8/5/2026

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Good morning and a warm welcome both to those of you in the room and to those joining online. Thank you for your interest in legal in general. I'm Andy Sinclair, LNG's Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer. So our running order for today will be as follows. Antonio will open with an update on progress we've made delivering our strategy, along with the highlights from H1. Andrew will cover the results in more detail. And then Antonio will be back with some more comments on our outlook before opening to Q&A, at which point Antonio will be joined by Andrew and the CEOs of our three businesses to take your questions. For Q&A, again, we'll be keeping it to two questions each. Thank you for your cooperation last time around. With that, over to you, Antonio.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Thank you, Andy. And good morning, everyone. Great to see you here. So I'm pleased with what we have delivered so far in 2026. We are delivering on our promises, and this starts with our 30 million customers. We want to be the best company for them to invest and retire with, and we're doing that at scale. First, as the UK's leading annuity player, we provide income every month to 1 million retirees. Actually, you can see it on the slide. Those payments were over 3.7 billion in the first half of 2026. As the UK's largest asset manager, we're trusted to invest on behalf of both institutional clients and individuals, including more than 5.2 million workplace customers. And finally, on the right hand side, since we were founded in 1836, we've always provided protection insurance. In the first half of this year, we have paid almost 700 million to support customers and their families. and we are delivering for shareholders. As you can see on the slide, we have generated year on year predictable growth in our headline earnings. These are clean numbers, if you remember we talked about this at the full year, now that we've drawn a line under legacy issues. Core operating EPS is up 11%, that's above the top end of our guidance of 6-9%. OSG per share is up 7% year on year, and our solvency coverage ratio was 201% at the end of June. This is a strong capital position well above our 160 to 190% target range, allowing us to continue to deploy capital for growth. We are committed to increasing shareholder returns with an interim dividend per share up 2% to 6.24p and we have now completed around 450 million of our 1.2 billion share buyback program that's off a couple of days ago. L&G is now a growing, simpler, better connected business and we're firmly on track to meet our financial targets. And we have scope to deliver more as we will discuss later. So we have strong growth momentum in each one of our three market leading businesses. We have written or are exclusive on 6.9 billion. You can see it there on the slide of overall annuity volumens. That includes 5.7 billion of PRT and 1.2 billion of individual annuities. Our asset manager delivered 23 million of annualized net new revenue, ANR, in the first half, which is the highest we've ever reported. In workplace pensions, we attracted 6.2 billion of net inflows, benefiting from the onboarding of new schemes that we won last year. We now have almost 1 billion per month from recurring flows. So let me now go into each one of the businesses. As I mentioned, in institutional retirement, we have written or are exclusive on 5.7 billion of PRT year to date. This compares to 5.2 billion at the same stage last year. We have remained disciplined in what is a competitive market for the, and this is important, for the 2.1 billion of business that we have written. So as you can see, we have written 2.1 billion and we are exclusive of have since written the 3.6 billion. So just on the 2.1 billion that we have written in the first half, our new business margin declined to 4.2% and the strain rose to 3.4%. We are still beating our 14% IRR, the internal rate of return, and we're still above that hurdle, while at the same time locking in optionality for the future. In fact, this is what you can see in our numbers. In the first half, we have generated $288 million of asset optimization. This is across institutional retirement and retail, and that number compares to $212 million in the first half of last year. And you remember this from when we were sitting here back in March, we've talked about, we guided to more than 300 million of asset optimization per year. And what I'm now saying is that we can deliver more than 400 million this year and going forward, even in benign markets. Credit spreads widening, because I'm sure you're going to ask me this question, would provide further upside potential on top of that number. We are on track to hit our target of 5-7% compound annual growth rate in operating profit. Turning to asset management. Asset management is the standout performance in the first half of the year, with fee-related earnings up 37% year-on-year. We have delivered, as I mentioned before, an impressive 23 million in annualized net new revenues during the period, but this ANNR will support earnings growth further into the second half and into 2027. We have increased revenue margins over the last three years. You probably remember first time I talked about this. Back in 2023, the average revenue margin was seven basis points. That number is now 9.6 basis points. And we are ahead of plan for a revenue margin over 10 basis points. We continue to grow our private markets franchise with AUM rising by 4 billion in the first half to 79 billion and again here we are on track to exceed our 85 billion AUM private markets target. Our cost to income ratio, it's worth spending a moment on this, reduced from 75% to 71%. This is the first time this ratio has reduced in a decade, and it will continue to reduce further to hit our below the 70% target. So we've made great progress in asset management and there is more to come. We're on track to meet our 500 to 600 million target operating profit in 2028 with more than 80% coming from fee-related earnings. This is really important. The quality of that number is more than 80% coming from fee-related earnings. So finally, retail. In retail, we serve over 12 million customers across three structurally growing markets. First, workplace place savings. Second, individual annuities. And finally, protection. Let me go through the three of them. They've all performed really well. Workplace net flows are up 35% year on year. And if you remember, we talked about this before, our end-to-end workplace profits, and that includes both the admin and the asset management part of those profits, I was talking to some of you outside about this, more than doubled to 48 million, and we'll talk about this a bit later. We continue to be the number one player in the open market in individual annuities and you can see the number there. Premiums rose by 36% year on year. And finally, our protection business saw both an increase in margins and a 22% step up in sales. And we also have new distribution agreements with two large banks that you'll see that in our future numbers. Again, we are on track to hit our 4-6% operating profit growth target. So I've talked about the three businesses. The three businesses show good momentum, as we've just discussed, and importantly, they support each other with clear synergies. Typically, you can see that 80% of PRT transactions come from asset management relationships. Eric and Gareth are sitting next to each other there. Actually, the number in the first half of this year was 98%. So virtually every single PRT deal that we did this year came from a longstanding asset management relationship. And then, and this is what you have here, 90% of the annuity assets are then managed by our own asset manager. A good example of that in the first half is the 1.6 billion of investment-grade private credit sourced by asset management for our annuity book. On the right hand side, as I mentioned, we have very exciting growth in workplace pensions, but this is particularly important to us because, and this is very specific to LNG, 95% of those flows are managed by our asset manager. A great example here is the private markets access fund that we have, which is now over 3 billion pounds. So effectively our institutional retirement and retail businesses represent control distribution for our asset manager and in the first half of this year that accounted for more than half of the ANR. Talking about the bottom of the page, for most of our 190-year history, we have used scale as a competitive advantage. We increasingly share operations and teams across business units, and our large customer base and proprietary data are a source of competitive advantage in an AI world. Two examples. We have launched an AI-driven agent desktop, which Laura talked about in the capital markets event that we did in the retail business, which is now driving efficiency improvements. And second, we were the first large UK provider to get approval for targeted support, the new FCA regime that has now also launched with AI-driven nudges supporting customer decisions. And we have seen good early engagement. We can talk about that with Laura in the Q&A. There is more to come. Work is underway to make LNG a more efficient and a more competitive business. So we understand the importance of a sustainable, growing dividend. And in the first half, the performance that we had supported another 2% dividend increase, as I said, to 6.24 P per share. But our earnings are growing faster than our dividend, with EPS up 11% year on year and OSG per share up 7%. We expect, and this is what you can see on the chart, our dividend to be covered by core operating EPS this year, and that that cover will further improve in 2027. As I mentioned at the full year results back in March, also our NSG will cover our dividend by 2027. So on that note, let me hand you over to our CFO, Andrew, over to you.

speaker
Andrew
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you Antonio and good morning everybody. I'm delighted to be here presenting a strong set of results. Importantly, these IFRS results are clean and predictable after we drew a line under legacy complexities at our full year results in March. We've delivered 7% growth in core operating profit, supported by 5% growth in institutional retirement, 10% growth in asset management, and 5% growth in retail, all while holding central expenses and debt costs flat year on year. Our core operating EPS was up 11%, and we now expect to be above the top end of our 6% to 9% target range for the full year. Our profit before tax benefits from the sale of our US protection business as we previously guided and we have a significantly smaller impact from the investment variances which I'll cover in more detail later. On this slide you can see a summary of the solid trading metrics across the group in the first half of the year with each business delivering good growth and on track to meet our 2028 targets. So let's discuss these results in more detail. Starting with institutional retirement, our largest business. We delivered £646 million core operating profit in H1, with asset optimisation increasing 38% to £227 million as we took advantage of market opportunities. This is ahead of our guided run rate, and as Antonio mentioned, we're now on track to deliver greater than £400 million per annum of asset optimisation across institutional retirement and retail annuities, even in benign markets. That's up from our prior guidance of £300 million as we've industrialised our processes. The flat CSM is a function of the sovereign-based investment strategies we're using in a tight credit spread environment. In this environment, asset optimisation is a greater driver of our profit growth and we'll discuss more of that in a moment. Further spread tightening through 2026, alongside the competitive pressure, has increased the upfront new business strain we're reporting, even though our investment approach and capital requirements have broadly been consistent. but despite markets and competition, we continue to deliver strong returns on our capital. We remain highly selective and disciplined in the transactions that we go after. On this slide, you can see our long-term track record of success in institutional retirement. We've written around 95 billion pounds of PRT over the past decade, typically averaging 20 to 25% market share. This has supported growth in our PRT assets every year, excluding market impacts. The slide also shows the impact of the move to IFRS 17 accounting. This changed the timing of profit recognition, but it has led to more steadily growing predictable stream of profits from the institution retirement business. and we continue to rigorously apply our minimum 14% IRR threshold to all capital allocation decisions. New business margins have reduced though, so let's dig into that further. In a competitive market with tighter credit spreads, we've used sovereign-based investment strategies to back our new business. And this has led to lower day one new business margins. But the optionality for the future is created through asset optimisation profits. Sovereigns, as you can see, are now 29% of our asset portfolio, up from just 10% in 2022. and asset optimisation generated £288 million across our total annuity portfolio in the half year and writing new business on sovereign based investment strategies feeds this optionality and growth. As the optimisation doesn't require large market volatility, we have the optionality to rotate across ratings, currencies and sectors in credit and in sovereigns. We increased our sovereign exposure, reduced derivative related exposure and remained cash flow matched in H1 and in so doing delivered earnings and capital with no increase in our capital requirement. We're confident in delivering asset optimisation of more than £400 million per year across our greater than £90 billion annuity portfolio. We believe we have the optionality across the various components to deliver this and we see further upside as and when spreads widen. So moving to asset management, which Antonio has mentioned is really the highlight of today's update. Fee-based earnings grew 37% year on year as revenue grew and costs were controlled. Balance sheet earnings of £53 million are consistent with our guidance of £80 to £100 million for the full year. And we have substantially lower investment variances than we've seen in prior periods. Annualised Net New Revenues were £23 million in H1, which is more than we generated cumulatively over the period 2020-2024. We're positioned well as the UK's largest asset manager with £1.2 trillion of AUM and an improving business mix, as I'll cover on the next slide. Our cost-income ratio reduced year-on-year for the first time in a decade, from 75% in 2025 to 71%, with operating profit returning to growth up 10% compared to half-year 2025. We are building momentum, but there's definitely more to come. Our A&R growth and cost discipline will drive further operating profit growth in coming periods and support the delivery of our £500-600 million operating profit target for 2028. In both public and private markets in H1, we've seen N&R growth even with net outflows in public markets as you can see on the slide. Our revenue margins have increased annually from 7 bps in 2023 to 9.6 bps in H1 2026. This contrasts with the industry trend of declining margins. We are consistently improving our revenue margins by attracting net inflows in higher margin mandates which more than offset the net outflows from the lower margin mandates. We said that 2025 would be the pivot point for asset management and we're delivering on that. The cost income ratio improved by four percentage points to 71% driven by strong revenue growth and disciplined cost management. Revenue grew 13% year on year with around half of this increase driven by net new revenues generated over the last 18 months. Cost growth of 5% reflects increased variable compensation linked to those higher revenues in the first half and our continued investment in the business. Underlying costs are flat on a nominal basis, i.e. down in real terms, reflecting the cost action we've taken in the business. So this is an important milestone, but not the destination. We remain on track, as Antonio said, to reduce the cost-income ratio below 70%. Retail saw similar trends to institutional retirement, with a small increase in the CSM release and a step up in asset optimisation. As a reminder, our annuity portfolio is managed as one across PRT and individual annuities. Workplace admin profitability is improving as underlying profitability growth continues to fund investment in our proposition. In H1, we invested £25 million in our admin proposition, so admin was profitable on an underlying basis in the half year. As we've outlined previously, we manage workplace profitability across both asset management and retail, and I'll touch on this a bit more later. Our new business margins also improved for both retail annuities and protection. We have impressive growth trajectories across our retail franchises. Workplace pensions assets under administration grew nearly 20% compound over the past decade and our recent win rate suggests this momentum continues. We're not the largest but we are growing fast. Individual annuity sales have increased in recent years and we see structural growth which will further support us as the market leader. And in protection, this is a steady growth business with gross written premiums growing by more than a third over the past decade. As you can see here, our workplace pensions business is starting to open its profitability jaws. Our end-to-end profitability for the first half more than doubled year on year to £48 million. A simple doubling of this suggests a significant step up in 2025's profits for the full year. We have a strong proposition in which we continue to invest. Our app, for example, is a top rated in the market and we already have two default funds above the government's £25 billion minimum threshold. We're on track to deliver our commitment for a tripling of end-to-end workplace profits to £180 million by 2028. Workplace pensions, it's our hidden gem. A business which has grown significantly and is beginning to benefit from the scale that it has. It might still be small in the group profit context, but we see a really attractive trajectory. Turning to investment variances, I've maintained the same format as presented in March, separating out insurance and shareholder asset impacts. Importantly, the legacy items that previously drove larger adverse variances in the blue boxes on the slide are behind us, and I'm pleased with the immaterial experience recorded in the first half. The investment variance in the insurance business, the green boxes, was primarily driven by day-to-day market movements in the annuity portfolio, particularly from changes in inflation, interest rates and property, where accounting for asset and liability movements doesn't perfectly offset. The largest impact there came from higher short-term inflation expectations and no corresponding increase at longer tenors which increased our liabilities more than our assets. But importantly we hold these assets for their cash flows not their short-term price. The risk we care most about with our annuity assets is defaults and this investment variance doesn't reflect any deterioration in the underlying credit quality. These rates and inflation impacts reflect exposures that we intentionally retain as part of our strategy to manage the size and volatility of our Solvency II capital requirements. Consequently, we accept a degree of market volatility in IFRS which remains consistent with our risk appetite. Last year, for example, movements in rates and inflation delivered positive investment variance. Our store of future profit, including the CSM and risk adjustment, was down slightly in H1. The underlying fall was around 1% before the impacts from experience and modelling refinements. This is largely due to the sovereign-based strategies we're using to back the annuity business, which contribute less CSM than historic business, but, as I've said previously, increase our asset optimisation opportunities. We would like to get back to a world with wider credit spreads, which would support a return to more significant CSM growth. But we will not chase yield when credit spreads are tight. And as I've discussed earlier, we have a significant asset optimization opportunity to drive our profit growth. Our solvency ratio is 201%, which is robust and remains well above our 100% to 190%, 160% to 190% target operating range. We reiterate our intention to organically move down this operating range over the coming years as we invest in growth opportunities. Over the first half, our solvency position benefited from the sale of our US protection business to Major Yasuda, net of the cost of our share buyback announcement. We also adjust for the final dividend for 2025, which is seasonally larger than our interim dividend payment in the second half. Operating variances reduced the ratio by five points, reflecting changes to ALM management, improvements to cash flow modelling and capital model strengthening. This was partially offset by market movements, including a positive impact from higher interest rates over the period, which reduces our net of adverse inflation impacts. As you can see, our recent debt refinancing took advantage of attractive RT1 pricing and leads to a step up in the pro forma solvency ratio to 209%. Whilst we don't formally report our debt leverage at the half year, we've seen a modest uptick in the ratio due to seasonal factors like dividend payments, but to reiterate what I said at the full year, we're committed to reducing this ratio in the medium term. This slide is a reminder of our asset portfolio. More than 99% of our bond portfolio is investment grade, so less than 1% sub-investment grade. The portfolio is well diversified by sector and internationally, with our public credit more US focused, but our private credit more UK biased. Further details on this are contained in the appendix to the pack. At the full year results, I committed to greater transparency in our discussions with investors. And I heard some of you talk about the importance of cash disclosure. So we're moving there. Today, we're disclosing our stock of cash at Holding Company for the first time. And you see it's 1.4 billion pounds at 31 December 2025. Our Holdco cashes around one times our Holdco outgoings for a full year and is likely to stay at that level for a foreseeable future. We think this is an appropriate level for our business. We have further liquidity held in our business units, which is material and available to invest in growth. So we're well positioned to meet our continued growth objectives and support the attractive dividend. And on that point, I shall hand back to Antonio.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Thank you, Andrew. So I'm pleased with the growing momentum of Archimetrics, which you can see here on the slide in the first half of this year. But there is more to come from LNG. We have strong positions in structurally growing markets. First, we see a golden era of PRT with over one trillion pounds of global flows over the next 10 years, including 500 billion here in the UK, where as you know, we are the market leader with 20 to 25% market share. This is a competitive market, as both Andrew and I have just said, particularly with tight credit spreads. But we are still beating our IRR hurdles while locking in optionality for the future. We also continue to win in international markets, including the US, where we are now quoting on jumbo deals. Basically, jumbo deals are the ones above $1 billion, thanks to our partnership with Meiji Yasuda. Second, DC pensions are set to double to 1.5 trillion pounds by 2034. We are the fastest growing player in the workplace pensions market and the only one with a global asset manager which manages 95% of flows. We are future-proofing LNG with DC providing an additional growth engine beyond DB. Third, the same growth that we're seeing in DC is a structural tailwind for individual annuities where we are the market leader. We see, as you can see there on the slide, annuity market flows more than doubling from 8 billion in 2025 to 20 billion by 2034. Bigger pension saving pots will lead to larger annuity purchases and better retirement incomes for our customers as they reach retirement age. And for reference this is important, the average age of our workplace pension customers today is only 44 years old. Also, our protection business will also deliver steady growth with an opportunity to grow particularly whole life assurance following the inheritance tax changes in the UK. So, our synergistic business model, which is the flywheel you can see here on the left, puts us at the competitive advantage to benefit from these structural trends I've talked about and better serve our customers. We have scope to do this more efficiently. Work is underway to drive efficiency improvements across LNG. And we naturally see lots of opportunities from technology, particularly AI, but we also see opportunities from a simpler operating model and a leaner business. As I say here on the slide, we will reinvest some of this savings in growth initiatives and further efficiency improvements, but only where the payback periods are short. You can see the initial results of this effort in asset management, and Ari can talk about this more later, where the cost actions that we've taken help drive our cost to income down from 75% to 71%. There's more to go, and we will give operational efficiency a bigger focus in our future updates. So Andrew said this, but just to reinforce, we expect EPS at full year to be above our six to 9% EPS target. And as you can see on the slide, we are on track to meet or exceed the rest of our targets. But I believe we can go further. And why do I say that? We have three arguments, market leading businesses with 20 plus percent market shares in structurally growing markets Second, our synergistic business model is unlike any of our peers and puts us at the competitive advantage. And as I've just said, we see opportunities to use our scale to drive further efficiencies. And finally, this supports attractive, sustainable, and growing capital returns to shareholders. So we flag today that we may have not seen this, that we will introduce quarterly trading updates. The first one will be our third quarter update on Monday, the 16th of November. So with that, Andrew, Laura, Gareth and Eric will join me on stage to take your questions, which Andy will be facilitating.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Thanks everyone. Thanks for hands already going up. Remember, two questions each. Please say your name and the organisation that you represent. Let's start in the middle with Farouk.

speaker
Farouk
Analyst

Hi, thank you very much. So first question on asset optimisation and second on dividend cover. So with asset optimisation, can you, there are lots of questions on this, obviously, as you can understand, so can you give us an example maybe of something that you did in 1H, kind of roughly what, you know, basis point increase it gave and how that capitalises, just so that we can get comfort that this is a business as usual business. Thank you very much. Thank you very much. Thank you. Can you give us some comfort around that? So you've given a 160 to 190 target range. Is there kind of a level at which Solvency will ultimately fall to and stabilize at? And I saw the slides on stock and flow as well that you gave. So what conditions would make that come sooner, that stabilization? Thank you.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Thank you, Farouk. So, Gareth, you should give a specific example on asset optimization, and then we'll come back to Andrew, and I'll add the word on that as well. But why don't you go first, Gareth?

speaker
Gareth
Chief Investment Officer, Institutional Retirement

Sure. So, thanks for the question. A few examples, UK to US sovereigns, so we see both the UK and the US as being default risk free and so therefore we will look for opportunities where we can optimise from one to the other. We also saw opportunities this year in selling out of BBB credit and into single A credit. There's a range of others as well, but we're looking for opportunities where we are taking little or no additional risk, where we think that we can get an uplift. The uplift might be 10 basis points or more. It needs to be big enough to make it worthwhile but and because of our scale we're able to trade and generate large numbers so one of the reasons that the number will grow over time is because as our book grows the size of the trades we can do is are relatively larger.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

And it's important, actually, Andrew mentioned this, that in this 400 million we're talking about, we're not consuming additional capital. We have talked about, I forgot if you asked Farouk, if we rotate, so the additional credit spread widening with a rotation, that could consume capital, but it would still meet the same 14% IRR. But we feel good about the 400 million plus, even in benign markets. Andrew? Very high quality earnings, absolutely.

speaker
Andrew
Chief Financial Officer

Frick on your dividend I mean maybe just repeat some comments we said the full year when we talked about the range so solvency ratio we reported today 201 209 on a pro forma basis I think if we looked at it today it's even higher given the rates environment so we're very comfortable where the ratio is right now but we've also guided that as we price business in the 160 to 90 range and we write more business we would expect and plan to come down to that range over time it's a range because it's dynamic and you talk about the stock and flow and the examples we've given in the appendix I hope are helpful to give you an illustration of how that moves but we would be expecting over the next few years that ratio to trend down to you know the 160 to 190 and I think repeating something we also said at the the year end we're still very comfortable supporting the dividend at 160 and writing business below that we take actions to bring it back we've got actions we could do to do that but but it's We gave the range for a reason. We're comfortable operating at that level.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

And we're still saying what I said at full year, what we said at full year, NSG will cover the dividend by 2027. That's obviously in pound terms. The ratio itself we expect to come down.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Andrew Baker, just passing along.

speaker
Andrew Baker
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, Andrew Baker, Goldman Sachs. Thanks for taking my questions. First one, just on, obviously we saw the asset optimization upgrade on the IFRS side. No change to the OSG growth. Can you just talk through the sort of dynamics of what's happening on the OSG side that we're not sort of seeing an upgrade there? and then I guess just more generally on that sort of comment around dividend covered by NSG 2027 you're very clear it's under normal new business strain scenarios there's a lot going on on the strain side with funded re obviously guilt heavy versus traditional you have just to give us a sense of what is a normal new business strain scenario and then secondly I guess just on the volume side so you've got your 50 to 65 billion 24 to 2028 target for UKPRT again just related to the funded re potential changes is there a chance that that's a gross target is my understanding is there a chance we should look more at the net volumes that you've done in the last few years and therefore there may be some downward pressure there any comments around that would be really helpful thank you

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

I think actually Gareth we should start with you on volumes and if you can say something about funded BRII there and then we'll come to Andrew for the OSG generation and the asset optimization.

speaker
Gareth
Chief Investment Officer, Institutional Retirement

Sure so volumes I mean the first thing to say Antonio talked about the golden decade the one trillion opportunity we see this a really attractive market the pipeline is bigger than we've ever seen as we sit here right now and so In terms of the opportunity ahead of us then we think it's really large. We find ourselves particularly well placed at the larger end as well and so as those larger schemes look to buy out then we find ourselves in a really good position. So I think that's the first thing to say. On Funded Re, so the consultation just closed, we have been presenting some what we think are robust arguments back to the regulator. We continue to see Funded Re as an attractive opportunity. The current market, the modelling suggests that we will expect to still see that in the future and we will continue to use Funded Re where we see it as being economically attractive.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

And just one point to add on that. I gave all of those targets, but if you remember, because you were sitting here in June 2024, I said all of the other numbers were targets, but that the 50 to 65 billion was guidance. The reason why I'm just stressing that is we will not chase volume. And we'll see this in the second half of this year in terms of discipline pricing. We're printing today, you know, probably something that surprised most of you positively in terms of the 5.7 billion. But in the second half, if the conditions are not there, we'll write less PRT. So there is, and this comes from the board to me and from me to Gareth and the team, our objective, even the 20 to 25% market share is not a target. The target is the pricing discipline and creating value. and then we gave guidance at that time that we thought that will be 50 to 65. We still think that. We still think the potential is there. But it's important that the other ones are actual targets. I would be comfortable if we didn't meet it for the right reasons, which is we're creating value for shareholders.

speaker
Andrew
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Andrew, on the OSG point, we haven't formally updated the guidance for the asset optimisation under OSG. A couple of points, though. Directionally, you should expect it to flow. We're doing more of an IFRS side. It will flow through to OSG in a natural way. But there are some structural differences. The really obvious one and very mechanical one is tax. It's a post-tax basis. We can adjust for that. But when we optimise assets in a Solvency II world, we may have to deploy additional capital to achieve the optimisation. Now that's something Gareth and the team take into account and we'd only do it on a post-strain basis if it works but giving quantitative guidance when you have that strain dynamic is just a bit more complicated so we'll reflect on your question but absolutely aware of you should expect that to flow directionally. And on the strain, you'll see the strain is up on the deals that we've written in the half. I think the deals coming after that this year on the exclusive piece are sort of lower but we've said before the IRR and hitting our capital target is the most important thing. and therefore we'll be reminded when we look at transactions of course we consider the strain carefully but actually if we can deploy capital for the right return for us that's a good trade so the normal level will depend on conditions but it's the return that's more important than the strain mindful of the fact the conversation we've had about capital deployment NSG dividend covers so we have to take all that into the round.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Yeah but everything else being equal so it's 3.4% globally it's 3.1% in the UK we expect the UK number to come down. So there's strain in the UK. That is abnormally high for the 2.1 billion, but we expect that number to come down in the second half.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

We're going to keep moving along the road.

speaker
Fahad Chagazi
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Thank you. Good morning. It's Fahad Chagazi from Kepler Chevro. Could I just touch upon the asset optimization strategy in terms of what sort of infrastructure you have in place for talent and teams and how dynamic will you be versus what you were doing previously, whether it be daily trading, for example. And another point, I appreciate what's happening with new business for CSM, but the CSM release ratio, it sort of ticks up. Is it expected to continue to tick up a little bit given the new cohorts of business from post-SOMC2 coming through? Thank you.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Thank you. I think on CSM, you should comment, Andrew. I think you should talk, Gareth, about the new hires we have in terms of new CIO. But maybe there's an opportunity for Eric to add, because this is done obviously jointly between asset management and institutional retirement. But maybe, Gareth, you want to start, and then consider a couple of words, Eric.

speaker
Gareth
Chief Investment Officer, Institutional Retirement

Sure, so I started as CIO 18 months ago and at that time working closely with Eric we started looking at what infrastructure we needed to be able to build and so last year we talked about having done a relatively smaller number of larger transactions from back book optimisation we've increased the number of transactions we're not doing daily trading we're looking at relative value opportunities but we have created a team across asset management and institutional retirement that works on this looks at relative value opportunities together enhanced our system so that we're looking at the same data together and looking at working together as a team and that's one of the reasons that's driven some of the increase in activity over the first half of the year

speaker
Eric
Chief Executive, Asset Management

Yeah, not a lot to add to that, actually. We're really excited about this prospect of a more dynamic approach to our asset optimization. As I think you know, we're well known for our solutions business, and a lot of what our most important client in Gareth's team needs is a more active approach to both public and private Thank you for joining us. Andrew mentioned on a like-for-like basis we really have a lot of control over our costs but because we have the revenue to do it we are very focused on variable compensation right now to make sure that we can continue to pay our talent to do what they've been doing so well this first half in a competitive market so again we're really set up to be able to drive this kind of dynamism in partnership with institutional retirement

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Along to Daryl and then Will.

speaker
Andrew
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so just on the CSM release. CSM release, I mean, broadly flat proportionally in institutional retirement, actually slightly up in retail. I wouldn't guide to expecting significant changes in that. Sorry.

speaker
Daryl Go
Analyst, Jefferies

Daryl. Hey, it's Daryl Go from Jefferies. Two questions please. So the first one, could you help me understand the movement in the PRT new business margin and strain? Because margins gone down and strains gone up, whereas I would have thought it would have moved in tandem. And then secondly, the five percentage point hit to solvency from those hedging. It looks like it was a bigger number if you to exclude the benefit from interest rates. Maybe could you go into a bit more detail as to what was the impact there, and could you clarify if that has anything to do with the high levels of asset optimization you've taken? Thank you.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

I think we've covered some of that, but why don't you cover solvency first, and then Gareth, can you come back on the strain in new business margin? Maybe double-click on what I said earlier about the 3.1% coming down. But yes, thank you, Daryl.

speaker
Andrew
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, on the solvent, say, rates was a component, a larger component was inflation. And then we had some model refinements that are the balance. So I think in terms of the 5%, we made some changes to our sort of hedging strategy in sort of foreign exchange and inflation that added to our SCR, which therefore deteriorated the ratio. But the bigger component was inflation, not interest rates.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

If you look at the market sensitivities, really the only one that's slightly different to the market sensitivity would be inflation, which is to do with the shape of the curve. It was the other things that really led to that mess, as Andrew mentioned.

speaker
Gareth
Chief Investment Officer, Institutional Retirement

So on the new business margin, so market's competitive, it was competitive last year. The thing that's really changed from last year to this year is that credit spreads are tighter and so we have preferred to retain optionality instead of me incentivising my team to lock into long-dated spreads that we don't think are attractive. We've preferred to print an underwritten new business margin at 4.2%, we give ourselves the optionality to trade up on that over time. which we've demonstrated we've been able to do so we're fine with that in the current market. The strain as Antonio said we're expecting to come down, we will see opportunities at times to for example optimise when we use reinsurance and so this is a little bit higher because we'd seen an opportunity to not reinsure some of the business that we might ordinarily do because we saw a good return on capital on not doing that in isolation.

speaker
William Hawkins
Analyst, KBW

Mr. Hawkins. Thank you. William Hawkins from KBW. I wanted to also have one on PRT, but I think we've probably had a lot.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

We need Eric and Laura to answer something, yes.

speaker
William Hawkins
Analyst, KBW

Maybe, could you just flesh out a little bit more, Antonio, about what you're thinking about in terms of scope for operating efficiency as you look to the future, and also how we're going to see that in your numbers? Because my view is you joined a business that was already quite cost-focused. So, you know, where you see further to go is interesting. And also the risk of being a nerd, a lot of your profits kind of come from the CSM and how it unwinds. And so it's not just a simple thing of saying, right, we'll cut costs and they'll drop to profits. So if you could talk a little bit about, you know, how you're thinking about operational efficiency, please. And then secondly, and again, sorry if I'm just navigating the slide slowly, but the workplace profits of £48 million, can you just remind me where we see that in the P&L? Because the P&L's got a minus 14 for admin expenses somewhere, but I'm still not quite sure where I kind of see that number and therefore get visibility about how it's taking off in the future.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Thank you so why don't I give that to Laura because it gives you also an opportunity to to talk a bit more about that business but let me comment on on your cost point so actually we haven't talked a lot about costs externally so the fact that we're talking about it today tells you that it's an important thing for me internally and And yes, you're right that the way, particularly in our insurance businesses, and I'm including in that PRT and individual annuities, a lot of mechanically how anything but particularly costs go through to go through the CSM and then it would be a release so it would make our profitability better. So that's the simple answer to that question. But the bigger point here, and you can see it in our asset management numbers, By keeping our nominal costs flat, which means that our real costs were down, we've been able to reinvest some of that into growth areas. And that's what we want to see across all of our businesses. I'm the largest annuity player in the country. I'm the largest asset manager. We have 20% plus market shares in many of our businesses. You would expect us to be looking for efficiencies. Also, we're at the moment where technology, particularly AI, gives us an opportunity to do things in a much more efficient way, to be a leaner organization with more efficiency. So we can expect, as I present results, trading updates and results, to hear more about the results of what we're doing. I was going to go to Laura, but do you want to say a word, Eric, on what we've done in asset management in terms of cost efficiencies?

speaker
Eric
Chief Executive, Asset Management

Yeah, we really didn't think about it in terms of pure cost. We thought about what does it take to be one of the leaders in the asset management world while it's consolidating. And while you're seeing more and more being asked of us from the largest clients around the world, they're looking for much more partnership Thank you very much. Clunky. So when you think about that, what you're really thinking about is maximum efficiency and maximum ability to deploy resources where you think you need them quickly and ability to pull a lot of different resources together to win these new mandates. When you think through that, what you end up with is quite a bit more discipline and control over your business as usual costs because you need to know where to direct them. You need to also be able to react to a very volatile economic world. So what you've seen I'd say that some of our cost efforts are just as apparent in the 13% increase in revenues as they are in the cost number because we are now winning more sophisticated mandates at a speed with which I think we would have been more challenged to do that. So in many ways if you think about rewiring the organization for efficiency and connectivity The costs are kind of a result of that versus the actual aim. That's how we've looked at it in asset management.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Thank you. Laura.

speaker
Laura
Chief Executive, Retail / Head of Workplace Pensions

So on your workplace numbers question, so the number, the 48 million number is the end-to-end workplace profit. So comparing the number we gave to you in the capital markets event last October, so effectively 140% increase in the sort of end-to-end, so asset management and retail profits. and that doesn't actually include the new business that we've won but not yet funded so the nine billion of business that we will sort of on board over the next six to twelve months and then your question on the minus 14 million which is on Andrew's retail slide that's effectively the retail profits taking into account the investment spend as well. So the 48 doesn't actually include the sort of non-BAU investment spend. So the investment spend we're making on things like efficiencies, customer agent, desktop and the app, etc.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

And actually, if you have a follow up with Andy and the team, we can reconcile all the numbers on that.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

We'll go to Lucy.

speaker
Lucy
Analyst

Thank you for the feedback. Antonio, when you set the targets on kind of IFRS, you had the asset optimization at 200 million. Now it's gone to 400. and that's significant in terms of the uplift that you could get in our projections right so what's why haven't you upgraded targets is is kind of the the short short question what's the delta have you seen any negatives that's offsetting that 200 million that you're getting from asset optimization um second question technical one uh maybe from for andrea in the um shareholders equity there's a billion that's moving from reserves into pnl Why have you done that? I know a lot of other companies are doing it. Is it because you want more distributable capital or were you running out of road?

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Thanks. So Nasib, thank you. So on the targets, I set out the targets in June 2024 and our role here across this table is to deliver those targets and ideally exceed them. So what I haven't done is upgrade targets because My job here is to put something out there and deliver. So that's the simple answer. The reason why we've gone from 200 to 300 to 400 is the change that Gareth was describing, which is we're getting less of that profit upfront from a CSM day one margin, but we're getting it more from an asset optimization perspective. So as you go back and update your models, I'm sure Andy and the IR team can help you after this. You need to kind of balance the two. But I didn't want you to leave today without knowing that this is what we're doing. We're delivering more than 400 million in asset optimization. So it's important for you to know that number. At some point next year, I'll need to give you the next targets in the next three years. But that's not the purpose of today.

speaker
Andrew
Chief Financial Officer

And to your question, we undertook a capital reduction exercise at the Holdco which you said a number of other companies have done post IFRS 17. So we caught approval to move share premium reserves and capital redemption reserves into distributable which basically done it for flexibility, just gives us more flexibility having it in distributable rather than non-distributable reserves.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Good, just keep passing along.

speaker
David Beck
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hi, David Beck, RBC Capital Markets. Thank you for taking my questions. Actually, most of them on asset optimisation have been answered, but then on the asset management side, and I guess cost-to-cost income ratio trajectory, you're already at 71% against the target of below 70 by fully 28. So I guess given the progress on the revenue mix and the cost discipline that you delivered this half, I guess if that momentum continues, where do you think realistically you could land in terms of the cost income ratio? And then I guess on margin, strong progress there as well. So the path to double digits seems very likely. Again, what's the ceiling there? You've got positive underlying dynamic of the outflows that are coming out being lower margin than inflows being higher margin. So I'm just wondering if you could share more color or where do you see it going forward? Thank you.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Thank you. I think they're both squarely with Eric. You're doing my half-year review with him yesterday, which is, of course, we want to move faster. But again, to the previous question, we're not changing the targets, but we certainly want to beat them. But with that, you want to talk about both the cost-to-income dynamic and the margin dynamic.

speaker
Eric
Chief Executive, Asset Management

Yeah, I couldn't be more pleased with the trend and the underlying substance behind them. So we alluded to it in the answer to the last question. But I think we're now at a point where we've got a very good handle on where we want to spend to grow. Revenues have a lot of intrinsic factors to go along with tailwinds we've had in the market today. And we can go over those. Those more intrinsic factors that give us a lot of confidence that we can continue to drive that cost income ratio down. I don't think we want to be setting new targets now, but I'm really pleased with the fact that so far ahead of 2028, we're close to it. And I do think the trend will continue to be positive. And frankly, it's a similar story on the revenue margins. I described a very dynamic situation we can do a lot of different things for clients and they're asking for new types of partnership like mandates versus the pure product mandates before so I really want to make sure the team has maximum flexibility to move across asset classes and across types of mandates so without getting into where costing the revenue margin could get again very positive trend we are moving Very good. Michael?

speaker
Michael
Analyst

Thank you very much. Two, one is what I asked Laura before, but I wanted some numbers. The default accumulation, how much more do we get? I know it's 2028 or 2029. And then similarly, Eric, you've spoken a lot. I think you've danced around the pot, really. 500 to 600 million. Can you give us a feel? I know you don't want to raise guidance. I don't know how to phrase the question. But it looks like you'll achieve this like one to one and a half years early. Is that the best way of asking the question? Maybe you can kind of help a bit on this.

speaker
Laura
Chief Executive, Retail / Head of Workplace Pensions

and Michael on the first question which is default accumulation meaning the default DC funds correct so you've spoken a lot about workplace but the extra bit of workplace is this thing yeah okay Laura first and then come to Eric um so no the so default accumulation um which which is part of the pensions review and the pensions act that is now enforced so by 2029 All Workplace DC Master Trust Providers will have to have what's been called a default accumulation so effectively a sort of default option for their members to go into so members who don't actively sort of choose to go into an annuity or something else will be sort of put into a default accumulation which we are designing and alongside many of our competitors so that will look like a sort of combination if you like of sort of annuity and drawdown So in the numbers that we showed I think on Antonio's probably one of your last slides where it showed sort of just the annuity market going from 8 billion to 20 billion over the next decade which is really a sort of ratioing how much do we think how many people the AUM if you like that is going into retirement that number actually only projects what we think is sort of happening today it's just a sort of simple ratio so the default accumulation bit we think will actually be sort of additional to that it's hard to sort of give you an exact number on that but you can sort of think of that 20 as almost you know there'll be extra annuities or sort of on top of that all else being equal

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Yeah and that's why I've said that today the standout performance today on the results is asset management but the most exciting long-term point is what's happening in DC and I know several of you have asked me this before in terms of does it really generate money. It generates money as we say on the 180 but as Laura is saying on everything else we can do on those customers, individual annuities, hybrid solutions in terms of decumulation and annuities. Eric?

speaker
Eric
Chief Executive, Asset Management

Yeah, look, I think I couldn't be happier with where we're at in terms of the objectives we've set for ourselves in 2028. And it's true, it's relatively early in that phase, right? But I think if I were to point to what I'm most pleased about, and Antonio mentioned it earlier, it's the trend in terms of the quality of those earnings, the fact that we're now targeting something near 80% of that being fee-related earnings. I think that is what's really important qualitatively. And secondly, we know the other piece of it, there's fee-related earnings, there's balance sheet investments. I'm really pleased by, and Andrew alluded to it, the profit before tax number. right because what really is important is we also have a very good handle on the bottom line of our balance sheet investments we are targeting we are targeting towards 80 to 100 million of that in terms of operating profit but the fact that we really got a handle and as you said sort of the proverbial drawing of a line under the real understanding that portfolio I think we've got a lot of control over it so those two aspects together for me are really pleasing and clearly we are fairly early in the game for the 2028 results and we're on a positive trend, no question.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

And my standard answer next year, we'll upgrade guidance, meaning we'll update rather than update. New guidance, oops, Freudian slip there. We'll update the new targets.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Andrew Crean at the front.

speaker
Andrew Crean
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Good morning, it's Andrew Crean, this is Autonomous. Couple of questions. Firstly, on the dividend cover which is just breaching, 100% on both IFRS earnings and on net surplus generation. What level of cover do you need to get to, to grow the dividend in line with the earnings and the operating surplus generation? And secondly, on the BPAs, I understand you're operating a leveraged gilt strategy. So you're backing them with more gilts. Can you tell me about the leverage, how much the leverage is, and when the leverage unwinds, what is the new business profit underlying and what is the IRR underlying?

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Thank you, Andrew. We can start there with Garrett. It's a structured sovereigns and actually we should call it that rather than leverage, but you could explain that, but it's a really good question for everybody actually. And then I'll come back on your coverage point.

speaker
Gareth
Chief Investment Officer, Institutional Retirement

So bearing in mind that some people will be less familiar with this than you, Andrew. So we trade really three types of structured sovereigns. So we trade Sovereigns on AssetSwap, so where we use a swap with a bank and a government bond. We trade cash flow swapped gilts and treasuries and we also use forward starting, so where we like the future cash flows and we purchase those. And the amount of embedded leverage as you describe differs, in some cases there's no leverage and in other cases there is some leverage. I think I said previously that with all of those the way that we look at the transaction is that they've all got to be liquidity self-sufficient i.e. that in very very severe scenarios even beyond Solvency 2 scenarios we would be happy we would be able to post the collateral of the underlying to cover that movement. So if interest rates went up or down then we could post the underlying government bond into the collateral pool. So that's really important, that is the way that we make sure that we don't take on more leverage than we would feel comfortable with. The point on the unwind, so the first thing that we say to all of our banks is that we can and will, if need be, hold these assets to maturity. So we buy these assets with a view that we don't have to do anything with them. However, we have seen lots of opportunities in the last 18 months to restructure the transactions, there's been a contribution to our back book optimisation profit and we expect that to be the case in the future as well. So we never need to unwind them and we will only unwind them if we see a positive benefit, effectively an increase in our IRR and we've already seen that over the last 18 months and would expect to continue to see that.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

And that over £400 million that we're guiding for is clearly after those costs of unwinding or changing anything, that's what we're guiding for?

speaker
Gareth
Chief Investment Officer, Institutional Retirement

Well that's like saying what's the IRR if you chose to invest in different assets so we choose to invest in structure sovereigns because we think they're really good assets to back our liabilities alongside corporate public credit and private credit and at some point in the future we might choose to trade out of them and into something else but at the moment we want to invest in structure sovereigns because we think that they give really good match to our cash flows and we like the economics of the transaction

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

And the answer, Andrew, has to be it would be above 14, otherwise we wouldn't write it. But it's true that we probably wouldn't write some of that business if we were not using structured sovereigns because simply the assets and liabilities. So the answer is it's always above 14. And we have rejected, and actually you should make the point, Gareth, many transactions where we decided simply not to quote because we didn't think that they were appropriate. Can I come back to your coverage point? It's an important point. My number one priority is Dividend Sustainability. I've been doing that for the last two and a half years and I know you know this but it's worth for everybody in the room and dialing in. The 1.9 billion that I will have done of share buybacks of the 1.2, the 500 and the 200 have reduced the cost of the dividend by 300 million plus reducing the 5% to 2%. So that was very clear when I met many of you and the buyer side as well for the first time that dividend sustainability is my priority. What we're signaling today is two things, that core EPS now is expected to cover this year the dividend, and so that is important in that page 11, I think it is, where we show that by next year that dividend coverage will continue to improve on IFRS basis, but also we need to look at the dividend cover from a Solvency II perspective, and I'm saying that NSG minus dividend will be to answer your question directly, this is what I need to do next year. I need to say, now my new capital distribution policy for the next three years is going to be X, and here's what the dividend payout ratio is. A number in mind, it's not something we have yet agreed internally or disclosed to the market. But that's what the next phase is. Having made it sustainable, then there will be a, what is the right dividend payout ratio? I know you'll have a view, we have a view on that. But now I feel much more comfortable that the dividend today is much more sustainable, to be honest, than it was the day that I took over.

speaker
Unknown
Analyst

Thank you. I've got a few questions, but I'm just going to stick to two. And the first one, I'm afraid, is going back to the PRT margin. So the move to the sovereign-based strategy clearly defers the value into asset optimisation, as you've said. But can you just help us understand the underlying economics a little bit more, just put a bit more colour under it? So for example, what was the cash IRR in the first half this year versus last year? And then could you perhaps give us an estimate of the lifetime IRR? I suspect that's probably closer to 20%. So that's the first question. And the second one is on the asset management. The margin mix effect is clearly helping lift the revenues. Do you think that mix effect can still drive the numbers forward over the next few years, even if the public AUM remains in outflow?

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Look, I want to answer, but I don't want just to get too dragged into details. But I think from an IRR perspective, the simple answer, Gareth, you may add, is the day one IRR is above 14. But yes, if I include the lifetime value, so I'm not accounting. for the additional rotation and asset optimization later in my 14%. So if, let's say, a deal is 15, let's say, clearly the lifetime value would be closer to your point. I'm going to make it up. Just use your number 20. So that's true deal by deal. Anything else you want to say? I'm just, brevity would be good.

speaker
Gareth
Chief Investment Officer, Institutional Retirement

I mean maybe just a reminder of how many deals we've declined and the fact that although we're really happy with the volumes that we've written, we have lost more deals than we quoted on and we have declined to quote on 96 deals so far this year. and so we're looking for the areas of the market where we think that we've got a competitive advantage and we will only be able to get something through our Group Investment Committee if we can hit our minimum 14% IRR hurdle. Historically we've cleared that comfortably and obviously if that's a minimum then we're expected to clear that comfortably This year and and the final thing is just we can't calculate a lifetime IRR yet because we don't know what the future opportunity is but as Antonio says that sets a floor but we can you know the best way to answer your question is probably looking at some sensitivities of what you imagine that 400 million does over the lifetime and what that adds to your IRR.

speaker
Unknown
Analyst

Can I just test it so that business that you've declined is it because of the shape of that business tighter spreads or is it just competition?

speaker
Gareth
Chief Investment Officer, Institutional Retirement

So lots of the smaller deals we think we've got a structural advantage where our asset manager has an existing relationship and so that's why the number is so high at 98% particularly in the current market we're seeing that that is important with some of the smaller deals we work on a sole insurer basis as well and if the client is not prepared to work on a sole insurer basis we might decline those and in other areas we're just seeing their spots in the market where we don't think that we will be able to generate as much value for our investors as others and those are obviously good areas of the market to decline I mean that's obviously what Laura does in her business as well we're looking for the best parts of the market where we think we can add the best value we've got the best proposition for our clients

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

It's just that point is important, right? We play in small deals, medium-sized deals, large deals, and in individual annuities. And you saw that in this first half, the individual annuity margin went up by 0.8%, so 80 basis points. So we also choose where we want to play across all of that being the largest annuity. And you'd expect us to do that to generate more value. Further upside on the margins, on the mix?

speaker
Eric
Chief Executive, Asset Management

Yeah, so the short answer is yes. I think we can sustain this in public markets as well. We're obviously very pleased with what's happening in the private markets. AUM has gone up nearly 40% in 18 months on the private side. There's clear momentum there. But ANNR is positive on the public side as well, including in this first half. And it's quite broad-based, and it belies some real areas of strength in the public markets. and that's both in certain asset classes but also distribution channels that we're really growing into and some highlights are private wealth in Asia through some of our global unconstrained bond strategies is seeing a lot of positive growth. We're putting a lot of effort into widening our ETF strategies and that's getting a lot of very near-term traction already and I think it will continue in Europe, continental Europe. both in the institutional side but also in the wholesale side. So that mix that we have and all of that is in keeping with this moving towards higher revenue margin businesses. So I feel it's very sustainable. Thank you.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Question from Tom.

speaker
Thomas Bateman
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Hi, good morning. Thomas Bateman from BNP Paribas. Just touched on it, Eric, but maybe coming from a slightly different angle in terms of the pickup in ANR. How much of your DC funds are in private markets funds now? What's the allocation? I just want to get a sense of how much has transferred so far and what's kind of the target level there?

speaker
Eric
Chief Executive, Asset Management

Yeah, so I actually don't have the weighted average number because we have different preferred strategies, different default strategies, and what we see in the DC space and what's working for us, Laura and I have, we're really completely in lockstep on that business from end to end. You have solutions that still don't have a lot of private markets exposure, and we are winning some mandates where, at least at an initial phase, there's not a lot of private market exposure. Where we are seeing more private markets positive, if you will, strategies, the overall mix is about 15%. We think over a cycle, the right mix for DC, if you're looking for material private markets exposure, is 15% privates, 85% publics. So between the two strategies where we're getting a lot of momentum, we've got some weighted average between probably mid-single digits to a max of 15%.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

And also, Tom, it's important that this is the flows, right? I do the media calls just before, so I get asked a lot about mansion house and commitments. So our private markets access fund is above $3 billion, which means for some of those default funds, we're already above the mansion house commitment, which is the 10%, which, Laura, you signed for me and you were there. and then the part of it which is the UK we typically allocate a third to the UK which means that we're meeting the 5%.

speaker
Laura
Chief Executive, Retail / Head of Workplace Pensions

So just picking up on what Andrew said about we have two sort of default schemes that have private markets allocation that get to the sort of average that Eric talked about so one our lifetime advantage fund which has the 15% another one our target default fund which has 10% so those are the sort of flows that we're seeing most of our sort of new and schemes coming into, if you like. So, and as Antonio says, very aligned with the Mansion House compact.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

But it's a decision by the employer. If the employer doesn't want to do that, we would do what the employer wants.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Kaelish, in the back.

speaker
Ganesh Mistry
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, Ganesh Mistry, Bank of America. Two questions. The first one is just on the holding company cash, you talked about 1.5 billion at the holding company, and there's some excess in the operating companies. If you were to bring those up roughly, what does that look like? Second question is just on the new cabinet, new government, however you want to call it. Can you talk a little bit about Your expectations around policy and how that could impact your business where you see the most potential change if you like.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

I'll try to say something from a shareholder perspective but do you want to talk about the one it's 1.4 billion actually do you want to say that first and I'll come back.

speaker
Andrew
Chief Financial Officer

That's 31 December because that's dynamic. We give a disclosure in the pack in the R&S which talks about total cash at a group level of being 3.6 billion You know across the group that's that's not saying that that cash can move up from subsidiaries It's just to give you a cash figure I mean that the actual amount in each subsidiary and when it could move is clearly dependent on a number of facts But just gives you a sense in the pack of the detail of total total level of cash

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

So without making too much of a political statement, from an actual results perspective, there's two areas where we can see, you know, we don't know what's going to happen on the 28th of October, particularly with the budget. But if you think about what we do as LNG, we do a lot of investments that are place-based investments. So think about affordable housing, think a lot of what we are known for, and we do well. We've done that across the country. Actually, we do that with the Greater Manchester Pension Fund as it happens. and so we can see more of that. I think that direction is good for us as a business. And second, something that I've said publicly, particularly from your business, Laura, DC, I've advocated for an increase of an 8% auto-enrollment contributions going to 12% over time, recognizing that we have cost of living crisis and employers themselves are under pressure, but a gradual increase. So the numbers we showed today are assuming the current auto-enrollment rates, but as you probably know, there's a pension commission Right now, if the proposals that we've put forward to increase that to 12%, of course, that's an upside from a workplace perspective. So I think those things are good for the country, but they're certainly good for LNG.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Before we go to any follow-ups in the room, I've got some questions coming through online. So first of those is looking at PRT market volumes, some suggestion that maybe it could be a bit lower than previously expected this year with some large transactions moving into 2027, a question on why those transactions are moving into 2027, expectations for 2026, and as an extension to that, expectations for global or US PRT market volumes.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

I think, Gareth, you should address I think I sort of answered the first question in terms of the longer term, but you should talk about 26 versus 27 volumes, Gareth.

speaker
Gareth
Chief Investment Officer, Institutional Retirement

Some deals are large and lumpy and some of them will fall one side of the year end and some of them will fall on the other side of the year end so we don't know as we sit here today where some of those really large deals will land but what we do see is the pipeline over the next five years being incredibly healthy and so it is possible that some will tick into 2027 but it's also possible that some larger deals will transact towards the back end of this year and it's much easier to predict longer term pipeline than really super short pipeline. Global market volumes, I mean US in particular we see the US as being roughly similar sort of size to the UK but in dollar terms so you know if it's a 50 billion UK market it's 50 billion dollars in the US. I mean that market is a very large market as well and so could could clearly grow too and we're active in Canada that's a big market and we're also seeing whether there are other markets that could open up as well so and Antonio your number on the one trillion golden decade over the next 10 years I mean there could clearly be upside to that as well but that probably takes into account the current mature markets of the UK and US and Canada

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Maybe just one point on the US, which is typically our market share in the US tends to be around 5%, so I'd say so. If it was $40 billion more, we tend to do $2 billion or so in the US. I think the big difference is what I said earlier when I was talking about the future. What we're now doing with Meiji Yasuda is quoting on jumbo deals. So if you think about it, we had 5% market share, but we were playing only in half the market. So we had 10% market share of the lower bottom. What we can do with Meiji Yasuda is effectively do double the volume because we're now quoting for jumbo deals, which is the market above 1 billion. So I think that's everything else being equal, we could double the volumes of which we keep 80% and Meiji Yasuda keeps 20.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

Very good. Andrew, at the front for a follow up.

speaker
Andrew Crean
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Quick follow-up. You've given us the asset optimisation on the operational surplus generation. What was the asset optimisation on the strain, both in first half 26 and first half 25?

speaker
Andrew
Chief Financial Officer

Asset optimisation, I think it's actually in the pack. Institutional retirement was about 10 million on the strain. I forget the retail. We'll give you that too, Andrew.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

It's in the appendix slides, Andrew, on slide 43. You've got the details broken down. It was relatively small.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

But it's the biggest strategic point we made, which is the asset optimisation we're doing right now involves very little strain. With credit spreads widening, it would include a bit more, but it would always meet our capital allocation framework of more than 14% IRR.

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

And to be clear, we'd be happy to deploy capital. We're well above our target range. Part of the reason why we're above our target range is because we're in a tight credit spread environment. If we get the opportunity of wider spreads, we'd really like to deploy capital and make a really attractive return on that. So if those opportunities come along, we're happy to take advantage of them. Michael, for follow-up.

speaker
Michael
Analyst

You said you'd talk about defaults. You said there were no, but do you have any numbers? And then the other question is on debt leverage. Maybe talk a little bit more about what the trajectory could look like. Thank you.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Yes. So I think both for you. Last time we had a default was 2008.

speaker
Andrew
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, so this is credit defaults. Antonio has answered the question, it was £25 million in 2008 and zero. So on the leverage, and again we don't formally report it here, but it's in the R&S, so that's sort of 33.9% as at the half year. As I communicated, the plan is to move that down, so over the medium term we'll sort of manage that down to levels that are obviously lower than that. Let's bookend it with Farouk.

speaker
Farouk
Analyst

Last but not least, thank you. On the balance sheet, investments and asset management, you've given obviously guidance of 80 to 100 million this year. Is the idea to wind that down as a percentage of the total profit? Or would you say the assets invested there are kind of sustainable and will grow because you like them? Just want to understand that part of the future. Eric.

speaker
Eric
Chief Executive, Asset Management

Yeah, I'm happy to handle that. The real switch is that we use our balance sheet ideally to really incubate third party assets. And that's really a lot of what's been driving our FRE. So I think for this year, the 80 to 100, we feel really good about it. We feel good about the quality of the assets we have. We have real estate. We know real estate is still in the downside of the market. We know interest rates are volatile. and that's why we feel good about how we're managing those assets but in many ways we want to use our balance sheet to maximize that FRE and so you will continue to see balance sheet investment operating profit but that's why really the focus on that quality towards FRE is where we're guiding increasingly towards going forward.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Yeah and if we do it mathematically right so it's 80 to 100 so it's assumed it continues the same until 2028 it's maximum 20 percent of the overall 500 to 600 so really you're thinking more like 85 percent or so of the fee related of the operating profit is fee related earnings so the quality fee related earnings keep on growing and you have the balance sheet investments really stable now in a in a sustainable way right now in so that that is the shape of that 2028 number

speaker
Andy Sinclair
Chief Strategy and Investor Relations Officer

I think that brings us to the end of our Q&A, so I'll hand back to Antonio.

speaker
Antonio
Group Chief Executive

Well, thank you, everybody, for the questions. We've covered a lot. As you have seen, and as we've also just discussed through Q&A, we have a combination of, on one hand, momentum in the businesses, but also scope to accelerate that further, although I'm not giving further guidance, but you can see the potential that we have in the business. Our next update will be on the 16th of November. as Andrew said we committed to be more transparent and update you more frequently so we'll have the the third quarter update on the 16th of November but in the meantime Andy and the investor relations team are always available we hope to meet many of you over the next weeks and months I hope you have a good summer break thank you thank you thanks

Disclaimer

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