speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Good morning and welcome to the Cogent Communications Holding Second Quarter 2035 earnings conference call. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded and it will be available for replay at .cogentco.com. A transcript of this conference call will be posted in Cogent's website when it becomes available. Cogent's summary of financial and operational results attached to its press release can be downloadable from the Cogent website. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Dave Schaefer, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Cogent Communications Holding. Please go ahead.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Thank you and good morning everyone. Welcome to our second quarter 2025 earnings conference call. I'm Dave Schaefer, Cogent's Chief Executive Officer and with me on this morning's call is Ted Weed, our Chief Financial Officer. I'd like to take a moment to touch on some of the key milestones that we achieved As of the end of the quarter, we were offering wavelength services in 938 data centers at 10 gig, 100 gig, and 400 gig service levels. Materially, we also had reduced our provisioning intervals to approximately 30 days. Our wavelength revenues for the quarter were $9.1 million, a 150% increase on a year over year basis and a sequential increase of that revenue stream of 27%. As of the end of the quarter, we had sold wavelengths in 418 locations. We currently have a backlog and funnel of 4,687 wavelength opportunities. We do intend to capture 25% of the highly concentrated North American wavelength market. In the quarter, we completed two significant debt transactions that In April, we issued an additional $174.4 million of debt against our IPV4 securitizations at a rate of 6.646%, which was substantially below our initial In June, we issued $600 million of .5% secured notes that mature in 2032. This extended the maturity of our $500 million secured notes, which were coming due in May of 2026 and provided us an additional $100 million of liquidity. Our EBITDA increased sequentially by 11% to $48.5 million, and our EBITDA margin increased sequentially by 200 basis points to 19.7%. Our EBITDA as adjusted increased sequentially by 7% to $73.5 million, and our EBITDA margin as adjusted increased by 200 basis points sequentially to 29.8%. Our SG&A expenses declined sequentially by $5.6 million and a decline of 27% of our revenues to 25% Our IPV4 leasing revenues for the quarters increased sequentially by .3% to $15.3 million, and this represents a .1% increase on a -over-year basis. Our average revenue per IPV4 address leased in the quarter was $0.39, a 22% increase from the base at the beginning of last year. We have an inventory of a total of approximately 38 million IPV4 addresses. We have continued the reconfiguration of Sprint facilities and added them to our data center footprint. We currently have connected 1,675 third-party carrier-neutral data centers, as well as our total fleet of 187 coaching data centers. The coaching data centers have a installed base of 214 megawatts of available power. During the quarter, we purchased 230,000 shares of our stock for a price of $11.5 million and an average price of $50.18. So far this quarter, we have purchased an additional 95,000 shares, or $4.5 million, at an average price of $47.24. Our board has authorized an additional $100 million buyback program that will remain in place through December 31, 2026. We currently have a grand total of $106.4 million available to the company under its buyback program. Our Salesforce rep productivity significantly improved in the quarter to 4.8 installed orders per rep per month, from an average of 3.8 orders installed per rep per month in the previous quarter. After considering the impacts of the H.R. 1 tax bill, we are not expected to be a federal tax income taxpayer for at least the next five years. Our board decided to increase our dividend by another half a cent per share quarterly, from $1.01 per share per quarter to $1.01. This represents the 52nd consecutive sequential increase in our regular dividend and a 3% annual dividend growth rate. We anticipate our long-term average revenue growth to be between 6% and 8%. We expect our EBITDA as adjusted margins to expand by approximately 200 basis points annually. Our updated revenue and EBITDA guidance targets are meant to be multi-year targets and are not intended to be specific quarterly or annual guidance. We are nearing the end of the grooming of unprofitable and undesirable revenue that we had acquired in the sprint base. And as these contracts expire and continue to expire, we expect to return to positive top-line growth in mid Q3 of 2025. We remain focused on selling high margin on-net services. Our sequential revenue decline improved materially to $800,000 as compared to a sequential rate of revenue decline in the previous quarter of $5.2 million. With regard to our aggregate leverage, it has peaked at this point. We believe that our leverage on an LTM basis will continue to improve. Our leverage inclusive of the payments from T-Mobile under the IP transit agreement and the net present value of those of $244.8 million should be treated as a cash receivable in calculating our net leverage and represented both on a short-term and long-term basis. Our gross debt is adjusted for the amounts due from T-Mobile on a gross basis with .74% at the end of the quarter and .61% at the end of Q2. As I stated, we expect these numbers to decline sequentially from this point forward. Now I'd like to turn it over to Taz and let him read our harbor language and provide some additional detail on the operating performance in the quarter.

speaker
Ted Weed
Chief Financial Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Thank you, Dave, and good morning to everyone. This earnings conference will call on statements. These forward-looking statements are based upon our current intent, belief, and expectations. These forward-looking statements and all other statements that may be made on this call that are not historical facts are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially. Please refer to our SEC filings for more information on the factors that could cause actual results to differ. Cogent undertakes no obligation to update or revise our forward-looking statements. If we use non-GAAP financial measures during this call, you will find these reconcile to the corresponding GAAP measurement in our earnings releases that are listed on our website at Cogentco.com. Summary of our results. Our revenue for the quarter was $246.2 million, sequential decline of $800,000. Our EBITDA as adjusted was $73.5 million for the quarter. That was an increase of $4.5 million. And our EBITDA as adjusted margin increased $2.5 million. Our EBITDA as adjusted includes payments under our IP transit agreement with T-Mobile, which is $25 million a quarter at this point. This quarter we received the three monthly payments totaling $25 million and every payment has been made on time. And it was the same amount last quarter, $25 million. Last quarter of last year's second quarter, we received $66.7 million as the payments ramped down to $25 million a quarter and they will continue for 29 monthly payments until November of 2027. There are further cash payments related to lease obligations that we will receive from T-Mobile that we assume that closing that will total at least $28 million. This $28 million is to be paid to us for equal payments from December 27 to March 28. We analyze our revenues based upon network connection type, on-net, off-net, wavelength, and non-core. And we also analyze our revenues based upon customer type. We have three types, net-centric, corporate, and enterprise. Our corporate business represented .3% of our quarter, which was a decrease by .8% year over year and .5% sequentially. These decreases in our corporate revenue are primarily due to the continued growing of low-margin, off-net customer connections and the elimination of non-core products that we acquired. Our net-centric business continues to benefit from the growth in video traffic, activity related to artificial intelligence, streaming, and wavelength sales. Our net-centric business represented .5% of our revenues this quarter, increased by .8% year over year and sequentially by 5.1%. Our enterprise business represented .2% of our revenues this quarter. That was a decrease of .9% year over year and sequentially by 8.8%, primarily due to the reduction in non-core and off-net enterprise revenues that we acquired in the sprint acquisition. On-net revenue, we serve our on-net customers in 3,529 on-net buildings. Our on-net revenue was $132.3 million for the quarter, a year over year decrease of 6%, but a sequential increase of $2.7 million or 2.1%. Our off-net revenue was $102.2 million for the quarter, a year over year decrease of 8.3%, and a sequential decrease of 4.8%. We serve our 26,239 off-net customers in 19,073 off-net buildings. Our off-net revenue results are impacted by the migration of certain off-net customers to on-net and the continued grooming and termination of low-margin off-net contracts mostly acquired from sprint. On pricing, our average price per megabit for our installed base decreased sequentially by 11% to 17 cents and decreased by 30% year over year. This is relatively consistent with historical trends. Our average price per megabit for our new customer contracts was 8 cents, a sequential price per megabit decrease of 21% and 34% year over year. ARPU. Our ARPUs for the quarter were as follows. Our on-net ARPU was 506, our off-net ARPU was 1267, our wavelength ARPU was 2163, and our IPV4 ARPU for addresses sold was 39 cents per address. Churn has been relatively constant. Our on-net unit monthly churn rate was 1.4%, the same as last quarter. Our off-net unit churn rate was 2.3%, slight increase from .2% last quarter. Traffic on our network for the quarter increased by 1% sequentially and by 9% year over year. Some comments on foreign exchange. Our revenue earned outside of the United States reported in U.S. dollars, about 19% of our revenues this quarter. The average Euro to USD rate so far this quarter, so for the third quarter, is 117 and the Canadian dollar 73 cents. Should these average foreign exchange rates remain at the current levels for the remainder of this quarter, we estimate that the FX conversion impact on sequential revenues would be about a 1 million positive and year over year about 2 million positive. We believe that our revenue and customer base is not highly concentrated and our top 25 customers represent 17% of our revenues this quarter, essentially the same as last quarter. Some comments on capex and payments on capital leases. Our capex declined by 1.9 million sequentially and was 56.2 million this quarter. Our principal payments on capital leases slightly increased by half a million sequentially and were 8.5 million this quarter. We are continuing our network integration of the former sprint network and legacy cogent network into a unified network and converting former sprint switch sites into data centers. This program required capital spending from the first half of 2025, similar to the last half of 2024, and then our capital spending is expected to decline in the second half of this year. Our capital spending for the first half of 2025 was 114.3 million and for the fourth quarter was 105.3 million. Our principal payments on capital leases for the first half was 156.7 million. That included a buyout of an uneconomic lease for 114.6 million at a 12% discount. Comments on debt and debt ratios. Our total gross debt at par, including our 605.2 million, the finance lease obligations, was 2.3 billion at quarter end and our net debt, total net of our cash and our 244.8 million due from T-Mobile was 1.8 billion. Our leverage ratio as calculated under our more restrictive 2027 unsecured 750 million notes was 6.82 and our secured leverage ratio was 4.2 and our fixed coverage ratio was 2.43. Our leverage ratio as calculated under our newly issued 2032 secured 600 million notes indenture was 5.05, secured leverage ratio was 3.12, and fixed coverage was 3.27. The definition of consolidated cash flow under our 600 million secured notes that we issued this quarter includes cash payments under the IP transit services agreement with T-Mobile and these payments were 100 million for the last trailing 12 months. Lastly, our day sales was 31 days rather at quarter end, slight increase from 29 days last quarter due to the timing of cash receipts. Our bad debt expense was significantly less than 1% of revenues for the quarter. So great job there. And I will now turn the call back over to Dave.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Hey, thanks, Ted. I'd like to highlight a couple of the strengths of our network, our customer base, and Salesforce. We're direct beneficiaries of continued increased video traffic, artificial intelligence activity, and streaming trends. At quarter end, we were able to sell wavelengths in 938 carrier neutral data centers across North America with reduced provisioning of windows of 30 days. At quarter end, we were able to sell our IP services globally in 1862 data centers. At quarter end, we were directly connected to 8,085 networks. 22 of these networks represent peers and 8,063 are cogent transit customers. The reduction in networks connected from last quarter was due to the completion of the combination of the sprint and cogent IP networks into a single unified autonomous system number AS174. Some details on our Salesforce. We remained focused on increasing our Salesforce productivity and managing out underperforming reps. Salesforce turnover was .2% per month in the quarter, down from a peak of 8.7 during the height of the pandemic, but slightly above the historical average of .7% per month. At the end of the quarter, we had 628 sales reps. Our sales reps include 296 Salesforce that focused solely on the net-centric market, 318 sales reps focusing on the corporate market in North America, and finally, 14 reps focusing on global enterprise customers. We expect to continue to provide profitable on-net and off-net IP services to enterprises, corporate customers, and net-centric customers. We remain encouraged and enthusiastic about the prospects for our wavelength business. We have a significant wavelength backlog funnel of over 4,687 wavelength opportunities. We have several hundred wavelengths that have been installed but have not yet built due to customers' inability to accept the services as they are preparing their equipment to receive those wavelengths. And since our inception, we are focused on offering superior service, expedited provisioning, and disruptive pricing. We now have a base of installed wavelengths that are beginning to give us data showing that our wavelength quality is substantially better than that of our competitors. We expect to continue to monitor this and use quality as a key differentiator in our ability to gain market share. With that, I'd like to open the

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

floor for questions. Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. As a reminder, in order to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one on your phone keypad. If you would like to enjoy your question, please press star one again. Our first question will come from the line of Greg Williams with TD Cowan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Greg Williams
Analyst, TD Cowan

Great. Thanks for taking my questions. Dave, you just ended the statements with focusing on quality as marketing your waves. Waves seem to be continuing to be off to a slow start. Do you still target four to 500 circuits installed a month by year end? Second question is this on your data center sales progress, any additional color on interest you're seeing, and perhaps more importantly, at this point is 10 million a megawatt a realistic ask from the interest that you're seeing, or should we see a haircut on this target? Thanks. Yeah. Hey, thanks for the questions, Greg.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

So we always knew that in order to win market share in wavelengths, we needed to be winning on three criteria. First being ubiquity of coverage. Second, the price that we offer. And third, the quality of the service. And the quality is actually measured two ways, our ability to actually install in a timely manner and the service to be able to work once installed. We initially focused on the install metric because we did not have a material base of wavelengths. While our wavelength base is still small, about 1% of the North American market, it is now at least statistically significant enough that we can measure our performance quality as measured by number of outages along each route. Today, and this is anecdotal, we are running at about 7x fewer outages per span than at least one of our major competitors as reported to us by customers who have similar city pairs along different fiber with that other vendor and with Cogent. We think all of these inputs are critical to us gaining share. In terms of our wavelength install cadence, while we installed and began billing 147 wavelengths in a quarter, we actually installed several hundred more wavelengths than we have begun to bill for. As we had mentioned in previous calls, we have been installing services faster than customers have expected. They then usually need to order a cross-connect, sometimes plugable optics on their side to be able to accept these wavelengths and they have been accustomed to having protracted delays from other vendors. We are beginning to build credibility with those customers and we are accelerating our ability to install. We have the capabilities to get to 500 wavelengths per month. We will ramp to that and I think over the next several quarters, our customer base is going to become accustomed to our rapid provisioning, which is different than what the industry has traditionally experienced. As a result of that, we think the number of wavelengths that we install but do not bill will shrink. We report a number of granular KPIs. I think that is critical until we have a material base of billable revenue in our wavelength products. The fact that our revenues increased 27% sequentially, I think is a good indication of our gain in market share, albeit off of a small base. I am going to pivot to your data center question. We continue to negotiate with the four initial parties that put in offers and have actually received two more offers. We actually have a set of six total LOIs for firm offers on facilities. They range from the entire portfolio to as few as one facility. We have tried to be very cautious with investors not to project the proceeds of the data center sales into our recurring revenue. We have not done that before. We have, I think, been a bit concerned that some of the counterparties have been unable to post meaningful, nonrefundable security deposits as they move from letter of intent to contract. I think it is premature for us to conclude that we have to adjust pricing. We will ultimately let the market decide the pricing. We have no initial cost basis in these data centers, and the only basis we have is the work that we have done and the capital that we have spent to convert these data centers. With that, we have a great deal of flexibility and divesting of these non-core assets. We continue to have tours, continue to have third-party consultants working on behalf of financial sponsors, evaluating the assets, and to be direct and answer your question, we have offers ranging from our full ask price to a fraction of the price. It is impossible for us to say exactly what we are going to have to accept until we get a contract with a binding deposit.

speaker
Greg Williams
Analyst, TD Cowan

Thanks, Dave. Just to be clear on your Waves comment, the 147 additional Waves, that is what you have built but you have installed far more than that, just not built yet? Is that the right way of thinking about it? That is absolutely

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

correct, Greg. Thank you. As I stated previously, at some point in the future, it will only make sense for Cogen to report not on a funnel, not on orders installed but not built, but actually installed and billing. Until we build a larger base, I think giving these incremental KPIs is helpful for investors. Next question,

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

please. Your next question comes from the line of Prishul with UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Prishul
Analyst, UBS

Great. Thank you. Last quarter, Dave, I think you talked about the business returning to top-line growth by mid-3Q. Can you just provide your latest thoughts here and to the extent expectations have changed, what has shifted several months ago? I also believe you slightly raised the margin expansion target long-term. Can you just walk us through what gave you confidence to do that today and the main drivers of upside there? Thank you.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Yeah, sure. Thanks for both questions, Chris. As we stated on our last earnings call, we expected our rate of revenue decline to materially decelerate. It actually did. It went from sequentially 5.2 million decline quarter over quarter to 800,000. We knew that in July we had a significant resale agreement that was actually terminated in June, but we had a tail that we had to support until July. That is behind us. And with that one remaining large non-core contract now terminated, we have a clear visibility to monthly growth in revenue. Whether that is sufficient to get to aggregate positive for the quarter, it's very close, and I'm not prepared to say. There's FX and there's just some noise around customers, but the rate of decline for the quarter may be lower than the 800,000. It could actually be a positive number. And then from that point forward, we expect to see positive revenue growth each and every quarter sequentially. It's important also, and it ties into your margin point, that the revenue growth that we are experiencing is almost exclusively on net services, whether they be IP-based services or wave line services. And the revenue declines are coming from much lower margin or in some case negative margin off net services. The fact that we delivered 200 basis points of margin expansion sequentially last quarter, quarter over quarter, and looking back at the eight quarters since the acquisition of the Sprint assets, we have outperformed 200 basis points annually. And now with a return to growth, we feel very comfortable that we will replicate the type of margin expansion that Cogent historically had prior to acquiring Sprint. Just to remind investors from the period in 2005 through 2023 when we acquired Sprint, over that 18-year period, Cogent organically without acquisition had experienced an average rate of margin expansion of 220 basis points. So this is something that is not theoretical, but it is our actual historical results. We had a margin reset that occurred from acquiring a declining and negative margin business. We've taken more than $220 million of costs out of that business, and we have experienced better than 200 basis points since the initial acquisition. While there were puts and takes for severance and other reimbursables by T-Mobile as part of the transaction, with all of that extraordinary payment behind us, we now have a high degree of confidence that the 200 basis points, as I just outlined, is sustainable going forward on a year over year basis. And again, to remind everyone, this is meant to be a multi-year average. Some years we'll beat it, some years we may miss it, but on average, over the next decade, we will deliver more than 200 basis points a year of margin expansion on average.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Thanks, Dave.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Thank you,

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Chris. Your next question comes from the line of Paul Pysick with Lightshed. Please go ahead.

speaker
Paul Pysick
Analyst, Lightshed

Thanks. Dave, can you just remind us in terms of sources of capital or where you could borrow against? Because I think unless your capex falls off a cliff, you're probably going to need some incremental capital to fund the dividend growth. By the early 2026, I think, we had a $2.5 billion in capital. So can you just remind us what you can tap to bring funds in to fund that dividend?

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Yeah, sure, Paul. So first of all, I'm going to disagree with your premise with over $300 million of cash on the balance sheet. Secondly, we have indicated that our capital spending was elevated in the second half of 24 and the first half of 25, primarily due to the upgrading of the data centers from DC Power to AC. That capital expense is behind us now and was approximately a $100 million spread over four quarters. So as a result of that, we anticipate our annual rate, and this will be the rate in the second half of 25 and full year, 26, to be approximately $100 million in capital expenditures. On top of that $100 million of cap X, we do make principal payments on capital leases. Due to gap accounting, it's shown at a different point in the cash flow statement, but it should be treated like cap X. That number for the first half of this year was $16.5 million. We have indicated that the annual run rate for those principal payments should be about $40 million. So we were actually slightly below. It was elevated materially in 24 due to the buyout of the Verizon IRU as a one-time event, which we called out with this associating discount. As a result, the total amount of cash expenditures for principal payments and on capital leases and cap X should be around $140 million a year. In terms of additional borrowing capabilities, we have borrowing capabilities at three levels in Cogent. We have additional capacity available in the group entity where our leverage today is substantially below the covenant thresholds and our debt service coverage is substantially above. So at Cogent group, there is several hundred million dollars more of borrowing capacity, either secured or unsecured, allowed in our current indentures. And it will be likely that we will look at the 2027 unsecured debt and probably look to refinance that sometime in the latter part of 2026, possibly raising incremental capital, but not necessarily. We also have incremental borrowing at Cogent infrastructure that includes both the IPv4 ABS, which will have additional capacity based on the growth and cash flow in that, as well as the ability to borrow against the other assets that reside in that entity. And then finally, there is always borrowing capability at the holding company level, which has no debt associated with it. However, we do not anticipate needing material incremental borrowings to either fund the dividend or operations as on an LQA basis, our leverage peaked last year and has been declining. And on an LTM basis, just mathematically is going to continue to decline. So while we are at 6.6 times net leverage on a LTM basis at the end of this quarter, we anticipate that over the next six quarters, that number will fall below five times and continue to de-level.

speaker
Paul Pysick
Analyst, Lightshed

I mean, it's not 6.6 based on the math. I mean, I think in your math, you're basically taking a net present value of TSA payments and then also including the TSA payments in the denominator of the calculation. So if you just look at what your reported adjusted EBITDA is, which is reported and your actual net debt, it's seven and a half times leverage. And in terms of not, if you're basically saying gross debt's not going up, I mean, I guess we'll just see if that's going to be the case in future quarters, because you're paying 50 million a quarter in dividends, your operating cash burn is 30 million, and you have 300 million left in cash. So our wings, if you're saying they're not going to go up, fine, we'll just see what happens, I guess, in future quarters. And we can just see how that plays out without obviously a material cut in capex. But I don't understand how you can represent the math when it's actually reported numbers. It's seven and a half times leverage. And it's 12 times when you exclude the TSA payments, which you're trying to use as an NPV. So if we excluded TSA payments, leverage is 12 times on trailing EBITDA.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

So Walt, we've had this discussion on multiple earnings calls.

speaker
Paul Pysick
Analyst, Lightshed

And it's math. It's math. Everyone has the numbers. They can do their own math.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

I totally agree with that. And we absorbed a number of losses from T-Mobile, which have depressed our EBITDA. And we received a stream of payments over 54 months, equaling 700 million. The net present value of those payments goes down each and every quarter as we receive those payments.

speaker
Paul Pysick
Analyst, Lightshed

But I believe- So you're trying to include it in the numerator and the denominator? As you should. I mean, you can do that and present it that way, but investors obviously have to make their own decision. Dave, can you just update us on, in terms of the pledged stock, has the board put any limitation on that? And can you just walk us through the mechanics, if there's any further impact, if at all, the pledged shares?

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

So I, as an individual, have received my compensation from Cogent almost exclusively in stock for 25 years. I paid taxes on that stock as that stock vested. I have a basis in my stock as of the beginning of this year of $155 million. I borrowed against a portion of that stock in order to fund those tax payments. So I did not have to sell stock. And I was fortunate enough to have income from other sources, primarily my real estate portfolio. As the DC real estate market deteriorated, I had additional pressure to reduce leverage on my real estate portfolio, which forced me to begin selling Cogent stock. Some of that stock is pledged. And as a result, I have to reduce the pledge amount, as well as receive cash to fund equity injections into my real estate. I've tried to be extremely transparent with investors, probably more than most people in my situation would be. And, you know, I am committed to making sure that as an individual, not as Cogent, my lenders are made whole, even though many of my brethren in my industry have walked away from their assets. And the policy that the board has has not changed in terms of my ability to pledge, my ability to not hedge in any way, which if I had that ability, would negate some of the pressure that forces me to sell.

speaker
Paul Pysick
Analyst, Lightshed

But is there a cap on what you can pledge? Because if you just search GPT, this is I think it occurred with Elan and other companies and boards have actually implemented caps on the percentage of shares that can be pledged. There is

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

not a Cogent.

speaker
Paul Pysick
Analyst, Lightshed

Who on the board makes that decision?

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

The audit committee.

speaker
Paul Pysick
Analyst, Lightshed

Great. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Your next question comes from the line of Nick Del Deo with Moffitt-Nathanson. Please go ahead.

speaker
Nick Del Deo
Analyst, MoffettNathanson

Hi, morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Dave, you noted that you had provisioned, not yet billed for several hundred waves. Did that metric go up quarter over quarter?

speaker
Dave

Yes.

speaker
Nick Del Deo
Analyst, MoffettNathanson

Okay. Meaningfully?

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Meaningfully. And we commented on this when we reported Q1 numbers and the majority of the Q1 numbers were in the Q1 numbers. We also explained that we wanted to be careful not to alienate significant costumers by being too aggressive and pressuring them to accept wavelengths. We have several large costumers that have been truly shocked by our ability to provision in the windows that we have outlined. And as a result, they were not prepared to take the wavelength services. They typically order their cross connects, order their pluggable optics, and accept them in a three to four month window from placing the order. But in Cochin's case, we had one very large wave order that we were actually able to provision nearly a hundred waves in seven days. I mean, they were truly amazed at that, but they came back and said, we can't take them. And I understand investors' frustrations that they want to see a installed number. And we only report installations based on billing revenue. That's been our policy and practice since inception. We have given incremental KPIs to help investors understand that there's demand here. But as I've said on previous earnings calls, and I want to repeat today, the ultimate goal is to be measured only by gap revenue growth. Now listen, on that metric, it looked really good, but it was because a lot of waves installed at the very end of the previous quarter, which got us to 27% sequential and 150% revenue growth. With a small base and with these lags, it is going to be lumpier than I would like. Our piece of it is much smoother than the lumpiness suggests. And I think there will be a point in time when we can implement a forced billing discipline, but we are unwilling to do that at this point.

speaker
Nick Del Deo
Analyst, MoffettNathanson

Okay. Got it. Thanks for that color, Dave. And then maybe just turning to the data centers. What do you think is holding those bidders back from putting down deposits? Because it seemed like you expressed a bit more caution on that front than you have historically.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Well, it's because another 10 weeks has passed since we have publicly commented on this, and there are no firm deposits in hand. And I would say it's kind of twofold. I think for operators that have LOIs in, they are struggling to get capital committed. And we've had offers for what I would consider de minimis deposits relative to the size of the portfolio. And I view those as just unacceptable to go to contract, letting someone tie up the portfolio for say 1% of the proposed purchase price. That is just inappropriate when do that, if you were buying a hotel or a shopping center or any real property asset. And then I think for the private equity sponsors, they are trying to get comfort around the revenue stream that their management team is going to generate. While they have continued to spend money and do condition reports, do tours, quality assessments, they are being cautious because what they would like to do, which I would do if I was in their shoes, is de-risk it by going to the management team you're backing and saying, show me an actual end user contract that I can underwrite. And we've been very clear, the assets that we are looking to divest of have no recurring revenue associated with them. And I think it's really these two constraints that have slowed down the process. And we've tried to, I think, caution investors not to place a lot of value on these. I do still think they will be monetized, but I'm not in a position, as I am with wavelengths, to give you any clarity on the when and how much until we actually conclude a binding transaction with a meaningful deposit.

speaker
Nick Del Deo
Analyst, MoffettNathanson

Got it. Thanks, Dave.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Hey,

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

thanks, Nick. Your next question comes from the line of Mike Funk with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Yes,

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

hi, Dave. Good to hear from

speaker
Mike Funk
Analyst, Bank of America

you again.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Welcome back, Mike. I know you've been covering some other sectors, but it's great to have you back.

speaker
Mike Funk
Analyst, Bank of America

It is good to be back, and thank you for the questions. So given that I'm newer back to the story, let me ask some basic ones here. On the provisioning of circuits, I heard your comment some customers not ready to take delivery as soon as you're available. But from my perspective, it signals a disconnect between your sales team, your provisioning team, and the customers. I would expect any better coordination. I guess, where is the disconnect if customers aren't ready to take? And what are you doing to alleviate that or improve the coordination with customers? And do you expect them to shorten their delivery acceptance time?

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Yeah. So for IP services, which are the bulk of Cochrane's revenue, they're 87% of our revenues, we have a 25-year track record. We install services on net and average of about nine days. We also allow customers two times to push out a delivery, and then we have kind of a forced billing discipline that's in place. This policy for transit, DIA, and VPN services has been in place for over 20 years. Customers are accustomed to it, and there is very little float in terms of IP orders installed but not billed. It's not zero, but it's a couple percent. In the wavelength market, we are a new entrant. Secondly, we made representations that were much more aggressive than any of the other vendors in the market in terms of our speed to deliver, the breadth of locations that we could deliver, and the quality of the service we would deliver. I think it's totally legitimate for customers to say, show me. Secondly, for the period between deal closing in May of 23 and the end of 24, so in that roughly 18-month period, we were doing one-off provisionings, but they did not go smoothly. We did not have all of the automated systems and processes in place, and we did not have the ubiquity of coverage. We installed about 1,000 wavelengths in that kind of semi-manual but lengthy process. At the beginning of this year, we began provisioning in a streamlined, automated way. We have surprised our customers both in terms of where and how quickly we could deliver. Those customers are starting to adjust their behavior, but they've been accustomed to going to the two other major vendors and getting a three to four delay with a failure rate of, in some cases, up to 50%. We have not had any situations where we have committed to provision and could not provision. There are a few cases where the provisioning windows were as long as 90 days in certain vectors at certain speeds, but a very small percent, about 6% of the total footprint has those limitations. The customers are now starting to understand the first part of our value proposition, which is we're not misleading them and we really are able to provision the way we say we can. You have to prove your

speaker
Mike Funk
Analyst, Bank of America

point. I think that will take too much of your time, but I think one other potential view concern could be customers of overprovision to overpurchased wavelengths and are now maybe dragging their feet, delaying acceptance of delivery. If you look at other parts of the ecosystem, whether it's data center capacity or other pieces, customers can't take that fast enough. From my seat, I'm hearing this and I'm thinking, do customers overprovision just to make sure they have enough inventory capacity and now they're pushing out or delaying acceptance? That's a concern from my standpoint, but I definitely hear what you're saying. You've improved provision. Can I have one quick one, Dave? I think in the past you talked about a 4Q exit run rate for waves. I think 20 million was last time you spoke. Can you update us there,

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

please? We still feel confident that we will hit that quarterly run rate in the fourth quarter. I do want to go back to the overpurchasing and delay comment. That is not what we've heard from customers. It's really, we're just surprised you did it when you said you would do it. I do think goes back to the other comment I started to make earlier, which is we still have to prove to people that not only can we provision faster, the quality is going to be higher than that of our competitors. Every vendor can make those claims. The only way you validate them is by delivering and monitoring. I feel comfortable that we are building credibility and the size of the funnel that we are accelerating and building is giving us that confidence.

speaker
Mike Funk
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay, Dave, thank you so much. I look forward to seeing you in person soon.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Yeah, I'll see you at the conference.

speaker
Mike Funk
Analyst, Bank of America

Of course. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Your next question comes from the line of Frank Lutton with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

speaker
Frank Lutton
Analyst, Raymond James

Great. Thank you. A couple of questions. First, where are you getting most of your wavelength customers? Are they new to Cogent or are they from your existing base? As far as going forward with the data centers, do you need to hire more experienced, dedicated salespeople for that space or do you have any sales channel relationships that can help with converting that space?

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Thanks. Two very different questions. First of all, on the wavelength customers to date, about three-quarters of them have been existing Cogent Transit customers and about 25% of them are brand new to Cogent. Whether that mix will continue to hold as we build the pipeline and install, I'm not sure, but to date of the 4600 and change in the funnel and the 1500 plus install, the 6000, the mix has been three-quarters, one-quarter. With regard to the data centers, Frank, what we are doing now is trying to do two very different things. One, continue to do one and two rack retail deals into our retail footprint. We have 187 facilities where we have a retail space available. We're at about .5% utilization in that footprint and the entire 628 person sales force has been the ones who have been focused on filling that footprint up. I think that will continue. The wholesale disposition is a very different process. There we actually have one of our real estate professionals focused on that disposition process.

speaker
Frank Lutton
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, great. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Hey, thanks, Frank. Your next question comes from the line of Michael Rollins with CT Group. Please go ahead.

speaker
Michael Rollins
Analyst, CT Group

Thanks and good morning. Two topics, if I could please. First, when you look at the opportunities to improve revenue in the future, you talked about waves a bunch on this call. Can you talk more specifically about the customer verticals and how those are each progressing in terms of the corporate, the net-centric, and the enterprise? Secondly, you mentioned earlier in the call your target to reduce net debt leverage. Can you give us just a little bit more of an explanation of how you see both the numerator and the denominator evolving over this next couple of years? What are the critical points of execution to deliver on each of those? Thanks.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Yeah, sure, Mike. Very good questions. First of all, as I stated in the remarks, we remain focused on selling on-net services. Just to remind everyone on this call, every dollar of revenue gets classified by on-net, off-net, customer type, geography, and by product type. In our investor presentation, we give you a great deal of granularity and breakdown of the various mixes of customer type product and on-net and off-net. Our primary business is selling on-net services. We get much higher contribution margins from those services. For our corporate customers, roughly half of their purchases are on-net, half are in locations that we concluded we cannot economically get a return on invested capital to bring on-net and buy off-net services for. For the enterprise base, based on their very disparate geography requirements, we are only about 10 to 15% on-net and almost exclusively off-net. That is the business that came to us from the acquisition of Sprint. Finally, in the net-centric segment, about 90% of our revenues are on-net. We are focused on on-net corporate, on-net, net-centric. Within that, wavelengths as a product are almost exclusively on-net. The customer verticals for wavelengths are typically hyperscalers who are using them for AI or for content distribution, other content distribution customers, regional access networks who connect their networks together, international carriers who extend their networks, and then finally, some enterprises who build their own private closed networks. Each of these represents drivers for wavelengths. For transit services, the market is typically divided between access networks, which we have about 8,050 or so that pull down content around the world and about 5,000 content-generating customers that push applications out. They could be either hyperscalers for their core business, they can be CDNs, they can be publishing companies or application service providers. And this is a good pivot into the second part of your question, which is how do we de-labor? And we de-labor through three mechanisms. The first being growth in aggregate revenue. Since acquiring Sprint, we've de-labored and we have improved EBITDA solely through the margin improvement that has occurred faster than the decline in the payment streams from T-Mobile. But over time, those payment subsidies will go away and we need to grow EBITDA out of top-line growth with high-contribution margin products. It is why we were confident in saying we can return on a combined basis to 200 basis points of margin expansion year over year. That is a significant de-livering in and of itself and then returning from what is effectively negative 1% growth we reported this quarter to a year over year growth rate of between 6 and 8% coupled with the de-livering gets you to EBITDA growth rate in the low to mid teens, which is comparable to where aggregate leverage, it has been Cochin's policy since 2010 to return more than 100% of free cash flow. We did that successfully between 2010 and 2020, maintaining a net leverage range of around three times lever. With the pandemic and the slowdown in our corporate business, our leverage creeped up to 4.2 times net lever. We acquired the assets from T-Mobile all with the subsidy payments. We initially de-levered due to the asymmetry of those payments down to below three times lever, but as those payments stepped down and went from 87 million a quarter to 25 million a quarter, our leverage just checked up. We peaked in net leverage this quarter at 6.6 times net leverage on a fully consolidated basis. That number will come down, but our gross leverage will probably not materially come down. It will come down by improving the aggregate amount of EBITDA.

speaker
Ted Weed
Chief Financial Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

I just want to make a quick comment on the numerator and the denominator. The 6.6 is consistent. The debt and the numerator, coming to a net debt deducting the $244.8 million from T-Mobile, essentially cash and cash equivalents for the short-term portion and then a long-term investment on the long-term portion. That's getting the net debt from the numerator. On the denominator, on the EBITDA, that's backwards looking. The numerator on the top, that is as of the balance sheet date. On the denominator, that's the historical last 12 months that has been paid in cash. One is as of and one is looking backwards for the last 12 months. There's no double counting. It's those payments from T-Mobile, both that we have received in the past and both that we will receive in the future.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Your next question comes from the line of Tim Horan with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

speaker
Tim Horan
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thanks, guys. Dave, can you just reiterate your wavelength, kind of longer-term $500 million target and timing and confidence there? Secondly, can you just give us some, you know, your best guess on timing of the data center resolution? And then third, can you give us some sense of what the actual EBITDA numbers will be for the second half of the year, you know, either the third or fourth quarter of the full year? Any kind of sense would be helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

Yeah, sure. Hey, always good to hear from you, Tim, and thanks for the questions. So, first of all, on the confidence on wavelengths, we are actually more confident today than we were on last quarter's call or the quarter before or since we acquired Sprint. The reception that we have received from the customer base, the orders that we have in our funnel, and the customer feedback that we've gotten from the orders that we have installed all give us confidence that we will reach our $500 million run rate on wavelength revenue by mid-year 2028, which is identical to what we laid out in our justification in September of 22 when we announced the potential transaction that ultimately closed in May of 23. With regard to the data centers, I am not going to put a date because we have never done it before. We have interested parties. We could tell they're spending money. They're hiring professionals or doing analysis. They put in offers. But until we have an actual monetized deal with a meaningful at-risk deposit, I'm unprepared to put a stake in the ground of saying when we're going to close because we have no history. We have had a great deal of interest. We've had some parties, you say. It's not for them, and they've moved away. But more have been interested than not, and many parties are continuing to do work. With regard to EBITDA, I'm going to qualify this by saying we don't give quarterly or even annual guidance. What I will say is we expect meaningful sequential growth in EBITDA each and every quarter going forward at or greater than the pacing that we delivered in the last several quarters. So I think you can model that out, but we feel comfortable that we are both de-levering due to the growth in EBITDA and growing our cash flow. And the 6% to 8% top-line growth I think is now much more realistic than it was when we announced the deal at 5% to 7% in 22. And again, just to remind investors, from 2005 through 2020, cogent with no acquisitions organically grew at .2% a year. Our growth rate went negative when we acquired the Sprint business, as was planned. We initially thought we could only return to 5% to 7%. We've become comfortable that we've groomed out the undesirable revenue. The rate of revenue decline sequentially improved from 5.2 million negative to 800,000. It should be flat to slightly positive, Q3 and positive from that point going forward. And because we have demonstrated post-closing more than 200 basis points a year of margin expansion, and in fact, we delivered 200 basis points sequentially in a quarter this last quarter, we feel comfortable that's the right goalpost going forward.

speaker
Tim Horan
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Hopefully

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

that was helpful, Tim.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Thank you. Yes, we have no further questions for today. That concludes the Q&A session, and I would now like to turn the call back over to Dave Schaefer for closing remarks.

speaker
Dave Schaefer
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Cogent Communications Holdings

I'd like to thank everyone for being on today's call. Hopefully we were clear in answering your questions. We look forward to seeing investors at some upcoming conferences and remain extremely encouraged around our growth prospects and our ability to expand our free cash flow, and maybe most importantly, our commitment to return capital to shareholders. Take care all. We'll talk soon. Bye-bye.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-