5/22/2025

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Analog Devices second quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings conference call, which is being audio webcast via telephone and over the web. I'd like to introduce Rich Puccio, Chief Financial Officer of Analog Devices.

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Josh, and good morning, everyone. Before we start the formal part of our earnings call, I'd like to say a few words about Mike Luccarelli. As many of you may know, this will be Mike's last earnings call as he will be leaving ADI at the end of May to pursue a new career opportunity. I want to thank Mike for his many contributions over his 10 years at Analog Devices. Mike has been instrumental in my transition into the company, and I will be forever grateful for his advice and guidance as I learn the ropes here. I will miss Mike's insights, optimism, and relentless work on behalf of our stakeholders. Mike, I wish you the best in your new adventure. I'll now turn the call over to Mike Luccarelli, Vice President of Investor Relations.

speaker
Mike Luccarelli
Vice President of Investor Relations (Outgoing)

Thank you, Rich.

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, everyone.

speaker
Mike Luccarelli
Vice President of Investor Relations (Outgoing)

I will say I've thoroughly enjoyed my time working in investor relations. That's because of all you on this call. From investors to the sell side, to my colleagues at ADI. Vince, it's been a great 10 years. Rich, it was short and sweet, but it was good. And to my ADI crew, the Thunder Alley crew, thank you for everything for the past 10 years. It's been awesome. Jeff, who I hired over six years ago from the sell side, has been a great asset to the IR team and ADI overall. He'll be replacing me as head of investor relations. Now, Jeff, when I started, the stock was $50. It's now $225, 4X. That means you need to drive this stock to $1,000, and I trust you can do that. So let me pass it to you, Jeff, to host today's call.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Mike. It's been a privilege working for you. You've taught me many things about semis, ADI, and life in general. So while I'm sad to see you go, I am excited for the opportunity, and I'm looking forward to it. Now, for anyone who missed our earnings press release, you can find it and relating financial schedules at investor.analog.com. The information we're about to discuss includes forward-looking statements, which are subject to certain risks and uncertainties as further described in our earnings release, and our periodic reports and other materials filed with the SEC. Actual results could differ materially from the forward-looking information, as these statements reflect our expectations only as of the date of this call. We undertake no obligation to update these statements except as required by law. References to gross margin, operating margin, operating expenses and non-operating expenses, tax rate, EPS, and free cash flow in our comments today will be on a non-GAAP basis, which excludes special items. When comparing our results to our historical performance, special items are also excluded from prior periods. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measures and additional information about our non-GAAP measures are included in today's earnings release. References to EPS are on a fully diluted basis. Okay, and with that, I'll turn the call over to ADI's CEO and Chair, Vincent Roche.

speaker
Vincent Roche
CEO and Chair

Thanks very much, Jeff, and very good morning to you all. Well, our second quarter results exceeded our expectations, both on the top and bottom lines. Revenue growth was broad-based with double-digit year-over-year growth across all end markets. Against the volatile operating backdrop, our favorable performance and positive outlook underscores the growing demand for our exceptional product portfolio and the resilience and agility of our business model. While we believe the evolving tariff situation is impacting customers' decision-making, the cyclical and ADI-specific tailwinds I highlighted last quarter continue. And we're ever more confident that our revenues bottomed in 2024 and that we're returning to growth in fiscal 25. The secret to our success over these many decades has been sensing business transitions early and adapting quickly to continue focusing our capital where we can best increase our value to customers and improve our ability to capture that value. We invested substantial CapEx over recent years to enhance and scale our hybrid manufacturing model, which helps our customers navigate increasingly dynamic geopolitical and macroeconomic environments. We expanded capacity at our existing fabs in the US and Europe and added commensurate capacity in our backend facilities. Further, we deepened partnerships with trusted foundries around the world including securing additional 300 millimeter fine pitch technology capacity at tsmc's japan subsidiary we've cross-qualified a significant portion of our broad product portfolio to be able to quickly swing production across geographies in short our customers now enjoy greater supply optionality and resilience than ever before on the opex side We're investing at record levels to further strengthen and extend our world-class technology stack and continue enhancing our customers' experience and engagement with ADI. These investments allow us to take maximum advantage of the incredible opportunities for profitable growth that we see across our end markets. ADI plays a game that prizes leaps in innovation that transcend near-term macro concerns. We focus on five key megatrends that are persistently driving the future of business, the global economy and society, namely autonomy, proactive healthcare, the energy transition and sustainability, immersive experience, and AI-driven computing and connectivity. As the essential interface between the physical and digital domains, ADI is a critical enabler of these trends. We continue to define and pioneer the state of the art in high-performance analog, mixed signal, and power management from sensor to cloud, microwave to bits, and nanowatts to kilowatts. Today, customers are turning to us for more complete solutions. The combination of our extensive franchise with the exquisite creativity and broad-based expertise of our technologists gives us the ability to deliver elegant solutions to customer challenges that others struggle even to address. For example, as healthcare becomes more preventative and preemptive, our ability to accurately and reliably sense, measure, interpret, and connect clinical grade vital signs in ultra low power settings is driving robust content and revenue growth at key customers in the smart wellness wearable space. within clinical care settings our cutting-edge imaging and patient monitoring solutions are enabling earlier identification and diagnosis of disease which can enable more effective treatment and better patient outcomes turning to the autonomy trend advances in automation within the industrial market for example are generating tremendous opportunity for adi The progression of robotics from fixed arm to autonomous and mobile to humanoid form factors requires ever greater quantities and integrations of sensing edge computing, connectivity and energy management, driving our content from hundreds of dollars in fixed robots today to potentially thousands in autonomous and humanoid robots. In automotive, Higher levels of autonomy are increasing demand for our sensing connectivity and functionally safe power solutions across all vehicle types, combustion engines, hybrids, and full EVs. Each new generation of automated system, be it industrial robots or car, dramatically expands our content and revenue opportunity. And one final example from the AI-driven computing and connectivity trend where the world's rapid adoption of AI continues to accelerate the growth of our ATE and data center businesses. Our leadership and success in ATE underscores the quality of our portfolio, as the winners in this market are determined first and foremost by performance. Our content per tester stretches into the hundreds of thousands of dollars. And looking ahead, we believe our leverage of additional mixed signal and digital capabilities to further reduce test time and power requirements will result in even more content per tester. And with AI investments showing no signs of slowing, testing demand for GPUs, XPUs, and high bandwidth memory continues to increase, giving us confidence in a long runway for growth. Beyond test, our data center customers are turning to us to solve the vast and complex power and connectivity challenges. that come with high performance, always-on AI computing. As a result, demand continues to grow for our innovative systems protection, optical control, and power delivery solutions. These are just a few examples of how our solutions leverage persistent trends that transcend business cycles, drive an average selling price four times the industry average, and deliver differentiated results for both our customers and our shareholders. So in closing, we've successfully anticipated the transitions of the ICT industry and invested ahead of the curve for decades. Today, we're well positioned to deliver the AI driven intelligent edge solutions that will shape our future success. You may have seen that we just celebrated our 60th anniversary, a milestone that fewer than 1% of public companies reach. But as thrilling as that accomplishment is, I'm even more excited about our future and the immense opportunity before us. Now, before I hand it over to Rich, I'd like to thank Mike Luccarelli, young Mike, for his distinguished and stellar contributions over the past several years to ADI's success. And I wish him well in his next adventure. With that, over to you, Rich.

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Vince. Second quarter revenue of $2.64 billion came in above the high end of our outlook, up 9% sequentially and 22% year over year. Industrial represented 44% of our second quarter revenue, finishing up 8% sequentially and 17% year over year. Our industrial recovery broadened with all subsectors and regions increasing sequentially. On a year-over-year basis, we continue to see strong growth in aerospace and defense and ATE. Automotive represented 32% of quarterly revenue, finishing up 16% sequentially and 24% year over year. This record result was fueled by continued strong demand of our leading connectivity and functioning safe power solutions, particularly in China. Additionally, we saw sequential growth in Europe and North America. Communications represented 12% of quarterly revenue, finishing up 5% sequentially and 32% year over year. Wireline and data center, which makes up roughly two-thirds of our total communications business, drove our strong growth as AI build-outs continue to increase demand for our power and optical control products. And while wireless revenue declined on a year-over-year basis, it did grow sequentially. And lastly, consumer represented 12% of quarterly revenue, finishing flat sequentially and up 30% year-over-year, our third consecutive quarter of robust growth. This reflects our greater share and stronger content position across a diversified list of applications. Now onto the P&L. Second quarter gross margin was 69.4%, up 60 basis points sequentially, driven by higher utilization. OpEx in the quarter was 744 million, up 57 million sequentially, driven entirely by variable compensation, resulting in an operating margin of 41.2%. Non-operating expenses finished at 54 million, and the tax rate for the quarter was 11%. All told, EPS was $1.85, up 32% year-over-year, and above the high end of our guided range. Now I'd like to highlight a few items from our balance sheet and our cash flow statements. Cash and short-term investments finished the quarter at $2.4 billion, and our net leverage ratio decreased to one. Inventory increased $50 million sequentially as we continue to invest in Dibank to support our recovery. Days of inventory decreased to 169, and channel weeks ticked lower. In the near term, we are maintaining our strategy of balancing leaner channel inventories with higher levels of inventory on our balance sheet. Over the trailing 12 months, operating cash flow and capex were $3.9 billion and $0.6 billion, respectively. We continue to expect fiscal 2025 capex to decrease materially from 2024 and be within our long-term model of 4% to 6% of revenues. Free cash flow over the trailing 12 months was $3.3 billion, or 34% of revenue. And during that same period, we have returned nearly $2.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. As a reminder, we target 100% free cash flow return over the long term, using 40% to 60% for our dividend and the remainder for share count reduction. Before moving on to guidance for our fiscal third quarter, let me provide additional color on recent demand trends given the current backdrop. Unsurprisingly, buying behavior was a bit choppier than normal as we saw some increased activity around the tariff announcements. This was short-lived and orders have returned to more normalized levels. Overall, Q2 bookings grew sequentially across all end markets and all geographies, and a backlog entering Q3 is higher than a quarter ago. These signals support our view that our revenue bottomed in 2024, customer inventories are lean, and we are in a cyclical upturn. Now moving on to guidance. Third quarter revenue is expected to be $2.75 billion, plus or minus $100 million. On a sequential basis at the midpoint, we expect industrial and consumer to lead our growth. Communications to be up and automotive to decline after a very strong quarter. Operating margin is expected to be 41.5, plus or minus 100 basis points. This includes the impact of our annual salary increases. Our tax rate is expected to be 11% to 13%, and based on these inputs, adjusted EPS is expected to be $1.92, plus or minus 10 cents. Now I'll pass it back to Jeff to begin our Q&A session.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Rich. Now let's get to our Q&A session. We ask that you limit yourself to one question in order to allow for additional participants on the call this morning. If you have a follow-up question, please re-queue, and we will take your question if time allows. With that, can we have our first question, please?

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thank you. For those participating by telephone dial-in, if you have a question, please press star 1-1 on your phone to enter the queue. If your question has been answered and you wish to be removed from the queue, please press star 1-1 again. If you are listening on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset when asking your question. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Joseph Moore with Morgan Stanley. You may proceed.

speaker
Joseph Moore
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Thank you. And congratulations to young Mike. Can you discuss automotive? You know, the 16% sequential growth really stands out relative to what peers are seeing. Just, you know, what's driving that and kind of any sense for, you know, if there's any tariff pull forward in that or just any mitigation that's happening there. Just how are you growing so much in autos? Thanks.

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Joe. I'll take that one. So Q2 was notably stronger than expected. Bookings were strong, turns were a lot higher than normal, and given some volatility saw within the quarter, we do think our auto results were aided by pull-in activity. While it's difficult to delineate what was pull-in versus normal, our estimate for pull-in upside is in the high single-digit range. However, buying behavior, as I mentioned, has normal pull-ins to recur, and this is why we expect to decline in Q3, actually. Additionally, if you think about it, if you adjust for what we think the pull-in impact was, we're really guiding a seasonally flat Q3 for auto. On the pull-ins, right around the 25% auto tariff news, we saw an acceleration in auto sell-through and orders, most notably in the Americas and in Europe, which were collectively up about 20% sequentially, much better than we had planned. At the industry level, we saw stronger SAR numbers than expected in the quarter. potentially also explained by consumers getting ahead of the higher prices. So our hunch is that the upside in auto right around tariffs was not a coincidence. As for China, the other major market for auto, noted last quarter we expect a continued growth and we had another record, and that is what occurred in Q2. And there could have been some pull in activity, but not nearly as noticeable as what we're seeing in North America and Europe.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Go to our next question, please.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Vivek Arya with Bank of America Securities. You may proceed.

speaker
Vivek Arya
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Thanks for taking my question, and thanks and best wishes to Mike as well. So first is, you know, you mentioned that you are at a cyclical upturn, and I'm curious, how much do you think you are undershipping demand right now? You know, is it 10%, is it 20%? And how many quarters until this kind of just undershipment impact normalizes, right? So when do you think your sales will start to correspond more to end demand rather than just inventory replenishment? And I know you just spoke about autos, but I was hoping once you could give us some more color on the industrial side as well and the level of undershipment and then the normalization timing for that.

speaker
Vincent Roche
CEO and Chair

Thank you. Thanks, Vivek. I'll take the first part of the question. Yeah, so I think, look, we've seen we're in a period now where we've got cyclical tailwinds. We've kept the channel very, very lean. We've been under shipping industrial significantly, actually, I think more so than any other market over the past two years. My sense is we're getting back to a more kind of a normalized convergence between demand and supply in that area. We're still keeping overall inventory, particularly in the channel. We're keeping it very, very lean, putting more and more, as Rich said earlier, putting more inventory on our balance sheet to be ready for the upside. On the industrial side, I think what we're seeing is the franchise, the core franchise of the business, automation, broad base of customers recovering nicely. We've also seen some excellent examples of green shoots in the aerospace and defense and the AI test area, which I alluded to in my script. you know, we've got a lot of new wins in healthcare and automation. So there's a good blend, I think, of kind of the legacy franchise and the new technologies pushing the company. So we've got cyclical tailwinds and we've got idiosyncratic tailwinds as well, given the new products in the new applications.

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. And Vivek, what I'd add is I would say from a And a consumption perspective, we're probably still shipping 10 plus percent below end consumption. But if you think about the outlook, you know, if you take our guide, you know, embedded in that guide is about 10 percent in growth in industrial. And at that midpoint, we will be shipping to end demand. And as we talked about, we'll continue to balance the channel inventory, but we will at the midpoint be expecting to ship into end demand in 3Q.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

Next question, please.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Harlan, sir, with JP Morgan. You may proceed. Hey, good morning.

speaker
Harlan
Analyst, JP Morgan

Thank you for taking my question. And Mike, thanks for all the great support over the years and best of luck in your future endeavors. Industrial automation, I think you guys touched on it a little bit, which is one of your larger subsegments within industrial. I believe it's about 25% of industrial segments. This was one of the last large sub-segments to show recovery given the tie-in to global manufacturing activity. Automation inflected, I think, in October of last year. It grew in January. Did you guys see further sequential growth in industrial automation in April? And then coincidentally, trade and tariff historically has driven weakness in automation as manufacturers pull back in the face of uncertainty. Are you seeing any changes in industrial automation order trends recently, especially out of China?

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

So we have continued to see growth. And in fact, when we look at where we ended the quarter from an automation perspective, we actually have got a book to build in excess of one. We continue to expect that growth to continue into Q3. In fact, you know, if you look at our industrial business across all of the, um, subsectors of industrial, you know, we have positive book to build, uh, in all of those areas above one. So we feel, so we feel like that has had, has improved. Uh, obviously there's uncertainty across the board around the tariffs to them. You know, it's impossible to speculate what that will do, but we do see, we have seen, uh, growth in bookings and in, in the revenue.

speaker
Vincent Roche
CEO and Chair

I think it's true as well. You know, um, right across the whole spectrum of applications. Automation, we've seen very, very strong book to build geographically as well. So I think we're in a solid patch right now. Tariffs are definitely weighing heavily. The uncertainty is, I think, causing circumspection. Many of our customers are holding back on build-outs, but I don't think there's any question about the importance of automation from many, many dimensions, we've got the kind of the normal build-outs of automation, you know, more and more precision, more connected, flexible factories, but also my sense is we'll see a CapEx cycle as localization takes root as well over the coming several years.

speaker
Harlan
Analyst, JP Morgan

Yeah, the localization point is, yeah, that's a good example. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

Go to our next question, please.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Toris van Bergwijk. Steve, you may proceed.

speaker
Toris van Bergwijk
Analyst

Yes, thank you. Congrats on the results. And Mike, thank you so much. Wishing you best of luck. Vince, you mentioned this a little bit in your script, but robotics, I know this is a market that you have a lot of exposure to. And I think there was a slowdown in that market, especially around the pandemic years. But now with AI, It seems that we're sort of at an inflection point. So I was just hoping you could talk a little bit more about that opportunity and some of the design activity that you're seeing on the robotics side. Thank you.

speaker
Vincent Roche
CEO and Chair

Yeah, thanks, Tory, for the question. Yeah, I think one of the pervasive trends we're seeing is demographic shift. I think automation of productivity is going to be endemic across the globe. You know, and that predates the concern about the need to localize and so on and so forth. So I think the trend is very, very solid. What we're going to see is a new epoch, I think, in robotics that will move into more tactile, more precise robotic systems that will use a lot of intelligence at the edge. You may have seen some of the press and some of the areas where we're collaborating with robotic suppliers, complementary semiconductor partners as well, to enable this new era of highly tactile precision robotics to take place. Everybody's focused on the humanoid, but I think there are many steps to take place between the big heavy arm robotics and the more mobile tactile robotic systems. You know, our content typically in a large arm system would be hundreds of dollars. But as we see more available opportunity to bring intelligence to the edge, we see more modalities of sensing take roots in these more sophisticated robotic systems. I think the content that we could see there will be an order of magnitude more, maybe a you know, maybe more over the coming five, 10 years. So my sense is this is a long-term persistent trend. And I think we're very, very well positioned at that edge. Of course, AI will enable more and more intelligence at the edge. And that's something that we're preparing our solutions to be able to incorporate. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

Next question, please.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Chris Stanley with Citi. You may proceed.

speaker
Chris Stanley
Analyst, Citi

Hey, thanks, guys. First of all, Mike, thanks a lot for all your help and honesty over the years. First Dave Paul, now Mike Luccarelli leaving. This is super depressing. Anyway, but congratulations in all honesty. So just a question on leverage, guys. So if we look at the April quarter results and the July quarter guide you're on, your OpEx is basically growing about as much as sales. And then the guide for the July quarter, even though you don't guide gross margin, implies minimal gross margin growth. So can you just talk about why that's happening? And should we expect some sort of acceleration and leverage going forward? Or should OpEx continue to grow about the same amount of sales and same wing with growth margin? Thanks.

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

All right, Chris, I'll take that one. So I'll do the near term first, and then I'll talk a little bit about 25 and what I think you might be able to expect in 26. So Q2's operating margin was up sequentially despite the big acceleration in variable comp. In fact, our base OPEX was actually flat sequentially. So that's what you saw in Q2. In Q3, we do expect to see some continued operating leverage, which will get offset by the by the impact of our annual salary increases, as well as our continued growth in the variable, although we will expect the increase in variable certainly sequentially to be lesser degree than we've seen in Q2. You know, if you think about it, just as a reminder for everybody, the mechanics of our variable comp plan, which is tied to year-over-year growth and operating margin, you know, given the absence of revenue growth in 24, it was a pretty low year for us, and considering our return to growth here in 25, variable comp is going to grow and will continue to grow meaningfully. So while we are optimistic, we will continue to achieve operating margin percent growth. The increase in the variable in 25 is muting that. However, you know, when we look to 26, we'll be going off of a smaller base. And so we do expect we'll get more leverage if we continue the cyclical upturn. And then, you know, on the gross margin side, you know, at the 275 guide, we expect to be uh, around 70%, um, you know, which we've talked about, you know, that is, um, that baked into that assumption is that we will see the, the growth in industrial we're anticipating, which as you guys know, is our most profitable. Um, and that, and that has been one of our challenges we've talked about in getting additional leverage, you know, and if you look at just the most recent, you know, the outperforming auto puts pressure on gross margin, but as we see the industrial leading the charge coming out with the, 10% expected growth in industrial Q3. We do expect we will get back to around that 70% margin.

speaker
Vincent Roche
CEO and Chair

I think it's worth noting as well, Chris, that where we are adding OPEX to the company, aside from the inflationary things that we have to deal with, it's in the engineering side. We see tremendous opportunity across more and more spaces for analog technology, power technology, but also digital and software. So we're judiciously adding talent where we need it. And that's the contributor to the OPEX, of course. But, you know, obviously, long term, we expect to get the returns and get the growth from these investments. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

Next question, please.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein Research. You may proceed.

speaker
Stacy Rasgon
Analyst, Bernstein Research

Hi, guys. I have two quick questions just on the demand environment. Just first, given the auto dynamics, you talked about SAR and everything. What are your expectations for SAR and auto builds like into the second half of the year amid all the tariff uncertainty? Because I think autos are getting hit more by that. And then secondly, just I guess philosophically, you know, you are seeing pull forward in auto. You don't seem to be seeing it in industrial. How would you know if the strength of seeing industrial is actually true cyclical recovery versus pull forward in the wake of tariffs or uncertainty?

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Stacy. I'll do the last one. One of the things we looked at as we were trying to assess what we thought might be pull-ins, as we track our ordering patterns and what our expectations around the ordering patterns were, So, you know, what we saw was at the start of Q2, bookings sort of were progressing higher as we expected them to. Then toward the end of March, around the time we heard about the auto tariffs, you know, we saw an acceleration in automotive. And that lasted for a couple of weeks, as I mentioned, and since has normalized. But when we look across the other end markets, we didn't notice anything unusual from a booking trend. They were as expected. And we end the quarter with, you know, like I said, we ended the quarter with books to bills above parity. And know from a geographic perspective actually bookings were up in all regions so um like i said we didn't see anything anomalous in the in the uh booking patterns outside of what we saw in automotive yeah i'd say generally speaking you know from the conversations we have with our industrial customers it's kind of steady as she goes to some extent there's no particular

speaker
Vincent Roche
CEO and Chair

our anxiety around supply. So I think it's a pretty normal pattern. And as I said earlier, we're seeing a convergence between, you know, shipping and sell through.

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, and Stacey, sorry, I skipped your first part of your question on SAR. You know, our expectation is, you know, that we'll see SAR down in the back half. And as we've talked about before, you know, we still get benefit from the, you know, continued increase in content to offset some of that SAR pressure. But we are expecting the second half SAR to be lower.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

That's helpful. Thank you, guys.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thanks, Jason.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Next question, please.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Chris Casso with Wolf Research. You may proceed.

speaker
Chris Casso
Analyst, Wolf Research

Yes, thank you, and Mike, all the best. Just a question regarding, you know, how all of this might affect the second half. And obviously, you know, too early to provide guidance here. But with respect to auto, with some of what you've seen now, as we go into the July quarter, do you think this has normalized such that whatever happens going into the second half is really a reflection of true demand? And I guess the same question for the industrial side as well. How should we be thinking about the puts and takes as we go into the second half?

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Sure, I'll talk a little bit about Q3. So, you know, as I said, we do think we benefited from some pull-ins in Q2, but given what we've seen in the order rate since and continuing into Q3, we're not really expecting any incremental impact from pull-ins in Q3. So, you know, our outlook reflects the acceleration in our recovery, most notably, again, in the industrial market, where we're expecting a very strong quarter. We've got strong bookings momentum across all applications and geographies. As we think about the back half of the year, if you remember last quarter, we talked about hitting 7% to 10% for the full year growth. With what we saw in Q2 and what we've seen in bookings trends in our Q3 outlook, I'm actually more confident than I was a quarter ago that we'll end at the higher end of that range. But we will continue to be cautious and mindful given all the tariff uncertainty. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

For our next question.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Joshua Bookhalter with TD Cal, and you may proceed.

speaker
Joshua Bookhalter
Analyst, TD Cal

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. Mike, congrats on the new gig, and Jeff, congrats to you as well, and good luck with the $1,000 stock prices. Sorry to keep pulling this thread, but I did want to ask about industrial again. I mean, you were very clear in your commentary about your on-books and channel inventory, but do you get the sense that there's any element of your end customer restocking that's going on, or do you think this is really just an industrial recovery? Because, again, the sequentials are better than most of your peers reported, even though they did go a month ago. Thank you.

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah.

speaker
Vincent Roche
CEO and Chair

Go ahead, Rich.

speaker
Rich Puccio
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks. So I actually don't think we've seen sign of – I wouldn't call it restocking. I do think that because they are coming off of inventory lows across most of our customer base, and we know that because when we look at net new orders, we're seeing net new orders come in from the industrial customers. So I do think that they've had lean inventory, and we've seen their purchasing accelerate. But as we've talked about, we've been undershipping industrial pretty significantly for the last two years. And if we head into Q3, we do not expect to undership industrial in Q3.

speaker
Vincent Roche
CEO and Chair

We use POS signals as well to gauge, to get as close to true demand as we possibly can. You know, as we said earlier, industrial is the area where we've been under shipping most. And I think what we're getting back to now is a more normalized pattern of shipping and sell through.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you both.

speaker
Mike Luccarelli
Vice President of Investor Relations (Outgoing)

Thanks, Josh. Thanks, Josh.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

We'll go to our next question, please.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Blaine Curtis with Jefferies. You may proceed.

speaker
Blaine Curtis
Analyst, Jefferies

Hey, good morning, guys, and I'll offer the congrats to young Mike as well. I actually kind of wanted to ask about the plans outsource versus insource. So, obviously, you know, pre-pandemic, you were leaning more towards external, and then, you know, when you ran out of supply, it was let's do more internal. You know, I heard you talking about qualifying, you know, external fabs. I'm just kind of, how are you thinking about this now? Obviously, tariffs are a moving target, but it does seem like more diversity in boundary geographic location is preferable? How are you thinking about it now?

speaker
Vincent Roche
CEO and Chair

Yeah, well, look, I think, first and foremost, we're in a good place in terms of the overall capacity footprint that we have. It's more than 2x what it was before the pandemic. So we've been investing primarily in CapEx, building our front end and back end, really to support our growth and give us more resiliency, more flexibility. And, you know, I think what we've got now is, particularly on the internal piece, I want to make this point as well. When it came to nodes at 180 nanometers and above, which would be the majority, most of ADI's revenue would ship on semiconductor process nodes that are 180 nanometers and above. Essentially, there was no external investment in those nodes for many, many years. So we decided that was an area that we're still developing a lot of new products on. It's a very, very important part of many of our businesses, particularly industrial and automotive. So we decided to place the investments internally to make sure that we have sufficient growth upside and ability to capture the value that we're creating. So my sense is now we're, you know, as I said, we've got more than 2x the internal capacity and we've got this flexible swing between external and internal. You know, from nodes from 5 nanometers, by the way, we're designing new products in 5 nanometers. So this business is characterized by massive diversity of semiconductor recipes. But the ones that we can do internally to support the broad base of our business, where now we've secured our position there and that we continue to partner with our key collaborators on the finer geometry nodes at kind of 90 nanometers and below.

speaker
Jeff
Head of Investor Relations

All right, that was our final question. Thanks, everyone, for joining us this morning. And with that, a copy of the transcript will be available on our website, and all available reconciliations and additional information can also be found at the quarterly results section of our investor relations site at investor.analog.com. Thanks again for joining us and your continued interest in analog devices.

speaker
Josh (Conference Call Operator)
Operator

This concludes today's Analog Devices Conference call. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-