speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

hello and thank you for standing by and welcome to today's coca-cola euro pacific partners q3 trading update 2025 conference call at this time all participants are in a listen-only mode after the speaker's remarks there will be a question and answer session to ask a question during the session you will need to press star 1 and 1 on your telephone i must advise you that this conference call is being recorded today I would now like to hand the conference over to Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Strategy, Sarah Willett. Please go ahead, Sarah.

speaker
Sarah Willett
Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Strategy

Hello. Thank you all for joining us today. I'm here with Damien Gamble, our CEO and our CFO, Ed Walker. Before we begin with our opening remarks on our third quarter trading update, a reminder of our cautionary statements. This call will contain forward-looking management comments and other statements reflecting our outlook. These comments should be considered in conjunction with the cautionary language contained in today's release, as well as the detailed cautionary statements found in reports filed with the UK, US, Dutch, and Spanish authorities. A copy of this information is available on our website at www.cocacolaep.com. Prepared remarks will be made by Damien. We will then turn the call over to your questions. And less otherwise stated, metrics presented today will be on a comparable and effect-neutral basis throughout. Year-to-date numbers will also be presented on an adjusted, comparable basis, thus reflecting the results of CCP and our Australia, Pacific, and Southeast Asia business unit, APS, as if the Cocoa Philippines transaction had occurred at the beginning of last year, rather than in February when the acquisition completed. Following the call, a full transcript will be made available as soon as possible on our website. I will now turn the call over to our CEO, Damian.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Thank you, Sarah, and many thanks to everybody for joining us today. Before I look at Q3 in more detail, I just wanted to take a moment to stand back and reflect on the performance year today. It's been another solid year for CCEP. We are reaffirming our full year guidance, reflecting the strength and resilience of our business. So firstly, I'd just like to do a huge call out to the 41,000 colleagues at CCEP who make this business great every single day. And as always, we continue to be supported by our strongly aligned relationships with our brand partners and our customers. So we've delivered another quarter of volume growth in Europe, despite softer consumer demand, and we continue to drive underlying growth in APS. The NARTD category is profitable and growing, not only up by value, up around 6% this year, but also, and more importantly, by volume. Not a dynamic we're seeing across other FMCG categories. And CCEP are winning, leading the way in creating value for our customers and growing share ahead of the market. Our focus on revenue and margin growth management continues to support solid progression in revenue per unit case, while balancing premiumization with affordability for our consumers. As you know, we've had some challenges this year, which we continue to navigate. These include some one-offs, such as the portfolio changes in Australia and Spain with Suntory and Neste, and also the challenge from softer consumer demand in a number of markets like Germany and Indonesia. Absent the one-off headwinds, revenue today would have been growing at a level more in line with our midterm revenue objectives. So now just touching on market share, our share overall has continued to grow. This reflects consistent share growth in the Philippines and the performance of Monster, which has grown share by just under 200 basis points this year. We have, however, seen pockets of pressure in the home channel in parts of Europe over the past couple of quarters. Our focus remains on driving profitable growth with our customers while ensuring that we continue to prioritize consumer value for money. We've continued to see good progress in away from home, which is not well represented in the needs and share data. In GB, for instance, which is having a standout year, we've had great success in retaining key accounts and winning new business in off and on-premise, across QSO, sandwich and coffee shops, bars, restaurants, and sporting venues, all of which has contributed to growing away from home in terms of share and volumes, which have grown in Europe in every quarter this year. Our efficiency and productivity programs remain firmly on track, delivering slightly earlier than planned. So together with our top-line performance, we are driving strong and profitable cash generation, supporting record investment in future growth, a growing dividend, and ongoing share buybacks. Our great brands, great execution, and great people continue to drive the delivery of our clear and sustainable long-term strategy. So there's much to feel good about today. Turning now to Q3, it's been another solid period with volumes and revenue growing ahead of half one, with volumes up 0.4% and revenue up 3.2%. This has been supported by strong brand performances across the portfolio, driven by great activation, execution, and some good innovation. Coke Zero grew 6.3% in the period, supported by Star Wars collaboration and the kickoff of the new exciting relationship with the English Premier League. We also saw further improvement in Diet Coke, broadly flat, with growth in GB reflecting the continued success of the This is My Taste campaign fronted by actor Jamie Dornan. Overall, Coke trademark volumes were flat, following lower sales of Coke Original Taste. This reflects the Philippines' flooding impact, the increase in the rate of French sugar tax, and some consumer softness, particularly in Germany. In flavour, Fanta has seen new icons of horror campaign with characters including Chucky, Megan and the Grabber adorning bottles and cans in the run-up to Halloween last week. Elsewhere in flavours, Sprite performed well at 4.2%, supported by new QSO listings in France and in GB with new limited edition Green Apple X. Energy has continued its excellent performance driven by Monster. We delivered volume growth of 24% during the quarter and 18% for the year to date. Recent innovation, in particular Lando Norris Ultra, the strongest ever energy launch in Europe, together with the enduring strength of our green and white Ultra Zero, have contributed to this performance. Also supported by our ongoing cooler rollout, which is driving increased distribution. In ready-to-drink tea, although the transition in Iberia from Nest Tea represents a volume headwind this year, great execution from our Spanish colleagues has supported us to head a plan with Fuse Tea strengthening its leadership of the category. The sports category also continues to grow, driven by Aquarius and Surveying also recently introduced Body Armor to our customers in the whole channel with listings and convenience coming from Q4. And finally, we continue to grow our share of the ARTD category. The only alcohol segment currently in growth, up around 8% in value terms this year, Jack Daniels and Coke is the number one ARTD, SKU, and GB in Spain, with Bacardi and Coke and Absolute and Sprite continuing to drive overall share gains. Now quickly, just turning to our performance across the markets. We had a strong start to the quarter in July, as we highlighted in our half-moon results, supported by more favorable weather in Europe. We continued to see the impact of July's flooding in Philippines in August, and across the group, August was more mixed from a consumer's perspective, with that continuing into September. This aside, in Europe, we delivered another solid quarter of volume growth, with volumes of 0.9%, supported by continued growth in away-from-home and a great performance, as I mentioned, in GB. Our revenue was up 3.2%, supported by growth in revenue per case of 2.7%, slightly lower than the previous quarter, reflecting an earlier price increase in GB. Although the NARTD category continues to grow strongly, it remains as competitive as ever, notably in Germany where we've seen a softening in demand as affordability and value for money become increasingly relevant driver for more consumers. It remains as important as ever that we have The right packs at the right price points across all of our channels. We continue to prioritize profitable volume growth, maintaining the optimal balance of promotions across portfolio, but with more focus on mechanics and messaging to visibly emphasize value to our consumers. In GB, for example, two free cans with an eight can multi-pack. In Spain, a four for three on 1.25 liter bottles. Or in Germany, a buy 12, get two free on our one liter crate are all examples of how we continue to offer the right value proposition for our consumers. Our results in APS for Q3 reflect the impact of some of those one-off events, namely flooding in the Philippines, and as we talked about earlier, the exit of our Suntory alcohol distribution in Australia, with distribution in New Zealand due to finish in December. APS volumes for the quarter were down 0.6% with revenue broadly flat. Excluding the Centauri impact, performance in Australia was strong with volumes and revenue in Australia Pacific overall growing mid single digits and high single digits respectively. This is supported by continued strong growth in our Papua New Guinea business. During Q3, we agreed a new multi-year agreement with Bacardi Martini, which from this week sees us start the distribution of the Bacardi portfolio of premium spirits and ready-to-drink brands in Australia, including, of course, Bacardi and Coca-Cola, the latest addition to our ARTD portfolio down under. Q3 volumes in the Philippines were held back by the floods, which also disrupted distribution in August, with September returning to growth. In Indonesia, we've seen the rate of decline ease versus Q2, but volumes continue to reflect a weaker consumer and macroeconomic backdrop. Our transformation of the route to market continues to progress the plan and is expected to complete by the end of this year. This will strengthen our presence and execution in the market, and we will be fit for the future. Touching now on our investments across CCEP to support our long-term growth. During Q3, we opened our largest canning line to date at our site in Queensland, a 65 million euro investment to support the ever-growing demand for Monster, producing 120,000 cans per hour. We also began to build our third aseptic line at our plant in Dunkirk to cater for the growing demand for brands like Powerade and Fuse Tea, while also breaking ground in the Philippines on one of our largest infrastructure investments to date, the new plant in Tarlac, just outside Manila. And our investment in technology saw the introduction to New Zealand of the latest innovation in cold drink equipment, Coke and Go, a new generation of smart coolers which uses AI and image recognition to offer a faster, more convenient experience to our consumers. Delivering $2.3 billion in revenue last year, we're continuing to invest in our B2B portal, MyCCEP, making it even easier for our 260,000 registered customers to do business with us. The portal is now available as a convenient app for customers in Germany, with other markets to follow over the coming months. Revenue through our portal continues to grow ahead of our overall top line. And finally, our SAP rollout of S4 HANA, a key foundation for future top line and productivity gains, is progressing as expected, with the first deployment in Germany running smoothly. I would now like to return to what I said at the beginning. We are reaffirming our full year guidance, which is in line with existing market expectations. We are very pleased to be declaring a second half dividend of €1.25 per share, which together with our first half dividend of 79 cents, maintains an annualized payout ratio of approximately 50%. And the current 1 billion share buyback program will conclude in December. We will provide a further update alongside our full year 2025 results in February. Looking ahead, I'm proud of the strength and resilience of CCP, and I've continued confidence in our ability to deliver. The fundamentals and opportunities for our business are strong, and we operate in the resilient and innovative consumer categories, which are healthy and are growing. We continue to grow our top line, supported by share gains, and we see sequential periods of volume growth in Europe and underlying growth in APS, supported by unmatched capabilities in revenue and margin growth management. While the global macroeconomic environment remains volatile, and we're likely to see challenging consumer conditions persist, we will start to cycle some of this year's headwinds, particularly during the second half as we annualize the Centauri exit in Australia. We're investing more than ever in our key capabilities, accelerating productivity through technology and digital, supported by the strength of our cash generation, which also underpins our ability to sustainably grow returns to our shareholders. We therefore remain very confident that we have the right strategy done sustainably to deliver on our mid-term growth objectives. Again, thank you for your time today. And Ed and I would now be very happy to take your questions. And I'll hand the call back over to you, operator. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. As a reminder, we kindly request only one question per analyst. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 and 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star 1 and 1 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A queue.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

This will only take a few moments.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our first question comes from the line of Matt Ford from BNP. Please go ahead. The line is open.

speaker
Matt Ford
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Thank you. Afternoon, all. My question is on the consumer affordability point that you mentioned, Damien. I think you mentioned that sequentially kind of throughout the quarter, you were noticing in a few markets things becoming a little bit more challenging. I'd just like to get your thoughts on I suppose, how things have developed in October across Europe and across your markets. And kind of looking forward into the rest of the quarter and into 2026, how would you say this increased consumer pressure is likely to affect your strategy in terms of your prioritization of volumes, perhaps at the expense of price mixes, as you've you know, look to promote a bit more. Yeah, just to get your sense on the outlook for top line growth in Europe going into 26, given the environment. Thank you.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Yeah, thanks, Matt. So, you know, I would say it's been pretty consistent now for a number of quarters, but particularly in markets in Europe that consumers are responding positively to a lot of our value pricing and communication. I think what's interesting is, in parallel, we have seen a way from home return to growth. So I think that's a good sign across our markets. As we look into next year, you know, I think we're assuming that, you know, that consumer sentiment will remain pretty consistent. I don't see it getting any worse. I don't see our pricing strategy changing. We'll continue to take price. I think that's an important part of that balanced growth. We will see volume growth next year as well as we look at our brand and pack price strategy. But I think overall, I think that value price point management will remain important into 2026. But we'll give a bit more color obviously at full year results time on our guidance for next year. But I would expect us to keep our balanced growth outlook for Europe, which was typically price, volume, and maybe even a bit more mixed next year as we see away from home continuing to strengthen.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Great, thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Edward Mundy from Jefferies.

speaker
Edward Mundy
Analyst, Jefferies

Afternoon, Jamie, Ed and Sarah. So just to build on that same theme, I think you're highlighting it's not necessarily a significantly weaker consumer environment. But just to broaden it, it's not the first time we've seen a soft environment with Europe. I'd love to sort of get your perspective, Damien, on how your business today is set up to better able to navigate a potentially softer environment, given some of your digital tools, your RGM investments, execution, and also your category mix with energy bigger.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Yeah, thanks, Ed. So I think as you've seen, we have been able to grow volume and revenue in this current environment. And we're obviously confident that'll continue going into next year. What gives us that confidence are a number of the capabilities you called out. I think one, we have invested smartly, I believe, in good capabilities around revenue and margin growth management. That's allowing us to hit the price points that resonate with consumers, but continue to deliver value for our shareholders as and for our customers. So that PAC pricing architecture, I think, remains a core strength of CCEP. As we've talked about before, you know, if you visit any of our customers, you'll see a wide range of SKUs covering a lot of different price points. Some offer value. We still have a lot of SKUs that offer premiumization, whether that's mini cans or glass. So, you know, we still have a lot of consumers out there who are quite happy to pay a little bit more for convenience or for a packaging premium so you know that gives us confidence in that revenue delivery our portfolio is evolving you know so as we look at you know obviously aortd is a relatively new category for us but that comes on top of a our great soft drinks business it also comes on top of a very dynamic energy portfolio and then you know we're also looking to the future with brands like body armor being launched in spain you know and we'll continue to look at you know can we drive a bigger sports portfolio through PowerAid, really on the back of what we've learned from that great business in Australia. So definitely price packaging architecture, the data and analytics around how consumers are responding to that will be key. A broader portfolio. So a lot of those categories I talked about, our share position is a lot lower than it is, for example, in our cola franchise. So that's incremental growth. And then, you know, fundamentally, we see the category growing. So NARTD, as I called out, is a growth category. So, you know, we're very well positioned in a category that's growing anyway. So participating in that and taking more share, I think, is definitely part of our plan for 2026. And we'll continue to work with the Coca-Cola Company and Monster on more innovation. And I think, you know, we've seen that being a key driver about recruiting new consumers, but also growing the category. Across that balance, I feel pretty good about our mid-term revenue guidance. And then on top of that, I talked a little bit about my prepared remarks to investment. So in parallel, we are investing a lot into this business, both in terms of capital and in technology. We talked about it on a previous call. This will be a record year for cooler placements. And that type of investment will deliver growth multi-year going forward. And we see the same investment levels as we look into 2026. So a combination of all that, Ed, certainly gives me confidence. I'd also say that we continue to see positive signs coming out of Diet Coke in GB. I know we've talked about that before together. That has been a challenge on our numbers, particularly out of GB. So it's great to see that brand responding to the investment we've made and the focus we've given it. And then also, you know, clearly in APS, we've had a tough quarter in the Philippines, but that business continues to get stronger. And Indonesia, while it's not where I'd like it to be, clearly, you know, we are starting to see some early signs of that business at least getting to a more normalized performance level, which gives us a bit more confidence as we look into 26. So long answer to your question, but it covers a lot, I think. Thanks, Ed.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Andrea Pistacci from Bank of America.

speaker
Andrea Pistacci
Analyst, Bank of America

Yes. Hi, Damien, Ed, Sarah. Thanks for the question. I just wanted to follow up actually on Indonesia, which you've just touched on. As you said, it improved in the quarter, but still declining high single digit. So could you talk a bit more about, I mean, the drivers here of the improvement? I mean, you're You're implementing the turnaround plan and the distribution changes should be complete now by year end. Is the improvement coming on the sparkling part mainly and tea still difficult? And you're confident of being able to finally bring Indonesia back into growth next year? Thank you.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Thanks. I mean, it's a business we're extremely passionate about at CCP. And it's a fantastic business, but it's clearly gone through number of challenges. So in terms of what we're in control of, very happy with our route to market transition. That's just finalizing now. So that does set us up with a much better execution route to market, but also a more efficient cost base going into the future. So that was a change that we had to make and now it's complete and that's gone really well. From a growth perspective, we are seeing our sparkling portfolio doing a lot better. It's all relative, but it is doing better. So to your point, our drag and our performance is really on the tea portfolio. Within that, we are seeing progress on our flavor tea. So that's performing well. It's really on our kind of more standard black tea proposition, regular tea that we haven't quite found the price point or the product that we need to. So that's work in progress. So I'd expect as we look into 2026, certainly a better performance on sparkling, led by brand Coke and Fanta in particular. We've Ramadan coming early in the year, so that will be a great start to the year for us in Indonesia. We know that's a period that excites our consumers, but also our customers. And I'm really pleased that's coming early because I think it will really allow that new to flourish in what is a key selling period. And we're continuing to work with the co-company on a more Indonesian-centric consumer marketing campaign, and I think that's definitely paying off. So more work to do on tea, absolutely. Early days on sparkling, but some of those macroeconomic headwinds are starting to, I would say, moderate a bit, and we're certainly seeing that in our performance as we come into the end of the year. But we will be talking about Indonesia and its opportunity for quite a while yet to come, so Yeah, happy that we're making the changes, but clearly until we get back into that mid-single-digit revenue growth, we still have a lot of work to do in Indonesia.

speaker
Ed Walker
CFO

Yeah, and maybe just to add, I mean, while it's obviously frustrating given the long-term opportunity and all the transformation we're doing, I mean, as you all know, it's not material to CCP from a profit perspective, but we'll continue to do the right things for the long term to unlock that opportunity. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Eric Sirota from Morgan Stanley.

speaker
Eric Sirota
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great, thank you and good morning, good afternoon. I'm hoping you could expand a little bit on the Europe away from home trends. I know you pointed to share gains, but more broadly we've been seeing pretty strong away from home trends or positive away from home trends in Europe this year, at the same time, kind of building consumer pressures and weaker, you know, weakening at home trends. So I guess, how do you square the two? You know, what's your read into the consumer? There's their consumer bifurcation between high end and low end or, or middle to high end and low end? Or do you largely attribute this to your execution and share gains? Thanks.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Thanks, Eric. I mean, I think we have to talk about the comps as well. So not that that's going to help me, but I mean, clearly we have had previously a number of quarters where we didn't see growth in away from home. So mathematically, that helps. Beyond that, though, we are seeing a number of factors. You know, one, the category NARTD generally is in very good health and away from home. I mean, people are drinking more NARTD beverages when they're out and about. We've seen, you know, good customer wins supporting air growth in the channel. We've also seen customers responding, I think, even more to some of those affordability challenges. So you're seeing a lot more value deals, menu deals, early bird deals across Europe. And clearly we participate in that with our customers. So that's helping. So, you know, and obviously we did benefit from some good weather, particularly in Northern Europe. And that's always a key driver for our away from home business. So, you know, our cooler placements, which I talked to, our focus on incidents is also helping. I mean, that's a longer term impact on our growth. But I think overall, the combination of cycling a number of quarters where we weren't growing and we're away from home was under pressure. Very good customer strategies around value and I would say instance driving, which we participate in. And then clearly our execution capability on the back of our coolers is supporting growth. So it's great to see that coming back. I mean, it's a big part of our business. It's a big part of our profit. It remains a priority for us to do better in terms of execution. But obviously, as it grows, we continue to see that as a mixed benefit in our business. It's not one story across Europe. I would say particularly GB is a standout. On the other side of the equation, Germany, we haven't seen the same strength in away from home there. So I would say it's not a one-size-fits-all across Europe. We've seen really strong performances in GB. but a much tougher consumer environment in Germany. And that's something that we continue to focus on.

speaker
Eric Sirota
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Lauren Lieberman from Barclays.

speaker
Lauren Lieberman
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Thanks. Good morning. I want to talk a little bit about Trademark Hook. So really encouraging signs on Diet Coke moving to flat and with growth in GB, called out Australia being better too. So I wanted to talk, I guess, about Diet Coke trend line, other key markets to kind of, and what do you, you know, do you think that business can get back into mid single digit growth? Are there other markets to kind of add to the pile that can be material? Zero sugar also accelerated this year. As I look back at all the releases this morning and Trendline last year was like kind of low single digits, and this year you're more solidly in mid-singles. So maybe talk a little bit about what supported that acceleration specific around execution or anything that you've been doing differently to support the acceleration in zero sugar. Thanks.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Thanks, Lauren. Yeah, so maybe I'll start with your last point around zero sugar. So really happy with the growth we've seen this year. I think that's on the back of a number of initiatives. I think one, obviously the product is fantastic. It tastes great. So continuing to remind our consumers that compared to a number of years ago, the taste penalty from moving out of a classic into a zero is really gone. So I think taste is still a key driver of our category and something we never take for granted. I think on the back of that, a number of the initiatives I talked to earlier, particularly around our promo strategy, our pack pricing, flavor innovation has all really benefited Zero Sugar. And clearly it's our lead brand as we look at our cooler rollout. So I still think we have more to do. I think we could grow faster on Coke Zero Sugar, to be honest. So while we're having a great year, I'm still somewhat discontent that we could do more. It's the fastest growing segment within soft drinks. And it's an area that I think we can and should take more share in. So While we're happy, I think there is honestly a bit more work to do in zero sugar as we move into 2026. As I look to Diet Coke, again, it's mainly a GB story at the moment, and Australia where there are two biggest markets. I think the dedicated campaigns are definitely working. I think we clearly see that as a brand that if you support it independently, it will respond, and we've got a very loyal user base. It's a little bit early to think about other markets yet, but clearly what is on our mind is if that dual strategy within the light cola segment really delivers, it's an obvious question to think about what's it mean for Coke Light in Belgium or in France or in other markets. That's probably a conversation that we'll come back to in the middle of next year. Our primary focus now is to get Diet Coke back into growth in GB. And then I think we would kind of guide to what that growth would look like going forward. But clearly the first milestone is to get it into growth. When you look at Coke Trademark overall, I think a couple of challenges this year have been one in Germany where we've seen promotional pricing move up and that's clearly impacted Coke Classic. We've seen The Tacx in France, which is quite a significant price hike. And then clearly Coke Classic is by far and away our biggest brand in the Philippines. So if the Philippines has got any challenges, you really see it reflected in Coke original taste. So some of those are one-offs. Clearly some of the pricing moves we will look at as we move into 26. But overall, pleased with Diet Coke, early days. Really pleased with Zero Sugar, but I'm a little bit discontented. I think we should be growing a little bit faster. And, you know, as we talked about previously, I'm very excited with the Coke company that we're bringing back flavor innovation on Coke Original Taste next year. And I think that's going to be really exciting for what is still our biggest brand.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Nadine Sarwat from Bernstein.

speaker
Nadine Sarwat
Analyst, Bernstein

Hi, guys. Thank you for taking my question, and good afternoon. So in the release and so far on the call, the weaker consumer sentiment in Europe is a key topic of discussion. Can you share a little bit of how that is manifesting itself by different demographics, so, you know, whether that's age or income, to give us a flavor of where some of those pressure points are greatest? And then related to that, which specific parts might have gotten better or worse compared to last quarter? Thank you.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Yeah, thanks, Nadine. So, as I mentioned earlier, I mean, when you look at the size of the category and you look at our pricing strategy across it, you know, I would say there's, you know, many parts of our business, you know, continue to do really well, whether that's, you know, our single serve, our can business is performing really well, you know, away from home is coming back, where we've really seen more of the pressure has been on the more value-orientated consumers. So, lower income and typically the package where that's kind of come under the most pressures are large PT. So in Europe that's really around your 1.5 litre to 2 litre and that's where we definitely see the consumer one responding more to value but two also not so much decreasing frequency but you know, the amount of product they buy, and that's really what we've been trying to address with some of that promo strategy. So it's not a story across all packs. A lot of our packaging are going ahead. It's really on that large PET, and it's really probably, yeah, as I said, lower down, I think, at the consumer, more in the lower socioeconomic areas that we see more of the pressure.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Understood, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Charlie Higgs from Rothschild and Co. Redburn.

speaker
Charlie Higgs
Analyst, Rothschild & Co. Redburn

Yeah, hi, Damien, Ed. Hope you're both well. I've got a question on energy drinks, please, which despite all the talk of weak consumer actually accelerated to 24% volume growth in the quarter, which is pretty remarkable. Are you able to give me color on the contribution of innovations to that growth versus core or a bit more color on what were the key countries that were driving that growth and perhaps within it, how Predator in the Philippines has been performing since you changed the brand proposition over there? Thank you.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Yeah, so Charlie, as you call it, standout category and obviously Monster standout brand in our performance category. Maybe touching on the Philippines, it's still very early days for us there. So we're excited about the opportunity of the energy category. It's quite relevant already in the Philippines. We're new into it. So certainly more to come on our predator proposition. We've made some changes around pricing there recently. So as I said, early days. Back in Europe and also in Australia and New Zealand, the growth in energy has been really strong. I think it's on the back of innovation and on our core. So I think, you know, we look at both, obviously, at a lot of detail. So innovation is key to the category, whether it's Lambda, whether it's new flavor innovation. But, you know, we do see a balanced growth between innovation and core, and we think that's important. So, you know, Monster Green, Monster Ultra continue to perform really strongly. Then you overlay that with innovation, and I think that's where you get to that, you know, mid-teen growth in the mid-term that we've talked to. Yeah, so I think it's also, you know, something that we're excited about going into next year. I think I mentioned on our half-year call, we had a good session with the Monster Group in Paris recently where we looked at two years out innovation. So we see a very strong pipeline. That gives us confidence. And then on the back of that, we see a stronger growth and away from home where we continue to have a big opportunity to drive distribution and If you look at our monster distribution away from home, it's a massive opportunity for us to do better there. Our cooler placements will help that, and that is supporting the growth. But, you know, there's a long runway ahead of us, particularly in away from home distribution on the monster and on the energy category. Yeah, so very exciting. And, you know, we see that continuing into 26, Charlie.

speaker
Charlie Higgs
Analyst, Rothschild & Co. Redburn

Great. Thanks, Damien.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Sanjit Alshula from UBS.

speaker
Sanjit Alshula
Analyst, UBS

Hey, afternoon, Damian, Ed, and Sarah. Just coming back to top line, so it feels like this year you're going to be landing closer to 3% organic sales growth. Next year, you've got another half year of the Suntory exit in Australia, a full year in New Zealand. Is it fair to say those technical headwinds make it difficult for you to hit 4% next year, even if Europe volumes can grow? Thanks.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Thanks, Angie. Well, we're not giving guidance today for next year yet. But clearly, there are some elements that will continue into next year. There are also some elements that will move out, like tea in Spain. So we'll give a bit more colour on 26 guidance when we get to our full year results. But clearly, we're still very comfortable with the 4% midterm guidance. And I think that reflects you know, a midterm view as some of those technical elements go away, but also as we add in, you know, a lot more innovation and we continue to see the category to grow. So I'll give a bit more color on exactly what it means in 26 as we factor in those technical elements. As I made, you know, the point on the call, if you kind of take those out, clearly we're pretty much bang in line with that 4% guidance. So we still feel very confident about that as a midterm. Obviously, we'll be as happy as you guys will when we cycle out of some of these one-offs because I certainly don't like referencing them so often, but they are a real factor. But when you take them out, you do see us pretty much around that 4% level. And then there's a couple of elements that are very much in our control. One is Obviously, the Philippines business has been impacted in a quarter. We're seeing that returning to normal levels of growth. And we talked a little bit about Indonesia, which from a profit perspective, as Ed said, isn't that material. But clearly on a growth level, you know, it does have an impact. And clearly that's something we see getting better. So, yeah, probably a few puts and takes as we move into 26. But net-net pretty comfortable with that 4% as a midterm objective for the company.

speaker
Sanjit Alshula
Analyst, UBS

Got it. And how much of the Lost Beam or Centauri distribution in Australia are you able to offset with Bacardi, which is now coming online in Q4?

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Yeah, it's quite small. I mean, we're really building a new business there. And we're giving up a business that we spent, I suppose, 15, 16 years building. So, yeah, it's going to take a number of years for us to get back to a similar level of revenue, that's for sure. And, you know, but ultimately, you know, we are building out a new portfolio and we feel good about it. But, yeah, it's definitely not going to cover it, Sanjit, in the near term. That's for sure. Now, my Australian colleagues might prove me wrong, but let's see. But I think, you know, the Beam business is a very strong portfolio that we've moved out of. But we're replacing it with great brands, but it will take time.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Got it. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our last question for today comes from the line of Robert Ottenstein from Evercore ISI.

speaker
Robert Ottenstein
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Great, thank you very much. Not asking for specific guidance on 2026, but would love to get a sense of the kind of things that you're focused on on 2026. I think you probably are finishing up or have finished your discussions with the Coca-Cola company. So maybe if you give us an idea of two or three initiatives that you have aligned on, 426, kind of key things, whether it's innovation, RGM, or IT-related initiatives, and maybe touch on the World Cup and remind us traditionally, historically, how much of a factor that's been in a given year. Thank you very much.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Thanks, Robert. Well, you're quite correct. I'm not going to give guidance for 26. I'll give a little bit of color around your question, but obviously some of the elements we're working on, we want to keep close to ourselves. But ultimately, you mentioned one, clearly the World Cup is a great event for our brands. And we've already gone through a lot of planning with the co-company on how we make it. the best World Cup activation ever. A lot of our markets are participating. So that will definitely be a big part of our summer campaign. A lot of what we've been doing this year will continue into 2026. So that may sound a little bit boring, but clearly on the energy category, we have a pipeline of innovation that will continue. I talked about driving our distribution there. So that will continue into 2026. We'll benefit from our cooler placements in 25 and in 26 going forward, so that will help. And then on our priority brands, particularly around Diet Coke, we'll continue to support that in GB in Australia. I mentioned earlier with Lauren that's something we'll reflect on what's it mean for the markets probably as we move through 26. You'll see more flavor innovation on our sparkling category. You'll see a continued focus on Coke original taste flavor innovation. We've got Coke Zero Zero going out in a lot of our markets at the moment. We've benefited from that in 26. We've got more work to do in Fanta. So that's something we continue to focus on, not just on innovation, but on the core proposition. Yeah, so pretty full calendar, Robert. And I'd say quite balanced growth across our brands and our territories. Yeah, and obviously the investment and the changes we've made in 25 will benefit 26. and we're also looking at pricing as well, so clearly that will be part of our revenue story. Some of that's already gone in in September this year, so we feel good about that, and the balance will come in January. I might just pass it over to Ed to talk about a few other highlights.

speaker
Ed Walker
CFO

Yes, I think, Robert, from a P&L side as well, we'll continue with a number of the themes we've progressed in 2025, so it'll be another big year of productivity and transformation for CCP as we work towards that €350 million to €400 million target and another big year of investment, whether it's another significant increase in coolers in the market, making the most of all of these capacity investments we've done in a number of our regions over the last couple of years, and continuing to invest a lot in capabilities, whether it's in AI and a lot of the tools we talked about earlier in the call, in the R and MGM areas, or we'll see the first big go-lives of our S4 HANA suite through many of the markets, starting with Germany. So lots happening as well from a P&L and a productivity transformation perspective next year.

speaker
Robert Ottenstein
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. I would now like to hand the conference back over to Damian Gamill for his closing remarks. Damian, please go ahead.

speaker
Damien Gamble
CEO

Thank you, operator. And again, a big thank you to everybody for joining us today. As you've heard from myself and Ed, it's another solid year for CCEP and lots of opportunity as we look into 2026 and beyond. Really happy that we're reaffirming our full year guidance today. And clearly, you know, the next milestone, and I look forward to speaking to you again, is with our full year results in February. Yeah, and so with that, I'll close the call. And again, a big thank you for joining us. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

That concludes our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect.

Disclaimer

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