AdaptHealth Corp.

Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call

5/7/2024

spk04: Good day, everyone, and welcome to today's ADAPT Health first quarter 2024 earnings release. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode, and later you will have the opportunity to ask questions during the question-and-answer session. To register for a question, simply press star and 1 on your telephone keypad at any time during today's meeting. Today's speakers will be Richard Barish, Chairman and Interim CEO of ADAPT Health, and Jason Clemens, Chief Financial Officer of ADAPT Health. Josh Parnes, President of Adapt Health, will join Richard and Jason for the question and answer portion of today's call. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that statements included in this conference call in the press release issued today may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. These statements include, but are not limited to, comments regarding financial results for 2024 and beyond. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements because of a number of risk factors and uncertainties, which are discussed at length in the company's annual and quarterly SEC filings. ADAPT Health Corps should have no obligation to update the information provided on this call to reflect such subsequent events. Additionally, on this morning's call, the company will reference certain financial measures, such as EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow, all of which are non-GAAP financial measures. This morning's call is being recorded, and a replay of the call will be available later today. I am now pleased to turn the floor to Chairman and Interim CEO of AdaptHealth, Mr. Richard Barish. Please go ahead, sir.
spk03: Thank you. Good morning, and thank you all for joining AdaptHealth's first quarter 2024 earnings call. Simply stated, we had a terrific first quarter, highlighted by 6.2% non-acquired revenue growth and an 18% increase in adjusted EBITDA over last year's first quarter. Our sleep and respiratory product lines continue to deliver strong results, and we're pleased to see our diabetes business start to improve as well. We continue to de-lever and are on target to hit our cash flow targets for the year. Jason will go through the numbers and details. So I'd like to discuss some of the underlying improvements that give us confidence that our performance is sustainable. During the past year, Adapt Health faced several internal and external challenges, and the company has addressed each one in a constructive way. This is in a victory lap and our new CEO of applying to do and the opportunity to put her own mark on the strategic future of the company. However, I'd like to highlight some of the more impactful improvements that have occurred, which have served the company well going forward. Adapt Health originally built its business on M&A, which was facilitated by attractively priced capital. Opportunistically, we took on mostly long-term debt at very attractive rates, but our overall leverage was more than desired, especially in the newer higher interest rate environments. As a result, the entire company successfully galvanized around generation of cash flow, which has allowed us to reduce our leverage ratios and our absolute level of debt. Even with the difficulty of the changed healthcare issues, we yet again paid down debt in excess of required payments and expect to have meaningful additional cash to deploy through the year for further deleverage. I'm quite confident that we'll meet our 2024 goal of less than three times leverage in short order. Over the past year, we've discussed the challenges in our diabetes business. We still have a way to go, but the improvements have been tangible. We have strong new leadership and are building an efficient operating platform that will support our growth ambitions. We have more than doubled our sales force and can finally state that we are activating the pharmacy channel to supplement our growth. Our sleep business continues to perform well, but we're mindful of the challenges that may arise from GLP-1s. We are now actively surveying our more than 1.5 million sleep patients for evidence of change in behavior. So far, we have not seen any material changes, but we'll be vigilant to address any issues should they occur. We note the real-world study described by ResMed that shows a positive correlation between GLP-1 usage and CPAP compliance. I was also delighted to see the recent Lillian announcement that described the enormous size of the addressable OSA market more than double the already large estimates of undiagnosed OSA patients provided by the American Academy of Sleep Medicine. Our underlying thesis is that increased awareness of OSA is going to more than offset any potential impact to our sleep business. After a slow start, the Humanity Contract is performing both operationally and financially as we had originally projected. We are pleased to report that the patient transition is essentially complete. This experience gives us confidence to actively market to potential payers as an important component of our growth plans. I would expect to see additional contract wins in the near term. Pairs and providers want to see that the therapies we provide are having a positive impact on their members and patients. We have nearly a thousand professionals who work with our patients every day to improve their experience with the equipment and devices we provide. We are highly focused on adherence to therapy as the essential first step to better outcomes. and we believe that our adherence statistics for sleep are the best in our industry. We are especially proud of the work that our advanced respiratory therapists do to reduce avoidable hospitalizations, and we are developing the tools and data to show that we are positively affecting outcomes. Finally, we have put to bed the lingering concerns about permanent leadership. The long and diligent search for a new CEO was well worth it since we found the ideal candidate. Suzanne Foster joins us from Danaher Corporation, where she served as president of Beckman Coulter Life Sciences. She has over 25 years of healthcare experience, including experience in the HME business, and has a strong track record of leading growth businesses in the healthcare market. Our board made a very wise choice and the management team is looking forward to welcoming Suzanne to Adapt Health. I will be around to help Suzanne have a smooth transition to her new role. Now I'm going to turn it over to Jason.
spk06: Thanks, Richard, and thanks to all for joining our call. In the first quarter of 2024, we built on momentum from last year across a few key areas that we'll review today. First, we'll cover some details regarding the change healthcare situation that Richard touched on. Starting at the end of February, we began holding claims for certain payers where one of our third-party software providers utilized Change Healthcare to process claims. Health claims peaked at approximately $150 million a few weeks later. As related, cash flows decreased. We drew $75 million on our revolver and carried that balance as we ended the first quarter. Our revenue cycle team has acted swiftly and decisively to mitigate that impact. Since the end of the quarter, our claims for this matter have compressed to approximately $30 million. As a result, cash inflows have started to normalize, and we paid off the balance on the revolver near the end of April. With delayed payments largely caught up, we are reiterating our free cash flow guidance for the first half of 2024 and for the full year. Now, turning to our results. Net revenue of $792.5 million increased 6.4% compared to the first quarter of 2023. Sleep revenue of $306.2 million grew 4.0% compared to a year ago. Sleep sales revenue was up 5.6%, driven by our resupply census, which reached a new record of 1.58 million patients. Leap rental revenue was flat over the prior year, and we were pleased with that result following the record setups from late 2022 through mid-2023. Diabetes revenue of $149.3 million was up 2.0% against the first quarter of 2023, outperforming our expectations and resulting in our first year-over-year increase since the second quarter of 2023. DGM performed significantly better than expected, driven by increased patient census. We are making steady progress, ramping up our new Salesforce team members, and new technology deployed in our resupply operations is resolving in more touchless reorders. As expected, we absorbed $4.3 million of revenue pressure in our pump and pump supply categories as the market shifts towards tubeless pumps. Encouragingly, we again delivered more revenue from tubeless pump starts than from tube-based pump starts. Oxygen and noninvasive ventilation new starts continued to be very strong, building on the momentum from the end of 2023. As Richard mentioned, the transition of Humana patients is substantially complete. Starting this quarter, we are now reporting revenue from capitated arrangements in a separate revenue category. This includes Humana as well as several other existing capitated arrangements. Turning to profitability, first quarter adjusted EBITDA of $158.5 million reflects an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.0%, a 200 basis point improvement over Q1 of 2023. This improvement was driven by three things. Number one, improved cost of products and supplies as a percentage of revenue, resulting from continued efforts to drive efficiencies in our supply chain. Number two, improved salary, labor, and benefits as a percentage of revenue, reflecting the flow through of our 2023 cost management program. And number three, expected increases to other operating expenses related to continuing infrastructure investments in fleet and warehouse operations. Cashflow from operations of 49.0 million was impacted by the change healthcare matter covered earlier. CapEx of 87.9 million representing 11.1% of revenue was almost a full point better than the first quarter of 2023. Although free cash flow for the first quarter was negative 38.9 million, we are reiterating our full year free cash flow guidance of 150 to $180 million. And we are reiterating our expectation to deliver at least 55 million of that in the first half of 2024. We continue making progress towards our plan to get leverage below three times before the end of 2024. In fact, even with the changed healthcare impacts, we compressed net leverage from 3.16 times at the end of 2023 to 3.12 times at the end of Q1 2024. During the quarter, we paid $25 million towards our TLA balance exiting Q1 at $695 million. After the end of the quarter, we paid an additional $15 million toward the TLA balance, and we expect to make our $10 million required payment before the end of next quarter. We expect the TLA balance to be $670 million at the end of Q2, down $80 million from the balance at the end of Q2 2023. For Q2 2024, we expect revenue growth of about 1% over the prior year, surpassing very tough 2023 comparables. Additionally, we're keeping a close eye on extended shipping lead times for certain sleep resupply products, which could impact growth for the quarter, so we're accounting for that risk in these numbers. Adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 20.5%, up from Q1 2024 margin, but pressured by added expense associated with recovering from the changed healthcare situation discussed earlier. These expenses should dissipate in the coming months, but we do expect an impact in Q2. free cash flow to be at least $94 million, which meets our expectations for the first half. For the full year, we are maintaining our original guidance and expect revenue to be in the range of $3.25 to $3.35 billion, adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $650 to $710 million, and free cash flow to be in the range of $150 to $180 million. With that, I'll turn it back to Richard for closing remarks. Thanks, Jason.
spk03: When I took the job as interim CEO approximately a year ago, it was intended as a short-term role while we installed a new CEO. As things have developed, it has turned into one of the most impactful and rewarding years I've experienced in my career. I've been able to observe firsthand the professionalism and dedication of our nearly 11,000 team members as they deliver high-quality care to the 4 million people we serve. As we compliantly generate more actionable data from our patients, I'm even more convinced that Adapt Health will have an increasingly important role in the health outcomes of our patients. After another clean quarter of continued growth, I'll be leaving the CEO job with a great deal of optimism for the company. The future is bright for Adapt Health, and I look forward to watching and helping Suzanne and our talented team deliver on the opportunities ahead. We'll now open the call to questions. Operator?
spk04: Gentlemen, thank you. At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press the star and 1 on your touchtone phone. You may remove yourself from the queue at any time by pressing the pound key. Once again, that is star and one to ask a question. And I misspoke. Let me correct myself. That is star and two to simply remove yourself from the queue if you find someone has already asked your question. Once again, ladies and gentlemen, that is star and one. We'll take our first question today from Brian Tanquilat at Jefferies.
spk02: Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question. It's Jack Slovenoff for Brian. Congrats on the strong results. Maybe to kick it off, I want to touch on the margin piece because it looked particularly impressive. Are you able to give any color on, you know, what sort of driving that improvement in cost of products by category? I'm wondering here if it's sort of, you know, diabetes margins leveling out with payer mix. Any color there would be great.
spk06: Sure. This is Jason. I'd be glad to add some color. So as you pointed out, we referenced cost of products and supplies as, frankly, significantly better than the first quarter of last year, as well as salary, labor, and benefits, which was part of our 2023 cost management program that we were able to deliver on. I mean, within cost of products and supplies, a couple of things going on there of note. Within our supply chain operations, so that includes certainly specific supplier negotiations that we won't offer a lot of detail on, and product mix that you alluded to, either from diabetes or other areas growing faster versus slower. Overall, we're very pleased with the 2024 contracting cycle. The contracting cycle is largely complete, so we do expect to continue to deliver improved cost of products and supplies throughout the course of the year.
spk02: Got it. That's helpful. Maybe on the capitated piece, commentary around Humana being ramped now is really helpful. Can you give a sense of what that move in capitated revenue was quarter over quarter, or I guess like versus the benchmark at the back half of the year? That looked particularly strong on the quarter.
spk06: Sure. Well, it's not perfect math, what I'm about to say, because capitated revenue was, in fact, reported in various categories in the first half of 2023. So that includes sleep, respiratory, HME, and others. Starting in the second half, We did report our Humana per member per month revenue in the other category. So if you take note of the sequential step-up from Q2 to Q3 last year and then Q3 to Q4, pretty significant step-ups, and that is showing you the ramp-up period of the Humana contract and the transition of Humana patients. So in the first quarter, we're reporting the entire Humana PMPM revenue in capitated. So we reported $32 million in Q1. And additionally, we have several other capitated arrangements that we've been operating and, frankly, growing that portfolio for years. for a number of years now. So that's where you see the revenue reporting now. In terms of comparable against Q1 of last year, it's just going to be tough until we get enough quarters behind us so we're able to see that trend and capitate it. Hope that helps.
spk02: Yep, very helpful. And last one for me, maybe looking forward, there's a lot of moving pieces and appreciate all the commentary around change on the cash flow side of things. But as you think about the full year guide, does this feel like the right level of
spk06: sort of free cash conversion um or sort of a normalized you know stabilized version of what we should expect from the business in terms of you know how much cash generation you can get um relative to how you know the p l is growing without question it is um you know we're confident in that free cash flow guidance for the year now to the second part of your question on how much we could get or what's the kind of cash generation uh power of the business we continue to believe that it's quite a bit more than what we expect to deliver in 2024. I mean, after all, uh interest is running uh almost four percent of uh revenue and as we continue to deliver as we continue to drive down uh interest expense uh which we're very focused on you know that will add an added benefit um it's important to note that our capex as a percent of revenue was down 90 bits over the first quarter of last year We committed to about a half a point of improvement year over year. As the Oracle perpetual inventory deployment continues to roll out aggressively across the country, that should give us just added confidence in hitting that CapEx number. And again, we feel very, very confident about the free cash flow expectations for the full year.
spk02: Got it. Appreciate all the color and congrats again.
spk04: Our next question comes from Pito Chickering at Deutsche Bank.
spk01: Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the questions.
spk02: A nice job on the quarter. Diabetes, we've been modeling diabetes for down year-over-year for the first half of the year and then up and back half of the year to get basically flat growth year-over-year.
spk06: 1Q is definitely way above our expectations. Should we be thinking about the cadence differently for the year, for what changed versus your original thoughts around diabetes? And is this just a split between pharmacy growing faster than DMV? Thanks. Yeah, good question. I'd start with just a review of the comparable periods in the prior year. It's important to note that Q1 of 2023 and the sequential step up into Q2 2023, you see that huge step up in diabetes revenue year over year going from 146 up to 169. We did not expect such a pronounced step up in the second quarter. So although we're very pleased with the diabetes beat, in Q1, pump and pump supplies came right down the middle of the fairway of what we expected. And CGM did outperform our expectations. I mean, we had diabetes down for Q1. But, you know, we're making some progress in sales. We're starting to take more orders in pharmacies. So things are going according to plan. um but it's really that tough comparable in the prior year there were some system conversion activities and other items that affected just such a large sequential step up that we don't expect to repeat so that that's really the the only change uh to think about the full year uh quarterly um numbers okay great and then for 2q uh they talked about some margin pressures from change and from investment can you give us any color on how 2q consensus looks versus your expectations
spk02: A quick one on organic growth. How does capitated debt calculated as convert from fee-for-service into capitated full organic growth?
spk06: Sure, Pito. In terms of organic growth, the capitated arrangements are 100% organic or non-acquired. Because we did acquire some of these capitated arrangements, but we've anniversaried the years of those acquisitions. So it's 100%. In terms of how the street is thinking about the full year, I guess I'd just summarize it by saying, look, we did better in Q1. We're pleased with it. We think that Q2 is going to be a little softer than what we expected two months ago when we guided. But zooming out, Q3, Q4, we feel very good about. Before your guide, we feel very good about. And so I think it's really a bit of a swap between Q1 and Q2 would be my observation of where the street's at, as well as what we were thinking, you know, a couple months ago. I mean, just, you know, should you take the beat from 1Q and subtract that from the 2Q consensus just from ballpark? I mean, generally, it's a fair way to think about it. Practically, obviously, it doesn't work exactly like that. Yeah, great. Thanks so much, guys. Nice to have the quarter.
spk04: Our next question today comes from Eric Caldwell at Baird.
spk05: Thanks very much. I want to start off with making sure we understand the growth comps in the product categories here in first quarter 24 versus first quarter 23, because I think you've suggested that some of the Humana work was in those categories in the first quarter of last year, but now it's in the capitated line. So is there any additional detail you could give to quantify, as we look at the segment growth rates, excapitated, compared to what was reported last year? Is there any way you could quantify that impact?
spk06: Great question, Eric. You know, it's going to be tough. to quantify it since we're not breaking it out specifically in our filings or our reporting. However, the way that we're thinking about it and attempting to message things is thinking about sleep as a revenue category, diabetes as a revenue category, and then everything else, which includes capitated and includes HME and respiratory and the other revenue categories. It's not perfectly precise to think of it that way, but it does help simplify. And so what we've said is, you know, we expected sleep to grow about mid single digits over the prior year. We saw that in Q1 at 4%. We also said that we expected rental to have a tough comparable year. And if we ended flat, we'd be thrilled for the full year. Might be down a touch, might be up a touch, but we'd be pleased with flat. We've said in diabetes, as someone mentioned earlier, that we had expected to be down to potentially flat in the first half of this year and then adding maybe a point and hopefully another two or three points of growth in the third and fourth quarter of this year. And then for the rest of the revenue categories, you know, the average growth makes up the full year guide number at a little over 3%. So hope that helps, Eric.
spk05: Okay. And then on 2Q, I know during the, I think during some of this Humana transition, I know you won't quantify, can't do that perhaps, but is there still a comp issue on a year-over-year basis in Q2 in the product categories, or is that fully worked through as Q2 23 began?
spk06: Yeah, it won't be a material difference in Q2, Eric. I mean, we did, you know, we committed to, you know, substantially transitioning all patients by the end of the first quarter. We executed on that. I mean, as we stand here today, I think we're down to about 130 or so patients left. So we're, you know, we're down to the nitty gritty. We did transition within the quarter faster than than we had anticipated. And so what that means is you've got nearly a full clean quarter for Q1. So we don't expect that capitated number to really move too much as we're looking to Q2 as it relates to transition.
spk05: And then in terms of the capitated payments across Humana and your other existing accounts, Is there any kind of an outlook you could give us for, and maybe you didn't, I missed it, but is there a revenue target for 2Q or the year? Is there seasonality in these payments? It's a new line we're trying to figure out how to model.
spk06: Yeah, good question, Eric. I mean, I think the right way to think about it is generally flat payments. revenue. The reason for that is that the PMPM is set at the beginning of the calendar year, and the membership is generally set at the beginning of the calendar year. And so utilization will shift. So utilization, we expect, would pick up seasonally, just like the rest of our business. So that could be a You know, that's how we'd expect to think about it. Now, you know, Richard mentioned an expectation for more growth in capitated wins. We have not accounted for any of that in guidance. We don't expect at any time to include, you know, any potential wins in the guidance, but we are deploying resources against pursuing those arrangements.
spk05: Okay. And then on the revenue outlook for, so obviously Q1 was very strong, better than expected. And 2Q margin looks good. Overall commentary for the year sounds good. 2Q doesn't sound so good. What's going on this quarter?
spk06: Yeah, it's really, you know, comparably. I mean, that's really what's driving Q2. You know, so comparably on the revenue side, I mean, the comps are just significantly tougher in Q2 versus Q1. You know, specifically around the diabetes step-up. As well as sleep. I mean, if you look prior here, that sleep rental number was up, you know, $7 million against the first quarter of 23. I mean, we expect sequentially from Q1 to be generally flat. I mean, we would be pleased with flat performance in Q2 out of sleep rental. I mean, that would mean that we're starting... more patients than we are trading from the 13-month rental cycle from a year ago where we had record setups. So that's one key call-out on revenue. Second, we are keeping an eye on some supply chain slowdowns in sleep resupply. I can't say anyone's getting too worked up about it impacting a full year number, but within the quarter, more from a timing perspective, it's just something we're keeping an eye on and we thought it made sense to account for it in the Q2 number. Finally, you know, as thrilled as we are with the performance of our revenue cycle team on this change healthcare matter, you know, it is very costly. You know, on the back end, I mean, now that payments are, you know, inflows are normalizing, um the challenge is that now you have to now you have to apply that payment in your systems right you got you got an erm which is now manual as opposed to uh electronic you got an eob you got to produce the patient accountability right i mean you have to go through all those procedures And in many cases, we've got, you know, labor approaching these one by one, like logging in the portals, pulling things down manually. I mean, it's very costly and obviously wasn't planned, you know, as we started the year. That said, you know, with an outperforming Q1 and our, you know, just firm views on the rest of the year, we think we'll overcome it for the rest of the year. So, you know, some of this is largely timing as opposed to something structural that's changing inside of the business.
spk05: All right. Last one for me. I know it's a lot. Just, again, coming back to 2Q, I don't want to put words in your mouth, but it doesn't sound like you have, or at least you're not calling out, a change in market demand, customer losses, Salesforce issues. I'm just wanting to hear you say that or say, no, in fact, you know, there's some other stuff on the 1% revenue growth outlook. I mean, I think we can all look at the year-over-year comps and understand that. Very understandable. But I just want to make sure there's nothing structural, secular, you know, more fundamental here that you would call out as something worrisome.
spk03: There's nothing structural or fundamental that we would call out. These are just a couple of short-term issues that we're going to overcome in the second quarter. I think we're being appropriately conservative about how we're looking at it. And I just want to be clear that there's no change in customer demand. So, for example, any potential slowdown in sleep resupply has nothing to do with demand. It has to do with supply. So we're just being mindful of things that are possible and trying to be, you know, I hate to use the word conservative, but smart about how we think about the second quarter.
spk05: Very good. Thank you very much.
spk04: Richard Close with Canaccord Genuity. Your line is open for our next question.
spk01: Yes, congratulations on the quarter. Just maybe on the sleep resupply, you know, supply chain issues or, you know, what you're seeing there. Can you go into any more details specifically on what's occurring and the confidence that you know, maybe it's short-term in nature versus longer-term?
spk06: Sure, Richard. This is Jason. So, you know, without getting into specific commercial arrangements or naming names, you know, this is firstly not related to raw materials supply. It's not related to manufacturing capacity. of the suppliers that we purchase product from. This is related to a slowdown in distribution. Some of these suppliers have called out publicly, particularly like Red Sea Impact and just dragging out some distribution. Now there's things we can do with those suppliers to get around some of that by air freighting and the such, which obviously increases cost. So it's kind of a supply versus cost question, but at the end of the day, we're doing everything we can to get the product that our patients are asking for and to get that out on patients.
spk01: Okay, that's helpful. And then with respect to diabetes, maybe just an update there. You talked a little bit about the pumps. Maybe if you refresh our memory on exactly, you know, how you're thinking about the impact in terms of revenues and pumps as you progress through the year. And then commentary on doubling the sales force in diabetes, just the you know, a current update in terms of where that stands and productivity expectations?
spk06: Sure. Richard, I'll speak a little bit on the pump dynamic and then pass it to Richard for some comments on CGN and Salesforce. You know, pump and pump supplies, I mean, we had expected that to be down $15 to $20 million for the full year as part of our guide at the beginning of the year. You know, we also message an expectation for that to ramp sequentially down from Q1 until the end of the year as we're working to set up and start more tubeless pumps versus tube-based pumps. We did a little better than we thought for Q1 than we would do. So look, it's one quarter. We're not getting too excited about it, but we do intend to continue that trend. So it's the second quarter in a row that we put out more tube-less pumps and earn more revenue from tube-less pumps than we did from tube-based pumps. So it'll take time for that to continue to cycle through the overall patient portfolio, but we're very focused on it. Richard?
spk03: Yeah, we had just a comment on the increase in our distribution. We've done two things. We've added 40-ish new reps. They've all been trained around in the field. and we're actually seeing results that we're quite pleased with from the majority of the new hires. You're not going to get 100%, and we're doing very well. We're being very well trained. But very importantly, we're also deploying them in places that are target-rich. For example, we deployed new sales reps in New York City, where there's a huge prevalence of diabetes in some other large cities. So it's not just the increase in the sales group. It's also the targeting of markets that we think are going to be particularly fruitful.
spk01: All right. Thank you.
spk04: Kevin Caliendo over at UBS. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk06: Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I find it interesting that one of your public peers is investing in their sleep sales force. You guys have as well. I'm just wondering, given sort of the comments today, is there any underlying business that's intensifying, or are you seeing an opportunity in the marketplace for growth that's new that's out there that you're trying to capitalize upon, or are you just trying to get out ahead of the fleet data and the GLP-1s? It just seemed interesting to me, especially given the sort of comments around 2Q and everything. So you can talk maybe about the competitive dynamics and the strategy in sleep.
spk03: Look, we're in a competitive business. Let's start with that. But we're the number one in sleep by a good margin, and our market share is increasing each year, each quarter. So, you know, we're starting from a very, very good place. We are adding sleep reps, again, target-rich places where we think we have an opportunity to grow. So we're You know, we believe that we can grow, continue to grow very, very nicely. You know, no one disputes the fact that there's a huge number of undiagnosed OSA folks out there. As I said, you know, when Lillian made their announcement a couple weeks ago, they talked about a number that was even startling to us in its size of the number of potential OSA folks So we're, you know, we think that there's, you know, it's a very, very, there's still nice tailwinds to the sleep business. And given our market leadership and our strength in the market, we're going to make the best use we can.
spk06: That's helpful. I appreciate that. And just one quick question on diabetes. You discussed the pharmacy channel shift in that marketplace. Was there any contribution there at all? How should we think about that? Did it contribute in the quarter in any way, shape, or form? It did not incrementally contribute in Q1, Kevin. We do expect a very modest contribution in Q2 as we have opened up four key markets on pharmacy that we, you know, that team were very proud of, and they delivered on that near the end of Q1. So, look, it won't be material, but the team's focused on it, and we intend to open up more markets as we go throughout the year.
spk03: Thanks. Listen, we appreciate all the color this morning.
spk04: And our next question will come from, I do apologize if I mispronounce your name. It's from Jonna Gajuk at Bank of America.
spk00: Thank you. That was pretty good. Thanks for taking the question here. A couple of follow-ups on change and the impact in Q2. I just want to clarify. You said it's pretty much just the cost, and I understand just processing things manually versus automated systems that you normally use that's very costly. But I just want to clarify and make sure, are there any impact to admission process in terms of just having more patients and, I guess, processing the existing patients on resupply because of change outage?
spk06: No. We and our third-party suppliers do not rely on change for either of those areas of patient accounting.
spk00: Okay, good. And when it comes to diabetes, you just mentioned the pharmacy rollout, and also on the last quarter you talk about – looking for a partner to ramp up your participation in this channel? It sounds like things are happening there, so any updates there in terms of finding a partner, or are you doing it yourself?
spk06: Well, we're continuing to do it ourselves. We are exploring partnership as an outsourcing opportunity to compress costs on the back end. So we haven't yet made a determination on that, but we are still evaluating. But the four markets I mentioned that have been opened up, that's entirely organic and done with our own internal capabilities.
spk00: Okay, great. And as the lights do die in the pharmacy channel, So maybe an update on any additional payers. You know, is there still anybody left that could still shift? You know, when I'm talking about managed Medicaid or Medicare advantages, maybe are, you know, using the medical benefit, I could shift to pharmacy benefit. Is there still out there or are you pretty much done with those?
spk06: Sure. I mean, it is still potential. You know, I would say that our percent of government business is up to 81% within diabetes for the quarter. And so we continue to drive more and more new start activity towards that channel, if you will, which we believe is better insulated from pharmacy shift risk. We'd say within the quarter, we detected three payer changes moving from commercial and more medical benefit to a pharmacy benefit. One of them was an upper Midwest regional mid-share company. The other two were state Medicaid offices. The four markets I mentioned where we've opened pharmacy operations is in one of those state Medicaid offices. So we're working to continue to get after that business. So we didn't see a material impact of a pharmacy shift to our business in the first quarter of 24.
spk00: So would you say you are, you know, in the aggregate, I guess, in your business when it comes to pharmacy versus DME benefits?
spk06: But you're asking what percent of our business is pharmacy versus medical benefit? It's very small. It's still in the 5% or so range for pharmacy and in the vast majority in a medical benefit distribution.
spk00: Okay. And if I may, just two more questions. So, I don't know, COPEX, so you read from your regard for guidance, understandably some impact from change, but COPEX, right, so it's 11% of revenue down from a year ago, but I guess above the full year guidance of more like a 10% weight. So, is it just timing and COPEX sort of still expected to be in the same, right, just you discussed previously?
spk06: Yes, you've got it.
spk00: Okay. And last one, so you keep paying down debt. So that's great. And reducing your interest expense. So that's great. That helps the cash flow. And I guess you have any targeting to, you know, even reduce further. And I guess that terminal matures in January 26. So any initial indication of how you plan to go about it? It sounds like you would have to address it later this year.
spk06: Yeah, good questions. You know, so for Q1, we exited at 3.12 times levered. You know, we've said that we expect to be below three times, which is our stated leverage target before the end of 2024. And we do think we'll deliver on that sooner versus later. You're correct. The TLA is, you know, it'll come current in Jan of 25. It comes due Jan of 26. As you'd expect, our bank group has been activated. We're working closely to start considering options. So we'll do something this year. But, you know, we're continuing to pay it down in the meantime. And as we message for Q2, we're going to continue to do that.
spk00: Great. It makes sense. Thank you so much for taking the questions.
spk04: And at this time, we have no further questions from our audience. I'll turn it back to our management team for any additional or closing remarks.
spk03: Thanks, everyone, for joining our first quarter conference call. Jason and the team will be available, as myself as well, to answer any questions that you've got. Thank you.
spk04: This does conclude today's teleconference, and we do thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.
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