7/28/2025

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I'm Teto Mage, Head of Investor Relations at Valterra Platinum. Thank you for taking the time to join us for our interim 2025 results, both in person as well as online. Let me start by welcoming our chairman, Norman Bazima, members of our board that are here with us today, as well as our executive leadership team. From a housekeeping perspective, We do not have a planned fire drill today, and therefore, if there is an alarm or in case of an emergency, I'm going to request that you exit using the trust doors to my left and right. At that point, you will have both our fire marshals and security to escort you to our designated assembly point. With that said, I would like to draw you to the questionary statement and would appreciate if you can read this in your own time. Now, on to the agenda for today. Craig Miller, our CFO, our CEO, apologies. Our CEO will take you through a brief overview of the significant milestones achieved in the first half of this year, followed by a review of our operational and market performance. Sayuri Naidu, our CFO, will then take you through our financial results. Finally, Craig will wrap up today's session by taking you through our outlook for the second half of the year and the medium term. As usual, we have allocated time for Q&As at the end, which I will come back to help and facilitate. Without further ado, I'm going to hand over to Craig, who will take us through today's interim results presentation.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks. Thank you, Teto. And good morning, everybody. Once again, thank you very much for joining us at our conference. made in half-year results as Volterra Platinum. As you know, we've had a very busy start to the year, but it is customary for us to start with safety. Safety remains our foremost priority, so it is with deep regret that we've experienced a fatality at Unki on the 20th of April, where Mr Felix Kore lost his life in a mobile machinery-related incident. I'm also very sad to say that we recently experienced a fatality at the Shaba section of the Amundaberg mine, where Mr. William Nkenke lost his life on the 22nd of July in an incident related to a graph pack. On behalf of the entire Volterra Platinum family, we convey our sincerest condolences to Mr. Kore and Mr. Nkenke's families, friends and colleagues. While we mourn their losses, we also recognize the achievement of significant milestones across our operations, which reflects our continued dedication to achieving zero harm. These include being 13 years fatality-free at Michalakwena and Mototolo mines, 9 years fatality-free at Amandibul's Chumela mine, and more than 2.5 years last-time injury-free at the Polokoni smelter. We've also seen an improvement in our total recordable injury frequency rate of 12% to 1.46. We're pleased to highlight that we've made substantial progress against our strategic objectives, which we shared with you during our Capital Markets Day just a few months ago. We have successfully completed the demerger from the Anglo-American group, as well as our secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange. And as you would have seen in the media and all around you today, we've established our own new brand identity. With the recent appointments of independent non-executive directors, we've now concluded the recomposition of our board. We've also successfully transitioned from the Anglo-American Centralised Services to with the majority of these services now being performed internally. The balance are subject to transitional service arrangements, with the longest of which is about 18-month period, at which point we will be in a position to be able to do these activities ourselves. These developments, together with our simplified and fit-for-purpose executive committee and organisational structure, which we discussed in great detail earlier this year, demonstrate that we've delivered on our strategic priority to achieve a simplified and strengthened organisation. Our second strategic priority relates to achieving operational excellence. We'll go into this in a bit more detail throughout the presentation, but let me talk you through just a few highlights. We've delivered a resilient operational performance despite the impact of inclement weather across the portfolio, the most severe which was at the Tumela section of Abundables. I'll impact this in a bit more detail later, but we have delivered a further 2.1 billion rand in cost savings during the first half of 2025 and we're on track to meet our full year guidance of 4 billion rand. Part of our strategy is to invest in our portfolio for maximum value and to re-emphasise our focus is value over volume. The completion of the Sun Slurt Underground Project pre-feasibility study is a key step in bringing this exciting value-enhancing opportunity to fruition. The Dubrokin shaft is progressing well, having delivered first ounces in the first half of the year. And what we're most excited about is the rally in the PGM prices. It's pleasing, but not surprising, to see that the Basco prices recovery and our ability to be able to deliver into that in the second half of the year. And last but not least, during the period, Makhala Qena was Irma accredited, meaning that all our owned assets have achieved the all-important Irma accreditation. And according to ChatGPT, we're the only precious metals mining company in the world that has all our mines Irma accredited. Quite something. So how does all this translate into our first half performance? The realized basket price during the first half increased by about 5% in US dollar terms. But this doesn't fully capture the recent momentum in prices. Since the beginning of July, prices are up about 20% on the quarter so far. Our EBITDA margin was solid before the impact of once-off demerger-related costs and the flooding event at Amunderbilt. Despite these one-off impacts, our all-in sustaining cost remains below $1,000 per 3e oz. We've maintained a strong balance sheet despite having paid R16.5 billion in the final 2024 dividend, and notwithstanding the operational headwinds and demerger costs which I've mentioned. We closed the period with approximately 5 billion rand of net debt. Our solid financial performance and strong balance sheet has positioned us to maintain our dividend policy and the board has improved an interim dividend of 2 rand per share or half a billion rand. So turning to our operational performance. We produced just under 1.5 million ounces of PGMs of methylene concentrate and approximately 1.4 million ounces in refined production during the period. Despite the significant external headwinds, our mines demonstrated a resilient performance, while our processing operations delivered a credible one. At Mototolo and Amunderbilt, our concentrator recoveries improved by 3 and 4 percentage points respectively. whilst we achieved a 2 to 3 percentage point uplift in our chrome yields. We also achieved a 9% improvement in mass pull across the portfolio. And at Michalakwena, we're seeing early encouraging progress through the initial commissioning and optimization of the Jameson cells. So specifically at Michalakwena, total material moved reduced by 15% year-on-year, demonstrating traction from our pit optimisation strategy. While all tons mined remained flat versus the first half of 2024, reflected increased mining efficiencies. The head grade for the period was around 2.5 grams per tonne, slightly below our guided range of 2.7 to 2.9 grams per tonne. This was due to the planned processing of lower grade stockpiled materials to supplement ex-pit ore volumes. In the second half, we expect to process a greater proportion of higher-grade ore from the targeted sections in supporting a recovery in grade in line with our full-year guidance. Our metal-in-concentrate production increased by about 2% year-on-year, and our optimized mining sequence positioned Michalakwena for a significantly stronger operational performance in the second half of the year. So turning to Sunstone's underground, Just to recap what we said in March, we're taking a phased approach to the development of the Sunset Underground in order to preserve capital and progressively de-risk the project as we move through feasibility. The first phase, if it meets our capital allocation criteria, is a tracking solution which will support an initial production rate of roughly 2 to 2.5 million tonnes per annum. If Phase B meets our capital allocation hurdles, we'll then expand the ore logistics infrastructure to include a conveyor system, allowing the mine to gradually ramp up to around 5 million tonnes per annum, but post-2030, unlocking the full potential from Sunslot. Moving to the next slide, the pre-feasibility study for the Sunslot underground project was completed during the first half of the year. the results confirm that the key parameters outlined in our Capital Markets Day remain intact. These include reef grades of 4 to 6 grams per tonne, significantly higher than other mechanised underground mines in Southern Africa, as well as a competent hanging wall and favourable mining width, with an approximate reef height of 45 metres. The image on the screen shows a cross-section of the reef intersections, with the white line indicating the high-grade contact with the reef to the left. All these characteristics make the ore body amenable to efficient, bulk-mechanized underground mining, making Sunslot a highly value-accretive growth prospect for Volterra Platinum. The feasibility study is underway and is targeted for completion in the first half of 2027. at which point we'll be in a position to make an informed investment decision. We'll also continue to make solid progress on the development activities at Anslut. In the first half, we completed about 12.8 kilometres of underground exploration drilling and 1.6 kilometres of declined development. This brings the cumulative total of 43 kilometres drilled and 8 kilometres developed. Trial mining will also be undertaken over the next 18 months as part of the feasibility study, followed by a ramp-up to the Phase 1 steady state towards the end of the decade. 31,000 tonnes of ore stockpile has been accumulated at the end of June and will be processed through the concentrated facilities as part of feasibility work. We've also reduced our current year CAPEX guidance from $2 billion to $1.5 billion, while guidance for 2026 and 2027 will be between $1.5 and $2.5 billion per annum. So turning to Amunderbilt. Whilst the extreme flooding at Amunderbilt was not in our control, the manner in which the team on the ground responded is commendable. To contextualize the extent of the flash floods, The historical average rainfall for Amunderbilt in the month of February is around 300 millimetres. On the 19th of February, we had 300 millimetres of rainfall in just over a 24-hour period. A neighbouring river burst its banks, and the upstream dam wall also failed. Part of Amunderbilt was inundated with water, particularly Tumela, which was severely flooded. We were able to leverage from the extensive experience of the management team, some of whom were at the flooding event which took place in 2008. Within a month, Tshaba and Tumela Apa recommenced operations, and a month thereafter, the open pit sections resumed operations, while Tumela Loa was focused on dewatering. Tumela Loa, which accounts for approximately 50% of Amundable's production, recommenced ahead of schedule their production in June and are currently ramping up to full production by the end of the third quarter this year. In addition, we've extensively improved our flood defence systems and have developed appropriate response measures to mitigate a similar occurrence. So given the events, it is expected that Amundabel's production in the first half of the year would be significantly lower than the prior period. but encouragingly, the Sharpa production volumes were up 1% despite the impact of flooding, which illustrates the benefits of the restructuring and the drive for operational excellence. Our priority is to ensure the safe ramp-up of Tumela Loa whilst maintaining stability at the Sharpa and Tumela Rapa in order to meet our guidance of between 450,000 and 480,000 PGM ounces for the year. which implies a material increase in production in the second half. Commiserate with the increased PGM production is the increase in chrome volumes as well, which at current chrome prices makes a meaningful contribution to Unbundable's economic cash flow. Turning now to Mototolo, the improvements in productivity, increased tons milled and enhanced flexibility at Mototolo reflects the impact of our operational excellence initiatives with key performance metrics trending in the right direction. In the first half, metering concentrate production increased by 4% due to improved output from the two existing shafts. Productivity also improved, with the PGM ounces per employee up 19% year-on-year, and mining flexibility has improved as well. Immediately available ore reserves increased by 32% compared to the prior period, supported by a 22% upliftment in the total development meters. These improvements support Mototola's continued trajectory to the lower half of the cost curve, whilst the chrome production volumes provide a further reduction in its oil and sustaining cost. So turning to our processing operations. We're on track to meet our full year guidance. Following the Q1 stock count and normalising processing availability, we've seen a strong rebound in volumes. Refined production rose by 118% quarter-on-quarter, and our base metal output increased 37%. Despite the JMSLs only being commissioned in April at Mahalakwena, and therefore not fully optimised, we've already seen an improved mass pool of about 9%, with further improvements expected as the optimisation continues in the second half. Lower mass pull translates into reduced transport costs, reduced energy use and emissions, with a 9% reduction in the total number of haulage trucks on the roads. These early wins are aligned with our broader cost and sustainability objectives. Turning briefly to our markets, The largest source of PGM demand is the automotive sector, and we've suggested consensus expectations for PGM demand in this sector is too low, given both catalysed vehicle sales and PGM loadings per vehicle, which could surprise to the outside. Taking these in turn, despite tariff and economic concerns, global light vehicle sales rose 5% year on year. According to global data, while catalyzed vehicle sales increased by about 1%. While BEVs continue to take market share, a few years ago, catalyzed vehicles were forecast to be shrinking rapidly by now, and industry forecasts have once again been reduced for the medium term as governments, OEMs and consumers reassess the speed of the transition. On PGM loadings, we highlighted in March a raft of proposals by Chinese authorities to strengthen its vehicle emissions regulations, to close loopholes and ensure vehicles meet standards on the road as well as in the lab. In May, one of those proposals was finalised, setting out a broad framework for the supervision, focusing on trucks and hybrids. We expect more decisions in the second half, and this broad approach, culminating in China 7 in a few years, could result in higher loadings. And finally, Chinese buying has been strong across the PGMs, but most notably for platinum. Both imports, including metal going into Hong Kong, and the turnover on the Shanghai Gold exchange shown here, have been elevated and accelerated throughout the first half. This appears tied to a recovery in the Chinese jewellery market, which has struggled since for many years. It's clear that there's been an uptick in interest from jewellers, looking for a better value proposition than gold. Chinese consumers will likely match this enthusiasm given new collections and the promotional campaigns which are currently underway. These developments have had a positive impact on pricing. As I said, I realised basket price in the first half was about 5% higher year on year. led by gains in rhodium, platinum and ruthenium. However, in July, so far, market prices for the basket have risen by another 20% on those levels, with rapid gains for platinum, which has hit an 11-year high, and ruthenium, which is now approaching a 2021 high. Despite the rally in the PGM basket price, we continue to believe that the current price levels remain below the thresholds required for operations to generate positive cash flows and to incentivize new production. Returning to supply and demand, the balances by our estimates for 2025 and forecast for 2026 are little change from what we shared with you at the annual results for 2024, though there have been some interesting developments. In Platinum, we expect continuing deficits at a slightly higher level on the assumption that jewellery demand in China improves as expected. For Palladium, we see the markets moving into surplus, but once again at a slower pace than previously anticipated. The 2025 deficit is a little higher than anticipated, as risk to auto sales and production from tariffs are offset by lower supply. Rhodium remains in deficit for the next two years. Overall, vehicle sales are growing, but there are risks from tariffs and a potential economic slowdown. BV sales are higher, but the uptick is slower than expected from a few years ago. And importantly, investor interest is rising, and jewellery demand is a potential positive upside surprise. Mine supply is weaker, and recycling is only slowly picking up. I'll now hand you across to Sayuri, who will take you through the financials.

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Craig, and good morning, everyone. I am pleased to report a solid set of financial results for our first reporting period as a standalone company. While our financial performance was adversely impacted by the Mundable flooding event and expected one-off demerger and separation costs, from a controllable perspective, we continued to demonstrate disciplined cost and capital management. to summarize our performance for the first half of 2025. The company achieved revenue of R42 billion for the half year, down 19% due to a 25% decline in PGM sales volumes. This was due to lower MNC production, the prior period's release of built-up work-in-progress inventories, and the three-yearly stock count at the precious metals refinery. This decrease was partially offset by the US dollar PGM basket price strengthening by 5%. EBITDA was R7 billion after taking into account the one-off demerger-related costs. This translated into an EBITDA mining margin of 22%. We continued to implement our cost-out program, which delivered R2.1 billion of operational and corporate cost savings. The unit cost for the first half of the year was R17,952 per PGM ounce, excluding the impact of the Mandeville flood, and represents a 2% decrease against 2024. We ended the period with a strong balance sheet. Net debt was R5 billion, including the customer prepayment, and net debt to EBITDA was 0.3 times, well below our target of less than one times through the cycle. And in line with our capital allocation framework, the board declared an interim dividend of 2 rand per share, or half a billion rand, which reflects the payout of 40% of headline earnings. Unpacking our EBITDA, EBITDA was 46% lower at 6.6 billion rand. The flooding event resulted in 4.6 billion rand lower earnings, whilst the demerger-related costs had a 1.4 billion rand negative impact on earnings. Excluding these one-off impacts, EBITDA was R12.6 billion, 2% higher than the first half of 2024. This was driven by a 3% higher PGM rand basket price at R27,631 per PGM ounce, as well as the cost savings of R2.1 billion. These benefits were partially offset by lower volumes as a result of the stock take at the PMR in the first quarter, as well as the prior year work-in-progress drawdown. Looking ahead to the second half of the year, earnings are expected to be supported by stronger PGM prices, a planned step-up in production, supporting higher sales volumes, and the achievement of the full R4 billion cost savings. Furthermore, the insurance claim related to the Amandaville flood event is in progress, with an interim payment of around R1.4 billion expected in August. The total claim is anticipated to be between R4 and R5 billion before deductibles, the majority of which is expected to be received this year. We are on track to deliver the targeted savings of R4 billion in 2025, with R2.1 billion delivered in the first half of the year. The cost reductions delivered included R1.1 billion from labour and contractor costs, resulting from the flow-through benefits of the operational restructuring completed in 2024, and approximately 450 vendors off-bordered to date. R0.6 billion delivered from the optimization of consumables and efficiencies, benefiting from a total cost-of-ownership approach to procurement, and about R0.5 billion in corporate costs and other sundry-related savings. Since the launch of our 2024 action plan, we have delivered operating cost savings of 9.5 billion rand and a further 5 billion rand in stay-in-business capital reductions, enabling us to more than offset inflation for two consecutive years. Our cash operating unit costs declined 2% from 2024 to 17,952 rand per PGM ounce. This reflects our commitment to cost discipline. Including the mandible flood impacts, the cash operating unit cost was 20,580 rand per PGM ounce. Full year cash operating unit cost guidance has been revised to between 19,000 and 19,500 rand per PGM ounce. We are confident in meeting the revised unit cost guidance as the mandible Tumela lower section ramps up and our operational excellence initiatives gain traction. The all-in-sustaining cost for the first half of the year, excluding the impact of the mandible flooding, was $962 per 3e ounce. The all-in-sustaining cost at each of our operations, with the exception of a mandible, was largely in line with the prior period, despite the lower sales volumes, and each asset continues to deliver solid margins. All in sustaining costs for the year is expected to be between $970 to $1,000 per 3e ounce, supported by the targeted cost savings, sustaining capital optimization, and higher sales volumes. Looking at the one-off demerger and separation-related costs in more detail, total one-off demerger-related costs remain consistent with the guidance we previously provided of around 1.5 to 2 billion rand, for advisory costs, system separation costs, and corporate identity changes, and 4.2 billion rand for the settlement of historical services provided by Anglo American. A large portion of these costs were already accrued in 2024. In the first half, we accrued a further 1.4 billion rand. In terms of cash flows, we paid 2.8 billion rand in the first half, comprising of 2.2 billion rand to Anglo American and about 0.6 billion rand in advisory and corporate rebranding costs. And in the second half, we anticipate a further cash outflow of approximately 2.7 billion rand. We remain on track to deliver 1 to 1.5 billion rand in annual post-de-merger run rate savings, with around 1 billion rand expected to be realized in 2026. These savings will be driven by the phasing out of transitional services arrangements, optimized labor structures, reduced overheads, as well as a more simplified operating model. Minimal dis-energies of approximately 0.2 billion rand, I anticipated, lowered from our previous estimate of around half a billion rand. Year-to-date capital spend amounted to 7.9 billion rand. Stay-in-business capital expenditure was R2.7 billion, mainly focused on maintaining asset integrity across all our operations, extension of tailings facilities at Michalakwena, and the flood recovery at Amandabult. At Michalakwena, capitalized waste stripping decreased to R2.4 billion, driven by the pit optimization, reducing capitalized waste tons. Life extension capital was 1.6 billion rand and was mainly incurred on the development at Dabrochen. Makhalakwena underground project capital remained broadly flat at 0.6 billion rand and was incurred on drilling at the Sunsroot underground. The expected capital expenditure for 2025 for the feasibility study, bulk sampling, trial mining and further drilling is around 1.5 billion rand. Total capital expenditure guidance for 2025 has been lowered by approximately R1 billion to between R17 and R17.5 billion. This is due to prudent cash management, project prioritization, and more agile project execution. We started the year with a net cash position of R17.6 billion and paid a final 2024 dividend of R16.5 billion. as we reset our capital structure as a standalone entity. During the period, cash generated from operations was R11.6 billion, excluding the one-off impacts already mentioned. This was utilized to fund R7.9 billion of capital expenditure, as well as taxes and interest payments of R1 billion. We ended in a net cash position of R2.2 billion if we exclude the one-offs, However, including these, we ended the period in a net debt position of R4.9 billion. The net debt to EBITDA ratio was 0.3 times, including the customer prepayment. And net debt was R16.5 billion, excluding the customer prepayment. Following the demerger, the refinancing process was successfully concluded. Our committed facilities amounted to R31 billion, with R14.4 billion drawn as of 30 June. Our liquidity headroom was R27 billion. In line with our disciplined and balanced capital allocation framework, the board declared an interim dividend of two rand per share, or half a billion rand, equivalent to a 40% payout of headline earnings. This marks the 16th consecutive dividend payment since reinstatement in 2017, a best-in-class track record across the PGM sector that underscores our commitment to shareholder returns. I will now hand you back to Craig to take you through the rest of the presentation.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Siri. So to conclude, we expect the second half of the year to benefit from several operational tailwinds. AmandaBilt is expected to be restored to normalised production during the quarter and produce between 450,000 and 480,000 PGM ounces. We're continuing to implement our operational excellence initiatives across both mining and processing assets, with improvements in productivity and concentrator recoveries as well as Chrome yields. We will deliver on our cost savings targets of R4 billion in 2025. As a reminder, since we started the cost savings program, our total savings are R14.5 billion, of which R9.5 billion is from OPEX and the balance being from CAPEX. And PGM prices have rallied and we're set to deliver into this higher price environment. In terms of our guidance, we remain on track to deliver our M&C production within our previously stated guidance after factoring in the amendable flooding impact, albeit at the lower end. M&C production from our own operations is expected to be approximately 2 million PGM ounces, and our purchase of concentrate between 1 and 1.2 million PGM ounces. Refined production guidance of 3 to 3.4 million PGM ounces remains unchanged. Cash operating unit costs, that guidance has been increased to be between R19,000 and R19,500 per kg amount after factoring in the impact of the Amundable flooding. Capacity expenditure guidance has been reduced to between R17,000 and R17,500 approximately a billion rand lower than what we previously guided. Our role in sustaining unit cost remains unchanged and is expected to be within guidance of between $970 and $1,000 per 3-ounce, reflecting our confidence in delivering the additional cost savings and a step up in production in the second half of the year. Volterra Platinum is in good shape and is well positioned to realise the value for all of our stakeholders. Our strong production profile in the second half should allow us to deliver increased volumes into that firmer pricing environment. Our focus on sustaining capital investments, prudent cost control and operational consistency from our leading integrated value chain allows us to capture the upside from this continued recovery in the PGM prices. Our extensive resource endowment is in excess of 600 million ounces, and our integrated asset base with industry-leading processing capability are key characteristics of our investment proposition. Our commitment to all stakeholders is to maximize the value that we create from these exceptional assets. We've also set our medium-term target for our all-in sustaining cost of being less than US$950 per trillion ounce and a through-the-cycle EBITDA margin of at least 25%, which should support our sustained free cash flow generation. Our self-imposed gearing target is less than one times net debt to EBITDA through the cycle, thereby maintaining a strong balance sheet. And lastly, investing in our portfolio to maximize value is one of the strategic priorities And to this end, we're well positioned to maintain our capital allocation discipline and prioritise sustaining capital and consistently delivering our shareholder returns. That concludes our presentation. Thank you once again for joining us. I'll hand you back to Teto to facilitate the questions and answer session.

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks once again, Craig and Sayuri. We will use the next session just to take any questions that you may have, both Sayuri and Craig here in front of us. Our executive leadership team sitting in the front row, I see we also have London representation through Hilton and Matt on the other side, our marketing team. I mentioned our chairman of the board is also here, as well as chairman of the audit committee, should Craig need to escalate, delegate upwards. So with that said, as is customary, I will first take a couple of questions in the room, then move to our conference call where our moderator, Dine, will assist with facilitating that. Then at the end, I will then facilitate the questions that have come through from the webcast. May I request that when you do raise your hand, raise your hand, mention your name and the company you're representing. Thank you. And in the interest of time, may I also request that you just raise two questions per person so that we are able to cover. I think Katek was already doing the on two questions per person, but let's see how we manage it. With that said, I'm opening the session to Q&As. See first Chris and then in Katek already.

speaker
Chris Nicholson
Analyst at R&B Morgan Stanley

Thanks very much for the presentation. It's Chris Nicholson from R&B Morgan Stanley. Okay, so I've got two questions. Can we chat a little bit about the sunset underground capex? Obviously, that seems to be where you've trimmed the capex down. What are we to actually read into that? Is this a change in scope up to the feasibility level? Do you have a little bit more time to get that out from the underground because of the pit optimization strategy? Maybe just a little bit more why you're doing that, especially given prices are higher, so there's not as much pressure, I guess, to optimize CapEx right now. So I think that's the first one. And then the second one, could you chat a bit about the insurance payment, please? Just more the back end of it. So I know historically you would have been part of an Anglo-American insurance captive. Is that now part of a new Volterra insurance captive? Is this external insurers? And so kind of where a little bit of the risk sits. And then the deductibles, I might understand that's an excess. Is that material in relation to that? Because obviously, you know, four or five billion rands can be quite material for our valuation and net debt. Thanks.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Okay, so I'll do the easy one on tonsilers and I'll let Siri do insurance. But, yes, so, Chris, as we said, we have now migrated to the feasibility study from the pre-fees. And as a result of that, our options have really been narrowed down. So as we've articulated and what we said was the likely trajectory at the capital markets day was that we were then going to go for the 2 to 2.5 million tons lift as our first stage of the development and then take us to the second stage, which would be then taking us up to 3.5 million tons and then ultimately to 5 million tons. So really as a result of that, we've had the opportunity of narrowing down the scope So it's very much focused on that first stage, which is the trucking option, and therefore that's allowed us to sort of trim down the capital just because of that, because of the narrowing of the ranges. But the timeline is exactly what we've communicated previously. So decision subject to meeting our investment criteria being made in the first half of 2027, we're on track for that, and then a ramp up of that two to two and a half million tonnes by the end of the decade. And really, as we said, we've reaffirmed some of the characteristics that we've seen from the drilling in terms of grade, being between 4 and 6 grams per ton. And that will therefore support the increase in volume from Makhala Krenner of around about 10% initially, and we could go up to 50%. But once again, I reemphasize, it is a value over volume strategy. So if the market requires that additional volume, we'll supply that into the market. Otherwise, because that will be the most value accretive. Otherwise, what we could do is rebalance the open pit and extract from the underground. And as a consequence of that, ensure that we maintain a safe level of production, but potentially then reduce our oil and sustaining costs. So that's what we're sort of balancing out. But, yep, looking at spending about one and a half billion around this year. and then $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion both in 26 and in 27, where we finalized the feasibility study and we progressed some of the development, the underground development, and finalized the drilling to support the investment decision. Okay.

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

On insurance, so until the end of May, we were still covered by the Anglo-American insurance structure, which was a cell captive as well. We negotiated our new insurance post that, so from 1st June going on. Because the flood, it was in February, we would still be covered by the Anglo-American structure. In terms of the quantum, we said it's 4 to 5 billion rand before deductibles. The deductible will vary, but we're expecting less of the deductible around 3.5 to 4.2 billion rand.

speaker
spk09

Good morning. I will ask two questions and I wasn't toy-toying. Maybe let me start with the marketing side of things. You're expecting a very strong second half of the year. Supply out of South Africa is likely to increase. Are you not concerned that the increase in supply could actually have a significant impact on this very strong busker price? And then if you can also talk a little bit on the change in inventory accounting, which resulted in post-tax gain of $1 billion. Why the change? Why now? What is the most used method? I thought the stock count was the most used method by other peers. I'll leave it there.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Okay, perfect. I'll do marketing again and see where you will do the stock count outcome. So, look, I think we've certainly seen in the first half of the year, as you've observed, the impact of those weather-related supply disruptions to ourselves and to others in the market. But I think, you know, in Coteco, what we did start to see is supply being really restored back to May, May and June sort of supply levels are back to normal. to sort of normal levels, and then you saw the price reaction to, you know, in June and then in July. So I think the price reaction is more broader around actually the demand for PGMs. Certainly, supply has been impacted, but supply from both primary supply and also secondary supply is a lot lower, and that talks to the tightness of the market that we've been speaking about for quite some time. Demand is healthy. I think the outcome of achieving some of the settlements with regards to trade agreements reduces some of that uncertainty that we were expecting at the beginning of the year. So I think it only improves the economic outlook, which then should be supportive of continued PGM demand for the second half of the year. And so, yeah, we're focused around what we can control, and provided that we can get the answers into the market, we'll certainly benefit from that higher price environment than what you've seen previously.

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

On inventory, so we haven't changed any accounting with regards to our inventory. So that related to the stock count and every year we process either a loss or a gain depending on the results of the stock take. This year it was a gain. Last year it was relatively similar in terms of a gain as well. And in terms of the stock take itself, everything was within our tolerance level so I think it was nothing abnormal from an inventory stock take.

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Just Checking whether there's any other questions in the room before I move to the conference call. I think not at the moment. I may have to come back. Moving to the conference call, moderator, do we have any questions coming through from the conference call?

speaker
Dine
Conference Call Moderator

We have a few questions on the conference. The first question we have comes from Reinhard van der Velde of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Reinhard van der Velde
Analyst at Bank of America

Morning, Craig and Siri, and team, thanks for taking my question. First one, maybe if I could just circle back again on the platinum supply-demand balance. How should we think about the market balance as a bundle brought ramps back up again into the second half? Coming offline, I mean, it undeniably added a benefit on market balance. How should we think about the change in balance going into the second half again?

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, thanks very much for the question. In terms of the supply-demand balances that we articulated today, very much in line with what we said at the beginning of the year. And so with us reiterating our production, albeit at the lower end, that was really informed in those supply-demand deficits already. So I don't believe that the Amanda built recovery in the second half changes the deficit that we're anticipating in platinum and rhodium particularly for the full year. And certainly, you know, it doesn't change our outlook in terms of the post-2025. I think it's, you know, we've maintained our guidance and we've been very clear around that in terms of both refined production as well and all of that is factored into those deficits that we've articulated. I think ultimately when you look at not only supply but the demand is still is really, really healthy. We articulated what's going on in China. I've spoken about the sort of some of the certainty that's been created as a result of entering into the trade agreements. I think that all points to a more positive outlook for the second half of the year and therefore being able to supply the volumes that we're anticipating ourselves and others into the market will meet that demand, but those deficits don't necessarily change and that therefore should support prices for the rest of 2025 and into 2026 and beyond.

speaker
Reinhard van der Velde
Analyst at Bank of America

Got it. That's very clear. Thanks, Craig. And maybe just my second question just on mass pool reduction. Seems like that's going very well. Congratulations to Ajit and the team. So you've previously spoken about, I think it's 120 gigawatt hours of energy savings in total. Can you give us a sense, and I know it's not fully optimized yet, but can you give us a sense of just your first half 25 exit rate? How much of that energy saving are you realizing at this point?

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

It's very nice. Ajit, do you want to answer this question?

speaker
spk04

Yeah, so thanks for the question. Can you hear me? Yeah, so thanks for the question. Gotcha. The work that we've done has already materialized with some energy savings that we've seen. It's obviously not the full benefit. Just bear in mind that we've only had the Jameson cells running in full-scale production for at least the last month. So we're probably seeing about a 10% to 15% improvement on that, but we expect to see the full realization of most of that in the second half of the year, and definitely in 2027 that should be realizable. What we're seeing at the moment is very positive, so we have no reason to believe that we won't realize that, but we want to wait until we get to the full-scale production of Jameson salt in the second half of the year and move that full into 2027 as well. Thanks.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Understood. Thank you very much. Don't worry, we'll remind you by 2026.

speaker
Dine
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. The next question we have comes from Dominic O'Kane of J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Dominic O'Kane
Analyst at J.P. Morgan

Hello all. Just a few questions on Amanda Bolt specifically. You've given us the CapEx guidance for the group for 2025, but could you maybe just give us a bit more granularity on the Amanda Bolt CapEx spend in the second half of the year? And in addition, given the events of the first half, will there be a kind of rollover on CapEx in the 2026 at Amanda Bolt's? And then secondly, at Amanda Bolton's second half of the year, at current prices, should we expect it to be EBITDA and free cash flow positive? Thank you.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so Dominic, thanks for the questions. Siri, just, yeah.

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

On capital, so Amanda Bolt's capital would obviously have been revised because we expected to spend some capital at the Tumelo 1 subsharp, so that has been deferred slightly. So I think for the second half, you can expect maybe about 400 to 500 million of capital for Amanda Bolt.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

And in terms of economic cash flow for the second half of the year...

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, we do expect it to be cash flow positive in the second half, and remember that a lot of it will also be as attributable to the Chrome impact. So I think, you know, at current Chrome prices, and if we deliver on the full production, it's about another billion rand of cash flow to Amanda Bolt for the second half.

speaker
Dominic O'Kane
Analyst at J.P. Morgan

Thank you.

speaker
Dine
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. The next question we have comes from Adrian Hammond of SVG. Please go ahead.

speaker
Adrian Hammond
Analyst at SVG

Good morning, everyone. Two questions, firstly for Sayuri. Sayuri, could you just unpack a bit more about the inventory and sales? Obviously, this has a huge impact on how we model your business. Could you just perhaps firstly clarify the 3.2 billion credits from inventory, what drove that in terms of price versus ounces? And could you remind us where your work inventory level was in December versus now and what the sort of normalized level should be going forward? Thanks.

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

Okay. So, Adrian, just in terms of our work-in-progress inventory, so there was a build-up, obviously, in the first half of the year because of the PMR stock take that was in addition to what we normally would do, plus the maintenance that we usually do in the first quarter. However, by the end of the year, we will get to normalize inventory levels. What you would also recognize is that, as Ajit had previously said at Capital Markets Day, there is further optimization that we are looking at through the processing pipeline. So you will see our work-in-progress inventories probably around what we had last year or slightly lower. In terms of refined inventory levels, I think that's at normalized levels as where we ended 30th June. In terms of the 3.2 billion grand credit, that is a mixture of your volume because we had the build-up in inventory in the first half, and there would have been some slight price impacts in terms of your purchase of concentrate inventory. But in terms of net realizable value write-downs, we actually had a reversal of about 200 million rand in the period.

speaker
Adrian Hammond
Analyst at SVG

Thanks. That's Keir. And then perhaps, I don't know if Hilton's on the line, but... There's obviously lots of talk about primary and secondary supply being weak. Is he picking up any forward buying from OEMs?

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Is that three questions? Yeah. All right, Adrian. Hilton's online so he can explain.

speaker
spk05

If you were looking at automotive forecasts for this year, in terms of automotive growth, you were lucky to see positive numbers by forecasters. And as Craig's pointed out, we've had 5% growth in the first half. So, you know, we have seen auto OEMs in the discretionary market. They have been buying in anticipation of potential tariff implications and because forecasts have come in to the upside. So we have seen benefits in that space.

speaker
Dine
Conference Call Moderator

Thanks. Thank you. The next question we have comes from Richard Hatch of Barenburg. Please go ahead.

speaker
Richard Hatch
Analyst at Barenburg

Yeah, good morning. Thanks very much for the call. My two questions are as follows. So Uri, just on working capital for the second half, are you able to give us any kind of a steer as to how we should think about working capital in H2? And then secondly, I appreciate there have been some headlines around a Chrome export ban in South Africa. I appreciate Chrome is quite an important part for some of your minds. So just wonder if you'd be able just to give us an update on your current sort of thinking around that and how we should be thinking about it as we move into the second half. Thank you.

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

So in terms of your working capital, so the large part of that is your inventory balance. And as I've indicated, we will see a release of the work in progress buildup that we had in the first half and the second half of the year. Our refined inventory will remain fairly flat. And then in terms of the other working capital, a large part of that is your customer prepayment, which is obviously impacted by prices as well. So that will, you know, impact that. And then your purchase of concentrate creditor, again, will be impacted by prices. So, I mean, assuming all things equal, those items should be relatively flat as to where we ended this year, this half.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

I think just in response to, if that's okay, in response to your chrome question, yeah, there's been a sort of proposal around introducing a chrome tax here in South Africa. I think that's very much in early stages and ourselves together with the Minerals Council and other chrome producers are having engaged conversations with government around that. So I'm not necessarily sure it's going to impact into the second half. But our view is very much, you know, we support economic development in South Africa, but at the same time it needs to be balanced. And therefore introducing a tax, we believe, may not necessarily create the desired outcome, which the government is trying to create in terms of the beneficiation of chrome and chrome products in South Africa. So therefore we'll have that conversation with them, but unlikely to have an impact in the second half of the year. Cool. Thank you so much.

speaker
Dine
Conference Call Moderator

Thank you. The final question we have comes from Ben Davis of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ben Davis
Analyst at RBC Capital Markets

Great. Thanks. Thanks for the presentation. Just a quick question for me on the cost of the synergies moving down from 0.5 to 0.2. Can you just unpack what were those? Are those finance items or sort of operating costs? Thanks.

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, sure, Ben. So on the de-merger dis-synergies, what we had originally anticipated would be we'd have some dis-synergies from a supply chain perspective. So we had global framework agreements with Anglo-American countries. So we thought there would be some dis-energies there, as well as from an insurance perspective. However, now that we've renegotiated our insurance, we're actually seeing some benefits as opposed to a dis-energy. And the $200 million that I indicated, that's really around more of your IT systems and those contracts that we're still working on. So hopefully those dis-energies will be removed by the time we renegotiate those contracts.

speaker
Ben Davis
Analyst at RBC Capital Markets

Perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Sinead, I believe there are no more questions.

speaker
Dine
Conference Call Moderator

There are no further questions.

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks. A couple of questions that you'll create as it comes through the webcast. So first, coming from Arnold Fankran, NetBank, so on unit cost guidance. So can we Can we use the initial FY25 guidance as a proxy for the FY26 unit costs pre-inflation? Or will there be spillover impact from Amanda Bolt flooding going into FY26?

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

So in terms of our unit cost guidance, I mean, we haven't provided our 2026 guidance, and we're still working towards that. But what we have indicated is from a median term point of view, we're looking at an all-in-sustaining cost of less than $950 per 3e ounce, and that is what we're targeting. What I did indicate is that we will see some cost benefits from the demerger. So once we exit some of the transitional services arrangements, we'll see about 1 to 1.5 billion rand off run rate savings from 2027, of which about a billion grand will come through in 2026. But further to that, you know, all the operational excellence initiatives, so your mass pool reduction, the pit optimization, those will continue and we'll see the full benefits coming through in 2026. So yes, I mean, you know, Roughly, we will firm up our guidance by the end of the year, but we are looking very hard into all our assets to see how we can reduce costs further.

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Perfect. Thanks. Thanks, Sayuri. The next one is from Chris Reddy, All Weather. Anglo-American has previously stated that they did not intend selling any further Valterra shares for 90 days post the demerger. Should those shares be placed, what is the potential for Valterra to do a buyback? Given the current low net debt to EBITDA, incoming insurance proceeds and a better second half expected.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Do you want me to go? Okay, I'll go. So thanks very much for the question. Look, we certainly see there's value in our share price. We think that there's still further upside to go. But more importantly for us is maintaining that capital discipline and actually delivering on what we said we were going to do. So generating the cash from achieving our step up in the second half of our production. And as a result, you know, we'll generate the cash and we'll assess each opportunity at each reporting cycle. And we've been very clear that our focus is around generate the cash, invest sustaining capital back into our business. We've outlined what we want to do on Sunslirt, and then we'll make a decision based at the time in terms of what we will do with any extra cash, whether that's in the form of an additional dividend or a potential buyback, but it's rather get to that position than doing anything now.

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks, Craig. And then the next one, Shilan Modi from HSBC. Are you trying to conserve cash given cuts to CAPEX guidance? I think the question was asked earlier. And his second question is, do you need to maintain a cash balance? Can we anticipate a second half dividend equal to the cash generated in the second half?

speaker
Sayuri Naidu
Chief Financial Officer

So in terms of the capital, so we've lowered our capital guidance, but that hasn't changed in terms of our focus on asset integrity. I think we still committed to all the projects that we had in our pipeline, but what has changed is the way we're actually executing on some of our projects. So the operating model in terms of which we're operating as a standalone is has seen some benefits in how we can actually do projects differently using an in-source model, for example, as opposed to third parties, has generated a lot of those savings. So we're not really cutting back in terms of asset integrity. And then in terms of the dividend, I think Craig has already indicated, I think for us it is if we deliver on what we need to do for the second half of the year, if we do have excess cash, we look at it at that point, whether it's an additional dividend or a share buyback.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

I think if I can, just to re-emphasize and to support what Siri said, as we said, this is the 16th consecutive period since the reinstatement of the dividend that we've paid a dividend. And we've articulated our strategy and our commitment to generating value. And so we will, at every single opportunity, look at what our uses are of that capital, invest it back into the business where it's appropriate, and return that extra cash to shareholders. And that philosophy doesn't change. And so we'll look at it again at the end of the year, once we've been delivered on our second half commitment.

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks. Thanks, Craig. And then the next one is coming from Yamin Luriem Capital. So on tariffs, so PGM imports into the USA were not subject to tariffs in the first draft. What are your thoughts going forward? Will PGM still be exempt from August the 1st?

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

It almost feels like it's easier to answer the question what's the platinum price going to be at the end of the year than what a tariff's going to be. Look, I think what we have seen is PGMs initially from the proposals from the US administration was that PGMs were not tariffed. They are under review and I think there is concern out there in terms of tariffs potentially being PGM is potentially being tariffed and that's been articulated through the decisions around copper. But, you know, at the moment we just need to continue to, you know, see what that impact will be and wait for the outcome of the review. But for the moment they're not tariffed. We have seen metal going into the U.S. in anticipation of tariffs and in anticipation of that potentially PGM is being tariffed but we'll deal with it as and when it arrives.

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks, Ayuri. I think the last question coming through the conference call may be related. So this one comes from Samuel Semenya from CGIC. As things stand, we are to expect 30% tariff on automotive and potential 10% additional tariff to apply to all countries aligned to Agua. How will this impact Valterra and their strategy? But I think you may have answered it already, so no need.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

I think, I mean, certainly I think, you know, what we are seeing is certainly agreements are being reached with various governments, you know, some of our largest markets, both in Europe, having sort of reached an agreement, and Japan. in terms of where some of our volumes go and where they go into the US. So we'll just continue to evaluate it on a case-by-case basis. But certainly I'm encouraged by the fact that we're now entering into these agreements that reduces the economic uncertainty which is there and ultimately should translate into improved sentiment towards economic growth and ultimately demand for PGMs.

speaker
Teto Mage
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks. I guess assuming there are no questions coming through from the room, I'm going to hand over Craig just to close today's session. Just checking residual, residual gone. Craig, over to you.

speaker
Craig Miller
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Teto. Thank you very much for joining us. It's not usually that I get the last word as a Teto, but I think today is just to recognize this will be Teto's last hosting of our... result sessions. Teto will be leaving Volterra Platinum. I just wanted to extend a sincere appreciation on behalf of the executive team and all of the board and I know everybody at Volterra Platinum for the huge amount of work that you've done, Teto, since you've been part of us and wish you all the very best and success as you embark upon the next phase of your journey. So thank you, Teto. Thanks very much, ladies and gentlemen. Thanks very much, ladies and gentlemen. Thanks very much for joining you and look forward to speaking to you in February when we'll show you the delivery.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-