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spk03: Good day and welcome to Camden National Corporation's fourth quarter 2023 earnings conference call. My name is Cole and I'll be the operator for today's call. All participants will be in a listen only mode during today's presentation. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. If at any time you require operator assistance, please press star then zero. Please note that this presentation contains forward-looking statements, which involve significant risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to vary materially from those projected and forward-looking statements, additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ, supplemental earning materials to the company's 2022 annual report on Form 10-K and other filings from the SEC. The company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the forward-looking statements are made. Any references in today's presentation to non-GAAP financial measures are intended to provide meaningful insights and are reconciled with GAAP and your press release today. Today's presenters are Simon Griffiths, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Mike Archer, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please note that this event is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Simon Griffiths. Please go ahead.
spk00: Good afternoon. Thank you, Cole, and welcome to Camden National Corporation's fourth quarter 2023 earnings call. I'd like to start by introducing myself. I joined Camden National Corporation last November and took over as the president chief executive officer on January 1st, and it's an absolute pleasure and honor to join the company. Since joining, I've been impressed with the strength of the management team and their focus on delivering an outstanding experience for our customers. As I meet with team members and their customers, I've come to realize how deeply rooted Camden National is in the communities we serve, and my first months with the company have confirmed for me the pivotal role we play. From large commercial customers to small business owners, there is strong momentum for these businesses to grow, and our teammates can deliver the products and services and have the customer relationships to guide them along the way. I'm also impressed by the robust technology advancements the company has made. The team has been driving innovation and utilizing sophisticated tools to automate process, leverage data and deliver digital products to aid our customers and our team members. Earlier this morning, we reported net income of 8.5 million or 58 cents earnings per share, diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2023. This included the impact of repositioning a portion of our investment portfolio which generated a $5 million pre-tax loss on the sale of securities. Excluding that impact, our adjusted non-GAAP earnings for the quarter would have been $12.4 million or $0.85 per diluted share. The company continues to look for opportunities to adjust and optimize the balance sheet, and we expect the changes we made in 2023 will provide future benefits to our net interest margin, earnings, and capital. The strength of our balance sheet continues to position us well for growth and to capitalize on market opportunities as the broader market shows signs of normalization. Our capital position remains strong and improving, highlighted by an increase in the tangible common equity ratio to 7.11% at December 31st, 2023, compared to 6.47% at September 30, 2023. We continue to see solid demand for loans in the communities that we serve and our pipeline remains steady. We're excited by the addition of a new director of commercial banking in New Hampshire with more than 22 years of banking experience. We're already seeing positive momentum in the market and will continue to look at opportunities to strengthen our team and expand our market presence. We remain focused on full relationship banking to strengthen customer loyalty leveraging our robust balance sheet and actively managing new loan yields tightly given the decrease in the 10-year treasury yield over recent months. Personally, I'm invigorated by this opportunity to work with a talented and dedicated team to make an impact and build on their many successes. The swift actions taken throughout the year, including steps to stabilize our net interest margin, fortify our balance sheet, and position the company for future earnings capacity to drive long-term shareholder value. These actions have positioned us well for the future and will enable us to capitalize on opportunities within our market. Our priorities for 2024 will be to continue to manage the business with a focus on actions that prioritize long-term shareholder value while having a prudent offense mindset. We have many exciting capabilities and delivery roadmap across our technology, digital, data analytics, and AI roadmap that will continue to drive growth. The team remains laser-focused on a long-term strategic plan to drive stability, profitability, and growth with strong expense discipline complemented by a talented team. I'm confident in our ability to adapt to the changing environment and economic landscape while continuing to provide long-term shareholder value. Now I'm going to turn it over to Mike to provide some additional insights into our financial performance for the quarter.
spk02: Thank you, Simon. Good afternoon, everyone. This morning, we reported net income for the fourth quarter and annual financial results for the year ended 2023. Like many others across the banking industry, our annual financial results for the year were impacted by the macroeconomic conditions and other challenges faced during the year, which included higher short-term rates and an inverted yield curve, compounded by several well-known larger regional bank failures, bringing deposits and related pricing into further focus across the banking industry. Our response to these marketing conditions and events included prioritizing deposits and liquidity, taking steps to help optimize our net interest margin, and maintaining our strong asset quality. We believe our capital, reserve level, and liquidity position us well for future growth and shareholder value creation. These priorities continue throughout the fourth quarter and remain key priorities today. Net income for the year ended December 31st, 2023 was 43.4 million in diluted EPS total of $2.97. Each a decrease of 29% compared to 2022 annual financial results. Included within these results are pre-tax investment losses of 10.3 million as we sold lower yielding investments in the third and fourth quarters this year to reposition our balance sheet with a focus on driving future earnings and improved profitability. as well as a $1.8 million write-off of a signature bank bond. Adjusting for these items, our annual earnings on a non-GAAP basis for 2023 was $53 million, and a diluted EPS on a non-GAAP basis of $3.63, decreases of 15% and 14%, respectively, compared to 2022. Net income for the fourth quarter of 2023 was $8.5 million, and diluted EPS was 58 cents. each a decrease of 13% compared to the third quarter this year. As noted in my earlier comments, we sold investments at a loss in the third and fourth quarters, which affected our financial results for each quarter. Adjusting for these investment losses, our earnings on a non-GAAP basis for the fourth quarter were $12.4 million, and diluted EPS was $0.85, each a decrease of 11% on a linked quarter basis. Highlights for our fourth quarter operating results included seeing signs of our net interest margin stabilizing, improving capital ratios, and finishing the year with excellent asset quality. Our net interest margin for the fourth quarter was 2.40%, which was up one basis point from last quarter. We continue to redeploy our investment cash flows primarily to fund loan originations in order to improve overall asset yields and anticipate we'll continue to do so. We believe this asset remixing should help continue to stabilize net interest margin through the winter months within our markets as we generally see a level of seasonal deposit outflows and as we continue to see pressures on funding costs from deposit mix shift. The strength of our liquidity position affords us the flexibility to continue to leverage the strategy. In order to deploy all of the proceeds from the sales securities in the fourth quarter, We also reinvested a portion of the proceeds into new securities that yielded just above 6%, and that were purchased at a slight discount. As our investment portfolio continues to produce cash flow, we expect to continue to leverage this cash flow to support loan fundings. Our book and regulatory capital ratio has improved across the board in the fourth quarter, and we finished the year with a TCE ratio of 7.11%, up from 6.47% at September 30th, 2023. and 6.37% at December 31st, 2022. Our capital position continues to be one of our strengths, and it positions us well to capitalize on market growth opportunities. Our asset quality as of December 31st, 2023 remained very strong by all measures. At year end, our non-performing assets to total assets were 0.13%, our past due loans were 0.12% of total loans, Net charge-offs for the fourth quarter were $358,000, or 0.04% of average loans on an annualized basis. The overall health of our customer base continues to be very positive, highlighted by criticized and classified assets of 1.13% of total loans at year-end, which is up from 1.05% for the third quarter, but down from 1.67% at December 31, 2022. We continue to monitor our loan portfolio proactively to identify any early signs of stress. And to date, we're not seeing any systemic trends or material concerns. The increase in provision expense between the third and fourth quarters was $1.1 million and contributed to the decrease in our linked quarter earnings on a GAAP and non-GAAP adjusted basis. In the third quarter, we recorded negative provision expense or credit, primarily driven by a decrease in loan balances of 1% during the third quarter. Whereas in the fourth quarter, we provisioned $569,000 driven by loan growth of 1%. Like last quarter, we maintained our loan loss reserve levels at 0.90% of total loans as we take into account our overall asset quality and with the macroeconomic forecast. Non-interest income for the fourth quarter totaled $6 million and was higher than reported for the third quarter by 18%. primarily driven by a few non-core items, including mortgage banking, fair value adjustments, and a smaller loss on our sales investment securities compared to the third quarter. Adjusting for these items, non-interest income for the fourth quarter would have been $10.6 million, which included the benefit of our annual Visa incentive bonus of $400,000 in the fourth quarter compared to $10.5 million of fee income for the third quarter. We continue to estimate that our normal recurring non-interest income will be $9.5 to $10 million quarterly in the near term. Non-interest expense for the fourth quarter was $27.8 million, an increase of $1.6 million or 6% on a lean quarter basis. As anticipated, operating costs increased over the last quarter given various factors, including timing of the incentive accrual through-ups, senior leader transition costs, and normal seasonal costs during the winter months. Higher non-interest expense for the fourth quarter translated into a non-GAAP efficiency ratio of 63.48% for the quarter. As we look forward, we anticipate non-interest expenses will tick higher for the first quarter of 2024 and range between $28 and $28.5 million as incentive accruals reset to target levels and we continue to work through transition costs. We have taken and continue to take steps to manage costs and we are focused on managing our efficiency ratio lower throughout 2024. The last item I'll touch on is our effective tax rate. We saw our effective tax rate for 2023 decrease to 19.4% compared to 20.3% for 2022. In the fourth quarter, we participated in a renewable solar energy project, and as a result, we are currently estimating an effective tax rate for 2024 of 18.6%. This concludes our comments. We'll now open the call for questions.
spk03: If you would like to queue for a question, please press star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. If for any reason you'd like to remove that question, please press star followed by 2. Again, to join the queue for a question, please press star 1. We'll pause here briefly as questions are registered. Our first question is from Steve Moss with Raymond James. Your line is now open.
spk04: Good afternoon, and Simon, welcome aboard. Thanks, Steve. Maybe just starting on loan growth here, just curious how you guys are feeling about the loan pipeline, especially on the commercial side these days, and how loan pricing is.
spk00: Yeah, thanks for the question, Steve. I think we anticipate throughout the year low single-digit loan growth for the first quarter. We continue to see solid resilience at the client level across our sectors. And we're certainly obviously going to look at the interest rate environment as a key driver of expectations as we move throughout the year. But overall, I think we continue to see solid demand and continue to leverage our balance sheet to support our communities. and deepen customer relationships. And I think see a positive outlook certainly in the, particularly as the year passes through.
spk04: Okay. That's helpful. And just maybe in terms of, you know, the Fed probably going to cut rates this year, just curious how you guys are thinking about the impact on the margin with rate cuts. And, you know, I realize, you know, rate cuts might be a couple months out. Just how you're thinking about the margin here near term, given you see obviously some deposit pricing pressures in the sector.
spk02: Sure, I can take that one, Steve. I'd say on the margin on the near term, you know, certainly we're seeing that we're at 240 right now, end of the quarter. I think as we think about the next, you know, three to six months, I would say that we're thinking about margin being flattish, you know, plus or minus a few basis points overall. Certainly in the first quarter, we generally have the seasonal outflows from a deposit perspective that are impactful to us. We're also seeing some asset remix continue, excuse me, deposit remix continue. So we're certainly focused on that. We've also done some things on the funding side, really trying to optimize where we can to the extent that we have some higher cost, less of a relationship, if you will, on the deposit side, really trying to find alternate funding. to optimize and think that should certainly help out as well in the first quarter. But, you know, long story short is I think for the first half, you know, we'll be pretty flattish. We're envisioning that when rate cuts do happen that we will see a benefit. We do think that it'll certainly take some time to see that come through in the funding side. We want to be able to push, you know, certainly rates and deposit costs lower, but, you know, also recognizing that deposits, particularly in our market and I'm sure others, is It's very competitive, and we'll recognize in that. But that being said, I think in the second half, we do anticipate to see some level of margin expansion from there.
spk04: Okay, great. Appreciate that, Culler. And just one on expenses here. I think the guide for the first quarter, Mike, you mentioned was $20 to $20.5 million with some transition costs. Just kind of curious, you know, does it back down a little bit from there for the rest of the year? Or should we think about maybe there's some ongoing investments and we stay, you know, closer to a $20 million range for the upcoming year quarter?
spk02: Yeah, I think, I think realistically, at least as of right now, we're probably that 28 to 28 and a half. I do think we'll, we'll probably on a run rate basis be closer to 28 and normal, you know, on the norm there, Steve. Yeah. You know, we, like I think Simon spoke to in some of his comments, same in mine, is we certainly are focused on the expenses and being prudent there. And, you know, from an efficiency ratio perspective, we keep a very watchful eye on that and always have historically and will continue to do so. But we certainly were trying to balance the management of expenses short term with also making sure that we're continuing to reinvest for the long term. So we're trying to strike that right balance.
spk00: Yeah. I'll just add, Steve, you know, I think that's spot on. I think it's that short-term focus, and we have very specific actions, you know, managing, obviously, our personal staffing levels and other incremental investments, and I've been really impressed with the team's work on automation. You know, we've got some really great work on the data side and other areas that I think are allowing us to provide, you know, identify opportunities for process improvement and efficiencies, and we just actually had our 100th process automation that's automated over a million transactions. And just one example, Steve, of the kind of work the team's doing that I think can drive long-term productivity and efficiency in the organization. So I think that's obviously a near-time focus, but leveraging some of that technology is an opportunity for us.
spk04: Okay, great. I appreciate it all in color. Thank you very much, guys. Thanks, Steve.
spk03: Our next question is from Damon Diamante with KBW. Your line is now open.
spk01: Hey, good afternoon, guys. Hope everybody's doing well. And welcome aboard, Simon. Just wanted to follow up on the commentary around the margin. Mike, I appreciate the color that you gave. I'm just wondering, do you anticipate doing any additional restructurings here in the early part of 24? Or do you think those are done?
spk02: I would say nothing imminent. I will just say to that, though, Damon, we're constantly evaluating opportunities to optimize if it makes sense and meet our ultimate financial parameters.
spk01: Gotcha. Okay. And with regards to the outlook for loan growth, I think you said low single digit for the year. How are the commercial pipelines shaping up right now, and how is that kind of split between C&I and CRE? Has there been any increase in demand on the CNI side or is it more real estate driven?
spk00: I think we're seeing some nice strength on the CNI and the real estate side. Certainly as rates start to come down, I think the resi side as well is going to pick up particularly probably in the spring season. But we're seeing a nice demand from our clients and that's across the footprint as well. That's certainly across the mid-coast and then obviously into some of the southern areas, which I think is an area of focus for us. TAB, Mark McIntyre, know that definitely is the demand out there, and I think that's a strategic strength that we have with the balance sheet and the position to continue to lend and you know I think that's something will be very focused on this year.
spk01: TAB, Mark McIntyre, A great Thank you for that and then just lastly, if I could sneak one more in here and the outlook for the provision. TAB, Mark McIntyre, You know, as you kind of look at your reserve level, you know it's pretty flat over over the course of 2023 do you envision kind of keeping that flat and. you know, kind of low charge offs and then the provision just basically, you know, supporting the growth that you get to keep that reserve level flat.
spk02: Yeah, I think that's fair, Damon. I think we right now feel good at the 90 basis points and considering our view on the macro outlook. I do think to the extent that, you know, things start to shake out and it becomes a clearer light on what, you know, the path forward from a macro position and call it normalization. There is certainly opportunity over time to potentially release reserves. I think it was before we adopted the Cecil County method, or when we did, we were around 80-82 basis points. So I do think that we have some opportunity there. Of course, it will depend on macro conditions and just overall credit quality metrics. But right now, things certainly look good. Great.
spk01: Okay, that's all that I had. Thank you very much.
spk02: Thanks, Damon.
spk03: Our next question is from Matthew Brees with Stevens Inc. Your line is now open.
spk05: Hey, good afternoon. A few questions for me. I first wanted to start with, you know, Mike, you had mentioned the tax rate this year. It sounds like it's going to be a step down in the 18% range. I'm assuming that lower range is partly because of the tax credit investments. So one, is that in fact correct? From what I've seen historically, when folks invest in the tax credits, there's usually some sort of expense or contract income item that flows through fees. If that's the case, could you just enlighten us as to what that is and how much, and is that included in the overall guidance you provided?
spk02: Sure. Great question, Matt. So, we anticipate our effective rate to be right around 18.7. In part, the rationale before I get to the renewable energy project there, Matt, is just the makeup of our revenue sources, if you will, just the changing over time as our revenues come down. Some of our tax exempt income is just a larger percentage, in part that's driving a lower tax rate right now. As we think about the renewable energy project, solar project, That, from an accounting perspective, we will account for that all within the income tax line item, so we do not anticipate that running through any of the operating expenses. I think the new accounting method out, the proportional amortization method that we're now allowed to use for those. So, I think it makes it ultimately a little bit cleaner from an overall income statement perspective, and that's our intent, just to run it through the income tax expense.
spk05: Yeah, completely agree with you there. The second thing I wanted to touch on, and I'm probably not going to get an exact answer here, but we'd love your thoughts. You know, as I think about what's unfolded for Camden during this higher rate environment, you've done pretty well on the deposit front with a, you know, less than 190 all-in cost deposits. But the thing that's held up the margin is loan yields have been kind of slow to reprice, and there's a good chunk of loans that are in lower yielding buckets, such as Resi. And so as we look at the entirety of the loan portfolio, How much is yielding on the lower end of the spectrum, call it 4% or below? And as you think about that bucket and repaying and flowing to higher yielding on maturity, how long is that going to take? What is the duration of some of the lower yielding paper on
spk02: It's a great question, Matt. I don't have probably a direct answer for you there, but I do think, I mean, we do have certainly a good chunk of our residential portfolio and some on the commercial side, certainly to your point that during, I think it was 21 and 22 in particular, we were adding quite a bit into the resi portfolio and onto our book at coupons in the three, three and a half, call it. I do think it'll take some time, certainly, for those from those coupons to make their way off or just normal cash flow off. So we will see a bit of compression there, I do think, from the long term in terms of those asset yields on the resi side picking up. We are, in terms of the residential mortgages, we are trying to be very prudent in terms of what we put on now in terms of rates. rates, as you know, with just a 10-year dropping recently, we're seeing a lot of competitive pricing in the low sixes. Right now, we're not there from a pricing perspective on the resi side, but certainly something of an overall pressure and market perspective that is something that we're dealing with at the moment. I don't know if I answered your question there directly, Matt, but I don't have the duration piece right in front of me at the moment.
spk05: Well, I'll try it another way. You know, there is some optimism there as we get to the back half of the year and rate cuts, and assuming that continues into 2025. You know, when do you think, you know, Canada can get back to earning an above 1% ROA that we're all kind of used to?
spk02: Yeah, I think it's, you know, we anticipate the back half of the year, we're going to see some level of margin expansion, even, and I think I made a comment to this earlier, you know, set Fed rate cuts aside. We have $100 million of derivatives today on the commercial real estate book that will be falling off that has been a drag. We anticipate that alone will be somewhere in the neighborhood of six to eight basis point to margin pickup. Then you, you know, couple that with just our CD repricing. I think 90, you know, over 90% of our book CDs reprices over the next year. So we'll get some benefit there as those continue to reprice and Certainly we anticipate those repricing down. And then just coupled with the continued investment and cash flow going into higher asset yields and really leveraging our investment book as well. So we do anticipate our margin picking up. So probably when we think about an ROA north of 1%, we're probably looking into next year realistically. But I think over the course of the year, we're making strides in the right direction to get back there.
spk05: Got it. Okay. Simon, just a couple more for you, if you don't mind. First of all, welcome. As you've kind of spent time with all the various business lines, just curious, where do you see the greatest potential for change within Camden? And what opportunities or geographies are there that Camden is currently not involved in today but could be soon?
spk00: Yeah, thanks for the question, Matt. Really appreciate it. You know, I think, look, I think from a growth perspective, you know, I think about it in a couple of ways. I think, you know, the existing footprint, I think, offers continued opportunities to deepen our relationships in the mid-coast and down east markets. We have obviously high share in those markets, but I think great opportunities to continue to strengthen. I see particular opportunities around business banking. I think the wealth business as well is a strong business for us, and I think we're looking to continue that. strength. I think there's obviously new other markets as well. We have less market share, lower market share in the southern end, Portland, Portsmouth markets, and some of the markets on the southern end, I think, offer great opportunities for us to continue to develop relationships. We have a strong commercial franchise, as you know, that operates in those markets. And, you know, I think we can continue to build out there. And again, along the, you know, the commercial strength that we have and the relationships we have and look to deepen those relationships and particularly on the wealth side. Home equity is another business that interests us and, you know, I think is a nice component of our residential business. And I think that's another area we're looking at. But, you know, I'm excited by the footprint. It's, you know, it's got some nice, you know, opportunities to continue to grow. And, you know, one thing I've just been struck with in my meeting with colleagues and customers is just the tremendous, you partnership that our colleagues, our stakeholders have, and the relationships they have in the community. And I think that's a great foundation for us to build on.
spk05: I appreciate that. Just the last one is I would love your perspective on M&A. Historically, Camden, if you look back over the last 20, 25 years, is one kind of a 50-50 or 60-40 mix between organic growth and M&A to drive overall balance sheet growth and That's probably an older metric at this point, but I think it still holds true with the long term. You know, what are your thoughts on M&A? And is that something that will be part of the repertoire here going forward?
spk00: Yeah, thanks, Matt. And, you know, the strength of our position, you know, obviously affords us to be opportunistic first with regard to M&A. But at the same time, you know, I don't think we have feel pressure to do a deal unless it makes sense financially. And I think it's always going to be the right deal. We're not going to chase anything over a hill. And we have plenty of organic opportunities to grow. We've got a great team and great markets, and we see tremendous opportunity there. But if the right opportunity came along, we'll be opportunistic, and that's certainly, I think, part of the playbook.
spk05: Understood.
spk00: That's all I had.
spk05: I know it's a little long-winded, but I appreciate you taking all my questions. Thank you.
spk03: We have no further questions registered, so this concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Simon for closing remarks.
spk00: Thanks a lot, and I just want to thank you all for your time today and, of course, your interest in Camden National Corporation. We wish you all have a great rest of your day. Thanks for joining.
spk03: That concludes today's call. Thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your line.
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