5/19/2022

speaker
John Paul
CEO

so welcome to atg's mid-year earnings uh i'm joined by our cfo tom hargreaves and buyer director of ir becky edelman today we'll be taking you through our results and through the financials as well as through the outlook needless to say it's been a volatile external market with the ukraine post-covid the tech sell-off inflation and looming uh recession um and in light of that backdrop i'm especially happy to share that ATG has done well and that we have what we believe is a good path forward to continue to do well. So we'll cover that shortly, as well as our revised guidance, which as you saw today is going up. So if you can move to slide five, please. So Before going into the meat of the presentation, I just want to share again ATG's mission. We play a major role in both of these areas. And so ATG is unlocking the value of the secondary goods market, and we're accelerating the growth of the circular economy. And I think the progress we've made against this market backdrop is testament to that structural shift in the overall momentum that we have against both of those objectives. If you move to slide six, So how do we do it? This is just a little bit of a reminder because we have both new people in returning, but what ATG does is we connect auctioneers and their curated specialized inventory to a global bidder base. Today we connect over 4,000 auction houses that are using our technology and listing roughly 30 million items per year to bidders who generate over 180 million web sessions per year for those auctioneers. And we bring clear value to both sides. So on this slide, what you're able to see is just that on the top side, what do we really bring to bidders? We bring selection, trust, and convenience. And to auctioneers, what do we bring? We bring, first of all, the technology, that marketplace technology. We bring the 180 million bidder sessions. And we also bring cost savings, which accrue to them from moving towards the online world. Moving to the next slide. We've talked about our role as an accelerator, but why is that? That was something I just wanted to address briefly here. And I wanted to highlight this, not only because of our impact on sustainability, but also because this same dynamic that plays out is the one that is going to continue to accelerate ATG's THV which is then the TAM that we work against to grow the rest of our business. So what exactly happens here? So first of all, what do online auctions do? Why do we believe we are an accelerator to the circular economy? First thing is that online auctions attract more bidders to an auction than the offline world for any given auctioneer. If in the old world, an auctioneer maybe would have attracted 200 to 300 people in the offline world, and that number is down. we can bring hundreds if not thousands of bidders to every single auction. The curation of the assets by the auctioneer also gives those online bidders confidence, so it's different than when you're buying in a non-curated secondary goods environment. And the combination of more bidders and trust leads to more bids. More bids leads to higher return on each one of those assets. And the higher return means that more assets to auction accrue and grow than would otherwise be the case. And more assets in turn attracts more bidders. And so as you see that cycle of more bidders, higher bids, more bids, better returns on assets, and then more assets flowing in, that's something that accelerates a circular economy by making it better to sell secondary market items, but it also is what helped ATG grow. So if you move to the next slide, probably the one that you're most interested in is the actual results. So this is slide eight. These are the highlights. So our THV grew 27% and there's this continued shift online. This is the real driver behind that. What we've seen is that structural shift has continued. There's more items being sold online, higher prices, more inventory. and a move into new verticals. And just as we have for the past several years, that has continued. Our online shares remain stable at roughly 33%, and there's been the continued growth in timed online-only auctions. And the reason why we wanted to highlight this is just to hold our online share steady amidst the 27% THV growth is in and of itself an accomplishment. Because normally when you see THV growth, as I think I've mentioned in the past, pre-COVID, THV would grow for us anywhere from 3% to 5% per year. and we would grow online share maybe 1% to 2% per year. Now, amidst COVID, to be able to hold that online share steady while also growing THV 27%, and there's usually a lag effect of new bidders, particularly new verticals, moving online, and so we're very pleased with that. GMV being up 25%, it means, again, we're delivering what we are saying is growth on growth. So the big question that people had for us over the year, and particularly at the IPO, was, You're growing during COVID, but what's going to happen is COVID winds down. And for us, what we've seen is that we were able to grow, as you know, meaningfully during COVID. And then after that, we've been able to grow on top of that. And so again, that's why we're calling it growth on growth. The next thing that we think was really relevant to bring out was the diversification of our revenue. So one of the things that ATG benefits from is that we are not geographically constrained, nor are we single vertical constrained. We have both geographic diversity for our revenues. We have two verticals that we operate in. But what we also have is more and more revenues within each marketplace, within each geography, and within each vertical. So we don't just have the fixed fee and the commission fee, the commission fee being the vast majority of where we make our money. But we also now have been developing the value-added services, specifically digital marketing and payments. So what we've seen in this last period was a 63% growth year over year in our value-added services, and that's specifically around payments and digital marketing. The next key highlight is the successful integration of live auctioneers, which, as Tom will go into, is performing ahead of expectations. So again, both the business is doing well, particularly on the payments and digital marketing front. And the other part that, as you know, with any acquisition, one of the key things that people look at is the integration culturally. And I think we were pleased when we were making the acquisition, we felt it was a good cultural match. And that has really proven true, just as with our proxy bid acquisition. The business is integrated well, and I think the team integrates well with the ATG team and has been doing really everything that we've asked. And then the last part that I wanted to highlight is that amidst this backdrop of the structural shift from offline to online, the different diversification that we have, which is helping us amidst this inflationary environment. The other key part was just that our competitive position just six months down from the last time we spoke with you is definitely stronger. And we will talk to you about that a little bit. But some of the key highlights are around 89 million bidding sessions and 54 million bids placed by the people we bring to the auctioneers. And so all of that is added up to roughly 58 million of revenue for the year, plus 16% for the last six months, with adjusted EBITDA of approximately 27 million, which is up 58% year over year. And so with that, I'm going to pass it over to Tom, and he'll take you through the details behind our financial results.

speaker
Tom Hargreaves
CFO

So if we move to the next slide, good morning, everybody. Before I get into the numbers, just to say one thing about the treatment of live auctioneers in the presentation, we acquired live auctioneers on the 1st of October, 21. As such, we've got a full six months of contribution from live auctioneers in this half year. Clearly live auctioneers wasn't in the prior year numbers, so that does impact some of the reported growth rates. specifically in relation to revenue because of that and to give a clearer view of underlying performance, we've shown pro forma numbers for revenue and revenue metrics throughout the presentation, all of which assumed we had live auctioneers in the equivalent period last year. If we move to slide 10, financial highlights. I think John Paul's just given you some of these numbers, but no harm in reiterating them. Revenue, 57.7 million on a pro forma basis. That's up 16% year over year. Adjusted EBITDA of 26.8 million. That's plus 58% year over year. Gives an adjusted EBITDA margin of 46%. That's one percentage point higher than the... 45 achieved in fy21 our adjusted diluted eps of 13.4p and our adjusted free cash flow was 24.3 million that's 91 conversion from the adjusted ebitda of 26.8 and finally we ended the period with net debt of 120 million that's after paying all the deferred consideration on live auctioneers leaving with us a net leverage of just below two and a half times We can move to the next slide, slide 11. This shows some of our revenue metrics. Again, all of these numbers are on a pro forma basis. In the top left-hand corner, GMV, just checking the slides are moving. At top left-hand corner, GMV, you can see there we're 1.6 billion for the current half year. That's growth of 25% year over year. And as John Ball has just said, that growth has been achieved despite annualizing some exceptional COVID-19 comparators last year. You see in the first half of last year, GMV grew 97% year over year, so 25% growth has been on top of that already, very strong performance in the prior year. In terms of the makeup of that GMV growth, if you look at the top right hand chart, you can see GMV growth, continuously very strong growth in GMV, 27% year over year, so we've added over a billion of extra GMV in the half year versus the equivalent period last year. And then online share, the meal chart is broadly stable at 33%. So it's broadly stable, but that is particularly pleasing partly because last year was definitely a good performance with the impact of COVID in the half year. But also as John Paul said, typically when you get large changes in THV, that new THV has a below average online share. And so it drags down the overall average. In this case, that's not happened. So online shares have been able to maintain it at the same level as last year. all of which has produced the 25% growth in GMV. If you've got take rate, that's moved from 3.4% to 3.2%, so slight reduction. A lot of that has to do with mix. The lion's share of GMV growth that we've seen has been in INC. INC has a lower average take rate than Arts and Antiques, partly mitigating that, as John Paul has said, is strong growth in value-added services in Arts and Antiques, which has nudged up the take rate. overall put all that together and you get 52 million of marketplace revenue in the first half year 16 pro forma constant currency growth again that growth on an already exceptional half year from last year which had grown 50 year over year if we move to the next slide get a little bit more detail of how um things have changed as we've moved into covid and now out of covid again just checking the slides have caught up So these charts show by half year our main KPIs of GMV, THV and marketplace revenue. You see half year 120 on the left-hand side of each chart. That's basically the last pre-COVID period we had. We then had the step-up in activity influenced by COVID we saw in half year 220 as we went through the half year and then half year 121, the prior year comparative for the reporting period now was the first full half year with the benefit of COVID. But if you look at all the charts, You can see there actually we've achieved sequential growth pretty much throughout the period as we go into COVID, but also as now as we've come out of COVID and we're lapping some very strong comparators the prior year again, which is a key feature of the results this time. We move to the next slide. This looks at segmental performance. On the left-hand side of the table, you can see revenue by segment. So arts and antiques on a pro forma basis, adjusting for live auctioneers has grown 16% year over year. Industrial and commercial, 16% growth, so marketplace growth. Overall, 16% year-over-year. Auction services, slightly below that, 11% within there is our white label business, which has actually grown at about the same rate as Marketplace, but offsetting that, some of our legacy back office products, which revenue growth is lower, bringing the average down to 11%. And then content revenue growth, 14% year-over-year, actually above the historic average. Content is the one bit of the business which is benefiting from some softer comps because of COVID in the prior year, but all adding up to giving you total pro forma revenue growth of 16% year over year. When you get into the KPIs by segment, I'll talk about INC first, which is the two columns on the right-hand side of the right-hand table. You see our THV of 2.8 billion, up 27% year over year. That reflects pretty uniform strength across all verticals. reflects both a higher number of assets being put for sale on the marketplaces, but also higher asset prices being realised. Of that growth, two-thirds you might attribute to traditional verticals where we've historically had strength, but then a third of that growth has come from newer verticals, which was a feature of last year and that's continued into this year, with real estate being the standout, which has added a reasonable amount of extra GMV. this period, that comes through in the online share of 46%, up 2% year over year. That is influenced by the new verticals. A lot of the activities come through as timed. If you pull that out, actually online share is broadly flat which actually is something, again, that is good given the benefit of COVID in the prior year comparatives. All that adds together gives you 33% GMV growth, take rate down, nudge down a bit to 2% from nought point, from 2.3 percent last year predominantly due to mix so again coming from the new verticals and particularly real estate which does carry a lower take rate than the average and so as that's contributed it's pulled down the overall the overall uh total underlying pricing underlying commission rates achieved on an auction by auction near basis like online share is very similar in this period than it was in the period equivalent period last year Slightly different mix of revenue growth in ANA. So pro forma, CHV is growing 28% year over year to 2.1 billion. But a lot of that has come in areas where we would and we do get a lower online share. So either in higher value auctions, Bonhams is a feature of that come on to live auctioneers during the period and also a number of international auctioneers coming on to the marketplaces so you can see that effect coming through an online share which 17 down four percentage points year over year if you strip out that effect there still has been some normalization from the very high online shares that were achieved in the peak covered months in the prior year um but overall gmv still up two percent year over year to 356 million but the real standout there is the take rate which is 7.6 percent of one percentage point which is all about value-added services, increasing penetration of both marketing sales, digital marketing sales and payments amongst the A&A auctioneer base, which has been a strong feature of the first half of this year. Slide 14 picks up on the comment about the diversification, increasingly diversified revenue model that we have. The chart on the left-hand side shows our mix of revenue. So still the biggest contribution to revenue is commission. And that in fact, in terms of absolute contribution to growth in the half year commission is still the biggest contributor. But in terms of share of revenue, that's actually declined a little bit between half year 63% to 61% of total revenue. in the first half of this year. And the reason for that decline is the growth in value added services. And value added services is where payments and advertising digital marketing revenues goes, which has gone from 11% to 15%. And we'd see this as part of a wider pattern of increasingly diversified revenues. If you... take the acquisition of live auctioneers which created balance between a and a and inc across the revenue portfolio or new products such as payments the development of new um of new verticals in inc all of those are increasing the diversification of our revenue and we'd argue also the resilience of that revenue model two questions were asked most commonly now, I'm sure it's on people's minds the most in the audience here, is how will the business perform in an inflationary environment and how will you perform in an economic downturn? Now, just answering those and trying to answer those in terms of inflation, I mean, our biggest revenue line is commission and clearly commission revenue is based to asset prices. And so we do have an inbuilt inflation head within the business. in our revenue line and so we're relatively comfortable about the impact of inflation on the organization in terms of how uh how the business performs in an economic downturn the first thing to say is we do have a very loyal auctioneer base we've always had very low churn uh we've seen no change in churn in recent months and we expect no change in the auctioneer shed largely based of our all based on the high level of value that we provide to those auctioneers it's not something that people will choose to do to come off the marketplace to save money Separately, if you look at the two sides of the business, arts and antiques and industrial and commercial, the arts and antiques industry as a whole is pro cyclical and does move with the economic cycle. But if you unpack that a little bit and look at what's driving it, actually, the majority of volatility comes from high end items typically sold by the big four auction houses where we are not a major player, where we are a major player is in mid market. And actually, that tends to be a lot more stable in respect to the cycle. level of activity is typically driven by supply as much as demand. But on the INC side, an important source of inventory is actually from insolvencies. And so the INC historically has seen more assets come to the marketplace in bad times than good. And so if you take those two together, probably a mildly counter-cyclical INC business and a mildly pro-cyclical ANA business across the two together, we'd say we're largely cycle neutral. So this slide gives a revenue bridge between the two half years. So last year's reported revenue 34.5. You can see bringing in LA and auction ability to create a pro forma of 15.3 and then a small FX difference of 0.1 gets you to 49.9 million constant currency revenue. on a pro forma basis last year. Add in 7.8 million of organic growth this year gets you a 16% pro forma revenue growth. So not much to see there. One thing I would draw out there, though, is you can see the FX movement is actually quite small between the two half years. 80% of our revenue is in dollars. When the dollar weakens, our reported revenue in sterling will come down. When the dollar strengthens, our reported revenue will go up. everyone i'm sure will be aware that the dollar has strengthened since the end of our reporting period um who's to say what will happen but if exchange rates stayed where they are now fx will be a bigger feature in our revenue movement year over year in the second half of the year than it has been in the first we can go to the next slide shows our P&L, slide 16, so it's revenue of 57.7 million, pro forma growth of 16%, as I've already said. And if you look towards the bottom of the table, you can see our adjusted EBITDA of 26.8. That's 46% adjusted EBITDA margin. Actually, that is lower than the first half last year margin of 49%. And the first half last year was a bit of an odd half year. So it was before we were a PLC. It was also a COVID period. um there wasn't much discretionary spend traveling so happening certainly no travel entertaining we weren't incurring the cost of being a plc so it's not a great benchmark probably a more uh a better kpi to look at would be the full year 21 a bit down margin which was 45 so we're one percent above the four year number we achieved last year Two or three things going on there. So we announced at the end of last year that we would be spending more and investing more in technology and marketing, in particular headcount there, so that's happening. We've also got the costs of being a PLC now fully in place through the whole period. Take those two together, they've probably reduced our EBITDA margin light for light by about two percentage points. We've also introduced payments in this half year. Payments is a good contributor to absolute profit, but does have a lower percentage margin. So that's probably reduced EBITDA margin percentage by about a percentage point. And offsetting those factors is just the natural operational gearing in the business, which has then pushed it back up to over 45% to 46% year over year. And the final comment on here, whilst it doesn't fall in adjusted EBITDAs, we did have a large amount of exceptional items last year related to the IPO. There's a charge of 9.1 million incurred in half year 21. There are no exceptional items in the current period. If we can move slide to slide 17 on free cash flow generation, our adjusted EBITDA of 26.8 million. So you had a small working capital outflow of 0.8, which just reflects the growth in the business and the natural amount that gets stuck in debtors. We have capex of 1.8 million, leaving our free cash flow at 24.3 million. That's 91% conversion from adjusted EBITDA. Also in the period paid interest and tax, 7.8 million in total. And then there's 4 million of fees and professional fees related to the acquisition of live auctioneers that have gone out in the period. All of those were contingent on the transaction completing. So it got paid once we'd closed the deal on the 1st of October. But those have now all gone out the door. And then we also had a gain on the dollar balances we were holding as we waited to pay the contingent consideration. in live auctioneers. All that consideration was paid by the end of the period, which left us with net debt of £120 million. That is net leverage of just below 2.5 times, which we ended up quite a bit below the target we talked about at the time of the acquisition of just below three times. Finally, if we move to the next slide, guidance for the rest of the year. So we are increasing our four-year guidance for revenue. Sales performance in the first half of 2022 has been better than we expected at a time when we set the guidance at the beginning of the year. But we're not withstanding that. We're still holding the line on our expectations for the second half of the year. But you put those two things together, the first half outperformance and the unchanged view the second half of the year, and it does increase our four-year revenue guidance. So we're now saying for four year FY22, we expect low double digit pro forma revenue growth. Percentage margin guidance remained unchanged of that. And we remain confident of achieving our medium term targets of mid teens plus pro forma revenue growth amid high 40s adjusted margin percentage. With that, I'll hand over to John Paul.

speaker
John Paul
CEO

I'll take us through the investment case now. So we view our investment cases really sitting within a very familiar and proven framework. We are operating in an industry that has that structural shift from offline to online, creating those positive tailwinds. We have a very strong competitive position, but with both geographic and vertical diversification and leadership in each of those respective marketplaces that we operate, which creates that flywheel that allows us to attract more assets, more bidders, very cost-effectively. We have a strong and scalable proprietary auction platform technology, and as you know, we operate five of our marketplaces on one platform, and the two most recent acquisitions we plan to move onto a single platform over the next two to three years. We also, in the bottom left box, have six proven growth levers. And as I've said before, we've had three years in a row where we've pulled all six of those levers, and we don't see any reason why we can't pull all six again this year. The fifth point is that, as Tom kind of spent most of the time on now, we have a very proven and attractive financial model that's very cyclically, with cyclically diversified revenue. And then the last part, so in light of all of those benefits we have from the outside and from the inside and from our competitive positioning, it really comes down to do we have the management team and the overall team to execute on the opportunity in front of us? And obviously we believe that we do. And I'll talk in a couple of slides about how that team has been strengthened recently. Next slide, please. So any good business, we believe, can clearly explain the value it brings. While we've talked about the value that we bring, we just wanted to highlight it a little bit for you. So if you look first at that top left portion for the first half of 22, 4.9 billion is the vast value of all the assets listed on our system. And given that the auction, if you think about a given auctioneer, they could be running auctions that have a value of 50,000 up through some of the very largest may run an auction for 5 million or so. But for a bidder, that means you're limited to, if you're going just to a single auctioneer, you're going and seeing just the inventory of that auctioneer. By having 4.9 billion assets listed in the first half of the year, that just gives you a sense for how much inventory we're helping give those bidders access to. And then when you look to the right side, then you see 89 million bidding sessions. So keep in mind that the vast majority of the auctioneers we work with are small and medium-sized businesses. So the 4,000 plus, probably 3,800 of them to 3,900 are small and regional businesses. And so giving them access to that global bidder base that generates that type of activity is kind of unparalleled in the world and what we do. And then you have below that the 6 million auction registrations in that period. So as I mentioned before, for a typical auctioneer in the old world, pre-online, you maybe would have gotten 300 to 400 people at a given auction. And that number is diminished for people showing up in the room. But the number online has grown dramatically. So we can bring a large number of the auctioneer's bidders and a lot of new bidders to that auctioneer, which are a huge source of his or her growth. And then finally, you have the 54 million bids in the bottom left. And the reason why we focus on the number of bids placed as opposed to just the winners is that when we're talking about the value that we're bringing for our customers, we get paid, it's true, only when our customer is the winning bidder. However, we're driving value for the auctioneer with every single bid we bring because we could be the underbidder, we could be the penultimate bidder, or we could be just the bidder that kind of got the activity moving and creates that excitement around the auction. So we're adding value even when we're not actually the final winning bidder. So with that, if you go to the next slide, slide 23, this is one you've seen before. And I think one of the things that's nice about this slide is that I imagine you'll be seeing it from us for the next 10 years, because this is something that we don't see changing. As you've heard me say before, we believe ATG is in the very beginning of its journey still. And we have these growth levers which are very accessible to us. So what we continue to work towards this year is to execute against all six of these. So if you take them in turn, extending the TAM is really through growing our THV. And we can do that by adding auction houses in existing verticals, moving into new geographies, or simply getting auctioneers who work with us already to put more of their assets onto our system. Growing that online penetration, we can do by either working to move the auction format from the auctioneer side from timed auctions to live online only, sorry, from live auctions to timed or live online only. And from the bidder side, we're able to follow that well-proven path of investing in better search, better images, cookie trails, all the typical UX elements that would be considered conversion rate optimization. The third part, which is quite unique to us and which gets better as we get bigger is the cross-listing capability. So the more that we can buy marketplaces or use the marketplaces we have to allow cross-listing on different ones, we add value to the whole network that nobody else can add. The fourth one is expanding our operating leverage, and whether that be centralizing finance and HR and other activities, or whether it be moving towards a single platform, that in turn allows ATG to continue to optimize that operating leverage. area is the value-added services. And in this particular case, it's really a focus on payments and digital marketing, which Tom went into. But there's a whole slew of additional value-added services that we believe we can add that will materially grow that take rate and our revenues. And most importantly, it also is going to be adding the value that we bring for the auctioneers and for the bidders. And then the last bit, which is the accretive M&A. And as I've said, we remain disciplined in our approach, but we continue to look and explore multiple opportunities. And the great thing is that there are multiple opportunities out there. And so we're excited about what that will bring in the future. Next slide. So we just wanted to give you a bit of some of the concrete things that we've actually done against the user experience, because we've enhanced the value proposition for both auctioneers and bidders over this period. First of all, we're driving great bidder acquisition. And that's a key reason why we've kept those growth gains that Tom talked about from COVID. And then we've built on those. So we've invested in our SEO, hired an expert who is focusing on that, looking at everything from the way that we use the keywords for descriptions in our lots and the way that we categorize each of the items that we put on the site. We've also invested in improved site search and we'll continue to do that. The second bucket where we've increased auction registration. So we have a huge series of revamped marketing emails. And one of the key things to focus on, maybe you're a customer, maybe you've gotten some of those and you should notice that they're cleaner, better images, better calls to action, less cluttered. And one of the things that tells us we're doing a good job there is the fact that our open rate is 50%. And when we all think about our inboxes and how much comes in to get a 50% open rate on a marketing email is I think a great job by our team. improved bidder success as well. So last year, we talked about implementing a recommendation engine for the first time at ATG. And we've done that. And one of the things we're seeing is that, again, our underbidder recommendation, which is, again, the bidder who didn't win the item that was up for sale, we will send them a message about similar items. And we have a 50% click-through rate on that email that goes out as well, which is a great sign for the future. On the next slide, we cover a few more of these. So the first one, slide I think we'll catch up in a minute. But so one of the metrics that we've asked that you focus on beyond THV is our growth in timed auction adoption, and that has continued strongly. So you saw the number, our overall THV was up 27%, but timed auctions were up 32%. So again, growing even more quickly than the rest of the business. Point five, maintaining high auctioneer retention rates. So again, on a revenue basis, 97% retention. And with all the change going on, as Tom talked about, whether it be cost pressures, other things going on, we are not the channel that people are ever going to drop because of the value that we bring. And that's a real testament as well to the account management teams that we have, as well as the technology and bidders that we're bringing. And then that sixth point, so again, our ability to grow value-added services. We did buy live auctioneers in October. We said that we would, one of the key reasons we bought them was for the payments. And value-added services is up 63% in the first half of the year, which we're very excited by. But one of the other things that we're excited by is that we hit our first milestone with payments being rolled out more broadly. So as I've said, what we plan to do is to roll payments out hopefully by december broadly across proxy bit are beginning to be rolled out but the first milestone that we set for the team that we didn't talk about back in december was that we wanted to see one pound or one dollar worth of payments get processed through the system to make sure everything works so what we call it is you know a kind of a minimum viable test and um rather than a full minimum viable product. And we got through that minimum viable test in May and we processed our first dollar of payment through Proxibid. So we're excited by that. And now it's a case of scaling up and growing that capabilities that we can roll out fully beginning in December. So Live Auctioneers is the acquisition that we made on October 1st. And as we said, it's performing ahead of expectations. And that is driven by multiple factors. So first of all, the group is progressing well in terms of its integration to ATG. In the times that I've been out there, one of the great things has been the common culture, the common attitude toward customers and how we want to serve and the opportunity that we see in the market and how we want to go after that. And that's from the leadership team with Phil Michelson all the way down to all the other people I've met within Live Auctioneers. And so it's exciting for us to have seen what we saw and what made us excited about acquiring that business and then to see it really coming to life. And the reason why I focused on that bottom bullet around sharing best practices, when you sometimes have a business that you're buying and you're taking a component of that and wanting to make it available to the rest of the business, that requires a lot of collaboration and there can be you know, people who want to own it and hold on. And one of the great things I think we've said is that we created this team. That's a joint team between live auctioneers and the legacy ATG group. And it actually is a legacy ATG group plus the legacy proxy bid group. So three different teams working on this and it's gone incredibly well and a great leadership by our chief product officer and by our SVP of corporate development, we've pulled that together and really led, led the group. So, and as I said, we've hit that first milestone. Go to the next slide. So with this opportunity that we have in front of us and both the external things going in our favor, as well as the momentum that we've created so far, the real question I think often comes up is, for me, it's just, okay, how do we continue to build the team that can take advantage of this opportunity and that has the right behaviors, the right attitude towards our customers, because as you know, we've had the shared success model and that's a key part of what we want going forward. So what we've done in this last period, we believe is to really add a significant depth to our team. So we've added a global CTO who is based out of New York. His name is Patush Rai. And he comes from Kaplan. He has deep experience at integrating multiple platforms. He also has done real strong work on user experience and how to make every single thing you do relevant for your customer. And so we're excited to bring him on board. The second person we brought on board is our first chief people officer, and this is Darren Ali. He will be based out of London. And what really attracted us to Darren is the fact that he had deep international experience, and he also has post-merger integration experience. But then the last piece is really – in my interviews with him, he talked a lot about the employee experience, so not just about – the customers which the rest of the business can be focused on but we have an executive who's focused on the employee experience and in the job market that we have right now and even if recession looms and you know jobs are not quite as plentiful as they have been recently what you still want is a company that's investing in its people and creating experience that matters because everything we're trying to do is based on our team and that investing in our chief people officer is hopefully giving you an indication of the importance we place on that And the third person I wanted to mention there is Rob Cummings. So Rob Cummings was the chief product officer and chief technology officer at Live Auctioneers. And we promoted Rob to be our first chief product officer. And so he will be overseeing all product development going forward. And if you look at Live Auctioneers, which is a step or two ahead of the Legacy AGD team in terms of the user experience, we think that bodes really well for our future as well. On the next slide, you should see the three new board members that we added. So I think that made it in. So we've added three new board members as well. And as you know, we have Brienne Corcoran, Scott Forbes, and Morgan Siegler, who are on our board already. Penny Ladkin-Brand needed to move back to future because she was only allowed one board seat. And so we've now added Suzanne Baxter from WH Smith as our new audit chair. We added Pauline Reeder, who was the CMO at Stitch Fix and formerly senior executive in marketing at eBay. And then we've also added Tamsen Todd, who is the CEO of Find My Past and also was at Amazon previously and has deep product experience. And so we're happy to welcome all three of them onto our board, which, again, we think will make us a stronger team. So what is so exciting for me and our team and our board is that this is really still the beginning for ATG. We are doing well. There's lots of great things to talk about, but this is still just the beginning. So one of the things I wanted to set out for you is the way that we view the business right now. And so we really see our businesses evolving in three investment horizons. We have the foundation, we have the end-to-end experience, and then we have the expansion phase. And so the foundation phase was really what we did up until the IPO, where we focused on building the technology that could work in multiple verticals, multiple geographies, We looked at unifying a very fragmented market to create the best inventory that was available for secondary and specialized goods. And we also wanted to create the best bidder base. And also key within that was that we really wanted to do this in a collaborative way with our customers, particularly the auctioneers. And that's why we have focused very much on this shared success model where we make money only if they make money. We are now approaching investment horizon two, though. And while we will continue to build on that foundation indefinitely, we now will start to direct more and more of our resources towards the end-to-end experience. And what does that really mean? It really is around the UX of our site. So you've heard me say before, on a scale of one to 10, if Amazon is up there at maybe a nine for buyer experience, we may be at a four or five. And relative to the rest of the way the auction industry works, we could be considered very good. but there's a long way to go for it moving towards an e-commerce standard that we feel really happy with. So investing in better images, better descriptions, a better end-to-end buying experience for the bidder, an easier selling experience for the auctioneers. All of these things are going to be key to what we do while preserving the uniqueness of the auction format, because we believe that's a differentiator for us. It's also, we believe the way that you see many different businesses moving because the options allow you to see the true uh value of an asset and for bidders to actually understand that as well especially in a very open environment like the one we provide so we're excited by that and then when you look forward though uh to investment horizon three after that we're gradually moving into that as well but it's not receiving the bulk of our resources but as we move into that that's really about moving beyond the core transaction into the entire auction ecosystem and the entire auction value chain. So launching more value-added services to help auctioneers, whether it be digital marketing, payments, integrated delivery would be another one. We have financing, restoration, insurance, repair, maintenance, and logistics. There's a huge number of opportunities businesses out there that provide these services. And today there's no hub through which they can actually access someone buying something at the point of a transaction. So we believe we're uniquely positioned to offer all of these businesses access to incremental revenue. And again, as we do this, we firmly believe that we will be attracting more assets and more types of assets into the auction network. If you look at eBay years ago, it was Beanie Babies. And then as they proved it out, it's expanded to what it is today. We believe that curated auction format, which is one that we provide where everything is being sold by an expert, is opening up a new world for secondary goods. And that's why we believe we're uniquely positioned to unlock the value of those goods for consignors who are selling through auctioneers and giving bidders access to that incredible range of unique and specialized inventory. As we extended the auction ecosystem, we will enhance the bidder value proposition while also lowering auctioneer costs. We are not going to be an auctioneer, and that's something we want to make very clear. We are here to be a marketplace that brings bidders, and we believe that by sitting in the middle, there's incredible value to be created while allowing the auctioneers to do what they do best. And so the great thing for us is that we can grow that take rate, as you saw earlier, uh gradually ticking up if we had kind of looked at it without the the influence of some of the other things we're going on for mix and adding the payments adding delivery adding other components to this will allow us to grow that take rate gradually up without it costing the auctioneers any more money and that's a real part of what we believe is going to allow us to be successful in the future so again more the more auctioneers do online the more that we'll save and the more of these services we offer the more the atg will be able to grow Next slide. So we are, as I said, in the very early stages of the growth and transformation of the auction industry. And we really wanted to leave you with what we believe are the five key takeaways, which the first one being that structural shift from offline to online has continued. So that growth on growth, the fact that we've had two phenomenal years of growth off of COVID, and then off of that, we've still been able to grow, is a real testament to the fact that the auction industry moving online is happening. The second big bullet we wanted to look at was this diversified and resilient revenue. The fact that we are not constrained geographically or by vertical and the fact that we have multiple growth levers beyond just our commission fee, we think makes us incredibly resilient and that's really proven out and will become even more apparent over these next years. The third point is that we think we have strengthened our competitive position. We're stronger than we were six months ago. We're a better business than we were six months ago. And amidst all the change that's happened, that's an exciting thing to be able to say. The fourth is the six growth drivers. So again, I have that one slide. It's a simple slide, but the reason we put it up is that it shows that it's not independent growth levers. Each of those are mutually reinforcing and there's a compound growth benefit to them. And what I would hope is that we're showing you that same slide in five or seven or 10 years, because all of those levers are very pullable for a long time to come. And then the last part I wanted to mention was that we do have the team to execute. And I think whether you look at the live auctioneers team where I've been incredibly impressed by the commitment of them to the customer, their innovation, their real nimbleness, as well as looking at the proximate team and their response to the customers, the handling of the massive volume increase we've had, And then the legacy ATG team, all three of these groups and Auction Mobility plus Lattissimo and Bidspotter, the other businesses we bought over these years have all really pulled together. People have adapted and grown. And so I really cannot say enough about our team. It's not just the executives that you're hiring up at the top. It's really the people doing the work day in and day out. And I think we've really proven that we have a great team. We've added great members to our team and that that's going to be a key part of our success going forward. So with that, the next slide. There are only two more, don't worry. The circular economy comment that you hear us talk about is not just a vacuous statement. It's something that can actually be measured. And so what you see here is something that we talked about before, but I just want to reiterate, is that we looked at the top 15 categories of items sold on ATG last year. And we had this done by an external consulting company that actually measures carbon emissions for different businesses. And they came back and said that based on those top 15 items, ATG helped save by facilitating the sale of these items, approximately 1 million tons of carbon emissions versus if someone had gone and bought those same items new. And that equated to the carbon capture of 50 million mature trees per year. And if you go to the next slide. The goal that we have as a business, though, is we see this massive terrain of the auction industry, $100 billion on the industrial and commercial side, $40 to $50 billion on the art and antique side. If you can go to the next slide. And what we really are aiming for is to see whether ATG can save the equivalent of a billion trees in a given year and create that carbon capture benefit. While that is, of course, a massive goal, it's more than 10 times the size business that we are today. My thinking around this has been, who knows? If you don't set a big goal, huge goal like that, then you're guaranteed you're not going to hit it. And if you do set it and you come even marginally close to it, it's a pretty massive accomplishment. And I think it's a big motivator for our team. Uh, they care about the sustainable side of what we do. The fact that everything we do is facilitating growth at that circular economy. And so it's a big ambition for us, but it's one that we're setting out there. We're not setting a timeline on when it's going to be achieved, but, um, it's something that motivates us and which we think is an exciting part about our future. So with that, um, I think Tom and I will take any Q&A that you have.

speaker
Becky Edelman
Director of Investor Relations

Any Q, I guess you have.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you, sir. If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, press star one to ask a question. We will now take our first question from Garrett Davis from Lewis. Please go ahead.

speaker
Garrett Davis
Analyst, Lewis

Hi, morning guys. Can you hear me? Yep. So the 46% penetration in terms of timed auctions in the INC business is clearly a very impressive performance and ahead of what we were hoping. Tom made a throwaway comment about the success in timed auctions. I just wondered if you could expand a little bit on that comment. Are there certain verticals where that's working particularly well and what's really driving that momentum? And then secondly, sort of relating that to the A&A market, is there still a reluctance in terms of A&A auctioneers to move to timed? Was the live auctioneers business doing timed auctions or is that sort of a win for you as we look into next year? And then the second question really goes to the payments rollout. You've sort of alluded to December, you'll launch to proxy bid customers. Can you talk a little bit about where proxy bid customers are at the moment versus where live auctioneers customers were when they launched? Is it a sort of similar dynamic? And so we should be hopeful of similar penetration or are there things we need to be mindful of in terms of what those customers are using at the moment? Maybe leave it at those two for now. Tom, do you want to do the first question?

speaker
Becky Edelman
Director of Investor Relations

I'll do the second.

speaker
Tom Hargreaves
CFO

Yeah, so the comment on timed auctions specifically related to the new CHV that we've brought on, particularly with regards to real estate, where the majority of that activity has come on in timed, which gives us 100% online share. which overall has boosted the total online share, which was 46%, which I think was the number you're referring to. If you remove the impact of real estate, there's continued to be good penetration of timed auctions. It's actually grown largely in line with overall THV, so the percentage of THV penetration is relatively unchanged where it was before. uh last last year but it's continued to grow in line with thv um with regards to arts and antiques the penetration there remains very low um it is increasing at the edges but certainly isn't having the same effect that uh it's it's having in industrial and commercial which is very strong um and therefore that very much is in the camp of future opportunity yep and just kind of someone was live

speaker
Garrett Davis
Analyst, Lewis

Sorry, was Live Auctioneers offering that to their customers or is that something new to their customer base?

speaker
John Paul
CEO

Live Auctioneers also is offering timed auctions, but similar to the Sailor Militissimo, that take-up is relatively low right now. But the thing to keep in mind is that when you look out at Sotheby's and Christie's, which are maybe the bellwethers for the rest of the industry, the amount of timed auctions they are doing is increasing massively. I think it's four or five times. And What often happens is what the market leaders do, the businesses will adopt because when Sotheby's and Christie's are running a timed auction for the bottom end of what they're selling, that's often a lot of what is the sweet spot for our auctioneers. So if Sotheby's and Christie's can show that they can run a timed auction selling items between 500 and 10,000 pounds, then that should really be a message for our auctioneers, we hope, to engage fully in timed auctions more. And you do have some more innovative auctioneers experimenting more with timed auctions with us, you know, Sorters being one just north of London. But you need to, you know, we believe that it will be a gradual adoption in art antiques, not quite as quick as you've seen in the industrial commercial side where the moving of those heavy assets just lends to a timed adoption format even more quickly. The second question you asked though was around payments on Proxibid. And we believe that they have similar dynamics where they often have independent contracts with payment gateways. They have an internal team doing a lot of collections management and it's a big pain point for the auctioneers. And so we believe the dynamics are quite similar. The part that's different is that if you think about the size of payment that's going on in the industrial commercial side, It's a much bigger payment, and there are more payments that are made with ACH, e-check, and those formats as opposed to credit card. And so there will be a little bit of a different dynamic there, which is why we're not giving a forecast on the rate of adoption, whether it will be the same as live auctioneers. LiveAuctioneers has had an exceptionally quick rate of adoption, as Tom said, crossing over 50% adoption within the auctioneer base within 15 months. We're not expecting it to be that fast, but we're not giving a detailed forecast yet on how quick it will be.

speaker
Garrett Davis
Analyst, Lewis

Perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

As a reminder, to ask a telephone question, please signal by pressing star 1. We will now take our next question from James Lockwer from Powell Hunt. Please go ahead.

speaker
James Lockwer
Analyst, Powell Hunt

Hi, yes, it's James Lockwer from Powell Hunt. Thanks for taking my questions. Three from me, please. So on competition, you've talked about improving your SEO performance in the period. And whenever I look at your SEO performance, you perform well on Google. Can you just give us an idea of what you've done there to improve your SEO performance and if you've widened your gap to your peers specifically, and are there any peers that you are more or less worried about than you were six months ago? That's the first question. Second question, on ANA, as we've sort of talked about, you saw a reduction in the online share. Just wondering if there's a structural issue with that from preventing you from growing faster there, obviously the fact that you might want to look at the item in real life first. So I was wondering if we could think about, is there a ceiling we should think about in terms of online share for ANA? And if there are any tech investments you could do, such as 3D imaging, for example, that might help reduce any potential retrenchment. And then the third question, obviously with your type of business model, operational gearing is incredible. We look forward to seeing more of that. But how much of a buffer do you have within your cost base in case of a major weakness on the top line? What gives you enough comfort that the operational gearing won't work the same way, the other way around?

speaker
Becky Edelman
Director of Investor Relations

So, Tom, I'll do the first two and then you do the third.

speaker
John Paul
CEO

So in terms of the SEO, I won't go into huge amounts of detail, but the key part that we're looking at is the way that we display our categories, the way that our categories are set up, the way that we take in lots. So we're looking at ways that we can help entrepreneurs auto categorize more accurately. If you go on our sites, you'll see there's just a wide range of categories. detail that an auctioneer will provide, and sometimes items will be miscategorized, or we will have so many categories that we weren't grouping things properly. So the SEO expert we brought in has been able to help us understand better the way that we can set up our categories, the way we can take in lots. In terms of relative to our peers, what are we doing? I don't really know what our peers are doing differently. We just know that with that combination of the SEO and the CRM work that we're doing, which is allowing us to reach bidders either who won with more relevant information or be that underbidder that we're allowing being able to reach that it's having a good success rate. And so that's going to allow us to direct people more directly to lots that will be relevant for them. So again, those are kind of the key foundation pieces. If you have more questions on that, I'll probably get more detail and then come back to you from our product team. In terms of the A&A-

speaker
James Lockwer
Analyst, Powell Hunt

So I guess the last part was around competition, whether you're more or less worried about any of the others at this point in time.

speaker
John Paul
CEO

And again, right now, I don't think we're worried about anybody any more or less than we were before. We feel that our competitive position has gotten stronger. We've seen that growth even in this environment. And so we feel very comfortable with our competitive position. Thank you. On the ANA side, you also asked if there are structural issues keeping us from what's the online share ceiling. And I think that's always a really tricky one to answer because again, if you'd asked all of us 25 years ago, would we be buying cars online? I think everyone would have said no way. And what we see year in and year out is that the ceiling on what the price point at which people are willing to buy and the types of items that people are willing to buy online just continues to go up. And so even if we weren't doing anything beyond keeping the buying experience more secure, I would believe that that would continue to go up that ceiling as people get more familiar. But the fact is, is that we are doing more. And so some of those things are when you say what are the technical investments we could make? i think i see it more as what are the experience-based investments that we can make which is why you know we have that second horizon the end-to-end experience because today auctions are have a very disaggregated feel where you know you search then you have to register for the auction then you get to bid then you have to wait a few days to actually get the item to even wait for the auction to happen and then you have to arrange uh get payment you often buy a separate email and then you have to arrange for your own delivery Just integrating those elements combined with what the auctioneers provide in terms of curation, we believe is going to greatly increase the trust and confidence that people have in buying at auction, and particularly by buying at auction through ATG. And so those are the technical investments we're going to make. We also have other things. We've talked about things like the virtual auctions and virtual galleries and other things you can do. And there's a lot of exciting tech emerging there, but that is not going to be what propels us forward. I think these fundamentals getting in place first are going to be the most important, and then we can look at getting more creative after we've gotten those fundamentals in place. Hopefully that answers your question.

speaker
Tom Hargreaves
CFO

So with regards to your third question, operational gearing, I mean, you're quite right. We are a business that's operationally geared and we enjoy the benefit of that when revenue grows. If revenue is to go backwards, then the flip side of that is we would have, we probably would see a disproportionate impact on profit. The cost is always costs, discretionary costs within the business, but most of our costs, the biggest single cost line for us are people, which are hard to change in the short term. And frankly, unless we thought that any revenue downturn was a long-term thing, we would be very loath to cut anything too deeply. But I guess the way we really manage that issue is we tend to take quite a cautious approach in the way we think about things and the way we forecast stuff. We tend to invest once we see the revenues there rather than in anticipation of revenue. And so we generally don't, we're in a position where because of that, the investment decisions we make are based on sort of tangible performance of the business rather than the hopeful performance of the business. And as such, we have been able to avoid sort of over-investing and adverse hits or unexpected hits to margin when things didn't materialise in the way we might have hoped. But essentially, there's some truth in your point.

speaker
James Lockwer
Analyst, Powell Hunt

Thank you. And I guess just as a follow-up, do you have any data points that you could point to about how you performed in the last financial crisis?

speaker
Tom Hargreaves
CFO

So it's quite hard, because the last financial crisis, it depends when you define the last financial crisis, but I guess really. Eight, nine, I guess. Yeah. So during that period, the business was a very different size business and enjoying quite a strong structural shift online. And every time we've looked at this for the bits of the business, we have got data. It's been hard to discern any impact from the wider economic environment on our performance. Now we would say that's partly you know that that's to do with the general cycle new cycle neutral nature of the business but also it's fair to say during those periods the business was just growing because the world was shifting online which could also have overwhelmed any impact from the economic cycle.

speaker
James Lockwer
Analyst, Powell Hunt

That's great thank you guys and well done again.

speaker
Conference Operator

There appears to be no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the conference back to the speakers for any additional or closing remarks.

speaker
John Paul
CEO

So again, thank you for taking the time to listen in today. We're very excited by where ATG sits and what the future holds. And as I said, I think our team has done an exceptional job over this period and the investments we've made in new people and some of the new technologies we believe is going to begin to bear fruit as well. And right now, the big thing that we're focused on is, again, that rollout of payments in December. Lots of other things going on as well, but payments, we believe, is an important part of providing that better experience that we talked about just at the end here. So thank you for your time, and we look forward to any questions that we'll be getting in the one-on-one sessions.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-