Astronics Corporation

Q4 2023 Earnings Conference Call

2/28/2024

spk05: Good day and welcome to the Astralix Corporation Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2023 Financial Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Craig Mahalik with Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.
spk01: Yeah, thank you and good afternoon everyone. We certainly appreciate your time today and your interest in Astralix. On the call with me here today are Pete Gunderman, our Chairman, President and CEO, and Dave Burney, our Chief Financial Officer. We should have a copy of our fourth quarter in full year 2023 financial results, which will cross the wires after the market closed today. If you do not have the release, you can find it on our website at astralix.com. As you are aware, we may make forward-looking statements during the formal discussion and the Q&A session of this conference call. These statements apply to future events that are subject to risks and uncertainties as well as other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from what is stated here today. These risks and uncertainties and other factors are provided in the earnings release as well with other documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. You can find those documents on our website or at scc.gov. During today's call, we'll also discuss some non-GAAP measures. We believe these will be useful in evaluating our performance. You should not consider the presentation of this additional information in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP. We have provided reconciliations of non-GAAP measures with comparable GAAP measures in the tables that accompany today's release. So with that, let me turn it over to Pete to begin.
spk07: Pete. Thanks, Craig, and good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for tuning in to our call. We ended 2023 on a pretty strong note and consider it in retrospect now a solid year of progress. Our fourth quarter results were enabled by a series of trends that have been affecting our business for some time. Those trends are continuing to shape our environment as we enter 2024, which we expect will be another year of progress. I will dedicate my few minutes of comments this afternoon to describing these trends and the impact they are having on our business. Then Dave will talk you through some of the specifics of our financial statements. But first, some headlines from the fourth quarter. Fourth quarter revenue of $195 million was at the high end of our forecasted range and up .5% over the comparator quarter of 2022. 2023 cumulative revenue of $689 million was up almost 29% over 2022. The higher volume drove improvements in financial profit measures. Our fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA, for example, was just shy of 25 million or .7% of sales. -to-date 2023 adjusted EBITDA was 55.6 million or .1% of sales. In 2024, as previously announced, we expect revenue to be in the range of $760 to $795 million. That's up at the midpoint another 13% over where we closed 2023. So about those trends. Our fourth quarter results are really kind of the expected results of several trends affecting our business. None of these are new. We've talked about them to varying degrees over recent quarterly calls. In other words, there was nothing really special that went into our fourth quarter to drive these results. It's more just the expected result of things that have been happening kind of under the surface for some time now. I'll talk through them not in any particular order, certainly not in a priority order. They're all important. First of all, demand has been and continues to be just really strong. For us, airline demand or travel has been strong everywhere. You see this in pretty much any metric if you follow the aerospace industry. The one exception being China. International travel in and out of China remains pretty weak. But in most other major parts of the world, travel is near or at or even above where it was in 2019 before the pandemic hit. With that, production rates of major platforms have increased over time in our major markets. Despite some of the travails going on at Boeing 737, there's upward pressure. 787, there's upward pressure. Airbus A350, A320, all trending up. For a company like us, when more airplanes are being built and when more people are flying, that translates into improved or increased demand for us. That's what we've been seeing not just in the fourth quarter, not just in 2023, but really for years now. Our book to bill in 2021 was a 1.3. In 2022, it was pretty much at the same level, 1.29. The final number for 2023 looks a lot lower, 1.06, but that's dragged down a little bit by poor bookings in our test business where the book to bill came in at 0.76. Our aerospace segment, which is the vast majority of our business, came in with a book to bill for the year of 1.1, so 10% above shipments. With that demand, our backlog has consistently set new highs quarter after quarter after quarter, the only exception being the fourth quarter where it came down ever so slightly. The second trend, which is worthy of mentioning, in addition to demand, is a continuing improvement in our supply chain. Constraints in 2021 and 2022 left us handicapped and gave us a hard time trying to respond to the increases in demand I was just talking about. But those really started to dissipate and straighten out as we worked our way through 2023, and that continued through the fourth quarter. It's not perfect. There are still challenges, but the headaches are much fewer and farther between than they were earlier on in the pandemic. And that supply chain performance is a major reason why we are able to execute on our backlog as 2023 drew to a close and why we are confident being able to predict another year of pretty solid growth for 2024. Another trend that needs mention
spk08: is really
spk07: the improvement in personnel, labor availability and consistency that we have seen recently, especially as 2023 wore on again. Like a lot of companies, the great resignation, while we were used to turnover in the low single digits on a percentage basis in most of our operations during the peak of the pandemic, we saw turnovers approaching 20%, which is fundamentally a different situation. That has settled down. As a result, our workforce in general is much less tenured than it was before the pandemic, and it's taken some time to get the culture going again, get the learning curves going again, and getting people working together as a team. But we're seeing that improve, and we're seeing turnover drop back to those kinds of rates that we were used to seeing years ago. There's still more turnover. It's not like it was before, but it's dropped dramatically from where it was at the peak of the pandemic. And finally, inflationary pressures of the last 24 months or so have also dissipated pretty dramatically. Obviously, the Fed's not back where they want to be. We all know that. But in terms of the pressures we see from suppliers in particular and other costs of the inputs for our business, the pressures have dissipated and have become more reasonable. So you add all that together, and one of the things that I wanted to point out also is I look back at what's going on in our business is everything is getting quite a bit more predictable than it used to be. To be honest, in the peak of a pandemic with supply chain headaches and turnover and inflation, it was a challenge to accurately predict where the business was going to be and how it's going to perform. That's coming much more into focus as we worked our way through 2023 and now as we enter 2024. Some evidence for you to consider, back in the fall of 2022, when we were putting our 2023 plan together, we issued initial revenue guidance of $640 million to $680 million. We came in at $688 million. That's actually pretty accurate compared to what happened in the year or two before that. And not only that, but our internal forecast was within 1% of where we actually ended up for the cumulative year in 2023. And similarly with the fourth quarter, we issued revenue guidance of $185 million to $195 million. We came in right at the high end of that range. Again, another example of improved predictability, which is really critical for optimizing the business and executing a plan as we go forward. And as we go forward with respect to 2024, the trends I just discussed and the strong finish we had to 2023 together give us confidence it will be another year of solid recovery. Our initial outlook in terms of the sales forecast is $760 million to $795 million at the midpoint. That's a year of 13% growth over 2023. That's a low percentage growth compared to what we saw in 2023 and in 2022, but it's one that's welcome for a couple of reasons. First of all, it'll get us back to the revenue range of where we
spk08: were
spk07: pre-pandemic. Finally, it's been a long journey, but in 2019, we had sales of $772 million and the midpoint of this range would be $778 million. We have the business and the backlog to do more than that, but our expectation, our goal is to be at the high end of that range, $760 to $795. And even at 13% growth, it would cap another year of pretty strong performance. If you look at top line, 2022, 2023, and 2024, at the midpoint, we would see $535 million turning into $689 million, turning into $778 million. As we work through 2024, we're also going to have an increased emphasis on margins. That's something that you always work on and worry about when you run a business, but frankly, we knew as we were operating through the pandemic that we would not be profitable at those lower sales levels. There's no way a company like ours, the way we're structured right now, is going to make money at $535 million, but as we move into the high 700s and with the performance that we saw in the fourth quarter, we think there will be room to optimize and improve our profitability as we work through the year. We expect 2024 to start somewhat slowly. We expect first quarter sales to be $170 to $175 million. That's a little bit of a step back from where we were with the fourth quarter, and it's a pattern that we've been in for various reasons over the last six quarters or so, where we're up a little bit, down a little bit, up a little bit, down a little bit, but the trend overall continues to be positive if you can look past one quarter at a time. There are a few things we can point to that are going to be affecting us in the first quarter. The first is we're intentionally walking away and winding down some kind of non-core, non-aerospace business that we pursued and picked up early on in the pandemic to help keep our factories full. Those pieces of business are generally not as profitable, so we are prioritizing profitable aerospace work as we wind them down, though there's a little bit of a hole in our income statement that will last for a quarter or so. There also is a little bit of a reschedule going on with Boeing on the 737. That's been in the news. I think people have heard it and seen it. Boeing is and has been our biggest customer. 737 is one of our biggest programs. It's not our biggest program. We put product on that airplane from a number of different facilities through a number of different routes. The messages we get are not entirely consistent from operating unit to operating unit, but there is, it seems, an overall or general rescheduling going on, which will probably deflate first quarter sales a little bit, resulting in the range that we're getting. Then finally, just kind of a mix of customer schedule issues that you've got to sell product and deliver product when the customers want it. We're expecting first quarter to be 170 to 175. That's no indication whatsoever of wavering demand. We expect to climb pretty dramatically from there in the second quarter, and we expect the second half to be quite strong relative to anything we've seen since well before the pandemic took hold. One other comment on 2024. We have been talking for some time about an Army radio test program. We call it 4549T. It's something that we were, you know, announced the winner of a year and a half ago now, and we have been waiting for a directed procurement sole source contract negotiation to take place. It is underway currently. We have not previously been able to talk about having positive momentum in this area, but we certainly have quite a bit of it now, and so much so that we're expecting to see a ward there most likely, though not absolutely for sure in the second quarter. So more on that as it happens. A little bit of a review is that this is for a platform of test equipment that the US Army could use or will use to test the full range of their family of radios, and they have quite a few radios in use. It will be an IDIQ program, but we expect it to be 200 to 300 million over four to five years, and if you look at our test business, which is operating at about an $80 million level, you know, you can imagine the impact of dropping in 30 to 40 million of sales a year once this thing gets underway. So more on that as it happens, but that's one of the items which certainly will have an influence in our 2024 plan, and we'll talk about it more as we know more, most likely in our Q1 call. That's the end of my prepared remarks. Dave, you want to take it away and talk about financials?
spk03: Sure, thanks Pete. As Pete mentioned, we had a very strong fourth quarter customer demand supply chain and our operations executed a high level during the quarter. The top line was driven by strong sales to all of our aerospace markets that combined were up $30.4 million or 22% compared to the fourth quarter of last year. Commercial transport, our largest end market, was particularly strong with sales up $21 million from last year's fourth quarter. Test segment sales also increased compared to last year from $19.8 million to $26.5 million. In terms of margins, we had a pretty clean quarter with no significant unusual costs or income. The one item to be called out though is in the fourth quarter includes a full year of bonuses that were not determined until year end and therefore not accrued each quarter as we went through the year. So Q4 reflects bonuses of $4.2 million. That's the full year amount. These bonuses will be paid in stock to preserve cash, and they're the first bonuses that we've paid since 2019. The top line growth drove our margin expansion, demonstrating the leverage we can get on incremental sales. Consolidated operating income increased by $10.9 million to $7.8 million or .5% or 4% driven by the sales growth. Looking at segment performance, the aerospace segment, which represented 86% of our consolidated sales, had operating income of 8.5%. Adjusting for the full year of bonuses that were recognized in the quarter, aerospace operating margins would have been closer to 10%, which is back in the neighborhood of pre-pandemic levels. This margin expansion demonstrates the leverage we can achieve from incremental sales. As we've said before, depending on mix, we tend to think of our contribution margin in aerospace being around 40%. The test segment continues to be challenged by underutilization, program mix, and high legal costs. Sales were up $6.7 million over the comparator quarter last year, and operating loss improved from a loss of $4 million to a loss of $200,000 in this year's fourth quarter. Interest rates remain a headwind with our current debt structure and high SOFR rates. Our cash interest expense for the quarter was about $5.1 million, which equates to about an effective rate of about 12%. At the end of the quarter, we had outstanding debt of $172.5 million. Now that we're recovering from a tough period over the last few years, we will have more alternatives available to us in terms of debt structure, and we'll be reviewing options going forward. Cash used in operations in the quarter was $1.7 million. The net loss adjusted for non-cash expenses provided $26.2 million, but was offset by an increase in net operating assets, which used $27.8 million. Looking at the components of the operating assets, where we consumed much of the cash generated from operations, we continued to make progress in managing our inventory, which was a struggle earlier in 2023. In the fourth quarter, we were able to reduce inventory levels by $10.7 million, exclusive of reserves. The improvement was welcome, but we're still not where we need to be, which is a goal of getting our inventory turnover back close to pre-pandemic levels. We're forecasting improvement as we move through 2024, but still face some headwinds as the supply chain, while improved compared to a year ago, is still not a well-oiled machine, and lead times remain longer than they were pre-pandemic. The $19 million increase of accounts receivable in the fourth quarter was due to the high sales level and timing being weighted in the second half of the year, or second half of the quarter, I should say. Liquidity continues to be tight. We were active using our At the Market program to sell 500,000 shares at an average price of $15.65, raising $7.6 million to fund working capital needed until we realized the cash flow from the growing sales. The ATM program for the full year sold 1.3 million shares, and net proceeds were $21.3 million, all in the third and fourth quarters. This equates to about 4% dilution. We're compliant with our debt covenants and are forecasting continued compliance. In summary, as we move into 2024, our focus is on operational execution, optimizing our debt structure, and improving our inventory turnover. Free cash flow will be used to reduce outstanding debt as we move through 2024, and we're expecting free cash flow to grow as we move through the year. That concludes my remarks. Pete, back to you.
spk07: Rocco, over to you if you want to open it up for questions.
spk05: Absolutely, sir. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star then one on your telephone keypad. If your question has already been addressed and you'd like to withdraw yourself from queue, please press star then two. Today's first question comes from Pete Osterland with Truist Securities. Please go ahead.
spk06: Hey, good evening, guys. I'm on for Mike Tramoli this evening. Thanks for taking our questions. So first, I just wanted to start with anything you could give us on how margins are looking to start the year. Just given that your first quarter sales guidance puts you at a similar level to where you were in the second quarter of last year, and you had you put down margins of around 9% in that quarter. Is that a good starting point for what you might do in the first quarter, or are there any notable changes to your cost structure since then you'd call out, whether it's labor or productivity or other inputs in the business? Just anything that would change how we look at what
spk08: margins potentially might be? Pete, I could take that, but I
spk03: wouldn't say that there's any significant cost structure changes in the first quarter. As I commented earlier, our contribution margin tends to be somewhere around 40%, depending on product mix. So that works the same way as the top line goes down. So that would be a starting point. I think the other thing to look at would be the fourth quarter, which, as I mentioned, contained a full year's worth of bonuses in that fourth quarter. So if you're going to try to do a bridge between Q4 and Q1, you need to make an adjustment for that full year worth of bonuses in the fourth quarter and adjust that profit up in Q4 for that.
spk06: Okay, that's helpful. Thanks. So then, I also wanted to see if we could get a little more detail on the assumed revenue growth in 2024. Are you assuming a similar revenue split by segments for revenue in 2024, or does your guidance assume relatively higher growth in either
spk08: Aero or Test? We
spk07: would anticipate most of the growth
spk08: coming
spk07: on the Aero side. That's where the big penalty was from the pandemic, and that's where the big turnaround really has been. I mean, if you look at our business by sources of income, our Test business actually was relatively stable. It didn't go down a whole lot. So it's probably not going to go up a lot until we get this Army radio test program resolved and figured out. And similarly, business jet revenues have been relatively stable. The last quarter was particularly strong, enabled by supply chain. And military aircraft also has been pretty stable. So the big swing that took us from $772 million down to $450 million or whatever it was, was largely on the commercial transport side of the business. And the rebound back to that level also is largely on the commercial transport side of the business.
spk06: Great, thanks. And then I just had one last one on the bookings environment. So it looks like in the fourth quarter, your book to bill was a little bit lower versus what you put up in the rest of the year, although I understood that that's relative to a higher revenue number. But I just wanted to get a sense of how are bookings trending to begin the first quarter in
spk08: aerospace so far? I don't know if I
spk07: can say much specifically there. I can tell you that we have regular interactions among the sales professionals across our business. And I guess I would describe the environment as continuing to be target rich. We think that there continues to be pretty strong demand. And so we're going to watch it, of course, because bookings over the first quarter and second quarter will start to have an impact on revenue as we work towards the end of the year. Great, but the feedback I'm getting, the tone of our team is pretty positive there. And on the test side, if we get this radio test program under wraps and underway sometime soon, that will have a pretty positive influence also in the years we get towards the end of it.
spk08: Great, I'll jump back in to you.
spk05: Thanks.
spk04: And our
spk05: next question today comes from John -wen-Teng with CGS Securities. Please go ahead.
spk10: Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions and congratulations on the nice performance in the quarter. Pete, my first question is, can you talk about the Army's recent Farah cancellation and the reallocation of resources to FLIR and maybe tell us how that impacts you over the longer term?
spk07: Well, it's a little bit of an early question, John, because we don't really know how this wrap-up is going to happen. As you know and probably most listeners on the call know, we are teamed as – we're part of the Bell V280 FLIR team. Bell won that competition against the Sikorsky-Lockheed team, and the two are set to compete against Farah. Yeah, I guess I can't speak for the Army, I can't speak for Bell, and we're still learning the details. But I would tell you, I guess from my perspective, that freeing up the system and the money to concentrate on Farah makes sense to me and is good for us. So we can concentrate our resources – again, I can't speak for Bell, but Bell can concentrate their resources on one program instead of two, and the Army also. So I'm okay with it, especially since we were on the winning team. That's all right with me.
spk10: Fair enough. Got it. And can you give us just a little bit more color on the demand from Boeing that you're expecting beyond Q1? You mentioned a hole from rescheduling, and I was just wondering what your assumptions are in production run rates or the demand rates from you as you go through the year and what's assumed in the guidance?
spk07: Yeah, I didn't mean to imply a hole. It seems to be more of a reschedule. So Boeing has been anticipating a ramp on 737, and like many suppliers, I think we were getting those kinds of cues. We ship basically as they tell us to, and they update shipping plans to us in our higher volume facilities like every 12 or 15 weeks. We don't always know what their production rate is. You would assume that our production rate is somehow correlated to their production rate, but every once in a while it becomes apparent that they're a little bit ahead of us or they're a little bit behind us. And our hunch is that they were a little bit behind us, so they probably accumulated some inventory and they're rescheduling things. But I think we're still thinking that the word on the street is that they're going to build at 35 to 38 or 737s a month. And while that's not 45 or whatever they plan to go to by the end of 2024, it's a heck of a lot more than they were building back in 2020, which I think was about zero. So it's a minor kind of headache for us, but it's not a hole by any means. It's just a reallocation of inventory, I would
spk08: say. Got it. Thank you. Appreciate it.
spk04: Thank you. And our next question comes from Tony Bancroft with Cabeli Funds. Please go ahead.
spk08: Pardon me, Tony.
spk04: Is your line muted, perhaps? Mr. Bancroft, your line is open, sir. All right. Well, it looks like we're having technical issues with Mr. Bancroft.
spk05: So at this time, we'll move to our next question, which comes from Ryan McElvenney with Man Group. Please go ahead.
spk02: Hi. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking the time. Congratulations on your results and the continued recovery from the pandemic. I think it speaks to the quality of the business and the management team. A more general question, if I may. When you think about the sort of broader lighting and safety market and your panel business, could you just talk a little bit about the competitive landscape there, who the key competitors are, your current market share, dynamics there, if it's still very fragmented, and how you see that market evolving and the opportunity set there?
spk07: Sure. You're asking about our lighting business in general, right?
spk08: Yes, sir.
spk07: It's one of our major thrusts, for those who don't know, and we're involved in aircraft lighting really across the spectrum. Business, jet, military, commercial transport. We're active in the cockpit. We're active in the exterior, and we're active in the cabin. So, the range of products include the lights you see on the outside of the airplane, the flashing light or red or red and green or landing lights. If you are sitting in the cabin and you push that reading light above your head in the 37 or 777, that's our assembly for sure. And if you're in the cockpit, there's a whole bunch of things that light up, a whole bunch of indicators, and we do a lot of work through major avionics companies that end up in aircraft cockpits. I would venture to say that we are one of the larger aircraft lighting companies in the world. We do lighting in various places in our company, but if you add it all together, we're one of the larger. And the competitive nature of the business with our lighting product line, like some of our other product lines, the consolidation that's happened in the industry over the last 10, 15 years has made us one of the more prominent standalone available suppliers to the big OEMs. And that has so far worked in our favor, and I'm hoping that it does for a long time because that's one of our differentiators is we're big enough to do what it is that we need to do, what the customers are asking from us, but we're small enough to do it. We would like to think in a more prompt and effective and customer intimate kind of way. So the aerospace industry is like a lot of other industries, the reputation business, and we've been picking up share. So we're enthusiastic about it. It's one of our, we consider our business to be based on four strategic trusts, and that's one of them.
spk02: Got it. That's very helpful. Maybe just a quick follow up on that. I mean, and I know it may be difficult to estimate, but when you think about your market share and sort of the main players that you're up against, particularly maybe in terms of the military segment, are there any data points you have there that might be more helping us to understand the company a little better?
spk08: Well, we do the exterior
spk07: lighting suite on the Joint Strike Fighter, the F-35. For example, that's a high volume, high value program, and we have a big portion of it. We are not active in the cockpit, and there's a story there back in the day there were international work share arrangements, so we were kind of precluded from that.
spk08: But that
spk07: would give you an example of
spk08: what we're involved with. Okay, got it. Thank you.
spk04: And our next question is a
spk05: follow up from John -1-10 from CGS Securities. Please go ahead.
spk10: I was wondering if you guys, you guys could walk through kind of your cash flow expectations for the year, especially as we head into Q1, and maybe revenue coming down, you collect the receivables, first of all, and then second of all, as your EBITDA climbs back up, what kind of conversion can you expect? Thank you.
spk08: Pete, I assume you want me to take that one? Go ahead. We're not in the same place, obviously, for those who are listening.
spk03: Yeah. Yeah. So, we expect to return to cash flow positivity as we move through 2024. It'll start out slow as the top line is slow. But as we move through into the second, third, fourth quarter, expect to generate significant cash flow from operations. And we'll have increased cap X for the year compared to where we've been during the pandemic where we really cut back on spending there. It'll be in the neighborhood of 20 million in terms of cap X. A lot of that is related to specific programs and new tooling for programs, testing setups for programs that we've won. And then, I'm not going to give you specific numbers. We typically never given specific guidance on cash flow, but do expect it to return to significant cash flow generation as we move through the year. So that it's north of our, significantly north of what our net income will be for the year.
spk10: Got it. Thanks, Dave. And then, any phasing to the cap plans as you go through the year?
spk03: Yeah, it's going to be more heavily weighted toward the back half of the year, I think, but not significant. And it's always a little bit difficult for us to predict specific quarters with the cap X. A lot of things get moved out. Very rarely does anything get moved in. But I think for modeling purposes, I would probably look at it. And it's going to be more or less rounding if you try to break it out separately by quarters. I'd probably just take your model and take the midpoint of our range and divide it by four, I think.
spk10: Okay, fair enough. And then just finally, obviously, with all the cash flow questions and what's the expectations for potential refinancing and working down that high cost that you have?
spk03: As I mentioned, as we return to profitability here and positive cash flow, we'll have more options available to us. I'm not ready to get into those at this point, but obviously, our interest cost is pretty high right now. And our amortization of our term loan eats up a lot of cash. So we're going to continue to look at the alternatives and the best options for us as we move through the year
spk08: here. Okay, good. Thank you.
spk04: Thank you. And as a reminder, ladies and gentlemen,
spk05: if you'd like to ask a question, please press star then one. Our next question comes from Tony Bancroft, Wiccabelly Funds. Please go ahead.
spk09: Hey, Jens. Great job on the quarter. Thanks for taking my call, my question. I just wanted to ask about follow-up to the about FLARA. Obviously, we listened to the Textron call the other week and they had some really positive news. It seems like things are going well there. Maybe just more of a 30,000 foot view of FLARA. Any incremental updates there? I know you talk a lot about electrification of the aircraft and how you have a comparative advantage there. Maybe just some color or just maybe a little review of how that program impacts you positively.
spk08: Sure. It's going to be a really
spk07: important program long term for our company. When I look at it, I would say that it has the potential and probability to be the single largest program that the company's ever undertaken. And a lot of that has to do with the ship set content that we are developing. A lot of it is based on architectures that we have already proven out and thus we think are relatively low risk. But the ship set content should be substantial. It's still moving around so it's premature to nail it down. I think I've played this game with you, Tony, where if you take a theoretical widebody airplane and you imagine all the things we could possibly put in there, and there's never been such an airplane, we've never done it, but an antenna on top and a full lighting suite on the exterior, escape path lighting, a full load of PSUs, a full load of our IFE equipment, you'd probably get somewhere in the neighborhood of $750,000 for that airplane in terms of astronics content. And the range of numbers that we're talking about for FLERA are all well north of that. So it's for us a pretty substantial opportunity. I think we surprised some people in the industry that we were able to pull it off. And we're basically doing the entire electrical system from generators, after the generators, to the end use systems. So all the electronic circuit breakers, a lot of the other things switching in the electrical system we're involved with. And obviously trying to plan for and support the range of what that aircraft might be asked to do over 30 years of use or 40 years of use. It's a pretty big task. But Bell has been a really good partner for us and with us. I mean we've done their 505, we did their 525, we did their FERA prototype actually before FLERA, and then we did FLERA. So we know that organization pretty well, and I think they know us pretty well. And we think it's going to be a really great program, something the Army really needs.
spk09: That's a pretty good overview. Thank you. And then again, we've been back and forth on this one too, but with the sort of anything that you're seeing incremental, also maybe a little more 30,000 feet here. But with in-flight entertainment and on the commercial transport side, you know, sort of retrofitting cockpits. Has the customer, just maybe give us a view on what the customer is talking to you about and what they want in sort of a longer-term view there. Just any thoughts there?
spk07: Yeah, I'd say the biggest trend that we see is that narrow-body operators around the world are adopting in-seat power in a way that they never really have before. You know, it's a trend that was very helpful to us as we navigated through the pandemic as well as we did, but it's just picking up speed. So we developed a system largely in the pandemic or as the pandemic was beginning that where we were partnered with Southwest Airlines. They were the target customer and there was a lot of back and forth. And we developed a system on our dime with our IP that they endorsed and so far have agreed to put on their max fleet. There's an NG portion of that fleet that I expect we'll be talking about at some time also here in the near future. But it turns out that Southwest Desire and the unique architecture of the system has found a lot of favor all around the world from India to China to Europe. So we're booking a lot of orders there and that will be a major driving force for us in the ISEC world for a long time. The other trend I would say that's positive is that connectivity is getting better and more ubiquitous, not less. And we are involved in that in a number of ways also with some of the leading connectivity suppliers. So some of them are a little more reluctant to let us use their name than others, which they're the customer, it's their right. But we're pretty active in that space. So that's also I think a positive trend that's going to serve us well for quite a while.
spk09: And then lastly, anything with litigation on sort of what you guys have talked about in the K, anything updated, update there, what's going on? I know we've talked about a little bit before, but anything incremental?
spk07: Well, we have two situations, as you know, we have a long running dispute with Lufthansa Technik, been going on for more than a decade. Not much going on these days. There are little things happening here and there, but that's likely to pick up as we get towards the end of 2024. And there's a chance, and I will daresay chance, that those things get resolved in 2025, which would be kind of nice. That would be a change. As far as the paradigm suit in our test business, we actually got a very favorable ruling in December where we basically won on all counts. But of course, as these things go, either side has the right to appeal. We understand that the paradigm intends to appeal. So the orbit that that takes is a little bit unpredictable. It's probably something that will play out in the middle of 2024. But it shouldn't be, at least to begin with, as expensive as what we've been through because all the fact finding has been found. So we'd hope for a little bit of a break there in terms of expense, but we won't know until we get there.
spk09: Perfect. Thanks so much. Great job in the quarter. Looking forward to following you guys. Well done.
spk07: Thanks, Tony.
spk05: Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session and today's conference call. We thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.
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