Airbnb, Inc.

Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call

11/7/2024

spk09: Good afternoon and welcome to Airbnb's third quarter of 2024 earnings call. Thank you for joining us today. On the call today, we have Airbnb's co-founder and CEO, Brian Chesky, and our Chief Financial Officer, Ali Mertz. Earlier today, we issued a shareholder letter with our financial results and commentary for our third quarter of 2024. These items were also posted on the best of relations section of Airbnb's website. During the call, we made brief opening remarks and then spent the remainder of time on Q&A. Before I turn it over to Brian, I would like to remind everyone that we will be making forward-looking statements on this call that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors. These factors are described under forward-looking statements in our shareholder letter and are in our most recent fileings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We urge you to consider these factors and remind you that we undertake no obligation to update information contained on this call to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. You should be aware that these statements should be considered estimates only and are not a guarantee of future performance. Also, during this call, we will discuss some non-GAAP financial measures. We've provided reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures in the shareholder letter posted to our investor relations website. These non-GAAP measures are not intended to be a substitute for our GAAP results. With that, I'll pass the call to Brian.
spk03: All right, good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining. Airbnb had a strong third quarter. Nights and experiences both accelerated throughout Q3 and into Q4. Despite a slower start to the quarter due to shorter booking lead times compared to last year, bookings grew steadily each month and returned to double-digit growth by the end of Q3. We had 123 million nights and experiences booked. Revenue grew 10% -over-year to $3.7 billion. Net income was $1.4 billion, representing the income margin of 37%. And we generated $1.1 billion of free cash flow. In fact, our total trailing 12-month free cash flow was $4.1 billion, which allowed us to repurchase $1.1 billion per shares in the quarter. And as of the end of Q3, we had $4.2 billion remaining on our repurchase authorization. Now, during Q3, we continue to make progress across our three strategic initiatives, which are making hosting mainstream, perfecting our core service, and expanding beyond the core. Now I'm gonna share a few highlights about each. First, we're making hosting mainstream. We are focused on making hosting just as popular as traveling on Airbnb. Today, we have over 8 million active listings with growth across all regions and market types. To retain and track new hosts, we prioritize making hosting easier. Last month, as part of our 2024 winter release, we introduced Co-host Network, an easy way to find the best local hosts to manage your Airbnb. Co-hosts are some of our most experienced hosts. They provide personalized support ranging from listing setup to managing bookings and communicating with guests. Second, we're perfecting our core service. Over the past three years, we've launched more than 535 new features and upgrades to make Airbnb a better service. Our 2024 winter release included over 50 upgrades for guests that make Airbnb a more intuitive and personalized app. This includes features like recommended destinations, suggested search filters, and personalized listing highlights. We're also focused on one of the top issues for guests, listing quality. Since last year, we've removed over 300,000 listings that failed to meet guest expectations, and will continue to invest in improving the quality of guest space. Finally, we're expanding the Intercor. Outside of our core markets, there are many countries and regions that remain under-penetrated, and we're focused on these expansion markets as part of a global market strategy, and we're seeing great results. In Q3, the growth rate of NiceBook and our expansion markets is more than double that of our core markets. Now, in addition to driving growth in our expansion markets, we're also preparing for an Airbnb's next chapter, which will take us beyond accommodations, and you'll see more about this next year. We also saw a number of positive business highlights in Q3.
spk07: First,
spk03: guest demand accelerated throughout the quarter. As I mentioned earlier, after a slower starting July, bookings accelerated each month in Q3. Global lead times also normalized throughout the quarter. Now, part of this growth has been driven by our app strategy. NiceBooked on our app increased 18% -over-year in Q3. App bookings now account for 58% of NiceBooked. Now, this is up for 53% in the same period last year. And we also saw continued growth of first-time bookers, which is the highest growth among young travelers. This is quite exciting. And I'm really excited to share that we recently surpassed two billion guest arrivals on Airbnb. Second, our market strategy, our global market strategy is working. We continue to drive growth by investing in under-penetrated markets. While our timing and investment level will vary by market, our strategy is consistent to make Airbnb local and relevant in more places around the world. Now, in each market, we focus on finding product market fit, increasing brand awareness, and driving traffic. And I wanna just use one country as an example, which is Japan. Airbnb is still pretty new in Japan, and it's pretty unfamiliar to most Japanese travelers. So to raise awareness, we launched a brand campaign last month that's centered on domestic travel. Beyond Japan, though, we are also introducing more local payment options in countries around the world, like Vietnam, Denmark, and Poland. And in fact, by spring of next year, we expect to offer nearly 40 local payment methods around the world. Now, finally, supply quality is improving on Airbnb. We are focused on removing low-quality supply, as well as making it easier for guests to find the best places to stay. I shared that we removed over 300,000 listings last year, and we're already seeing this payoff. Customer service contact rates have decreased, guest MPS has improved, and we're also reducing host cancellations, which are now almost 30% lower than a year ago. And we've made it so much easier for guests to find the best place to stay with guest favorites. In fact, since launching guest favorites a year ago, last November, over 200 million nights have been booked at guest favorite listings. All right, next, I wanna share briefly some highlights from our 2024 winter release, which was last month on October 16th, starting with the Co-host Network. We know that hosting Airbnb is one of the best ways to make money for your home, but not everyone has the time to host. So that's why we introduced Co-host Network, an easy way for people to find and hire the best local co-hosts to manage their Airbnb. Co-hosts offer personalized support for host needs, everything from setting up your listing, to manage your bookings, and communicating with guests. These are super experienced hosts with an exceptional track record. 73% are super hosts, and 84% manage a guest favorite. Now, when we announced this on October 16th, we launched the Co-host Network with 10,000 co-hosts across 10 countries. And in the three weeks since we launched, we've already received interest from over 20,000 potential new co-hosts. This is huge, this is way bigger than we were expecting. By making hosting easier, we really believe that Co-host Network will allow us to lock even more high quality supply. And we also introduced 50 upgrades for guests that make Airbnb a more intuitive and personalized app. And some of the features include a personalized welcome tour of the app for first time guests, suggested destinations when guests tap the search bar, we'll recommend locations on their search and booking history, and personalized listing highlights. So when a guest views the listing, we will highlight the details that are relevant to their search. And there are dozens of new features just like these. This is quite literally the beginning of a more personalized Airbnb. Now, turning to Q4, last quarter, we talked about shorter booking lead times. But as I shared, Knights and Experiences booked accelerated throughout the quarter, returning to double digit growth by the end of Q3. While we know the comps from last year will get harder in the back of the quarter, we are anticipating that Knights booked will accelerate in Q4 relative to Q3. So with that, Ellie and I look forward to answering your questions.
spk13: At this time, I'd like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star as in the number one on your telephone keypad. Our first question comes from the line of Richard Clark with Bernstein. Your line is open.
spk10: Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. Just a question on supply. It looks like you've stopped sort of giving us the year on year supply growth, I guess because of the removal. So just any color on what's happening to maybe gross supply growth and whether the removals you're doing and additions you're doing and seeing any meaningful shift towards professional hosts as you go through that process or co-listed supply. And then maybe any color on whether this co-hosting is unlocking supply yet. You talked about adding co-hosts, but are you getting additional supply due to the co-hosting initiative?
spk11: Yeah, thanks Richard. Let me talk a little bit about what we've seen on supply. As you've probably noted, our initiatives around supply have really morphed over the last 12 months. We continue to focus on growing our overall supply base, but we incrementally are focused on making sure that we are delivering very high quality levels of supply across the world to our guests. And the two important features that we've done to drive quality are obviously introduction of guest favorites a year ago. And then second, the removals that you called out over the last 12 months. And the interesting thing is we've seen what we've hoped to have seen from these quality initiatives. In particular, what we see is that based on encouraging our guests to use guest favorites and taking down those listings that we believe do not meet our quality expectations or those of our guests, what we see is that the average rating of our stays goes up, the incident rates go down and customer service contacts go down as well. So we're seeing the intended impact of those quality efforts, which we believe one improves the guest experience. Second allows for improvements of rebooking rates over time and third more broadly increases booking confidence around Airbnb. So the specific question in terms of what has happened to supply growth, it continues to be strong. And in Q3, we continue to see supply growth exceed demand by a couple of points. So it continues to be very healthy, but again, the focus more recently has been on incrementally raising the quality bar on Airbnb, not just adding more supply to the platform. Brian, do you wanna talk about co-hosting or would you like me to take that as well?
spk03: Yeah, I can take that. Well, Rich, this is a great question. You know, Airbnb, I think we're just scratching the surface of how big this company could become. And the growth rate of demand is gonna fall probably in line with the growth rate of supply. And so one of the questions we had was, well, how do we get millions more listings in Airbnb? And how do we not just get millions of property managed listings? How do we get millions of regular everyday people to put their homes in Airbnb? Well, we've been doing obviously a lot of research and we've asked people, you know, and we learned two things. The first thing we learned is that people are very interested in making extra money in the home they already have. It makes sense, they pay for this asset, they can make tens of thousands of dollars a year. Why wouldn't you wanna put on Airbnb? But the second thing we learned was that the number and reason people don't host is because a lot of people say they don't have the time. And so that's why we asked ourselves, so what if we get matched people with homes that don't have time, with people that have extra time but don't have homes? The Venn diagram would potentially unlock millions more listings. And the best part of all was this would be an alternative to some of the third party property management companies if you wanna have one of the best hosts in Airbnb. And the average five star rating for co-hosts in Airbnb is significantly higher than the average rating of a third party property manager. So that's what we did with the co-host network. Now we started with 10,000 co-hosts, we have 20,000 people that applied in the three weeks since. And this is gonna be something that we're gonna be focusing on in the coming years to come. But to answer your question very directly, Richard, not only would this unlock more supply, I think in the coming years, this can unlock millions of listings. I think that the vast majority of them are gonna be everyday people that
spk12: are gonna list exclusively on Airbnb. Thanks, thanks very much.
spk13: And your next question comes from the line of Mark Mahaney with Evercore ISI, your line is open.
spk02: Hey, thanks, two questions please. You talked about this acceleration or improvement in room nights as you kind of went through the quarter. Did that come from any particular geographic areas? We'd heard that Europe was one, a market that was recovering maybe faster than others. Was that your experience as well? And then just back on the co-hosting experience, you've had this out in a series of markets for a while. How long do we see materiality come through it? Like have you seen these in relatively small markets where you've rolled it out? Has it become material to the growth rate in those markets already in a six to 12 month period? Or is this more of like a 12 to 24 month process? Thank you.
spk11: Thanks, Mark, let me first answer your first question with regard to the acceleration of the business. What we shared in the letter was that, if you rewind to where we were back at the time of the last earnings call, we called out that there was a bit of softness globally related to lead times. Specifically, what we shared was that we were seeing continued strength of last minute bookings, but relative softness in terms of the longer lead times. And what we saw over the course of the quarter, specific to both the regions that you call out, but globally was that lead times over the course of July, August, and September normalized and came back almost in line to where we were in 23. I think you saw that most notably in EMEA. And I think probably some of the long lead time softness that we were seeing in EMEA was certainly related to some distraction around the Olympics because we certainly saw the booking pickup after the Olympics passed, but more broadly, that acceleration was seen across all four major regions. And then on the co-hosting, Brian gave you, I think, a broad answer in terms of the expectations there. One of the reasons that we had confidence in terms of launching the co-host network more broadly is the pilots that we've had over the last several years, in particular in France, what we've seen is that the co-host themselves are very incremental in terms of going out and attracting high quality listings themselves. Obviously, it will take time for us to scale co-hosting to a level that is meaningful relative to the scale of our current business. But what we've seen from those pilots is extremely encouraging and we'll continue to build up the network from here on.
spk13: And your next question is gonna come from the line of Brian Nowak with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
spk03: Thanks for taking my questions. I have two, excuse me. The first one, I think the four Q EVITA guides are implies a margin somewhere in the 20s, around 27, 28%. Is there any sort of timing factors you call out that are sort of driving the margin down to that level? And then how do we sort of think about philosophically the levels of investment and sort of the philosophy around investment and margins into next year to sort of go off this 27 number in the fourth quarter? Thanks.
spk11: Yeah, so Brian, talking a little bit about Q4, obviously the guide does imply a several points margin compression relative to last Q4. You should see that most specifically in terms of both the product development line item as well as marketing. In marketing, we continue to invest in a global expansion markets in our comm strategy around icons and then also performance marketing where we're seeing really great efficiencies. There's also a little bit of timing difference in terms of some spend from Q3 hitting into Q4, but in aggregate, the level of incremental marketing spend on the year of year basis is relatively modest. Your second question is, how do we think about the level of investment and philosophy around margins in 25? Let me give you a little bit of color in terms of our overall approach as we head into 2025. Obviously we will give more color in the following earnings call, but let me just talk a little bit about the approach today. So if you think about how we've been managing our P&L, I think it's important, you're certainly well aware of our history, but I think it's important to reflect on how well we've managed the overall P&L since we went public. We've been extremely disciplined in terms of delivering over 400 basis points of EBITDA margin expansion since 2020 going from negative margins in 2019 and 2020 to over 35% consistent with our outlook this year. And we've demonstrated consistently over these last several years that our business model is extremely strong, it's extremely profitable and obviously has world-class levels of cashflow generation. And over the long term, I think you can expect that there is opportunity for further margin expansion. But when you rewind to where we are right now, we've talked a lot about this, we see a huge incredible opportunity to invest in growth, both investing in growth in our core accommodations business as well as our new offerings. And so as we head into 2025, we will continue to lean into our growth initiatives around core optimizations, global markets expansions and new products and services. And so then the question is, how exactly will we be managing the P&L? I would say for the core business, our goal is every year to make the core business better and more efficient and deliver a greater value for our guests and hosts. And the way we do that is to find incremental efficiencies every year across in particular variable costs and invest some of that into greater service levels on both sides of the marketplace. In addition to that, in terms of the growth investments, in 2025, we will be investing in our existing expansion markets as well as a handful of incremental expansion markets. And we will be launching new products with our upcoming 2025 spring release. The good news about these investments is that we intend for them to be relatively capital light, consistent with our core business, but we will be adding members to our teams and spending to our marketing to support these growth levers. We'll provide greater detail on the exact level of investment and growth expectations on our next call early next year.
spk13: And your next question comes from the line of Justin Patterson with KeyBank. Your line is open.
spk04: Great, thanks for taking the question. Brian, you recently surpassed the 2 billion guest milestone and you did that next 1 billion much faster than your first 1 billion. As you look at the business today, what investments do you really need to make to attract that next billion plus guests to Airbnb? When you look at just the types of people taking trips today, what demographics do you under index on and how do you think some of these service releases can really bring that next wave of customers in? Thank you.
spk03: Justin, this is a great question. Maybe I'll just start by stepping back. It's pretty crazy that Airbnb has been used by 2 billion guests because I remember when we started Airbnb, I remember telling investors, one day this company would be huge, thousands of people will use it. And I think there's been a common pattern where we keep saying it's gonna be big and it's even bigger than we imagined. And I think the reason why is, the travel industry, as you know, you guys cover it is, it's approximately the size of the oil industry and people love traveling. And one thing I know about the future is more people are gonna travel in the past. And I think that what we created was a new category. And this is a business that is approaching half a billion nights booked a year. And so the question is, well, how do we get to a billion nights a year? Or how do we get a company to even be, order a magnitude bigger one day? Because I'm 43 years old, I started to commit as 26. And I feel like I got a couple of decades ahead of me. And so the question is, well, where do we go from here? I think that, you know, if you think about the history of this company, I think you could maybe break it up into a few chapters. The first chapter was when we had this idea, Jody and I in 2008, and we went on a really crazy hybrid growth rocket ship. And that was phase one. And then I would say the second chapter, which we're probably in now, the exiting, was the beginning of the pandemic, when we lost 80% of our business. And then we had to right size the company, become really profitable, go public, listen to customer feedback, and really strengthen the foundation for the next chapter of the company. And that's kind of the phase we're in. And I think the next chapter of Airbnb is starting next May. Because I think the next chapter is really about taking Airbnb and expanding it beyond our core business. And so I will outline three areas that are gonna allow us to grow. And let's just start with the shortest horizon and to the longest horizon. The shortest horizon is actually just our core business. Again, we're approaching 500 million room nights booked a year. I think our core business could certainly get to a billion nights a year. I'm not gonna put a time horizon on it, but the way we're gonna do that is we're gonna continue to increase quality. For everyone who stays in Airbnb, nine people stay in a hotel. The question is, what if we could just one of those other people to stay in Airbnb? That's how you get to a billion. And so we think quality, managing quality is a key part of it. I think our work on affordability and usability are also gonna be really, really critical. So we're gonna continue to focus on the core business. The next rise in our global market. A huge percent of our business is still concentrated in five countries. The US, Canada, Australia, France, UK. So those are what we call our core markets. But there were massive opportunities in emerging markets. There's nine of them that I'm focused on. In the Americas, it's Mexico and Brazil. In Europe, it's Germany, Italy, and Spain. And in Asia, it's the big four countries, which are Korea, Japan, India, and China. I think this is what I've described as a medium-term horizon. And by the way, just to zoom out for a second, if there was one company in the world that you could bet on to expand internationally, I think it would be a global travel network. So I think there's a huge amount of opportunity here. And the biggest opportunity by far is expanding beyond our core business. I'm reminded of Amazon, one of the biggest companies in the world. And they started as an online bookseller. And can you imagine if Amazon was only selling books today, how big they would become? And yet we, for the last 17 years, for the most part, have only sold one thing, which is basically vacation rentals, Airbnb homes by the night. And so I think that we have a huge opportunity to span beyond our core business of accommodations. Amazon went from books to what do they do first after books? They did CDs and DVDs and people used to buy those. And that was a very close adjacency. And eventually they sold everything and then they even sold things beyond consumers to enterprise. I think Airbnb is gonna go on its own journey. And what I expect is every year now, for the coming years, we will launch one to two new businesses that will generate a billion dollars or more of revenue incrementally a year. I'm not gonna be able to share everything we're doing or even most of the things we're doing. We'd like to reveal them during our release. But one thing that we've previewed to you was we are gonna be re-imagining Airbnb experiences. And those are gonna be coming next May. But we have some really cool other things that we're working on. And it's gonna basically be starting with the nearest adjacencies around travel. And over the next decade, we're
spk12: gonna go far beyond travel. And
spk13: your next question comes from the line of Justin Post with Bank of America. Your line is open.
spk07: Great, thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to ask about the new markets. If you could give us the expansion markets, maybe some of the biggest ones there. I know Japan's one of them. And then how big they are so we can think about the growth contribution next year. Thank you.
spk11: Yeah, Justin, let me just give you some context in terms of our overall kind of concentration of the business. So if we think about the core markets, and again, remember those are US, Canada, Australia, France, and the UK. They currently represent about three quarters of our gross booking value. And then the rest of the world is obviously a quarter. The expansion markets that we're focused on are kind of 15% approximately of the remainder. But in a normalized world should be significantly larger. So just to give you a sense in terms of kind of the success that we've had that encourage us is to keep going down this path and adding more expansion markets. I just call it actually Brazil because it was one of our first expansion markets that we began to focus on about two years ago. We introduced localized brand campaigns. We localized the products. We provided incremental payment methods to make it more locally relevant. And if we look at the success of that specific market, what you would see is that Brazil from a destination nights perspective is actually about three times as large as it was pre-pandemic. And you can see just like paying attention to a particular market, deploying our full funnel marketing strategy, being very thoughtful about product market fit allows us to scale these currently smaller portions of our business to over time, significantly larger proportion. On the other end of the spectrum, I would highlight Japan, which we obviously called out in our shareholder letter given the recency of the launch of our brand campaign there. That's obviously a significantly large market, but we are relatively new in the eyes of Japanese travelers. And so a big opportunity to really introduce ourselves to the local traveler, have them understand the opportunity locally to use Airbnb domestically and begin to scale that business commensurately. And so when you think about the scale of these markets where we are today, Brian and I characterize this as a medium term opportunity because the immediate opportunity is large, but it will take time for us to scale these individual markets such that they have an increasing impact in terms of our consolidated global results given the relative
spk12: concentration today.
spk13: And your next question comes in a line of Lee Horowitz with Doce Bank, your line is open.
spk15: Great, thanks so much. A couple of, if I could, maybe, your online travel peers have given color that's what they think their long-term bookings growth out of though looks like. I mean, I guess, given your leverage alternative accommodations, the presumptions that you guys should be able to grow faster, can you give any color maybe on sort of what you see as the long-term growth algorithm for your core business? And then what new verticals may add to that on top of that, and one follow up, if I could.
spk03: Yeah, Lee, maybe Ellie, before you answer the question, can I just say one quick thing? Lee, I don't think we do alternative accommodations. I think alternative accommodations is what our competitors OTAs do. I think alternative accommodations is a bit of a catchall that includes property managed homes, service apartments, boutique hotels, but I've never heard a customer say alternative accommodations. I hear them say Airbnb, I'm going to book an Airbnb, I'm going to get Airbnb, and I think we're really in a category of our own. So just so you know, I just think we don't refer to it and we don't think of it as alternative accommodations. But Ellie, over to you.
spk11: Yeah, thanks, Lee. So when we think about, you know, overall growth algorithm and our goal drivers, it's exactly as Brian had described earlier in terms of talking about the opportunity. It really starts with focusing on our core offering and optimizing it such that we are effectively limiting the barriers to trying Airbnb relative to alternatives and particularly hotels. And so that's why we focus so much on things like affordability and reliability, because we know, you know, for many consumers, even though they're aware of Airbnb, there is a gap in terms of their booking confidence around what they are going to get from us. And so every quarter we work at reducing that gap of consideration. And when we look at the business from that perspective, there's a huge amount of growth room ahead, even in our core markets, because we know, you know, so many consumers continue to consider themselves as, you know, hotel guests, not necessarily Airbnb guests. And so a lot of the optimizations in marketing are both raising consideration as well as, you know, helping people frankly get through our platform more easily by making it easier to book, making it more personalized and getting them the right listing. And so we continue to focus on these core optimizations because we believe it's a considerable future, current, I should say, and future growth lever that will continue to be dividends, in particular in our core markets, but more globally, more generally globally across our platform. The second component is what I just spoke about in terms of responding to Justin. Our business today is over-concentrated in our core markets and is not necessarily reflective of the commensurate business opportunity across the globe. And so over the next couple of years, you should see, you know, assuming that our goal market strategy is successful, you should see the contribution to growth of those expansion markets grow every single quarter. And I think the results that we've delivered so far this year suggest that that is working. We just need to continue to scale those businesses such that they contribute to global growth more significantly.
spk15: Great, and then, you know, to the extent that sort of you're improving 4Q outlook, the acceleration is really nice, is an output of, you know, some of the investments that you guys are putting into place, you know, driving the kind of gains that you want. Does this give you confidence to, you know, throw fuel on the fire and invest more aggressively behind those initiatives and maybe how we should think about, you know, the way that that interplay should play through in terms of margin over the longer term?
spk11: Well, I think where we've seen success, one of the areas is core optimizations. And so we have built out the product roadmap around that because where we see success in terms of improvements we've made to the booking flow, we continue to, you know, keep a stable set of resources against those challenges so that every single quarter, the product is getting better and we're delivering more gains from those product improvements.
spk13: And your next question comes in the line of James Lee with Mizuho, your line is open.
spk08: Great, thanks for taking my questions. Two questions on core initiatives here. Can you guys talk about the progress you've made in affordability and quality that's driving maybe some of the increased booking that we've seen during the quarter and also can you give us an update on your customer service transformation? Maybe what's working, what's not, what's yet to be improved and when do you expect to complete the process? Thanks.
spk03: Yeah, I got this. Hey James, these are great questions. I'm really excited about it. So I'll take each affordability, then reliability, then customer service. Affordability. You know, it's funny. The first tagline every Airbnb ever had was an affordable alternative to a hotel. And it was the number one reason that people first tried to use Airbnb. Now I think today that's not the main reason people use Airbnb. I think they use it because they wanna travel like a local, they want more space, they want homes in real neighborhoods that are equipped. But it's really, really important that we don't ever leave our roots of affordability. And I think, you know, in the pandemic, I think there was so much demand, there was constrained supply, prices went up, and I think we drifted from our affordability route. So a couple of years ago, we actually got very, very serious about driving more affordable in Airbnb. And we did a few things. The first thing we did is we heard a lot of complaints about rising cleaning fees and excessive fees in Airbnb. So we introduced total price display. Total price display is exactly what it sounds like. You can click a toggle and see the total price up front. And since we've done that, more than 300,000 listings have removed or lowered the cleaning fee. So this has been huge. Next, we introduced weekly and monthly discounts. And now more than, introduced more entry points weekly, monthly discounts. Two thirds of hosts now offer discounts. In fact, more than half of our hosts offer a monthly discount. And now 70% of our nights booked are for monthly states. We introduced a similar listings tool. So what we noticed was a lot of hosts were overestimating what they could make on a nightly basis, especially new hosts. So we built a tool for you to see other listings in your neighborhood. And 2 million hosts have used this tool. And basically when most hosts use this tool, they realize that they need to make sure they're competitive. And so it brings their prices in line. Now, over this past release on October 16th, we also added a couple more different features, like price tips. Hosts can now view suggested prices based on similar listings in their area. And search tips. So throughout the guest search, we're gonna offer relevant tips to help them find last minute stays. And probably the most important thing you can do to drive affordability is just continue to increase supply. What we know about almost every marketplace is that as supply goes up, relative demand prices come down. And so that's a really big effort for us. The results have been the following. In the last two years, while Airbnb prices on a like for like basis, if you net out mixed shift, have remained fairly constant, hotel prices have gone up considerably. So we believe that we've actually become more competitive from a affordability standpoint relative to hotels last year. That's affordability. Now reliability. Reliability, as I said, is probably the most important thing that we can do to drive more growth in our core business. If we do nearly 500 million nights a year in bookings, the question is, how do we get the next 500 million nights? And there's no silver bullet, but the closest thing to a silver bullet is quality and reliability. And there's a lot of things we're doing, quite literally dozens. But if I could just pick two, the two things I'd pick are at the top, guest favorites, highlighting the 2 million best listings in Airbnb. We also highlight the best 1%, 5%, and 10% listing. As Ellie mentioned, we've done 200 million nights booked just in guest favorites. Now this is amazing. Why is this great? Because number one, customer service contact, these listings are down, our profitability on a per booking basis goes up. MPS is up. Because MPS is up, that means that rebooking rates are up. That also means word of mouth is up. But most importantly, a lot of people that wouldn't have considered staying in Airbnb now would. I mean, I'm gonna go on a limb and say that while the average Airbnb is not as reliable as a hotel, I believe the average guest favorite is, and we have 2 million to choose from, 2 million listings is more inventory than Hilton or Marriott, nearly combined by the way. So there's a lot of selection here. At the bottom end, just like any company, you need to make sure you reward the top performers, and you also deal with the people that aren't performing. We've removed more than 300,000 listings over the last year, the last two years of hosts that weren't meeting our quality standards. So these are just some of the things we're doing on reliability. The last is customer service. And we are going through a really exciting transformation on customer service. I don't wanna be one of the CEOs who just brings up AI every earnings call, because I think you gotta have it measured. But we are seeing some really great progress on AI powered customer service. The way we think about customer service powered by AI is in three phases. Phase one is the phase we're in right now. If you were to, first of all, most of our customer contacts, we get over 10 million contacts a year. Most of the contacts that we anticipate getting in the coming years aren't gonna be phone calls. They're gonna be chatting through the app. I really personally don't like calling customer service and having to dial them. I wanna be able to chat. In chat, AI can intercept. And so we think in the future, the vast majority of our chats are gonna be intercepted and handled directly by the AI agent. And so there's really three phases to this. Phase one is just answer basic general questions. We're rolling out a pilot that can answer basic general questions. Phase two is personalization, be able to personalize the questions. Phase three is to take action. So I'll give you an example. Let me just give you one example. Let's say I were to contact customer service and I say, how do I cancel a reservation? In phase one, what we're doing now, the AI agent will answer probably even better than the average customer service agent, how to cancel a reservation. So they'll say, here's how you cancel a reservation, step by step. Phase two, personalization. They'll say, hey, Brian, I see you have a reservation coming up in Los Angeles next week. Here's how you cancel that reservation. And phase three is taking action. It would say, hey, Brian, I see you have a reservation come to Los Angeles. Would you like me to cancel it for you? Just tell me yes and I'll do it for you. I can even handle rebooking. So this is where we think customer service can go enabled by AI. And we've hired some of the best people in the world to work on this. I'm really excited to tell you more progress about it.
spk13: And your next question comes from the line of Doug Anmas with JP Morgan. Your line is open.
spk12: And Doug, if you could check to see if your line is on mute.
spk13: And moving forward to our next question from Kevin Copeland, you're with TD Securities. Your line is open.
spk06: Thanks a lot. A question on the new services that are expected to come out next year. Do we think of those new services as driving some revenue growth right off the bat for the second half next year? Or are you anticipating more gradual rollouts and more of 2026 revenue drivers? Thanks.
spk03: Yeah, I can take that. And Ellie, feel free to add, Kevin. The answer is a little bit of both. I mean, we are... The way, like, let's just back up. So Uber, let's just take Uber. I admire that company. They've done really well. When they launched Uber East, they launched in one market. And they had a city by city market and was very, very gradual. We are not gonna do that. We're gonna be much more aggressive. When we launch some new offerings next year, they're gonna be available immediately in more than 100 cities around the world. So we believe in trying to reach scale a little more quickly, just given how big and how mature we are. So because of that, we do think there will be some incremental revenue next year that will hit the financial. But I also just wanna like step back and just say that what we've learned from Uber East, from Amazon's category expansion, from DoorDash, from we can go down the list of marketplaces, is when something's built off a small base, you've gotta be patient. I think that there's a multi-billion dollar revenue opportunities, multiple of them, that will be introduced next year. But I also would point people to a five-year horizon for a number of these things to really reach scale. Not that they won't reach scale in just a year or two. And part of that is it's a network effect business. We wanna roll it out carefully. We wanna make sure it's really well done. Ellie, do you wanna add anything?
spk11: The only thing I'd add is Kevin will obviously give you much more detailed color next year on the next earnings call. But what you should anticipate is that some of the investment behind those new services will front run the revenue. So you'll begin to see those expenses or those investments, I should say, at the beginning of the year, whereas the revenue will start to scale once we've released a new offering.
spk13: And your next question comes from the line of Patrick Scholes with Truist. Your line is open.
spk05: Great, thank you, good evening. I wanna go back to the first question that was asked and ask it maybe a little more direct. Can you provide us in percentage terms what your -over-year net unit growth was in the quarter? Thank you.
spk11: On supply?
spk05: Yes, supply, correct.
spk11: Yes, we had over 10% growth of supply as of the end of Q3, which is down several points based on the removals.
spk13: Your next question comes from the line of John Colantoni with Jefferies. Your line is open.
spk14: Great, thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to ask about the experiences offering. As you get closer to the relaunch next year, how are you thinking about the sort of the pace of expansion and scalability? I know you'd like to keep experiences unique like your accommodations offering, but I'm curious if that means it will take longer to build a supply behind it. And maybe you could also sort of give us a sense for any investments in tech or marketing that you plan to make around the relaunch of experiences. Thanks.
spk03: Yeah, John, really good question. I think we are able to reach a sweet spot where I think we're gonna offer something that's really, really unique and will scale. Now I wanna just moderate expectations that again, these journeys are gonna be multi-year journeys that I do not think that there's a choice. I don't think we need to make a choice between being unique or being at scale. By the way, I think our core business proved that. A business that's approaching $100 billion in gross sales a year. And it's pretty unique, it's pretty different than a hotel. So I'm not gonna certainly promise that experiences will get to that size, but we do think we have something that's very unique, very scalable, available around the world. As far as the tech and marketing, the great thing about our business is I do not anticipate very many businesses in the next five years are gonna need significant investments. We are certainly nothing like many other companies where they have a lot of either capital allocation or major technical investments or even major marketing investments. Here's another way of saying it. We've already made most of technology investments. When you see the last four years, a huge amount of what we've done is rebuilt the company from the ground up, not just to make it stronger to offer homes, to make it an extensible platform. One of the companies that we learned from again, was Amazon. I know I talk a lot about Apple. A lot of people like reference Apple when they talk about it because of big launches. But Amazon is a very good reference point. Initially, as you know, they built a bookstore. They were based on like ISBN. They had to rebuild the platform and abstract the platform. And you might call it platformizing to be able to offer many of our verticals. And so we wanna take Airbnb platform that works for vacation rentals and build it for the next decade for like 50, a hundred different categories, just like Amazon. So now I can put a timeline when we offer them, but we've rebuilt the technology already, most of it, to be able to do that. Now with marketing, I don't think we're gonna have to market everything as standalone businesses. We really like the idea of marketing all of Airbnb. In marketing, there's these two choices. Are you a house of brands or a branded house? We're a branded house. We're one app, we're one brand, and we wanna market everything in one app. So that's a little bit more how we're gonna approach it. And so I think for those reasons, we will course be investing. I wanna be clear with me, course be investing, but it's not gonna be like many other companies where they have to go deep into the red to get these new businesses off the ground.
spk13: And your next question comes in the line of Jed Kelly with Oppenheimer. Your line is open.
spk16: Oh, great. Thanks for taking my questions. Just two, if I may. Can you talk about an area such as New York City where the regulations are becoming increasingly difficult, can you talk about how we should view those and potentially leaning more into hotels? And then as you grow outside some of these non-core markets, is it gonna be more brand-driven or will you lean more into performance marketing?
spk03: Thanks. Hey, Jed, I'll take this. Yeah, so let's talk about New York. Actually, I would like to talk about two cities. I'd like to talk about a tale of two cities, New York City and Paris, because both cities made some major decisions on Airbnb recently, and I wanna distinguish the difference between the two. New York City has what might be described as the affordable housing crisis, and that's a very real thing. And so they decided one of the ways they tried to deal with that was banning Airbnb. And a year ago Airbnb was banned. And the theory was that if you ban Airbnb, a bunch of homes will come back onto the rental market and prices will come down. Well, for the first time, we've gotten a year-long longitudinal study of what happens when you ban Airbnb into a city. Rent prices in New York City are not down. In fact, they're up 3.5%. And by the way, hotel prices are now up 7%. So a year after banning Airbnb, it's more expensive to live there, and it's even more expensive to travel there. And I think that New York City is now a cautionary tale of how to deal with Airbnb. Now, the other side is Paris, Paris, France. A couple of years ago, when we knew the Olympics were coming to Paris, we started working with the city of Paris. I think that Paris took a different approach. Instead of thinking of Airbnb as a problem, they thought of Airbnb as the solution to their problems, which are they weren't gonna have enough housing for the Olympics. And so in the last year, we went from 100,000 homes in Paris to 150,000 homes in Paris. And I'm pleased to announce that 700,000 guests stayed in Paris over the course of the Olympics, 700,000. And that's like eight or nine Olympic stadiums were the guests. Our favorability in Paris has not been higher in years. And cities all over the world are now coming to Airbnb and saying, we wanna be Paris, not New York. Can you help us? Because there are thousands of events going around the world. So I think that's the most important point I would make, that New York and Paris are killed two cities and we can be a solution to the problem. We are not the problem. But specific to New York, I just say two things. Number one, I remain optimistic that there will be a path to us to reenter New York and people will be able to stay in homes in Airbnb because there is a constrained number of hotels in New York. And by the way, most hotels are only in Manhattan and they're in Midtown Manhattan. So you wanna stay in any part of the part of Manhattan, Brooklyn, the Bronx, Staten Island, Queens, you're gonna be pretty limited. And to answer the other part of your question, yes. We absolutely welcome hotels on Airbnb and we are gonna be adding more hotels to Airbnb because for Airbnb to win, hotels don't have to lose. We own hotels tonight and we believe that you should be able to find hotels and hotels on Airbnb. So yes, we are focused on hotels in New York City on Airbnb. We're focused on Airbnbs in say, New Jersey, say Jersey City, which is actually closer to Manhattan to other parts of Manhattan. And I do am optimistic that New York, there will be a workable solution at some point in the future. I don't know when that will be and they can follow the lead of Paris.
spk13: And as a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press the star and one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from the line of Steven Ju with UBS, your line is open.
spk01: Great, thanks for taking the question. So Brian, I guess on the experiences again, I'm wondering if there's gonna be an angle where this could be something that increases the overall engagement or even raises the overall frequency of usage for you because maybe I don't stay in an Airbnb every weekend, but maybe I try an Airbnb experience every weekend. So I'm just wondering like how the product development path and how utilization will shift as your selection grows. Thanks.
spk03: A hundred percent. I mean, this is a great point, Steven. Experiences, like listen, Airbnb is typically something you book once or twice a year. Very, very few people will book Airbnbs every month unless you're like this incredibly prolific traveler. And so we've struggled a little bit from the point where on the one hand, like our average purchase price is over $500. So like the economics are great. On the other hand, we have the challenge of low frequency. Most people don't travel that frequently. Experiences are gonna be, I think, one of many new offerings that can increase the frequency, that can make Airbnb go from an annual app to a monthly usage app, or even a, for some people, weekly usage app. And the reason why is because experiences will not be limited just to when you travel. Just like they are today. We are designing products, experiences, and new services that will be great when you travel, but you could book them in your own hometown. And I think there's a real problem, which is, what do you wanna do on a Saturday if you're with your family? Other than the things you already do. Friday night, what do you do other than going to a restaurant, staying home and watching Netflix? I think there is a market for locals to wanna do unique things. And I think traveling is how they're gonna be exposed to experiences. But I do think a subset of those people will try them back home. And I think the really big opportunity here, kind of similar to iPod, when iPod launched, you could only use it with a Macintosh. And the really big game for the iPod was once it became Windows compatible, when iTunes available Windows, all the people that didn't own a Mac could buy an iPod and those sales surged. So I do think there's a potential play for that down the road experiences. We're gonna position it first and foremost to travelers, but it's not gonna be exclusive travelers. And I do think people are gonna come to everyone more frequently.
spk13: And there are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Brian Chesky.
spk03: All right, well, I just wanna thank everyone for joining us today. And just to recap, revenue was $3.7 billion, which is 10% higher than a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA was $2 billion. And our trailing 12 month free cash flow is $4.1 billion. Now this is representing a free cash flow margin of 38%. Our strong balance sheet enabled us to repurchase $1.1 billion of our common stock this quarter. And we're continuing to innovate and our product just keeps getting better. I'm so proud of what we accomplished and I'm excited for what's ahead. Thank you all for joining.
spk13: This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-