where the investments are more sustainable for our customers and network quality becomes, again, a source of competitive advantage. serve customers and the additional services which the tech operators will provide to their customers. And this is related to your second question because this is where we can continue to create value for all the parties involved. We are specialized in infrastructure. We have the best company in building new sites, in managing the permit process, and we realize efficiency through the sharing economics, which are reflected in the pricing to our customers. So all this, the model is a key source of efficiency for customers which want to improve their quality of network and services, both outdoor and indoor, via towers, via dust, or gradually other infrastructure. So that's our mission there where we can continue helping our customers.

speaker
Andrej Kadesija
Analyst, UBS

Can I follow up on the second part? Just to be clear, because this is more of a technical question. Again, I'm not even sure that that is possible, but is there a way to change the contract that you have with Vodafone in a way that somehow reduces the impact of lease liabilities from the renegotiation on their contract, which is maybe something that Swisscom is quite concerned about. Is there a way for changes to the contract that would address that specific point?

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Andrea, I don't think there is merit from our side to comment on this point, unless to reiterate what I said before. Our model is very clear, strong, from an industrial perspective. contractual point of view and we are focused on keep on making it work at best.

speaker
Andrej Kadesija
Analyst, UBS

Understood. Thank you very much. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question is a follow-up from Luigi Minerva of HSBC.

speaker
Luigi Minerva
Analyst, HSBC

Yes, thank you for taking my follow-up. It's about the recurrent legacy cash flow for 2030. And I was wondering if you could provide the breakup in terms of cash taxes, cash interest payment, and working capital. And also, I noticed in slide 34 that the cash taxes for 2025 and 2026 are now guided to be flat at around 50 million, whereas previous guidance, if I remember well, was for 55 million in 2025 and 70 million in 2026. So I was wondering what is driving this change. And perhaps, as I have the microphone, just on the solar panel initiatives and the energy initiative, to what extent is it reliant on subsidies? And perhaps the legislation on that front is often volatile. So what is the current status in Italy? Do you think it's... reliable and stable enough to justify a multi-year capex plan from you. Thank you.

speaker
Diego Galli
General Manager

Yes, let me start from the second one. That's actually a new legislation which extended the benefits of self-production to industrial purposes and is a legislation which clearly we assess carefully and It will be in force with the benefits with the subsidy for the next three years, generating then clearly the benefits for the following 20 years. And again, it's quite solid. The subsidy is a contribution, but we can say the business case overall as a good return above cost of capital, also slightly above cost of capital, also without subsidy. With regards to the first question, I may start to say that the tax, yes, as you say, are basically flat in 2025-2026. It's the cash tax. Then the regular will improve. The step up is by 2027 onwards, and actually there will be a significant case where basically by 2027 onwards, the tax rate will be at the normal tax rate. In terms of interest, we are correcting some roles, but we have assumed the cost of debt between 3% and 4%. This is right.

speaker
Luigi Minerva
Analyst, HSBC

Okay. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Conference Call Operator

Gentlemen, there are no more questions registered at this time. I'll turn the call back to you for any closing remarks.

speaker
Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Development

Thank you, everyone, for attending the call. Have a good rest of the day. Thank you.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-