Beyond Meat, Inc.

Q4 2021 Earnings Conference Call

2/24/2022

spk04: Good afternoon and welcome to Beyond Meat's fourth quarter earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. If you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note that this event is being recorded. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. Luby Katua, VP of FP&A and Investor Relations. Thank you very much, everyone. Please go ahead, sir.
spk12: Thank you. Good afternoon and welcome. Joining me on today's call are Ethan Brown, founder, president, and chief executive officer, and Phil Harden, chief financial officer and treasurer. By now, everyone should have access to the company's fourth quarter earnings press release and investor presentation filed today after market close. These documents are available on the investor relations of Beyond Meat's website at www.beyondmeat.com. Before we begin, please note that all information presented on today's call is unaudited, and during the course of this call, management may make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in the earnings release that we issued today, along with the comments on this call, are made only as of today and will not be updated as actual events unfold. Please refer to today's press release, the company's quarterly report on Form 10Q. The quarter ended October 2, 2021. The company's annual report on Form 10K for the fiscal year ended December 31st, 2021, to be filed with the SEC and other filings with the SEC for a detailed discussion of the risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements made today. Please note that on today's call, management may make reference to adjusted EBITDA, adjusted gross profit, and adjusted net loss, which are non-GAAP financial measures. While we believe these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information for investors, any reference to this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to today's press release or the investor presentation for reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA, adjusted gross profit, and adjusted net loss to their most comparable GAAP measures.
spk07: I would now like to turn the call over to Ethan Brown. Thank you, Louie, and good afternoon, everyone. Like many, we saw challenges throughout 2021, including the fourth quarter. Before delving more specifically into our quarterly and full-year 2021 results, I'd like to share a broad view. Since 2018, our last year as a private company, we've grown our business 428% for a three-year CAGR of 74%. Though we posted growth of 37% in 2020, We saw a much more modest increase of 14% in 2021, recording net revenues of approximately $465 million, and a fourth quarter that was roughly flat at $101 million, or negative 1% year over year. A key question is whether this reduced growth rate is an aberration or a harbinger of things to come. As our 2022 guidance suggests, we believe last year's growth rate to be temporary and that growth will build to higher levels this year. Our confidence springs from four general factors, among others. One, we do not expect certain positive consumer trends that appear related to COVID and that did not favor our category to persist. Chief among these trends were diminished focus on health-oriented eating choices, with consumers opting instead for comfort foods, and a reduced openness and ability to trial. As you may recall, in 2021, we prepared to launch our largest in-store sampling program to date, only to scuttle those plans as the Delta variant took hold. Today, after two years with only relatively scarce in-store sampling, in the first half of this year, we expect to resume robust in-store sampling programs for retail items. These effective programs have long been a staple of our field marketing efforts, given our conviction that tasting is believing. Two, throughout COVID, we've been investing heavily in product innovation and scaling with our strategic partners. In many cases, together we have awaited the pandemic's abatement and the resolution of labor and supply chain challenges before further market activity. As with the resumption of our broader sampling program, this period of delay appears to be coming to an end, and several products are in various stages of market entry or expansion. These include the recently concluded Expanded test of Beyond the original orange chicken at Panda Express. Advertised tests occurring in McDonald's in Dallas and San Francisco of the McPlant, featuring a plant-based patty co-developed with Beyond Meat. The core menu placement of McPlant featuring Beyond Meat on McDonald's across the UK. The core menu placement of Beyond Italian sausage crumbles at Pizza Hut locations throughout Canada. and the core menu placement of three Beyond Meat toppings at Pizza Hut delivery locations across the UK, and the recent national limited-time offering of Beyond Fried Chicken at KFC locations nationwide. In retail, in the coming weeks, we plan to launch an exciting and brand-new product line via the Planet Partnership, our joint venture with PepsiCo. Three, as we've discussed, despite the strong and steady progress we're making with our strategic QSR partners, The majority of our food service business, nearly 80% in 2021, has remained concentrated across independent operators, smaller chains, hotels, universities, and others that were most impacted by COVID-related disruptions. In the absence of another variant or unforeseen disruption, we expect to build on our recent momentum in this segment in 2022, furthering our overall food service business growth. Fourth, Over the last two years, we've invested significant resources in our top priority global markets, the EU and China. These investments have yielded a solid footing for growth, are a key part of our efforts to support global QSR partners, and have opened sizable retail and food service opportunities for existing and planned products in these markets. Across 2021, we saw 77% year-over-year growth in our international business, and we expect to see continued positive results in 2022. Finally, before providing a more detailed discussion of Q4 results, it will be helpful to share thoughts on operating expenses to be expected in 2022. As I've said before, it remains our objective to insulate our long-term strategy from short-term conditions. Throughout 2021, when faced with the decision to maximize short-term outcomes or pursue longer-term strategy, we chose the latter and made significant investments in future growth here in the U.S., EU, and China. The long-term bent of our decision-making further burdened, from an OPEX and margin perspective, a quarter that was already impacted by lower volumes. Despite the adverse impact on the quarter, we are highly confident that these investments, in terms of team, infrastructure, product scaling, and more generally setting up strategic partnerships for success, will generate strong returns in the years ahead. With this solid foundation now in place, though we will continue to invest in core parts of our business, we do not plan to grow operating expenses significantly in 2022. For example, We do not anticipate expanding our headcount, save select critical positions, or actively increasing the efficiency of our operations, and have concluded certain consulting contracts, among other measures. If 2021 was a year of investment and scaling, as we plan for the resumption and expansion of market activity, 2022 is the year of execution. With that by way of context, I'll now review our overall business performance in Q4 and full year 2021. In the U.S., results across our retail and food service channels were mixed. For the year, sales to U.S. food service customers increased 26% to a record 76.5 million, rebounding nicely from the COVID-induced lows of 2020. However, growth in U.S. food service was more than offset by a decline in U.S. retail, which decreased 8% year over year. Broadly, we believe the 2021 U.S. retail outcome reflects three main developments. These are slowed category growth, heightened competitive activity, and our own decision to focus on finalizing and scaling innovation for upcoming QSR and strategic partner launches versus bringing more new items, which are generally a source of growth, to retailers in 2021. Let me now offer more detail on these three factors. First, growth in the plant-based meat category decelerated meaningfully in U.S. retail from 45% in 2020 to negative 0.4% in 2021. We believe a number of factors contributed to this, some of which I touched on earlier in my remarks. These include a tough year ago comparison, as the onset of COVID in 2020 spurred unprecedented consumer stockpiling, which did not repeat in 2021. Consumer migration to fast food, particularly those with drive-through, where we were largely absent, and consumer trends around food choice, as well as a reduction in our ability to sample. As I noted, we view these developments to be primarily pandemic-related and indicative of an unstable period in the U.S. and global economy. Accordingly, we expect to be able to drive and realize renewed growth in retail sales, provided the pandemic continues to recede. We expect these gains to occur via expanded distribution, the launch of new products, reinstitution of our in-store sampling, and the implementation of our 2022 marketing program. Our marketing initiative leverages and ties into relevant advertising by some of our larger QSR partners, as well as that of our Planet Partnership joint venture with PepsiCo. This integrated approach, which represents our most comprehensive marketing program to date, will meet the consumer across QSR, convenience, and grocery. Second, competitive activity in U.S. retail intensified in 2021, marked by frequent aggressive discounting and new entrants to the category. We continue to believe that a competitive environment featuring high-quality products and compelling marketing is a positive as it tends to grow the category. Yet in the case of 2021, we experienced intense increased competition during a period when the size of the prize did not expand. In this difficult dynamic, we were quite pleased that we exited the year as we began, the number one brand in the category of refrigerated plant-based meats. Further, our brand awareness, the highest across all plant-based meats, continued to climb despite the number of companies vying for consumer attention. Third, as we looked at U.S.-focused innovation in 2021, we made the decision to prioritize delivering on a number of QSR relationships and preparing a product line for the first launch of our joint venture. As a result, whereas in 2020 we launched several new retail items, including Beyond Breakfast Sausage Patties, Beyond Breakfast Sausage Links, and Beyond Meatballs, in 2021 we brought to retail markets Beyond Burger 3.0, and to a more limited extent, a fall launch of our Beyond Chicken Tenders. Though this allocation of focus may have had short-term implications for our retail growth, We believe it was the right long-term prioritization for our business, particularly given the ongoing reduced ability in 2021 to sample new products in U.S. retailers. Turning to supply chain, our full-year gross margin of 25.2% was lowered by approximately 500 basis points year-over-year. Bill will walk you through in more detail on margin. For now, I'll provide general comments on the nature and endurance of some of the higher costs we faced. This overview can be summarized across three main areas. First, we shifted a significant amount of volume to external co-manufacturers for the following reasons. One, given the level of scaling activities underway to support tests and launches with strategic partners, we made the decision to shift production volume away from our internal facility in Pennsylvania and toward external manufacturers in order to free up line time for commercialization. Though we knew these actions would effectively replace lower-cost internal production with higher external tolling fees, as well as generate additional transportation and logistics costs, this allocation was the right decision given the long-term importance of the supported projects. We believe such tradeoffs should be alleviated once we complete our planned commercialization center here in Los Angeles, a large percentage of which we expect to be operational in the back half of this year. Two, we experienced longer than expected downtime on one of our lines to complete repairs, necessitating greater use of external capacity. And three, we sought to prioritize volume to certain co-manufacturers to maintain network capacity necessary for planned production in 2022. Next, we scaled new products that are at the beginning of their cost-down curve. As with many of our product launches, we introduced Beyond Chicken tenders in the latter half of 2021 for food service and more limited retail sales at a higher cost than what we expect their long-term run rate to be. In these launches, we used higher-cost co-manufacturing partners, experienced lower throughput levels, and other supply chain inefficiencies, all typical of early production runs. We do not expect these higher costs to persist indefinitely, having already achieved improvements in production efficiency for our chicken products, in some cases more than doubling throughput. In similar fashion, as we ramped up for an exciting new and entirely novel to us product launch, which will be announced later this quarter, we encourage several of the same early production inefficiencies I just described for chicken. We expect these higher costs persist for at least the first half of this year, with significant improvements expected by year-end. And lastly, we've experienced a substantial increase in our manufacturing conversion costs recently, most of which we consider transitory. Key explanatory factors include, one, pivoting to external partners drove higher transportation costs as we move inventory across our network in response to the aforementioned factors. Two, As we reallocated certain volumes, we nonetheless absorbed fixed overhead costs at our facility without the corresponding output. Three, like others, we faced broad inflationary challenges related to transportation costs. Four, as we added production capacity in North America, the EU, and China during a period of lower volume, our depreciation costs per unit are steadily increased, although we expect this trend to stabilize and soon reverse with volume growth, especially in our national locations. Importantly, though we expect continued near-term headwinds from some of these considerations, we are confident that none are structural in nature. In most cases, initiatives are already underway to return margins to higher levels, including directing volume back toward internal capacity as we complete our commercialization center, simplifying production networks for our new items, and achieving higher throughput rates, particularly on these newer items. At the same time, despite all the noise in our COGS this quarter, we have reduced material costs, the output of our global cost down program, and a subject I will return to before concluding my remarks. With that broad reflection on 2021 complete, let me now briefly discuss our fourth quarter results. We generated strong growth across three of our four sales channels. However, our results in U.S. retail, where we saw a decline, offset gains from the other three channels. Looking at recent trends in consumer takeaway in U.S. retail, according to SPINS data for the 12-week period and December 26, 2021, sales of Beyond Meat products were down 2.7% year-over-year compared to an increase of 0.4% for the category. For our brand, modest growth in Mulu was more than offset by decline in natural and specialty channels, where we over-indexed relative to category and where category growth has been especially challenged of late. For perspective, total category sales in natural and specialty channels declined 8.6% year-over-year during the 12-week period, compared to a 1.6% increase in Mulu. To be clear, the challenges in natural and specialty extend beyond the plant-based meat category. Expanded offerings of natural and organic foods at conventional grocers have likely contributed to the deceleration in natural and specialty. We plan to reinvigorate our growth in this important channel through product differentiation versus our offerings in conventional grocers, increased in-store sampling, and the introduction of new innovation. Despite a 20% reduction in year-over-year US retail sales for Q4, as measured by our net revenue versus aforementioned consumer takeaway data, we continue to see enduring brand strength across the channel. As noted, Beyond Meat remains the number one brand in the refrigerated plant-based meat category. Moreover, according to SPIN's IRI consumer panel data for the 52 weeks ended December 26, 2021, household penetration for the Beyond Meat brand continues to increase, rising 20 basis points sequentially to 6.6% and 110 basis points on a year-over-year basis. Additionally, our buyer rate, purchase frequency, and repeat rates continue to stack up well against our competition, trailing only two category incumbents, each of whom enjoy the benefit of significantly broader product portfolios than us. In U.S. Mulu, we are encouraged by our continued strength in terms of velocity. We're on an absolute basis for the 12 weeks ended December 26, 2021. Our brand velocity ranked highest among any of the top 20 plant-based meat brands and was 2.6 times greater than the category average. This industry-leading velocity is joined by our brand awareness, where total and unaided brand awareness for the Beyond Meat brand in the U.S. increased to 65% and 34% respectively, each highest among all plant-based meat brands. We believe these and other robust brand metrics provide strong momentum for our retail business as we expand our product offerings and distribution footprint, continue to improve our existing products on shelf, and, over time, lower price points as we unlock savings via our Cost Down program. Turning to U.S. Food Service, as I alluded to earlier, our performance during the year rebounded solidly from the COVID-driven lows of 2020 to record net revenues of $76.5 million. We reached this milestone despite limited activities with our major QSR partners in 2021. In the fourth quarter, net revenues increased 35% year over year, and we began to see the gradual return of trial activity in the QSR space. And according to NPD data, for the three months ended December 2021, we maintained our number one brand position with sales of Beyond Meat products increasing 55% year-over-year in the data set, which you will recall primarily captures sales through broad-line distributors and generally excludes large QSR customers who tend to disdirect. In international, we wrapped up a strong year with retail channel sales up 123% year-over-year and food service channel sales up 40% year-over-year. I'm proud of our progress in Europe, where we more than doubled the size of our business across retail and food service channels in 2021. In the fourth quarter, total international net revenues increased 23% year-over-year with retail sales up 11% year-over-year and food service channel sales up 36% year over year. In international food service, growth was driven primarily by QSRs, which again, is encouraging. We are excited to build on the momentum in our international business in 2022, leveraging the investments in team, infrastructure, and capabilities that we've made in the EU and China. With that review, I will now provide more detail on some of the exciting 2022 strategic initiatives I mentioned earlier and which represented the focus of much of our commercialization and scaling investments across 2021. On January 5th, following a highly successful 250 store test in the UK, McDonald's rolled out its first ever plant-based burger featuring a patty co-developed by Beyond Meat to every restaurant across the UK and Ireland. nearly 1,500 stores. The UK and Ireland launch is being supported by a robust joint marketing program that spans across TV, radio, out-of-home, social, PR, influencer, mobile, and digital elements. In short succession after the McDonald's UK news, KFC launched a nationwide test of Beyond Fried Chicken in over 4,000 U.S. locations on January 10th. The test marked the largest plant-based chicken launch ever in the QSR industry, and we are pleased that the consumer response and feedback in the media has been filled with positive excitement. Being selected to create a plant-based version of one of the most iconic menu items of one of the world's most popular brands is a testament to the strength of our innovation and the recognition of these capabilities by industry giants. Only days later, we followed these two exciting announcements with yet another, Together with Pizza Hut Canada, we announced the debut of Beyond Italian Sausage Crumples, the permanent menu offering nationwide at over 450 locations. The expansion followed a successful trial in Toronto and Edmonton last summer. With the reported rise in flexitarian diets occurring in Canada, we are excited to increase the accessibility of plant-based protein for Canadians everywhere. Separately, as we jointly announced on January 20, McDonald's expanded its U.S. test of the McPlant Burger to approximately 600 participating locations in the San Francisco Bay and Dallas-Fort Worth areas, beginning on February 14. Also on Valentine's Day, A&W launched a limited-time offering, the Jalapeno Lime Beyond Meat Burger, at all of its locations nationwide in Canada. This product represents A&W's first fully plant-based burger build and furthers our strong partnership with one of our earliest QSR partners. Lastly, as I alluded to earlier, we have been working diligently toward the launch of an exciting new product, which we expect to announce in coming weeks. Turning to our ongoing cost down initiative, it's important to not let the aforementioned short-term 2021 processing and logistics noise obscure the progress we're making on material cost reduction, where we successfully run 26 cents per pound from direct materials on a year-over-year basis in Q4. We will continue to drive our global cost down program and remain confident we can achieve our goal of price parity with animal protein within at least one category within the next two and a half years. As we've shared before, we are working through a robust pipeline of cost reduction opportunities, including in the area of raw ingredient procurement savings, waste reduction, throughput improvement, network optimization, warehousing and transportation efficiencies, local sourcing and production in our global markets, and packaging optimization. Finally, before closing, I'd like to highlight two key additions to our global leadership team. In December, we welcomed Doug Ramsey and Bernie Adcock as Chief Operating Officer and Chief Supply Chain Officer, respectively. Both Doug and Bernie join us from Tyson Foods and bring a wealth of experience and proven track records of impressive operational excellence in the protein industry. Through Doug's tenure at Tyson, he held top leadership positions, including Group President at poultry, In this role, he oversaw all domestic poultry business units, driving market share through strategic integrated planning, business acquisitions and integration, lean manufacturing, and cost reduction. He also served as president of the global McDonald's business for Tyson. As with Doug, Bernie arrives with a strong background of highly relevant leadership, including most recently as Tyson's chief supply chain officer helping to scale the company's poultry business through cross-functional strategic oversight and the integration of innovative technologies across the supply chain. Doug and Bernie are already adding tremendous value, and I have full confidence in their abilities to guide our company through the next phases of growth and production cost optimization. With that, I will turn it over to Phil to walk us through our fourth quarter financial results and our outlook for 2022. Thanks, Ethan.
spk11: We achieved net revenues of $100.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2021, representing a decrease of 1.2% compared to the fourth quarter of 2020. The decrease in net revenues was primarily driven by a 19.5% year-over-year decrease in U.S. retail net revenues, partially offset by growth in U.S. food service, international food service, and international retail. All channels were negatively impacted by five fewer shipping days in Q4 2021 versus Q4 2020. For Q4 2021, average net revenue per pound was $5.19, down from $5.59 per pound in Q4 2020, primarily driven by mixed to lower price cues, especially in international food service, and increased trade discounts. Moving down the P&L to gross profits. Gross profit during Q4 2021 was $14.2 million, or 14.1% of net revenues, as compared to $25.4 million, or 24.9% of net revenues in Q4 2020. In addition to lower net revenue per pound year over year, cost per pound increased to $4.46 per pound in Q4 2021, up 26 cents versus Q4 2020, which was driven primarily by increases in manufacturing costs, including depreciation, and logistics costs, partially offset by improvements in materials costs and decreases in inventory write-offs and reserves. Manufacturing costs, including depreciation, increased by 48 cents per pound, a reflection of both expensive inventory created in Q3 as well as increased costs in Q4, with a pervasive headwind from new product launches, both launched and still to be launched, less volume than anticipated earlier in the year, and variability of demand across products. Costs increased for both the manufacturing we do within our own facilities as well as the manufacturing we contract out to co-manufacturers. In our own finished goods manufacturing, we produced fewer units, resulting in significantly increased variable and fixed costs per unit versus prior periods. We disrupted steady-state manufacturing for multiple reasons, including to run commercialization trials, to run production of new product, planned repairs to one of our lines, demand variance to forecast, and recovery from severe weather. Although not a large driver of our margin change in Q4, to combat difficulty in hiring and maintaining our production staffing, we raised factory wages in Q4. In our co-manufacturer network, we incurred increased fees to secure capacity for new product launches and utilized certain high-cost producers based on availability. We also saw headwinds from depreciation associated with additional capacity coming online both in North America as well as in the EU and China. Logistics costs, including those associated with internal transportation and warehouse costs, increased 13 cents per pound in Q4 2021 versus Q4 2020. Note this excludes the outbound freight associated with shipping finished goods to our customers, which is included in our SG&A expenses. The increase in transportation warehouse cost per pound was primarily caused by increased transportation costs, where we experienced headwinds in both an increase in cost per mile caused by increases in the overall freight market, as well as our use of spot market transportation rates in certain instances. increased miles driven per pound as we navigated new manufacturing networks required for initial product launches, as well as reallocating materials and volume to help our existing network recover from difficulties outlined in last quarter's call. We view these increased costs as temporary and are making immediate steps to calm the network and push more volume into our manufacturing facilities. Travels are currently progressing as part of our cost down program to increase manufacturing throughput, standardize work, and more efficiently use our assets and labor. Some examples of recent success include increasing the throughput of one of our extra date lines by 130% through downtime reduction efforts and installation of an automated cutter. Another is the increase of 50% in capacity and finished good line throughput through improved staffing plans, streamlining startup activities, and reduction of line downtime. We also have the opportunity to postpone or avoid entirely some additional capital expenditures as we push our machinery to begin to run closer to manufacturer specified throughput capability. We're also working to rationalize our co-manufacturing network, eliminating high cost options and reallocating volume to our best performing and lowest cost producers. We recently launched our new transportation management software that we believe over time will allow us to run our network more efficiently. And we continue to actively seek to shorten miles driven per pound produced through optimizing for location, smarter scheduling, and ensuring our trucks are full. In Q4 2021, as Ethan noted, ingredients and packaging costs decreased by 26 cents per pound versus Q4 2020. Materials costs are impacted by mix, yield, and ingredient costs. Approximately 4 cents of the improvement in materials cost was due to a charge from a supplier in Q4 2020 that we did not incur in Q4 2021. Also, approximately 3 cents of the decrease was due to a one-time rebate received in Q4 2021. As part of our cost down program, further decreasing materials cost is a continuing area of focus for us, and we have multiple efforts underway to negotiate more favorable pricing, utilize less costly ingredients, and streamline our packaging. These efforts take time, and in many cases we are in the midst of soliciting bids, but we've seen initial success in some cases where incumbent suppliers have offered us lower prices when forced to competitively bid their products, and in others with big opportunities to reduce costs by shifting to alternate suppliers. We are currently qualifying these new lower-cost suppliers and will continue to phase in the lower-cost ingredients as testing shows they meet our quality bar. Also, since we use average costing in our inventory, We begin to see the benefits as we bring in ingredients at the lower costs, which will grow over time as we mix to a higher proportion of the inventory at that lower cost. We expect to continue making progress in this area. Inventory write-offs also improved 9 cents year over year, although the comparable period included approximately 20 cents attributable to the initial surge of COVID-19. Moving down the P&L to OpEx. Operating expenses for Q4 2021 were $91.9 million, up $42 million from Q4 2020. The year-over-year increase was driven by increases in marketing, including an acceleration of spending in the EU to drive brand awareness, which lags out of the US. G&A, primarily driven by an increase in newly established consulting agreements, by increasing non-production headcount costs based primarily on hiring that occurred earlier in 2021, as we've paused incremental hiring except for a few critical areas, by increased commercialization spending as we work to commercialize new products, and by increased restructuring fees associated with ongoing litigation. Turning to our balance sheet and cash flow highlights, our cash and cash equivalence balance was $733.3 million, and total debt outstanding was approximately $1.1 billion as of December 31st, 2021. For the 12 months into December 31st, 2021, Net cash used in operating activities was $301.4 million compared to $40.0 million in the year-ago period. Capital expenditures totaled $136.0 million for the 12 months into December 31, 2021, compared to $57.7 million for the year-ago period. The increase in capital expenditures was primarily driven by continued investments in production equipment and facilities related to capacity expansion initiatives. Next, I will provide some commentary about our 2022 outlook. For the fiscal year 2022, we expect net revenues to be in the range of $560 million to $620 million, corresponding to year-over-year net revenue growth of between 21 percent and 33 percent. We expect flat to modest net revenue growth in Q1, accelerating through the year primarily due to newly secured distribution expansion in U.S. retail new product launches, acceleration in international markets as a result of EU price resets and extended shelf life driving incremental distribution, as well as growth in China, anticipated limited time offerings at QSR customers, and as we lap easier comparison periods in the back half of the year. Although we are not providing full-year margin guidance at this time, we did want to provide some additional context for our Q1 2022 margins. We expect gross margin in the first quarter to fall well below more normalized levels again, driven by the aforementioned short-term higher manufacturing and logistics costs that are in existing inventory with added pressure from a new product that will launch in the coming weeks. The new product initially uses an expensive process, which we expect to streamline significantly later this year, but it will represent an additional drag to our Q1 gross margin. In 2021, OpEx grew to 63% of revenue. This percentage is a function of lower-than-expected sales amidst continued investment to serve our strategic partners commercialize new products, build operations in the EU and China, and advance our innovation, brand, and team objectives. We believe our OPEC space is now largely adequate for our midterm growth objectives, and as such, we intend to reduce our rate of spending growth substantially. While we still believe we are in the early stages of what we expect will be a far larger business over the long term, we are significantly reducing hiring, holding many of our teams flat, have concluded certain consulting engagements and are holding flat or reducing other areas of discretionary spending. With that, I'll turn the call back over to the operator to open it up for your questions.
spk05: Thank you. Thank you. And I'll begin the question and answer session.
spk04: To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your touch-tone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we'll pause momentarily to assemble the roster. First question comes from Alexa Howard of Bernstein. Please go ahead.
spk06: Good evening, everyone.
spk07: Hi, Alexa.
spk06: Hi there. So I appreciate all the detailed explanations and remedial actions that you're taking to reaccelerate sales, particularly in the retail channels like the sampling and marketing, innovation, and expanded distribution. Could you say how quickly you expect to see that reacceleration, particularly in the retail side? Is it Q1? Is it already happening? Do we have to wait until Q2? And then as a follow-up, how do you expect this reacceleration in the top line to materialize without incurring meaningfully incremental extra operating costs? Or put simply, was Q4 the low point on gross margin, EBITDA, and cash burn, and should we expect sequential improvements from here, or do we have to wait until the second half? It sounds as though that new product launch in Q1 could actually drag the gross margins and perhaps profits down even further in the near term. Thank you.
spk07: Thank you, Lex. Appreciate it. So I think the way that you know, we're looking at this as we saw very good growth across three of our four channels. Folks have obviously focused on U.S. retail, as they should. And, you know, I think it's our approach to that really is around not necessarily waiting for that category to resume growth, but rather taking action across our distribution to bring growth independent of whether or not the category starts to recover. We certainly think the category is going to recover, and as it does, we are in a great position. You know, we still have the number one brand in the category. Our household penetration continues to rise. The number one brand velocity among all plant-based, among the top 20 plant-based meats, and we've got the number one brand awareness. So, you know, should that start to accelerate on its own, I think we're well-positioned. But independent of that, we have a number of actions that we've taken that will allow us to see new growth, and that's new distribution, new innovation coming into the market, a lot of in-store sampling, as you referenced, tactical shopper marketing programs that seek to reengage the consumer with our brand in retail, and then broader high-level marketing that continues to attract attention to our brand in retail. So we feel good about our strategy for U.S. retail, but we're not relying on that alone for growth, obviously. If you think about this past year, and I'll touch on this most likely in a number of questions, We didn't look at the short-term impact of COVID and say, you know what, we're going to stop pursuing our long-term opportunity. Our view on this opportunity is that it's a very, very large one over a long period of time. We are well positioned as the number one brand in our category in retail and the number one brand in food service. We have the best partnerships out there in terms of QSRs and CPG companies. So we wanted to continue to invest and we spent much of 2021 making very significant investments throughout our business. We are now in a position having done that scaling. And if you look at the scaling we've done, it's evident in the market today, whether it's the products we have with McDonald's in the UK or Ireland, the tests that are going on in Dallas and San Francisco with McDonald's, the KFC launch that recently occurred as an LTO, Panda Express, which recently concluded, Pizza Hut, you know, menu placement there in Canada and the UK. And then, of course, this upcoming launch that we've referenced with our joint venture with Pepsi. So all of those things are incredibly resource intensive in terms of scaling those products and getting them ready to go to market. We have some other launches that are coming this year. With that activity done, we're now in execution mode. And so it's really about bringing those opportunities to the consumer. So we believe we can do that, as Phil alluded to, without substantially increasing the amount of OPEX. So the growth rate there, I think you'll see moderating quite a bit. So it's an opportunity to leverage the investments we've made, realize the growth that's ahead of us in the QSR and food service space, while taking discrete steps in retail to reinvigorate growth independent of the category. In terms of the cadence across the year, I think there will be more activity in the second, third, and fourth quarters than there is in the first. This is due to things like resets and our own product launches, etc. But we feel very good about the year. We're optimistic and I think we did the right thing throughout 2021, ignoring the short-term noise and continuing to invest against our long-term strategy.
spk06: Thank you very much.
spk11: Adam, you The gross margin question. So as I alluded to in prepared remarks, we do have some expensive inventory. We will sell that, and then there is additional pressure from the new product launch on gross margin. So we do anticipate Q1 will get worse, and then we should get better throughout the year, I think particularly in the second half as we already have a line of sight to a more cost-effective way to manufacture the product.
spk06: Great. Thank you very much. I'll pass it on.
spk04: Thank you. Next question comes from Ken Goldman of JP Morgan. Please go ahead. Hi. Thank you so much.
spk14: I wanted to ask, Ethan, you know, it's a fairly wide range, understandably, for the top line. I know you gave, in terms of your guidance, I know you gave some of these parameters, but I just wanted to sort of get a little bit of a better sense of, you know, as you're thinking about What's driving the bottom end of that range? What's driving the top end of that range? What are some of the considerations that you're thinking about, sort of signposts we should look for as we kind of think about how to get to that top end or the bottom end?
spk07: Sure. So I think it's, in this case, because we've relied so much on our own activities within, you know, retail in terms of new distribution, bringing new innovation into stores and and things of that nature. I feel pretty good about those forecasts. What would increase the upside quite a bit would be if the category were to kind of reinitiate growth. On the food service side, what you should see from us is continued. I think we had 35% or so U.S. food service growth in the fourth quarter. You should expect to see some continued growth there throughout the year. But these launches that we have with our large strategic partners, you know, the cadence of those, particularly in the second half of the year, you know, should signal that the investments we're making are moving forward. So I would look for things like that. So an uptick in the traction that you're getting from our products in retail, particularly the new ones that we're introducing. as well as the QSR activities and continued growth in U.S. food service. Those things will take us to the higher part of our range.
spk14: Great. Thanks. I know we're running low.
spk04: Thank you. Thank you. Next question will be from Robert Moscow of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.
spk13: I think you kind of answered the question, Ethan, but are you saying – that there's incremental upside if your big QSR customers put these items on their permanent menu in the second half. Is that kind of like the unknown right now? I know in the past you've tried to be conservative there in terms of whether you put those things in your forecast or not. Like KFC and McDonald's are big chunky customers, but it's unclear, I guess to me, whether these items are going to be on the permanent menu. Is that really the swing factor?
spk07: I think it's one of the elements, but continued recovery and food service generally is another one. And continued trials and LTOs with some of the customers that we've been involved with in the past. But we are obviously working toward more permanent menu placement with all of our QSR partners. And should that start to materialize in the second half of the year, that would be a benefit to our plan.
spk13: Okay, and maybe a modeling follow-up. Like SG&A, I think you said you'll have a slower growth rate of your spend, but you're also trying to increase more marketing, more advertising. So can you just kind of give us a range of growth here in terms of SG&A? It might be one of the easier things for us to model, if so.
spk07: Yeah, I mean, I think what I can say is just that it'll be very meaningfully moderated. And the way we're accomplishing that is if you just think about the sheer number of products that we're bringing to market with different customers and partners this year, it's really time for us to focus on executing those at a steady state production versus the amount of scaling that we were doing in 2021. So we expect to bring some cost out of that. You know, on the marketing side, we made some pretty big investments in the fourth quarter, particularly in Europe, and so we're seeing good results from that. So, you know, I think if you look at our marketing for the balance of 2022, it's a really good position to be in because we're marketing with our strategic customers or with our QSRs. You see activities, whether it's with KFC or or with McDonald's. Then you look at our joint venture with Pepsi. You'll see some activity from us and them there in terms of the planet partnership. And then, of course, our own marketing. So we're going to be coming at the consumer from a number of different touch points in their lives and feel good about that. But because of the ability to run more efficiently some of the rest of our business, I don't think that will materially raise our OpEx for the year. Okay. All right. Thanks.
spk04: Thank you. Adam Chandelson from Goldman Sachs with the next question. Please go ahead.
spk02: Hi. This is Arthur. I'm for Adam. I was hoping you could provide details on your plans to lower unit costs on a per pound basis, specifically on the items that you mentioned, what timeline and how much in incremental savings
spk07: may achieve within that timeline and what those plans might cost thank you yeah so as you know and we've talked about we have a very robust and global cost down program and I set a goal almost three years ago to within one category be able to get price parity or below with animal protein and I still feel good about that and we feel good about that as a team and we As we mentioned, we are making good material progress in that regard. There's a lot of noise in our system right now because of the sheer number of activities and scaling and launching we've done. But from an alternate supplier perspective, from being able to negotiate some better terms, to yield, to mix, all of these things, we're seeing some some good progress and have a major program in place. So that's actually one that I feel quite good about. But Phil, you want to give a little detail?
spk11: Sure. So we've got it split up across several work streams, and I'll give you a very high-level overview of each of those. Each work stream has an owner who has signed up for a goal for the year that we measure against, and we, as part of our monthly business reviews, give a green, amber, red status on that and talk about how we get back to green if we get off course I would expect a lot of these take time. So in the first example, something like pea protein, we already have seen some good savings there, which came through to some degree in the material savings. But a lot of the work that we've got to do there is there's a tremendous amount of difference in the price per pound of pea protein from different suppliers. But it's not as simple as just swapping one out for another. They can tend to have slightly different characteristics. And so there's a lot of testing to make sure the ingredients are quality bar. Once we pass those tests, we then change our manufacturing process to incorporate that other ingredient. And then it takes time because you start shifting over time and things have to work its way into your inventory. And so all that means that for an initiative like that, you'll likely see more progress in the latter part of 2022. Another one for us is manufacturing. We alluded to a couple of anecdotes. that we've already seen in the prepared remarks there. A lot of that is really around just how do you run your equipment and your workforce as efficiently as possible, standardizing work, replicating what works on one machine as best practice to all of your others. Some of that can be pretty fast. It doesn't necessarily require more capital. It's largely just how you standardize the process. And you'll see results there in the form of better leverage on fixed costs over time. and better even leverage on your variable workforce costs there. Ingredients is similar to pre-protein. We've got a large request for pricing exercise going on there. As I mentioned in the prepared remarks, in some cases, you find that existing suppliers, we were scrambling to find to get supply through the very early phases of Beyond Meat. And so when we go back in a more formalized approach, we'll be able to see some good wins with better pricing there. In other cases, we'll have to look at alternative suppliers to supply some of the same ingredients, as well as over time figuring out less expensive ingredients to build into products. That's probably a longer arc. Packaging also, you know, how do we take costs out of packaging? We think there's opportunity to also be better from an environmental standpoint there. That will be a fairly time-consuming one too because we have to redesign and then roll it through and we have existing inventory. Logistics, how do we fill our trucks more? I think there's some probably quick wins we can get there. We've been sort of running trucks throughout the network as we mentioned in prepared remarks. How do we consolidate loads and make sure we're not running expedited loads? How do we get good quotes? and move away from spot wherever we can through better planning. And then there's a couple of others that are also in the early phases. So I would look to see, you know, we'll try to continue to give you some anecdotes as we go, but a lot of this will not really take effect until later in the year as we can sort of adopt new practice and work through, in the case of something like bringing in cheaper ingredients, we're on average cost, so it has to find its way into our inventory, into our product, and then ultimately get sold.
spk05: Very helpful. Thank you.
spk04: Thank you. Next question will come from Peter Yalbo, Bank of America. Please go ahead.
spk10: Hey, guys. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking the question. I guess I wanted to go back to an earlier question just around cash burn. You know, over the past three quarters now, you've run anywhere from, you know, 120 to 140 million of cash, you know, burn, including CapEx per quarter. I just want to understand on a go-forward basis whether or not that gets better or what causes that to get better, and if not, what's the minimum level of cash you're willing to run with?
spk07: It's fair. As I alluded to, we had a very resource-intensive year in terms of getting ready for a lot of the launches we're doing, a lot of the activity with strategic partners. We also spent a lot to stand up GM-led organizations and facilities in China and in the EU. And then, as I mentioned, we did some marketing over in Europe toward the latter part of the year. So all of these things did contribute to a pretty high-level investment for the year, but we don't see them as ongoing. You know, we have the ability and we're taking the steps to moderate the growth in OpEx. And, you know, I really try to separate this in terms of, you know, we've been investing over the course of 2021. We've set up some really fantastic opportunities for us to execute against in the next 12 to 18 months. And we're moving into that phase now where we're actually going to start wringing out some costs, getting more efficient, you know, sweating our assets better. doing better inventory management because we're now able to run some steady state production and things of that nature, and take other measures to bring down the level of investment. I don't think about this in terms of the kind of near-term metrics. I think about it more in terms of just keeping enough powder to continue to invest as opportunities present themselves. I feel pretty good about our plan, both on the revenue and on the OPEX side, to be able to have cash to make future investments without taking us to too thin a line. So I know it's not the most exact answer, but it's what we can give right now. I think that the biggest piece of information we can give is that you'll see a moderation in investment levels 22 to 21. Got it.
spk10: No, that's helpful. And maybe even just to go back to retail, In your prepared remarks, you kind of commented on you're not expecting, or rather that you're expecting kind of the health-oriented consumer to come back versus more the comfort food. What are you seeing internally or in your own data that's suggesting that that's kind of the reverse that's going to happen, or is it more aspirational at this point? Thanks very much.
spk07: Sure. So what we've tried to do is set aside for the moment the category of performance. What can we control? What can we do? I've seen some speculation about whether this is signaling something bigger about the category, and I think as attractive as it is to try to posit particular theories on what's going on, there's so much noise in the market just because of the instability around pandemic, the different variants, behaviors, food service to retail, that we're just kind of sitting out of that discussion and saying, here are the things we can control. We're going to go after those as hard as we possibly can, and we're going to grow our business. My sense is that from what we're seeing out of the QSR space in terms of all the studies we've done with our partners, what we're seeing in other economies, that as things normalize and consumers get back to normal behavior, taking off sweats, putting on slacks, going to work, things like that, you'll see a resumption of growth in the retail space as we get in there and start to demo. One of the things we did in 2021 was we really focused on getting ready for some of these strategic launches in food service, you know, both here in the U.S. and in Europe. And we didn't do as much, as I mentioned in my remarks, retail innovation. And that's okay. We have a major product, which I actually have in my hands right now, and I've been snacking on during the call. um that took an enormous amount of time and energy to get ready and it's a fantastic product and we're launching it with our partners at pepsi uh and um and that's going to bring excitement i think to the retail space uh and we have some other products that come out later this year so you'll see us get back in the retail game in a big way in 22. thank you next question will be from michael lavery piper sandler please go ahead
spk03: Thank you. Good evening. I just want to follow up on the Pepsi JV, and you've got excitement around those products. And I think in the answer to the SD&A question, you touched on some of the spending. But how should we think about that, given that it's a joint venture? Is that structured somehow that that rolls through your operations? And are those revenues included in part of your guidance?
spk11: This is Phil. I'll take that one. So we sell product into the joint venture. And so you would see the revenue and costs directly that way. The other place you see this in our income statement is the joint venture income or loss line. And so if you're paying attention in the release, you probably saw a step up actually in our portion of the loss there. And so we're selling product in and then we split the split the profit or loss from the JV based on kind of what they sell into retail then. Okay, that's helpful.
spk03: And just coming back to the pricing piece, as you try to push for parity or better against animal protein, I know we've seen from inflation those costs are higher than they've been, but assuming that alone doesn't bridge the gap, I know you're pushing your own costs down. I guess just What would make you back off of that ambition? Is it sort of set at almost all costs, or does it depend on hitting the right hurdles and sort of measured steps along the way?
spk07: Yeah, I don't think we're going to back off of that. I know your question was what would make you. Yeah, if we had some sort of immovable obstacle that we weren't able to overcome, we'd obviously signal that and say, but everything seems to be going on the material side in the right direction, albeit, you know, slowly. But we're able to get, I think, in the next two and a half years, the kind of reduction that we need to see, particularly in one category. And so we do feel quite good about that. All of this noise where we've been, you know, we shut down for a while part of one of our facilities just to do commercialization, and that forced us to put new production in some of our co-packers, as we explained. So there's just a lot of noise in the system. Those things are reversible, and we can affect that. And these decisions, again, just like the investments, I am always thinking about how do we capture the biggest future opportunity and the biggest future value. And we're well aware of the headlines it might generate and things of that nature. But it's the right thing to do. And asking people to judge the quality of our investments in the same quarter that we're making them, I think, is probably a difficult and and not productive ask. What we're asking to do is, you know, look at these investments, you know, 18 to 24 months from now and see how you feel about them because I think they're strong. And whether it's in, you know, a reduced margin today for something later on, we're willing to make those tradeoffs. And so in the area of, you know, the price parity goal, we'll tease it out a little bit this year in certain markets. You'll see us run some some programs to test the elasticity around it. But overall, we're making progress in that area. Okay, great.
spk03: Thanks a lot.
spk04: Thank you. Next question, John Baumgartner with Mizzou. Please go ahead.
spk08: Good afternoon. Thanks for the question. You know, Ethan, with regard to retail, you mentioned, I think, that the disruption is temporary, and you did lack a pretty massive comp in 2021. You know, at the same time, this industry right now is pretty narrow in being built around ground meat items. And I get the household penetration opportunity on paper, but how do you balance the total addressable market with the potential that, I guess at some point, demand just gets exhausted? I mean, at what point do you need to migrate to structured products, whether it's steaks or chicken breasts, to sort of, you know, capture a broader range of consumption occasions? I mean, is there a need for that at this point? And I guess if there is, how far away is that technology, do you think? Thank you.
spk07: Yep, sure. That's a good question. So I think there's still a tremendous amount of room in the core product categories, whether it's ground or the burger or sausage. And as we continue to improve the taste profile, continue to make clear to the consumer not only the health benefits, but as climate becomes more of a front page issue for people, I think we have a really strong case to make there, and then ultimately price as we continue to march toward price parity. You know, just unwavering commitment to those three things, regardless of what's going on, I think will give us wins over the next several years. But certainly proliferating the portfolio is something that we're equipped to do. We've been working on some of the retail launches that you'll see from us in the future. We'll certainly do that. And we're excited about those products. We're tasting some of them yesterday. I think they're very strong. So you'll see us continue to evolve the portfolio. And as you see things go into food service, whether it's with the QSRs or in up and down the street mom and pop businesses, bringing those into retail and those different form factors, those different cuts, spreaded items, et cetera, I think will help spur the retail growth again. We are the leading brand, as I mentioned, in the category, and I think when we emphasize and put so much effort into the strategic partnerships, which is the right thing to do in 21, we didn't put as much energy into retail and have the real opportunity in 22, given the innovation we've done over the last year to do that. So we think that will help the category as well.
spk08: Okay, great. Thank you.
spk04: Thank you. Next question will be from Ken Zaslow, Bank of Montreal. Please go ahead.
spk09: Hey, good evening, guys.
spk07: Hi there.
spk09: Let me ask two questions. One is, what is the process for you guys to be able to convert an LTO to a permanent item, and how much are you able to affect the change?
spk07: Yeah, I mean, the process is for us to make great products, to have the right consumer fit there and to be the best partner we can be, and the rest is really up to our partners. A lot of them have worked. Not everyone has, and that has to do with different QSRs serve different segments of the economy, and the value proposition is clearer to some than others, depending on where you are. But overall, if you look at our track record, we've done well with continuing to maintain the relationships with our QSRs, continuing to go from tests to trials, and then from trials to LTOs, and then from there to full launches. But there's nothing in particular we can do other than just perform well in each stage.
spk09: Okay. And then you've hired several new management additions. When you think about this in a year from now or a year and a half from now, how will your operations be different than they are now and what are these people gonna truly add as a change agent?
spk07: Yeah, no, great question and one I'm very pleased to talk about. So if it gets back to the theme of thinking about the long-term opportunity and how to capture as much value as possible here in the United States and in Europe and in China, When you make decisions to, for example, bring on Doug and Bernie, who have been great additions to the team, as I mentioned, or Deanna or Phil or others, these are forward decisions. These folks are coming from very large organizations and often global in nature. Since the most recent ones are the ads we made in operations, I'll talk a little bit about that. Just the The sense of beginning to sweat our assets more, beginning to be able to manage our inventory better, beginning to drive this cost-down program in an even more aggressive way that you get when you're in the room with these guys is exciting. They've done it before at a massive scale, and they're bringing that type of thinking to Beyond Meat, and we're giving them plenty of freedom to do that. So it's something that I think from You know, my own perspective through to the organization, down to the lines that we have, up to the board, we feel great about the team we put together. And, again, you know, we're coming out of 21 with a lot of investment in place, a really strong team. You know, the mask mandate is coming off on Friday here in Los Angeles tomorrow. We feel pretty good.
spk05: Great. I appreciate it. Thank you. Thank you. That concludes our question and answer session.
spk04: I'd like to turn the call back over to Mr. Ethan Brown for closing remarks. Please go ahead.
spk07: I have none other than sit tight. We're gonna be coming back, I think, latter part of this year and giving you guys some good results and looking forward to talking about it then. Thanks very much.
spk04: Conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may not disconnect.
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