5/29/2024

speaker
Lisa
CEO

All right. Good morning, everyone. And welcome to our full year results presentation, where Mike and I are going to take you through how far we've progressed this year in building our growth platform for the future. You'll remember that this time last year, we shared a refreshed vision for the business. And one year on, that strategy remains clear and unchanged. We are a truly purpose led business. Creating a better world for pets and the people who love them drives everything we do every day and unites every one of our 17,000 colleagues. Now, the first part of that purpose, creating a better world, reflects our commitment to making pet care environmentally sustainable through, for example, our focus on lower carbon proteins, reducing packaging waste, lower flow anaesthesia or renewable energy. The second part of our purpose for pets and the people who love them encompasses our mission to improve the life of every pet in the UK by delivering the highest clinical service and product standards for the pets that we care for. By being a leading advocate for pet welfare and by being the biggest grant maker to pet charities across the UK, And that is why seven times more customers trust us to care for their pets than anyone else. It also reflects our commitment as the UK's largest employer of pet care talent to providing inclusive opportunities and developing rewarding careers across our sector. Now, this purpose underpins our vision to build the world's best pet care platform. Our platform will be integrated omnichannel and consumer centric. Integrated means bringing together our unique brand of products, services and advice across nutrition, accessories, preventative and curative health care, grooming and well-being. so consumers can access everything they need to care for their pet through our platform. Omnichannel means allowing consumers to seamlessly move between the physical and the digital. Our face-to-face assets, pet care centres, practices, green rooms remain the bedrock, but around that we'll wrap virtual consultations, telemedicine, digital advice and support, and seamless click and collect and e-commerce. so that customers can access the best care for their pet through whatever channel works best for them. And consumer-centric means using our data and scale to give customers an unrivaled experience, anticipating their pet care needs to serve up exactly what they require when they need it. And as we build this world-leading pet care platform, we will deliver differentiated economics over the long term. First, by being integrated, by delivering product services and advice on a single platform, we deliver significant economies of scope. We can do business better and cheaper because we do more than one. For example, by sharing category expertise, speeding up time to market for innovation or amortising our digital investment over a larger revenue base. Just give you an example of that in our green rooms. They're often located on a mezzanine in store, benefiting from shared building costs and zero incremental rent. Our customers are largely acquired at no incremental cost through our puppy and kitten club. Our colleagues in those green rooms are often drawn from our pet care centres with no incremental cost of recruitment and providing career development opportunities for our people. Having vets on site means consumers are much more comfortable leaving their pet in a green room, which no one else can match. And when the pet groom is done, the consumer will often buy a little treat for their pet on the way out, driving our retail business. So you can see why we can offer that business better and cheaper than anyone else. And that's true, of course, for our retail business, our vet business, e-commerce. By having them all together, we drive significant economies of scope. Second, being omnichannel gives us significant economies of scale. Savings from leveraging our physical estate for click and collect or the cost synergies we generate by aggregating our veterinary support services are clear. But we also have a different mix of skills and talent, which means we're able to give the right task to the right colleague at the right cost. driving productivity for example our vet nurses referring nutrition consultations to one of our highly trained retail colleagues means they can provide that service better and at lower cost and it frees up our clinical talent to do more curative and surgical procedures third Using our data, coupled with our insight into the pet owner bond, means we can provide an unrivalled experience, fuelling consumer and revenue growth, particularly through share of wallet. By making things easy and seamless, we will drive cross-sell, we will drive upsell, we will drive subscriptions and we'll drive lifetime value. Our National Pets branding gives us significant marketing efficiency and effectiveness with a halo right across our services. Our recent All for Pets campaign, which I'm sure you've all seen, encompassed grooming, vets, retail, products and services, all in a single 30-second spot. So, you can see how our integrated, omnichannel, consumer-centric platform will leverage our scale, our assets, our data, our capabilities, and our intimate understanding of the pet owner bond to deliver a service that no one else can, and in doing so, create sustainable, competitive advantage. So, let's now move to look at 2024. 2024 was a pivotal year for the business as we delivered the key projects to support our strategy. We launched our new DC in Stafford, an enterprise grade DC that will support our growth ambitions for the next decade. It is now supporting all deliveries to store with structurally improved record availability. And we'll move the final element, our online business in the coming year. We fully migrated to our new digital platform, including a new website, an app to join the colleague device. This is the culmination of a multi-year project built on best-in-class open source components, integrated in-house, which will enable us to iterate and improve in the future to meet the inevitably changing needs of the consumer and the rapid advances we're currently seeing in technology. We continue to invest in our physical assets as we committed to do. We opened five new pet care centres, three new vet practices. We refitted 41 of our locations and extended 26 of our vet practices. And we made great strides in winning clinical talent as the attractiveness of our JV model continues to gain traction. We reduced the number of clinical vacancies by over 40%. We doubled our grad scheme. We attracted new, experienced talent. And importantly, we retained and grew the highly skilled vets and nurses that we already have. We relaunched our brand, bringing together all of our services under one clear consumer brand, and we've already rebranded 55 of our locations. This has been really well received by consumers, by colleagues and by partners, and we've seen a positive trajectory on all of our brand metrics. Innovation is critical to driving premiumization, humanization, and industry growth. And as the market leader, we set the agenda. In FY24, we started to drive an exciting pipeline across food and accessories through exclusive partnerships and range expansion, and our own super brands led the way. We've responded confidently to the CMA review of the sector, taking the opportunity to highlight the uniqueness of our model and the importance of our growth strategy in bringing new sources of capacity and competition to the vet sector. And we've made significant progress on our sustainability agenda, almost doubling our diversity participation continuing to reduce our carbon intensity and remaining the biggest supporter of that related charities across the UK, donating almost £10 million this year alone. Now, strategic progress of this magnitude is not easy, but businesses that do hard things thrive because they are difficult to follow or beat. And I'm really proud of how our people came together to deliver multiple complex projects against the challenging and volatile consumer backdrop. So as we exit 2024, we have delivered the key building blocks of our strategy. We're beyond the point of peak investment, we're beyond the point of peak execution risk, and we're well positioned to deliver our growth ambitions. And we delivered a resilient financial performance. We are now a 1.9 billion consumer revenue business, having grown sales in the last year by 7%. We carefully managed our business to deliver underlying PBIT of 132 million, not quite the flat performance we originally targeted, but down just 3% against a challenging backdrop. And we made significant progress on our strategic KPIs. We grew our active Pets Club membership to 7.8 million. We increased average consumer spend to £178. That's a key share of wallet indicator for us. And we grew our subscriptions business by a third and clinical talent by 10%. So we've delivered successfully year one of our strategy, building the foundations for long-term growth. This year, FY25, we'll see a return to profit growth as we begin to benefit from the significant investments that we've made. We continue to leverage our volume and growth and scale, and we remain laser focused on managing our cost base. And in the medium term, we're positioned to deliver attractive growth through sharing the benefits of our investments and scale with consumers to continue to win share in a structurally growing market. Our medium term framework is unchanged. With the market and structural growth of 4% over the medium term, we will outperform, gaining share to deliver an expected revenue growth of 7%. And this will translate to PBIC growth of 10% with improving cash generation as our capex normalises as has already begun to do in future years. Over the past year, we've returned over 100 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, and our future growth will underpin continued rewards. So, as we look forward to FY25 and beyond, we're very well positioned to deliver against our ambitious strategy. With a clear market leader, with a unique business operating in a very attractive, structurally growing market. And that market growth is underpinned by three trends. Premiumisation, humanisation and higher penetration, where we've now stabilised at a significantly larger population of pets in the UK, with 23 million cats and dogs versus 18 million pre-pandemic. And we have a unique business with scale and credibility across all key verticals and plenty of headroom to grow. We have a leading position in premium food with close to half the premium market. And we're the key partner for brands in the sector as our expertise and service grow the market and support innovation. With a 30% market share in accessories, we're the leading player, but we've got plenty of headroom to grow as we bring new innovation to bear and benefit from our new digital platform, to grow online participation. And thanks to the stellar growth we've seen over the past year in vets winning significant share, we are now the clear number two in the market with consumer sales exceeding 575 million pounds. Our customers remain sticky. Their behaviour is very predictable and resilient. Pre and post pandemic cohorts demonstrate highly similar behaviour. And once we win customers, their behaviours become embedded and established, giving us important visibility of lifetime value. so we can hone and effectively tailor our investment in consumer acquisition and retention, supporting by the leading analytical data capability that we've built in recent years. Now, our success over recent years, taking advantage of the UK pet boom through successfully recruiting so many new pet owners, means we have a huge embedded potential in our customer base. In the chart on the left-hand side, you see that bulge cohort of new customers that we've run. And that will track right over time and will benefit from the lifetime value of those customers for many years to come. Now, while the replacement rate on the far left of the chart isn't right at those peak levels, it's also much higher than pre-pandemic, as those new puppy and kitten cohorts are sustaining a population of 23 million, a new stable high. This also explains why we're seeing more muted levels of market demand at the moment. In the graph on the right, you can see how the large pandemic cohorts are dropping down that smile in early years spend into that year two and three trough and being replaced by relatively smaller new cohorts at the top of that smile. Now, this market normalisation is a temporary impact. We should be through it in the coming quarters and we expect growth to then return to more historical levels with obviously, though, a significant opportunity to come as we serve those bulge cohorts later in life when vet spend increases. Growing share of wallet remains our greatest opportunity over and above the already embedded lifetime value of the consumers we have. And given our market leadership and scale across multiple areas of consumer spend, we have the best view of what consumers spend on their pets and we know how to drive engagement. We know that as customers engage with more of our products and services, we win more of their share of wallet. For example, being a vet client, buying our own brand food, using our digital channels, using the green room, buying accessories, all of these help win spend from other providers and consolidate it onto our platform. So while the average customer spends £178 a year with us, up from 162 years ago, the most engaged customers spend closer to £1,000. Every element of our integrated, omnichannel, consumer-centric platform is specifically designed to make it easier, more enjoyable, and more rewarding for customers to spend their pet care wallet with us. Now, of course, we're focused on winning new customers so they can benefit from that offer. But our opportunity is underpinned by deepening our relationship with the customers that we already have. And of course, deepening those customer relationships and the key to winning their share of wallet is our digital and data platform. Our digital and data investments touch every part of our business. We're connecting our colleagues in store through the ACE device, our customers through the app and website, and our vets through the practice management system to a single customer. digital platform and that will enable us to connect the physical, the hybrid, the virtual and the digital worlds so we can leverage our insight and personalise every single interaction with our customers and our clients. In 2024, we made a significant leap forward. with the launch of our digital platform to consumers. And today we have 100% of retail shopping transactions now through the new app and website. And we've started to leverage our data in real time. For example, our recommendations and personalized marketing are now being powered by insight from the 85% of transactions that happened in store, not just the 15% that happened digitally. We've also selected ProVet for our practice management system partner, which will represent a significant improvement in the efficiency and effectiveness of day-to-day work in practice for our clinical teams. Importantly, it also moves us to a cloud-based architecture, allowing us to connect vets into that single digital platform. We'll deliver the rest of this roadmap over the next couple of years using the internal capability we've built to launch our single booking engine, roll out our new practice management system and eventually offer a completely integrated pet care experience to our pet owners. The new consumer app that we've just launched is a major step forward. It starts to showcase the promise of what our full platform will deliver. It brings a much improved user experience, better navigation, more personalisation, enhanced subscriptions capability and tailored offers and advice. It's early days, but so far the results are encouraging. with a 25% uplift in sales via the app and higher conversion on our new website. And for those of you that haven't got pets in your homes, this is what it looks like. You can see there the relevant content offers and product recommendations, all shown to a customer right at the top. New and featured, powered by our data. and special offers and vouchers right there front and center. We've also got simplified navigation and filters and enhanced product attributes running off our new product database. So it's much easier for customers to find and buy what they want. And we've made it much easier to join the Pets Club. The club identity and the customer identity are now as one. We've linked all of our data and made it much easier. So as you can see, it's really exciting to have landed such a big building block of our strategy, delivering clear improvements for our customers today and setting us up for the future. Now onto our differentiated sector leading vet group, underpinned by our JV model, which is at the heart of our strategy. Our vets delivered an excellent performance in FY24. Our vets group consumer revenues grew 14% to 576 million, making us the clear number two in the vet sector. We attracted new customers, we grew visits and improved the mix of our business, which, when combined with industry-wide inflation, powered our practice revenue growth. The unique benefits of our JV model, driven by skilled and passionate practice owners, translated to an average practice EBITDA growth of 16%. Today, we have more successful, debt-free and profitable vets than ever before. creating increased advocacy for our model, which will help us grow in the future. And the Vet Group PBIT easily cleared the 60 million potential we outlined a few years ago, with plenty of growth still to come. The CMA market investigation into the veterinary sector is ongoing and we will of course continue to actively engage with the CMA over the coming months. We believe, however, that our unique JV model insulates us from many of the potential areas of concern. we already have a national brand. Our practices clearly display locally determined price lists in reception areas and we encourage best practice sharing in areas such as providing estimates to help customers get adequate information to make an informed choice. Our JV practices are independently owned and sometimes in fact compete with each other in local markets. We only operate in the primary care market, having sold our specialist hospital division years ago. And so our vets have complete clinical freedom to refer anywhere or retain the work in-house, whatever they think is in the best interest of the pet and the pet owner. The CMA's concern on charging for medicines and prescriptions is the only area where we think there could be some limited potential impact, but this should be manageable at a practice level. And lastly, there's a question around the way the sector is regulated, given the current regulatory framework is almost 60 years old. And so we welcome the opportunity to sit around the table and help frame the new legislative and regulatory framework for vets. Of course, the main risk with any investigation is that the business will get distracted. And I want to reassure you that we will give this all the attention it requires without losing sight of the long-term off-growth opportunity we have in front of us by supporting the growth of our practice owners. The welfare of our clinical teams and those across the industry is also a key concern. And we'll do everything we can to preserve their well-being in the face of the stress, uncertainty and unwanted public profile that a market investigation inevitably brings. So our VET strategy is pro-competitive and will introduce new capacity to the UK primary care sector and increased choice for consumers. The key pillars of our Grace VET strategy are intact and we've made great progress against the plans we set out a year ago. We plan to grow our consumer sales at 9% a year over the medium term, supported by four pillars. First, the embedded maturity of our existing practices, with our average practice now doing £1.3 million of revenue a year, but our established debt-free practices doing £1.5 million. So plenty of embedded growth there. Second, we plan to open five to 15 new greenfield practices a year. This year, we've been a bit behind that due to some timing impacts, but we have a very healthy pipeline of new practices to come. And with 120 stores still without a vet and a thriving standalone model, we can tailor our opening programme to wherever new practice owners want to be. Third, we plan to extend practices as many mature practices operate on the same footprint they opened with. And we've successfully extended 26 practices in the past year. And fourth, we'll support practices in adding advanced capabilities such as imaging, cardiology, orthopedics and laparoscopy, which provide opportunities for clinical talent to grow and the ability to retain high value work in practice. So, with a great year behind us and a clear and compelling growth plan, we and our practice owners look forward to the future with confidence. And so on to our retail division, which remains an unrivalled industry leader, well positioned, with investments behind us and opportunity ahead, despite exiting a more challenging year. Our retail business is anchored by food, driving frequency and loyalty, and that has led our growth over the last year. And where we win in food, we see a four times higher frequency from customers, and it has a halo onto non-food spend as well. We're the clear market leaders in the premium food sector which is expected to grow faster than the overall market and we remain at the forefront of innovation with our recent expansion into frozen, into freeze-dried and fresh. And our performance in food has been driven by the strength and growth of our category-leading private labels. These are now super brands and include Wainwrights and AVA, some of the biggest advanced nutrition brands in the industry, in their own right. In fact, such has been the growth of AVA that it's now overtaken the branded leader in the dog category. These brands drive frequency, they provide savings for the consumer alongside equivalent or better quality and deliver significantly improved margin to our bottom line, supported by long-term supply deals such as with Cranswick. As you know, accessories has had a much tougher time over the last couple of years, holding back our growth and margin. Pressure on discretionary spend, cost headwinds and the impact of that trough in the smile of consumer spend have provided a difficult backdrop. But we're determined to get accessories back into growth through innovation, premiumisation and online channel growth. We know that when we get the product and price right and when we merchandise it well, we win consumer spend. And in the year to come, we've got a really compelling pipeline of innovation centered on range extensions, exclusive product launches, and enhanced own brand. We'll be able to use our new digital capabilities to cross an upsell, to target consumer recommendations, and to add accessories to food and health subscriptions, driving participation in this rapidly growing channel. We will continue to invest in our stores to offering engaging and rewarding experience for consumers. Our well-located national footprint of pet care centres bringing together a unique range of products and services in one place together with our convenient standalone vet practices are the leading asset in the industry. We've opened five new locations in the past year and refitted 41. We've also rebranded 55 of our stores and vet practices with really positive consumer partner and colleague reaction. And the capital is committed in our plan to continue this level of investment in our current estate alongside expanding to another 40 or so locations in the year ahead. So I'll now hand over to our CFO, Mike Iden, to take you through a financial review.

speaker
Mike Iden
CFO

Thank you, Lisa. Good morning, everybody. It's been a solid year. I'm going to give you an update on that and on the financial results we achieved last year. It was really a pivotal year for the business. We delivered a really resilient performance and as Lisa's just been saying, we implemented some really important parts of the strategy. The consumer revenue grew by close to 7% to £1.9 billion. Underlying profit was £132 million. That was in line with our January guidance and of course includes the impact of the transition to the distribution centre last summer. Free cash flow was robust, 69 million, and we now have 7.8 million members in our Pets Club. That's a growth year-on-year of nearly 2%. More of our revenue than ever is from subscriptions. That's up 330 basis points year-on-year to 10%. And as Lisa was saying, the average annual consumer value has grown close to 6% to £178. And we've really successfully managed to recruit more clinical professionals, been a big driver of the growth we've seen in our veterinary business. 3,300 vets and nurses now work in our business. That's up 10% year on year. Turning now to our consumer revenue growth, as I said, it was in line with our medium-term ambition. We grew 6.9%. And within that, group like-for-like growth, as you can see from the chart, was just over 5%. Retail like-for-like growth was just over 4%. And vet group like-for-like growth was 16.5%. Within that retail number, food benefited from strong growth all the way through the year. And that was underpinned by volume growth. And within accessories, that did decline, as you can see in the chart, by 4.3%. But splitting that out, Consumer accessories, so items like cat litter, they actually grew by seven. So it's those discretionary accessories, things like dog toys, dog collars and leads, dog toys, they declined by eight. And we've already taken action, as Lisa was saying. We're determined to turn that around. And the growth plan in the year ahead is a key component of that growth plan. Within other, as you can see in the chart, that's grooming sales mainly in there. They grew in the year by around 10%. And that was really helped by the successful retention of our grooming colleagues. The vet business had a terrific year. Firing on all cylinders, supported by that increased clinical capacity, growing life-like revenue by 16.5%. And within that, we got good visits growth of around 3%. In the VET group, of course, we have a number of proven growth levers. We opened three new practices, extended 26, and we converted 10 group-managed practices to what is our preferred format, which is the joint venture model. Average practice revenue lifted to £1.3 million per practice, and we have a significant amount of embedded maturity still to come. Half of our practices are still less than 10 years old. Turning now to the profit results, £132 million, in line with expectations, but held back by the headwinds we've previously flagged. And those headwinds, of course, include £9 million of additional costs and the impact to lower sales, as we suffered that short-term disruption last summer in Q2, as we transitioned all our stores to our Stafford distribution centre. That's all behind us. I mean, that peak operational risk, all behind us. Staff is now operating at ever-improving productivity, and availability in our stores is stronger than ever. Group gross margin declined by 123 basis points, mainly due to retail. And in there, there's two factors. One is the mix effect of that really strong growing food business at more than nine and the decline we saw in discretionary accessories. The other part of it is foreign exchange. We bought our dollars last year at $1.19. That compares to $1.34 the previous year. And that weighed down on the gross margin. As we look into FY25, We bought 80% of our dollars now at 125. So that will be a tailwind coming into the new financial year. We kept a really good grip on our operating costs. Those grew only 4% to 558 million. And here we've got a number of really well proven efficiency and productivity levers to pull, and that helps us offset some of the known headwinds, the biggest one of which is a 9.8% increase in the national living wage. We treated £26.3 million of costs in the year as non-underlying, mainly across two areas. One is the distribution transition we talked about, and the other was the closure of our Swindon Support Office, and that's now complete. In the year ahead, we are planning for £7 million, a further £7 million non-underlying cost, with two drivers of that. One is another restructuring we're doing, another office restructuring at Hanforth this time, taking out 120 roles. And we're going to complete the online transition, moving up our online picking from Northampton up to Stafford, and that will be a further £3 million, but significantly lower year on year. PBIP margin dropped, as you can see in the chart, to 8.9%. Within that, and as expected, VET group margin stepped up by over 100 basis points. But retail margin, that did decline, held back by the factors I've been talking about. That did drag on our retail profit, which declined to just over 87 million. But VET group profit lifted by 20% to just over 61 million pounds. Turning now to cash flow, strong free cash flow and the robust balance sheet. £69 million of cash flow in the year, that's after cash capex of £48.5 million and we closed with net cash of £9 million. The VET group produced £58 million of cash flow and that's consistent with a target of £60 million of cash flow we've been talking about for a number of years. And there's plenty more to come on the VET group cash flow. Retail cash flow was held back by those one-off costs. They are non-recurring, non-allying costs, mainly related to the staff at DC. We'll pay a final dividend in the year, 8.3p. That maintains our dividend flat, represents a payout of 61%, slightly ahead of the 50% payout in the capital allocation guidelines. We also successfully completed our share buyback programme, taking our total buyback now to £100 million over two years, £50 million last year, and we bought back in total 15.3 million shares last year. And as you can see on the slide, we finished the year with least adjusted leverage maintained at 1.5 times. We've got a robust balance sheet and we will generate surplus cash flow in the year ahead. And that's after fully funding our growth plan. So turning now to our capital investment, we invested close to £46 million in the year and we continue to have a really disciplined approach, fully aligned to strategy. As Lisa was saying, we did complete a full development programme, 41 pet care centres, 26 extensions, but we spent less than our planned budgeted investment because we focused on lighter capital refits and many of those vet extensions were actually chosen to be funded by the practice owners. We opened five stores, and that was consistent with the medium-term target to open 40. All are trading well, in line with the business plan, and we'll continue to open new stores, particularly in urban areas. And we see quite an opportunity there. And since the year end, we've opened a further two stores, one in Sutton and one in Whetstone. The balance of the investment is in digitising the business. Much of that, of course, is expense through the P&L, through the SAS charge. And last year, that was just short of £28 million. As Lisa was outlining, we've now completed the build phase of our new website and app. All customer transactions are now on the new platform. It's a significant step forward in our digital capability. And of course, we've built along the way the in-house capability and skills to continue to enhance and develop that platform for customers. Looking ahead into this year, we'll invest around £60 million of capital. That will be across three key areas. New stores, the development of existing stores, enhancing that digital platform and supporting those proven growth drivers in the vet business. And over the medium term, we'd expect that £60 million to taper down to around £50 million a year. As we look into this coming year, we have a clear plan to grow profits. We do expect a slightly weaker pet care market than the 4% medium-term growth assumption. That's driven by the normalisation of the pet population and the number of new pets sort of stabilises at a new normal level. We've planned our profit growth off this lower market growth expectation and there are a number of drivers that give us confidence. The first is that one of the factors that held retail profit back this year, mainly that £9 million of additional distribution costs, they will fall away in the year ahead. We've also been through a period over the last two years of peak investment, heightened operational risk. The costs of those investments in our digital have all been expensed and they are mostly behind us, but the benefits are still ahead of us and they'll now start to deliver. We also have a really tight grip on the cost base, really disciplined approach to capital investment. That well-established programme we've got of rent reductions, you know, 10% of our leases a year, and better procurement of goods and services, that will continue. And we've already implemented a headcount reduction in our Hanthor support office that will reshape the costs and simplify the work. We've got a strong retail trading plan that includes turning around that key core accessories performance. We've re-energized our stores on four C's of customer, colleague, cash and core. And we planned a quite significant step up in marketing investment in the year ahead. Finally, we'll continue to see and support the proven growth drivers in the vet business and deliver that embedded growth as we drive out the maturity of the practice portfolio. So when you take all that together, we've got a comprehensive, fully resourced plan to grow profits in the year ahead. So turning now to capital allocation. remains unchanged and closely aligned to our strategic priorities. First and foremost, to invest to grow the business. That's where we've got a very disciplined approach and very clear on where we're going to invest. Secondly, the commitment to the ordinary dividend, to pay a progressive dividend, around 50% of earnings. We've got a really consistent and reliable track record of doing so. Third, where it makes strategic sense, so the good example is buying the VET connection, we'll invest in Bolton M&A. And finally, where we've got surplus cash, we'll return that to shareholders via buybacks or special dividends. And if you look back over the last five years, we've returned £300 million to shareholders and at the same time maintained a robust balance sheet and not constrained the growth of the business. And today, we're announcing a further buyback of £25 million in the year ahead. And finally, last May, we did set out our medium-term financial framework that will reward shareholders with compounding growth and strong cash flow. We plan to grow our sales 7% over the medium term. That's based on the pet care market growing at 7%. That market growth, as Lisa was saying, underpinned by strong structural growth drivers. And then we've got our proven drivers, you know, omni-channel strategy, our digital capabilities, our unique model, product and services, enables us to grow faster than the market. Profits will grow ahead of sales, 10% a year. That's driven off the back of productivity gains, efficiency benefits, and operational leverage. And in turn, that drives strong, improving cash flow to 70% of PBIP. That will allow us to reward our shareholders through a progressive dividend and returns of any surplus cash, as I mentioned. So, in conclusion, a really pivotal year of strategic progress. We delivered a resilient financial performance, landed some big strategic projects, and importantly, have a clear path to improved profitability. strategy remains clear, and importantly, our capital allocation and medium-term financial framework are unchanged. Thank you for listening. I'll now hand back to Lisa.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Okay, so in summary, one year into our strategy, our vision's unchanged, and we've successfully delivered the key building blocks of our platform alongside, as Mike outlined, a really resilient financial performance. Our strategy is clear. It's underpinned by that purpose to create a better world for pets and the people who love them. And I'm more excited than ever by the future for this business as we build the world's best pet care platform. So now Mike and I are happy to take your questions.

speaker
Jonathan
Investor

Morning, all. Morning. Thank you for this morning's presentation. First question is just on revenue growth in retail. Appreciate we're only a small part through the year to date, just six weeks. The data you provided this morning, revenues down 2%. Just wondering if you could... run through the building blocks that you think sees revenue accelerate to the 4.7% that consensus has? That's the first question.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Yeah, sure. So the minus 2%, we believe, is still better than the market. So we're still gaining share. We're still gaining customers. And if you recall the slide that I talked about in terms of that smile and those COVID cohorts, We are now lapping pretty much the final quarter of those boom cohorts with the normalisation cohort. So next quarter, our comparables come down quite a lot and continue to stay much lower. So that's why when we look at all of our data and analytics and look as we pan the cohorts out, we can see that that will progressively return to growth. And that's what gives us confidence alongside, of course, The fact that we have this new digital platform, which is showing initial signs of working really well, but we've got loads and loads that we can now start to drive through that. We actually held back a little bit on marketing this quarter digitally because we were going through that transition. So we've got plenty now that we can start to drive volume through that platform. So those are the two really big key factors that give us confidence.

speaker
Mike Iden
CFO

Yeah, a couple of just to add to all those points Lisa's described. Balance year, of course, got much weaker comparables. That last six weeks, the first six weeks of the year, the comp for the quarter was 7.1%, but the comp for that six-week period was more than 10%. If you look into Q2, our like-for-like there was 2.8%. Some of that was the £20 million of sales we attribute to the lost sales impacted by poor availability when we transitioned all the stores into Stafford. And then into the balance of year, we're lapping much gentler comps. That £20 million, by the way, is probably worth 1.5% like for like on a full year basis. And on top of that, of course, we put a bigger marketing investment in. We've got a plan to turn around what's been in decline, which is our core accessories. They've been down by, as I was saying, 8%. So we've got all the building blocks of that plan. So that growth we're putting in, we've got every reason to be confident. think we're going to get there and by the way we plan for that minus two so you know the data we've got enables us to predict more accurately the shape of demand and we did build into our plan so our 144 full year target assume we're going to have that minus two in the first six weeks of the year

speaker
Jonathan
Investor

Next question just on the VET segment. You called out the increase in headcount. What shape should we expect revenue growth to be in VETs in FY25 in terms of the price-volume mix? Will it be more volume-dominant given there has been that headcount reduction or the inverse?

speaker
Lisa
CEO

You'll probably see something similar to this year. So price and inflation in line with the broader sector. But again, that curative mix, those advanced procedures, that new space that we've laid down last year coming through and some visit growth as well as we start to, as we continue to win that war for talent. So not a materially different shape than this year.

speaker
Jonathan
Investor

Okay, one more if I may. Just on the expansion of the veterinary network, there were three added, the financial year just gone. What should we expect going forward? Will it revert back to that longer term target that you've outlined previously?

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Yeah, so our long-term target is 5 to 15, and we've got lots and lots of opportunity. The limiting factor is not locations. We've got 120 stores without a vet where we would love to put one in. We've got a standalone model that works really, really well, which we can pretty much put on any high street in the UK. The issue is finding the right partners. And the business has learned the hard way, I suppose, with many years ago now, the reset, that getting those right JV partners is critical. They need to be really good clinicians. They need to have decent customer service skills, because actually a lot of what you're dealing with is clients at a particularly stressful point in their lives. They need to be able to run a team. I mean, some of our vet practices now are up to, you know, 70 clinical teams in those vet practices, and they need to have some business skills. Obviously, we take, you know, the bulk of that off of them with our model, but they do need to have a business now. So we're looking for those four things. We don't need loads of them, maybe 50 a year to kind of keep go the A share sale succession pipeline going and open those new practices. And we've got you know, a fuller pipeline than we've ever had before. Because, you know, as the JV model becomes more widely understood, it's the best of both. It's the best of having your own independent practice with all of the support of a corporate. So we've got a fuller pipeline than ever. We've got loads of locations to go after. We'd like to get back to the five to 15 a year. And that would be kind of our target for this year.

speaker
Mike Iden
CFO

And just to add to that, alongside that, of course, we've got the extension programme. So many of those in-store practices are still on the same footprint as when they first opened, and their revenues have grown. You know, average today is 1.3 million. We sometimes talk about maturity. Actually, that sort of implies or infers that there's a limit to growth. But if you take some of our bigger practices, you know, while the average of our 10-year-old practices is one and a half, you know, our biggest practices like Stockport, which we've extended now three times, that turns over more than four and a half million a year, and it's not our biggest. So those are outliers, but just shows what's possible. And extensions is a really, in our gift really, very capital light. Mostly the partners are funding those and it uses up better utilization of space in the store. And that actually might look like two more consult rooms and a new operating theater, but it will really generate really strong revenue growth in the years ahead.

speaker
Jonathan
Investor

Great, thank you.

speaker
Unnamed
Investor

Thank you, Jonathan. Question on pricing, relative pricing. Grocery, food, where are you on your main competitors versus your main competitors on that? Are you bang in line or is there a little bit of a bit of a tolerance? And can I ask the same question on vet pricing as well?

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Yeah. So on grocery pricing, which is actually quite a small part of our mix, obviously AN is where we really compete and that's where our own brands offer really excellent value versus the branded competitors. But on grocery, we're exactly where we want to be, which is in line or even on promotion below. below the sector, and we are winning share in grocery still on that basis. Vet pricing is set locally by our vets. We don't determine it centrally. So it will be very much tailored to the local market. And if I can give an example of, say, Hull, where we've got two vets in very close proximity, one serving Hull Junction, which is one of the most deprived council estates in Europe, actually, and one serving Hull Annelby, which is a very affluent suburb. Hull Junction would be providing consults 15 minutes, 20 or 30 pounds. Hull Junction, Hull Anolby would be providing 30 minute consults at 60 or 70 pounds. So the pricing is very variable, very much determined locally and very much tailored to the local market. But stepping all the way back from that, we believe our price position in vets is competitive, very competitive.

speaker
Unnamed
Investor

Thank you.

speaker
Ruben
Peel Hunt

Hi, Ruben from Peel Hunt. Just one from me. So how much of the VETS revenue mix is medicine and prescriptions?

speaker
Lisa
CEO

20% to 25% is what the CMA thinks nationally. We've got no reason to believe we're any different than that. So, you know, any impact of that, and that is the only element of the CMA, which is why I think you're asking the question that we believe may affect us. It's pretty small. We always encourage vets to charge appropriately for their time, which is 75%. That's where we're investing, actually, behind that 75% with advanced capabilities. And so... If there is a small rebalancing, which there may be, it's at the margin of 20-25% and we've got 75% of the rest to absorb that. It's also worth noting that having now opened Stafford with the capability we've got there and the digital capability, if online pharmacies really were to gain traction, that's something that we could do and that would insulate us again by keeping that revenue in-house.

speaker
Mike Iden
CFO

And just to build on that, another feature of our VET revenues of course are the care plans we sell which affect subscriptions and we know they are very competitively priced versus the rest of the VET sector and we're seeing really good growth there and that's a way of giving value to customers but also the reliability of a regular direct debit coming into our bank accounts.

speaker
Kane
Deutsche Numis

those subscriptions are really important in terms of creating that annuity lifetime value out of our out of our vet business cool thank you uh morning it's kane from deutsche numis uh just maybe following up on that question on on the pricing uh the medicine do you not think that vets are just going to look to rebalance the fees you know the 80 20 split um and further to that i mean is it not going to just completely um obliterate the independence, assuming they don't have the bargaining power at all when it comes to the medicine side. Then just on accessories piece, I don't know if we could push you for a little bit of guidance as to sort of that core piece, how that evolves through the course of this year. And Given the normalization trends you've spoken about, are you seeing increased competition in the space which would perhaps maybe impair or lower the sort of typically high margins you would have otherwise got in that segment? And then just finally, your sort of trust pilot scores have sort of gathered a little bit of momentum recently. Just wondering if you have any response to that. I assume there has been some short-term disruption given all the bits and pieces you're working on. Yeah. Yeah. Anything you can give us there. Thanks.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Three great questions. Thank you. So listen, the pricing of drugs and medicines and service is set locally by our own operator vets. So if there's a small adjustment in the market, I imagine they'll adapt very well to that. You know, one of the benefits of our model, obviously, and the reason that our vet practices are so much more productive and profitable than either independents or corporates is that owner operator mentality, but also the benefit of everything that we provide. And a large piece of that or one piece of that is the fact that we consolidate our buying power and not just in terms of pricing, but also in terms of supply. So when things like vaccines and things are in short supply we're able to negotiate with our suppliers to make sure that our vets have them so it's not just pricing it's availability and that's clearly a a key feature of our model I can't really speculate on on independence but I know that that's making one of the reasons that our model this best of both the best of independent and best of corporate is increasingly attractive so I think that that's the first question do you want to take accessories

speaker
Mike Iden
CFO

Yeah, I mean, as I was saying in the update, you know, accessories, these are these discretionary core type accessories, two years of decline. But those are, you know, 60% margin items. And, you know, I think the first base camp is to stop the decline, actually. And our plan assumes we can stop that decline in the year ahead. It's not going to be an instant fix. It's not suddenly going to return to growth. But the digital platform we're building is a real way of enabling customers to spend more on and buy more accessories from us. you look to the mix of our digital sales, less than 10% is accessories, compared with our overall 35%, 40%. So that's a great opportunity. So we do actually see turning around accessories as an opportunity from the base we're starting from. And we've got some really good plans as you look ahead. And in terms of how to fix it, we're pretty clear. If you've got good product, innovative, well-merchandised, well-priced, Colleagues are getting behind it. Christmas is a great example. We had a great Christmas offer. We didn't put it on a three for two and we sold everything out completely. So next year we'll get even more confidence on the Christmas buy. So we know how to fix it. Our task now is to get on and get that done.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

And on your third question about Trustpilot scores, I mean, we track obviously customer satisfaction and experience on a number of metrics. And, you know, since we had the lows of the transition of Stafford back in the summer, that's been tracking up and up and up. every single month. We're now at a position where we've got between 90% and 95% of customers reporting that they are either very satisfied or satisfied with their experience. It's actually higher than it's ever been and going up. I actually think our stores, as we've rallied around those four Cs that Mike talked about, are in better shape than ever before with great availability and our colleagues obviously as highly trained and passionate as ever. So overall customer satisfaction really high and continuing to increase. The Trustpilot scores you talk to are those one star reviews that increased over the past few weeks. And not surprisingly, actually, because as we transitioned from one digital platform to the other, no digital launch I've ever done has gone smoothly. And in this case, it was the subscriptions that didn't cut across cleanly and the data didn't transfer cleanly from one platform to the other. And that's a frustrating experience when something's been turning up every month and then suddenly it doesn't turn up. So I'm actually, you know, we never want to disappoint customers and I'm not surprised they responded with one star Trustpilot scores. But we are through the back of that now. All of our subscriptions are running off the new platform and we should start to see those Trustpilot scores return to the five star reviews that we like to get and that we're more used to.

speaker
Kane
Deutsche Numis

Great, thanks.

speaker
Unnamed
Investor

I just had a couple of questions if I may. I appreciate that you guys aren't seeing anywhere near the same level of inflation that you were last year, but I was wondering, are you starting to see any deflation in any categories or are you expecting that this year? And then secondly, maybe building off the previous question on accessories, It looks like there's been a big uplift in the market, the actual value of the market, but market share has dropped back this year versus last year. Is that anything to do with competitive landscape, teaming or the like? And maybe linked to that, could you give us any colour on what you've seen in terms of the uplift you see when you introduce a more premium range in the accessories business? Do you want to take the first one?

speaker
Mike Iden
CFO

Yeah, just remind me what the first question was.

speaker
Unnamed
Investor

Just on deflation, whether you see it.

speaker
Mike Iden
CFO

Yeah, deflation. So the way to look at that, just to add a bit of colour, would be Q1 last year, inflation in food, and that's probably the best category to look at, was 11%. By the way, we were competitive then on pricing and taking market share. Inflation in Q4 was 1.5%. And if you look at the latest ONS data that came out last week, there's no inflation in pet product at all at the moment. But there's no deflation. When the suppliers are coming to us, they're not putting their cost prices down. And back to Lisa's point, the most important thing for us is to remain competitive on pricing. That's what we're determined to do. So like-for-like growth. competitive on pricing, and managing our percentage margin in food. They're the sort of three critical KPIs the commercial team will track to. So as we look into the year ahead, we'll probably see a little bit of inflation coming back, but it's not going to come back to, I want to say a little bit, normalised levels, 1.5%, 2%. But we're lapping this period now of really high inflation.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

And I think that's where deals like the one we've got with Cranswick, which give us open book pricing, really help us because we're able to see that cost pricing coming through. And all through that inflationary period, we were very disciplined in putting through price on our own label, keeping that cheaper than our branded competitors. And I think that's why you've seen our own labels grow such significant share. which is great for us, it's great for our consumers and it's great for our bottom line. So those own brands provide a really good anchor for us as we face into the next few quarters. In terms of accessories, I think you're looking at the 30% market share I just gave there versus the 43% we gave this time last year. And that's because we have looked again at the market. It's not a market that's got any kind of data that you can get that everyone runs into. And as you say, there's been a big expansion in the number of people over the last five years, I'd say, that are offering a little bit of accessory. So we've restated or had a look again at the size of the market. So that market share drop isn't because actually we've dropped market share, it's because we've re-looked again at the market. You know, I think in accessories, we haven't actually put through any inflation over the last three years. We've actually held our pricing constant. So if you think about it, our accessories are now really a lot cheaper than they were three years ago and very price competitive. The place where we can now compete is in online. And that's the bit of the market that's been growing in accessories. We've now got our new digital platform. We've linked in our data. And actually, that's where we see a big opportunity in terms of that channel.

speaker
Unnamed
Investor

Thank you.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

Hi there. Andy Wade from Jefferies. First one, just to go back on your comment, Lisa, on the annualising the normalisation effect.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Yeah, annualising the normalisation.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

Annualising the normal, yeah, effect. So just to be clear where you guys, because you've got obviously a lot of visibility of stuff that we don't have around timings and so on. Where we're at now is that from Q2, we'll start forgetting all the disruption, all that sort of stuff. That's a separate story. But in terms of the step down in new customer recruitment, we're annualizing the worst of that now or the last bit of it now. So as we get into Q2, that effect will largely go away. Am I understanding what you said right there? Yeah.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Correct. It will start to really ease off. Exactly right. So we were doing 23,000 puppy and kitten sign-ups this time last year. We're now doing 13,500. And 13,500 is the rate we would expect to sustain that 23 million population.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

So we expect that to drop down to similar sort of that sort of 13,000.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Exactly right. But the share of wallet opportunity, of course, that's separate from that is still intact. That's just referring to sort of new customers, new puppies and kittens.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

Absolutely, great. Okay, thank you. Second one, SaaS spend, I think you mentioned £26 million. £28 million, yeah. £28 million, sorry, in FY24. What's that going to be in FY25? And if you've got line of sight, FY26?

speaker
Mike Iden
CFO

Yeah, let me take that one, Andy. So, yeah, so it's coming down. I mean, the build phase was the big investment. And as you know, a lot of that has been expensed. £28 million in the year, just gone. sort of apple to apple, that should drop by about 5 million in the year ahead. Don't forget we're going to continue to keep a level of investment to enhance and develop the website. And that will be largely success-based. So if we don't get the uplifts, we manage the costs accordingly. If you went forward sort of three, four years hence, that will drop down to about 20 million on an ongoing basis. Great.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

And then a couple of just clarification ones on charts, fairly quick ones. On the chart on page 11, I think this is one you've provided before. It's got your cohorts. Just make sure I'm getting this one right, because I think I've been backward and forward on this one quite a few times before. But the y-axis is the average customer value of the customers that you retain.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Yeah, that's real data.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

but it's of the customers that you retain. So it's not sort of, it's not layering in retention. Am I correct in understanding that?

speaker
Lisa
CEO

retention of our cohorts today is the same as it's been they're as sticky as they've ever been we've seen no uptick in churn so customers that we acquired five years ago the lifetime value and the kind of curve of those looks exactly the same as it does today the only real difference is the size of those cohorts as we've been through this covid change but we've got really strong retention and win-back programs in place which are really targeted And they're more effective than they've ever been. And actually, our churn is exactly as it's been. No material change.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

Okay, cool. And the last one on the timeline of consumer experience, platform improvement.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Yeah.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

till we get to that the nirvana not that we ever get to the end of it we never get to nirvana the question is always we never get to the end of it it's an ongoing thing but till we get to the point where you're pretty happy where you know it is that integrated experience where how long are we thinking is it are we 18 months two years down the line

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Yeah, so there's sort of two elements that one is the progression we need to make on on the retail platform and all those elements. And then we need to plug in all the vet stuff as well to get that integrated experience. So we've just we're piloting the PMS this year and then there's a road map to integrate to roll that out through all of our vets. So sort of the first vet that delivers that experience will probably be a year or 18 months before the final vet where we can deliver that experience. So it depends a little bit on how long that PMS rollout takes. We won't want to rush it because rolling out PMSs is quite a fraught area. And so we're going to do that in a really managed way. We'll do a few prior alerts, then we'll go to sort of 25 and then 50 and then we'll kind of, you know, keep rolling out. So the experience will be ready for the first customers before it's ready for the last, because as we plug in each vet, that's when we really get there.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

Gotcha. So once the PMS has been rolled out across the vet estate, And it will be, as I say, never finished. But it's sort of where you want to be in terms of everything will be linked up and joined. And OK, cool.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

Exactly right.

speaker
Andy Wade
Jefferies

Very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

That's it?

speaker
Ruben
Peel Hunt

Yeah, good.

speaker
Lisa
CEO

OK, thank you for those great questions. And thank you for coming today.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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