Inchcape plc

Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining us for our 2021 full year results. As usual, I'm joined by our CFO, Heisbert de Zooten, and our head of investor relations, Raghav Gupta. We'll begin with a short presentation, followed by your questions. Today's presentation will be available on the group website and a recording of this call will also be uploaded later today. We've set out the agenda on slide three. I'll begin by running through the year's highlights and headline financials before handing over to Heisbert, who will cover the financial performance in more detail. At our capital markets day in November, we provided a detailed overview of our accelerate strategy. And therefore, the aim of my presentation today is to summarise the progress we have made during 2021 on our two growth pillars. The formal presentation will end with our usual looking ahead section and a reminder of the highly attractive investment proposition that is Inchcape. We'll then open the lines for your questions. So let's get started. On slide four, we have summarized the highlights of 2021. 2021 was a very good year for Inchcape. In spite of numerous challenges that impacted our markets around the world, we delivered a strong set of results. On behalf of the board, I'd like to express our thanks to the 15,000 colleagues across the globe for all their efforts and ongoing dedication. The excellent work by our teams resulted in strong execution and we delivered positive growth across all regions. While supply constraints weighed on volumes, particularly in the second half, this was compensated by higher gross margins. During the year, we formally launched our accelerate strategy. we focused on two huge growth opportunities. Growth of distribution remains at our core, and we are putting greater emphasis on capturing more of a vehicle's lifecycle value. All of our teams have developed robust plans as to how they will help us drive greater share of both growth pillars. The future is exciting. While there are plenty of organic opportunities to grow our business, we are the leader in a highly fragmented global market. Over the past 12 months, we've continued to shift our portfolio towards distribution. We have secured five new distribution agreements, adding a number of new OEMs and markets, and also further reduced our retail-only exposure. When I joined the business in the middle of 2020, I was excited about how Inchcape could make better use of technology. Since then we have strengthened our capabilities and made focused investments, resulting in significant progress with both our digital and data agendas. We've continued to transform our digital footprint with the rollout of our omnichannel platform now live across 27 OEM markets. This was 18 when we presented to you at the Capital Market Day and one at the beginning of 2021. We've also scaled our analytics capability based on our digital delivery centers, which is making better use of data to drive smarter and more informed business decisions. Vehicle lifecycle services is our second growth pillar. There is significant profit opportunity beyond the first phase of a vehicle's life, and we identified this as a huge growth opportunity for the group. In Q4, we launched the first of our VLS businesses, Bravo Auto, our multi-brand, digital-first used car platform. While still early days, the signs are encouraging. And finally, we formalized our ESG strategy, which we call responsible business. This is fundamental to the way we act and operate as a business across the globe and played a key role as we set out our strategy. It's been a busy year, but a good year for Inchcape. This is also reflected in our financial performance. Slide five shows the 2021 headline KPIs. As you can see, the group's performance was strong across all metrics. Revenue was 7.6 billion pounds, which on an organic basis represents an increase of 21%. Our operating margin came in at 4.3% compared to 2.4% in 2020 and 4% in 2019. The group's PBT for the period was £296 million. This is a really pleasing result and highlights the swift recovery of both top line and profits back to 2019 levels, supported by strong operational execution on our actions to significantly reduce overhead costs. Free cash flow generation was £289 million, which represents another year of excellent cash conversion of 88%. The Group's EPS was 56.2 pence, and based on our 40% payout ratio, this translates into a full-year dividend of 22.5 pence. Let me now hand over to Heisbert, who will run through the financial performance in more detail.

Thank you, Duncan, and good morning, everyone. Let's start with the headline income statement figures on slide 7. Full-year revenue of £7.6 billion was split broadly evenly between the halves. The £3.7 billion of second-half revenue was 8% above the prior year, on an organic basis. The slightly lower revenue compared to the first half reflects the lost contribution of disposed retail businesses and the impact of supply shortages. A combination of the improved top-line performance, higher gross margins and overhead savings supported a significantly better operating margin of 4.3%, which is 30 basis points ahead of 2019. The improvement in operating profit flowed through to group PBT of £296 million. On a comparable basis, adjusting for the impact of currency, which reflects the strengthening of the pound, and the changes to our business portfolio, our profits are back to 2019 levels. A great result and a testament to the strong execution across our markets. On slide 8, we provide a revenue bridge for the year from 2019. Group revenue in 2019 was £9.4 billion. The revenue contribution from new distribution businesses was £300 million, while we have disposed of £1.4 billion of revenue from retail businesses. The strengthening of the British pound results in a currency headwind of £500 million, so the £7.6 billion of revenue generated in 2021 is therefore 3% below the underlying level of a comparable 2019. This highlights the strength of the top-line recovery that we've seen in the business, supported by our geographical diversification. Now moving to slide 9. This slide shows the organic revenue trend for the group and for the distribution and retail businesses by comparing performance in the first half and the subsequent quarters versus 2019. Following five consecutive quarters of organic growth improvement compared to 2019, performance in Q4 was held back by supply shortages, as we had expected. While the impact from lower supply was more pronounced in the retail division, the distribution division was also affected. And while vehicle sales were weaker, both divisions experienced a relatively resilient after-sales performance. Let's now look at the segmental performance in more detail, starting with distribution revenue trends by region on slide 10. Here we show a map which highlights our global distribution presence. Starting on the right with Asia, all markets delivered positive growth. Despite the year-on-year improvement, the Singapore vehicle license cycle and general softness in Hong Kong weighed on the performance of the region. Outside of those two markets, the rest of Asia showed an encouraging trend. In Australasia, the top-line performance was supported by the launch of the new Subaru Outback, helping the brand gain market share. However, revenue in the second half was weighed down by supply shortages and strict COVID-related restrictions. Europe saw an uptick in demand across all markets, with the region's revenue back above 2019 levels. We gained share in a number of markets, supported by some new model launches. The Americas and Africa saw the strongest year-on-year increase, and revenue in the region is also now higher than in 2019. In Americas, robust demand supported the bounce back, while performance in Africa has continued to be solid. On slide 11, we show the revenue and operating profit performance by region from 2019 to 2021. Distribution segment revenue came in at 4.7 billion pounds, up 22% on an organic basis. Operating profit was £246 million, with margins improving to 5.3%, up 160 basis points versus 2020. In Asia, margins improved year on year. However, relative to 2019, profitability remains low, given where we are in the volume cycle. we expect a gradual improvement of profitability from the second half of 2022. In Australasia, profits started to rebound in 2021, although this was held back by pandemic-related restrictions and supply shortages in the second half. Notwithstanding any further disruptions, we expect margins will continue to improve in 2022. In Europe, the rebound of profits towards 19 levels was a function of the strong top line and overhead savings. And in Americas and Africa, the operating margin of 7.3% was 80 basis points above the equivalent period in 2019, with a meaningful benefit from our cost restructuring efforts driving profits above 19 levels. While some markets are below 2019 levels, the group geographic diversification has continued to support its performance. We've also continued to add new businesses over the past 12 months, adding a total of £200 million of revenue to the distribution segment. Now moving to retail on slide 12. Retail revenue amounted to 3 billion pounds and this includes some contribution from retail businesses that we have now disposed in Russia and the UK. The step down in absolute revenue since 2019 reflects significant pruning of our retail exposure. On an underlying basis the business is broadly at 19 levels. The strong rebound of revenues masks the impact of prolonged lockdown in the UK in Q1 and the vehicle supply shortages. In terms of profitability, we saw an improvement in vehicle gross margins with robust pricing in light of supply-demand imbalance and also the positive impact from our cost restructuring efforts. The part of our Russian business we saw towards the end of the first half contributed around 10 million pounds to the 21 retail profits. This resulted in the delivery of a strong operating margin at 2.8%. As indicated at our capital markets day, as and when the supply situation normalizes, we expect margins will trend towards circa 1.5%. Turning now to slide 13 with a more detailed review of the income statement. We generated operating profit of £328 million, a material increase compared to 2020. Our net interest expense fell to £32 million as we carried less inventory and we benefited from lower interest rates. Exceptional charges amounted to £101 million. The majority of the charge relates to the 72 million loss on the disposal of our retail operations in Russia where we realized 110 million of accumulated foreign exchange losses upon disposal. We also booked 13 million of restructuring cost as we concluded our cost restructuring program and an expense in relation to the amortization of software assets following a change in accounting standard. The underlying tax rate for the year was 24.2%, broadly in line with the underlying tax rate we expect in the medium term. Our EPS on a pre-exceptional basis was 56.2 pence. Now moving on to slide 14 and cash. Cash generation was strong once again, reflective of the highly cash generative nature of our business model and the continuing focus on cash flow management. As per the previous slide, the group generated operating profits of £328 million and a combination of a net working capital inflow of £44 million and a lower-than-expected net capex of £40 million contributed to the strong free cash flow generation. Total free cash flow amounted to £289 million, representing a cash conversion of 88%. Going forward, this business remains asset-light and while net capex was lower than normal in 2021, we expect it will continue to be less than 1% of sales. In terms of working capital, while the supply situation remains uncertain, we expect the inventory situation will normalize in time. This could be towards the end of this year or during 2023. Depending on the magnitude of the working capital outflow, this could temporarily weigh on our free cash flow conversion range of 60 to 70%. During the year, we made dividend payments amounting to £52 million, and this includes the 2020 dividend and the interim 2021 dividend. The disposal of a part of our retail business in Russia generated £70 million of cash, which was partly absorbed by the consideration paid for the commercial vehicle business in Guam and Mercedes-Benz Guatemala. In light of the strong financial position at the interims, we launched a £100 million share buyback, which is now complete. As at the end of December, we had completed £81 million of this. Excluding leases, we ended the period with net cash of £379 million compared to £266 million net cash at the end of 2020. This brings me to capital allocation on slide 15. Inchcape is a very cash-generative business and has a track record of disciplined capital allocation over many years. You can expect the same level of rigour and prudence to continue. Our first priority is to invest in the business. Given our relatively asset-light model, focused on the higher growth distribution segment and increasing focusing on digital, this tends not to be a large call on capital. The second priority is dividends. We've declared a full-year dividend of 22.5 pence, based on our policy of a 40% payout ratio of EPS. The final dividend of 16.1 pence will be paid in June. The third pillar is Value Accretive M&A, which remains a key feature of our policy, and Duncan will talk more about this shortly. Finally, after each of the previous three priorities have been considered, we consider the appropriateness of share buybacks. And we have today announced a new £100 million share buyback to be completed over the next 12 months. Underpinning all of this is our view that the maximum leverage ratio that we would consider appropriate for the group is 1 times EBITDA on the pre-IFRS 16 basis. Our operating margin in the second half was 4.6%, which largely reflects the benefit of higher gross margins. This is a business with extremely attractive financial characteristics, reflected in both high returns and cash generation. It also has very exciting growth prospects. In 2021, the group ROKI was 30%. Highly attractive returns is one of the many attributes of the distribution business model. The distribution segment accounts for a greater proportion of the group's capital and highlights our disciplined approach to capital allocation. Our free cash flow conversion in 2021 was 88%. Another very strong year. Longer term, we remain comfortable with a free cash flow conversion range of between 60% and 70%, which is also highly attractive. Net cash worth £379 million at year end, which gives us significant headroom for further acquisitions. And with that, let me hand back to Duncan.

Thank you, Huisbert. Let's now move to an update on our strategic progress. I'm on slide 18. As a reminder, this is our Accelerate strategic framework. It has two huge and exciting growth opportunities in distribution excellence and vehicle lifecycle services. Both of these are supported by three key enablers. Culture and capabilities. This is about people, relationships and innovation. Digital data and analytics. This is the key to our differentiation and growth. efficient scale operations, and this is all about leveraging our scale. If we can get these elements firing in the right way we have planned, all on a bedrock of responsible business, then I am confident that this strategy will deliver more customers, more markets, more OEMs, and fundamentally, more value for shareholders. Let's move to slide 19. Here we show the size of the opportunity in two key growth drivers, and it's fair to say that the opportunity is enormous. On the left-hand side, you can see the total number of vehicles that are sold every year across the world. There are about 90 million. Of these, there are about 17 million vehicles sold in markets that are best suited to Inchcape. So a 17 million addressable market for distribution excellence, of which today we have around a 1% share. That makes us the global leader. It also demonstrates that there is an enormous amount of headroom for growth. On the right-hand side, we break down the vehicle lifecycle value. The initial user phase, where Inchcape is very present, accounts for 25% of the total profit pool for each vehicle's life. 75% of the profit turns up from year four onwards, and this is the segment that is currently underserved by Inchcape. This is the focus of the vehicle lifecycle services growth driver. So two enormous opportunities that we are looking to take a greater share of. Let's now dive into distribution excellence on slide 20. We have built a distribution platform that our OEMs can plug into to drive performance. The blue areas on the outside of the circle show all of the responsibilities we have as a distributor and part of the value we bring to our OEMs. The differentiated aspects of our distribution platform are shown in the nucleus of the diagram. It is differentiated because of our investments in digital customer experience, our data analytics capabilities, our global connected platform which delivers efficiencies, and of course, brilliant people, brilliant entrepreneurs that drive results in each of our markets. So how does all of this give us an edge over our competition? We have three key competitive advantages. We are the global leading distributor with presence in over 40 markets across six continents. This scale gives us a unique insight and data set into the automotive distribution market. We have very long-term relationships with OEM brands and our focus on continually building our expertise and knowledge increases our attractiveness and relevance for OEMs. Our plug-and-play distribution platform is industry-leading with unique digital and data analytics capabilities. This is seen as a key differentiator by OEMs and has been an important factor in recent contract wins. We started 2021 with the omnichannel or digital experience platform, DXP, live with one OEM, Subaru, in one market, Australia. We have since accelerated the rollout and it is now live in 27 OEM markets, covering 11 OEMs. As a reminder, the Digital Experience Platform is a fully functional digital showroom, which enables a seamless all-in-one digital buying journey from trade-in to financing quotes through to vehicle purchase. We have proven ability to quickly add OEMs into markets with a platform that provides a leading customer experience. In keeping with our ambition to drive efficiencies and leverage our scale, we have utilized our technological capabilities across multiple OEMs and markets. The combination of the speed of our rollout and the platform's capability is something we discuss regularly with our OEM partners. On to slide 22 and the use of data analytics. Data is a unique asset and during 2021 we have built significant internal capability, which is leveraging our data and driving smarter, faster and better business decisions. We have built out our analytics capability on our DAP or data analytics platform. basing it out of our two digital delivery centres in Colombia and the Philippines, which is making better use of data to drive smarter and more informed business decisions. We are using machine learning to dynamically optimize the action we take based on what the customer is doing. This is all about driving an improvement in the experience for customers, but also in the economics and efficiencies of these critical aspects of our operation. Fundamentally, we want to leverage our unique global data set for better customer and vehicle lifecycle management. Moving to slide 23. So bringing these elements together, it is clear that there is a huge opportunity for Inchcape to grow its distribution footprint. We have developed a highly differentiated plug-and-play distribution platform which leverages our core competencies and capabilities and is driving tangible results of all important customer metrics. We are especially interested in the three metrics that we have shown here. Marketable customers have increased 30%. We have seen sales conversion more than double in markets where we have deployed DXP. And importantly, our customer experience score has risen 21%. We are confident that with this level of performance, we can accelerate our growth and extend our leadership in global automotive distribution and therefore capture more of that 17 million addressable market, both organically and inorganically. On to slide 24. M&A is a key pillar of our growth story, and the number of deals we have done has accelerated over the past five years. Over that period, we have had a total of 20 new distribution deals, £1.3 billion of revenue, nine new OEM brands, and 13 new markets. This includes the activity we've seen over the past 12 months, which is summarised on slide 25. In line with our focus on markets with high growth potential, we continue to further expand our distribution footprint, agreeing deals that will add aggregate annualised revenue of £200 million. Some of these deals leverage our existing geographic footprint, such as in Guam, where we have added several commercial vehicle partners, including Freightliner and Kola. And in Chile, we have a longstanding presence with BMW and added Subaru in 2016. We agreed to start to distribute vehicles for Geely. We, in fact, signed a global strategic partnership with the leading Chinese brand, which starts initially in Chile. In addition to leveraging our existing geographic footprint, we've entered into new markets, namely Barbados and neighbouring Caribbean islands, where we will shortly begin to distribute vehicles for Suzuki, Mercedes, Subaru and Chrysler, which is a new brand partner for us. We also expanded our footprint in Asia, entering Indonesia with JLR, an existing brand partner. And finally, Guatemala, where we distribute vehicles for Mercedes-Benz. One of the key factors that enabled us to secure some of these new brand partners is our digital and data analytics capabilities, which continues to be a differentiator and source of competitive advantage. I am pleased to say that we have a healthy M&A pipeline with several opportunities being actively pursued. Turning now to slide 26 on our second growth driver, vehicle lifecycle services. Inchcape has historically been predominantly focused on the initial user phase of a vehicle's life. In the subsequent phases, the profit opportunity is three times as large as when the vehicle is brand new. We are making progress with the opportunities identified to capture more of a vehicle's lifecycle value, where we believe there is significant untapped potential and is currently underserved by Inchcape. During 2021, we created our new multi-brand digital first used car platform, Bravo Auto, which we initially launched in the UK and will begin to scale to other regions during 2022. There are a number of other initiatives which we mentioned at our Capital Markets Day, but it's too early to say any more about these at this stage. Let me reiterate, this is a huge opportunity with highly attractive and accretive economics. We will look to capture this in a methodical and prudent manner in keeping with the asset-like nature of the group's business model. Let's now move to responsible business on slide 27. In 2021, we launched our ESG strategy, or as we call it, responsible business. This was built by our teams right across the world in each of our markets. The strategy is focused around four pillars. Planet, people, places and practices. Each of which has a global work stream with participation from the regions. In terms of other milestones, during the year we set a target to reduce CO2 for Scope 1 and 2 by 46% by 2030. The 2021 annual report, which will be published next month, will be aligned with TCFD guidelines. And during 2022, we will publish our plans for Scope 3 emissions. It is fair to say that we work responsibly with an aim to impact the world for the better, to the benefit of all our stakeholders. So to sum up, 2021 has been a very good year for the group. The newly launched strategy was received with excitement by our teams across the globe. We have accelerated our portfolio shift towards distribution with the addition of some fantastic new OEM partners in attractive markets. Our investments in digital and data are delivering results and being noticed by OEMs. We've launched the first of our vehicle lifecycle services businesses with Bravo Auto, and we'll make further progress in 2022. This business has a really exciting future ahead. Let's move on to the outlook slide on page 29. The Group's strong performance in 2021 was supported by robust consumer demand and high vehicle gross margins, particularly in retail, largely due to vehicle supply shortages. Looking ahead, our 2022 performance to date has seen a continuation of the trends experienced last year, although there is ongoing uncertainty relating to vehicle supply and the impact of the pandemic. We expect the Group to continue to make good progress with its strategic priorities in 2022. The strength of our business model and financial position means Inchcape is well-placed to continue to grow profits and generate cash, and we are confident in the medium-term outlook set out at the Capital Markets Day in November, which we show on the following slide, along with our investment case. Inchcape is the leading global automotive distributor. Combining our exposure to high growth markets and diversified revenue streams with our history of market outperformance, we expect to deliver strong organic growth. By leveraging our scale, operational improvements and a focus on higher margin activities, we can drive margin expansion. The highly fragmented nature of distribution and our strong financial position also provide significant consolidation opportunities. In addition to the attractive growth prospects, the business is asset light with excellent financial characteristics, high returns and cash conversion. Combined with a disciplined approach to capital allocation, we believe these should enable the group to maintain its long track record of delivering significant value through organic growth, consolidation and attractive shareholder returns. Thank you. Heisbert and I will now happily take your questions.