5/5/2021

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Central Garden and Pets fiscal 2021 second quarter earnings call. At this time, all participants earn a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. Instructions will be given at that time. If anyone should require assistance during the call, please press star followed by zero on your touchtone phone. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Frederic Edelman, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Frederic Edelman

Thank you, David. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. With me on the call today are Tim Cofer, Chief Executive Officer, Nicola Hanas, Chief Financial Officer, J.D. Walker, President, Garden Consumer Products, and John Hansen, President, Pet Consumer Products. Tim will begin with a business update and Nico will discuss our Q2 results and our outlook for fiscal 2021 in more detail. After the prepared remarks, JD and John will join us for the management Q&A. Our press release providing the results for our second quarter ended March 27, 2021, and related materials are available on our website at ir.central.com. and contain the gap to non-gap reconciliations for the non-gap measures discussed on this call. Lastly, unless otherwise stated, all growth comparisons made during this call are against the same period and the prior year. Before I turn the call over to Tim, I would like to remind you that statements made during this call, which are not historical facts, including the potential impact of COVID-19 on our business, EPS and other guidance for fiscal 2021, Expectations for new capital investments, product launches, and future acquisitions are forward-looking statements subject to risk and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those implied by forward-looking statements. These risks and others are described in Central's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our annual report on Form 10-K, filed on November 24, 2020. Central Honor takes no obligation to publicly update these forward-looking statements to reflect new information, subsequent events, or otherwise. Now, I will turn over the call to our CEO, Tim Cofer. Tim?

speaker
David

Tim Cofer Thanks, Frederica, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining our Q2 earnings call. Today, Nico and I will discuss our second quarter results, our perspective on how Central is performing in the current environment, and how we are approaching the back half of fiscal 21 to drive future growth. Before we get started, I want to take a moment to recognize that it's been a little over a year since the onset of COVID-19. This time last year, we were about a month into the pandemic and most concerned about how to protect the health and safety of our employees while serving our customers and consumers. As we look at where we are today, I'm hopeful that we're seeing a light at the end of the tunnel. As vaccine rollouts accelerate across the country, I'm optimistic they will play an important role continuing to keep our frontline colleagues safe, assisting in the return to our offices, and helping all of us get back to doing the things we love. The company remains vigilant in our efforts to operate and conduct business safely, and our facilities have diligently maintained health and safety standards. We have hosted mobile vaccination clinics at our larger manufacturing and distribution sites, providing vaccines to hundreds of our frontline employees. We will continue to bring these vaccination clinics to our facilities for as long as they are necessary and useful. My entire executive team and I are or soon will be fully vaccinated. And importantly, thanks to the hard work of our teams, all of our manufacturing facilities and distribution centers remain open and fully operational. Now to our results. I'm pleased to share that Central has delivered the fifth consecutive quarter of record results, both on the top and the bottom line. Our consistent delivery during the pandemic is not only a testament to our team's ability to execute and adapt to a rapidly changing environment, but also a reflection of the progress we have made on our Central to Home strategy. Let me share with you some highlights from the quarter to illustrate recent progress made across all five of our strategic pillars, supporting our mission to lead the future of the pet and garden industries. First, our consumer pillar, which is dedicated to understanding our consumers and growing brands consumers love. Our Pennington brand just relaunched its smart seed portfolio. The brand's drought-resistant, environmentally conscious lawn seeds are even more reliable, effective, and easy to use, and can help consumers conserve up to 30% more water year after year. The portfolio has been simplified, package designs have improved, so it's easier for consumers to find the exact grass seed varietal they need and recognize the trusted Pennington brand. Each bag features new digital integration and links to relevant content on social media platforms, including helpful videos on YouTube. The relaunch was also supported by new advertising, Pennington's Smart That Never Fails campaign, which came to life across digital, television, radio, and in-store channels. While still early in the garden season, customer listings are above our expectations and we're seeing strong double digit increases in POS year to date. We're confident the SmartSeed relaunch will play an important role in regaining share in GrassSeed. Now on our customer pillar, where our goal is to win with winning customers and channels. We're investing heavily in the e-commerce channel and building capabilities in digital marketing. In addition, We've added new partners to strengthen our e-commerce analytics. We had encouraging Q2 performance across both pet and garden in the e-commerce channel, including PurePlay, Omnichannel, and direct-to-consumer. Our pet business grew more than 50% versus prior year, and in garden, our e-commerce business grew triple digits. In support of our central pillar, which is focused on strengthening the company's portfolio, we have now closed all three of our recently announced acquisitions in the garden space, Do My Own, Hopewell, and Green Garden. Do My Own brings key digital capabilities that we're already beginning to leverage in two of our business units, one in each segment. Hopewell adds scale to our live plants business, one of the fastest growing segments in the industry. and we expect many synergies to come from the partnership of Bell and Hopewell Nurseries. And finally, Green Garden adds the adjacent vegetable, herb, and flower seed business and extends our seed capabilities. All three acquisitions delivered strong Q2 results in line with our expectations, and we expect them to be accretive to earnings in fiscal year 2021. We have initiated the integration work across all three companies, but of course, there's a lot of work ahead to integrate and capture the capabilities, synergies, and full potential benefits. And while we're pleased with these new additions to our central family, our thirst for acquisitions is not yet quenched. We continue to actively scan the market for great assets to add to both our pet and garden portfolios. The fourth pillar in our strategy cost is focused on reducing costs to improve margins and fuel growth across the enterprise. Some current examples of this work are our procurement pilots aimed at taking advantage of our purchasing scale in corrugate and flexible packaging, as well as freight optimization across multiple business units. Additionally, we are investing in automation in several of our businesses to not only lower costs, but also help to improve service levels. We anticipate seeing the benefits of these projects unfold beginning in the back half of fiscal 21 and over the next several years. And finally, our culture pillar is focused on our greatest asset, our 7,000 employees. Let me briefly highlight two areas. We've recently introduced our diversity and inclusion strategies. where we're dedicated to making meaningful progress in the areas where we can have the most impact, including mentorship, leadership development, recruiting, and employee education. We've also heightened our focus on digital capability development, rolling out a cross-functional e-commerce flywheel training program across our organization. Now, to provide some more color on our Q2 performance, Net sales increased 33 percent to $935 million, aided by 23 percent organic growth as well as inorganic contributions from our recent acquisitions. Gross margin decreased 40 basis points to 29.1 percent, largely driven by the impact of initial inventory-related purchase accounting adjustments from our recent acquisitions, and cost inflation headwinds, which were only partially offset by our pricing and net productivity efforts. Operating margin increased 180 basis points to 11.2 percent, driven by operating efficiencies. And importantly, we delivered EPS of $1.32 per share on a GAAP basis, an increase of 69 percent over prior year. Given our strong organic performance in the first half of the year, we are raising our EPS outlook for fiscal 2021. And Nico will share more details in a minute. Now a few words on our two segments. In pet, the surge in pet adoption in 2020 continues to drive consumer demand across all categories. Dog ownership is up 8%. Cat households were up 5%. and all other pets grew 11%. This translates to over 4 million new pet-owning households. And we know that approximately one-third of existing pet-owning households added an additional pet. It's also important to note that these new households are younger, more digitally savvy, and more concerned with health and wellness. We believe all of this bodes well for the continued strength of the pet industry and it offers meaningful growth opportunities for Central in the years to come. Our record sales and EBIT in the pet segment were driven by our small animal business, as well as dog and cat, pet distribution, and our outdoor cushion business. We're also pleased with the recovery in the supply for live fish, pet birds, and small animals. We gained share in dog treats, waste management, and aquatics, and our e-commerce business which as I mentioned earlier grew over 50% versus prior year, now represents approximately 21% of pet-branded sales. Shifting to garden, we had a record quarter across the segment driven by the 8 million households who entered the lawn and garden consumables category since the outbreak of the pandemic. Importantly, about one-third of these were millennials and Gen Z consumers, which suggests which suggests future growth for our industry. Our distribution business, controls and fertilizers, wild bird and grass seed drove the robust organic growth in our garden business. And our three new acquisitions, Do My Own, Hope Well, and Green Garden, added 76 million in sales. We gained share in fungicides and fertilizers, and our e-commerce business now represents 6% of total garden sales. Now, a few comments on our supply chain. The ongoing heightened demand for our pet and garden brands continues to put pressure on our manufacturing capacity, and our service levels are not yet where we expect them to be. As we pointed out in prior calls, we are investing in capacity expansion and automation to meet the continuing strong demand. Evidence of our commitment in this area is we are doubling our CapEx expenditures in fiscal 2021 versus prior year, with most of the capital expenditures directed at incremental manufacturing capacity. Additionally, we continue to face the inflationary pressures that have resulted from the COVID-19 operating environment, including significant increases in costs for key commodities, labor, and freight. As such, we remain focused on how we can offset these inflationary pressures with an increased attention on our net productivity agenda, leveraging our scale across the enterprise and pricing. Finally, as we look toward the second half of the fiscal year, we're focused in three areas. First, driving organic growth by delivering another great garden season and continuing to fuel the momentum and path. Second, integrating our acquisitions with excellence. And third, building capacity and capability, specifically executing significant capacity expansion to improve our service levels and investing to improve our consumer fundamentals across insights, innovation, and marketing to drive organic growth in 22 and beyond. With that, let me turn it over to Nico, who will share more details of our Q2 results and our outlook for the fiscal year.

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Nico. Thank you, Tim. Good afternoon, everyone. We continue to be extremely pleased with the performance of our business. Second quarter net sales reached $935 million, an increase of 33% or $232 million, driven by organic growth in both segments. Organic sales increased 23%. Our three recent acquisitions added $76 million in net sales. Consolidated gross profit increased $65 million to $272 million. However, gross margin decreased 40 basis points to 29.1 percent due to the impact of initial purchase accounting adjustments related to our three recent acquisitions, as well as cost inflation and key commodities, labor and freight, in particular ocean freight. SG&A expense increased 19 percent to $168 million, driven by the inorganic increases related to our recent acquisitions, as well as higher payroll-related and logistics costs resulting from our increased volumes, partially offset by lower travel and entertainment expense. Conversely, SG&A decreased 220 basis points to 17.9 percent of net sales, driven by improved operating leverage. Operating income increased $39 million to $105 million, driven by higher sales volumes partially offset by higher SG&A expenses. Operating margin increased 180 basis points to 11.2% due to improved operating leverage. EBITDA increased 56% to $123 million. Turning now to our garden segment, garden segment sales increased 49% or $146 million to $443 million. Excluding acquisitions, organic sales increased 23% and were broad-based across the segment, with the most notable growth coming from our garden distribution, fertilizers and controls, wild bird feed, and grass seed businesses. And our acquisitions added $76 million in net sales. Garden segment operating income was $66 million, an increase of 53%. Garden segment operating margin increased by 40 basis points to 14.9%. The improvement was driven by the organic growth mentioned previously, as well as SG&A efficiencies. Garden segment EBITDA increased 63% to 75 million. Turning now to pet. Pet segment sales increased 21% or 87 million to 492 million. Sales increased across all categories with particular strength in small animal supplies distribution, dog and cat, and our Arden outdoor pillow and cushion business, which we moved from our garden segment into the pet segment as of the first quarter of fiscal 2021. Pet segment operating income increased by 43% to $62 million, and operating margin increased by 190 basis points to 12.6%, driven by strong sales contribution as well as improved operating leverage. Pet segment EBITDA increased 35 percent to $71 million. Now, getting back to our consolidated results, other income was $700,000 compared to other expense of $1 million a year ago. The difference was primarily due to favorable foreign exchange impact in the second quarter of fiscal 2021 compared to unfavorable foreign exchange impact in the prior year. Net interest expense was $10 million compared to $9 million a year ago. The increase was driven by higher debt outstanding. Net income grew 71% to $73 million from $43 million a year ago. Diluted earnings per share increased 69% to $1.32 from $0.78 in the year prior, driven by organic strength and $0.07 accretion from our recent acquisitions. Our tax rate was 22.7% in line with the prior year quarter. Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the second quarter decreased to $40 million from $332 million a year ago. During the quarter, we paid approximately $653 million in cash and additional funds from our ABL for the acquisitions of Do My Own and Green Garden. Net cash used by operations was $84 million for the quarter, up from $75 million a year ago, as higher EBITDA was more than offset by unfavorable changes in working capital primarily due to increased demand for our products. As we have pointed out, we've heightened our focus on capacity expansion and increased our CapEx 98% over the prior year quarter to 19 million. Some examples of investments made in the quarter are automation and warehouse expansion in our wild bird and controls business, capacity expansion of our dog and cat business, and consolidation of locations in our branded chemicals and fertilizer business. Total debt was $979 million, up $285 million from the same time last year. Our gross leverage ratio, as defined in our credit agreement, was 2.5 times at the end of the quarter, compared to 2.9 times a year ago, and well within our target range. At the end of the second quarter, we had $190 million of borrowings under our $400 million credit line. Appreciation and amortization for the quarter was $19 million compared to $13 million the prior year quarter. primarily driven by our recent acquisitions. During the quarter, we did not repurchase any of our stock. There remains $100 million under the board's previously authorized share repurchase program, as well as additional shares under the board's equity dilution authorization. And after the close of the second quarter, we issued $400 million in senior notes at 4 and 8 to replenish our cash position. As Tim mentioned, we continue to be on the lookout for great growth and margin accretive companies in both pet and gardens. And finally, turning to our fiscal 2021 outlook. While we are pleased with our Q2 and first half results, we still have a significant portion of the garden season ahead of us. And we are up against near ideal gardening weather in 2020. That said, we anticipate our strong business momentum to carry on. And as mentioned previously, we are leaning in with increased strategic investment spending to expand our capacities and drive future profitability and growth. In the near term, however, our supply chain remains stressed, including outstripped capacity and labor shortages, and we are bracing for further increase in costs for raw materials and freight. While we have and continue to take pricing, we do not expect to be able to offset all the impact this fiscal year. And finally, there remains the uncertainty around the impact of lapping COVID tailwinds in the second half of fiscal 2021. Taking all of this into consideration, we are increasing our guidance and now anticipate full year 2021 GAAP EPS of $2.25 or higher. This compares to our previous guidance of 2021 GAAP EPS of $1.90 or higher and translates to 2021 adjusted diluted EPS of $2.42 or higher. Please note, this outlook excludes the impact of acquisitions. as we are still finalizing purchase accounting. While we are not yet ready to include the acquisitions in our outlook, our early estimates indicate that there will be accretive for 2021 EPS, somewhere in the range of 11 to 16 cents. The good news is that all three are off to a great start, adding 7 cents to Q2 EPS. We also expect them to be accretive for the fiscal year 2021. And with that, we'd like to open the line for questions.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. We will now be having our question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the question queue. You may also press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. One moment, please, while we now poll for questions. Our first question comes from Bill Chappelle with SunTrust. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Bill Chappelle

Thanks. Good afternoon. Hey, Bill. Hey, I appreciate things are still in flux in terms of the recent deals, but could you give us maybe a little more color on sales contribution this year and probably more importantly EBITDA contribution? Because EPS, it's it's tougher to kind of understand that if we don't especially know what the kind of DNA will be with those deals.

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Yeah. Well, the sales for the quarter was, were 76 million, um, for the quarter. So we've got that. And then, um, EBITDA was, you know, fairly de minimis, uh, honestly, because the bulk of it was, was taken out, uh, via purchase accounting. So, um, it wasn't a huge EBITDA contribution there, Bill.

speaker
Bill Chappelle

Well, I guess when I'm looking at the sales, I know there's some of our seasonal businesses. Is 76 a good number to use going forward, or how should I be thinking about that?

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Yeah, I mean, the way to think about it is two of the three, so Hopewell, Green Garden, are highly seasonal. Do My Own is a little more you know, what I would say spread out, even keeled over the year. But for instance, Do My Own is, or excuse me, Hopewell is going to do, have a really big Q3. And in fact, it's a lot like Bell, which we did back in 18, where, you know, the bulk of their, if not all their EBIT will hit in that one quarter. The other three quarters will be losses similar to Bell. So that's a way to think about it. And then, you know, Green Garden, also seasonal, kind of think the same sort of seasonality as Garden as a whole. Although I would say their season sort of kicks off earlier. And then, of course, ends a little bit earlier. So, you know, they're already past kind of their peak revenue is the way to think about it. And they're kind of on a little bit of a decline now going forward.

speaker
Bill Chappelle

Okay. And then just As I look at the garden business, Scott earlier today talked about taking pricing to offset commodities, but not doing it until kind of the end of the fiscal year, which is similar to your fiscal year, just because where the season will be largely over, I guess. Are you thinking that same way, that you need to take some prices to offset commodities, but don't need to take them necessarily near term?

speaker
spk14

Hi, Bill. It's JD. I'll take that question. The, you know, what I'd say in terms of pricing, we have taken some pricing already this year in categories where we saw dramatic increases in cost of goods. Specifically there, the wild bird food category where we saw a spike in the grain costs. So we will take it if we see significant movement in our cost of goods. Going forward for this year, I mean, certainly there's inflation. Nico touched on it earlier. Commodities will impact us in fertilizer with the NP and K, grains, and then some is still unknown, like grass seed, for example, because that harvest is still in front of us. But we do anticipate some inflation. Earlier, Tim talked about our net productivity work to try to offset that inflation. But we do plan on taking some pricing. It won't be this year. We will take our pricing in concert with the customers on their normal cadence, their cycle, with the upcoming year for F22. Okay.

speaker
Bill Chappelle

And then the last one for me, just on PET, appreciate the strength of the business, and certainly PET is on trend. But you could talk a little bit more beyond companion PET and just in terms of, you know, Were the growth rates of aquatics and reptile and bird similar to the overall category? Were they a lot lower? Was companion pet that much higher? You know, just kind of understanding what the makeup of that growth was.

speaker
spk08

Hey, Bill, this is John. Yeah, we're seeing, you know, solid growth rates across all animal types. You know, and, you know, as you know, we've got a live animal business that, you know, had double-digit, strong double-digit growth rate in Q2. And we also believe, you know, it's got a good start to Q3. And we also believe there's a lot of pent-up demand for more animals. So it's very, very wide, widespread across animal type.

speaker
David

Maybe putting a finer point on it, Bill, you When you say companion animal, are you saying dog and cat? Different people have different definitions.

speaker
Bill Chappelle

More with the gerbils and guinea pigs and fish and birds are growing.

speaker
David

That's where I was going, Bill. As you know, that rest of the animal kingdom beyond dog and cat is a big part of our business. That's where we've got some great brands and strong leadership positions. If you start with the animal itself, what our data shows is You know, dogs overall in this COVID period are up about 5% in terms of households owning dogs. Cats are up at around 5% as well. Sorry, dogs is up eight, cats are up five. And then all other pets are up about 11%. So we're seeing really strong growth in that all other what you call companion animal. And to John Hansen's point, we're seeing that reflected in the POS as well. And so, you know, we had a real strength, for example, in our aquatics business, our small animal business, our pet bird business, and supplies there, food and supplies. So we're seeing good growth in those other animal classes beyond the conventional dog and cat.

speaker
Bill Chappelle

That's great, Keller. Thanks so much.

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Brad Thomas with KeyBank Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Brad Thomas

Hi, good afternoon. Congrats on the continued momentum here. I wanted to follow up on some of the questions with the garden segment and see if maybe Tim, you or JD could give us a little more color about what you're hearing from your retailers as we get into May, how are trends going as we comp the increasingly difficult comparisons

speaker
spk14

um how are inventory levels and do the retailers want to keep those inventory levels up or are they um pulling back at all on their orders sure jd hi brad it's jd i'll take the question the um you know first of all i'd say we're just now starting to comp against the covet spike from last year the last couple of weeks until then uh business was pretty much the way, the strength of the business was very similar to the way it was over the prior three quarters. So we're just now starting to see some of the anticipated headwinds. I think the retailers are remaining very engaged and optimistic about the business. And they reflected that with their, you asked about inventories. They took a very aggressive position in getting the stores ready for the season. And that's helped with POS as well. At this point, I think we're all waiting to see how the season unfolds. We're two weeks into it. The weather hasn't been ideal, so we're starting to worry about weather maybe for the first time in the last year or so. I think that in terms of the stores being ready, they're certainly ready. We're ready from an execution standpoint. The big unknown here is consumers as they start to perhaps travel and gather, how engaged will they remain in our categories? And we believe that through demand creation and the retailers continuing to stay in the business, the consumer will stay engaged as well. But too early to tell, I'd say the next six weeks or so will shed a lot of light on this.

speaker
Brad Thomas

That's very helpful. Thank you, J.D. And if I could ask a follow-up about... and just thinking about high-level moving pieces, you clearly had a great quarter here. You've raised the full-year guidance, which is an at-least kind of number. You've given us commentary around how much acquisitions could add. I guess when we think about your outlook for the underlying organic business and we think about some of the investments you may be making and some of the rising markets you know, input costs, et cetera. How are you thinking about the level of investments versus the performance of the core business? We think about what you've assumed for the balance of the year.

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Well, I mean, we're pot committed on the investments. You know, we talked about the CapEx on the call being up 100%. And that's going to have, you know, a twofold impact. One, it's going to allow us to expand capacities and meet those fill rates and be a better service provider to our customers. And two, you know, to combat, you know, the commodity inflation and the labor issues is, you know, we're trying to automate more. So take cost out, consolidate different businesses into one location, and really work on becoming much more efficient in terms of how we produce product.

speaker
David

And the other part of the investment envelope, as Nico said, first part and the key part is CapEx. And the other is we will take this opportunity again in the back half of fiscal 21 to further invest in our consumer-oriented growth agenda. And that will include investments in sharpening consumer insights across both PET and GARDEN. We've got some brand investments planned on four or five of our biggest power brands across both PET and GARDEN. The benefits of that work will start to show up in 22. And then finally, the innovation agenda against those brands. So as we have exceeded some of our expectations here in the front half and given the call-up of the year, we're taking some of that favorability, consistent with the algorithm that Nico has shared at Investor Day, and reinvesting that back in our business in the back half.

speaker
Brad Thomas

Really helpful. Thank you, Tim. Thank you, Nico.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from William Reuter with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
William Reuter

Hi. I'm not sure what you can provide here, but you mentioned most of the price increases are going to go kind of when retailers reset towards the end of the year, except for those that were taken on some of the birdseed, myelomillet products. I guess, is there any way for us to get a sense for what type of cost of goods inflation you're estimating this year? I know you said there's some that's yet to come, but if you were just to put an estimate on it.

speaker
David

Well, first of all, I'll jump in and then Nico can build as well. I mean, first, I think the kind of first part of your question, premised, That is rooted on the garden side. So on garden, conventionally, you price at the beginning of the season and kind of intra-season price increases are things that our customers and we tend to like to avoid because, you know, the planograms are set and the season is executed. And so to your point, that's what JD covered in his earlier comments. On the pet side, We have more flexibility given the seasonality of the business to price more as needed. And I would say there are more frequent price increases on the pet side, including this year, than what we're seeing on the garden side. In general, the pricing this year, we believe when the year settles out, will be insufficient in covering the entire inflationary headwinds facing our business. That'd be inclusive of the commodity increases, the labor inflation, the freight inflation, particularly ocean freight, as Nico said earlier. So on a dollar basis, we'll fall a little short of covering all of that. We've got plans in place, as JD said earlier, and same on the pet side, to put in a fresh round of pricing at fiscal year end into the first of next year to recoup that. And I don't know, Nico, any further builds

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

No, I think you summed it up really well that, you know, the inflation piece is absolutely staggering. If I were to add any color, I would say the bulk of it is coming from commodities and transportation. And, you know, we're going to be aggressive on price, but we also believe it won't be enough to cover it completely. And we're going to have to figure out creative ways to take cost out of the business to try to maintain our margins. That'll be the challenge going forward.

speaker
William Reuter

That's all helpful. I guess I might get one more shot at it here. You know, there's things like urea that are up 50%, ocean freight are up 200%. Is there any number, so for the lawn and garden size, what I'm speaking at specifically here, those which you usually take when you have your shelf space resets at the end of the season, do you have a number you could give us? Just because these numbers are so big, it's hard to even guess at what the total inflationary number may be.

speaker
spk14

William, this is JD. With regard to urea specifically, really all of the inputs from diammonium, phosphate, urea, potash, all of those are escalating this year. I think one of the good things from our standpoint is most of our goods for this year were already built, so the impact for this year will be We'll feel it, but it won't be as significant for next year. We'll take pricing in our line reviews for the upcoming year. I know you're looking for a specific number here, but that's something we typically don't disclose.

speaker
William Reuter

Okay, thanks for taking the question. I'll pass to others.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Andrea Teixeira with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Andrea Teixeira

Hi, good afternoon, and congrats on the results. I was hoping if you can elaborate a little bit more on your assumptions for the categories. I know it's tough because obviously you were laughing tough comp ahead on the second half, but if despite these tough comparisons, obviously you called out the categories, you said 11% for companion animals, acts, cats, and dogs. And that's, you know, in gardening, obviously more people having that. Is there any other metric you can share for organic where you're still assuming like distribution gains or on top of the pricing to help us kind of bridge how we should be thinking on the second half? Obviously, you're probably going to go negative. I mean, your guidance, the minimum of is still kind of advanced. a really wide range of possibilities. I think you probably are conservative. It kind of implies as if at the bottom implies that you go negative on the top line. So can you help us like how negative like we should be assuming going forward? That would be super helpful. Thank you.

speaker
David

Sure. Tim, I'll take a broad shot at your question, Andrea. You know, I think first you got to step back and talk about garden versus pet because the dynamics are different. You know, from a kind of sales guidance standpoint, I'd go back in terms of long-term and guide consistent with what Nico and I guided at Investor Day. And that is, you know, our objective is to grow at or above the categories in which we compete. You know, for us, if you take out the COVID period, you know, that's a low single digit number. And that's what we're trying to do over time. We want to be the leaders in our categories and grow at or above that rate. Obviously, COVID threw a wonderful tailwind and wild card into it. And so if, you know, I think your question was a little bit more about the back half. You know, if you look at the front half, let's start with garden. You know, you're having POS trends in the mid-20s on a brick-and-mortar basis in terms of growth versus prior year. But as J.D. Walker said earlier, we are now getting into the key time frame of last year's, first of all, incredible weather garden season and, of course, all of the favorable stay-at-home COVID gardening impact. And so... We are definitely seeing in these last few weeks a slowdown of POS as we lap those huge mountains of last year. And as J.D. Walker said earlier, very honestly, on the garden side, weather does play a really important role. These last few weeks, particularly in the southeast, it's been unfavorable weather, a lot of severe weather. It's been wet weather. That's not good for garden season. And so we're taking a cautious approach here. on the garden side, but I think a prudent one and that's reflected in our guidance. On the pet side, you're also seeing very strong POS growth. Again, kind of right now in the 20s type of brick and mortar number and then north of 50% on the e-commerce number in terms of growth versus prior. We're also now just beginning to lap those early impacts of COVID prior year. And we're seeing a slight slowdown, but less than we're seeing on the garden side. And I think that's supported by that incremental pet adoption that I went through earlier on the call across dog, cat, and all other animal classes. And so on that one, we're, I would say, a little bit more bullish that the sportier trends can continue through the back half. And I think that's about as far as we'll go. We don't guide on sales intra-quarter. So we're not going to give you a number, but hopefully that helps you in terms of long-term expectations and then a few of the dynamics across the two industries.

speaker
Andrea Teixeira

That's super helpful. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Hale Holden with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Hale Holden

Hi. Thanks for taking the call. I just had two questions. The first one was... I was wondering if the increased sales velocity this quarter, then, you know, what you've talked about a little bit on the margin cost side, plus the three acquisitions you just closed, change your working capital assumptions kind of for the remainder of the year or not?

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Definitely. Um, these acquisitions come with, you know, inventory and the big, the big bump in inventory was largely driven by the acquisitions. Um, and then secondarily, you know, our organic, um, revenue grew substantially and so with that comes higher inventory levels and more AR. So we definitely ramped up and I would say we ramped up earlier on the working cap. So we saw the peak kind of hit earlier than what we normally experience.

speaker
Hale Holden

Got it. And then my second question is when you guys were thinking about the distribution center upgrades that you're doing and then the stuff you talked about yesterday in terms of e-commerce strategies, I was wondering if you were getting any pushback from some of your wholesale clients to do direct distribution ships from your DCs.

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Actually, it's more of a partnership where they're actually asking us to engage with them and to help them fulfill the direct-to-consumer type of shipment. So we're starting to do a little bit of that and it creates a really nice relationship with the retailer. We also have to be mindful that it needs to be profitable. So we're very clear on what our cost structure is and how to price that. And so far, we think it's working pretty well. We do have a ways to go in terms of getting better at it. So we're taking a continuous improvement mindset. But we feel like, you know, with the ship points that we have, it creates a nice extension for the retailers.

speaker
Hale Holden

Great. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jim Chartier with Monash, Crespi, and Hart. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Jim Chartier

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to circle back on the acquisitions. Maybe, I think it's in the cash flow statement, $734 million were spent on acquisitions. Maybe you could give us a blended multiple on EBITDA, on what you paid, on what you think maybe normalized EBITDA for those businesses is.

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Yeah, I'll give it a shot. I would say it's going to be a high single-digit multiple on what I would say a normalized kind of sustainable level. Two of them were, you know, one was double-digit. The big one, you know, again, if you do the math, it looks really reasonable, but we did normalize it. So that ups that multiples, but I would say it's high single digit.

speaker
Jim Chartier

Great. That's very helpful. Thanks. And then on the expansion projects, you know, where are you? Are those on track? Are you expecting to still get some benefit this year? And then, you know, are there opportunities for, you know, similar projects to undertake next year? Thanks.

speaker
David

Yes, they are underway across the patch. It's pretty broad-based, Jim. So, for example, significant investment in our dog and cat facilities that make both edible and plastic dog treats and toys and chews. Also significant investment and capacity expansion in our aquatics business. small animal and pet bedding, wild bird and grass seed and controls. So really across both garden and pet, we have put the tens of millions of dollars to work that Nico referenced in his commentary, doubling our CapEx budget. And yes, Jim, to your question, I would say let's call it maybe Two-thirds of that begins to come online in the back half of fiscal 21, the balance coming online in fiscal 22. Great.

speaker
Jim Chartier

And then, you know, I guess, you know, how much sales do you feel like you've missed over the last 12 months, you know, in those categories where you're expanding capacity?

speaker
David

Yeah, you know, always a little difficult to put a fine point on it, but I would say, Jim, it's, you know, on the timeframe you inquired about, it's in the, you know, tens of millions of missed opportunity associated with our, you know, capacity relative to the extraordinary demand presented over the last 12 months from COVID-19. Great. Thank you. And, you know, we're on it. We are not yet satisfied with our service levels to our retail partners. You can imagine that's an important part of our dialogue each day on both the garden and the pet side. But per the earlier commentary, we are on it in terms of adding capacity and recapturing that opportunity. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Carla Casello, JP Morgan. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Carla Casello

Hi. One question just color on, you raised your EPS guidance for the year and talked about cost increases. So does that imply that how much of the increase in the EPS is driven by this quarter's sales outperformance versus expected sales through the remainder of the year? Or are there any other below the line items SG&A or something below even the EBITDA line?

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Well, we typically, our policy is just a guide for the year, so we're not going to necessarily break out a quarter or first half versus second half. I will say that the first half has definitely exceeded what we thought it was going to be. That said, we do see continued momentum in the second half. I think You know, if you look at the magnitude of the raise in guidance, it's going to incorporate both halves. It's not just a first half story.

speaker
Carla Casello

Okay, great. And then can you talk about what you're seeing from an M&A pipeline standpoint, if any of that's on hold because of your focus on investing in your facilities? Yes.

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

No. I would say that, you know, we have a team of five that are conducting corp dev type of activities, and we still have a very robust pipeline. You know, one really doesn't have anything to do with the other. We have different people working on the expansions and then others working on deals. So I would say, you know, that won't slow us down. The only thing where we could have a little bit of a bottleneck would be on the integration side because we did all three, one after the other. We've got to get the accounting and the IT stuff synced up as far as integrating, but having cash and the capacity to do deals, we still have that. We just need to be mindful of our internal resources.

speaker
Carla Casello

Okay, great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Carol Martinson with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Carol Martinson

Good afternoon. Just to follow up on that with, you know, kind of a high single digit acquisition multiples out there, you know, where are you guys comfortable for taking leverage to, you know, while you integrate any potential acquisitions?

speaker
Tim Cofer Thanks

Sure. So, you know, as we've stated pretty consistently, our comfort zone is in that 3 to 3.5 times For the right deal, we would stretch and go to four and then deliver as quick as we could back to that comfort zone of three to three and a half.

speaker
Carol Martinson

Okay. And it's just on the labor inflation you guys mentioned, but I was curious as to the labor availability. We've been hearing that that's becoming a bit of a bottleneck. And is that something that you're seeing as you guys look to increasing incremental capacity?

speaker
David

Yeah, we can certainly confirm that dynamic. We are not immune to that. We are finding it more difficult in the last few months in particular, and I would say post the stimulus, most recent stimulus, in attracting and retaining hourly employees in a number of our key facilities. We're addressing that on a case-by-case basis, location-by-location. We are making some select adjustments to our compensation scheme, either temporary or permanent, based on that. You know, we're doing competitive market scans to understand and ensure that our rates are fair and competitive to other labor choices in that kind of radius. of our plants and our DCs. But to your point, we can definitely confirm that pressure. And, you know, that's one of the call outs we made in my and Nico's comments is that we are seeing some labor inflation in that kind of, you know, low to mid single digit range.

speaker
Carol Martinson

Thank you very much, guys. Appreciate it.

speaker
David

And I think, operator, with that, we're at time. So I'll take the opportunity to thank everyone for joining this quarter's call. Thank you for your interest in Central Garden and Pet. And if you have any further questions, please don't hesitate to reach out to Frederica and our investor relations team. Have a good day.

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's webcast. You may now disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation. And have a great day.

Disclaimer

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