3/25/2022

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us today for what is our first four-year results presentation as an independent company since emerging from Travis Perkins last April. I'm here with our CFO, Julie Worth, and together we would like to take you through the performance of our business for the year ending the 1st of January 2022, as well as highlighting how we intend to maximise our growth levers to take full advantage of the opportunities in the UK's large and growing home improvement market. Julie will also share our outlook for the year ahead and give an update on our capital allocation priorities. 2021 was a milestone year for Wix as we embarked on our journey as a standalone business and delivered record financial results. Our strong performance was underpinned by our uniquely balanced business model across the three distinct customer propositions of local trade, do it for me and DIY. This model enabled us to successfully navigate the pandemic, respond to fast-changing consumer trends and fulfil growing customer demand, leading us to outperform the UK home improvement market by twofold. While the market grew by around 6% to £26.5 billion, our sales grew at around 14%. We have continued to grow our customer base and critically retain those customers who were already shopping with us. Customer satisfaction is up and we have gained further market share. All while delivering excellent value and availability despite challenging external factors. We are making considerable progress across each of our strategic levers and as such we are accelerating investments into a number of these to take full advantage of the market potential and importantly to deliver innovative new products, services and stores to our customers. We now have a capital structure that facilitates our ability to grow the business and deliver superior returns. I'd now like to hand over to Julie to take you through the numbers.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, David. Good morning, everyone. I would like to echo how delighted we are to be delivering our first set of annual results as a listed business. WIC's financial performance in 2021 reflects a strong, balanced, and resilient business model where, despite ongoing COVID disruption, revenue grew on a like-for-like basis by 13% to one and a half billion. Our strong revenue growth, together with operational cost leverage, delivered adjusted profit before tax of 85 million pounds, representing growth of over 70% year on year. our net debt position has improved significantly to £690 million. This reflects our lease renewal profile and, unusually for our business, working capital outflow for 2021 as we recovered and strengthened our stock position year on year. we have declared a final dividend of 8.8 pence, taking the total for the year to 10.9 pence, and this represents 40% of adjusted post-tax profit for 2021. This is ahead of the 30% indicated at the time of demerger and reflective of our updated capital allocation framework, which I'll come back to later. It also reaffirms our strong 2021 performance and overall confidence in our business model. Overall, an excellent set of results of the year. So let's look at those results in a little more detail. Within our total sales growth of 14%, inflation accounts for around 7% of that growth, with rates accelerating into the second half of the year from 3% in the first half. As anticipated, our gross profit margin declined by 80 basis points. This was partly impacted by mix, with local trade, bathroom and installation participation increasing, but most notably this reflected the recovery of inflation on a cash margin basis, which negatively impacted the margin rate. This approach has enabled us to continue to offer customers the best possible value and drive revenue growth ahead of the market. Our cost efficiency has improved by 230 basis points, reflecting the strength of operational leverage, partially offset by incremental PLC costs as previously guided. There was a return to more normalised levels of marketing activity and the payment of bonus reward across the business, recognising the strong overall performance for the year. Overall, we have delivered operating profit of £116.3 million or 7.6% of sales, which compares strongly with both the prior year at 6.1% and perhaps more notably 2019 at 7.4%. It has, though, been an unusual journey from an ordered sales perspective through 2021. This slide, which shows weekly ordered like-for-like sales performance, is purely a reminder of the unusual trading conditions through the year, where our do-it-for-me showrooms were entirely closed through to mid-April. We also annualised periods of lockdown in 2020 and saw further disruption through periods of self-isolation across 2021. Our delivered sales performance, however, continued to be strong and resilient in the face of this disruption. This slide shows the two-year delivered like-for-like revenue performance through the lens of first half, second half and the split between core and do-it-for-me revenue growth. As a reminder, delivered rather than ordered revenue represents what we recognise in the accounts. Core revenue performance was extremely strong in the first half of the year, with two-year like-for-like revenue growth of over 44%. This was achieved across a broad range of categories and supported by both DIY and local trade customers, and underpinned by our digital and fulfillment capability. In the second half of the year, core revenue remained strong, albeit moderating to 26.7%, as the tailwinds from DIY customers in lockdown reduced. Local trade customers drove this strong performance, with their pipeline of work remaining very buoyant, and this trend has continued into the current year. Do It For Me revenue was impacted in the first half as our Do It For Me showrooms were closed through to the middle of April, affecting one of our key trading periods for DIFM, our winter sale. Despite these closures, a significant proportion of sales were maintained, supported by our virtual customer journey, which was developed at the tail end of 2020. In the second half, Do It For Me delivered revenue improved relative to the first half, but continued to be impacted by ongoing COVID disruption and notably self-isolation for both our customers and installers, the pingdemic as it was affectionately known. Customers continued to place orders with us in the second half of the year as our proposition and lead times remained compelling and competitive in the market. This resulted in a very strong order book position at the year end, which was more than double that seen at the end of 2019 at over £100 million. We would expect this to at least partially unwind in the current year, benefiting 2022 revenue performance. Now turning to the drivers of profit year on year. This waterfall chart clearly shows the key drivers of profit movement in the year, with very strong core sales and Do It For Me starting to recover. As I flagged at the interim stage, COVID costs largely fell away, marketing investment returned to more normalized levels, and it's worth noting here that our marketing spend remains less than 2.5% of sales, with increasing focus on digital marketing. The strong profit performance has triggered bonus payments across the business. This compares with 2020 with minimal payout and PLC costs stepped up in this our first year following the demerger. Ultimately, this is a very strong financial performance driven by trading and operational excellence, delivering a record level of PBT at 85 million pounds. Moving on to cash. Our year-end cash was £123 million, a reduction from half-year at £204 million and in line with guidance. It is important to note that our normalised profile for cash will generally show a higher position at half-year than full-year, impacted by our trading and working capital cycle. This year we have some unusual factors that have resulted in a more marked reduction in cash in the second half of the year. The first is a significant strengthening of our stock position year on year, where we have recovered stock levels following COVID disruption and have also built additional forward cover to assure availability. These are one-off impacts not expected to recur moving forward. In addition, inflation is also impacting the value of stock holding. Despite these factors, our stock turn remains very strong at 5.1 times, reflecting our curated range and operational agility. Our calendar changed this year to reflect a week 53 cut-off, and whilst this has minimal impact on profit, the impact on cash was around £10 million, which is not expected to reverse until 2023. Capital investment was £26.5 million for the year and second half weighted. Similarly, separation costs accelerated as the year progressed. Taken together with our first dividend payment in the second half, the year end cash position was £123 million, broadly in line with our performer position at Demerger. It is worth noting that for 2022, we will of course have a final dividend payment in the first half of the year declared today. Moving on now to our all important capital structure. As we think about capital structure and capital allocation priorities, I thought it would be useful to have a quick reminder on the structure of our balance sheet. We carry significant lease debt from the leasehold store portfolio of £742 million as at the end of 2021. This will vary over time, impacted by the profile of lease renewals and new list commitments, for example, on new stores. We expect our lease debt to reduce over the next few years, primarily influenced by a low level of lease renewals before increasing from 2026 onwards as the level of lease renewals accelerates. This is illustrated by the chart on the right, which shows the number of lease renewals by year. To give a guide, I would expect a similar reduction in lease debt in full year 2022 as seen in 2021. Given the low level of lease renewals in the short term, with that reduction narrowing through to 2026 as lease renewals accelerate and we start to add new stores. Turning to how we think about capital allocation. We intend to maintain a strong balance sheet. We have reviewed the needs of the business and will target IFRS net debt to EBITDA leverage consistently below 2.75 times whilst maintaining cash on the balance sheet appropriate for working capital purposes. Ordinarily, our business is a cash generative model with a neutral working capital position. As at the end of 2021, we sit just outside our leverage target at 2.8 times. We will invest to drive our growth ahead of the market. This investment will be on opportunities generating high return, and we are increasing our annual capital investment to around £45 million per annum to accelerate and drive growth. David will shortly take you through the key areas of focus for this accelerated investment. Alongside capital investment to drive growth, we have additional investment in the immediate term to conclude our IT separation from Travis Perkins, which is expected to be around £30 million with the majority of remaining investment in 2022. Our dividend policy is confirmed at 40% of adjusted post tax profit. This is an immediate increase from the 30% progressive policy indicated at the merger, a sign of the board's confidence in the business going forward. Against this framework, the board may conclude that it has surplus cash and where this to arise, the preference would be to return this surplus to investors via share buybacks or special dividends. And finally, from me, a few words on the current outlook. In total, trading in the first 11 weeks of 2022 is in line with last year. As we annualise strong 2021 comparatives, core sales are down 6.7% year-on-year and up 26.3% on a two-year basis. We remain particularly encouraged by the pipeline of work currently enjoyed by our local trade customers who underpin this strong performance. Do It For Me has had a positive start to the year, and the order pipeline has continued to build strongly through our winter sale trading period. And of course, we have the healthy backdrop of a brought forward order book of over £100 million, more than double that of a year ago. This will support 2022 performance, giving us confidence that delivered Do It For Me sales will be ahead of 2019, a more typical year, which was reported at just under 400 million. In summary, for 2022, we expect another year of progress, whilst of course being mindful of a challenging geopolitical and macroeconomic backdrop. I look forward to your questions later. In the meantime, I would like to hand back to David who will take you through our strategic update and growth opportunities. Thank you.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Julie. I'll now take you through why we believe Wix is a business with exceptional potential and why we're confident in our ability to grow ahead of the market. Our proven growth levers are working well and helping us to consistently outperform. And this is leading us to step up investment where we believe we can drive further growth and strong returns. Specifically, accelerating our store investment program, growing our TradePro membership scheme, exploring new Do It For Me propositions, and investing in our installer teams to convert our large order book. And last but not least, advancing our digital leadership with innovative new digital experiences for our customers. Now let me share with you the strength of the fundamentals that underpin this large market worth £26.5 billion today. We are a property-owning democracy with 65% of the UK's housing stock owner-occupied, the lion's share of which is well over 50 years old, generating an ongoing need for homes to be repaired, maintained and upgraded. just as the age of this housing stock is going up so is the value and as you can see from this chart we're at record levels of housing transactions this underpins the home improvement market in two ways when people move house they tend to seek to improve and in particular invest in larger ticket projects such as a new extension kitchen or bathroom Additionally, people are using the increasing value of their homes to draw down equity and make improvements to their property asset. Alongside this, one of the legacies of the pandemic is that we are spending more time at home and we want our homes and gardens to better reflect the way we're living and working today and this is encouraging people to invest in their living space. So given the significant number of housing transactions over the last couple of years and the change in the way people are using their homes, we expect this to fuel demand for our products and services. The chart on the bottom right shows that older people spend more money on their homes and typically will use tradespeople or installation services to help them with their home improvement projects. This benefits both the local trade and do-it-for-me parts of our business, where we have an older, more affluent customer profile. Looking forward, as the nation faces dramatically increasing energy bills, people will be looking for ways to reduce their costs, whether that's by fitting better insulation or investing in newer technologies such as solar or air source heat pumps. And to that, the government's target to reach net zero by 2050, and the fact that around 40% of the UK's carbon emissions come from the residential sector, there will be an increasingly urgent need to decarbonise the UK's housing stock by making our homes more energy efficient, which presents a tremendous long-term growth opportunity for us, not least given our unique installation capability. Together, we believe these structural drivers point to a market which will continue to grow long term with robust demand in the near term as we are seeing strong local trade order books and our own record Do It For Me order book which will translate into sales this year. So in summary, the cornerstones of this market remain in good health and underpin future growth. And as you can see from this chart, our expectation is this market will grow to 29 billion by 2024-25. 2021 saw a COVID driven step up in growth of 6%. And as I've already mentioned, we outperformed the market twofold with sales at 14. We expect the market growth to moderate to more normal levels around 2.5% to 3% and anticipate that Do It For Me and local trade will be the engines fueling this growth as DIY starts to settle after its COVID heights. We fully expect to continue to outperform the market thanks to our distinctive business model and proven growth levers, which we plan to accelerate with increased investment. So how do we win in this market? What's the source of our sustainable competitive advantage? The answer lies in our highly distinctive business model. We are so much more than just a DIY business. We cover all routes that customers use to get their home improvement projects done. We are there for them, whether they choose to hire local trade, do it themselves, or if they want to use our Do It For Me service, where our team of design consultants and installers are there to help them every step of the way, from concept to completion. At the heart of our business model is our purpose, which is to simply help the nation feel house proud. This is underpinned by our market-leading proposition based on a highly curated range, simple value proposition, served from a low-cost, right-sized estate, and supported by our digital capability and customer service. Together, this ensures we deliver market-leading metrics in terms of price leadership, stock turn, and sales per square foot. This model is highly efficient. It's hard to replicate and offers us the greatest exposure to the fastest growing segments of the market. Do it for me and local trade. This slide will be familiar to you. It outlines the strong portfolio of growth levers that we have to win in the market. I'm gonna simply focus on those where we intend to step up investment and accelerate our growth plans. The first of these being store investment. Our refit program is truly transforming our store environment and enhancing the operational efficiencies of our unique 4C service model. These refits provide ease of shop, showrooms that wonderfully showcase our Do It For Me products and service, increased capacity for home delivery and click and collect, and give customers instant digital access to our fully extended range via our in-store online service. The success of this strategy is evidenced by sales growth from 1.2 billion to over 1.5 billion within the last three years. This is exclusively like-for-like sales, as our overall footprint has reduced during this period. Of our 232 stores, 151 of them are now refitted in the new format, and we're very encouraged by their performance, with average sales uplifts of more than 25%. The average size of our stores is 28,000 square feet and refitted stores deliver higher sales per square foot at £260 compared to heritage stores of £198 per square foot. Refits also consistently achieve a return on capital employed of over 25%. So given the strong and consistent performance of our refitted stores, we intend to go harder and faster with our refit program. And we are planning around 12 to 15 refits per year, up from an average of around seven over recent years, which will mean we will have completed the entire estate over the next five years. I'd now like to turn to our plans to open brand new stores. The successful performance of our model combined with our newly independent status has afforded us the opportunity to look again at our store estate and where we should trade. Switching data from Kantar evidences that we are winning customers from all competitors, taking share and footfall. It's been several years since we've had a comprehensive new store opening program, and we're excited to announce the plans to open 20 new stores and create over 1,000 new jobs. The first of these stores will open early in 2023. White space opportunities include additional stores in large catchments where we are underrepresented, and also smaller towns not currently served by a Wix store. We are confident that these new stores will deliver strong returns and additional scale benefits. And together with our plans to increase the number of refits per year, we expect them to support a growth trajectory that is ahead of the market. The second growth lever we plan to accelerate is our TradePro scheme. It focuses on saving our trade customers both time and money. We make it easy and convenient for them to shop through the TradePro app and our store teams pick, pack and dispatch straight into their vans, all at a 10% discount. TradePro customers are our most strategically valuable customers. They spend 10 times the amount of an average DIY customer. And as you can see from these charts, we are successfully growing our TradePro membership. In 2021, we welcomed a record 80,000 new tradespeople to our scheme, taking our base to just over 630,000. And in the first 10 weeks of this year, we have already added a further 26,000. So momentum is intensifying. The amount they spend is also rising. Sales are up 39% in the last year alone, and they continue to shop more often and increase their average order value. These are also extremely busy people, and our latest research found that 66% of them have work lined up for three months plus, and one in four traders has work lined up for 12 months or more, which means we'll be seeing a lot more of them over the course of 2022. The simplicity and focus of this scheme makes it a real winning format, and the return on investment is highly productive, which is why we'll be increasing our investment in TradePro to secure more signups. We plan to deepen and broaden our relationship with our TradePro members through offering extended services via an app and using our digital expertise and data insight to personalise their TradePro experience, rewarding them for their loyalty. Ultimately, we have an ambition to have one million TradePro members. Many of the enhancements we made as a result of the pandemic continue to feature in our Do It For Me proposition. While our showrooms were closed, our virtual showroom journey enabled us to continue to engage with customers and take them through the design and sales process entirely remotely, supported by our experienced design consultants. Now our showrooms are open again, this service remains very popular with customers. Since we launched it at the end of 2020, there have been over 3.3 million customer interactions with our virtual showroom tour. Our ability to handle the whole process from concept to completion is highly valued by customers and we are seeing high levels of demand for Wix installers to carry out their kitchen or bathroom installation. Likewise, we're also seeing very high levels of demand for these customers to use our installation teams for the tiling and flooring element of their projects too. Our installer base is one of the great strengths of our Do It For Me proposition and our customers greatly value the quality and assurance that our Wix installer teams guarantee. We were delighted to retain our distinctive level of service award from the Institute of Customer Service for our installation quality. Despite the national shortage of installers, we added a further 700 teams to increase our base to over 2,600. This is more than we had before the pandemic, with a trajectory which will see us increase by an additional 25% in 2022. Additionally, we continue to progress our unique installer apprenticeship programme to develop skills for the future in this sector. We've also grown our design consultant population by over 150, taking our design consultant base to well over 600. And record numbers of our design consultants hit the 1 million sales mark, further building the strength of our order book. Our continued focus on product innovation is keeping us on trend, with new products introduced during the last 18 months accounting for over 25% of all sales. On the back of the successful launch of tiling and flooring installations, we continue to test and learn with additional installation service offers. We recently launched internal joinery and are conducting localised tests on landscaping. In addition to adjacent categories, we have identified opportunities over the medium term to deepen and broaden our proposition in the overall kitchen market. In summary, we have confident growth ambitions for our Do It For Me business as we expand our proposition across products, services and distribution to an even wider customer base. Now, before I move on, I'd like to show you our new TV ad, which airs for the first time this evening, so you're the first people to see it. This simply brings to life how we're helping the nation feel house-proud.

speaker
Wix

From the biggest transformations to the smallest changes. Don't be house-barrassed, be house-proud. With Wix.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Well, I hope you enjoyed that. That launches on Gogglebox this evening. Okay. Look, we continue to cement our position as a digitally-led, service-enabled retailer, with two-thirds of all sales emanating on our digital channels and 98% of these sales touching the store. It's bricks and clicks working symbiotically to drive superior performance. We see tremendous opportunity to grow sales, customer satisfaction and market share through enhancing the customer's digital experience and have a plethora of plans to do so across local trade, Do It For Me and DIY. We are increasing the appeal of the TradePro scheme by creating a loyalty proposition stronger than a simple discount scheme. There is more personalisation, targeted events and additional services for our most loyal customers. In Do It For Me, we have expanded our successful virtual kitchen experience to include bathrooms. And we are leveraging virtual reality and augmented reality to improve the showroom journey online and in-store. For DIY customers in quarter four last year, we launched the new app, and conversion rates are above expectations. We already enjoy strong conversion from our website, but if a customer comes through the app, they are twice as likely to convert to a sale. We're also reaching out to new customers and offering greater access to our range by partnering with marketplace platforms such as eBay. All our digital activity is underpinned by machine learning capability. We call it our missions motivation engine. This helps us identify how we can drive better customer and commercial outcomes by engaging with customers early in their project planning process, making sure we can be their retailer of choice when it comes to their home improvement mission. One of the many great things about becoming an independent business has been that we are now able to develop our own ESG strategy. And today, I'm delighted to launch our new responsible business strategy. We've called this Built to Last, and it aims to support a diverse and inclusive society, an environment that is protected for the next generation, and homes that are fit for a sustainable future for everyone. The strategy is embedded within the business and the government's framework provides board-level oversight with a responsible business committee chaired by our non-executive director, Sunita Elaine. The strategy is built across three pillars of people, environment and home. If we look through the lens of these three pillars at last year's activities, we've achieved some great results. Let me just pick out a few that we're most proud of. We were ranked in the Financial Times Global Diversity Leaders 2022 survey as the UK's number two retailer. Creating an inclusive and diverse workplace and culture is a priority for us at Wix, and we recently launched our new Feel at Home program, championed and led by our six fantastic inclusion and diversity colleague networks. On the environment, this past year we've been working hard to understand our environmental impact and have completed our first carbon footprinting exercise for our Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions. We have started testing new low carbon technologies for future use in our estates, including electric air source heat pumps for our stores. And we aren't only looking at ways to reduce our own environmental impact, we also want to help our customers create more sustainable homes by providing sustainable products and services that are responsibly sourced. We've hosted several customer closeness sessions to understand how we can support customers with this challenge. We will continue to review our ranges to expand our offering of responsibly sourced and energy efficient products. You will see that across each pillar, we have set a series of goals and targets. In the environmental pillar, we intend to set science-based targets this year. I look forward to updating on our progress as we implement our new responsible business strategy. So in summary, 2021 was a memorable and successful year for Wix and we have a clear strategy to drive future growth and deliver shareholder returns. Our highly distinctive business model is a source of competitive advantage and we have exciting plans to increase investment and accelerate our proven growth levers. We are confident that the combination of these factors will ensure we continue to outperform the market. The investment in our growth levers will deliver attractive returns and generate additional cash. And we have established a new capital structure framework which facilitates these plans and at the same time allows scope for future return to shareholders. Thank you for listening. Julie and I will be very happy to answer any questions you may have.

speaker
Host
Conference Host

Thank you, sir. If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. We will now take our first question from David O'Brien from Goodbody. Please go ahead.

speaker
David O'Brien
Analyst at Goodbody

Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. A few, please. But firstly, if we start on core, I'm just wondering, could you give us a sense of how the basket size has evolved into the second half and maybe into Q122? And then maybe, you know, the business has undergone quite a lot of growth over the last couple of years. How does that split between trade and DIY look now? And I guess similar to a lot of businesses in this space, we are seeing a normalization of volumes and trade patterns. Has that impacted the competitive dynamics materially in the latter part of the year and early part of 2022? And then finally, if I could, David, you spoke about installation capability when you were talking about the long-term opportunity around energy efficiency, are you exploring the potential to maybe give a retrofitting opportunity in the market or a retrofitting solution to customers, which clearly would be quite topical?

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

I think I got all that. Audibility was a bit challenging there, wasn't it?

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I think the third question, I still got to hit on that.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Could you just repeat the third part of that, please? Sorry. I got the core basket, sorry. It was the third bit. We're struggling with audibility.

speaker
David O'Brien
Analyst at Goodbody

Sorry. Just on the last point, I guess you spoke about your installation capability in the context of the longer term energy efficiency trend. Are you exploring opportunities around engaging with installers on retrofitting solutions for customers longer term?

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Well, let me just talk to Core, and I'll probably answer that through the context of how we see our business through a multi-channel lens. We are seeing the basket size evolve. Typically, a basket size for a walk-in customer would have been around about £25, and I think that value is very common across a number of retail sectors. It is in the higher 20s now. As we look across to Click and Collect, that is in the lower 40s now in terms of where that basket is. And when you move out to home delivery, you're much more in this sort of like the £130 and above. So we are seeing average order value increase, and we still see that profile across the multi-channel business where the strategic value of that customer increases the more different channels that they use and engage with the business. In the round, we normally describe our business as very uniquely balanced in terms of like a third do it for me, a third local trade, and a third DIY. I think it's fair to say at the moment, in terms of that shape of that core performance, we're definitely seeing a bias towards trade at this moment in time. I mean, our trade business is in really good health at the moment. As you heard, it grew 39% last year. We're seeing really strong engagement and sign-ups this year, and that rate of engagement is really stepping up. So I think within that mix, we can see DIY starting to come off its COVID heights and normalise a little bit more, but trade is the real strength in terms of the performer within that overall core business. I mean, we're still encouraged by DIY because we have one of the legacies of DIY is a new younger audience of DIYers and they still talk confidently about wanting to do more DIY in the future. But to the direct question, trade is definitely more buoyant. Installations capability, look, it's a super question and something that's definitely on our radar. I've always said and continue to say actually that a vision for this business is that you step over a door we've fitted onto a floor we've fitted into a kitchen we have out through the bifolds into a garden we've landscaped. I think our ambition and our glide path over time, not overnight, will still be very much that way. I think helping customers retrofit their properties to be more energy efficient absolutely has to feature on that glide path.

speaker
David O'Brien
Analyst at Goodbody

That's great. Thanks very much.

speaker
Host
Conference Host

We will now take our next question from Amigala from Citigroup. Please go ahead.

speaker
Amigala
Analyst at Citigroup

Thank you. Just a few questions for me. The first one was really on consumer behavior on the back of the inflation that we have seen. Has there been any material shift in their buying patterns? Have you seen any element of them trading down to, say, lower price substitutes? A second one around that is, can you give us some color in terms of your own label of products within the sort of core segment, the percentage of own label there. And the second one I had was really on the capacity as you grow your business in terms of warehousing capacity. Can you give us some color as to what sort of level, what sort of headroom do you have and where the further investments are needed in that respect? Thank you.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

Shall I pick up the first one in terms of the human behaviour point? Certainly so far this year, we've not seen any market change in terms of human behaviour in response to perhaps inflationary pressure, etc. What we're confident about in terms of our business is we continue to offer a very competitive price position in the market. We continue to do that, but we've not seen any significant change in consumer buying trends at this stage. Perhaps a little early, but certainly no change to date.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

And just to pick up on the label point, I mean, one of the towering strengths of the Wix business is its own label penetration. So around about two thirds of our sales are our own brands. Historically, until only recent years, you know, we were 100% own brand business. So over the last half a century, we've built all of that sort of like credibility and quality and understanding of the Wix own brand. So, you know, in inflationary times, it does offer the broader market a great entry-level at a great price that is really well trusted I mean it's you know our traders are very happy to walk over a customer's door holding a pot of wicks paint you know they've grown up using it for the last half a century so it's a it's a very strong proposition a super value and I think capacity in terms of in terms of distribution we're very well placed to flex the capacity we have to suit the growing needs of the business

speaker
Amigala
Analyst at Citigroup

Thank you.

speaker
Host
Conference Host

We're going to take our next question from Kate Galvert from Investec. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kate Galvert
Analyst at Investec

Good morning, everyone. Good morning. Just three from me. Good morning. The first is on stock levels. I think I heard rightly that you said that your stock levels were back above historic levels. Did I hear correctly? And also, are there any sort of key areas where you have issues still? And where are you on lead times with supplies? Are they still very extended? My second question is on inflation and your thoughts on the inflation outlook over the next year. And my final question is on TradePro. You said you're looking to increase the appeal. Can you give a little bit more detail on some of your plans? I think you mentioned targeted events, but if you could elaborate a little further, I'd appreciate that. Thank you.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

I'll take stock levels and inflation. So in terms of stock levels, clearly we've built stock quite considerably year on year. There are three elements to that. One is very much inflation-driven, so inflation is flowing through into that stock position, as you might expect. Timber is one of the key areas for us. It's a large part of our business which is driving that. The second is a recovery of stock levels following COVID disruption. So we ended the year in 2020 at relatively low levels of stock and we sought to recover that position as we've moved through 2021. And then the third point really is recognising there is still a level of disruption potentially in the market. We've sought to protect our stock position by rebuilding and assuring availability in some areas. There are no particular challenges in terms of stock availability. Certainly we've returned very much to more normalised levels of availability, and that is assured through our strong stock position, our curated range, the strong relationship we have with our suppliers, very much so. And just to emphasise on stock, our stock turn despite that build still sits at a very strong 5.1 times. So that's very strong and that has built over the last and improved over the last few years. In terms of inflation outlook, I think it's fair to say, as we know, inflation accelerated in the second half of last year. Perhaps a few months back, we may have thought that was going to be transitory from where we sit today. That seems to be certainly a lot stickier and is likely to pervade over the course of 2022. So we're very watchful of inflation. We monitor that closely and our approach in terms of feeding that through into pricing, providing we can maintain that competitive price position very much still holds. And we're managing that through our cost base by making sure we have an absolute and continued focus on driving productivity.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Julie. And Kate, just coming back on the TradePro question, I mean, at the moment, the TradePro app is a phenomenal tool in the traders' kit. They can see stock. They can order what they need. And as I said earlier, we literally pick it, pack it, and put it in their van, all at a 10% discount when they drive past. But we want to build out that indispensability of the TradePro app for the TradePro customer. One of the things we'll be putting more promotional activity through the app. More of that being very personalized to the individual, because we can now see through our data the nature of the products that matter most to people at an individual level, rather than just cohorts of traders. So we will add value by providing value on the things that that customer values most in our business. And the other thing we're planning to do is work with other partners to put increased functionality into the TradePro app. That might be, you know, tool insurance, van insurance. So, you know, other extended services through partnerships to build out the TradePro proposition.

speaker
Kate Galvert
Analyst at Investec

Great, thanks very much.

speaker
Host
Conference Host

We will now take our next question from Adam Cochran from Deutsche Bank.

speaker
Adam Cochran
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Please go ahead. A couple of questions, if I may. So firstly, on new stores, it's nice to see some growth in the store base. Can you just run through things like what's changed your mind on the fact that you can now open up new stores? What's it like in terms of availability with the rental environment that we're in? Has it just become more attractive to open up new stores? Secondly, on trade, you talked about the 1 million target from the current 600,000 or so. Of the total trade market, what proportion is 1 million, to try and put it in some context? And with trade, as well as increasing the number of trades people that you are dealing with. Do you have an idea of how much of their share of wallet you are getting and how much more you could access from your existing customers? And then the final question on, thanks for the detail on the market size and where it's heading towards over the next few years. Can you just give us a bit on how you see Wix's performance against that sort of market growth towards 30 billion, what proportion of that Wix might realistically be able to address? Thanks.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Super. Thank you, Adam. I'll try to take most of those, actually, Julie, and then you can add as we go. Look, it's a great question on new stores. I mean, our approach on property, and it does remain so, by the way, has always been about quality over quantity in the first instance. And new stores did feature in our thinking, but just not at the scale that we're thinking about now. And why? One, we are an independent business. So we've got much better line of sight of the cash that we can invest specifically behind what we think are very positive growth levers. Two, we have now really demonstrated to ourselves the consistent outperformance that this uniquely balanced model brings to the marketplace. It's very digital business. It's very service-enabled business. And I think it's fair to say, Adam, we may have been a little bit defensive in recent years. But now what we see, given how we're attracting customers from all of our competitors, I think we can be a little bolder in terms of where we actually start to lay down our footprint. So that's really what gets us to this 20 new stores sort of thing. So taking our store network probably closer to around about 245, 250 over time. Yes, the trade target. So we're targeting 1 million, and how does that fit into the trade universe? It's a great question. One I will struggle to answer, because you get varying levels of data as to how many registered traders there really are in the marketplace. But normally you hear of numbers around the 2, the 2 and 1 half million mark in terms of the number of traders. So we would be going for sort of like 50% plus penetration of that sector, which, by the way, I do not think is unreasonable in terms of our opportunity to achieve. And share of wallet is similar. I mean, we can see the average spend that a trader delivers with us. We recognize that traders do shop around. That's definitely a habit of a trader, and I'm sure you've heard that before back from the market. What we believe in our proposition now is that it's much more sticky and through our ability to personalize that we can start to attract more of that wallet. So our ambition is that we do drive loyalty and build out a much bigger loyalty platform with those trade customers. Market size, I guess if I look forward over probably a four or five year horizon, as we showed in the chart, the season market getting close to sort of like 29, maybe 30 billion pounds. For our business, the market grows two to 3%. we can continue to outperform that market growth by around the 1.5% to 3% mark, would see us as a £2 billion business over that time horizon. Beyond that, I can see this as a 2.5%. billion-pound business. I'm talking longer term. If I think through what is our 4C model, our 4C service model, an average store in Wix at the moment probably delivers around 7 million. My ambition is that an average store over time, long term, gets closer to 10 million. And the way that we think about that when we think through our 4C service model is we have self-serve, we have the do it for me in the showroom business, we have home fulfillment, and then we have our online in-store assisted selling business, is we think about it as four, three, two, one. 4 million through self-serve, 3 million through showroom, 2 million through home delivery and click and collect, and 1 million through digitally enabled online in-store sales. So that's how we think about the shape of our service proposition, hitting an average of 10 million in the long term that could see this business, if it had 250 stores, achieving that on average would be 2.5 billion. But in the four to five year horizon, I think 2 billion for this business within that market would be a good assessment.

speaker
Adam Cochran
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Great, thank you.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

That was quite a long response, wasn't it? Apologies, Adam.

speaker
Adam Cochran
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Thank you.

speaker
Host
Conference Host

We will now take our next question from Tony Shreet from Panmure Gordon. Please go ahead.

speaker
Tony Shreet
Analyst at Panmure Gordon

Morning. Congratulations on the numbers. Three questions, please. Just a simple one to start with. I just wondered what you regard the drive time for a trade person to a WIC store is on average. Second question, I wonder if you give some insight into the capital cost of a refit and the capital cost of a new store in your plans. And lastly, on the IT separation, I just wondered what's been done and what's still to be done. And whether over the course of what's been done so far, you know, you've learned stuff that you can change your plan. Just seem to get some feedback there.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I'll take drive time. That's a great question. It's not something that we analyse, but I think we could draw a conclusion that most traders will want to be reasonably close to the location of the place that they're working. Obviously, the great thing about our business is because it is fully integrated and fully multi-channel, a trader can sit at home you know, in London and he might be driving to Bognor to do some work, but he can sit at home in London and order everything out of the Bognor store. And as he drives past to that destination, as I say, we will pick it, pack it and get it into his van. But I don't have the exact detail in terms of what the drive time is, but in terms of how we observe and understand our traders in terms of using our stores, you know, that ability for us to engage with them digitally is really helpful.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

Shall I pick up the capital cost point? So in terms of refits and new stores, we're looking at just ahead of a million pounds a store. New stores is a little more difficult to pin down. It very much depends on the location and the work we've got to do to put that new store in place. But there's actually not a significant difference in terms of the traditional classification of capex in terms of refits or new stores. IT separation, do you want me to pick that one up too? Yeah, IT separation. So this is clearly a large program with a significant investment to separate activity from TP. There are multiple work streams, all of which are in progress and making good progress. In terms of learning, it's difficult to say at the moment we're working our way through the programme and a number of those programmes are expected to go live over the course of 2022. But certainly we're taking the opportunity as part of that transition to improve the way we work And certainly as part of the work done so far, we can see lots of opportunities to improve as we move forward. So quite a significant level of progress to date, but still some way to go. And a number of those programs certainly landing in 2022.

speaker
Tony Shreet
Analyst at Panmure Gordon

The first question, do you sort of deploy TAM sort of methods like graph gravity modelling and stuff like that in terms of catchment, in terms of determining whether you've got enough stores, too many stores, et cetera, in a catchment.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Sorry. Apologies. Once again, the audibility was a little challenging there. Is it possible just to repeat the question?

speaker
Tony Shreet
Analyst at Panmure Gordon

Yeah, sure. It's okay. I'll take it offline. Thanks. Super. Thank you. Okay.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Host
Conference Host

We will now take our next question from Tom Davis from Brunberg. Please go ahead.

speaker
Tom Davis
Analyst at Brunberg

Just two questions from me. Firstly, just in the Do It For Me market, I mean, what are you seeing the competitive environment being like in DIFM at the moment? Are peers struggling to find installers given labour market tightness? And can you give an insight into the market share gains within that channel? And then secondly, in terms of gross margins, Can you just give us a split in terms of the gross margin impact from customer mix and what your expectations are for gross margins in the coming year, given lower gross margin channels will likely outperform? Thanks.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

I'll take one and two. The do it for me market, it's really hard sometimes to get your handle on this because it's so highly fragmented. Of course, there are some obvious players in there that tend to be very category focused. Rem may be focused on Kitchens, for example. But it is a very fragmented market. When it comes to our installer network, the thing I can say very confidently is we are doing a super job in terms of recruiting quality installers into our business. As I said earlier, we've grown that count by 700 in the last year. There's a reason we do that, and we do have a very distinctive proposition in this market. Not only are we the only people that don't just do kitchens, we do bathrooms, we do home office, we do other projects as well. But we really just remove all of the negative side of what an installer or a tradesman has to worry about in the way that they work with us. And what I mean by that is we secure the leads, we do all the design, we provide all of the products, we provide all the guarantees and assurances. All they have to do is turn up and do the job, which means they love working with us because it plays to the essence of what a tradesperson wants, which is, can you save me time and can you save me money? And our model does that spectacularly. And I just think we're very unique in the way that we're set up in terms of our installer skill and capability. But the attractiveness to installers to come and work for us is such that it's just enabling us to grow our business. We have a strong pipeline. We can guarantee them work. We have great quality and service credentials. So they enjoy working with us. It's very hard for me to comment on competitors in terms of any challenges they may have in this area. And likewise, that does translate to share, really. It is such a fragmented market. It's not one that you can readily get share on. But what we can see and what we have articulated this morning is that we will be growing our Do It For Me business back to above 2019 levels as we move through 2022. The size of our order book is more than double than it was just a year ago. So we're in really good shape. We've got a great team to get after and start installing and converting that order book to sales.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

OK, in terms of gross margins, so for 2021, the gross margin moved down by 80 basis points. Of that, about 2 thirds of that is influenced by the impact of inflation and our broad approach that passes through the cash cost of inflation into pricing rather than seeking to maintain a margin recovery. So about 2 thirds of that would be inflation driven. with the balance influence from mix. So the strong resurgence in local trade in the second half in particular. And if I look through the lens of Do It For Me, actually bathroom participation grew particularly strongly in 2021. If we look to the future in terms of margin expectation, certainly, as we've already mentioned, the impact of inflation is going to continue, and our approach in terms of passing that through is unlikely to change as we protect that value-driven position. And given the trend around strong growth in local trade combined with the recovery of Do It For Me sales back to being in a position ahead of 400 million of sales, again, both of those would have a dilutionary impact from a profit margin point of view, but of course are supporting that top level line growth. So further moderation in margin is what we would expect in 2022. Super. Thank you, Julie.

speaker
Tony Shreet
Analyst at Panmure Gordon

Thanks a lot. Thank you.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Host
Conference Host

We will now take our next question from Clyde Lewis from Peel Hunt. Please go ahead.

speaker
Clyde Lewis
Analyst at Peel Hunt

Good morning, both. I've got three, if I may. One, I think, probably for you, David, on sort of the refit program. And very interesting to hear the difference between the branches that have been refitted and those that haven't in terms of sort of sales per square foot. How would the old refits versus the new refits have sort of varied? What sort of gap are you seeing there? Because presumably you've got better and smarter at sort of the refits as you've gone through. The second one was on the COVID costs. I think, Julie, you flagged a, I think it was a 3 million benefit in 2021 in terms of sort of lower costs. Will there be another dropout, do you think, in the current year on the COVID cost impact? And the last one was really around, I suppose, marketing spend. Obviously, it should be a slightly more normal this year, but who knows? But I'm just wondering what sort of

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

change do you think you'll see in terms of marketing spend uh for uh for the business this year okay thanks clive i mean interestingly the the the number we quote is in terms of sales for square foot is the aggregated number for all of stores refitted so it is from the it is from the 151 so it includes some of the older refits as as as well as the newer There's not a massive delineation between the two because we do take the opportunity to refresh old refitted stores as well. One of the good examples, Clive, would be us going back to some of the older refitted stores and refreshing them for fulfillment capability, given the size of the growth of click and collect and home delivery. So we get to still drive that efficiency in sales per square foot by really making the 4C model come to life. The real difference does rely, you know, is between a heritage store and a refit store because of our refresh capability as well that we push through the network.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

In terms of sales per square foot, just picking up that point, so we report now sales per square foot on heritage versus refit stores. They're around 30% ahead on average, and that includes the refit stores, whether old or new. And if anything, we're seeing enhanced performance from the more recent refits as we move through the program. Just moving on to COVID costs. So COVID costs, we've indicated a dropout of around £3 million for 2021. That dropout will be similar in magnitude in 2022. What I will say on COVID costs, though, is there was some investment we made, particularly in cleaning, that we're not yet stepping away from and probably is unlikely to happen in the short term. given the backdrop of ongoing COVID activity, as it were. So probably a further 2 to 3 million dropout in 2022. Worth bearing in mind, though, we've also got the full year impact of PLC costs, which is going to be of a similar order in 2022, which offsets that benefit. On marketing?

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, and on marketing spend, Clive, I mean, there's no material changes, really, in terms of our thinking as we look forward. Of course, you've just seen our new TV ad that we've just launched, but we're very efficient in how we go to market. We use all channels, obviously, from broadcast right the way through to personalised digital channels, but the overarching spend doesn't actually move on at all, really, in the budget this year. Of course, we manage it to sharp returns, but it's pretty much a flat play. Thanks very much.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Host
Conference Host

We will now take our next question from Sam Collins from Peelhaunt. Please go ahead.

speaker
Sam Collins
Analyst at Peel Hunt

Hi, both. I've got four actually, but hopefully they're all pretty brief actually. So in terms, I think you have a pricing number for the group. Are you able to give a pricing number between the two divisions, the FM and core for last year and also what you might expect kind of this year given current inflation rates? That's the first one. The second one is on attracting the installer base, do you find it easier in a hotter installation market to attract installers or more difficult? The third one is, on what should we think about the kind of maturity curve for the new stores as they start to come on in 2023? And is there any kind of incremental working capital impact from those as you kind of stock them up? And then the last one is coming back on marketing. Is it kind of fair to say that you're continuing to kind of tilt marketing spend away from the trade and more towards the consumer, given the advertisement you've just shown us that's going out today at quarter past nine or whatever it is? is quite a different message to one we might have seen seven or 10 years ago. When you were kind of back in there, Wix has got our name on it, type of marketing and sponsoring talk sport and what have you. Is that a fair comment? Are you kind of pushing more kind of towards the consumer who will then engage the tradesman rather than pushing to the tradesman?

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you for those. I didn't quite catch the first question.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

I think where Sam was going on the first question was, do we look through the lens of inflation through effectively the verticals of the business, which is not something we really talk about externally, to be fair.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

No, absolutely. So when we talk about inflation, we're talking about the business as a whole primarily.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, we don't segment it in that way, Sam. Installation-based, I guess whether the market's hot or not, we do a very good and consistent and successful recruitment in terms of installers into the business. I just have to emphasize the 700 new installer teams coming to our business, and that will account for around about probably I don't know, we're probably up to about 13,000 or 14,000 guys and girls that we're working in those teams. Because obviously, an installer team is not one person. It'll have a joiner, a plumber, an electrician, and so forth in those teams, a plumber. I think our proposition is winning in the market for installers. We're very easy to work with. We've got a strong pipeline of work. We let them get on with what they do best, which is fit the stuff, and we do everything else around this end-to-end. We manage the whole process. And most importantly, it's our guarantee that goes on that work at the end of it for the customer.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

Shall I pick up the maturity cards?

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, you can, and then I'll dive into marketing.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

So we work on a model of a five-year maturity curve for new stores. Clearly, we haven't opened an awful lot of new stores in recent years, so it'll be interesting to see how that evolves. If you want my view on that, I think... Our brand visibility and digital capability perhaps means that that maturity curve might be accelerated against that backdrop. We'll just have to see. But we work in a model of five years, which is fairly typical, I think, at the moment.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, and marketing, look, I think that's a really super question. And I probably forgot to mention that this year is our 50th year in the UK. And what comes with 50 years in the UK, as you'll know, Sam, we were a very trade and product-centric business for most of that half century. So the residual understanding that we have in a trader's mind about what WIC stands for for them in terms of quality, availability, convenience, and the growth that you see through our TradePro scheme gives me confidence that we're really communicating well with our trade customers. The opportunity for our business, of course, is to continue to broaden our church in terms of appeal for customer pays, particularly through the Do It For Me market, particularly through sort of like DIY as well. which is why we are you know we are broadening the nature of our communication the the advertising you store today is a classic big brand emotional ad um just talking to our core purpose that we're here to help you feel house proud and it had all elements of the uh of the mix in it but we are looking to appeal to a more female audience as well um you know still so like 70 of our shoppers are male only getting towards 30 are female at the moment so there's more to go there and we we just launched actually last evening a partnership with um kimberly walsh who i think these ex-girls are out actually um but you know she really appeals has big followership of 25 years plus female she's a big diy so we're you know we're launching a load of content with kimberly to continue to use technology and digital and broaden our appeal to a bigger customer base.

speaker
Sam Collins
Analyst at Peel Hunt

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Host
Conference Host

There are no further questions, so I would now like to turn the conference back to Mr Wood, Chief Executive, for any additional or closing remarks.

speaker
David Wood
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you very much. Well, firstly, thank you, everybody, for joining us this morning. We really appreciate it. And as I said earlier, look, it's been a great year, 2021, a really successful year, another year of growth. We really believe in this distinctive business model we have, that it provides us a constant source of competitive advantage. And as such, we're going to increase our investment in our growth levers to continue to outperform the market in the out years. We have now established a new capital structure and framework, and of course that facilitates these plans, but at the same time, and importantly, gives us an opportunity to provide future returns to shareholders. So once again, thank you for listening, and no doubt we'll come across most of you in the coming days. Take care.

speaker
Julie Worth
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-