11/4/2023

speaker
Sanjay Kapoor
General Manager, Performance Planning and Review

Namaste and good evening, ladies and gentlemen. My name is Sanjay Kapoor, and I'm the general manager of performance planning and review department of the bank. On the occasion of the declaration of quarter two financial year 24 results of the bank, it gives me immense pleasure to welcome the analysts, investors, and our colleagues for an in-person meeting. I also extend a warm welcome to the analysts, investors, and colleagues who have joined this presentation through our live webcast. We have with us on the stage our Chairman, Sri Dinesh Khara, at the center. Our Managing Director, International Banking, Global Markets, and Technology, Sri C.S. Sethi. Our Managing Director, Risk Compliance and Stressed Assets Resolution Group, Sri Ashwini Kumar Tiwari. Our Managing Director, Retail, Business and Operations, Sri Alok Kumar Chaudhary. Our Deputy Managing Directors, our Deputy Managing Director of Finance, Srimati Saloni Narayan. Our Deputy Managing Directors heading various verticals and Managing Directors of our subsidiaries are seated in the first row of the hall. We are also joined by the Chief General Managers of different verticals, business groups. To carry forward the proceedings, I request Chairman Sir to give a brief summary of the BAG's Q2 FY24 performance and the strategic initiatives undertaken. We shall thereafter straightaway go to the questions and answers session. However, before I hand it over to the Chairman Sir, I would like to read out the safe harbor statement. Certain statements in these slides are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual outcomes may differ materially from those included in these statements due to a variety of factors. Thank you. Now I would request Chairman Sir to make his opening remarks.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Thank you very much. Good evening, friends. Thank you for joining this analyst meet post announcement of quarter two financial year 24 results of the bank. Let me first and foremost start with a brief description of the present global economic scenario. Global growth remains weighed on by tight financial conditions, uncertainty about the policy trajectory, high debt distress, and geopolitical tensions, which have been further accentuated by the conflict in the Middle East, labor markets and major advanced economies continue to remain tight, prompting central banks to maintain higher for longer stance. The International Monetary Fund, in its October 23 update of the World Economic Outlook, kept the global growth forecast unchanged at 3%. in the year 2023, same as in its July 23 update. Growth in 2024 is, however, projected to moderate to 2.9%. As a stronger than expected momentum in the U.S. is likely to be more than offset by a weaker than expected growth in the Euro area and China. Against this backdrop, the outlook for domestic activity is brightening on account of the sustained buoyancy in services, consumer and business optimism, public spending on infrastructure, and the underlying strength of the financial sector's balance sheet, even as corporations deleverage and post strong bottom lines. Consumer confidence has improved with uptick in most of the macroeconomic conditions and Overall credit ratio of ICRA assigned ratings was 2.0 in April-August 23, indicating improved credit quality of India Inc. Rating upgrades were strong in the hotels, auto components, financials and transport and infrastructure sector. Growth is expected to gain momentum through the rest of the year, especially from the impetus of festival spending. High frequency indicators indicated showing acceleration increase in quarter ending September 23. GST revenue remains robust as monthly GST threshold has now increased to 1.66 trillion in April-October 23 as compared to 1.5 trillion in financial year 23. On the external front, the current account deficit is modest with sufficient foreign exchange reserves, providing a strong buffer that is insulating the economy from global spillovers as well as from the slowdown in external demand. While recognizing global risk and the volatility in financial markets that they entail, real GDP growth is expected at 6.5% and financially at 24%. On the banking front, the bank credit growth remained strong in the first half of financial year 2024 in tandem with the economic activity. Credit extended by the scheduled commercial banks rose by 19.3% by YOY as on 6th of October 2023, over and above the growth of 16.7% a year ago. As demand for credit continues, we expect credit and deposit may grow by 16-17% in 2024. In the above economic backdrop, let me now highlight a few key aspects of the bank's performance in the half year and the second quarter of 2024. I am pleased to announce that we have posted quarterly net profit of 14,330 crores, which has increased by 8.03% by OIE. Operating profit for the second quarter of financial year 2024 is at 19,417 crores. which has moderated by about 8.07% YOY. ROA for the first half of financial year 2024 stands at 1.10% and has improved by 34 basis points over the corresponding period last year. However, the ROA for the second quarter of financial year 2024 has moderated by 3 basis points on YOY basis to 1.01%, ROE for the first half of financial year 2024 has improved by 649 basis points to 22.57% by OI and perhaps it is the highest ROE in the industry. Most other core profitability metrics have also improved during the current year. Net interest income for the second quarter financial year 24 increased by 12.27%. YOY on the back of improvement in yield and the continuing credit offtake. Domestic NIM for the first half of financial year 24 is at 3.45% and it has increased by 6 basis points on a YOY basis. Domestic NIM for the second quarter of financial year 24 is at 3.43% and it has declined by 12 basis points by OI on account of increase in cost of deposit during the quarter. We expect NIMs to be stable around this level by the year end. Non-interest income has increased by 21.59% by OI mainly due to increase in fee income by 10% and profit on sale of investment during the quarter. Operating expenses have increased by 34.60%. Why? Mainly on account of additional poison made for the ensuing wage revision. Earlier, the poison for wage revision were made at the rate of 10% with effect from November 22, which we have now increased to 14% with backdated effect from November 22, due to which additional poison of 3,417 crores have been made in the second quarter. As a result, the operating profit has been impacted and has come down. On the business front, the credit growth has been robust across all segments. Domestic advances grew by 13.21%, mainly driven by SME advances which grew by 22.75%, retail personal advances which grew by 15.68% and agri-advances which grew by 14.76%. Corporate segment advances grew only by 6.62%. Recently, there have been concerns on the growth of unsecured loan portfolio in the banking industry. However, I wish to state that excess credit has been one of the safest product lines of the bank as it is given to corporate salary account customers whose salaries are visible to us. Out of the total portfolio of Ex-West Credit, nearly 82.6% of the customers are either employed in armed forces or are government employees and nearly 12% are employed with reputed corporate including public sector entities etc. The portfolio of Ex-West Credit stands at 3.2 trillion as on September 23 with a gross NPA ratio of 0.69%. It is actually constituting 25% of the total retail personal portfolio of 12.43 trillion. We also have a strong analytics-driven collection mechanism using contact centers for the pre-delinquency outbound voice recording. calls and also loan account management system for calling by the branches. As a result, as I mentioned that the gross NP of the portfolio is only at 0.69%, indicating the resilience of the portfolio in terms of the asset quality. Under deposits, domestic deposit grew by 11.80%, driven by growth in current account deposits and term deposits. Savings bank deposit have shown a growth of 4.34% by OI. Our foreign offices have continued to perform well with the growth in advances of 8.11% by OI, as well as deposit at 14.57% by OI. Foreign office advances have crossed an important milestone of 5 lakh crore. With regard to the asset quality, our gross NPA ratio has improved by 97 basis points by OI and stands at 2.55% and continues to be at its lowest level in more than 10 years. Our net NPA ratio has also improved by 16 basis points and stands at 0.64%. Slippage ratio for the first half of financial year 24 has improved by 16 basis points YOY and stands at 0.70%. The consistently improving asset quality is also reflected in our credit cost which stands at 0.22% and it has improved by 6 basis point YOY. PCR including OCA improved by 39 basis point and stands at 91.93%. PCR for quarter 2 of financial year 24 has declined by 248 basis point to 75.45%. Herein I would like to mention that our PCR for the corporate book has gone to 99.55%. On the restructuring front, our total exposure under COVID resolution plan 1 and 2 stands at 20,854 crores as at the end of the second quarter of financial year 24. Restructuring book has behaved well with 20% of the current exposure falling under SMA 1 and SMA 2 category. We are holding sufficient additional provision against the restructured accounts. If you recall, we had kept the provision at about 30% and we have got about 20,000 crore of book and we are holding sufficient provision for this book. The bank remains very well capitalized and we have sufficient headroom to take care of the normal business growth requirements. Our capital adequacy ratio has improved by 77 basis point. YOY and NOIT stands at 14.28%. CET 1 ratio has also improved by 41 basis point to 9.94% and both the ratios are well above the regulatory requirement. Herein I would like to mention that we have not reckoned the profit which we have earned till now and if at all we will add that also then our Capital adequacy ratio will be at around 15.32%. Digital continues to be an important customer acquisition engine for the bank across asset as well as the liability products. During the quarter, we have sourced 61% of the savings account digitally through UNO. We are seeing increased traction in cross-selling business through UNO. This quarter, we have already earned about 190 crore worth of fee income through UNO on account of sale of third-party product, our subsidiary products. We are seeing increased traction in cross-selling business through UNO. We have recently launched UNO for every Indian in which customers of other banks can now access and experience the seamless UPI journey on UNO. Nearly 25 lakh registrations have been done during Q2 of financial year 24 since its launch on 1st of July 23. Advances business through analytical leads has grown 38% by OI in the first half of financial year 24. Our subsidies are also continuing to perform well and continue to create significant value for all the stakeholders and most importantly for the customers. Most of our subsidies are leaders in their respective segments. We will continue to nurture them and see that they continue to create value for their own shareholders as well as the shareholders of SBI. To conclude, I thank you all for your continuous support to the bank. Being proxy to the Indian economy, we consider it as a privilege to be able to contribute towards the growth of our economy. We remain committed to rewarding your trust in us with sustainable returns over the long term. I wish everyone here the best of health and happiness in this festive season. My team and I are now open to taking questions.

speaker
Sanjay Kapoor
General Manager, Performance Planning and Review

Thank you very much. We now invite questions from the audience. For the benefit of all, we request you kindly mention your name and company. For the benefit of all, we request you to kindly... For the benefit of all, we request you to kindly mention your name and company before posing the questions. To accommodate all the questions, I apologize. Sorry. So to accommodate all the questions, we request you to restrict your questions to maximum two at a time. Also kindly restrict your questions to the financial results only, and no questions to be asked about specific accounts, please. In case you have additional questions, the same can be asked at the end. We now proceed with the question and answer session. And the first question is from here. Can you?

speaker
Maruk
Analyst, Nuwama

Yeah, good evening, sir. Maruk from Nuwama. Sir, my first question is on margins. So where do you expect margins to stabilize, given that everyone has come up with aggressive festive offers, including festive deposit rates? So where do you see domestic margins stabilizing for the next two to three quarters?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

My expectation is that... Our margin should be around this level, or maybe it might see compression for another three to five basis points.

speaker
Maruk
Analyst, Nuwama

So deposit cost has bottomed out, or?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

I expect the impact of the… Deposit costs only. And as far as the loan book is concerned, we have already offered the concession, whatever we had to offer. And we are seeing decent traction when it comes to our sourcing and underwriting. So I think we will have the impact of the increase in the deposit rates only, I expect that it will have an impact of another 3 to 5 basis point on the margins.

speaker
Maruk
Analyst, Nuwama

And the full MCLR impact is now already captured?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

It is, yes, almost fully captured. Though we still have some elbow room for increasing the MCLR, but that will be very judicious.

speaker
Maruk
Analyst, Nuwama

Okay, sir. Sir, my next question is on OPEX. So say for every 1% increase in the wage agreement, what would be the sensitivity? So if you provided 14 for 14% now and if it settles at 15, what will be the additional cost?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Roughly about 100 crores.

speaker
Maruk
Analyst, Nuwama

100 crores per month?

speaker
spk00

Okay.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

No, not per month. Yes, per month. Per month, per month.

speaker
Smt. Saloni Narayan
Deputy Managing Director, Finance

100 crores per month. If you take 11 entirely months, it is 11.

speaker
Maruk
Analyst, Nuwama

Okay. But so if you remove the 3.4 billion that you mentioned from this quarter, then do you expect if rates remain stable as they are now, do you expect the provisions for wages to remain at the core level or?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

No, no. See, the funds, all this backlog which we have to provide for, that will not be there. Then it will be actually, once the wage revision happens, then it is a wage bill only. No additional provisions. Okay. So roughly about 400 crore is something which we expect, if at all. I mean, that will be the increase in the wage bill.

speaker
spk00

400 crore?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

For a quarter per month.

speaker
spk00

Per month, okay.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

So about 1200 crore a quarter.

speaker
spk00

Okay, sir. Okay, thank you, sir.

speaker
Sanjay Kapoor
General Manager, Performance Planning and Review

The next question is from, can you please raise your hand?

speaker
Sushil Choksi
Analyst, Indus Equity

Sushil Choksi, Indus Equity. Sir, based on current economic environment and specifically business in India, how are we seeing traction on large projects at SBI?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

When it comes to our... We have got proposals in pipeline of about 3.4 trillion and about 1.4 trillion would be which is awaiting which are... pending for disbursement. So about 4.7, 4.8 trillion is that kind of a book. So I think with the kind of evolving situation, global situation, since all these projects are primarily going to cater to the domestic economy, I don't expect that it will have any significant impact. And because what we get to see in terms of the inflow of proposal, that is again the validation of what I am seeing.

speaker
Sushil Choksi
Analyst, Indus Equity

But your growth in SME and retail is quite sustainable and growing on a better pace. Will your growth not outnumber your projection?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

See, we have been indicating that we'll be growing at about around in the range of 14%. And I would like to surprise the market on the higher side. That's why my suggestions or recommendations are always little conservative.

speaker
Sushil Choksi
Analyst, Indus Equity

Sir, last week, in the current week, your business standard appearance and governor's speech and the Fed on Wednesday, the entire bond market globally is showing a different color than the concern. Middle East concern stays, but the bond market is clearly indicating that things may reverse where treasury and rates are concerned. What is your view? Have you changed your view post Wednesday or you still?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

See, I think these one-offs, you know, when we form a view, it is not based upon the one-off events. It is based upon multiple events which are happening across. Yes, of course, these are important events which needs to be factored. But I think if at all we have to have a view, we will have to probably wait and watch a little more in terms of how the global economics, economic situation unfolds, and its likely impact because Fed has said something, and also our RBI governor has also indicated something. But yes, of course, I think there are multiple other things which we have to keep in mind while having a view.

speaker
Sushil Choksi
Analyst, Indus Equity

Thank you for answering my questions.

speaker
Sanjay Kapoor
General Manager, Performance Planning and Review

Can you please raise your hand?

speaker
Mahesh
Analyst, Kotak

Good evening, sir. Mahesh from Kotak. Just a few questions. One, if you could just kind of explain the movement of the balance sheet. There seems to be a bump up in investments this quarter, increase in borrowings. What have you been thinking on the balance sheet side?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

No, investments have moved to about 17 trillion and we have seen decent growth also. But when it comes to our credit deposit ratio on the domestic book fund, it is somewhere around 64%. We are very mindful in terms of underwriting the risk which is according to our risk appetite. And if at all, we don't want to get into any adventure. And that is one of the reasons why we are very conscious in terms of building up of a loan book. And also when I talk about that, I am very mindful in terms of the price at which we can lend. If at all the price does not offer us adequate risk return reward, then probably I would rather prefer to look into the investment book as compared to the loan book. So that is something which explains. Maybe you have something more to add?

speaker
Smt. Saloni Narayan
Deputy Managing Director, Finance

Yeah, I think on the investment book, The growth has been 8.2%, you know, quarter on quarter. It is mainly coming from the G6 and SDLs. So some of this liquidity what we normally have, as we keep saying that, you know, we have a policy of parking the excess liquidity in the SLR securities. and we have substantial excess SLR, which helps us market borrowings. That's what you see, that on one hand, investments are growing, as well as we also participate in any liquidity management, what we need to do.

speaker
Mahesh
Analyst, Kotak

So the question pertains to the fact that you raised borrowings as well on the other side, which I assume is far more expensive. So I'm just trying to understand what were you thinking when you were… You are talking about the market borrowings or the borrowings in terms of the bonds? The borrowings in the balance sheet. Yes. Non-deposit related, the borrowings which is sitting there, that also has gone up by about a trillion, one lakh crores this quarter. But just trying to understand what have you been thinking on those two metrics? Because you've raised deposits and borrowings, and you've seen significant investments when your CD ratio is low. Just trying to understand.

speaker
Smt. Saloni Narayan
Deputy Managing Director, Finance

No, no, I think, see, one thing is that we can't raise deposits when we need to fund the credit, right? As Mr. Khara keeps saying, deposit is a franchise. We continue to raise the deposits. And when the deposits are raised, there are two alternatives. One is that you fund the credit growth or alternatively you put in the investments. And whenever we put in the dated securities, obviously those securities are used for raising any liquidity. That's where you see the borrowings also, the other side. I hope I'm clear.

speaker
Mahesh
Analyst, Kotak

The second question is on the provisioning line. Again, there's reversal on standard assets as well as other provisions. If you could just tell us what's happening in these two lines.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Yeah, we have been adopting a policy for the past almost two years plus. where we have started providing for any kind of a likelihood of the stress which might emerge on our loan book. And that is something which we have, when we are sure that those tests are no more there on site, we have reversed those provisions which we had created for the standard sets. That's about 1,200 odd crores.

speaker
Mahesh
Analyst, Kotak

Okay. And last question, sir. On the SME side, you have started seeing pretty good healthy growth in that. It's now clocking about 20%. What are you thinking on that particular portfolio?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

See, I think somewhere in the year 20, we are given the guidance that we will try to achieve, move up in the SME book from 3 trillion to 4 trillion. So we are somewhere there only 3.88 trillion. We are already there by 24 we had indicated. So I think we should be in a position to reach out to this level. And this growth has been built up in a very, very clear and conscious manner and into the identifiable products which are in line with our risk appetite. So that is something which we have done. And we feel that we should be in a position to sustain this kind of a growth trajectory going forward, having built up our infrastructure relating to SME lending. We have significantly beefed up our infrastructure for SME lending. We have improved the loan management system. We have brought in the algorithm relating to the lending to SME. We have introduced a new product pre-approved business loan where we are witnessing almost about 1,800 kind of a growth every quarter. So this is something, these are some of the initiatives which we have done, and that pre-approved business loan is all analytics-driven, depending upon our understanding of the customer and their transactions. So I think we have taken multiple such steps which will help us in ramping up our SME book. Thanks, sir.

speaker
Mahesh
Analyst, Kotak

Just to clarify, the yields on the SME loans is similar to the express credit loans?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

If I were to just compare these two products. It should be slightly lower, but I think it is slightly lower. But then, of course, it continues to be a much better yielding product comparing, considering the fact that these days some of the banks are willing to lend to some of the corporates at less than the STL rate also. Okay. Done. Thanks.

speaker
Prakhar
Analyst, Jefferies

Sir, Prakhar here from Jefferies. Congratulations, sir. Very good set of numbers, especially in the backdrop. So I just wanted to get some more clarity on the funding cost part. I just wanted to know, is it possible to give some sense on whether what percentage of your term deposits have actually moved to the new rates? Because for the last couple of months, banks have not raised term deposits materially. So probably the incremental rate has been set. Where are we from? that on the P&L side.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Even we have not also increased the interest rate for quite some time. But whatever repricing has happened, I think perhaps it will all be fully panned out by the next quarter, whatever little is left out.

speaker
Prakhar
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, understood. And despite that, the margins will hold up?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

That's the reason why I was saying that maybe we might see compression of another 3 to 5 basis point.

speaker
Prakhar
Analyst, Jefferies

So if I may just ask, sir, where is the offset in your view coming? Is it mostly the LDR or we are yet to see some repricing on the loan side?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

I think LDR will be the one. We expect to improve the LDR and that will help us in showing up the... Repricing of loan, whatever will come now for the renewal at this stage. MCLR based loans which will come for the renewal now.

speaker
Prakhar
Analyst, Jefferies

Perfect. Thank you, sir.

speaker
Nitin Agrawal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Sir, this is Nitin Agrawal from Motilal. Sir, one question on the unsecured piece of the book. Like in the press meet, you talked about that the trends on asset quality are going very strong on a personal loan book. But if I look at your subsidiary cards, they have been talking about some rise in stress levels. So how do you look at the divergence in these two segments of unsecured? And do you think that this gap will narrow?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

See, the point is that subsidiary has got a very different underwriting principle and the book is very different for them. As far as we are concerned, we are giving unsecured loans to those who are maintaining salary accounts with us. So we have got a very clear visibility in terms of the fund flow for such entities, I mean such customers. And that is something which is helping us in terms of mitigating the risk in the unsecured book. When it comes to our subsidiary SBA card, they do look at some of the customers very independently because that's a separate entity and there are certain restrictions as RBA is concerned in terms of sharing the customer database with our entities also. And that is one of the reasons why I always wrote 50% of their book is something which comes from State Bank and the remaining 50% is from the market. And as it is, you know, when it comes to credit card business, it's on a very different line. It's unsecured business. It's very high yielding business also. And to that extent, they have got the ability to absorb little higher delinquencies also. But their collection mechanisms are also very different as compared to what we really practice. So I think to that extent, it's a very different model which they follow. And the kind of model which you follow is very different. As we have low risk appetite, we have got much lesser yield on such book also. But nevertheless, our delinquencies are well within control.

speaker
Nitin Agrawal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

And, sir, the other question is on the loan growth wherein you are indicating for a 14% plus loan growth. And so how do you specifically look at the corporate growth and the international growth wherein we have seen a good pickup this quarter? So these two segments, if you can share some color.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

See, corporate loan, I expect, as I was sharing, that we have got the undisbursed portion of some of the sanctioned loans, unaware limits of the term loans. In the term loans, we have seen the availment has improved by almost 400 basis points. in this quarter as compared to previous quarter. And also when it comes to the utilization of the working capital, also it has improved in this quarter. I think going forward, we will have a situation where this will probably, availment will improve further. And also the part of the pipeline which is there for 3.4 trillion and odd, which is there for the proposals which are under process, we will get to see some sanctions getting converted into, I mean, some such proposals getting converted into sanctions and some of them getting availed also. So I expect that this corporate growth should see some improvement going forward. Ideally, I would like to see it somewhere at least in the lower two-digit numbers.

speaker
Nitin Agrawal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

And the international book?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

International book, we will be somewhere around this number only. We don't want to go very aggressive on international book because different geographies are behaving differently. And that is the reason why we want to confine ourselves to some of the stable geographies like U.S. and Middle East and Japan, where we have grown in this quarter also. If you recall last quarter, we are not grown in the international book. Essentially, we are trying to understand how the global situation is going to evolve. Now we have got some clarity, and with that in mind, we will be growing in these markets.

speaker
Nitin Agrawal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Thank you so much.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Thank you.

speaker
Sanjay Kapoor
General Manager, Performance Planning and Review

That's right.

speaker
Jai Mudra
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Yeah, hi, sir. This is Jai Mudra from ICICI Securities. It's a question on your ROA. So for the last two quarters, we did 1.2% ROA. This quarter, we have done 1% ROA. And I can see that, you know, this wage revision provision enhancement that we have done, 3,400 crores, this turns out to be around 24 basis point of an ROA pre-tax. So, of course, this is likely to be a one-off and unlikely to reoccur. So the question is, are you a 1.2% ROA bank or are you a 1% ROA bank? I mean, in the sense, you know, I mean, so yeah, so that is the question.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

No, my effort is that it should be a 1.2% ROA bank. Budgeting has been done around that kind of a number only and that is how we are. When it comes to our monitoring on ground, this is something which we are doing.

speaker
Jai Mudra
Analyst, ICICI Securities

And secondly, sir, when you say margins could decline by three to five basis point, this is domestic only or this is global? Because your overseas margin, you know, have been at very, very high level and, you know, could be more volatile versus domestic.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Actually, the overseas book, if you look at the interest rate trend overseas, that is all on the higher side now. So I think this three to five basis point compression in margin is essentially I was looking at the domestic book only. But I think overseas, I expect that we should be in a position to maintain these kind of margins in the overseas book, at least in the foreseeable future.

speaker
Jai Mudra
Analyst, ICICI Securities

Thank you, sir. All the best.

speaker
Hardik
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hello, sir. Hardik here from Goldman. Congratulations on good set of numbers. My first question is on the competitive intensity in the mortgages. How is it and how do you expect it to trend going forward?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

This market is quite competitive. There is no doubt about it. But when we look at our sanctions and disbursements, we are seeing healthy trend. It's about 20% increase. 25% increase on a sequential basis. So I think we will continue to see that kind of a traction because we have invested well in terms of our ability to source, process, disperse, and also control and follow-up. So last year we added almost 150 CPCs across the country. So this is something which is going to really work well, I think. And we expect that we will have decent growth in this going forward.

speaker
Hardik
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay. And, sir, second question is on the SME book. Can you give some more color around what is the average ticket size, what are the sectors that you are lending to within SME? Yeah, please.

speaker
Sri Alok Kumar Chaudhary
Managing Director, Retail Business and Operations

So, see, in case of SME, we have grown almost by 57% in working capital, which essentially means that the units which were sanctioned loans, they're utilizing more and more working capital because of enhanced scale of operations or demand fulfillment also. In case of term loan, we have grown by around 25%. But the growth also comes from supply chain finance, where we have grown by almost 29.44%. Growth is also coming from the CGTMSC loans, because in CGTMSC loans also we have improved our processes, and that is leading to growth. And the best part in this entire SME transformation is that we have around, say, 2,000 relationship managers, It's spread across almost all the districts of the country, wherever you have SME concentration. There are almost 900 branches, which are essentially doing SME, nothing else. Of course, the related SME work may be current account and some of the forex business. And the processing sales, we have two types of processing sales, even in many places. One processing sale is entirely for all kinds of loans which will come. And one processing cell has also been specifically, say, established only for the supply chain business. And we went into some transformation known as Project Pratham, which also led to a lot of BREs, business rule engines, getting established. So I think both on the product side as well as process, plus use of the different partners, fintech partners, et cetera, this is all leading to growth. And the most important point is what the chairman has said, that he has – mandated 4 trillion kind of SME growth. So it has electrified the entire workforce in the country to do this SME business because you understand that SME has been our business since time immemorial and we need to have a rightful place in the entire SME ecosystem of the country. I hope it satisfies.

speaker
Hardik
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

And what would be the utilization levels in those working capital which has enhanced the growth?

speaker
Sri Alok Kumar Chaudhary
Managing Director, Retail Business and Operations

It's utilization levels only in SME space. Because the SME loans would be generally up to 50 crores, because more than 50 crores SME loans, as we classify in our portfolio, is very little. So we don't have that kind of data that for 20 crore loan or 15 crore loan, what is the utilization. That utilization percentages we generally... monitor for the corporate credit loans where we have around 56% kind of utilization in the corporate loans.

speaker
Hardik
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay.

speaker
Sri Alok Kumar Chaudhary
Managing Director, Retail Business and Operations

Got it. Thank you, sir.

speaker
spk07

Sir, my question again is related to SME, but not on the growth front. I just want to understand any signs of stress that you see in the SME segment? How are the NPAs trending in the mudra and the non-mudra loans specifically?

speaker
Sri Alok Kumar Chaudhary
Managing Director, Retail Business and Operations

You see, in case of SME, we have done analysis, we find that the SME NPA is mostly a function of less than 50 lakh. 50 lakh loans is basically the section which gives the highest, more than 70% of the NPA. So there, as most of these semi-borrowers would be micro kind of borrowers, so they are exposed to more kind of vagaries of the market. As such, we find that they may be prone to stress many times, but we also see that many of them get pulled back. Like you see the slippages of last quarter, Almost 1,200 crore of slippages has been pulled back. So it's a kind of pull and push business. The market vagaries put them into stress, but our support and also the discipline of the SME borrowers put them back into SME. So from that perspective... I don't think any sector-wise we have. But in case of restructuring, we found that mostly it is the retail swaps, transport operators.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Seeing the reduction in SME and PA, it used to be about 6% in the quarter 3 of financial year 23. And from there it has come down to somewhere around now at about 4.41%. So that is a, again, you know, part of it we need to address the underwriting. But at the same time, our connect on the ground is something which works well. And we have to be pragmatic in terms of how we assess their limits and how we ensure that their cash flows are taken care of. But at the same time, I must also mention in the SME space, it was a very clear effort on our part when we got into this space once again, that we should try and build up this work through vendor finance, distributor finance, where we have got a clear visibility. And that is one of the reasons. While from September 22, the NPA level at 6.03, we are now at 4.41%. So it's a very careful selection. And also ESGLS is something which also worked well. Apart from that, we are taking shelter in the CGTMSC, whatever comforts are available for the banking system, we are availing all of them. But I would say that it's a multi-pronged strategy which has worked to ensure that We bring it at about 4.4, but ideally speaking, we would like to see it somewhere around 3, 3.5% only.

speaker
Sri Alok Kumar Chaudhary
Managing Director, Retail Business and Operations

So just to add a bit of data, sir, the risk-mitigated products which we have, that is around 35.23%, where we have either CGTSME or maybe asset-backed loan or securities there. So we're trying to move more into risk-mitigated products so that the incidence of NPA is quite less.

speaker
spk07

So secondly, on the savings deposit side, you know, system-wide, we have seen typically dips into the first quarter, rises again in second quarter. So this time around, trends have been different, and we are seeing actually dip in the second quarter across banks in terms of savings deposits. I mean, obviously, the growth is there, but it is much lesser.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Yes, of course. You have to see the point is that the trend which you are indicating is normally in the normal situations. When the inflationary conditions are there, invariably the trend is that people try to move the deposit where they can have the inflation neutral returns. Or if at all, they should get the positive returns. That is the effort on the part of the people. And that is one of the reasons why perhaps you would have seen more traction in the mutual fund space also. Because those who are ill-chasers, they will look at all possible options. So that is something which is seen. But nevertheless, we have also witnessed, because some of the savings accounts are also opened by the government entities. And as you are aware that the government has now moved to the just-in-time funding of these accounts. That is also one of the reasons why you would have seen the kind of growth which is there and savings account is muted. But nevertheless, as far as we are concerned, we are now trying to build up our CASA focus with more emphasis on CA. And when I talk about car, we were having a huge dependence on the government deposits in the current account. But we started de-risking ourselves and we got into the trade commerce industry. And we have now witnessed the growth on a YOY basis, which is about 8% plus in current account and which is much better than our competitors also. So that is something which we have seen. And also when it comes to savings bank deposit, invariably we have seen that in these kind of times, people normally go for more kind of a situation. where the money can move from savings bank to term deposit depending upon the threshold that the customer offers. Having said that, I must also mention that we have opened almost 30 lakh plus savings, 40 lakh plus savings bank accounts during the quarter and almost 1.40 lakhs corporate salary package accounts. So I think when it comes to our effort to really open the accounts, there is no slowness which we have observed. Almost about 30,000 accounts are getting opened through Yono on a daily basis which actually represent about 61% of the accounts which we are opening in the bank. So that is how it is all stacked up. So I think the fact of the life and moreover since We have to be very mindful in terms of our cost of deployment. We don't think that there's a need for any increase in interest rate for the savings deposit. That's how we look at this whole subject.

speaker
spk07

Sure. So lastly, on the capital front, I mean, your stated stance is well known that you don't need to raise capital as such. But when you look at the optimal ratios, when you compare it with the peers globally as such, obviously on a CET basis, basically we are on a lower side.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

We're raising the tier one. Okay. And also, we will be applying back significantly higher number of profit as compared to what we did last year.

speaker
spk07

Sir, any working on what could be the, you know, bump up that we might see in the CET1 because of the investment?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

I think we have done some exercise and we expect that at the year end, we should be somewhere around 15.32% as far as car is concerned and about 11% plus in the CET1.

speaker
spk07

Post the reclassification of investment.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Not the investment. Flying back of the profit.

speaker
spk07

Okay, that's it. But you'll have more, I think, something coming from the reclassification of investment. That we will see. We have not analyzed that. Results that are going to be created.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

We have not analyzed all that.

speaker
spk07

Okay. Yeah.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Thank you.

speaker
spk04

So we have a few questions coming in through the online webcast. We request Chairman Sir to address these.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Yeah, sure. I think if I will take up one by one. The first question has come from Rahul Jain. When do we expect to get full clarity of wage negotiation? And how did the provision guidance of 10% change to 14%? The wage negotiation is still in process. And keeping in view of the progress in negotiation, it's our reasonable expectation that we might be having the wage negotiation around 14%. That is the reason why we have increased it to 14%. The second question comes from Ram J.S. Given the regulator concern on unsecured loan, do you expect risk weighting to be increased for them? RBI has been talking on this particular issue for quite some time. And it is our interpretation that RBI is worried about the smaller loan values of less than 50,000. Risk weight may go up, but as of now, there is no timeline. Another question is from Mr. Praveen Kumar Natpal. How does the bank plan to maintain its credit growth momentum in the second half of the financial year? For credit growth, we have a good number of loans which are already sanctioned and pending for disbursement. And we are seeing good traction as our retail loan book is also concerned in terms of the sanctioning. So that is the reason why we feel that we should get to see the decent credit growth momentum. We have approximately 1.41 trillion worth of proposals pending for disbursement. We expect them to get disbursed in the next two to three quarters. And also proposals which are under process of sanctioning are about 3.3 trillion. Shrikopal Agarwal, at what rate management is expecting loan growth? We expect that we should be growing at about 12 to 14 percent at least. Ideally, we will try to improve it even further. How is the growth and quality of pre-approved loans through Yono app looking like? Actually, I would say that it is perhaps one of the best. There is no cost of sourcing the business. And we are... Not only doing the pre-approved personal loan, we are also doing pre-approved readiness loan, encouraged by the outcome which we saw in the personal loans. And also we are going for Insta home loan top-up, as well as the real-time excess credit. Digital loan portfolio generated till now is about almost 10,000 crore during the first half of the current financial year. Why did the domestic NIM fall for this quarter? Domestic NIM on QIQ basis has declined marginally from 3.47 to 3.43 due to increase in cost of deposit. And, of course, we don't have any one-off which we had in the previous quarters. On a YOY basis, the cumulative domestic NIM has actually improved from 3.39 to 3.45 percent and essentially attributed to the increased loan book and better Elon advances. What percent of advanced portfolio is MCLR linked? What part is fixed rate and what part is repo linked? MCLR linked is 38%, fixed is 31%. EBLR is 27% and other, which also include T-bill is 14%. So with that, all the questions which have been received offline have been answered.

speaker
Sanjay Kapoor
General Manager, Performance Planning and Review

Thank you, sir. I trust all the questions have now been addressed.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Anybody has any more questions to ask? Yes.

speaker
Maruk
Analyst, Nuwama

Yes, sir. Thank you. Sir, I have two questions. You just answered on risk rates and you said we don't know the timeline of increase. You meant for below 50,000 or for all loans?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

I think perhaps it is likely to be below 50,000 because perhaps – RBI observations are also, they are more concerned about less than 50,000. And herein I would like to mention that when we sanction, we don't sanction less than 50,000 at all. Whatever less than 50,000 is there, it is only on account of the repayment of the existing excess credit. So I think essentially they are trying to address the genuine concerns which they have from some of the players in the industry, which are into ETB and also into low-ticket personal loans.

speaker
Maruk
Analyst, Nuwama

And so just one last question. It was probably asked earlier. So you had good deposit growth, you had healthy loan growth, and you have a low domestic CD ratio also of 64%. So why have your borrowings increased when deposits and your CD ratio were good enough?

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

These are the tactical decisions also.

speaker
Maruk
Analyst, Nuwama

We can explain offline. Sure. Okay, sir. Thank you.

speaker
Sanjay Kapoor
General Manager, Performance Planning and Review

Thank you. We'll be happy to respond to other questions in offline mode. Let me end the evening with thanking the chairman, the top management team, the analysts, ladies and gentlemen. To round off this evening, we request you to join us for high tea, which is arranged just outside the hall. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you.

speaker
Sri Dinesh Khara
Chairman

Thanks to all of you. Thank you.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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