4/30/2025

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Greetings and welcome to the Chef Warehouse First Quarter 2025 earnings conference call. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Alex Aldous, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Chief Government Relations Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Alex Aldous
General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Chief Government Relations Officer

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. With me on today's call are Chris Pappas, Founder, Chairman and CEO, and Jim Letty, our CFO. By now, you should have access to our first quarter 2025 earnings press release. It can also be found at .chefswarehouse.com under the investor relations section. Throughout this conference call, we will be presenting non-GAAP financial measures, including among others, historical and estimated EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA as well as historical adjusted net income, adjusted earnings per share, adjusted operating expenses, adjusted operating expenses as a percentage of net sales and as a percentage of gross profit, net debt leverage and free cash flow. These measures are not calculated in accordance with GAAP and may be calculated differently and similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures used by other companies. Quantitative reconciliations of our non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly financial measures appear in today's press release and first quarter 2025 earnings presentation. Before we begin our formal remarks, I need to remind everyone that part of our discussion today will include forward-looking statements, including statements regarding our estimated financial performance. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and therefore you should not put undue reliance on them. These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect. Some of these risks are mentioned in today's release. Others are discussed in our annual report on Form 10K and quarterly reports on Form 10Q, which are available on the SEC website. Today we are going to provide a business update and go over our first quarter results in detail. For a portion of our discussion this morning, we will refer to a few slides posted on the Chef's Warehouse website under the investor relations section titled first quarter 2025 earnings presentation. Please note that these slides are disclosed at this time for illustration purposes only. Then we will open up the call for questions. With that, I will turn the call over to Chris Papas. Chris?

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

Thank you Alex and thank you all for joining our first quarter 2025 earnings call. First quarter of 2025 business activity displayed typical seasonal cadence as revenue trends coming out of January increased steadily into February and March. During the quarter, our business units, international and domestic, delivered strong growth in unique item placements, solid operating leverage versus the prior year first quarter. As we enter the second quarter, revenue bills during the first few weeks of April continue to display typical seasonality. I would like to thank all our Chef's Warehouse teams from sales and operations to all the supporting functions for delivering a great start to 2025. I would also like to recognize our customer and supplier partners for their support and confidence in our people, quality and diversity of products and our high touch flexible distribution platform. Now please refer to slide three of the presentation. A few highlights from the first quarter include .7% growth in net sales. Specialty sales were up .7% over the prior year which was driven by unique customer growth of approximately 4.5%, placement growth of .7% and specialty case growth of 5.7%. Pounds in center of the plate were approximately .3% lower than the prior year first quarter. During the first quarter, we commenced attrition of certain low margin non-core customer business that had an impact of .7% lower year over year sales versus prior year quarter. The primary driver of the attrition was a high volume low dollar commodity poultry program acquired with an acquisition. Excluding this attrition, total center of the plate pounds grew growth with 3% higher than prior year first quarter. Gross profit margins decreased approximately 18 basis points. Gross margin in the specialty category increased approximately 6 basis points as compared to the first quarter of 2024 while gross margins in the center of the plate category decreased approximately 83 basis points year over year. Jim will provide more detail on gross profit and margins in a few moments. Now please refer to slide four. Chart one provides first quarter 2025 trailing 12-month update to gross profit dollars per route as compared to full year 2024 and 2019. Chart two provides first quarter 25 trailing 12-month adjusted operating expense as a percentage of gross profit dollars improvements by 36 basis points versus full year 2024 and 127 basis points versus 2019. First quarter 2025 trailing 12-month adjusted EBITR per employee increased 1% versus full year of 2024 and 19% versus 2019. Now please refer to slide five. The charts here display the progression of customer orders coming via our digital platform which include orders coming via mobile and website. As of the first quarter of 2025, approximately 58% of our customers ordering through our domestic specialty locations are online versus 56% a year end 2024 and 48% a year end 2024. Investments in our digital platform contribute to improve profitability over time as our teams drive online order adoption growth, enhancements to customer facing functionality, and real-time data analytics supporting our sales team. In addition, we continue to expand our digital footprint within Chef's Warehouse bringing Chef's Warehouse, Middle East, and Hardee's online during the last few months. With that, I'll turn it over to Jim to discuss more detailed financial information for the quarter and an update on our liquidity. Jim?

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

Thank you, Chris, and good morning everyone. I'll now provide a comparison of our current quarter operating results versus the prior year quarter and provide an update on our balance sheet and liquidity. Please refer to slide six. Our net sales for the quarter ended March 28, 2025, increased approximately .7% to 950.7 million from 874.5 million in the first quarter of 2024. Net inflation was .2% in the first quarter consisting of .8% inflation in our specialty category and .9% inflation in our center of the play category versus the prior year quarter. Reported inflation was impacted by two primary factors in the first quarter versus the prior year quarter. Prices in chocolate and egg category products remained elevated versus prior year with double digit -over-year inflation. Specialty product cross-sell growth in Texas as we combine our legacy specialty and protein sales with our Hardee's produce operation. Average revenue per case in Hardee's increased approximately 12% versus the first quarter of 2024 as the mix of lower volume, higher revenue cases increased. Excluding the impact of the Texas cross-sell growth, aggregate specialty inflation was approximately .1% and overall inflation for the company was approximately 3%. Gross profit increased .9% to 226 million for the first quarter of 2025 versus 209.4 million for the first quarter of 2024. Gross profit margins decreased approximately 18 basis points to 23.8%. Selling general and administrative expenses increased approximately .5% to 202.8 million for the first quarter of 2025 from 190.3 million for the first quarter of 2024. The increase was primarily due to higher costs associated with compensation and benefits, facilities and distribution to support sales growth and higher depreciation driven by facility investments. Adjusted operating expenses increased .5% versus the prior year first quarter and as a percentage of net sales, adjusted operating expenses were .8% for the first quarter of 2025. Operating income for the first quarter of 2025 was 22.7 million compared to 16 million for the first quarter of 2024. The increase in operating income was driven primarily by higher gross profit, partially offset by higher selling general and administration expenses versus the prior year quarter. Our gap net income was 10.3 million or 25 cents per diluted share for the first quarter of 2025 compared to net income of 1.9 million or 5 cents per diluted share for the first quarter of 2024. On a non-gap basis, we had adjusted EBITDA of 47.5 million for the first quarter of 2025 compared to 40.2 million for the prior year first quarter. Adjusted net income was 10.2 million or 25 cents per diluted share for the first quarter of 2025 compared to 5.9 million or 15 cents per diluted share for the prior year first quarter. Turning to the balance sheet and an update on our liquidity, please refer to the balance sheet. At the end of the first quarter, we had total liquidity of 278.9 million comprised of 116.5 million in cash and 162.4 million of availability under our ABL facility. As of March 28, 2025, total net debt was approximately 535.2 million, inclusive of all cash and cash equivalents. And net debt to adjusted EBITDA was approximately 2.4 times. Turning to our full year guidance for 2025, based on the current trends in the business, we are providing our full year financial guidance as follows. We estimate that net sales for the full year of 2025 will be in the range of 3.96 billion to 4.04 billion, gross profit to be between 954 million and 976 million. And adjusted EBITDA to be between 234 million and 246 million. Please note for the full year 2025, we expect the convertible notes maturing in 2028 to be dilutive and therefore we expect the fully dilutive share count to be approximately 46.3 to 47 million shares. Thank you and at this point we will open it up to questions. Operator?

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star and 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star and 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while we poll for questions. The first question comes from the line of Alex Slagle from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

speaker
Alex Slagle
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks. Good morning. Congrats on the quarter. I wanted to ask a little bit more on the tariffs and inputs. I know we've discussed it before, but just as it becomes more real, I think, maybe you could give some comfort there, kind of talk about the flexibility you have, just to kind of give us the latest on what you're thinking on that front.

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

We think there should be a terrorist peace talk. Good morning, Alex. You know, obviously we've been getting ready for this and I don't think anybody has clarity really where it's going to affect, where it will end up, but it's still a small percentage. A lot of the products, even though we import a lot of specialty foods, it's still a small percentage of our overall business. So I think that, you know, we always pass it on. Some of the suppliers, I think, if it really sticks, are probably going to eat some of it and there will be some pass on. You've got to remember the freight as well is part of the cost, so that's not getting tariffs. So I think we feel we're okay. Our category management team has gotten ahead. All suppliers want to sell products, so they're finding a way to make sure that their market share stays pretty steady. We have many alternative sources for a lot of our products. I think we've prided ourselves on, especially after financial crashes in 9-11, really diversify our supply chain. That's why we buy from so many different places and obviously we buy a tremendous amount in the U.S. We have a lot of artisan producers producing products for us that kind of mimic our South American and European supplies. So I'm pretty comfortable where we are.

speaker
Alex Slagle
Analyst, Jefferies

Great. A follow-up, your commentary on the demand environment, or at least your trends, seem pretty steady. I know there's been some stock market volatility. I'm kind of curious if there's any sense this is impacting demand at all on the upscale end, or from what you've heard or seen?

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

I think we say in our opening remarks, April was what we expected. From our chairs, we haven't really seen anything, maybe a few spots around the country that depend on maybe more seasonal tourism. But look at a good restaurant and try to get a seat. Their business seems strong. Weather is improving and all our clubs are opening. All our outdoor cafes are opening. So I think our diversity in our customer base and what we focus on, I would like to think that we're in better shape for any sort of economic slowdown than maybe the overall market. Again, if you go from $5 to $6 for a meal, that's a tremendous increase. If your entree goes from $26 to $28, I don't think a lot of people are going to use that as a reason not to go to a good meal. I'm hopeful for our 40 years of experience in this business serving this type of clientele that we're a little more insulated.

speaker
Alex Slagle
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks for the color.

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

Thanks

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Alex. Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Mark Carden from UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mark Carden
Analyst, UBS

Good morning. Thanks so much for taking the questions. In this quarter, guys, to start, we've seen some reports that international travel into the US has come down a bit. Would you expect for this to be a material headwind to your sales if it's sustained? Or does it tend to be a pretty modest factor?

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

Yeah, I'm trying to think of the last time we had an environment like this. Obviously, tourism is a big part of a lot of the major cities around the country. I don't see a panic in any of our hearing from any of our clientele. Again, a modest slowdown here or there. I guess besides the very best restaurants, we do so much business in the suburbs and local restaurants that really don't depend on tourism. There's still so much action around stadiums and sports and entertainment that bring people in to eat in a lot of the major cities. Our cruise ship business seems really solid. As of today, we're not really seeing anything or hearing anything from our clients.

speaker
Mark Carden
Analyst, UBS

Great. That's helpful. Then I know everything remains pretty fluid on the tariff front, but do you see much risk for tariffs having an impact on your facility growth plan? Just do your expansion activities get any tougher from an ROC standpoint, and just given the potential impacts on materials costs?

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

I think for the immediate future, for the projects that we have in place right now, we've moderated our capex versus the prior years in 2022 and 2023. We have a couple of projects that are underway right now. We don't see really any impact to those. That's our project in the Northwest we expect to complete at the end of the year, early 26. Our New Jersey Philadelphia project we expect to complete sometime towards the end of the summer of this year. In terms of going forward, we're making plans right now. We haven't really seen any kind of impacts at this time, so I think that's still TBD.

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

This reminds me kind of COVID. It made us smarter. We had to do less with more. I think in planning for the next next stage, we're looking at more technology ways to actually build smaller buildings and make them more efficient. The same way we look at our SKU rationalization plans, space is so expensive, labor is so expensive that finding new ways to service our clients but have a better handle on the cost of inventory. We always say we're the company that said yes, and now we're the company that says let's look at it. We'd like to, but it's going to cost more to do it this way. Our clients have been working with us. They understand the environment. I think it just makes us more disciplined and it forces you to be smarter because the costs have gone up. You have to do less with more is the way we've looked at it. Using technology really and all the AI we have and the experience in the company, we're just going to find a way to have that ROI work for us in these new buildings.

speaker
Mark Carden
Analyst, UBS

Great, thanks so much. Good luck, guys.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Peter Saleh from BTIG. Please go ahead.

speaker
Peter Saleh
Analyst, BTIG

Great, thanks for taking the question and congrats on the quarter. Just another question on the overall environment. Are you guys seeing any slowdown in new restaurant formation given the tariff uncertainty in the overall market? I know you need a fair amount of new restaurant formation or need to add some significant amount of gross new restaurants every year to continue this growth pace. Just curious if you're seeing any sort of slowdown on construction and new restaurant formation.

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

Thanks, Peter. No, not really. We always say restaurateurs open restaurants, a lot of new buildings, a lot of new developments especially in areas that have population growth. When you look at West Palm and you look at parts of Texas and places where the population is growing, you've got lots of new customers. I always think sometimes the data that comes out of, for the independent restaurants, I don't think the data is accurate enough to say what's happening with a lot of the independence, a lot of it's for change. You have so many new places opening since COVID that I think that affects sometimes the numbers of how many people are going in and out of the same restaurants. I think there's just so many that the business is getting more and more spread out. For us, really, that's a tailwind. We benefit from new restaurants. It's kind of a tailwind. We really haven't seen a slowdown. I think the only place that maybe has a little slowdown is those heavy, heavy tourist spots kind of like Vegas maybe during the week. I think they've been a little quiet and then the weekends are still boomed. Right now, in April, we haven't seen anything.

speaker
Peter Saleh
Analyst, BTIG

Great. Lastly, Chef Middle East, can you guys provide an update there? I believe last year at this time there was some weather, some flooding. Just curious how that business is performing.

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

Yeah, the business is performing great. We continue to see growth. I think we provided some of the demographic statistics at our investor day in terms of the number of hotels that are slated to come online between now and 2030. So it continues to perform. We opened our new facility at the end of December of last year and the team continues to grow and they're performing better than our expectations.

speaker
Peter Saleh
Analyst, BTIG

Thank you very much.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thanks Peter. The next question comes from the line of Andrew Wolf from CL King & Associates. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andrew Wolf
Analyst, CL King & Associates

Hi, good morning.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

I want to

speaker
Andrew Wolf
Analyst, CL King & Associates

ask if you might be able to comment on the relative performance within your customer segments. For example, how your understanding is fine dining or white tablecloth versus maybe upscale casual. I think Chris, you mentioned the country clubs are opening well. I asked that because I think Black Box had the fine dining not doing that great. Yeah, but the white tablecloth. I know it may not be the biggest segment within chefs, but I'm just trying to see how things queue up with some of the public information out there. Obviously your performance speaks for itself.

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

Yeah, I think you just have to look at the numbers. I still get 100 calls a week. I'm actually a concierge to get people reservations and I keep reminding them that's not what I do. It's really hard to get into any good restaurant. There's seasonality. I haven't seen that Black Rock comment. There's always people complaining and there's always restaurant business. Everybody wants to go to a good new restaurant. There's always someone that's losing a few covers a night. I think behavior, I expect it to change somewhat. Again, I always wanted to be in the wine business. I'm a wine lover, but I'm kind of glad I'm not at this point because I think that's where some of the slowdown is on the spend the beverage. In past slowdowns what we experienced is our business always did pretty well. Maybe the mix changes a little bit. I always say people go to a skirt steak versus a filet mignon and then they go to a glass of wine versus a bottle. Right now you have mocktails growing like crazy so they're taking the place for people that are choosing not to drink versus drinking a martini. There's always a lot of adjustments in the industry, but we haven't really seen anything Andy.

speaker
Andrew Wolf
Analyst, CL King & Associates

The other question, maybe it's more for Jim, I'm not sure, but could you comment on your gross profit dollars per case? The trend obviously was up, but maybe between the two main product categories?

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

Yeah, I think we're really pleased with just under 8% -over-year gross profit dollar growth and we've got good operating leverage on that growth. The one thing is we called out on the specialty side, we continue to grow gross profit dollars per case and you see that on the chart. The one thing was on the attrition from a big non-core customer that we called out in our prepared remarks. Excluding that, we had not only pretty good pounds growth but we had about 7% -over-year gross profit dollar growth revenue per pound on our center of the plate. That contributed to that overall gross profit dollar growth. So just excluding that attrition, really good gross profit dollar growth per unit and overall for both categories. Good.

speaker
Andrew Wolf
Analyst, CL King & Associates

All right, thank you. Thanks.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Kelly Banya from BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kelly Banya
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Hi, good morning Chris and Jim. Thanks for taking our questions. Good morning Jim. I actually just wanted to follow up on that point and how the attrition of the non-core customer exits, how that impacted the center of plate gross margin and I guess we should assume that kind of flows through for the next couple of quarters. But just helping us kind of model here the gross margin impact of that attrition and if there's any more planned attrition for the year that we should think about modeling.

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

Well, it's a big commodity poultry program, a few million pounds of commodity program. So the biggest impact is on our reported volume growth. So we'll continue to kind of call it out because it has an impact on the overall reported volume growth but from a margin perspective, the biggest impact on year over year margin has been the fact that prices are six or seven percent higher than they were in the first quarter of 2024 and then product mix changes. So it was really just a combination of we sold a greater volume of higher dollar center of the plate products in cases versus last year and obviously when you have that kind of inflation, price inflation, you're going to give up some margin to manage the customer's expectations and still get the gross profit dollar growth that you need. And so we're very pleased with our center of plates contribution to that overall 7.9 percent year over year gross profit dollar growth. But I would say more importantly for our customers and for what we watch is sequential inflation. And so during the first quarter, really from the beginning of the year, other than a little bit of volatility in February, sequential pricing in both specialty and center of the plate has been within pretty tight ranges. I mean obviously chocolate and eggs have been a little bit all over the place and very volatile at very high price levels. But other than that, inflation really hasn't been a sequential problem in the first quarter. So it will impact the year over year reporting but really those are the two factors, just product mix and price changes versus last year.

speaker
Kelly Banya
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, very helpful. I wanted to also just follow up on the tourism question and it sounds like you're definitely not seeing any impact there, maybe pockets. But just curious if you can give some numbers or share some anecdotes about how much the business has changed maybe versus pre-COVID where you've had some business shift outside of the more dense urban markets into the suburbs. How does that shift look from pre-COVID to today?

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

Oh, I think there was such a... As you know, I mean, I know some industries, the banking wants people back in the office five days a week. I don't know if that's really happening but we saw a boom that maybe people are going back in more but there's definitely more people working one to two days not commuting and eating more local where they live. Even in the cities, you live downtown, your office is uptown, you still see some demographic changes. So it's hard to really throw a dart at it, Kelly, but it's definitely rebalanced the business somewhat. There's still that boom in the cities when you have big events, shows, obviously conventions but the suburban restaurants, I would say many maybe are not doing the COVID numbers because nobody was going into the cities but it definitely has changed the landscape.

speaker
Kelly Banya
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, that is helpful. Maybe just another one here on the guidance. Obviously the Q1 was strong here on the top line and if you look at your guidance, it would kind of imply a little slower growth for the rest of the year. I'm assuming that's conservatism but maybe you can just talk about how you think about that. Is that conservatism? Do you want to just be conservative planning in this environment or anything else that we should be thinking about?

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

Yeah, Kelly, we generally don't change our guidance materially after the first quarter. Just in general, if you look back, just because you're through a quarter and you've got three quarters of the year left. So that's just a little bit of our normal practice. We did bring up very slightly the lower end just to reflect the strength of the first quarter and I think there's obviously some uncertainty around the macroeconomic environment given the tariff situation and the volatility around that. So it's also comparison driven. So if you, you know, we had a very strong second half of the year in 24. So if you look at our full year guidance, the growth level is lower than the first quarter year over year and that's just driven by comps and the fact that we're usually a little conservative coming out of the first quarter.

speaker
Kelly Banya
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Makes sense. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Todd Brooks from the Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

speaker
Todd Brooks
Analyst, Benchmark Company

Hey, thanks and good morning to you both.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Morning.

speaker
Todd Brooks
Analyst, Benchmark Company

Thanks. Quick question, Chris. You talked about the normal April seasonality and the kind of reopening. Todd, we can't hear you.

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

Todd, we can't hear

speaker
Todd Brooks
Analyst, Benchmark Company

you. Can you hear me now? Yeah.

speaker
Todd Brooks
Analyst, Benchmark Company

Much better. Sorry about that. Chris, you talked about that normal April seasonality, clubs reopening, outdoor dining reopening. Just wondering as you're talking to customers and looking at kind of that May-June window and obviously this is a big season for a lot of restaurants with moms, dads, and grads. So just wondering if there's any sort of booking activity going on into that May timeframe that you're getting kind of confidence in continuing activity when you talk to the clients?

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

Yeah, I mean, again, I haven't really heard any doom and gloom. I think most of our clientele is pretty confident. I think the only kind of noise I'm hearing is maybe some slowdowns in Las Vegas. But comparing -to-year comps, obviously coming out of COVID when nobody was traveling and then you couldn't get a room and then everybody was going to places out in Las Vegas. So I'm thinking maybe it's more normality at this point. That there's a lot of choices. I think the only place I hear a lot of noise is people that had a business boom, boom, coming out of COVID and they kind of expected it to stay. Kind of like when I hear from areas of Florida, our business in Florida is doing great, couldn't be happier with it and the growth. But you hear people still complain that it's not as busy as last year or the year before. And I'm like, well, Florida was one of the only places you can go to. So that was not a pace that could continue. People like choices, people go other places now. So we remain cautiously optimistic. Again, this is not a new business. We've been serving this type of clientele for 40 years, actually exactly 40-year anniversary. And there are spots that do slow down and there's other spots that kind of pick up. So kind of gives us a balance. I would say maybe you're giving up, maybe if you're a family on a budget and you're going to cut back a little bit but you still book that cruise vacation for your family, you're probably going to go on that. Unless you lose your job, you're going to go on that vacation or you're going to go on that birthday or anniversary event or you're going to have that bar mitzvah or wedding or christening party. So I remain cautiously optimistic.

speaker
Todd Brooks
Analyst, Benchmark Company

Perfect, thanks. And then Jim, a follow-up question. You spoke to the inflation levels during the quarter and that there's an element of that that was impacted from just the Hardee's business really getting in Christmas parlance, chefatized and starting to cross-sell more specialty product. Is there a way from a modeling standpoint that you could level set assumptions for where your thoughts are on inflation right now for the balance of the year, either taking into account or backing out the tailwind from this improved cross-sell at Hardee's?

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

Yeah, I would just kind of range around what we talked about in our prepared remarks. If you exclude the Hardee's cross-sell, just the increase in their average case price because we're starting to grow the specialty part of the business as we integrate, inflation was around 3% and then within that 3% you still have chocolate prices which are significantly higher than last year. Once again, sequentially for the first quarter they haven't changed that much. They've been trading within a range, a pretty tight range, but at much higher levels than a year ago. And then everybody's aware of what's happening with egg prices. They're down pretty significantly from where they were in the fourth quarter and last year, but they're still at an elevated level and they're pretty volatile. So that's all within that 3%. So once again, I just think you exclude those two things and you're in that 2% to 3% range that we tend to model when we forecast out and really no real commentary beyond that.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Okay, perfect. Thank you both.

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

Thanks.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

We take the next question from the line of Ben Cleave from Lake Street Capital Market. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ben Cleave
Analyst, Lake Street Capital Market

All right, thanks for taking my questions. I'm curious about the non-core exit that you have noted here. Specifically, I'm wondering about when that was decided to be exited and when that exit was first included in your guidance. If today is the first day or if that was included back when you first announced at ICR.

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

Yeah, it's a program that we knew we would have trid out of at some point. So we factored it into the range of our guidance. It's a kind of program that is not typical for us. We inherited it within acquisition and we worked to make it as profitable as possible, but these kind of programs go out to bid and then you decide whether you can make it profitable or not. And so it just happened that the attrition started in the first quarter and we had already kind of built it into our guidance. So the timing from those things you can never time them perfectly but that's really the cadence.

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

And I think when we forecast I mean you don't know when things actually are going to be bid out and you're going to give up. We don't fire customers but it's not what we do. Some of these acquisitions we have they come along with I call it non-core business. So we kind of build in good guys, bad guys. So you know that something you're probably going to lose something like this and then you're probably going to pick up something else. And that's why I think Jim does a pretty good job with the team helping build the forecast and the numbers go up and down a little bit but kind of by the end of the year they're kind of evening out with the upside. Usually when something like this happens we have more capacity on trucks so now we're not adding more routes. We're just filling up the routes that left a little vacuum. So it actually starts to become a much more profitable business. We did that in New England so we have a lot of experience having done this with all the past acquisitions and we call it chefacizing their business and kind of changing it. I mean one of our business that we bought that was making barely any money and four years later they've got $10 million of EBITDA. So I think we're very confident in our strategy and not that we want to fire customers but I always say we're a for-profit business and it's just not what we do and maybe they're better off with a different model. We don't run someone else's company but we know what it costs to run a truck and make a delivery and numbers have to make sense. So I think it's going to be constant. It's a constant thing that we're going to experience forever.

speaker
Ben Cleave
Analyst, Lake Street Capital Market

And that totally makes sense and the strategic and financial rationale here is certainly appropriate. Jim, is it a fair characterization that maybe some part of this business was included in your initial guidance back in January, February and now there's no part of this on a go-forward basis that's included. So the effective reiteration of guidance that you have today is kind of better than it looks because there's an exited business now that's no longer included.

speaker
Jim Letty
CFO

I think Chris really kind of framed it appropriately that when we're building our guidance we factor in the potential loss of this type of stuff but also the potential gains that we may not have factored into the guidance. So, I mean net-net we raise the bottom end of our top line guidance which is really just flowing through a little bit of the goodness that we've got from Q1. But, you know, like we said we factored in knowing that this was probably going to go away.

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

But not knowing exactly the business. So, December when we're doing our budgets in November for 25 we don't know that this will this account will tell us that they don't want to pay the increase. But I think we just forecast on say $4 billion of sales you're going to have some of this that's going to happen and you're going to have some good stuff coming so balance so maybe it gets a little squishy in a quarter or so but like we always say the Italians always say you throw everything in a pot and somehow it makes broth and that's kind of our business when you're selling mostly independents and then you sprinkle in a few of these I call it non-core customers and we look at it when we're buying companies we're like you know what we know eventually this is going to go away it's not what we do. So, while we have it we try to figure out the next stage of the strategy the way I look at it is if you've got clunky low margin business inside of an acquisition you know we model it over 4 or 5 years it'll go away and those routes are going to be repurposed with more business that we do so it's a little headwind when it goes away at once and then the rebuilding starts and it looks really much much better over that 4 year period.

speaker
Ben Cleave
Analyst, Lake Street Capital Market

That makes perfect sense I appreciate the collar congratulations really good start Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Ladies and Chairman as there are no further questions I will now hand the conference over to Chris Papas for his closing comments.

speaker
Chris Pappas
Founder, Chairman and CEO

Well we thank everyone for joining us today we're really proud of our team in you know in turbulent times with a lot of noise in the air we think the CW team does a tremendous job in delivering the kind of quarter we've delivered and I think our shareholders are proud of them too so thank you everybody for joining today and look forward to our next call.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. Ladies and Chairman the conference of the Chef warehouse has now concluded. Thank you for your participation you may now disconnect your lines.

Disclaimer

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