2/26/2025

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Amarillo's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants on the listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automatic message advising your hand is raised. Please note that today's conference is being recorded. I will now hand the conference over to your speaker host, Louis Gerhardy, VBO corporate development and invest solutions. Please go ahead.

speaker
Louis Gerhardy
VP, Corporate Development & Investment Solutions

Thank you, Livia. And good afternoon and thank you for joining our fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2024 financial results conference call. On the call with me today is Dr. Fermi Wong, president and CEO, and John Young, CFO. Primary purpose of today's call is to provide you with information regarding the results for our fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2024. The discussion today and the responses to your questions will contain forward looking statements regarding our projected financial results, financial prospects, market growth, and demand for our solutions among other things. These statements are based on currently available information and subject to risk uncertainties and assumptions. Should any of these risks or uncertainties materialize or should our assumptions prove to be incorrect, our actual results could differ materially from these forward looking statements. We're under no obligation to update these statements. These risks, uncertainties, and assumptions as well as other information on potential risk factors that could affect our financial results are more fully described in the documents we file with SEC. Access to our fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2024 results press release, transcripts, historical results, SEC filings, and a replay of today's call can be found on the investor relations page of our website. The content of today's call as well as the materials posted on our website are Ambrella's property and cannot be reproduced or transcribed without our prior written consent. Fermi will now provide a business update for the quarter. John will review the financial results and outlook and then we'll be all available for your questions. Fermi.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Thank you, Luis, and good afternoon. Thank you for joining our call today. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 24, our revenue increased about 2% sequentially and we slightly exceeded the midpoint of our guidance range. Thanks to the early actions we took to help our customer navigate their access inventory, our business continued to stabilize and it's beginning to recover. For the full fiscal year 24, our revenue declined .9% year over year as our customers digested inventory resulting from the industry-wide semiconductor cyclical downturn. Looking ahead to fiscal year 25, we continue to expect both our automotive and IoT business to grow. As the cyclical challenges went and the secular growth of our age AI strategy emerges, our customers currently have a cumulative install base of more than 20 million AI-infrared SOCs all from our 10 nanometer CV2 family and the 5 nanometer CV5. This is based on approximately 280 customer products that have reached production on a cumulative basis. The CV2 family is expected to continue to be the key driver of our revenue growth in fiscal year 25. Our AI-infrared business, all in age applications, represented approximately 60% of total fiscal 24 revenue and was the key factor in the meetings presented year over year increase in our blended ASP. The trend to a richer mix of AI revenue and higher averaging selling price is expected to continue. In particular, the CV3 SOC family enters production. At this time, virtually all of our customers' new design activity involves our AI inference processors. In fact, this was the first year at the CES where all of our SOC demos, more than 30, were based on our AI inference products. Fiscal 24 was certainly challenging for most of the industry. However, there were key industry developments and the company's specific achievements that we believe leave us very well positioned for growth as the market recovery plays out. For the industry, in the past, the AI process opportunity had primarily been represented by training GPUs in server located in data centers and this is a market that we do not serve. However, in the last year, the important role and the opportunity for inference processors, in particular at age, has become better understood and this is exactly where we have been focused on. Internally, we achieved four key milestones during the last year. First, we have now shipped more than 500,000 units of our first five nanometer SOC CV5 and we expect our shipments in fiscal year 2025 to approximately double. Most of CV5 volume is currently in our IoT business, although we expect an automotive OEM to start production in the second half of the year. The fact we have already achieved high volume mass production at five nanometer helps pave the way for our other five nanometer SOC, such as the CV3 family. Second, the automotive market will sample both the high-end production version of our five nanometer CV3, as well as a five nanometer version for China. At the high end, we sample CV3-AD685, targeting L3 and above autonomy and this central domain controller is currently in evaluation at multiple OEMs and tier ones globally. So far, we are finding success in L3 and above commercial vehicles. For the basic highway L2 plus are feeling China, we introduced a CV72AQ and we have numerous tier one design wins and OEM discussions on the way. Third, we introduce our generative AI, GEN AI strategy for the age of the network and we are sampling our five nanometer N1 processor targeting age applications, ranging from IoT devices to age servers. Fourth, we'll continue to build out the CV3 automotive platform to offer our tier one and OEM customers turnkey options with our software stack and our centrally processed HD radar algorithms. We started new year at the Consumer Electronic Show CES, where we hosted over 200 customer meetings and made a number of significant announcements for automotive, GEN AI and our new Cooper development platform. We were pleased to receive a CES Innovation Award for the second year in a row, this time for our centralized radar processing architecture. In December, we unveiled our latest software stack for level two plus and higher autonomous driving applications. This software is optimized and can scale across our entire CV3 processor family, enabling OEM to get to market faster and reduce development costs. The new software stack, including the perception, fusion and planning layers is primarily deep learning based, which allows software development to scale more easily, resulting in a more accurate solution. Finally, most important, we rely on high resolution camera and the radar perception data to create a real time map inside the vehicle. And for this reason, we eliminate the use of a stored HD maps that may contain still data, which will result in improved results and the reduced costs for OEM. If needed, the software stack is available in modules and can be combined with an OEM's own software intellectual property. During the CES show, we demonstrated a stack running on a single CV3 automotive AI domain processor in our own autonomous vehicle, successfully completing over 150 autonomous rides. The demonstration integrated our RQLA radar algorithm for the first time. We also announced the expansion of our CV3 processor family with the addition of our CV3 AD635 and the 655 SoCs. The new CV3-AD635 supports a sensing suite that includes multiple cameras and radars to enable mainstream level two plus feature set, such as highway autopilot and automated parking. In addition to meeting the GSR2 and NCAP standards. Additionally, the 655 enables advanced level two plus with urban autopilot, as well as the support for additional cameras, radars and other sensors. With the previously announced flagship 685 SoC, along with the China folks CV72AQ SoC, the CV3 family of a full processors now covers the full range of AD and ADAT solutions, from mainstream to premium passenger vehicles. The new CV3-AD SoCs were endorsed by our partner Continental. Kodiak Robotics, a leading autonomous vehicle company, focused on parking and the defense announced that it had selected our CV3-AD685 AI domain controller for its next generation autonomous vehicles. In IoT markets during CES, we announced we are bringing GenAI capabilities to the edge through the introduction of our N1 processor for on-premises applications. This SoC supports up to 34 billion parameters, multimodal large language models, LLMs, with low power consumption, enabling GenAI for edge applications. We demonstrated multimodal LLM running on the new N1 processor at a fraction of the power per inference of leading GPU solutions. And brought it in to bring GenAI to a wide range of edge applications, including video security, robotics, and industrial applications. Quanta Computer announced it was partnering with Emmera to develop products based on our CV3-AD685 CV72, a new N1 processor to address cutting edge AI devices. This offering addressed the growing market demand for diverse range of neural network and LLMs, and the well-empowered business across sectors, including autonomous vehicle, smart surveillance, robotics, and healthcare. Quanta demonstrated PCIe adding cards based on our N1, as well as showing automotive ECUs based on CV3-AD685. We also introduced and demonstrated our new Cooper Developers Platform. Cooper offers seamless integration of software, hardware, -the-art fine-tuned AI models, and the services that provide universal support on Emmera's entire portfolio of AI SOCs. We have now successfully deployed Cooper to some of our IoT customers worldwide. I will now quickly highlight some of the customer products announced with me during the last quarter. In the Chinese automotive market, we continue to expand our position in this important market. During the quarter, GAC Auto announced the ION-8MAX Passenger Car with combination driver monitoring and in-capping sensing based on our CV25AQ automotive AI vision processor. GAC also introduced Trompey M8 Passenger Car with driver monitoring and multi-channel occupancy monitoring, also based on our CV25AQ. And in January, Xiaopeng unveiled its X9 MediaVane, including an electronic mirror system based on our A12 automotive SOC. And in the enterprise IoT market, Korean market leader Hanhwa Vision introduced multiple models based on AI vision SOC, including 4K and a full-channel multi-directional cameras based on our CV2SOCs, and the AI thermal camera based on our CV22SOCs. While Korean camera supplier IDIS introduced a two megapixel voice-over IP video intercom based on our CV28SOC. And Taiwan-based VivoTek also introduces a new AT server-V3 family of IP camera based on our CV22AISOCs, and featuring fixed-on and bully models with advanced AI capabilities. And in the home monitoring market, Canadian service provider TELUS announced its home view doorbell camera based on our CV20AM AISOC and featuring advanced AI detection. In summary, looking forward our key objectives to restore revenue growth and profitability while continuing to drive our strategic R&D priorities for AI inference process opportunities at an age. To achieve this goal, we are highly focused on commercialization of technology and products we have developed. And in particular converting the multiple RFIs and RFQs we are currently working on for CV2 and CV3 into awarded business. Furthermore, returning our IoT business to its positive secular growth trajectory is very important, and this includes our early business development for our new gen AI environment. In conclusion, we have not been distracted by the prolonged industry-wide cynical downturn, and we see the secular trends we address, safety, security, and automation remaining very strong. The increased market attention on inference processing in particular at the age is aligned with where we have been investing. In the new year, we are very excited about the opportunities we are working on, and we look forward to move more business into one color, and I'm excited about what we will achieve in the years ahead. With that, John will now discuss the Q4 and the full year fiscal year 2024 results, and I'll look in more detail.

speaker
John Young
CFO

Thank you, Fermi. Before I begin, I would like to say that I'm honored to assume the CFO role. I've been working with the team for seven years, and I'm very excited to help the company as it pursues growth in its target markets. I'll now review the financial highlights for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2024, ending January 31st, 2024. I will also provide a financial outlook for our first quarter of fiscal year 2025, ending April 30th, 2024. I will be discussing non-GAAP results and ask that you refer to today's press release for a detailed reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results. For non-GAAP reporting, we have eliminated stock-based compensation expense, along with acquisition-related and restructuring costs, adjusted for the impact of taxes. Fiscal year 2024 revenue decreased .9% to $226.5 million. IOT revenue was about two thirds of the total revenue and declined about 40% for the year. Auto revenue represented the balance of revenue and declined about 14% for the year. From a product point of view, a large majority of our fiscal 2024 revenue decline was from our human viewing video processor SOCs. For fiscal year 2024, non-GAAP gross margin was .3% versus .9% in fiscal 2023. Non-GAAP operating expense increased .9% for the year versus .6% in the prior year. Ending cash and marketable securities totaled $219.9 million up from $206.9 million at the end of the prior year. For fiscal Q4, revenue was $51.6 million, slightly above the midpoint of our prior guidance range, up 2% from the prior quarter and down 38% year over year. Non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q4 was .5% in line with our prior guidance range. Non-GAAP operating expense was $44.1 million, approximately flat with the prior quarter and below our prior guidance range of $45 to $48 million, driven by continued expense management and the timing of spending between quarters. We remain on track to our internal product development milestones. Q4 net interest and other income was $2.1 million. Q4 non-GAAP tax provision was approximately $119,000. In fiscal Q4, we recorded a one-time GAAP non-cash tax charge of $22.7 million, establishing a valuation allowance on certain US deferred tax assets that were deemed more likely than not to be unrealizable in the foreseeable future. This valuation allowance was excluded from fiscal Q4 and non-GAAP tax provision, consistent with our historical practice for changes to tax valuation allowances. This adjustment is a non-cash tax charge required by GAAP based on the proportion of taxable income in the United States. We reported a non-GAAP net loss of $9.8 million or a 24 cent loss per diluted share. Now I'll turn to our balance sheet and cash flow. Fiscal Q4 cash and marketable securities decreased $2.4 million from the prior quarter to $219.9 million. Receivables days of sales outstanding increased from 42 days in the prior quarter to 44 days, while days of inventory decreased from 145 to 131 days. Inventory dollars declined 6% sequentially and declined 28% from a year ago. Operating cash outflow was $4 million for the quarter. And for the full year, we generated operating cash inflow of $19 million. Capital expenditures for tangible and intangible assets were $1.9 million for the quarter and $12 million for the year. We had two logistics and ODM companies representing 10% or more of our revenue in Q4. WT Microelectronics, a fulfillment partner in Taiwan that ships to multiple customers in Asia, came in at 55% of revenue for the fourth quarter and 53% for the full fiscal year 2024. Chikoni, an ODM who manufactures for multiple end customers, was 14% of revenue for both the quarter and the full fiscal year 2024. I'll now discuss the outlook for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. Our early actions during the cyclical downturn in the semiconductor industry have helped our customers navigate their high inventory balances, and these actions are now enabling our business to stabilize and begin to recover. For fiscal Q1, we estimate our total revenue will be in the range of $52 to $56 million. We expect sequential growth in both IOT and auto. We expect fiscal Q1 non-GAAP gross margin to be in the range of 61.5 to 63%. We expect non-GAAP OPEX in the first quarter to be in the range of 46 to $49 million, with the increase compared to Q4, driven by new product development costs and employee-related expenses, which we were able to delay in previous quarters. We estimate net interest income to be approximately $1.5 million, our non-GAAP tax expense to be approximately 500,000, and our diluted share count to be approximately 40.8 million shares. Amber Elle will be participating in a fireside chat and hosting -on-one and group meetings on February 29th in New York City at Sesquihana's Technology Conference. We will also be participating in Morgan Stanley's TMT Conference in San Francisco on Monday, March 4th. On March 18th, we will participate in the Roth Conference in Southern California. We hope to see you at one of these events. Please contact us for more details. Thank you for joining our call today, and with that, I will turn the call over to the operator for questions.

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, simply press star 1-1 again. In the consideration of time, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Thank you. Now, first question coming from the line of Quinn Bolton from Neatham, Elonis Open.

speaker
Neil Young
Analyst/Caller (asking on behalf of Quinn Bolton)

Hey, this is Neil Young. I'm for Quinn Bolton. Thank you for taking my questions. So, you said you were seeing project delays from Tier 1s and OEMs, as well as volume reductions in planned projects, which you called out more of an inventory issue. How's that inventory improvement, I should say, is that inventory improvement progressing ahead of where you thought it would? And if so, are you starting to get the sense that these projects will resume soon? And then I had a follow-up.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

So, you are referring to what we said in a quarter before?

speaker
Neil Young
Analyst/Caller (asking on behalf of Quinn Bolton)

Yes.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

So, I think in November, when we provide, I think early December, when we provide our final guidance for this year, I think we talk about, there's a project got pushed out, and OEM Tier 1s also some decision for a new project also got delayed. And also there's some inventory. I think what we are seeing is still consistent with what we have said in December last year. I think there's no new updates. I don't think, we haven't seen new development in terms of a further project got delayed or pushed out.

speaker
Neil Young
Analyst/Caller (asking on behalf of Quinn Bolton)

Okay, so on the auto side regarding inventory, you aren't seeing any improvements?

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

We haven't seen any improvement, but we are not seeing there's getting worse.

speaker
Neil Young
Analyst/Caller (asking on behalf of Quinn Bolton)

Okay, thanks. And then for my follow-up, so in the past, you talked about how the first CV3 revenue would come from China. I believe in your opening remarks, I heard you say you're engaged in discussion with multiple Tier 1s and already have multiple Design 1s on the way. If that's the case, when do you think you'll see first revenue from those wins? And then maybe just an update on the demand environment in China.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Right, so for CV72AQ, we expected that the first revenue from those design wins would be in calendar year 2026, that we have talked about this in a previous call. And basically that was a low end, CV72AQ is basically the low end of CV3 family, and addressing first level of level 2 plus, for example, for the A-plus smart parking. So that's the low market in China, and we're working on, we already have design with Tier 1 and working with OEM design wins right now. So, but I think for the market development point of view, I think China continue to be one of the focus areas that we are in, because I think that, I think everybody see the EV development in China, and we believe autonomous driving also will happen in China faster than other area. So that's definitely we believe we can monetize our CV3 technology in China faster than any other areas.

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Thank you, and our next question coming from the line of, Christopher Rollins, this is Kehana, Elon is open.

speaker
Christopher Rollins
Analyst/Caller

Hi, thanks for the question. Just about your N1 product, maybe even any more thoughts on how large this could be for you guys, have you considered, or has anyone talked about combining multiple chips into a server or appliance? And then lastly, does this meet the Chinese compute restrictions for import as well?

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Thanks. Right, so first of all, in terms of N1, we definitely believe that, first of all, technically we can put multiple chip together and to serve a high end solution, but so far we believe a single chip solution at the age will meet a lot of demands for a lot of our current customer, maybe even new customers, but I do see a point if you want to go to the age server side that with multiple chip will provide a better solution. Definitely that's a direction we are looking at. And the current solution that, for example, we demo with our partners building PCIe card, today is a single chip solution, but it can be multiple chip in the future. In terms of the American regulation, I think N1, because our architecture, although we can provide high performance at very low power consumption, but our total top number as well as the bandwidth is much lower than our competition. And that's our strength, our architecture, that we can use smaller top number and lower bandwidth to achieve a similar or higher performance.

speaker
Louis Gerhardy
VP, Corporate Development & Investment Solutions

Great, thank you for me. Chris, in terms of the market size, we've had many discussions at CES and afterwards with customers on our GEN-AI and LLM products, and we see really good feedback about what these products can do. And many customers we found out just were not aware that GEN-AI models like Lava could run so efficiently on a sub 50 watt SOC. And so this has triggered a lot of discussions with our customers and how they're gonna use the product. And we're gonna wait to put some market sizing figures out until we're a little bit farther down that process. But the feedback's really good, especially doing this on a sub 50 watt SOC. Great. Do you have a follow up, Chris?

speaker
Christopher Rollins
Analyst/Caller

Yeah, maybe around the kind of Edge AI and camera opportunity. Maybe if you could describe that, I mean, there's so much focus on auto, but next gen, like security cameras with all this AI functionality, like

speaker
Killian
Analyst/Caller (Go Japan)

what

speaker
Christopher Rollins
Analyst/Caller

are growth rates for that market? Do you have now visibility into a funnel to kind of refresh that and to revigorate that market? And what kind of growth could we be talking for kind of that Edge market as well with your products? Thanks.

speaker
Louis Gerhardy
VP, Corporate Development & Investment Solutions

Well, for our SAM, we haven't updated it for gen AI, kind of like the prior discussion. So we're still sizing that up. But the prior SAM CAGR, if you will, that we talked about was in the low teens range, thinking of a five year SAM CAGR for that market, but that does not include the gen AI products. And we're gonna take a little bit longer to put those numbers in. In terms of kind of the insight into building momentum in this market and any sort of funnel, I'll pass that off to Fermi.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Yeah, in fact, although we talk a lot about auto, because that's a huge opportunity, but we never underestimate the importance of security camera market for us. This is really a big portion of our revenue and we continue to believe that the Edge AI application for security cameras is important for us and we continue to develop new platform. For example, we announced the CV72 and we'll announce new chips for this market in the near future. So I think we believe that the AI performance demand in security camera will continue to grow and we want to continue to be the dominant player on the mainstream high end product line.

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Thank you. And our next question coming from the line up, Matt Ramsey with TD Cowan, ULN is open.

speaker
Matt Ramsey
Analyst/Caller (TD Cowan)

Good afternoon, guys. Thank you. I guess Fermi, I wanted to follow up with you on some of the initial feedback on the N1 from an inference perspective. And I guess it's not a surprise to me given that the engineering and architecture team are getting good feedback on low power inference. I guess my question is as you get that good feedback and you're interacting with customers that can potentially ramp this product over time, given kind of where the P&L is for you guys right now during the correction, what's the business model over the next 12 to 18 months to start to really build a business around this and get something that could ramp at scale given the software investments that you need, et cetera. Are customers willing and are you willing to

speaker
Bill Moore
Analyst/Caller (Morgan Stanley)

do

speaker
Matt Ramsey
Analyst/Caller (TD Cowan)

sort of NRE payment arrangements? Are people willing to invest alongside you on software? I'm just trying to figure out, I can see big potential here, but there's also some limitations on capital given where the business is. And I'm trying to understand what the discussions are to get you from point A to point B if this is gonna be a big product.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Right, so I think you make a good point. I think for the N1 development, it's going to be significant for us. But that's why we are open for any kind of business model including from partnership to NRE numbers. I think with N1, we only can address some of the customer, particularly our existing customer demand and also on the software. In fact, we can demo this, show you that our investment on the software and tools and the silicon can be leveraged for our first generation chip. So from that point of view, I think our majority of our investment for N1 is done. So the real question is what's our roadmap moving forward? And we, for example, we look at the Cooper development, although we define Cooper for other purpose, but definitely directly apply to our N1 development. So let's talk about for our LLM, or chain AI roadmap. I think that's where the difficulty is, right? I think it's from the PLN point of view, if we want to do this, we need to continue to invest on R&D for new chips and maybe even new software. So from that point of view, I agree with you that we have to look at all the possible scenario, including a partnership as well as NDA, so some of the NRE payments for us to pay for the current cost. But I think based on the feedbacks become very clear that LLM is not only for the data center, LLM will penetrate to the age device and our current existing customer and future customer all want LLM as a part of the roadmap. So I think that we need to be flexible to develop a roadmap for our customer, and we have to figure that out sometime this year.

speaker
Matt Ramsey
Analyst/Caller (TD Cowan)

Thank you for all the thoughts there for me. I guess it's my follow-up question where the revenue levels are right now, you guys have been consistent the last couple of quarters that you're working with the customer base to burn through inventory that they had built, and you're clearly under shipping and sell through by a pretty significant margin to do that. So I mean, I asked this last quarter and maybe it was too early to ask, but now that we've had three more months, you have a feel now as to what the steady state sell through revenue level of the business is currently just with the designs you've won, particularly in the security camera businesses. What's sell through and what's the market size right now after we've gone way up and then way down on the inventory correction? What's kind of the steady state sell through that you're under shipping to burn through inventory? Do you have an estimate for that? Thanks.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Yeah, so we are trying very hard to understand numbers. So let me give you my thoughts. I think, when I look at the number at the peak, we shipped probably 92 million a quarter. At the bottom, we shipped roughly 50 million. And when we look at all of the statistics and the numbers, the model we built, we feel the midpoint of that two numbers is probably a comfortable level for us, and we are definitely working hard to go to reach that level. So I think roughly in the $70 million range is probably the number we are shooting for when everything get equalized.

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Thank you. And our next question coming from the lineup, Torrey Sandberg with Stiefel, your line is open.

speaker
Torrey Sandberg
Analyst/Caller (Stiefel)

Yes, thank you. My first question for me, so you talked about Fiscal 25, you expect to see growth in both auto and IOT. I was just hoping you could give us a little bit more of the puts and takes and how you think the year to progress. Obviously, there's still probably some lingering inventory, especially on the auto side, but yeah, any more color you can give us as far as the growth you're expecting in both segments this year. You are talking about

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

CV5 or

speaker
Torrey Sandberg
Analyst/Caller (Stiefel)

overall

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

auto? No, I'm talking about your...

speaker
Torrey Sandberg
Analyst/Caller (Stiefel)

You mentioned you expect both segments to grow this year, so if you could just give us a little more of the dynamic, yeah.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Right, so I think for the... Let's talk about IOT first. I think for IOT, it's pretty clear that, you know, with the CV2 product line that we're being, you know, growing CV revenue from close to 60% last year, and we believe that the momentum of CV2 family will continue, particularly after the inventory problem is behind us. So I think, at that point, I think CV2 family will drive the growth for us, but more importantly, I think in our... In the screen, we talk about CV5, what's that ramping. Last year, we did half a million units, and this year, we probably gonna double it, and that will also, if you consider ASP, that could be meaningful growth for us. So I think that's where, on the IOT side. On the automotive side, I definitely think that, you know, first of all, we continue to announce the CV2 design wing in ADAS, in the OMS, CMS, on the electronic mirror, and the recorders. Those continue to be a big portion of our revenue, but also we are announcing some partnership with CV3 early customer that we are start delivering samples, and also partnership with NREs. That will definitely play a role in our CV3 revenue, sorry, our automotive revenues in there. So I think, overall, although that automotive market continue to be weak, based on the feedback from the market, but I still believe that we are a small player in the automotive space, and we're trying to be big one. Throughout the process, we're looking at more along the line our growth with the current design wings. So I think that's how we feel comfortable that automotive will also have growth this year.

speaker
Louis Gerhardy
VP, Corporate Development & Investment Solutions

Yeah, Tori, from a product point of view, and fiscal 25, you know, our AI inference products, well, you know, it's almost all CV2, will be more than 100% of our growth. That means the video processor business will, you know, which was down substantially, as John mentioned, in fiscal 24, it dropped about $80 million. That rate of decline in video processors will begin to really taper off in fiscal 25. Did you have a follow up, Tori?

speaker
Torrey Sandberg
Analyst/Caller (Stiefel)

Yeah, that was very helpful. My follow up, I was pretty impressed with the new Cooper Developed Platform when I saw your samples at CVS, and I was just wondering, you know, how that the Developed Platform is helping you secure, you know, more business activity, because it does seem like it was an important piece of the pie that was missing, but obviously now that you have it readily available.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

In fact, all our existing customers are eager to get their hands on the Cooper. Tells me a lot about how much they like this development, because now it's become very easy for them to port software through two different umbrella platform, different silicon means, and also it's easy to transfer the software and the function or AI algorithm from chip to chip. So this whole development is important, not only for us, but also for our customers. And I think for the existing customer, that will make their development work even more comfortable and faster. So it will help us to keep those customers, but also for the new customer, even in the LLM part, I think that we can provide an environment for customer quickly can convert their software algorithm to run on our chip is important for our designers.

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Rossi Moore with Go Japan, Killian is open.

speaker
Killian
Analyst/Caller (Go Japan)

Hi guys, thanks for asking the question. When I think about the ASPs that you mentioned for going from CV2 to CV5, or even backwards looking to the CV2 itself, can you just walk us through again, and a quarters of magnitude or pricing ranges, how much for ASPs the tailwind in calendar year 24, and what do you expect them to be in calendar 25? Right, so first

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

of all, right, so for CV2 family, I think we talk about the price can be anywhere from the high single digit to the probably $30 range, and that's, and the average ASP probably high teens. That's a CV2 family. And CV5, we're talking about anywhere from a low 30s to a high 40s in that range. And that's, and with our runway, we think that we can maintain very healthy, not only ASP, but also gross margin in that part of the line. Then CV5, and in fact we have CV72 that we mentioned, the price range is similar to CV5, but for AIoT it's a different part of the line. So I think, and then we talk about CV3, the ASPs anywhere from the $40 to $400 from CV72 to CV3 is $685. So that just gives you an idea of ASP changes.

speaker
Killian
Analyst/Caller (Go Japan)

Great, thanks for that detail for me. And then I guess you talked about the year and growing in both sides of the business. Obviously we have the first quarter guidance and talked about a little bit of the trajectory in a prior question on both your two sides of your business. But if we think about the kind of the second half versus the first half, it seems like you need some relatively sizable sequential increases on a percentage basis to get to that sort of number. Do you think you will be well within those, kind of those average of roughly 70 million true sell through numbers? And if so, is that kind of a second half dynamic? And I guess is that more just about shipping to demand so the inventory had wins abate or is it about new products ramping?

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Right, first of all we didn't guide any quarter to be 70 million in our guidance. We talk about, we believe that we're gonna have growth this year and also believe that our Q1 guidance. But overall I think, when I look at the number that Street's predicting, I think it's reasonable. And also that based on what we have seen with our customer demands and as well as our booking, I feel comfortable with the current Q1, Q2 guidance. Of course Q3, Q4, we haven't seen enough booking, but however the momentum is there. So I think I'm comfortable that we're going to grow and in terms of our quarter to quarter growth, we haven't provided any guidance on that yet.

speaker
Louis Gerhardy
VP, Corporate Development & Investment Solutions

Yeah and Ross, just to follow up on the ASP question, our ASP and fiscal 24 grew about 15% year over year and looking into the next year, it really depends on the mix of video processor versus CD, but even within the CV2 family, the ratio of CV5s to some of the lower end CV2s, then of course we won't have CV3 revenue contributing in fiscal 25. So should be some increase, but it's just hard to say how much now. Livia, we can move on to the next question.

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Now our next question coming from Delina, Kevin Cassidy with Rosin Plat Security, Zulana Soapin.

speaker
Kevin Cassidy
Analyst/Caller (Rosin Plat Security)

Yeah, thanks for taking my question and congratulations on the strong results. Just on your end one, as you're talking to customers about it, what is the competitive landscape? What are some of the alternative designs that they're looking at and I guess is the GPU still being considered even as a edge processor?

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Well, some low end GPU being considered but as a edge processor, you really need a SoC with very low power consumption and with that, GPU is much less considered, but however, I do believe that Qualcomm definitely have an ambition to come to this market and when we compare to them, just like when we compare to them in the automotive space, I think we can deliver higher performance at low power consumption, that's consistent to be the case. So I do believe we are looking at very similar competitors like our automotive market.

speaker
Kevin Cassidy
Analyst/Caller (Rosin Plat Security)

Great, thanks and it seems to me you're getting a lot of leverage out of the five nanometer process. You've got lots of parts, price performance ranges with this five nanometer. Is there anything in your roadmap looking to go below five nanometer now?

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Yes, we have to. I think there's no chance we'll stay at five nanometer for too long, but however, I think it's really driven by two things. One is whether we can justify the cost and also whether the performance requirement, but I definitely believe that you'll start hearing us talking about the next generation of process selections in the near future.

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Thank you and as our finalist and gentlemen, to ask a question, please press star one one. And our next question coming from the line up, Bill Moore with Morgan Stanley, Helene Sulfan.

speaker
Bill Moore
Analyst/Caller (Morgan Stanley)

Great, thank you. Fermi, you had alluded to some OEM wins for CV5 that start to ramp in the second half of the year. Can you talk about what applications you're addressing there?

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

It's an EV truck in Western space and we definitely, we have been working on this case for several years and customer doesn't allow us to talk about it just yet, but I think that since they are close to announce their product and I feel that we feel comfortable to share with this news but not to mention the customer names.

speaker
Bill Moore
Analyst/Caller (Morgan Stanley)

Great, thank you for that. And then I guess as far as the N1 product goes, you guys have kind of always shied away from doing anything in a phone because you don't want to become a feature in a chipset. But obviously a lot of the potential large language model inference could be in devices like phones. So can you just talk about what, are there opportunities around that to do co-processors or where do you kind of draw the line at your participation?

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Right, since both Qualcomm and the MediaTek are very eager to come in to introducing products in the phone space for LLM, I feel that our opportunity is limited because my idea is that even LLM on the phone because you have 5G connectivity, you might be able to use some LLM at H but still leverage the 5G so you can connect it to the cloud to run most of the LLM functions on the server side. So with that, cell phone become a limited opportunity for us not only because Qualcomm MediaTek has an advantage in terms of a market share there but also the usage model is really not purely H, it's a combination of H and the cloud. So my feeling is we are going to look at pure H devices that focusing on the battery sensitive and also the latency sensitive applications just like what we had before.

speaker
Bill Moore
Analyst/Caller (Morgan Stanley)

Great, thank you very much.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Thank you. And I'm showing no further questions in the queue at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Dr. Fermi Wong for any closing remarks.

speaker
Dr. Fermi Wong
President and CEO

Yeah, and I want to thank all of you for joining us today. I'm looking forward to talk to you in a different conference or next time. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Call Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that's all for today. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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