American Superconductor Corporation

Q3 2021 Earnings Conference Call

2/2/2022

spk03: Good day, and welcome to the American Superconductor Third Quarter Fiscal 2021 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. John Heilshorn. Please go ahead, sir.
spk04: Thank you, Jennifer. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to American Superconductor Corporation's Third Quarter of Fiscal 2021 Earnings Conference Call. I am John Heilshorn of LHA Investor Relations, AMSC's Investor Relations Agency of Record. With us on today's call are Daniel McGann, Chairman, President, Chief Executive Officer, and John Kasiba, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer. American Superconductor issued its earnings release for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 yesterday after the market closed. For those of you who are not able to see the release, a copy is available in the investor relations page of the company's website at www.amsc.com. Before starting the call, I'd like to remind you that various remarks that management may make during today's call about American superconductors' future expectations, including expectations regarding the company's fourth quarter fiscal 2021 financial performance, plans and prospects constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements, As a result of various important factors, including those set forth in the risk factors section, the American Superconductors Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended March 31, 2021, which the company filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on June 2, 2021, as updated in the company's Form 10-Q for the period ending December 31, 2021, and the company's other reports filed with the SEC. These forward-looking statements represent management's expectations only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing management's views as of any date subsequent to today. While the company anticipates that subsequent events and developments may cause the company's views to change, the company specifically disclaims any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. Also on today's call, management will refer to non-GAAP net loss and non-GAAP financial measure. The company believes on non-GAAP net loss assist management and investors in comparing the company's performance across reporting periods on a consistent basis by excluding these non-cash, non-recurring, or other charges that it does not believe are indicative of its co-operating performance. The reconciliation of GAAP net loss to non-GAAP net loss can be found in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 earnings press release that the company issued and furnished to the SEC late last night on Form 8K. All of the company's press releases and SEC filings can be accessed from the investor's page of its website at www.amsc.com. With that, I will now turn the call over to Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Daniel McCann. Daniel?
spk06: Thanks, John, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin today by providing an update of our grid and wind business units. John Kaseba will then provide a detailed review of our financial results for the third fiscal quarter. which ended December 31, 2021, and provide guidance for the fourth fiscal quarter, which will end March 31, 2022. Following our comments, we'll open up the line to questions from our analysts. AMSE delivered strong results for the third quarter of fiscal 2021. Total revenue for the quarter grew versus the year-ago period coming in at $26.8 million. Our grid segment revenue grew by nearly 50% versus the year-ago period, coming in at $25 million, a company record. Greatest driving revenue growth for the company and all grid product lines contributed to the quarter. We ended the third quarter of fiscal 2021 with more than $52 million in cash. As the world gears up for decarbonization to slow down climate change, and create a path for a more sustainable world, so does the increased demand for renewable energy, semiconductors, and key materials for the new green economy, such as metals, mining, and chemicals. Our acquisition of Nealtran and EPSI have allowed us to expand our business into the materials market. The materials market is fundamental to a sustainable energy shift. If you're interested in reading some more about how materials are center stage, to the energy transition, there was a 2022 McKinsey publication titled The Raw Materials Challenge, how the metals and mining sector will be at the core of enabling the energy transition. If we look at this calendar year 2022, approximately 90 gigawatts of wind capacity is projected to be added globally. The solar photovoltaic sector is projecting an annual global capacity addition of over 175 gigawatts. And the worldwide semiconductor market is expected to grow and exceed $600 billion in annual sales. Annual capital investments have trended at over $100 billion for the past few years. This transition to a low carbon economy raises demand for critical materials, semiconductors, as well as spending on plant and equipment in the metals, mining, and chemical industries. We are executing on our growth through grid strategy. Our grid segment revenue for the third quarter of fiscal year 2021 broke a company record for the fourth consecutive quarter. We are growing. Grid revenue grew by nearly 50% versus the year ago period and accounted for over 90% of AMSC's total revenue. This is a testament to our team's execution, particularly during these challenging times. Since the start of this fiscal year, our bookings momentum in the grid business has been very strong, extending our grid visibility into fiscal 2022. In the third quarter of fiscal 2021, our grid business was primarily driven by strong new energy power system shipments. We've already integrated NEPSI nicely into the business, and we're working to do the same with Nealtrans. We are getting leverage across the product line, selling into a number of industrial markets, including mining and metals, as well as chemicals. Our core markets for the new energy systems have expanded from two main ones, renewables and semiconductor, to now three key markets, renewables, semiconductor, and materials, such as metals, mining, and chemicals. Our largest customer for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was in the semiconductor industry. We see the emergence of additional demand in new energy power systems for the semiconductor and materials markets coming in the subsequent quarters. As you can see from our revenue guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021, we are anticipating continued strength in our business. We see increasing demand in semiconductors for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021. During our fourth quarter revenue guidance, Driving our fourth quarter revenue guidance is expected new energy power system shipments to be very robust. In fiscal 2021, we continue to expect year-over-year revenue growth again in our grid and our overall business. In the longer term, we continue to see a significant rise in quotations for new energy power systems for renewables, semiconductors, as well as materials and general industrial markets. Let's talk about the drivers of grid. Grid is driving revenue growth for the company. Renewable semiconductors and materials are driving our new energy power system solutions. Our new energy power systems include our dynamic power correction platforms, as well as our static power correction line of master banks, harmonic filter systems, rectifiers, and transformers. We're growing and diversifying revenues by geography and by market. We are presenting more content to customers as we leverage the strong combination of our new energy power system solutions. This quarter, we supported renewable projects both for wind developers and utility solar in the United States, Canada, Northern Ireland, and Spain. Over the last few years, we've seen the economy moving from fossil fuels to wind and solar power generation. There has been a rapid rise in distributed energy resources, in particular, distributed generation from photovoltaics, in the form of rooftop, utility scale, and commercial solar installations. With increased distributed generation comes the need for additional power correction solutions, such as our new energy power systems. With the increasing demand for chips, we are supporting the semiconductor industry in the United States, Singapore, Taiwan, and Japan. Our solutions protect the semiconductor facilities against power quality problems that originate from the grid. These disturbances, if left uncorrected, can affect their plant process and tooling, causing significant downtime, scrap material, and loss of profit. We supported materials projects with metals and mining developments in the United States, Indonesia, Canada, the United Kingdom, Denmark, and Chile. Materials are critical for cleaner technologies. Take, for example, solar panels and fuel cell batteries for electric vehicles. Again, according to that McKinsey report I mentioned earlier, producing battery or fuel cell EVs will be more material intensive than building an internal combustion engine vehicle. Climate commitments for reducing global carbon emissions present what we believe to be a tremendous opportunity for AMSE. We expect our new energy power systems to drive growth and diversification, for our company this fiscal year. Our fourth quarter revenue guidance is due largely to the momentum we expect to continue to experience in our new energy power system solutions. Now turning to our ship protection systems, AMSC's ship protection systems are also known as degaussing systems. More specifically, advanced degaussing systems. This is what the Navy calls our solution. At AMSC, we call them SPS. The Ship Protection System, or SPS, is designed to reduce the magnetic signature of a ship, which can interfere with undersea mines' ability to detect and damage the ship. AMSC has worked with the U.S. Navy to develop a lighter-weight, more power-efficient HTS version of a degaussing system, the SPS we are now selling to the Navy. AMSC's SPS became the baseline design for the San Antonio-class amphibious warfare ship, or LPD, platform. The Navy's plan is to build 15 additional San Antonio-class ships starting with LPD-28 between now and the middle of next decade. From a capacity perspective, we have planned to manufacture multiple SPS simultaneously and are succeeding at this, currently working to fulfill the three orders that are on deck. SPS contributed to our strong grid segment revenues in the third quarter of fiscal 2021. We have an order for SPS for LPD 28, and we've delivered on this order. We have an SPS order for LPD 29. We have an SPS order for LPD 30, and we have an SPS order for LPD 31. So we'll ask you to stay tuned for LPD 32. We have established the capabilities to deliver the SPS systems. Our team is very busy and focused on continuing to expand the business while we continue to deliver our initial systems. We're working very closely with the Navy and are in constant communication with our supply chain to ensure timely delivery of all three open SPS orders. We continue to be confident that the Navy is committed to integrating advanced degaussing systems into their fleet and we're working hard to expand our SPS business beyond the San Antonio class. As we've previously stated, we've been contracted to perform some engineering for the potential deployment of our SPS for what we believe are the next several classes of ships. In each case, we must do engineering work prior to system procurement. We hope to be able to report more on this in the coming quarters, Often we're challenged with what information can be released out in the public. Although it's hard to predict exactly when we would see an uptick in SPS-related revenues, signs point to what we expect to be a larger, brighter future with the Navy, hopefully in the near future. Turning to wind, during the third quarter of fiscal 2021, we shipped 2-megawatt ECS to our onshore wind partner in India, InoxWinds. Wind revenues are the lightest they've been in several quarters because of INOX's low quantity production of two megawatt wind turbines. INOX continues to promote and sell their two megawatt wind turbine. INOX is, however, in the process of constructing a three megawatt class wind turbine prototype and has yet to go into three megawatt production. The three megawatt class wind turbine design is set up, we believe, to be a great fit for India's robust wind market, which is expected to add 3.5 gigawatts in 2022, going from a total cumulative wind capacity of 42 gigawatts at the end of 2021 to nearly 46 gigawatts by the end of 2022, according to global data. We accessed the offshore wind market through our partner Doosan Heavy Industries in South Korea. Doosan has begun production and delivery of small quantities of their 5.5 megawatt offshore wind turbines. We are the exclusive supplier of ECS units for Doosan's 5.5 megawatt wind turbine. Again, according to global data, the global offshore wind market, including South Korea, is expected to add 13 gigawatts in 2022, going from a cumulative capacity of about 45 gigawatts in 2021 to 58 gigawatts by 2022. We are participating in both the onshore and offshore wind markets with our partners. We have three paths to wind, with INOX in India, with Doosan for the global offshore market, as well as delivering hardware to the substations supporting wind farms through a variety of developers and top-tier global wind manufacturers who we have mentioned on prior calls. We continue to actively manage our way through the global COVID crisis and its evolution. Gross margins for the business expanded as we anticipated. We see potential for future margin expansion in future quarters as we build higher gross margin backlog. We're not out of the woods yet with respect to the prevailing broader environment for potential inflation, supply chain challenges, and coronavirus infection rates, but we continue our best efforts to manage the situation across all the product lines. I saw a lot of personal engagement with our employees as we moved through the pandemic. Our workforce is vibrant, committed to our mission, and growing. I continue to be impressed at how well we create opportunities, step up to customer challenges, and deliver on our commitments. I'm very grateful for the people that I have the privilege to work with. Now I'll turn the call over to John Kasiba to review our financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2021 and provide guidance for the fourth and March 31, 2022.
spk05: John? Thanks, Daniel. Good morning, everyone. AMSC generated revenues of $26.8 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2021, compared to $23.6 million in the year-ago quarter. Our grid business unit accounted for 93% of total revenues, while our wind business unit accounted for 7%. Green business unit revenues increased by 47% in the third quarter versus the year-ago quarter, which now includes the addition of Neotran. Wind business unit revenues decreased 73% in the third quarter versus the year-ago quarter as a result of pure ECS shipments during the period. Looking at the P&L in more detail, gross margin for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was 13% compared to 17% in the year-ago quarter. As expected, gross margin did improve sequentially by 160 basis points versus the previous quarter. This was a result of stronger grade gross margins. As a reminder, we are working our way through the Neotrend acquired backlog and have started to replace that backlog with what we expect to be more profitable projects as we look ahead into FY 2022. R&D and SG&A expenses for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 were 9.4 million. This was down from 10.1 million for the same period a year ago. The year-over-year decrease was driven by our cross-control efforts. Approximately 12% of R&D and SG&A expenses in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 were non-cash. Our non-GAAP net loss for the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was $4.6 million, or 17 cents per share, compared with $3.4 million, or 13 cents per share, in the year-ago quarter. Our net loss in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was $4.3 million, or 16 cents per share. This compares to $7.9 million, or 31 cents per share, in the year-ago quarter. Please see our press release issued last night for a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results. We ended the third quarter of fiscal 2021 with $52.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash. This compares with $57 million on September 30, 2021. Our operating cash burn in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 was $4.2 million. We believe that our current working capital levels are sufficient to support our expected revenue growth, and we expect our working capital will remain normalized as we move into fiscal 2022. Now turning to our financial guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021, we expect that our revenues will be in the range of 26 to 29 million. Our net loss on that revenue is expected not to exceed 6.7 million or 24 cents per share. Please note that our net loss guidance assumes no changes in contingent consideration nor any purchase accounting adjustments associated with the Neotran acquisition. Our non-GAAP net loss is expected not to exceed $5 million or $0.18 per share. The company expects operating cash flow to be a burn of $3 to $4 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021. We expect to end the fourth quarter with no less than $48 million in cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities, and restricted cash. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Daniel.
spk06: Thanks, John. So GRID represented over 90% of our revenue in the third quarter of fiscal 2021 and was our strongest GRID quarter since we began reporting on the GRID segment. Just take a step back and think about this. The company is reporting record revenues for this key segment and announcing stronger bookings as the world is faced with so many challenges. We're very pleased to report that GRID revenues are at this record high. This quarter, our grid business grew by almost 50% compared with the same period last year. Our backlog has grown by nearly 60% since a year ago. We grew our total business by over 30% last year, and we expect to continue on our trajectory of growth this fiscal year. The business is scaling and is supported by a strong balance sheet. We are positioned for growth through new markets for our new energy power systems, as well as through the semiconductor market. We are in position for growth through the anticipated re-emergence of our wind business, which we see coming as early as next fiscal year. We delivered our first production SPS to the Navy. We are positioned for growth through the acquisition of additional ship platform winds. We continue to be excited about our accomplishments with REG in Chicago and the number of utilities we're currently engaged with to potentially deploy this solution in their cities. I look forward to reporting back to you at the completion of our fourth fiscal quarter of 2021. Jennifer will now take some questions from our analysts.
spk03: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star 1 on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, press star 1 to ask a question. And our first question today will come from Philip Shen with Roth Capital Partners.
spk02: Thanks for taking my questions. As it relates to the new orders that you announced yesterday in the order book that you have. Can you talk through how much of that do you expect to convert to revenue in calendar 2022? And then how much in calendar 2023?
spk10: Thanks. Phil, the short answer is most of that will be in calendar 2022.
spk04: Great.
spk06: Thanks, John. All of it will be in calendar 2022. I think almost all of it will be in fiscal because we finished calendar 21.
spk05: If you asked fiscal 2022, we probably would have said all of it. But since you said calendar and we didn't break it out by quarter, we'll say most.
spk02: Okay. Thank you both. Daniel, you spent a fair amount of time talking through the opportunities with – materials and decarbonization and what that might mean for your business. And it seems like there's a fair amount of tailwind there for you. And you mentioned some geographies and possibly some new end markets. I was wondering if you might be able to expand on that, especially some of the geographies, buy-in markets, and maybe some new geographies where you're seeing business where you had not prior. Thanks.
spk06: I think simply put, the acquisitions are working and they're working really well. The sales team is doing a great job out, you know, quoting business and closing business, and we're doing it globally. So, you know, when you look at, you know, where our business has now been reconcentrated back in the U.S., somewhere between 50 and 60 percent of our revenues are coming from the U.S. overall. We're seeing an uptick across the globe. We see, you know, emergence of a business for us in South America, which we've done very little before. We see reemergence of business in Europe, and we see some new prospects for business for these materials all over the world. So it could be Indonesia, it could be Taiwan for semiconductor, it could be Canada for a mining or milling operation. So I think when we explain the value of the acquisitions, we talked about leverage of content per order, And we talked about leverage of the entire integrated team that we could now take these products and reach globally. And the team is doing a great job.
spk02: Great. Thanks. And, you know, I think John mentioned this about the Nealtran acquisition. You guys are working through some of that lower margin business. I think in the past you've talked about, you know, there's a year's worth of low margin backlogs. and that eventually you'd be driving higher margins with that business. How are you tracking to your original timeline there with this expansion and opportunity that you're seeing in other parts of the world and markets? Are you able to have a line of sight to those higher margins with that new business? Thanks.
spk06: Yeah, we do. I think we have a clear line of sight there. I think the one thing to just caution is It's not a cliff. It's not a binary where we're going to, you know, all the backlog is going to end on the same day. So, you know, we had backlog for about a year when we started into this with Nealtran. So that means the backlog is good through June quarter and probably into September quarter. What I'm really impressed with is how much the existing teams at the acquisitions have really stepped up, how engaged they are, how focused they are in trying to expand their business. In many ways, being part of a bigger company was attractive to them because it really would breathe more life into their business and make it a bigger offering. The idea of taking products made in New York or in Connecticut now and trying to sell them globally are things that the two acquired companies had hoped to do in the future. but weren't set up to do, and now we're doing that. So, you know, we're tremendously excited that these acquisitions are working very well.
spk02: Great. Thanks, Daniel. One last one for me, still on gross margin or margins, this one specifically on gross margin. I know you guys don't provide guidance beyond FQ4, but was wondering if you might be able to provide a bit of an outlook on the cadence of how gross margins could trend as we get through calendar 22. You know, do you think, Daniel, you were talking about, you know, the Neal Tran lower margin backlog may kind of wind down in June or certainly by September. So talk us through, you know, is there an opportunity for us to possibly, you know, touch high teens or low 20s percentages on gross margins as we get to the back half of calendar year?
spk06: Yeah, not to guide, but kind of directionally the business had been in the low 20s. Certainly when we fully integrate Neotran and it's fully accretive and everything's working, our desire is to be able to get back to those levels as quickly as we can. I felt compelled on the last call personally that we had to call out gross margin because it had changed dramatically downward. I think we've already seen it return to kind of where it was the previous quarter. And we do think getting into the high teens, you know, in the next quarters is certainly, I won't say assured given the backlog, because nothing in life is assured, and I have too many lawyers telling me that nothing's guaranteed and we have to believe things. But, you know, I have very strong confidence in the team. When I look at the backlog and I do it now on a regular basis, project by project, it all looks really good. So the hope is, you know, part of here is presenting the business is, It's not going to really matter where the margin is going to come from because it's all going to be good. That's what we're trying to build here. Yes, it will take another quarter or two, whatever, but that's the path that we're on.
spk02: Great. Thanks, Daniel. I'll pass it on.
spk05: Phil, I'll just add a little more color for you. The thing you can highlight this quarter, for example, we produced these margins with wind being a drag on the margins this quarter. If you really look in the queue, you'll see what we reported for wind segment in both revenue and operating profit. I know we don't give gross profit, but you can figure out we had a pretty substantial loss in wind this quarter. As wind stabilizes and comes back, that's going to help move the margin needle up. Obviously, as Neotran, as we replace those older projects with expected more profitable projects, that's going to move gross profit up. You know, our expectation is, you know, a few of the areas that are dragging down gross margins this year as we move into FY22, those become less of a drag.
spk09: Great. Thanks, Sean.
spk01: And our next question comes from Colin Rush with Oppenheimer.
spk07: Thanks so much, guys. You know, with these new contracts and the value of power quality, can you talk a little bit about the pricing dynamics in the grid business? and how you're thinking about that relative to incremental operating margins as you continue to grow the business.
spk06: That's a good question, Colin, because it's something that we've talked to the team kind of directly about. Particularly when we can leverage multiple sources of content within the company, there's definitely the ability to maybe think about even a larger premium on pricing. So we're trying to do the best we can to focus on the value we're creating, although we're understanding, you know, there are some competitive pressures. Kind of in general, we've been able to, you know, focus on pricing, focus on, you know, the supply chain trying to, you know, helping us more now than maybe a quarter or so ago. But we feel that the team kind of gets that we have to, you know, we're not looking the price to win business. We're looking, we want to grow, we want to grow good margins. So that's literally kind of the mantra inside the company, and if we can do both at the same time, then I think we're building the right kind of company.
spk07: Okay, so there's no kind of clear operating margin target for you guys within the organization, or is that something you're just not ready to share yet?
spk06: I think with scale, you know, I think if we come back out and do an analyst day and we talk about how we get from 100 to 200 or 250, you know, we you know that we're still marching to how do we grow this business where the gross margin line you know starts with the three and is hopefully a high three and when we think about you know operating you know cash flow type margins that you know we're in the high teens approaching the 20s we know that this business can do that with additional scale and I think that's what you're seeing is and John highlighted even with the just a little bit of a lotus and a quarter to quarter and wind and you know, dramatically impacts margin. So as we scale the business, I think that, you know, the numbers are there. The business works. The business works really well.
spk07: That's incredibly helpful. Thanks for that. And then just changing gears a little bit around some of the customer activity on REG, you know, given the progress that you're making there and the level of interest and how that program is going to work, can you just talk a little bit about how those Other conversations are progressing with those utilities and operators that are watching what you guys are doing in and around Chicago.
spk06: Yeah, you know, the part, and we talked only a little bit about REG. I mean, the real challenge right now is we have an open window here now to use the success with Chicago to go market the product. You know, we're trying to make sure the organizations align to be able to answer to the interest. So as we had done a lot of different projects looks at projects in some degree of civil engineering and different projects. I think the fact of having one operating now and we see it directly from utilities coming back and saying, okay, well now may be the time to try to do this implementation we discussed back a couple years ago. We have to be able to sort out what we think are the opportunities that could become a contract and an order in the near term. So that's kind of where we are with REG. It's a heavy business development effort to now focus on those projects in cities that we think can convert to an order in, I won't say the quickest time, but we'll say in the near field. We know we have a great support in Chicago. We know we've expanded that to a bunch of cities. You know, now the hard work begins of how do we translate that interest into orders? And, you know, as we said, we want operating history in Chicago. They want operating history for them to go to do more. So, um, Again, I think when we look at the macro climate and the tailwinds, they're in reg, and we are seeing pretty dramatic interest in the product. So we know a lot of the people on the call are more focused on quarter-to-quarter and results on these things. But reg, we're really excited. We continue to be super excited about it.
spk09: Perfect. Thanks, guys.
spk01: And as a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question, you may signal by pressing star one at this time.
spk03: And we'll hear next from Chip Moore with EF Hutton.
spk08: Hey, good morning, guys. Just curious on some of the bookings momentum here globally and the rise in quotation activity. Just curious, you know, with some of the new variants and things like that, is that actually, you know, would some of that activity be even stronger? Is that still a bit of a headwind?
spk06: I didn't hear the part, sorry, Chip, with what would be a bit of a headwind.
spk08: Just with some of the new variants, Omicron and things like that, in terms of the quotation activity and the bookings momentum globally, right, in a number of markets.
spk06: Yeah, we're not really seeing it. Our concern is, and I think we've gotten through this with a lot of our suppliers, is you just don't know where the next supply constraint is going to come from, right? I think what we have is a group that's very battle-tested, that we understand how to react. The things that we know, the things that we're concerned about, we've gotten ahead of and be able to de-risk. The hard part is you don't know. This supplier says, hey, a part that usually takes 13 weeks now takes 52 weeks, that we have to be able to respond to. We've had to do that all along during this crisis, but those are the kinds of things that are just kind of normal, that we go through to do that and qualify suppliers. So you probably can hear on the call my trepidation about supply chain issues is quite a bit less today than it was a quarter ago.
spk09: Got it. Okay.
spk08: And just one more for me. You alluded to the potential reemergence of wind next year. Obviously, you've got multiple shots on goal. You know, is that more INOX, the potential transition to 3 megawatt? And how should we think about that transition in terms of the 2 megawatt product, assuming that happens?
spk06: So they're going to keep offering the 2. There are certain markets that the 2 works really well, and we did a lot of work on light wind speeds and things like that with the 2. And they're a little depressed with shipments of 2 megawatt because – As they kind of reemerged with demand, they had pent-up inventory, and they're going through all that. So that's why you see our restocking levels kind of low. The hope is, you know, say over the next quarters, we start to, you know, ramp to what maybe is called a decent rate, a fair rate, which is the 2 megawatt. When you listen to INOX and what they talk about, I mean, they're saying that the interest level for the 3 megawatt is almost – larger than their backlog was for the two megawatt, and that's just interest. So when you add it all up, it looks like there's a lot of pent-up demand for the three megawatt. The challenge has been getting to prototype, which we're at that stage now, making sure the supply chain is ready to ramp, which we know we are, and then as INOX turns that interest into orders, which they've already started to, we see all those things as pointing to we think will be a good fiscal 2022 for us, for INOX, for India. Our fiscal year and their fiscal year and the Indian year are all the same. They start April 1. So when we say next fiscal year, that's what we mean, starting in the June quarter and beyond. We see what we think will be the beginning of an emergence of the three megawatt as an additional product. Specifically with Korea, they're going to digest the order that they have. They have to fulfill The construction and the erection and the commissioning of the turbines, these are all for ECS that they brought back from us a while ago. So I'll say I'm optimistic, cautiously, when we look at our supply chain, when we look at planning. If Doosan ordered something for fiscal 22, would we be able to supply? Obviously, we want to make sure the answer to that's yes. But I think, specifically, the order will be some more stability in the two. an order for three, and then probably later will be an order for five from Doosan. And that may or may not occur next year.
spk09: Perfect. No, understood. Thanks. Appreciate the color there. Thanks, guys.
spk01: And our next question comes from Eric Stein with Craig Hellam Capital Group.
spk08: Hi, Daniel. Hi, John.
spk06: Hey, Eric. How are you?
spk08: Morning. Hey, so just want to, I guess, go back to gross margin on Neal Tran. I mean, obviously, you're working through low margin business, but clearly a high level of confidence and improvement. But maybe, I mean, just to talk through that a little bit more, I mean, do you feel that in the past, I mean, it doesn't sound like you necessarily feel like these projects were misbid, but curious, I mean, is it, you know, just more scope given that it's part of an overall offering? Is it because of different end markets? I mean, just maybe a little more color on why that confidence is there and maybe just compare that to how they had done it prior to the acquisition.
spk06: Yeah, I think if I try to focus on the way, I won't steal any quotes from a popular show on Disney+, but the way we demonstrated it with DVAR. So a lot of what we did with DVAR and focusing on growth with good margin, making sure the margin is there on product, is a different culture than existed at the two acquisitions. So kind of simply put, you know, the NFC team, extraordinarily well-managed entity that can deliver high level of customer satisfaction and great when we think of an operating income level business, and they understand how to scale up and scale down as revenue demand comes. Really, really well-run company. We expected that because we knew the guys for a long period of time, but really high compliments as we get under and run the operation now for more than a year. Really well-run business with the mindset of long-term growth, but in the near term focusing on operational performance and particularly operating cash flow, right? Doing that year on year. I think some of the challenges that we have in both acquisitions is doing that quarter on quarter, right? So there's a bit of maturation about doing that. I think we've come a long way there to realize that, you know, as a public company, a year is 13 weeks, not 52 weeks. And you've got to report out and you've hopefully for the positive. In the case of Nealtran, I'll say it's an older business, and it's a lot of family businesses I've seen it run this way. The two figures of merit are revenue size and number of employees. So the idea is to grow revenue and grow the population and become a bigger company. Where our culture, we're trying to focus on how to grow and how do we grow a good margin. which is a different set of operating instructions, right? And we're inserting that now into the Ultram. We're looking at the old backlog to understand, you know, as these projects may come again down the line with the same customers, how do we make sure we're translating the value appropriately? You know, being there with good customer service, being there, you know, with spare parts when they need them is a lot of what we do well in our wind business and specifically, I'll focus on the DMAR business, translating that playbook into these acquisitions, and I'll focus more on Nealtran, because I feel NEPC is, we're kind of where we want to be, and we're real happy. With Nealtran, we have to continue to improve, and it starts with the culture, and that's what we've been saying inside the company here in Massachusetts, but as well in Connecticut, where the Nealtran operation is.
spk08: Got it. No, that's great color. Makes sense. Maybe then just turning to these, not necessarily new end markets, but you're certainly emphasizing them more. I mean, you've moved beyond semiconductors, part of the diversification there, metals and mining and chemicals. Just curious, I mean, does the market, I mean, I would assume you view those growth opportunities as very early, but just curious maybe where market awareness is, the potential customers in those markets. you know, knowing what you can bring to the table in particular now that you have these two acquisitions in the fold?
spk06: Yeah, I think, I mean, I want to say it's where we want it to be. I think there's still opportunity to be able to grow, but I think it's quite high. I mean, the thing that I'm impressed with the team's ability to navigate is that in these key areas, we've seen a pretty significant uptick in the quoting activity, meaning that the intensity of the project, meaning revenue per project, um, the likelihood of certain projects going forward. You know, we think about, you know, again, trying to compare our history with DVAR. You know, one of the challenges always in these businesses are, is the project financed? Is it financeable? Will it go forward on time? You know, how do you judge that? That when I see certainty around the projects themselves going up, it really does communicate something about the market. And that's where we try to take today to you know interact from us from a kind of a common longer-term sustainable vision future but that the material part of this is a critical piece of it and it's you know frankly it's a big reason when we looked at these acquisitions I got excited about them because I saw right away how this would all fit in with what we do you guys know me because we've been doing this a while together I'm not the one to come out and market the heck out of something here in the material segment. And I mentioned the McKinsey report just because I kind of, when I saw it, I kind of laughed because it's what I was thinking about a year ago. You know, this is an area that, you know, we can, you know, we have a lot of investors say, why don't you go in this market? Why don't you go in that market? I'm trying to telegraph the markets that we're focused on so you understand where we think we're going to head. And if you like that, you know, then, you know, where we're going to go is, you know, where you hope this kind of company would go.
spk10: Okay, that's helpful. Thanks. Thanks, Eric.
spk01: And that is all the time we have for questions today.
spk03: I'd now like to turn the conference back to Mr. Daniel McGann for any additional or closing remarks.
spk06: To kind of wrap it up, and I think this is, you know, really kind of to succinctly answer a lot of questions I think that we get, we're feeling a lot of tailwinds in what we do. It is kind of a weird juxtaposition between the weirdness that's going on in the world in capital markets and in supply chains and things like that. At the same time, we feel our core markets, which are expanding, that we see a number of tailwinds that are present today where those winds are only going to increase over time. When we think about catalysts or changes in the business that we see coming, we're talking to and we're pointing to improvements in gross margin. We're already seeing that. And we're trying to telegraph. We see those, you know, continue improvement coming in the coming quarters. We're laser focused on making sure that, you know, when we acquire Nealtran, we said it would be accretive. We are working to make that happen. We think that's an important milestone for the company. We sense more wind coming. Hard to tell definitively where or what quarter, but it does seem like, you know, the sounds are getting louder that we're going to move forward in wind and hopefully move forward in a big way. We said about another ship platform, you know, we said, you know, please be patient. Realize that LPD-32 is going to come, we think. You know, and hopefully that will give us further visibility on additional Navy revenue. But we're already doing work on the next ships, plural, right? So we're really jazzed about the Navy. We're so psyched that the team – the ability to deliver with this new team, the hardware for LPD28, so we see more ships coming. And then even longer term, more cities for REG. So those are kind of the five things as I look out over the next quarters that we're going to focus on, kind of one after another, we hope that they'll come, that we think there's a very, very bright future in 2022, in 2023, and beyond for this company. Particularly, you know, I think we've been able to pay off a lot of the promise in the past year. You know, we said 2021 was going to be an important year. We delivered the first grid superconductor system, permanent in the grid, ever, right? We delivered the first chip protection system. Now, that was happening, you know, on a revenue basis prior. We delivered a lot of it before Christmas, but it was received and everything was ticked out with the shipyard in January. So we were super jazzed that all that happened. There's so much good that's happening in this company that I really want to make sure that people hear that from me and hear that in my voice. It's a difficult time in the larger capital markets, I think, for a lot of you. It's a fun, enjoyable job here in what we have to do. Managing the supply chain in the near term is a piece of this, but long term there's a lot of tailwinds that are coming for our business. So thank you for all your attention and your support, and hopefully we'll talk to you in the coming months. Thank you.
spk01: This concludes today's conference. Thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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