2/24/2022

speaker
Luke Larson
President

join the meeting as an attendee and

speaker
Andrea
Host

will be muted throughout the meeting. Hello everyone. Welcome to Axon's fourth quarter 2021 earnings call. We appreciate your tuning in today in the midst of considerable market volatility and global geopolitical risk. Today we have available Axon CEO Rick Smith, President Luke Larson, CFO Jawad Assan, Chief Revenue Officer Josh Isner and Chief Product Officer Jeff Cunnins. I hope you've all had a chance to read our shareholder letter, which was released after the market closed. You can find it at .axon.com. Our remarks today are meant to build upon the information in that robust letter. During this call, we discuss our business outlook and make forward looking statements. Any forward looking statements made today are pursuant to and within the meaning of the safe harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These comments are based on our predictions and expectations as of today and are not guarantees of future performance. All forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties cause actual results to differ materially. These risks are discussed in our SEC filings. So before we go to Rick, we're going to play our quarterly update video. This video was prerecorded before current global events escalated. But we're making the decision to share today because there's important information about our quarterly update in the video. OK, thank you.

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

Hey, everyone. Thanks for joining us. Today, we're going to look back at 2021, where we once again delighted our customers, solve real world problems and delivered strong growth. And we intend to do the same in 2022. Now, it's my pleasure to once again introduce. Wait, guys, hold on a second. Where are Andrea and Angel? All right. Let's pause for a second while we focus on the current situation. Figure this out. Oh, this is them now. Hey, where are you guys? We're filming our video. You're

speaker
Unknown
Unknown

what?

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

You're where? Wait, where am I supposed to get a.

speaker
Jeff Cunnins
Chief Product Officer

I knew he'd eventually figure it out. Welcome to the metaverse. Now that we're all here, pause this video and check out our forward looking statements disclaimer.

speaker
Andrea
Host

We're opening in virtual reality because VR is an exciting new category for

speaker
Jeff Cunnins
Chief Product Officer

us. VR is the fastest growing new product in Axon history. In its first year, VR grew from practically zero to over 20 million dollars in bookings and more than 1100 public safety agencies

speaker
Andrea
Host

have deployed. In spring 2022, our Taser and VR teams will launch a new training that features a real Taser 7 in VR. This allows frontline officers to get more practice with the actual device. And that supports the entire mission. More de-escalation means more people saved in real life.

speaker
Jeff Cunnins
Chief Product Officer

Axon makes officer training more effective, affordable and fun, which is why in November at our user conference, we launched a teaser versus zombie game. It's a huge hit. Wouldn't you say so, Jwad?

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

Not today, zombies.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Let's come back to him. In all seriousness, we know that the investing landscape has changed since our November update from falling tech stocks to new concerns about inflation. Axon's confidence has not changed and our outlook has strengthened. Axon's growth is durable thanks to our growing global presence and expanding product suite. Get this in 2021, about a quarter of our bookings came from new types of customers, including international customers, the federal government, corrections, fire and emergency medical services and commercial enterprises. This was a record and highlights how we are successfully expanding beyond our core. Let's hear again from our CFO.

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

We're coming up a strong 2021. Sorry, guys. We're coming up a strong 2021, which showcased impressive growth and was highly profitable. 2022 is again off to a strong start and we expect this momentum to continue. Like every company, we're monitoring inflation. Our software solutions are pretty insulated. We have long-term contracts for our cloud business. And the rest of the business, we have mitigation levers. For example, we continuously engineer costs out of our hardware materials and continue to automate our manufacturing. Not only that, as we grow, economies of scale help drive fixed cost leverage.

speaker
Andrea
Host

The durability of our growth includes every business line. Axon is less than 2% penetrated on our $52 billion total addressable market. We believe the professional taser market can continue to grow for decades. What drives that growth? Global expansion, continuous innovation, and use cases beyond

speaker
Jeff Cunnins
Chief Product Officer

law enforcement. Taser adoption continued to proliferate around the world in 2021. Recent examples of major taser deployments include the Dutch national police and three new police forces in Italy. Meanwhile,

speaker
Andrea
Host

the consumer market for taser remains mostly untapped. It's still very early days. Angel, what have we

speaker
Jeff Cunnins
Chief Product Officer

been up to? Starting in January, we began taking orders from distributors for a new consumer taser device, the Bolt 2. By nature of being the CFO, Chauvin was one of the first to get one.

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

Our newest consumer taser device offers a different form factor for those wanting personal protection in a more accessible design. It's designed to establish up to 15 feet of safety and up to 30 seconds of full lockup on an attacker. Our investments in consumer taser fall alongside our other growth investments, including software. All of these investments are subject to the same financial discipline that allows us to deliver meaningful profitability while also growing the top line at 20% or higher. We're really excited about what's in store for our consumer business, but you can expect us to maintain a responsible long-term focus as we invest for growth.

speaker
Jeff Cunnins
Chief Product Officer

Sounds good. Okay, Angel, what else? 2021 was a banner year for software adoption and you'll see that reflected in our reported results. Among recent highlights, British Columbia is connecting all of its justice sector partners and stakeholders with Axon evidence, transforming the way digital evidence is managed throughout the province. Remember

speaker
Andrea
Host

that new justice category we talked about in our November update with the billion dollar total addressable market? The product is here. We've launched attorney premiere, the first digital evidence management system designed specifically for attorneys. Here's an excerpt from our December product launch with Brent Berkeley, director of Axon justice solutions.

speaker
Brent Berkeley
Director of Axon Justice Solutions

As it is right now, there is nothing that is custom built and specifically built to manage large, complex digital files. We're going to fix all of those problems for you in one centralized, secure location with the first specifically built digital evidence management system to completely revolutionize criminal discovery.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Axon's justice team has a robust development roadmap for 2022 to improve functionality and add new features. We're excited about this new

speaker
Jeff Cunnins
Chief Product Officer

category. In June, 2021, we began shipping Axon fleet three with ALPR. Demand has been spectacular and has exceeded our expectations. Customers love the fleet three dash cam system. It is easy to use. It has high video quality. It is powered by artificial intelligence that allows the system to scan license plates. Backlog continues to grow. And we are delivering as fast as we can. Meanwhile, Axon body cameras are also proliferating globally, recording hundreds of millions of hours of video annually. The 2022 product roadmap includes capabilities that will allow the Axon body three camera to serve customers in new market verticals and new regions. We could go

speaker
Andrea
Host

on, but we'd like to get back to the real world. Please do check out our strong financial results and the details on our strengthening outlook in our shareholder letter at .axon.com. Jawab will close us out.

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

We recently concluded our first ever virtual ESG road show, where we got feedback from our largest institutional shareholders. Coming out of that, we've proposed some shareholder friendly governance changes. We're proud to be leaders in the area of corporate governance, shareholder outreach, and leading a mission driven business. Our diverse shareholder base also includes individual retail investors who support our mission to protect life. This shareholder diversity is a big part of why we do these videos to foster transparency and make ourselves accessible to a wide audience. It's important for us to deliver shareholder value and also be the type of company that you are proud to own. Thanks for joining us on our mission and on our growth journey. See you next quarter.

speaker
Jeff Cunnins
Chief Product Officer

So how do we get out of here? I'm clear.

speaker
Andrea
Host

I think you're up, Rip. Go ahead.

speaker
Rick Smith
CEO

All right. Thank you, Andrea. I was just waiting for the Q&A. I love watching those videos. We've got the most creative finance team in the business. And as you can see from that video, we've been looking forward to sharing results from the best year in Axon's history. But we're heavy hearted to do this on a day when democracy is under attack and a war is breaking out in Europe. But we don't get to choose whether the times we live in will include geopolitical instability or global pandemics. What we can choose are our principles and how we respond. We stand for transparency, truth, and protecting life. Our products are designed to strengthen trust in the rule of law, and they support the United Nations 16th Sustainable Development Goal to foster peace, justice, and strong institutions. Our thoughts are especially with the Ukraine National Police, who are our customer, as well as our Axon teammates in Ukraine. As we kick off 2022, I'm confident Axon's best days are ahead of us. We are prioritizing our people and giving them a platform to further excel at what they do. Last month, Dr. Richard Carmona announced he will be retiring from Axon's board after 15 years of service. Dr. Carmona has been a tremendous contributor to Axon, helping us shape strategy and positioning Axon as we evolve from a single product company known as Taser to where we are today. He is simply a wonderful human being. We're incredibly grateful to him, not only for his 15 years of service, but also for the way forward he helped us to define. As I reflect on what is driving our strength, it is a powerful combination of solving real challenges for our customers, creating a better user experience, and attracting passionate talent. It's really our emphasis on building software at the core that creates a great user experience. Historically, our competitors built software to fit RFPs, which check a lot of boxes, but ultimately does not function well in the hands of the user. We have been religious about understanding our customers' needs and building software and products that delight them when they use them. When customers test Axon solutions, we stand apart. As we consider the competitive landscape, one of the most important factors that sets us apart is that we truly have a highly integrated suite, a high-performance ecosystem that seamlessly connects hardware, software, and our community of users to achieve our mission of delivering a safer world. When competitors talk about winning market share, it's mostly focused on lower margin hardware buyers who don't yet value great software and usually aren't ready to advance to the cloud. We look forward to welcoming those customers down the road, just like the many agencies here in the U.S. that are upgrading from competing platforms to the Axon ecosystem. Perhaps even more important than the technology we've built is the mission mindset of our employees that sets us apart. I regularly hear from chiefs raving about their positive experience with our employees because they are so passionate about helping our customers succeed. I recently got a call from a state police colonel asking me to come to their headquarters for a surprise award ceremony where they recognize Axon Rockstar project manager, Jenny Schuch, for seamlessly upgrading them from a competing platform onto Axon. Great work, Jenny. So proud to have you on our team. Great tech and passionate people is just a magical combination and it works. Our momentum with Fleet 3 has allowed us to continue to capture share with major cities, county sheriffs, and state patrols here in the domestic market. We've converted several major agencies in the last year from competing platforms onto our network, joining our community. The whole ecosystem ties together our body cameras, fleet cameras, taser weapons, drones, and third-party sensors with a growing suite of software capabilities, and I'm glad to see it's delighting our customers. We're laser focused on pursuing our mission and driving growth. And it's clear that our people are our best asset. As you've heard from Luke over these years, we have been fortunate to track people who are among the best in the world, what they do. I'm incredibly grateful and thankful to have these people on our team contributing to our success. Now over to Luke to take you through some of our 2021 highlights in more detail.

speaker
Luke Larson
President

Thank you, Rick. In 2021, Axon focused on our commitment to our mission, our customers, and our employees. We continue to be in a period of rapid scale. Last year, we hired more than 900 new Axon teammates, and we set new company records by filing more than 100 patent applications. We also supported our customers through a period of turbulence. One of our initiatives included the creation and launch of Family First, a free and confidential mental health resource and training package for the families of law enforcement. Another fantastic initiative we launched last year was the Axon Roadshow. We hosted 200 events over the course of six months where we visited customer agencies and gave demos of our products. We also grew our international markets with Sao Paulo Military Police adopting a large body camera deployment and the Dutch National Police undergoing a large taser deployment. On the product front last year, we launched Fleet 3 and ALPR and demand has exceeded our expectations. As a result, Fleet bookings for 2021 far surpassed our projections and customers have raved and served as incredible references. And our first launch of Attorney Premier in December opens up an entire new software category for us in the justice sector. And while we're quick to highlight key wins in new market segments, our entire business has been able to achieve record results due to the stellar work that continues to be done by our state and local teams. Operationally, last quarter, we told you about industry wide chip shortages that impacted our taser 7 platform. We told you we had line of sight to clearing the backlog in the first half of 2022. And that remains the case. We continue to manage through challenges, including delivery delays, and our supply chain team is navigating extremely well. We also called out in today's shareholder letter that approximately 15 million dollars of the 83 revenue is also shifting into 2022 as a result of an elongated supply chain. I want to note that we have been intentional over our preparedness, investing in manufacturing capacity and flexibility, thereby improving our ability to meet customer demand. We feel great about our pipeline and bookings and in what continues to be a very dynamic environment. As Rick noted, you often hear me boast about our teams and the incomparable talent we have at Axon. Recruiting is a major focus for us as we grow. We recently announced that we are opening an R&D hub in London, which will be our fifth after Scottsdale, Seattle, Tampere, Finland, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. And finally, if you know someone fantastic who wants to make an impact, we want the best people in the world to come to Axon. So please refer them to us. Now, with that, I'll turn the call over to our chief financial officer, Jawad Assam.

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

Thanks, Luke. I'd like to start by recapping some of our financial highlights over the past few years. This is our third year in a row of 25 percent plus revenue growth. Our annual recurring revenue has tripled over those same past three years to $327 million. And looking back over five years, our revenue has grown at a CAGR of 26 percent from 2016 to 2021. And over this same period, our adjusted EBITDA has grown at a CAGR of 32 percent. We've delivered both exciting top line growth and strong operating leverage, all while making investments that will not only continue these trends for years to come, but more importantly, help us achieve our mission to protect life. As we look ahead to 2022 and beyond, we intend to use this momentum to our advantage and stay on offense. What is that going to look like? We're introducing today a third pillar of our financial strategy, in addition to top line growth and bottom line leverage. And that third pillar is cash generation, where laser focus on building an enterprise that will deliver 20 percent plus revenue growth for years to come, return increasing amounts of profitability to our shareholders as we grow and build a free cash flow generating machine that will make our businesses sustainable for the long term and keep us nimble and flexible. This flexibility will be built on the stable foundation of a subscription based business model that generates highly recurring cash flows. We've recently talked about investing for growth in terms of R&D. We're still making those investments, but we also know that our continued growth at this pace will depend on more than just R&D. We'll need new sites and new offices around the world as our global footprint expands. We'll need new facilities with new capabilities, both in terms of automation and streamlined manufacturing, as well as showcase spaces for our technology where we can collaborate with and gather feedback from our increasingly diverse customer and partner base. And finally, we'll also need the ability to move quickly when the right inorganic opportunity presents itself. It's for these reasons that we gave you more color than usual in our shareholder letter about our cash flow and capex expectations, including formal guidance for 2022. Transparency is of paramount importance to us, and you can expect to hear more from us on this topic. We're incredibly proud of how we position the business to be cash generative for years to come. To recap the three pillars in terms of what you can expect from us going forward, it's number one, continued strong performance on the top line. Number two, continued discipline in our operations, which will be evidenced by outperforming the rule of 40. And number three, a strong ramp in operating cash flow that will, after the investments that we've laid out, lead to a strong ramp in free cash flow. Looking ahead, we're also very excited by the next wave of new products and technologies that are going to become an important part of our growth story in their own right. Before we move to questions, I want to echo Rick's comments about the geopolitical crisis we're all facing as global citizens. Our thoughts are very much with the citizens of Ukraine today. And we at Axon have never been more proud of our mission to protect life. And with that, Andrea, let's move to questions.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Thanks so much, guys. Mauds, can you bring everyone up into gallery view? Let me know when that when we're all in gallery. Are we in gallery view? OK, awesome. OK, great. We'll take our first question from Jonathan Ho at William Blair. Go ahead, Jonathan.

speaker
Jonathan Ho
Analyst at William Blair

Hi, good afternoon. I wanted to start out with sort of maybe what was different between your supply chain expectations around backlog and what ended up materializing around the quarter and what's sort of giving you the confidence that you'll be able to sort of maintain clearing the backlog by second quarter?

speaker
Luke Larson
President

Jonathan, thanks for that question. Yeah, we had just some, you know, material delays that impacted some of our original thinking. We still feel really strong about the total year outlook and our supply chain teams just done a phenomenal job ensuring that we have, you know, line of sight to key revenue drivers. If I had to summarize it, I would say, you know, we may see some quarter to quarter mix based on some of those material delays, but we still feel very strong for the year guidance that we published.

speaker
Jonathan Ho
Analyst at William Blair

And then just as a follow up, you referenced 25 percent of bookings coming from new types of customers. I just wanted to get a sense for how much those customers can continue to contribute going forward. You know, as you look at sort of that that increasing ratio, you know, what can that get to over time? Thank you.

speaker
Josh Isner
Chief Revenue Officer

Thanks, Jonathan. Nice to see you again. I'd say, you know, for international specifically, our goal is to have international outperform the United States in bookings long term. So I think we're just scratching the surface right now in that segment. And the federal government, you know, I want to acknowledge our entire federal team. Just two years ago, you know, it was a kind of a 15 to 20 million dollar bookings business every year. And last year, we're just short of 100 million in that segment. And again, we think we're closer to the beginning than the end of that growth. And so we have a lot of confidence, especially in those two segments. And then, you know, the justice segment, the correction segment, enterprise, where we're starting to see some encouraging momentum as well. You know, one of the things that makes it challenging at times is our domestic segment still grows pretty substantially. But certainly we hope and expect those new new segments to outpace domestic and become a bigger and bigger part of that mix over time.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Thank you. Thanks, Jonathan. Next question from Josh Riley at Needham. Go ahead,

speaker
Josh Riley
Analyst at Needham

Josh. Hey there. Thanks for taking my questions and nice job on the quarter and year. So I think, you know, given the news in Ukraine here over the last week, you know, curious how this maybe impacts your European opportunity given the pipeline there in that region. And I know it's early, but do you anticipate any potential business disruption as a result of what's going on?

speaker
Josh Isner
Chief Revenue Officer

You know, we've spent years and years building up a really strong team and pipeline in Europe. And last year, you know, the team really performed well against our goals. You know, and in terms of normalized five year bookings, we're up about 35 percent. In terms of 10 year bookings, we're up close to 60 percent international. So these are deals that take a lot of time and energy to move through the sales cycle. And so the ones that we expect to close this year, largely we've been working on already for quite some time. So I think we're in a place now where, you know, we feel like they're insulated from from some of the uncertainty. But having said that, you know, no one can predict, you know, the future in terms of how this will play out longer term. So, of course, there's a little bit more risk there today than there was last week. But we still feel really confident in our international and EMEA business, you know, throughout 2022.

speaker
Josh Riley
Analyst at Needham

And then if you look at the increase in guidance and adjust for the 15 million dollars of 80, three revenue that's pushed to 2022, how much of that 40 million dollar increase is related to increased assumptions around Taser versus other products?

speaker
Josh Isner
Chief Revenue Officer

You know, I think it's a healthy mix. I think we believe the Taser business is going to grow this year, you know, across both domestic and our newer segments and then video shipments and some other products, both on the software and hardware side will contribute there. We the team did a really nice job of not only closing out a strong Q4, but continuing to develop a pipeline for this year. And in Q1, we expect really significant book bookings growth over Q1 of last year. And, you know, we're pushing really hard to make that trend continue throughout the year. So we think it'll be a mix of factors that drive that revenue and, you know, and bookings result up.

speaker
Josh Riley
Analyst at Needham

Got it. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Andrea
Host

All right, thank you. Will Power at Baird. Go ahead, Will.

speaker
Will Power
Analyst at Baird

All right, great. Thanks. Rick, maybe starting with you, you all rolled out a bunch of new exciting products, whether it's VR, Bolt 2, Fleet 3, you know, on and on digital evidence management for justice. You look over the next five years, which of these new product categories gets you most excited and what can be the what presents the biggest opportunity, I guess, for the company?

speaker
Rick Smith
CEO

Sorry, I had myself muted there. It's my patented move. That's kind of like asking me again, like, which of my children I love the most? It's it's actually it's hard to pick over on the Taser side of the business. We have got some crazy, awesome new technology coming over the next 10 years. We are going to outperform a nine millimeter pistol by 2030. I am highly confident over on the other side of the business, like solving problems for attorneys in the criminal justice system. You know, that's high margin software. It's it's scaling rapidly, quickly. And, you know, we're passionate. Our team over there talks about the opportunity to really impact fairness and efficiency in the justice system by having tools that enable, you know, public defenders who may only have literally minutes with their clients to have to work out plea deals to make them able to efficiently be able to process the video evidence and find what they need. So across our whole business, pretty much everything we do impacts people's lives in important way because public safety is it's really important and foundational work to a modern society. So I'm excited across the board. I mean, consumer, I started this business to focus on the consumer space after, you know, a private citizen killed two of my friends, ruining their lives and now spending his life in jail. We need to give people something better than a bullet. It's 2022 and across the board, whether it's improving the efficiency of the justice system or saving lives or just putting medieval technology on the shelf because we've given the world something better. We're we're just excited across the board. So forgive my enthusiasm, but I actually love my job. I just got back from a two and a half day road show, saw 12 major agencies and I always come back super pumped. Literally got home about five minutes before the call. You know, it's it's just such an awesome business to be in. And I'll just tell you this. I also I'm watching what's happening in Europe. And I can't help but think like the world is looking at this quite differently. Like, what is this capricious use of war? It doesn't feel like it fits the modern world. And, you know, I think we all were hoping it was gone. But, you know, the global revulsion that you can feel it. And I'm hoping that we're turning a corner here. And I think we're seeing even in military circles, the acceptance of killing people is is not what it was 100 years ago. And hopefully, we're going to get rid of it being accepted at all in the next century.

speaker
Will Power
Analyst at Baird

Yeah. OK. Thank you. That all makes sense. Maybe if I can just ask the second one, whether for you or Luke, whoever wants to take it. You know, it's been a challenging hiring environment, especially for R&D talent technology. I know you're opening a new hub in London, which, you know, presumably helps. Maybe just talk about what you're seeing in terms of employee retention, difficulty hiring. How does that factor into, you know, plans and outlook here?

speaker
Rick Smith
CEO

Yeah. I'm going to take that first. And then, Luke, I'll have you take the ball. Part of what we're doing in London as well is really important. We're beginning to continue to expand our global footprint that, you know, we've got a lot of customers in the UK and Scotland and across Europe. And we really feel it's incumbent on us to really have a global footprint where we're sourcing talent around the world and putting that talent closer to our customers. So this both helps with a sourcing talent, but also we think from a customer intimacy perspective, it's going to help there as well. And with that, Luke, do you want to take the rest on retention?

speaker
Luke Larson
President

Yeah. Great question. As we, you know, look, like in the last, you know, two years, we've seen this acceleration of remote work and that's given every employee in the world a lot of opportunities. I think a lot of companies are kind of scratching their heads going, how are we possibly going to retain people in this environment? I'm super excited about it at Axon because I think we're going to be the beneficiary of that because we've built an amazing company. So when we go out and talk to candidates, we talk about the purpose and the mission that we have. We talk about the great team that we've built and the talent that we've attracted. I think one really exciting part of the business is the future growth that we see ahead of us. And so that's not only for, you know, prospective employees, it's for existing employees as well. And so, you know, I feel really confident about the team that we've built and it's definitely a challenging hiring environment, but we think it's going to be one where we're going to, you know, thrive because we've built such a great business.

speaker
Rick Smith
CEO

Stay tuned at the end of the call. We've got one more video for you that the team put together that really is, showcases a bit of who we are and we're getting rave reviews from people seeing it online who don't even know what we do, who want to come work for us. You know, we aspire to have a place that not only works on big problems, but really has a good time doing it and recognizes and celebrates, you know, the humanity of our people. You know, we're all in this together working on problems we care about. And that is resonating with our current employees and with folks who are trying to recruit in.

speaker
Will Power
Analyst at Baird

I look forward to that.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Yeah, thanks. We're really excited to share that video with you at the end. So do stick around. Okay, Nita Marshall at Morgan Stanley. You're up next.

speaker
Nita Marshall
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Great. Thanks. You know, you listed a number of kind of international agencies that you guys were having success with in the quarter. Just wanted to get a sense of, you know, whether, where you're seeing the most traction, either teasers or body camera, and just whether they're more likely to kind of bundle up front or if there's different needs with the software for those customers that may be digging in on the international side and what traction you're seeing there. And then maybe second, it sounded like you guys were able to kind of work around and find alternatives for a lot of the products, but just getting a sense of if you think there's any price increases that will need to be passed on to customers. Thanks.

speaker
Josh Isner
Chief Revenue Officer

Yeah, thanks very much for the question. So on international, I think our focus is customer acquisition, regardless of product. So I think some customers are better suited at the moment for tasers or more interested in tasers and others are pursuing body cameras or in-car video or even interview room. And for us, our strategy has always been to make sure we can delight our customers with one of those products and then over time, expand the ecosystem within each agency. And we really believe that's become a competitive differentiator for us in the United States over time, and it will internationally as well. I'd say it's a little less common to see bundling of tasers and body cams in most markets. The Commonwealth countries might be a little more common there, but it's still in a lot of these markets, how can we get in there with any of our products and delight customers and build really strong, productive, trusting relationships? So that's really the focus internationally. In terms of pricing, I think we feel really good about where we stand right now. We address pricing every year and meet as a team and decide kind of how best to go out to market and be fair in terms of the value that we're providing. And we don't at this point anticipate passing any pricing increases along to our customers. We announced our new pricing in January. We feel great about it. We have many of our supplier contracts locked in. Our 10-year deals do contain escalators starting in year six to account for inflation and new products and new capabilities and so forth. We continue to feel good about that.

speaker
Nita Marshall
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Great.

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

I want to add on here, Meeta, one thing we are working on is why we laid it out for you in our cash estimates is our investment in automation, streamlining manufacturing, labor reduction. That's a big investment we're making from a CAPEX standpoint to help attack this from the cost side.

speaker
Nita Marshall
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Perfect. Thanks for the context.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Good. Thanks, Meeta. Keith Hussom at North Coast. You're up next.

speaker
Keith Hussom
Analyst at North Coast

Thanks, guys. Appreciate it. You guys, I'll just talk a little bit, perhaps a crystal ball here. You can perhaps give us a little bit of a highlight in terms of what we can expect for this year in terms of new product rollouts or updating existing ones. Now, 83 is a few years old. You know, Taser is being in process. Perhaps you guys can give us an update of where you guys are at with some of the new products and the improvements or changing or updating the old ones.

speaker
Rick Smith
CEO

Well, I've got to contain my excitement here. You know that, Keith. You know, the products are we have some products that are, you know, getting to the end of their expected life cycle where we start to expect to see some new ones coming along. So I can't give you any, you know, specifics, but, you know, we do get on a cadence of approximately two and a half to three years on body cameras and every five years on tasers. You know, we just launched fleet three. There's a lot going on, but, you know, unfortunately, I can't give you more than that other than to share my smile with you and let you know we got good stuff coming on the way.

speaker
Keith Hussom
Analyst at North Coast

I'll say it. I found by three was the 2018, correct? You wrote 2019 in mass. So it's like probably something this year for that one. No comment for you guys. That's very right. I assumption that's on that one. It's the next question. For Joe, you guys did know that you guys increase free cost on the fourth quarter. I'm assuming you got other cost deal with supply chain issues. Can you perhaps give us a context about what the impact was in the fourth quarter? How we should think about that in 2022?

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

Yeah, you know, the impact is fairly muted on our margins. When you saw gross margin compression, it was largely actually due to when we talked about the supply chain shortages that we had unable to fulfill demand. So we had some fixed costs that were unable to be allocated over inventory and that caused a little bit of margin compression. But overall, not a big disruption. This is again pointing back to the investments we're making in our manufacturing processes, in automation to really get out ahead of that. We're seeing results. We've been making those investments for a couple of years. They've been on a bit of a smaller scale and now we're ramping those up because we're seeing such great benefits from those. And that's something that we expect to continue to pay dividends in the short term. And over the next few years. And as we again, try to drive towards that long term margin target of 30%.

speaker
Keith Hussom
Analyst at North Coast

Okay, so if I recap what you said, you don't expect any significant compression in 2022 because of either of those issues. That's correct. But you're right on the off side. All right. Thanks, guys. Appreciate it.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Thank you, Keith. Next up, it looks like Eric has dropped off. So we'll go to Paul Chung at JP Morgan. Go ahead, Paul.

speaker
Paul Chung
Analyst at JP Morgan

Hey, thanks for taking my question. So just I just want to talk about the kind of push out in 4Q revenues and kind of impact on the shape of kind of your Taser contribution in 2022. And then how's your visibility on the weapons side? And then given that higher subscription bundles, can we expect a little less volatility between quarters and then a fallout?

speaker
Josh Isner
Chief Revenue Officer

Yeah, I think it's a good question. You know, the teams worked really, really hard to get as much line of sight into, you know, the Taser supply chain as we can. And they deserve a lot of credit for that. I think we feel very much that the outlook on supply chain does support our new revenue guidance. And so, you know, as you remember, Q4, we did guide to, you know, around $204 million, I think, and surpassed that. And that just speaks to the fact that the team really did a good job pulling in every, you know, every component that they could to be able to beat that guidance. And we think we've got a promising path forward in that regard. In terms of quarter to quarter, you know, flux, last year, you know, it became fairly consistent between Q2 and Q4. There was less kind of swing in the revenue results overall. I do think that is because the team is getting better and better at building, you know, more substantial pipeline across segments. And that allows us to have a little less execution risk quarter to quarter. So certainly every quarter, we start with, you know, how can we maximize the percentage of the pipeline that we close? And that's going to continue to be a focus. I really believe the team is primed for another really strong year in that regard.

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

And then, Paul, on your visibility question, we've got visibility to a little over half, about half, over half is booked. And it's one of the reasons we like to highlight our bookings number, because it's a really strong indicator of our future revenue growth.

speaker
Paul Chung
Analyst at JP Morgan

And then on cash flow, you know, very strong. So despite some of the component shortages here, talk about the working cap dynamics you expect over the year, and then kind of benefits of the larger subscription base, and then the shape of cash flows as we move through the year. That'd be helpful. Thanks.

speaker
Jawad Assan
CFO

Yeah, this is one we're really excited about. I'm personally extremely excited about it. We've built a business that is going to be hugely cash generated for years to come. This is something that we've been building the foundation for for many years, and it's really starting to manifest itself, you know, in our cash flow statements. Last year, we had a bit of a use of working capital, and we expect that that's going to work itself out in the first half of the year. And, you know, we obviously laid out the investment in the new campus, the automation, you know, manufacturing initiatives, we have new sites and facilities we're opening around the world. And so that's one of the reasons that we've given more visibility into our capital expenditure. And we've broken that out versus just sort of like recurring business, ongoing, excluding the one time items, we are going to give you visibility to those one time items over the next couple of years. And we expect that once we're through the next couple of years, those investments that we're really going to be throwing off pretty significant amounts of cash.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Thanks, Paul. And it looks like we have Astrid Huang has joined us from Raymond James. Don't mean to put you on the spot because their video is off. But do you have a question Astrid? Okay, I'm going to assume not. I'll give you another second. Is there anybody else who has a follow up? You can kind of come off mute. Don't jump up at once. Oh, Will Power has his hand up. Go ahead.

speaker
Will Power
Analyst at Baird

I'll ask a follow up. You know, I was intrigued with on the corrections market, looked like a nice one in Ohio. You know, I believe so. I'd love to get further color as to what the pipeline of opportunities looks like. It seems like that's been a kind of a budding opportunity for a while. Are we finally at the cusp of, you know, more significant wins? How do we think about that opportunity moving forward?

speaker
Josh Isner
Chief Revenue Officer

Yeah, absolutely. You know, deploying body camera at every correctional facility in Ohio was a huge win for the corrections team and one that took multiple years to deliver. There's a big market here. You know, we often talk about internally, like, you know, for example, the California Department of Corrections is about the size of NYPD and officer count. So there's a big market out there to go get. You know, we've reworked some of the offerings and packaging and bundling to better suit our corrections customers. And we've continued to build out that team over the last year and a half here. So we're really excited about the progress there. Still a lot of work to do. And it's a different sale for sure than a lot of our, you know, more conventional law enforcement customers. But, you know, we expect that to be not only a part of our state and local growth moving forward, but also a part of our federal growth moving forward.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Thanks. Well, Jonathan has a follow up. Go ahead, Jonathan.

speaker
Jonathan Ho
Analyst at William Blair

Hi there. So just given we started the call in VR, I thought it'd be appropriate to just ask, just given the success that you're seeing there, are there any stimulus, you know, funding or programs that can maybe drive even faster adoption in that VR space? And can you maybe remind us of how much of a step up in ASPs you can see from sort of VR adoption? Thank you.

speaker
Josh Isner
Chief Revenue Officer

Yeah, absolutely. So right now, you know, if you buy a VR, our VR offering with Taser 7, it's about a $17 a month uplift from the Taser 7. And we have some alacarte packages as well. I'd say like all of our products, you know, early on, we're far more focused on adoption than ASP right now. We believe that this is an extremely emerging and disruptive technology that, you know, is going to further our mission to obsolete the bullet. Of course, we can do that through building a better and better Taser, and we will. But the other side of that is making sure that we're able to simulate the type of stress that officers experience in the field. And so we really, really believe this is kind of our next big product category. And we're really focused on becoming the market leader in this space. And like we said, this product outperformed both our body cameras and X26 in year one of sales, which is a great indicator. And the team's really focused on driving this business segment up past $100 million in bookings as fast as we can here.

speaker
Andrea
Host

Thank you. Rick, you're off mute. So you're going to close us out. Go ahead.

speaker
Rick Smith
CEO

Now you made me want to double check and just make sure that I'm off mute here. Well, hey, we're obviously just thrilled with the performance the team's been able to pull together over these past two years, despite the pandemic and social unrest, and now these new geopolitical challenges. But, you know, I had the great fortune to work with just some really awesome people who get out of bed, regardless of what's happening in the world, and just get after our mission. So we want to conclude by sharing with you a really special project. Our team shot some drone footage of our current headquarters this week. And we'd love to take you through our Scottsdale office R&D and manufacturing facility. It's pretty cool. Check it out. Welcome to Taser First Summit. I'm Rick Smith, CEO of Axon.

Disclaimer

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