Berry Corporation (bry)

Q3 2021 Earnings Conference Call

11/3/2021

spk04: Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Berry Corporation Q3 2021 Earnings Conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star zero. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Mr. Todd Crabtree, Manager of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
spk02: Thank you, Kathleen, and welcome to everyone. And thank you for joining us for Barry's third quarter 2021 earnings teleconference. Yesterday afternoon, Barry issued an earnings release highlighting third quarter results. Speaking this morning will be Trem Smith, Chairman and CEO, Fernando Araujo, Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President, and Kerry Bates, Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President. Trem will discuss our third quarter performance as well as our expectations for the remainder of 2021. Fernando and then Kerry will share further details on how we are addressing the operational and financial aspects of our business. Before turning it over to questions, Trem will make a few concluding remarks. Before we begin, I want to call your attention to the Safe Harbor language found in our earnings release. The earnings release and today's discussion contain projections and other forward-looking statements within the meetings of federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. These include risks and other factors outlined in our filings with the SEC. Our website, bry.com, has a link to the earnings release and our most recent investor presentation. Any information, including forward-looking statements made on this call or contained in the earnings release and that presentation, reflect our analysis as of the date made. We have no plans or duty to update them except as required by law. Please refer to the tables in our earnings release and on our website for a reconciliation between all adjusted measures mentioned in today's call and the related GAAP measures. We will also post a repay link of this call and the transcript on our website. I will now turn the call over to Trem Smith.
spk03: Thank you, Todd. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. We continue to execute our core business, which is the production and sale of affordable energy, primarily in California, successfully. The most recent upturn in oil prices presents an exceptional opportunity for Berry as we believe it is different than previous cycles. It is our view that and possibly fundamental change for the industry for several key reasons. First, while demand for oil is continuing to grow globally and is expected to continue increasing over decades, the long-term supply is and will continue to be limited after years of global underinvestment. In fact, Bloomberg reported last week that Saudi Aramco's CEO said, oil output capacity across the world is dropping quickly and companies need to invest more in production. It is now getting to a situation where there's limited supply. Second, numerous major projects have been delayed or canceled. And third, exploration is as low as it has been in at least the last few decades. The delays in major projects and the lack of new discoveries means there are very few new sources of oil coming onto the market in the next few years. For some time now, we have been working on an outside-the-box approach to return even more value to our shareholders. We are excited to announce that the Board approved a shareholder return model that will continue to position Barry as a top-tier returner of capital to shareholders. In fact, it should put Barry firmly in the top tier of E&P companies of all sizes. We are creating a model that provides significant returns which could be more than 20 percent annually based on our stock price and the current strip. The model will consist of a mix of returns through variable cash dividends in addition to our current dividend, share repurchases and debt retirement, while keeping a portion available for organic growth and bolt-on acquisitions. Barrie is uniquely positioned to implement this new model successfully. We already have all the critical elements in place in our proven simple business model, such as low corporate decline rate, a predictable cost structure, an abundance of inventory, Brent pricing, and a simple, clean balance sheet, which collectively, with the increased pricing we are currently enjoying, generates extensive levered free cash flows. Based on current industry fundamentals, we should generate considerable levered free cash flow for many years to come. Again, we define levered free cash flow as cash flow after paying all of our costs, including our interest, our fixed dividend, and the cost to keep production flat. This is an exciting development for Barry and our shareholders, and is an obvious extension of our business model, which is unique in the industry. We look forward to unveiling the full details of the model later this quarter and implementing it beginning in 2022. I will come back to highlight some additional strategic items in my concluding remarks. Now I will turn it over to Fernando, who will highlight the operational results of a highly successful quarter.
spk01: Thank you, Tram. As usual, I want to begin my comments by reaffirming that safety, protection of the environment, regulatory compliance, and operational excellence remain top priorities. This is reflected in our excellent Q3 health, safety, and environmental results. In fact, we are approaching the 600-day mark with our recordable and lost-time incidents. This is best in class. Moving to operational performance, Production in Q3 continued to grow quarter on quarter as it has done all year with an average of 27,400 barrels of oil equivalent per day of production. In fact, our production in September was the highest for the year at 27,900 barrels a day, and it continued to grow into Q4. In Q3, we operated with an average of two and a half drilling rigs in California, drilling 54 producers and two delineation wells. We focused our drilling activity on steam flood expansion projects in our giant midway sunset field. We did shift our drilling plans for high-impact horizontal wells from Q3 to Q4 due to a combination of issues. In Q3, we experienced supply chain challenges similar to other industries, causing delays in drilling, completing, and connecting wells to production. This also gave the technical teams additional time to evaluate data from delineation wells drilled in Q2 in order to drill better wells in Q4 and beyond. The first six of these high impact horizontal wells are now on production in Q4, most of which are exceeding type curves with IPs in the 150 to 200 barrel a day range. We're currently in the process of drilling another attractive 12 horizontal wells. Also in Q4, We're testing new development concepts and drilling step-out opportunities in order to further expand our robust inventory base. I want to emphasize that our entire company's development program year-to-date has been very successful, yielding an unhedged rate of return in excess of 80% based on the current strip. Furthermore, in Q3, we continue to realize excellent results from our workover activity, which, based on the current strip, is yielding a rate of return greater than 100%. As mentioned in past calls, in Q4, we expect to reach our production plateau for the year and with a higher exit rate compared to last year. We are still the most active company in California in terms of operational activity. We're currently operating with three drilling rigs in addition to the rigs dedicated to our workover, maintenance, and P&A activities. We expect to finish the year having drilled approximately 190 wells and performed approximately 280 workovers, as planned. Now let's turn to capital. CapEx in Q3 was $38 million, as planned. This was slightly lower than Q2 and within our budget for the first nine months of the year. Our capital outlook for full year 2021 remains unchanged. In terms of operating expenses, in Q3 we averaged an OpEx of $17.18 per BOE. This is 1% lower than Q2. We have been able to keep operating expenses consistently flat throughout 2021 and materially lower compared to previous years. To summarize, we're achieving outstanding safety results. Our production has sequentially grown since the beginning of the year, and we expect to have a strong Q4. We are within plan with our capital expenditures, and we have sustainably taken $3 per BOE out of our OPEX structure since 2019. And with that, I will turn it over to Kerry.
spk06: Thanks, Fernando. Trim did a great job of outlining our thoughts on the new shareholder return model that we are excited to introduce and implement. The model will be simple, and the returns of capital will be easy to calculate. We are currently finalizing the details and look forward to announcing the fully approved plan later this quarter. As you know, Barry is a cash flow machine. And we believe this new return model further exemplifies that fact. Referencing our illustrative simple cash flow model on slide 15 of our investor presentation, the quick math at today's strip price would show us generating almost $250 million of levered free cash flow in 2022. That is more than 30% of our current market cap. And the simple math works beyond 2022. During the third quarter, we completed our new RBL facility, which has a $500 million commitment and extends the terms to 2025. We maintained our borrowing base and elected commitment of $200 million. A condition of the new RBL was extensive hedging. We are required to have a minimum of 75% of our PDP for oil hedged the first two years of the agreement, which then drops to 50% in year three. Our new hedges are highlighted on slide 16 of our investor deck. Our current oil hedge program is focused on protecting the downside while leaving us upside as we remain bullish on oil prices. Further, we have been gaining additional access to the Kern River midstream natural gas line, which connects to gas supply lines in the lower 47 states. We currently have access to about 15,500 MMBTU per day, which increases to almost 48,000 MMBTU a day in May of 2022. These are long-term agreements some which are in place for up to 15 years, and allows us to move ours and other purchased gas from the Rockies to our operations in California, effectively creating a physical hedge. And with the recent sale of our Placerita assets, we will only be about 5,000 mm BTU per day short of our daily demand when we gain full access of the current line capacity. Over the next couple of months, we expect natural gas prices to remain high due to supply and demand imbalances, especially on the West Coast. That said, we protected our exposures through April of 2022 at roughly a maximum of $6 per mm BTU. If the natural gas market softens over the winter months, then we should see some improvement in our hedged fuel cost. Lastly, we are busy on the A&D front. We purchased C&J Well Services and successfully integrated the business into our operations. And, as I just mentioned, we divested our Placerita asset. Due primarily to the divestiture of the Placerita asset, coupled with timing delays Fernando highlighted, we have refined and narrowed our total production range for 2021 to be in the 27,000 200 to 27,700 range. That said, we are very pleased with the trajectory of the current production as we close out the year. Our 10-Q will be filed later today if you want to take a deeper dive into the financials. Now I'll turn it back over to Trim for final remarks.
spk03: As you heard, Barry is executing on our business plan. We have an exceptional company driven by a successful and simple business model and now a first-class rate shareholder return model. Before we go, I'd like to highlight a few more of our recent successes. First of all, our A&D efforts in the quarter were fruitful. With the sale of Placerita, our last remaining producing property in LA County, all of our California operations are now concentrated in Kern County. Not only does Kern County appreciate the value provided by our industry, It also is primarily a rural, low-population area with about 103 people per square mile compared to L.A. County, which has more than 20 times that at more than 2,400 people per square mile. Among other benefits, the political environment and regulatory challenges pose less risk to our operations. The acquisition of C&J Well Services was a strategic and value-adding transaction that was purchased at a competitive price. With strong underlying business fundamentals, C&J has significant growth opportunities in California, building on its existing customer base, adding new customers, and helping the state and federal governments fulfill their goals to plug and abandon orphan wells. And importantly, It aligns with our vision and environmental, social, and governance ESG goals to reduce greenhouse gas emissions today, safely and with proven technology. With C&J Well Services, we can reduce statewide fugitive emissions, which are primarily methane, the most damaging of the greenhouse gases, by plugging and abandoning orphan and idle wells today. We are continuing to hone our medium and long-term environmental priorities as it relates to ESG. Right now, we are on track to reduce our own greenhouse gas emissions by at least 15% by the end of 2021 compared to 2020. In the next six months to a year, we'll be implementing new solar projects to reduce our carbon intensity in the Hill Lease and at the Bakersfield offices. Additionally, we are currently evaluating solar projects in our other locations and opportunities to maximize our reuse of water through agriculture and other reuse avenues. We are evaluating the feasibility of carbon capture and storage, CCS, because we have a significant number of suitable reservoirs for CO2 storage. Our goal is to learn from others and implement economically viable and effective CCS in the areas we have significant storage capacity. We will only pursue CCS if it makes sense for our shareholders. In conclusion, I am extremely pleased with our performance in all aspects of our business. We have a great company with an exceptionally simple and proven business model, which is being further enhanced by our new shareholder return model. As a reminder, please look for our shareholder return model rollout in just a few weeks. I will now turn it over for questions.
spk04: As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Leo Mariani from KeyBank. Your line is open.
spk05: Hey, guys. Just wanted to touch base on the shareholder return model. It certainly sounds, you know, very significant in terms of the 20% number that you folks are throwing out there. And I just wanted to check in. I know there's details that will be forthcoming, but it sounds as though this might be a bit of a formulaic, you know, model that depends on future kind of oil prices. And I just wanted to get a sense, is this going to be like a quarterly look? And then at the end of each quarter, there will be these returns, you know, to shareholders. And then additionally, how does the production – growth component, you know, fit into that model?
spk06: Yeah, good question, Leo. This is Kerry. You're right. We want to make it very formulaic. We have a very predictable cost structure as we lay out in our investor presentation. So the idea is to use that cost structure, used our hedged oil price in the strip for people to have predictability of what that excess lever-free cash flow will be. And then from there, we will have it set out for what percentage is going to be paid out in cash, what percentage will be used for share repurchase and debt reduction, and then what percentage will be retained by the company for discretionary uses such as bolt-ons and organic growth. So those are the three. I think probably the larger portion of that will be in cash. and then the other two will be fairly equal to each other, at least conceptually, and I think the idea will be looking at it on a quarterly basis as well. Again, we want this to return capital to create value for our shareholders. In order to create value, it also needs to move the stock price, and I think keeping it quarterly and keeping people from getting in and out on a timing basis makes a lot more sense as well. But exactly right, very formulaic, very predictable, and then people can put their own strip pricing in there and understand truly what their return capabilities are.
spk05: Okay, that's great. Absolutely, that was great. Appreciate that. And then I was hoping I could just get a bit of a regulatory, you know, update, you know, from you folks. Wanted to get a sense if there's any updated thoughts on when you might hear back, you know, from the state, CalGEM, and as a result on this Lawrence Livermore study and the impact, obviously, it might have on the diatomite. And I was also hoping you guys could comment on sort of, you know, current setback provisions that are bouncing around in the state. I think they're calling for 3,200 feet. Now that you guys are Kern County only, just any high-level thoughts on what the impact might be in Kern County?
spk03: Leo, this is Trem. I'll take that one. Good to hear from you, as always. On the regulatory front, first of all, we continue to manage the regulatory front extremely well, and we've demonstrated that over the last four and a half years. And so given that, let me handle the setbacks first. The setbacks were announced. They start a rulemaking process, which is well established in the state, which is likely to take a year and a half or two or even more, but no shorter, to come through, which involves public hearings, input from the government, and the 3,200 feet and the way the thing is actually currently written is modeled after Colorado, where it started, and As the regulators have said over and over again, that's their intent, and they intend to have it modified in that timeframe so that the final will allow the industry to do work while truly addressing some public health concerns in areas of high population density. So if that's the case, we will work that and work it well. and we're positioned to do it. Now obviously I mentioned the population numbers and the population density numbers. The impact on Barry is, though it does impact us in Kern County, if it were taken point blank, verbatim, we expect it to have minimal impact by the time it actually becomes a rule in two years or so. On the high pressure cyclic steam, that remains with the governor's office. and the industry continues to have it as a priority to remind the governor that there's nothing to keep it from occurring. As you know, as a reminder, we currently produce from the thermal diatomite. We continue to inject steam and use heat to produce there. It's a great reservoir for us, and we're actually doing some creative wells in the thermal diatomite here, hopefully in the fourth quarter, to test ways to take advantage of the existing heat that's in the reservoir to see that we can enhance it without injecting new steam, which is really what the moratorium is. So we've taken the opportunity to be creative there.
spk05: Okay. That's very helpful. And I just – Lastly for you guys, I wanted to see if we could get the sale price on the Placerita assets, and I was hoping you could maybe provide a little bit more color on the CCS projects. Is this something that's kind of a big study that you're going to undertake here in 2022? It sounds like you maybe already identified some reservoirs. My understanding is these have to be deeper than 2,600 feet, so maybe any thoughts on the potential there?
spk06: Lee, I'll take Placerita real quick. Placerita, again, a good opportunity transaction for both parties. We do about 800 barrels a year annually. It's a little less than that in the third quarter, I think down below 750 right around that area. On a flowing barrel, we got a little less than $20,000 on a flowing barrel and reduced ARO by about $20 million. So kind of the parameters around what that was. And then I'll let Trim kind of talk about the CCS and kind of thoughts and strategies around that.
spk03: We also had a significant decrease in the amount of steam required by the company as well.
spk06: Yeah, that's a good point. Leo, for modeling purposes, we usually burn about 65,000 to 67,000 MMBTU a day. That will be coming down to about 52,000 to 53,000 with the reduction of Placerita as well going forward. So, again, talking about what I was talking about, the access to the current line and the shore, and you can kind of see we reduced our natural gas demand significantly. And especially that's expensive natural gas because it's primary SoCal gas as well.
spk05: So that's good. Okay, great. That's great to hear.
spk03: And on the CCS, we are, if I understood your question, we generally don't have – The biggest generators of carbon dioxide for us are the cogens we have. Those are the point sources. So we will always be looking at ways to capture CO2 and reduce CO2 from them. So the CCS efforts come in two parts. One is reducing the amount of carbon dioxide generated by cogens, which reduces our carbon intensity by definition. But the other is... is providing storage in reservoirs that we have that are generally below our existing fields. I think the cutoff point becomes a liquid below 2,700 feet or something like that. So we have lots of storage. You can calculate that number many different ways. But we have a lot of storage down there, and as we've refined that, Leo, I'm going to be happy to represent it. I think you'll see it eventually in our ESG report that we file quarterly, so I would look for it. But I don't want to project now on something that's got huge error bars on it. It's a big number. And, again, what our goal would be is to follow or to learn from others to make that an economic project and make it available to the state and to other operators to store CO2 that is generated by both other oil operators but also other industries in the state.
spk00: That's the only way.
spk03: Thanks, Leo.
spk04: Our next question comes from the line of Charles Mead from Johnson Rice. Your line is open.
spk07: Hi, good morning. This is Michael Furrow filling in for Charles Mead. Leo hit on a pretty good question we were trying to ask, and we appreciate the details relating to the Placerita volumes and pricing. Is there any way y'all can provide, you know, some further details based upon like the, you know, activity levels out of Placerita, maybe like the well count or capital spending there over the last couple years?
spk06: Capital spending at Placerita has basically been in a decline. It was not our best returning assets, so we tried to, Michael, move most of our capital to our higher returning assets, and Placerita, based upon its cost structure, location, and all that, was basically in decline mode. So number of active wells is beyond my expertise that Fernando may know that off the top of his head, but The other thing, Michael, it did have our largest cogeneration facility. So that was a 42-megawatt facility, and that also goes. But that's the reason the natural gas usage comes down tremendously as well.
spk07: Great. Thank you. I appreciate it. That's all I got. Thanks, Michael. Tell Charles I will.
spk04: Our last question comes from the line of Nicholas Pope from Seaport Research. Your line is open.
spk08: Can you hear me? Yes, Nick. Good morning. I was trying to get a little more detail on the well servicing business. What was the final closing price on that? And I think you guys mentioned and that press release kind of a trailing three-year EBITDA, kind of looking like what the projection would be for the next year. I just want to make sure I get those numbers right, and also to understand how that's going to flow through the company's financial statements.
spk06: Great question. $43 million was the closing price, and we said about 1.2 times trailing EBITDA, so that kind of gives you the idea on the EBITDA. And that EBITDA has been fairly consistent the last several years. Based upon Jack's continued dialogue with the customers and the level of service quality and what he's doing, we don't see that number deteriorating. Again, we're excited. I think also if you heard Trim talk about the methane side of things and the methane capturing and the P&A side, I think we see upside in that. I think like everybody else, the, the, the pinch point on growth these days is finding really good employees to get out there to, to be able to man work over rigs and snubbing units. But I think Jack's extremely excited to be part of Barry because now he has a strong company with good benefits that will attract those people. So I think we do have some positive trajectory on that side of the business that we're excited about. So, You asked one other question, Nick, and I can't remember off the top of my head.
spk08: How it's going to flow through the financial statement.
spk06: So we are going to be very transparent with that business. It will have its own line in the financials. and we'll also do selective summaries within the financials as well so people can truly break out how Barry's doing and how C&J is doing. We will even highlight, we plan to highlight the G&A that's associated with C&J so you can break that out of corporate G&A as well. We just don't want people to end up confusing our cost structure of the oil and gas operations with the services side, so we will give a lot of clarity to make sure that does not happen.
spk08: Got it. That's great. And is there activity weighted towards Barry? Like how much of their business is actually related to kind of the current operations?
spk03: Nick, this is Trem. Right now, Barry is not a customer of C&J. And we had two critical paths to acquire C&J. One was to keep the management, which is Jack Renshaw and his team. who do an excellent job and have a proven track record. We accomplished that. And then the second was that the major customers and the existing business come along with it. And we spent time and Jack spent a lot of time with the major customers, assuring them that we would keep a wall between the E&P business and the service business. and I know Jack, I've actually doubled back and talked to the leaders of the major customers, and they're all quite satisfied and actually pleased with Barry now being the owner of C&J because of that. And just to build off of Carrie's comment about the people, one of the reasons that at least a couple of the major customers that I've spoken to are really appreciative of this is it doesn't guarantee anything with people, but it does assure them and give them confidence that they will be able to keep the same crews and the same workforce on their well opportunities, which is a big deal in the service industry, keeping the same people and keeping the same crews. You get confidence you're going to get the same result over and over and over again. So I think it's a win-win for the existing customer base. and I think it's going to be great for Barry. We will compete for new business, growth business, but not to replace existing business, but to add new business to it. So Fernando and his team will be doing that, and that's already started, actually, talking to Jack about that. And then, of course, the P&A business is about 20% of their current business. And that's a strategic piece for us, which we look to grow and hopefully bring in government and other entities into it as customers as the focus on reducing methane emissions grows, as you may be reading about. Okay? Is that helpful?
spk08: Yeah, that's great. Yeah, that's very helpful. I appreciate the time. Thanks, guys.
spk03: Thanks, Nick.
spk04: Again, if you would like to ask a question, please. There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Tram Smith for closing remarks.
spk03: Great. I want to thank everybody for taking the time this morning. It's a very exciting time for Barry, and I hope everyone has a good day. Thank you for joining us today.
spk04: This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect. Thank you for participating.
Disclaimer

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