2/27/2023

speaker
Operator

Welcome to the Biomarin Fourth Quarter Investor Update Call. Hosting the conference call today for Biomarin is Tracy McCarthy, Group Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Tracy.

speaker
Biomarin

Thank you, Paul, and thank you all for joining us today. To remind you, this non-confidential presentation contains forward-looking statements about the business prospects of Biomarin Pharmaceutical, Inc., including expectations regarding Biomarin's financial performance commercial products, and potential future products in different areas of therapeutic research and development. Results may differ materially depending on the progress of Biomarin's product programs, actions of regulatory authorities, availability of capital, future actions in the pharmaceutical market, and developments by competitors. And those factors detailed in Biomarin's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, such as 10Q, 10K, and 8K reports. We do plan to end this call promptly at 5.30 Eastern time. So please reach out if you have questions. On the call today from Biomarin's management team are JJ Bien-Aimé, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Jeff Ager, Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer, Hank Fuchs, President, Worldwide Research and Development, Greg Geyer, Executive Vice President, Chief Technical Officer, and Brian Mueller, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. I will now turn the call over to our Chairman and CEO, JJ Bien-Aimé.

speaker
Paul

Thank you, Tracy, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us on today's call. So as we communicated through our 2022, a truly transformative year for Bahamaran, we have built the foundation for accelerating growth, double-digit revenue growth, and a successful pivot to gap profitability. In 2022, we achieved all of our top and bottom-line guidance items, further underscoring our commitment to creating value for our patients, our employees, and our shareholders. Our high performance in 2022 will flow through 2023 and beyond, driven by our strongest global commercial launch on record with Voxogo and our profitable base enzyme business and the addition of Roptavian, a truly disruptive one-time gene therapy for those with severe hemophilia A. While the process of finalizing reimbursement in Germany has taken longer than expected, even the novelty of the approach at the patient level, we are very encouraged by the interest we are seeing for Rotavian. Ten patients have gone through a companion diagnostic testing in Germany as an important first step in the patient journey toward treatment. And in the United States, we are pleased to share that roughly 300 patients from the bleeding disorders community have engaged with Biomarine directly to learn more about Roktavian. Many of them may not ultimately be eligible for treatment, but it is a good indicator of awareness and interest in Roktavian ahead of potential approval this year. And Jeff will provide more detail in a moment, but suffice it to say that once the reimbursement side of the equation has been finalized, we are confident in both prescriber and patient interest in Roktavian. We are extremely pleased to have delivered $2.1 billion in total revenues for the full year 2022, a record financial achievement for Baumrand. We will build on this result in 2023 with an intention to deliver over 15% top-line growth and significant operating leverage, driving approximately 30% growth in bottom-line profitability based on the midpoint of our GAAP and non-GAAP guidance provided today. As planned, we have made the transition to an earning growth story, a unique accomplishment in the biotech industry, and we thank you for your continued support. And I will now turn the call over to Jeff to discuss the commercial business update. Jeff?

speaker
Tracy

Thank you, JJ. Very pleased with our record performance in the fourth quarter, resulting in $538 million in total revenues, representing close to 20% growth year over year. including Kuban, and 27% growth, excluding Kuban. The strength of our enzyme brands provides more than a $1.6 billion foundation from which to layer on both Voxogo and Roctavian larger market opportunities. Turning to 2022 Voxogo contributions, full-year global revenue totaled $169 million, with growth expected to accelerate in 2023. Full year 2023 Voxogo guidance of between $330 million and $380 million represents over 100% growth from the midpoint as compared to full year 2022 results. With only 6% of the total addressable patient population receiving Voxogo treatment as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2022, there is significant room to grow from a combination of continued market penetration, new markets coming online, and potentially expanding the approved label indication for younger ages. The global launch of Voxogo exceeded even our high expectations for the brand in its first full year. We are pleased to share that as of the end of January 2023, an estimated 1,264 children with achondroplasia were being treated with Voxogo under the currently approved age ranges, including in Europe for children two years and older, the United States for children five years and older, and in Japan where Voxogo is approved for all ages from birth. The urgency to treat based on the finite window of therapeutic benefits while growth plates are open is an important driver of interest from families seeking treatment with the only approved medicine targeting the underlying genetic cause of achondroplasia. We look forward to learning later this year if European and U.S. health authorities are supportive of extending access to Voxogo to younger children, which would make it available to more than 1,000 children in those regions. Briefly, on our new product guidance categories in 2023. As we have turned the corner to sustainable gap profitability, and with eight marketed products, we have aligned the product guidance categories with our framework for growth. First, we now combine our enzyme products, including Vimicin, Maglazyme, Brunera, Palanzeke, and Aldurazine, and exclude Kuban. Second, we will provide individual product guidance for both Voxogo and Roctavian, since they represent our new larger market opportunities and significant growth drivers. Going forward, we will still provide actual results for individual product revenues, page of our press release issued today, and we will continue to comment on the key commercial drivers at the brand level as appropriate. We believe combining our enzyme products from a guidance perspective will make it easier to delineate the steady growth of our mature products as compared to the more rapid growth from our new larger brands. To that end, and briefly on our enzyme products, There were no surprises in either fourth quarter or full year results across the brands. As we have said previously, large irregular orders placed in 2022 and prior periods impacted growth rates for the full year. As a result, Vemizem ended the year closer to the lower end of full year 2022 guidance, and Naglazum ended at the higher end of 2022 guidance. We were pleased to see our efforts to drive new patients initiating Palinzec therapy in the U.S. and Europe result in net product revenue growth of 7% in 2022 as compared to 2021 and achieve $255 million for the full year. In 2023, we will continue to maintain our base patients on Palinzec and continue to drive growth through new patient starts, primarily in existing markets. Turning now to Roctavian. for which we have guided to 2023 full-year revenues of between $100 million and $200 million, based on the current uncertainty of US approval. Echoing JJ's enthusiasm for Roxhavian prospects ahead, there are numerous encouraging signals from the hemophilia community in both Germany and the United States. Data privacy regulations in Europe preclude us from having patient-level data But we know that 10 people have completed companion diagnostic testing to determine eligibility for Roctavian. Based on seropositivity work previously reported, we have an expectation that a portion of these patients would be AAV5 negative and otherwise medically eligible for treatment. As JJ mentioned, in the United States, where we have had time and opportunities to engage with the hemophilia community in advance of launch, we have had direct contact with roughly 300 patients seeking more information about Roctavian treatment. These are adults with hemophilia A who we plan to follow up with directly upon launch. As a patient-focused organization, we are thrilled to see the growing interest in Roctavian, and we look forward to updating you on progress treating patients commercially. Turning now to the reimbursement side of the process, In Germany, we are pleased to have a major payer agreement in place to enable reimburse treatment with Roctavian, a process that was more extensive than anticipated. As a result, the commercial ramp for Roctavian in Germany has been hindered by the lengthy process of finalizing additional outcomes-based agreements with insurance organizations while we pursue a federal agreement on reimbursement. Recall that the timing for achieving federal reimbursement takes approximately one year So these outcomes-based agreements have been a gating step to facilitating reimbursed access to treatment in the free pricing period following approval. We are pleased with our progress with a significant percentage of hemophilia patients now covered by the executed outcomes-based agreement and negotiations well underway with insurers covering essentially 100% of the German population. An important and upcoming milestone is March 15th. The new free pricing period in Germany is now six months, down from 12 months historically, and ends on March 15. That means that the terms of federal reimbursement will be retroactively applied to any patient treated after March 15. That has the practical impact of de-risking for insurers the price and terms for any patients treated with Roctavian after March 15. Beyond reimbursement, We've made steady progress in other important aspects of the launch in Germany, including patient eligibility, testing, site readiness, medical education, and promotion of Roctavian. Building on this progress, we were pleased to attend two key congresses in Europe in February, which provided significant opportunities to engage with the human affiliate community and promote Roctavian for the first time. Seymourin's presence at EHAD, the European Association of Haemophilia and Allied Bleeding Disorders, included a well-attended promotional symposium highlighting efficacy and quality of life data for lactabians. At GTH, which is the German Society for Thrombosis and Hemostasis, we had an opportunity to engage with German physicians directly, many of whom shared feedback reflecting confidence in both the clinical outcome and the safety profile of Roctavian, indicating that their centers are ready to dose Roctavian. We will continue to pursue similar opportunities to engage with the European bleeding disorders community going forward. In anticipation of U.S. approval this year, whether on our current targeted PDUFA date of March 31 or later, the U.S. commercial team is preparing for launch. The activities underway include site readiness, payer discussions, warranty refinement, and promotional materials preparation. The supply of rock avian to meet both European and US demand has been manufactured, so we stand ready to go upon a potential approval. Relative to site readiness in the US, we have identified and are focused on a relatively small number of the largest and most capable hemophilia treatment centers to be ready to treat with Roctavian at or shortly after launch. We are committed to the concept of hemophilia treatment centers being the site of treatment for Roctavian for appropriate patient selection, post-treatment follow-up and monitoring, and more generally due to the complexity of hemophilia management. Relative to reimbursement, our team is actively meeting with payers in the U.S. in advance of launch. addressing both clinical aspects of hemophilia and the potential value of Roctavian and business discussions, focusing on the warranty structure for an outcomes-based agreement. The value of the warranty is its simplicity and speed of implementation. It allows us to offer a uniform outcomes-based agreement to all purchasers without the need and time required for negotiating contracts. Our expectation following a U.S. approval and with a warranty that comes with purchase is that we will be able to navigate payer approvals based on medical exception for initial patients, similar to our experience with previous launches. In conclusion, in 2023, we anticipate increased demand for all our brands included in our guidance line items, including our Enzyme products, Voxelgo and Roctavian. Combined, and from the midpoint of full year 2023 guidance provided today, we expect total revenue to exceed 15% growth this year, underscoring our commitment to growth and sustainable profitability. Thank you for your attention, and I will now turn the call over to Hank to provide an R&D update. Hank?

speaker
achondroplasia

Thanks, Jeff, and welcome. Thanks, everybody, for joining the call. In 2022, Biomarin's R&D organization extremely gratified to see the enthusiasm from families interested in VoxOvo treatment for their children with achondroplasia. We look forward to engaging with the health authorities to potentially expand the label in the United States and in Europe. With VoxOvo as accessible to children of all ages in Japan starting from birth, we're hopeful that the younger children and infants under the age of two years in Europe and under the age of five years in the United States will have the same access should health authorities be supportive. Building on the demonstrated safe and persistent growth-promoting effects of Voxogo and achondroplasia, given its mechanism to stimulate endochondral bone growth at the genetic level, we are very encouraged about the potential for Voxogo to benefit those from other statural disorders. Later in the year with Voxogo, we look forward to results from the investigator-sponsored trial evaluating Voxogo's potential to treat other genetic forms of short stature, including hypochondroplasia, NPR2 deficiency, and Noonan syndrome, just to name a few. We plan to engage health authorities in a line on the best path forward for clinical development and new potential indications later in this year. Moving to Roctavian, as JJ said, 2023 regulatory milestones are tracking the plan. Having recently submitted the three-year phase three Roctavian data as requested by the FDA, we continue to expect the PDUFA target action date of March 31st until further notice. Should the FDA determine that the three-year data submission does represent a major amendment and thereby extending the PDUFA action date, we will share that update publicly. In the meantime, we continue to experience a high level of engagement with the agency as we are still under active review. The pre-licensure inspection of our gene therapy facility was conducted in December. Bob Morin has provided responses to comments and observations received at the close of the inspection, and the company believes that all findings are addressable. The FDA has also planned some clinical study site inspections that will take place this quarter prior to the BDUVA date, so the review process is tracking the expectations. In January, we were pleased to share the three-year Phase III results from the Roctavian pivotal program. Based on the dramatic and sustained reductions in bleeding rates with no new safety signals, factor VIII utilization and factor VIII utilization rates observed at year three, we're confident in Roctavian's potential to be an important treatment option for those with severe hemophilia A interested in gene therapy. Briefly, on the earlier stage pipeline, we shared some recently available data from both BMN255 and BMN331 in January as a preview of what we plan to present at R&D Day in New York in September. BMN255 is for the treatment of progressive renal failure and recurrent kidney stones in patients with hyperoxaluria. We're targeting a well-established therapeutic pathway for which there is already an approved drug. A genetic form of hyperoxaluria associated with AGXT mutations demonstrates that elevated levels of urinary oxalate are associated with renal calculi, recurrent stone formation, and progressive renal disease. With the goal of reducing oxalate to normal levels in patients with hyperoxaluria, we are encouraged by the potency of this molecule in healthy human studies where we have observed increased plasma glycolates to levels predicted to normalize oxalate excretion. We hope to be able to translate this result to the subset of patients with chronic liver disease who have been observed to have an acquired deficiency of the same enzyme We are very excited about these data and look forward to sharing more later in this year. Turning briefly to our next gene therapy, BMN331 for hereditary angioedema, which is like hemophilia in the sense that it poses a chronic, lifelong burden of therapy due to the risk of breakthrough attacks that are extremely burdensome and potentially life-threatening. The disease is due to genetically determined loss of a key protein regulating the inflammatory cascade responsible for these attacks. The available therapies on the market have confirmed the effectiveness of replacements much like in the case of replacement factory therapy in hemophilia. We've shown in three studies with BMN331 gene therapy that mutant mice and non-human primates at a similar dose to that employed in the clinical studies of ractadian can provide ample and constant expression of C1 inhibitor protein within the therapeutic range to patients. We expect that continuously expressed levels of protein will provide improvements in the disease course of hereditary oedema over the available existing therapies. The first patient who was treated at the 6013 dose has had an early increase in C1 inhibitor levels that may ultimately be therapeutically relevant, which is exciting. We look forward to enrolling the second subject of this dose and following the response of the first. We have many other assets moving forward in the early stage pipeline, including BMN351 for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, BMN349 for alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, and BMN293 for myosin-biting C3 hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, all of which we intend to update in more detail at R&D Day in September. Thanks for your call, and I'll now turn the call over to Brian to update financial results from the quarter.

speaker
Jeff

Brian? Thank you, Hank. Please refer to today's press release summarizing our financial results for full details on the fourth quarter and full year 2022. As usual, all results will be available in our upcoming Form 10-K, which we are on track to file later today. In addition to some of the changes to our key external financial reporting metrics, I'm also pleased to share that today and going forward, we are also publishing a set of quarterly investor slides on the Biomarin Investor Relations website. We hope that consumers of our financial and business information will appreciate this material, which is intended to summarize and visualize the key elements of our report each quarter. Since JJ and Jeff have touched on many of the specific financial highlights in Q4 in full year 22, and expectations for 2023, I will primarily focus on other important aspects of Biomarin's 2022 financial performance and 2023 guidance. As we turn to the page on 2022 and look forward to 2023 and beyond, we are observing that Biomarin is executing on its growth strategy of the last several years. Biomarin's durable and growing enzyme products business has helped Biomarin reach GAAP profitability We are launching two of the highest potential products in company history with Voxogo globally and Rocktavian outside of the U.S. And we are investing in Biomarin's largest ever early-stage research pipeline intended to fuel growth throughout this decade and beyond. Specific to Q4 2022, Biomarin's revenue growth of close to 20% in the fourth quarter and continued focus on managing operating expenses helped us achieve our financial goals of double-digit revenue growth and leveraged gap net income, and non-GAAP income growth. It is noteworthy that we recognized approximately $23 million of charges to SG&A expense in 2022, mostly in Q4, resulting from our organization optimization announced last October, which drove a small GAAP net loss in Q4. Importantly, we were able to accommodate that charge without adjusting our profitability goals for the year. For 2023, the highlights of our guidance include continued double-digit revenue growth 16% at the midpoint of our guidance, and continued leverage with profitability growing at a rate roughly double our revenue growth rate. As recently announced, beginning with the first quarter of 2023, we are changing our methodology for calculating our non-GAAP income to recognize the maturity of Biomarin's profitable business and better in line with our peer group. Details of the revised method are in our press release and a full reconciliation of prior reported periods for 2021 and 2022 is available on our website. Another noteworthy change is the grouping of our revenues now that we have eight approved products, which Jeff touched on earlier. By grouping our Enzyme products together, we have the opportunity to guide investors to the quote-unquote base business that we've referred to over the last couple years in its entirety. This was also an opportunity to recognize that while KUVAN for PKU has been an excellent product for BioMarin for more than a decade, KUVAN is no longer a source of growth and is a decreasing focus for BioMarin. We are now in the third year of U.S. generic competition and are expecting two new generic competitors in Europe, and we feel that now is the right time to cease providing specific annual revenue guidance for KUVAN. While we are not specifically guiding the KUVAN for 2023, Total revenue guidance still includes KuVan, and we thought in this transition year that it would be helpful to share that our assumed contribution in 2023 for KuVan is about $125 million globally. As Jeff mentioned, we'll continue to report actual sales for each brand on a quarterly basis. The last noteworthy change to our external reporting metrics is increasing the prominence of earnings per share on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis. While we expect it will take the anticipated growth over the next few years to scale our earnings per share. As a profitable enterprise, we recognize the importance of this financial metric and believe it will be helpful for investors to both measure our performance and understand our planned future financial growth. We appreciate your flexibility through these changing financial metrics. While reporting consistent metrics for many consecutive years was important, it is equally important that Biomarin's reported information reflect the current and future state of the corporation. which we are pleased to observe as a unique double-digit revenue and leveraged bottom-line profitability biopharma growth story. Thank you for your attention, and we'll now open up the calls to your questions. Operator?

speaker
Operator

If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad now. You'll be placed into the queue in the order received. Please be prepared to ask your question when prompted. Once again, if you have a question, please press star 1 on your touchstone keypad now. And our first question comes from Salveen Richter from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

speaker
spk14

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. With the 10 patients that have gone through the companion diagnostic test here to be administered Roctavian, I just want to confirm that they're in Germany. But then my question really is on the end-to-end aspect here. So one, you've negotiated with one of the key payers, but you've got this retrospective aspect that comes in on the federal side. So should we assume that really the use is going to play out from a reimbursement standpoint more in 2Q onwards this year? where does the infrastructure aspect play, you know, come into play with regard to getting infusion centers ready and so forth? Help us just understand, you know, when we could really start to see revenue flow in for these patients.

speaker
Tracy

Hi, Salveen. Thank you for the question. Happy to address that. First, to confirm, yes, the 10 CDX tested patients are all in Germany. I think you're raising an important issue about kind of the end-to-end nature and timing of getting revenues. We're super happy to have one of the outcomes-based agreements, one of three large umbrella groups signed up with our outcomes-based agreement. And what we think is that's certainly a proof of concept for the principle of going out and negotiating these agreements while we're pursuing a full federal reimbursement that will take about a year to get in place. And indeed, the fact of having one of those insurance contracts in place facilitated really the uptake of what through last week was about 10 patients CDX tested. So that train is starting to roll and that's an important one because having a patient CDX tested indicates all of the following. It indicates interest on the part of the patient and the prescriber. It's an important step in checking eligibility. And as we've gleaned from the German prescribers in particular, they're not really CDX testing just to find out kind of informationally about AAV5 seronegativity. They're testing because it's an important step to confirm on the way to writing a prescription. So all of those signals are important. I do think that, you know, once we get our first patients treated commercially, it'll be an important proof of concept eagerly watched inside of Germany. And I think that we'll be able to push additional patients through. I mentioned the March 15th date. That's when the free pricing period ends. From a practical perspective for the German insurers, all of what we eventually negotiate at the federal level will be retroactively applied to patients treated after March 15th. So from a practical perspective, this is a de-risking date for the German insurers. And kind of a qualitative comment on the German insurers. These are government entities, and they behave like bureaucracies, and they move with the speed of bureaucracies. One of the things that we're learning. So on infrastructure readiness, I've talked before about the hub and spoke model. And I would say just like my comments about the United States having targeting a small number of the largest and most capable hemophilia treatment centers to be ready at or shortly after launch in the US, I would say that's the status of those hub centers in Germany. They're essentially ready to go. We need to start pushing patients through for treatment.

speaker
Salveen

Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Jeff Meacham from Bank of America. Your line is open.

speaker
Jeff Meacham

Great afternoon, guys. Thanks for the question. Had one clinical and one commercial on Ractavian. I guess, Hank, for the three-year data, is it just having to go through the details, for example, in all the case reports, or was there any real new information at the three-year time point? I guess I'm trying to figure out on what the hurdle is that constitutes a major amendment in your view. And then commercially, just to follow up on the last question, when you think about testing being a gating factor in Germany, you know, is there a strategy that maybe to streamline this, and are there lessons to be learned in Germany that you can, you know, roll across the Big Five and broadly across EU that may help onboard patients a little bit more efficiently? Thank you.

speaker
achondroplasia

Yeah. Hi, Jeff. You know, it's really a subjective assessment as to whether any submission constitutes a major amendment, and I can't really give you any kind of guidance one way or the other about how to interpret any action they do or don't take. I think at this point it would be all speculative. I mean, we'll let you know if we hear that it's gonna be amended and otherwise we're gonna stay relatively quiet.

speaker
Tracy

And over to the companion diagnostic question. This was certainly a learning step for us in Germany. In fact, optimally, we would have preferred to see patients coming through for companion diagnostic testing faster and in more numbers. And had that happened, we would have used that as a point of leverage to put pressure on the insurers to get these outcomes-based agreements signed. The logic of the German physicians to say, well, We want to make sure that patients have access to commercial Roctavian before we push them through for companion diagnostic testing. And the reality, which we knew, was that German physicians would bear some financial responsibility, potentially, if they were prescribing and treating with Roctavian before these outcomes-based agreements supporting reimbursement were completed. It makes logical sense. but it reduces the pressure on the health insurers to act. So how could that apply to other key markets in Europe? Probably not very much, because if we took France and Italy as our priority, other strategic markets in Europe that we're really focused on, the reimbursement process takes about a year to get through. So we're anticipating we could have reimbursement approved in Q4 of this year. And really in those markets, we have to have the reimbursement in place before we can start promoting and moving on patients. So it's a different environment that we will be working through in other markets in Europe. Thank you. Thanks.

speaker
Operator

And our next question comes from Phil Nadeau from Cohen & Company. Your line is open.

speaker
Phil Nadeau

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking our questions. A couple of follow-up questions on German reimbursement and then one on the U.S. for Octavian. Excuse me. In terms of the outcomes-based agreements, Jeff, it sounds like what you're saying is anything that is negotiated now will sort of be almost invalidated when there's federal reimbursement. It'll be retroactive to March 15th. So I guess we're kind of curious, why would one of these – bureaucratic insurers spend the time and effort to negotiate something if it's not going to be relevant for that much longer? And what implications would that have on patients starting on therapy in Germany over the next couple quarters before you're within a short period of time from federal reimbursement being clear? That's a German question. Then in terms of the U.S., Hank, are there any guidelines as to when the FDA needs to let you know whether the submission is deemed a major amendment? Can they go right up to the PDUFA and send you a letter the night before, or is there a certain amount of time before PDUFA they have to let you know? And then also in the U.S., will you let us know when you're labeling discussions? Thanks.

speaker
Tracy

Will we start with Jeff? Yeah. Thanks for the question, Phil, about the contracting process in Germany. Having these outcomes-based agreements provides a framework for CDX testing and other aspects of patients gaining access to therapy. So there's still value in these agreements coming together even after March 15th. The terms of the federal reimbursement will supersede. But there are other aspects that have value. But you're absolutely right. I mean, the urgency to act was probably higher in Q4 of last year when there was a substantial gap in time between then and the end of the free pricing period. As we're approaching March 15th, you know, the urgency around those outcomes-based agreements goes down. But similarly, the... the risk for the insurers also goes down. So they'll have the benefit of retroactively applying whatever we wind up with for federal reimbursement, which, a reminder, that takes about a year in Germany to get to. So there will be this six-month period where it'll be helpful to have those agreements in place to treat patients, and the risk for those insurers on the financial terms is markedly reduced.

speaker
Paul

And if I may add, I think having also these discussions on outcome-based agreements should help in terms of the final reimbursement price for Germany in general. Because if we believe that the likelihood you have a better reimbursement price at the federal level in Germany is higher if we have outcome-based agreements in place than if we don't. So that's why they are important. Thanks.

speaker
achondroplasia

And then the second part of your question, Phil, there are – John Potter, Guidelines or desk instructions, I guess, the Agency might call them around time to process submissions but bear in mind that these guidelines are kind of lower. John Potter, In enforcement visibility, then say dufa they don't always hit their dufa so I don't know that there's any real. John Potter, Enforcement or tracking around guidelines, so I would plan that it's possible that they could notice by us anytime. And as far as our communication back to you of the coming milestones, we don't plan to inform you about when we enter, when or if we enter labeling conversations, you know, that there's a lot of back and forth. I think the thing that everybody's trying to figure out is, you know, what the action that the agency is going to take. We won't know what that action is until we, until they tell us and then we'll share it with you. But I, I do want to commend the agency around their diligence. I mean, they're, clearly working very hard on this application. We're almost in daily contact with them, and we, like you, look forward to their decision on or before the PDUFA date.

speaker
Phil Nadeau

That's very helpful. Thanks again for taking our questions.

speaker
Chris

And hopefully they don't delay the PDUFA.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Jessica Fye from JPMorgan Chase. Your line is open.

speaker
Jessica Fye

Hey, guys. Good afternoon. Thanks so much for taking my questions. A couple more, sticking with Roctavian. First, how many U.S. centers do you expect to be ready to go on day one? And second, when you say the FDA's findings on the Roctavian manufacturing site are addressable, can you comment on whether they have been addressed at this point? And if not, when you expect them to have been addressed by? Thank you.

speaker
Paul

Maybe we start with Greg, our head of technical operations. You can answer the question.

speaker
spk05

So thanks for the question, Jessica. So yes, we responded pretty closely after the inspection in December. There was one additional clarification which they wanted, which we gave them. And since then, it's basically been radio silence. So as Hank said, we're in communication with the agency a lot. but we have heard nothing more since several weeks ago, probably late in December. So we believe almost all the issues have been resolved. Most of them were procedural. Those SOPs and things have been updated, and we are preparing for launch.

speaker
Tracy

And relative to your question on the U.S. centers, Jessica, there's approaching 150 hemophilia treatment centers in the U.S., And those range from the very large comprehensive care centers, you might call them, to much smaller hemophilia treatment centers. So our intention is, as we noted in the prepared remarks, is to have a small number of the most capable and largest centers ready to go on or shortly after launch. We haven't guided to a specific number, largely because we don't think it's that relevant. But we'll be targeting, you know, a focus group of the biggest, the most capable centers to be ready to go.

speaker
Operator

Next question comes from Chris Raymond from Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

speaker
Chris Raymond

Hey, thanks, guys. And if you'll bear with me, another Rockavian question. So there are two of them, actually. Kind of related. So I just want to square a couple of things. JJ, at the beginning of last month, I think I heard you, when you're talking about this dynamic, you project that German commercial patients would be treated in the first quarter, if not this month, which I took as January. This March 15th date when insurers are de-risked, is that a new learning for you guys? Because I don't think I've really heard that date before, sort of that dynamic. And then maybe a related question, and I know you guys don't give quarterly guidance, but I guess a clumsy way of asking, this setup would seem to maybe make a pretty negligible Q1 Ractavian revenue. Am I making the correct assumption there? Thanks.

speaker
Paul

Yeah, I think we said, I don't remember exactly, I think we've seen the coming weeks, you know, back in January, we didn't say in January. This March 15 date is not a new date. We knew that this would be coming. So we still hope to have some patients with, you know, this in Q1. But, you know, Brian, do you want to pick from there?

speaker
Jeff

Yeah, thanks, Chris. It's Brian. I think that you've interpreted correctly. You know, Jeff described the current dynamics. We're closing in on those first patients with the patients undergoing testing. Here we are February 27th, so two-thirds of the way through Q1. JJ is right. We'll hope for a few patients, but not the material trend that guidance would imply, if you will. Great.

speaker
Chris

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

And our next question comes from Robin Karnowskis from Truist Securities. Your line is open.

speaker
Robin Karnowskis

Hi, this is Nishant. I'm on for Robin. Just a couple of questions, one on Voxogo. So with regards to launch dynamics, now that you have the drug approved in Japan and it's for all age populations, can you provide more color on the demand in younger populations? How is it, you know, how are people or patients responding to it? And in terms of I'm asking this question because I know you're expecting expanded approval in US and EU. So just to give us a clear sense of more demand in the younger patient population. And one question on pipeline. I know with the BMN331 gene therapy, you represented some data last time in January. So the highest dose, 6E13, I think the C1 level was approaching like a normal range. So do you have any more color on the data beyond week nine? And do you expect to, like, those at a higher concentration, considering, like, for some of the patients in .

speaker
Paul

It's getting a little too long, if I may. So, okay, why don't we start answering that question first part.

speaker
Tracy

What was that? For Botogo launch trajectory, I think the question was about what are you seeing in terms of age distribution and uptake? You specifically mentioned Japan. And so I would comment that Japan indeed has been, we've seen rapid uptake in Japan since we got reimbursement approval last August. Remember, Japan is an established market for treating achondroplasia. So it's unique in that aspect. And we've been fortunate to tap into that established care model for achondroplasia in Japan. In addition, Japan is an, Bakugou is approved for all age patients in Japan. There is no younger limit. And indeed, we've seen a lot of interest in uptake in the younger patient segments in Japan. In other markets, to the extent that we have visibility into this data, which is somewhat limited in Europe because of data privacy regulations, A year ago, I was commenting on the diversity of the age segments that we're seeing patients start at. We're seeing very young patients and even patients that were teenagers starting treatment. Today, I would say that the data looks like it's concentrating towards younger patients starting therapy, which we think is a good dynamic and bodes well if we can get approval for younger age segments in Europe and the United States. And finally, to note, just a little bit of a plug, the data that we have would suggest really high compliance with patients being treated so far, which is encouraging.

speaker
Chris

And on your question on 331, there's really no further update to give.

speaker
achondroplasia

I mean, past what we talked about at J.P. Morgan, we have an individual patient who's beginning to express, moving into the normal range. But, you know, there's a lot of variability. in the week-to-week visits, and we have another patient to treat before we can make a determination about whether this dose level appears good enough or we want to expand to another dose.

speaker
Chris

So encouraging start, but stay tuned for more.

speaker
Operator

As a reminder, if you do have a question, please press star 1 on your touchstone keypad now. And our next question comes from Matthew Harrison from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

speaker
Matthew Harrison

Great. Good evening. Thanks for taking the questions. I guess just one follow-up on VoxOgo. Jeff, can you just maybe talk in a little bit more detail about how you're thinking about the contributions to guidance this year? Is this mainly geographic expansion and new patient ads, or are you also expecting as part of guidance to see younger patients be added into the label and therefore drive uptake. And then just a corollary to that, Hank, can you just talk about some of the things you're thinking about in terms of other indications for VoxOgo and sort of the progress there? Thanks very much.

speaker
Tracy

I'll start off and then turn it over to Hank. The guidance for VoxOgo reflects the current trajectory of that we're on with respect to new patient additions and the base of patients remaining pretty compliant and contributing to revenue this year. So we're following the overall trajectory of that launch. It is true that a global launch is really the sum of individual markets launching. So it's a very dynamic situation. We're in 32 markets now. including all of our strategic markets. And like I mentioned a minute ago, we've gotten a lot of rapid uptake in Japan. That's a big strategic market for us, and we're relatively early into that launch cycle. Other big markets like Germany and the United States, we've been in longer, but we've still got plenty of room for growth. We do anticipate that we would see the benefit of having expanded labels this year, but that's not fundamental to the guidance range, I would say. That would be helpful, but not fundamental.

speaker
Paul

Yeah, because if we do get approval regarding age extension, it's not going to happen before probably Q4, so it's not going to have a major impact on our revenue this year, but it will be good for 24. Thank you.

speaker
achondroplasia

Yeah, to say a little bit more about Voxogo indications, we've covered this briefly, and there's not really a ton more to update about other than to say that based on genetic data, the expectation is that a natural regulator of bone growth like Voxogo would be relevant in conditions beyond just that mutation that causes achondroplasia. Most alike to achondroplasia is a condition called hypochondroplasia. which affects the same gene but with different mutations that cause achondroplasia. And we've got some interesting preliminary data that an investigator has been working up at DC Children's in an open-label investigator-sponsored trial. In addition, there are a number of other mutations both in the same pathway or in related pathways that also should be amenable to therapy with VoxEgo, and he is now Dr. Dauber has expanded his clinical trial to include patients with a variety of other mutations, including noonans or NPR deficiency. And, you know, one could imagine a conversation with regulators in which we're talking about the eligibility criteria for a pivotal trial as either being directed at specific mutations or at a basket of mutations. And we plan to have further discussions with the agency about eligibility for trials, as well as discussions about endpoints, duration, confirmatory requirements, et cetera. So I think this process will unfold over the course of the year, and we'll keep you updated as we learn more in terms of the specifics about a program that could lead to expanded label claims for Vox Ogo.

speaker
Chris

But at this point, we're still at the beginning of the regulatory portion of the journey.

speaker
Operator

And our next question comes from Paul Mateus from Stifel. Your line is open.

speaker
spk02

Hey, thanks for sharing my questions. Just two quick ones. I wanted to just clarify on JJ's comments that you're hoping to treat some roctavian patients in Germany this quarter still. Is that contingent upon executing these other OBAs with the two important regional insurers? Um, maybe just clarify what has to happen for that to play out this quarter to start actually, uh, generating uptake and then more broadly on your annual Rockabian guidance. What's your assumption on how backend loaded, um, the number might be, especially at kind of a mid to high end of the range and, uh, maybe comment just a little bit on your expectations for us reimbursement and how long it'll take for that to get on board. Thank you.

speaker
Paul

I started in Jeff and, uh, so, uh, No, we already have, as we communicated a while back, we already have one SIGFON in Germany that's signed up. So if one of the patients that is eligible after the companion diagnostic is a patient that's under the umbrella, under that SIGFON, that patient could be treated any day. But hopefully, if we do end up signing another OBA or several, two other OBAs with other sick files, then it increases the probability that a patient will be treated this fall, or this quarter, sorry. So with this, Jeff?

speaker
Tracy

The next part of the question was back-end loaded guidance, and maybe I should just ask.

speaker
Jeff

Yeah, I'll handle it. Thanks, Jeff. Thanks, JJ. And thanks, Paul, for the question. So first of all, maybe just a quick color comment on this Rockavian guide. You know, it's... It's a wider range than you've seen in our other established products, but that's because it's a launch year in Europe. And as we've touched on already on this call, the timing and, of course, approval itself has some uncertainty in the U.S. So the way you can think about the guidance generally is the earlier we can get more of those german patients and then other european markets later in the year fully online and then the earlier u.s approval uh that we get that would would push us towards the higher end of that guy and and the longer or later that those things happen would push us towards the lower end and specific to your question you're exactly right that given the uptake trends given both those european in U.S. dynamics would suggest that it is back ended and you'd expect the larger portion of the revenues to come in the second half of the year.

speaker
Tracy

And then back to the third part of the question about U.S. reimbursement. And you've seen this from Biomarin before, right? When we get approvals in the U.S. and we're able to, for high value and high value added therapies, we're able to get reimbursement going in the United States pretty quickly. That's based on a couple of dynamics. One is we've got an experienced team out there, and we know how to get through the medical exception process while we're waiting for coverage policies to be issued. And for Roctavian anyway, there's always going to be or likely to be always a prior authorization process step there that we know how to navigate. The U.S. system is highly diversified. That's both a challenge and an opportunity for us relative to going through a federal reimbursement process like we are in Germany and France and Italy, where at least in France and Italy, you have to get all the way through the process before you can treat patients, and that takes a year. Relative to the U.S., I've mentioned in the prepared remarks The warranty is a key aspect of facilitating rapid patient uptake. The warranty is something we offer with purchase. It's an outcomes-based agreement. It covers risk for insurers. We offer it with the purchase of Roctavian. It means there's no negotiating the terms, and we don't have to negotiate and get to contract signature with lawyers involved in rounds of review and that sort of thing so the warranty is an essential element and finally um you know pricing correctly to give u.s payers a financial incentive uh to to support roctavian is important and to that end we have the final report from icer in the united states it said you know roctavian is a dominant choice relative to team libra and they've previously concluded that Roctavian was a dominant choice relative to factor VIII replacement therapy at a presumed price of $2.5 million. So that gives us a lot to work with in terms of lining up price and the financial incentives.

speaker
Salveen

Thanks.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Tim Lugo from William Blair. Your line is open.

speaker
Tim Lugo

Hey, thanks for taking the questions. This is Lachlan on for Tim. Hank, I understand you can't give specifics, but can you just confirm if you have sort of clear alignment with the FDA on the requirements for devoting FOXOGO's accelerated approval to approval, full approval, and potentially any guidance on, like, when you might be able to share more details around that? And then also, as we look towards the steroid prophylaxis study for Octavian in Q2, Can you just maybe talk about what you need to see there to, I guess, feel like you're confident that the seroprophylaxis either does or doesn't really impact therapy?

speaker
achondroplasia

Yeah, so I think for the first part of your question was about Voxogo requirements for full approval, how clearly aligned are. We have a very specific understanding with the agency as to the requirements for full approval, and we haven't really given specific timeline guidance largely for competitive reasons, although we do think that we are meaningfully far down the road having initiated this phase three trial a while ago to be able to follow patients to a final adult height that I think would scratch the agency's itch to confirm their determination that AGV is an intermediate endpoint. So feeling pretty good about that and feeling pretty good about the timeline of that. On the prophylactic steroid study, I think a key reminder there is that this study is still underway and we don't have a precise date yet for when we're going to share the information with you. But the concept was twofold. One was to evaluate whether starting corticosteroid therapy prior to the initiation of the liver inflammatory response, whether that could lead to a higher factor A expression initially. That was one key part that's being tested. And just to remind you that is part of the story of the first bit of a few patients we had treated, trying to understand whether the difference in the phase one results and the phase three results has anything to do with the corticosteroid regimen. So one part of the study is to address that question. But the other most important part of that is to see if that in simplifying the corticosteroid regimen and evaluating overall durability, whether there's an even simpler approach to take with corticosteroid management. And I think it'll take probably a few years, actually, for that story to really fully be understood.

speaker
Chris

So early days in the journey around prophylactic steroids.

speaker
Operator

And our last question comes from Josh Schwimmer from Evacor ISI. Your line is up.

speaker
Josh Schwimmer

Thanks so much for taking the questions and for squeezing me in. For the patients in Germany who are undergoing the AV antibody screening, do you have an estimate for how many will be eligible and how many would drop out? I think in the U.S., you've said it might be around 20 to 25 percent of patients who fail the screening criteria. And then for those patients who fail, are they going to be eligible for the AV5 existing antibodies trial that you're running, and when might we get those data?

speaker
Tracy

Hi, Josh. I'll start. Yeah, we have published data on seroprevalence in our key markets, and that's guiding our overall thinking. We are not allowed to get patient-level information in Europe due to GDPR. You're aware of that. So we're really blocked except from some aggregate data. With 10 patients going through the CDX testing process, that's a small N. I don't know how that's going to line up against a larger population when we get there.

speaker
Paul

Let me also add, the U.S. is around 25%, correct me if I'm wrong, but when we did some analysis on AV5 serum prevalence around the world, Germany was higher, was more like 35% plus CDX. So there are differences around the world in terms of AAV5 seroprevalence. And on top of that, also, some patients might not be eligible for other reasons than AAV5 antibodies. Like, for instance, they could have actually liver disease or that kind of stuff.

speaker
achondroplasia

And as far as eligibility, yeah, these patients could conceivably be subject to other eligibility criteria. But yes, they would be eligible for trial in the AAV5 positive study that we have up and running.

speaker
Josh Schwimmer

Thanks very much. Yep.

speaker
Operator

And we have no further questions in queue. I'll turn the call back over to our chairman and CEO, J.J. Bien-Ami.

speaker
Paul

All right. Thank you, Brader. Again, thank you for joining us on today's call. We are, you know, very excited about all the developments occurring at Balmarine today. Obviously, we don't know what the FDA decision is going to be on Rockhaven. But needless to say, we are actively preparing for the launch of Rotarian in the U.S.

speaker
Salveen

Thank you. Bye. Thank you, everybody. Bye-bye.

speaker
Operator

That concludes today's conference call.

speaker
Salveen

Thank you for joining, and have a pleasant day. The host has ended this call. Goodbye.

Disclaimer

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