This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.
Clarus Corporation
11/7/2024
Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in today's conference call to discuss Claris Corporation's financial results for the third quarter ended September 30th, 2024. Joining us today are Claris Corporation's Executive Chairman, Oren Kanders, CFO, Mike Yates, President of Black Diamond Equipment, Neil Fisk, Management Director of Claris Adventure Segment, Matthew Hayward, and the company's External Director of Investor Relations, Matt Berkowitz. Following the remarks, we'll open the call for your questions. Before we go further, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Berkowitz as he reads the company's safe harbor statement within the meaning of the Private Security Litigation Reform Act of 1995. That provides important cautions regarding forward-looking statements. Matt, please go ahead.
Thank you. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that during today's call, we will be making several forward-looking statements, and we will be making these statements under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Security Litigation Reform Act. These forward-looking statements reflect our best estimates and assumptions based on our understanding of information known to us today. These forward-looking statements are subject to potential risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results of operations or financial conditions of Claire's Corporation to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. More information on potential factors that could affect the company's operating and financial results is included from time to time in the company's public reports filed with the SEC. I would like to remind everyone this call will be available for replay starting at 7 p.m. Eastern time tonight. A webcast replay will also be available via the link provided in today's press release, as well as on the company's website at clariscorp.com. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Claris' Executive Chairman, Warren Kanders.
Good afternoon, and thank you for joining Claris' earnings call to review our results for the third quarter. I am joined today by our Chief Financial Officer, Mike Yates, as well as Neil Fisk and Matt Hayward, who will discuss our outdoor and adventure segments, respectively. While our businesses continue to deal with significant headwinds in the near term, operating against a backdrop of constrained consumers in the outdoor space, our focus in the third quarter was on advancing Clarissa's strategic plan, position the company for long-term profitable growth, 2024 was expected to be a year of simplification for our outdoor segment and one of investment to scale our adventure segment. There remains significant work outstanding to execute on our multi-year growth initiatives. Yet we believe the steps we have taken and investments we have made to date will deliver significant long-term benefit. And Neil and Matt will provide more specific comments about the incremental progress made in each segment during the third quarter. At Outdoor, we've been pleased with the team's steady progress, executing initiatives focused on further simplification, strengthening the core, and improving the quality and composition of our inventory to focus on the best and most profitable styles. As Neil will detail in greater depth, our goal has been to build a smaller, more profitable business, and today's results are evidence that the strategies that we have implemented are working. While Outdoor revenue declined year over year, Consistent with market softness and our expectations, adjusted EBITDA was up 25%. I'd also like to highlight that the challenging market conditions we are experiencing represent an opportunity, as it is our view that consumers tend to favor the highest quality options in this type of retail environment. We have seen Black Diamond grow share in its core categories in recent quarters, and we expect to continue to take share in our most important categories moving forward. Turning to our venture businesses, our objective to scale the segment to a global footprint has not yet come to fruition. Performance was in line with expectations for the first two months of the quarter, but results were ultimately affected by market softness in September in both North America and Australia. We believe we have taken appropriate corrective actions to right-size our cost-based venture without impacting the growth investments we made in the first half of 2024. The team has undergone significant changes this year as we work towards an organizational structure that is expected to allow us to effectively scale at brands in Australia, the US and international markets. Overall, while we are in different places on the turnaround curve for each segment, we are encouraged by the steps Neil and Matt have taken. And we believe that we have laid the foundation to drive increased profitability and unlock new growth opportunities moving forward. With that, thank you for being with us today, and I will turn the call over to Mike.
Thank you, Warren, and good afternoon, everyone. On today's call, I'll provide a brief third quarter update before turning it over to Matt and Neil to review the segment performance. I will conclude with a more detailed summary of our third quarter financial results, followed by a question and answer session. Beginning on slide four, We took additional steps forward during the third quarter that are expected to position Claris for sustainable, long-term profitable growth as market conditions normalize. As you just heard from Warren, our objective at Black Diamond is to simplify and focus on the core, and that remains on track. Inventories are in decent shape and are trending towards the low $60 million range at the end of the year, with over 70% of that balance comprised of A styles. This compares favorably to the same point last year when we had approximately $70 million of inventory on hand at Outdoor. Additionally, we have managed our PFAS inventory exposure at Outdoor very well and on our way of having this behind us. One other critical element to understand at Outdoor is the composition of revenues. We are expecting full year revenue to be approximately 20 million less in 2024 compared to 2023, which is intentional. It's a direct result of our simplification strategy as we lean into our best products with our best customers. For the full year 2024, we're on track for nearly 30 million less revenues from our C&D products and categories due to the simplification process. It's also due to the market conditions. However, this $30 million decrease is offset by $10 million higher revenue from our A-Styles. This is exactly what we were trying to do in order to improve the profitability at outdoors. Remember, our A-Styles have higher volumes and, most importantly, higher gross margins. So we are seeking to build an outdoor business with higher gross margins, higher profitability, and inventory that will turn more and help improve our working capital. This is the foundation from which we will grow the business in the future. Results in our venture segment were impacted by a weak market in September. Following a broad corporate realignment and recent leadership appointments, we are focused on taking incremental steps in line with our strategic roadmap to quickly identify challenges and solutions to deliver month-over-month improvement. After the quarter's end in October, we restructured our cost base across the entire venture segment with the expectation of an annual run rate saving of $2.4 million. These actions were carried out carefully and deliberately, and we believe they will not have an impact on the critical investments necessary to scale the business for our strategic roadmap. We remain confident that the significant investments we have made in 2024 will deliver long-term benefits specifically as we look to build out a best-in-class product ecosystem for global customer base. Moving to the bottom of the slide, I would like to reiterate that a key attribute to the new CLARIS is our debt-free balance sheet. We ended the third quarter with over $36 million of cash on hand, which provides optionality to allocate capital for the benefit of shareholders. Our payables position is clean going into the fourth quarter. as we entered with a balance of $12.7 million versus $26.4 million at the same time last year. We also entered Q4 with $54.3 million of receivables, the vast majority of which are due before the end of the year. With limited purchases required to hit our revenue goals for the rest of the year, this fact pattern gives us confidence that we will be cash flow positive in Q4. In terms of priorities, we are committed to reinvesting in our existing two segments to seek to drive organic growth. We expect to continue to pay our quarterly dividend and selectively look at small bolt-on M&A opportunities that may enhance our adventure business in the U.S. and new geographies. Before I turn the call over to Matt, I'll briefly highlight a few key figures on slide five. Claris' third quarter revenue of $67.1 million and adjusted EBITDA of $2.4 million were short of our Q3 forecast. As a result, we've updated our full outlook, which I will outline later during the call. However, I am very pleased with the momentum that we saw at the gross margin level during the third quarter. During the third quarter, consolidated adjusted gross margins of 37.8% for a year-over-year improvement of 420 basis points was realized. At a segment-level gross margin, outdoor adjusted for the PFAS reserve was 37.0% compared to 31.2% in the third quarter last year, a 580 basis point improvement. This improvement is structural. and a direct result of the team embracing the simplification strategy to sell more of our highest margin, high-volume products, those A-styles I just referred to. Neil will spend more time on this in a few minutes, but we are changing the bones of BD. We are simplifying and taking complexity out of the business, resulting in higher gross margins, and we are actively managing costs through improved processes and believe we can double- can be a double-digit adjusted EBITDA business on an annual basis going forward at outdoor. Despite the positive momentum overall, unfortunately during the third quarter, our consolidated financial results continue to be affected by near-term pressure on the business both at adventure and outdoor. But we believe we have the building blocks in place to execute our multi-year strategic plan. I'll now pause and turn the call over to Matt Hayward, Managing Director of Claris' Adventure segment.
Thanks, Mike. I'll begin my remarks on slide six. Consistent with our stated goals, our objective is to scale our portfolio of adventure brands globally. We are making progress operationally to build a new product and sourcing engine that can support healthy growth and deliver newness consistently across our different regions and channels. While I am pleased with our progress, our ramp up and acceleration remains a work in progress as we balance near-term performance goals with investment and critical foundations to deliver our future. We remain confident in our established strategic roadmap that was outlined previously this year and are taking the necessary corrective steps to begin to accelerate in 2025 across all channels and product categories. Q3 financial results reflect an abrupt slowdown in September in our home markets. coupled with a unique set of events that have impacted our business that we believe are short-term in nature. New vehicle sales in Australia were down nearly 12% overall from the last comparable period last year versus the growth we saw in the new vehicle market in the first half of this year. We managed through a one-time supply chain disruption that resulted in low safety stock levels and key product. Likewise, one of our important OEM partners experienced supply chain disruption on their own, which caused them to halt production until Q1 of 2025. These events impacted our OEM business the most and dampened the expected wholesale growth in our core roof rack business the most. For context, overall, our sales were down 11.9% versus the prior comparable quarter in 23. Our total wholesale channel was off 2.5%, largely impacted by a key account in the ANZ, our home market, facing group-level inventory challenges unrelated to our product, which we expect to alleviate over the next 12 months. And we're working with them in partnership to work through this. Furthermore, while the OEM channel accelerated during the first half of 2024, we experienced a one-time halt in volume at one customer, which drove a 58% decline in OEM sales in the quarter as compared to the prior year. These circumstances did not impact our accessories category, which was a bright spot in the quarter. Led by Maxtrax's 16% sales growth over the prior comparable quarter in 2023. We also improved our gross margins at Maxtrax by 850 basis points, which all flowed through to overall profitability. Our revenue growth at Maxtrax includes new OEM growth as global automotive partners continue to recognize the power of the brand for their customers. Looking at our specific geographies and channels, we were pleased with the trends for the first eight months of the year across Australia and New Zealand, supported by net sales, gross profit, and EBITDA consistent with our internal expectations. But market softness abruptly revealed itself in September. Q3 sales in the US and rest of the world reflected a continuation of the slow momentum that characterized the first six months of the year for us. As previously announced, We have newly established leadership in both of these channels and markets that came through partway through this quarter. We expect these regions to be challenged while we integrate additional new team members and launch our strategic initiatives in line with global initiatives. However, we are excited about the investments we've made this year to accelerate our brands and the brand traction in these key markets for our long term. As it relates to initiatives in the US, in addition to announcing the hiring of our new GM, We've also brought in a new head of sales who will start in a month as we set up critical programming for 2025. In EMEA, we continue to lay the groundwork to expand existing relationships while adding new customers for 2025. We've already added new distributor relationships in the Middle East recently, and as recent as the last two months, also additionally in South Africa. I would like to spend a few minutes highlighting the operational efforts that we are making within the organizations. First and foremost, we have developed an entirely new product development and product commercialization process over the last year that will begin showing itself in the coming months. Following the extremely successful launch of our Pioneer 6 platform globally, I'm very proud of the work the team has put into successfully introducing another new platform developed specifically for the American market and customer. Our new recon platform launched at CIMA this week. A new product that further enhances our leadership across the platform category And we have also started to introduce our new sports range across Crossbar Solutions, vital for international markets. Simultaneous with the product changes, we've been rolling out a new website platform and experience focus on presenting more lifestyle category solutions and a better fit my vehicle solution. Optimizing our website to make it easier for consumers to understand our product and also for our wholesale partners to get the support they need in their purchasing journey. We still have work to do on this front, but we're tracking to be through this part of the digital transformation in Q1 2025. Lastly, we have realigned elements of our global organization to better support local markets. We implemented one-time structural changes to streamline the business and eliminate redundancies. As mentioned in March this year, evolution across our brands to operate as one adventure segment versus the sum of parts is crucial as we look to grow globally. While these were difficult decisions, we determined that now was the time to take the proactive steps to ensure that we have the appropriate baseline in place to deliver the profitable growth we expect in 2025. I'd like to now turn the call over to Neil Fisk, President of Black Diamond.
Thanks, Matt. Turning to slide seven, I will provide an update on the outdoor segment's Q3 results and progress in the year to date. At our investor day earlier this year, We laid out a plan for Black Diamond that focused on simplifying the business, strengthening the core, exiting unprofitable categories and styles, improving gross margins, right-sizing inventory, reshaping the organization, revamping the supply chain, and lowering our overall cost structure. We said we would build a smaller, healthier, more profitable business, and we are delivering on those objectives. Today, I am pleased to report that we are executing well against the plan and seeing the results start to take place. Despite a quarter which was down 19% on the top line, our adjusted EBITDA was up 25% versus prior year. Importantly, as we roll forward all the changes we have implemented, the run rate profitability of the business is substantially improved. to the point where the business is now expected to deliver prospectively an annual double-digit EBITDA margin on the current volume of sales. Gross margins are lifting, and we believe they will continue to expand. Our inventories are in better shape, both in the aggregate and higher in the quality of inventory we have against our A styles, which are the highest margin and highest volume products. As Mike mentioned, A-Styles make up 70% of our inventory at September 30, 2024. Service levels and fill rates have improved substantially, and much more positive feedback from our retail partners reflects all the progress we've made. We will enter 2025 with most of the heavy lifting behind us and with a much healthier business from which we can start to grow again. I'm grateful for the hard work of our teams and the ability of the organization to execute on so many fundamental changes in such a compressed timeframe. It's a testament to the passion, skill, experience, and deeply held commitment our employees have to this incredible brand. As we look at revenues for the quarter, the results reflect a global outdoor market that is still in recession from its peak of 2022. But also, the simplification moves we have made, such as exiting the binding distribution business and a less promotional stance versus prior year when we were clearing a lot of excess inventory. By region and channel, North America wholesale was down 22.3%, North America digital D2C was down 4.4%. Europe wholesale was down 8.1%. Europe D2C was up 11.9%. And our international distributor markets were down 29.2% and still correcting from the overbought inventory levels as discussed earlier in the year. Looking at the quality of our revenue, the picture looks much healthier as reflected in improving gross margins. Gross margins were up 200 basis points year over year and up 580 points when excluding the PFAS reserve we have taken to ensure we are compliant with new regulations and retailer requirements by 2025. Based on the work we have done to simplify the line, improve sourcing, and create more margin and creative new products, we believe that product margins will continue to lift steadily through 2025 and 2026. This is a major driver of our more profitable operating model. On the cost side, operating expenses were down 13.1 percent versus the prior year. Excluding restructuring expenses from both years, costs were down 10.4 percent. We expect that operational improvements we have implemented will continue to improve our cost ratios, and operating leverage in the go-forward model. As we look ahead to Q4 and to 2025, while we see continued challenges at the consumer and retail level, we believe we have positioned the business not only to absorb these challenges, but to expand our EBITDA margins in the process. We are maintaining a pragmatic, cautious outlook for 2025 knowing that we have the ability to respond to a market rebound based on the quality of our inventory position and a stronger operating platform. Let me reiterate, the core of the business is much healthier now and capable of delivering double-digit EBITDA margins even without top-line growth. That said, we are confident that our growth initiatives in product channels, marketing, and geographic position position Black Diamond for return to growth as the market stabilizes. We are pleased with our progress in strengthening the brand and building a healthier, more resilient, more profitable business. With that, I'll turn it over to Mike.
Thank you, Neil. Turning to slide eight, I'll begin with a summary of our financial performance in the third quarter. As a reminder, and as we have noted previously, Given the sale of the Precision Sports segment for approximately $175 million, which closed in the first quarter of the year, our U.S. GAAP results are comprised of outdoor and adventure segments, and results are referred to as continuing operations. Third quarter sales were $67.1 million compared to $81.3 million in the prior year third quarter. The 17% decline in total sales was driven by a decrease in outdoor sales segment of 19% and a decrease in the adventure segment of 12%. FX was immaterial in the quarter. Moving to consolidated gross margins, in the third quarter, gross margin was 35.0% compared to 33.6% in the year-ago quarter. The improvement was primarily a result of product simplification and skew rationalization efforts in the outdoor segment that we just highlighted. as well as favorable channel mix due to lower OEM sales and higher Maxtrax revenue at the adventure segment. Adjusted gross margin reflects the PFAS reserve, which was $1.9 million in the third quarter. Adjusted consolidated gross margin was 37.8% compared to 33.6% in the year-ago quarter, a 420 basis point improvement. Adjusted gross margin by segment was as follows. Outdoor was 37.0% of 580 basis points and 40.1% at Adventure, down 60 basis points compared to last year due to the dilutive impact of the tread outdoor acquisition. Q2 selling, general, and administrative expenses were $27.9 million compared to $28.4 million in the same year-ago quarter. The decrease was primarily due to lower retail expenses because of our decision to close unprofitable retail stores at outdoor, as well as a successful implementation of other expense reduction initiatives to manage costs at the outdoor segment. This was partially offset by investments at the adventure segment in global marketing and e-commerce initiatives, to accelerate growth as well as the incremental SG&A cost as a result of the tread outdoors acquisition completed in Q4 of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter was $2.4 million or an adjusted EBITDA margin of 3.6% compared to adjusted EBITDA of 3.6 million or an adjusted EBITDA margin of 4.5% in the same year-ago quarter. Our adjusted EBITDA is adjusted for restructuring charges, transaction costs, and stock compensation expenses, as well as movements in the PFAS inventory reserve. Additionally, beginning in the first quarter of the year, we adjusted for legal costs associated with the Section 16B litigation and Consumer Product Safety Commission, known as the CPSC matter. These legal costs were $394,000 in the third quarter. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA by segment was $250,000 at Adventure and $4.4 million at Outdoor. Adjusted corporate cost was $2.2 million in the third quarter. Next, let me shift to liquidity. At September 30, 2024, cash and cash equivalents were $36.4 million compared to $11.3 million at December 31, 2023. Total debt? on September 30, 2024, was zero compared to $119.8 million at the end of 2023. Our reduced debt and substantially improved cash position reflects the closing of the Precision Sports sale in February of 2024 and determination and repayment in full of our credit agreement. Consolidated cash tax expense for the full year 2024 is expected to be $2 to $3 million, which will allow us to maintain most of the net cash realized from the sale of Precision Sports. Free cash flow, defined as net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures for the third quarter of 2024 was an outflow of $9.4 million. As a reminder, We have NOL carry forwards for U.S. federal income tax purposes approximately $7.7 million at December 31, 2023. The company expects to utilize all the remaining NOLs in their entirety this year. Before turning to our outlook, I would like to provide an update on the outstanding Section 16B securities litigation matters that the company is pursuing. We continue to proceed in our lawsuit against Hap Trading LLC, and Mr. Harish A. Padilla. Both fact discovery and expert discovery have now been concluded. The court received a motion for summary judgment from the defendants, as well as a motion challenging our expert. We don't expect to hear the outcome of these motions until the spring of 2025. If this matter goes to trial, we expect the trial to commence towards the end of 2025. We also filed a lawsuit against Caption Management and its related entities and control persons. Those defendants filed a motion to dismiss on June 27th. We filed opposition papers on July 25th and reply papers were filed on August 15th, 2024. We are waiting for the court to opine on the motion to dismiss. Moving on to our 2024 outlook on slide nine, we have lowered our top line guidance and expect sales to range between $260 to $266 million for the full year 2024. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations is now expected to be in the range of $7 to $9 million or an adjusted EBITDA margin of 3.0% at the midpoint of revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance. We now expect capital expenditures to range between $5 million to $6 million and adjusted free cash flow to range between a negative $6 million to a negative $8 million for the full year 2024. This includes $7 million of cash outflows related to precision sports prior to disposal. Based on our updated forecast, fourth quarter sales are expected to be approximately $70 million and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $5 and $7 million. I want to reiterate that our outlook does not include any expense for ongoing litigation specifically related to Section 16 matters, the CPSC matter, or further increases in the PFAS-related inventory reserves. However, regarding PFAS-related inventory, the team has done a great job dealing with this situation, and I don't expect further reserves associated with this inventory going forward. Since Q4 of last year, we have reserved approximately $4.2 million for PFAS, which is consistent with how we framed this exposure back during our year-end call in early March of 2024. And I don't expect the need for additional reserves related to PFAS at this point in time going forward. We expect to generate approximately $20 to $22 million of free cash flow in the fourth quarter. If achieved, we would expect to have a cash balance above $50 million at the end of the year compared to the $36.4 million at September 30, 2024. Before I move on from discussing our outlook, I want to be very clear regarding what has changed. We still expect outdoor revenue to be approximately $185 million, consistent with what we've been guiding to all year. However, adventures revenue is now expected to be closer to $78 million. This totals $263 million of revenue for the full year 2024, which is our midpoint of our top-line guide I just presented. The $12 million decline in revenue at Adventure from our previous guide is due to the several factors, including certain wholesale and OEM partners not purchasing in the back half of the year, as expected, as well as slower uptake in our recently launched e-com initiatives, and the impact from the soft market in the USA in the first half of the year that has not improved in the back half of the year. Based on our continued operational progress to date at Outdoor and the roadmap in place at Adventure to guide us towards the next phase of profitable growth, we remain confident that we can deliver significant long-term value for Claris shareholders. We have an outstanding team in place supported by debt-free balance sheet to take the next steps in our turnaround and position ourselves for a better 2025. At this point, operator, we are ready to take questions.
Thank you. To ask a question, you need to press star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for a name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please stand by. We compile the Q&A roster. One moment for our first question. Our first question comes from Jim Duffy from Stiefel. Your line is up.
Thank you. Good afternoon. Hey, Matt, I had a question for you on the OEM contribution to the business, where that stands right now, where you see the OEM mix opportunity. And then I imagine you're just off of SEMA. If you have any update or color on discussions you had with OEM prospects at SEMA. Thank you.
Hi, thanks. Great question. Look, OEM, one of the key things is, as mentioned, I think in our last call, we have invested. Structurally, we've got a new global head of OEM sales. This role is now based in the US. Previously, everything's been run out of Australia. And with this adjustment and structure, it's really focusing on growth internationally, knowing that the US is a prime part of that. Over the last quarter, David Cook in this new role has stepped in and is basically working with the three regional GMs to go through a top 10 analysis of all the, I guess, the lead autos in each market. As you know, there's two opportunities within our OEM market. One is dealer programs that we haven't stepped into previously, and we're now opening up conversations to launch those as soon as Q1 in 2025. These dealer programs are based on accessories that we have in our range, and don't need to go through the same product development pipeline that you would for custom and product-specific platforms for the brand. But on top of that, the focus is really making sure that across EMEA, with our new regional lead there, and in the US, we're meeting all of the key partners. You mentioned CIMA. CIMA was filled with meetings across all of the, I guess, the top five, top ten automakers, and also looking at the opportunities with partners in Asia as well that are coming to light, in Australia especially. So it is a lot of, I guess, forward-looking investment. The pipelines typically are a two- to three-year timeline from start to finish on product-specific platforms, but we're hoping to offset those long-term growths with short-term dealer programs. But, yeah, a lot of work has been done, and we're hoping to see that come to life in 2025. Thank you.
And then a question on the Australia-New Zealand marketplace. Appreciate the economy and consumer spending has been challenged there. Just thoughts on a go-forward basis looking into 2025. Any hope for rate reductions to breathe new life into demand, new vehicle demand or aftermarket demand? Any thoughts that would be helpful? Thank you.
Yeah, again, it's almost a tale of two halves, as you mentioned. A very, very strong H1 across Q1 and Q2 with new vehicle deliveries really breaking records. As of June this year, there was a slowdown in monthly vehicle sales, and that's rolled through into our results. Moving into kind of Q4 and into Q4, we are in our peak season. We are seeing the commercials ramp up. November and December, we are typically in peak trading period for Australia alone. And outside of vehicle sales, we are seeing robustness return. Our globally, I guess, world famous platform P6 is trading well to the point that we've had to make sure we ramp up volumes to really take care of that demand. I think the other thing to kind of mention is New Zealand's been a offset of the Australian business. And we're there putting a lot more, I guess, strategic focus on that individual market, which has different nuances, similar, I guess, to the US and Canada. New Zealand is a lot more of a trade-based business, and we've recently launched our trade initiative, looking after fleet and service vehicles, and we see an opportunity across both Australia and New Zealand for that. In 25, you'll see also the fruits of product development, 12 to 16 months' worth of product development start to come through, and these are ranging on new platforms, across most of our categories in the business that haven't been fresh for probably about the last 10 years. So all of these initials look to kind of counterbalance degrees of softness of either vehicle or partner sales. And there's a lot more focus on channel segmentation and product segmentation that we also haven't previously done with our main market in Australia. Not kind of mincing words, but previously been a a company that's offered kind of everything to everyone, and we're making sure we're really servicing our accounts with a bit more of their specific needs for their specific customers. And that's what we expect to see rolling into Q4 and Q1 next year.
Thank you for that perspective. Last one for me, Mike, wheels of justice grinding slowly. The hub trading recovery significant in the context of the enterprise value. I'm surprised – it's taken this long. Is there any chance of a potential settlement or something like that that could accelerate things?
Yeah, no.
You want to go ahead and take that, Warren? Yeah, I'll take that one. So it's with the judge now, Jim, and we expect to, you know, there's a motion to dismiss in front of him. We expect, based upon and how this judge has responded in prior cases and so on. I mean, there's data around this. We expect to hear from him probably at the end of the first quarter. And if he dismisses, you know, the motion to dismiss, then this will go to a jury trial. And, you know, typically it's at that point you know, you would have, you know, conversations, you know, about settlement or not. So, you know, that's, you know, the timeframe, you know, to have those conversations would be, you know, after that, you know, after that event. But, you know, as you pointed out, the amount's significant. And the HAP and ARCHPD have not challenged the amount. Understood. Helpful perspective. Thank you.
Mm-hmm.
One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Laurent Veselescu from BNP Paribas. Your line is open.
Oh, good afternoon. Thank you very much for taking my question. I think, Mike, you mentioned in your prepared remarks, and I'm waiting for the transcript to populate, but, you know, the midpoint, the guidance cut for the full year, about $20 million. I think you mentioned two moving pieces, $30 million and then offset by the $10 million. Can you just maybe clarify that a little bit more and then just where does the macro come into that equation as we think about the guidance on that?
No, the guidance is not that significant. So let me clarify that. We lowered our guidance from 270 to 280 to 260 to 266. So in that, what I was trying to be very clear on, You know, we've talked about $185 million of revenue outdoor and $90 million of revenue at Adventure. That's the $275 million kind of at the midpoint of the old guide. The only thing that's changing is the $90 million from Adventure is going to $78 million. So the guidance cut on the top line is $12 million, right? That's just to be clear. And I think we've laid out the reasons for that. You know, we had a significant wholesale partner dealing with their own, not our inventory, but other folks' inventory challenges. We had an OEM customer who significantly had to halt production for the remainder of the year due to a different supply chain challenge not related to us. And the U.S. business It was slow from the beginning of the year. That hasn't improved at all here in the back half of the year. And finally, our e-com initiative at Adventure has been slower to respond to the uptake on the e-com, new changes to the e-com platform and the investments we've made on the website. The uptick of revenue is slower than anticipated. So those are all the reasons why Adventure is a little slower. along with the lower vehicles that Matt mentioned. So that's a change in guidance. The $30 million decline that I mentioned is, you know, when we're talking about simplification and taking complexity out of our business, specifically at outdoor, and that business is shrinking from $204 million to and changed last year to $185 million this year. That's a $20 million decline. $30 million of that decline is related to elimination of sales of items we're calling season Ds. Season Ds are low-margin products that it's our 80-20 execution of our low-margin products. We're walking away from them, selling less of those, etc., What we're leaning into is our A products, high volume, high margin products. And I expect us to sell $10 million more of those. So the $30 million decline in revenue from our high complex, low volume, low margin business is being replaced with $10 million of high margin, high volume product that yields higher gross margins. So that's why you're seeing our margins expand. As Neil pointed out, EBITDA is up 25% this quarter, even though revenue is down 19% at outdoor. And that's a direct result of us being able to execute on our initiative of simplifying our business, selling more of our best products to our best customers. Does that help?
Very helpful. And that might be a good segue because you provided a detailed investor date earlier this year with a target of $330 million of net sales for 2025 with a 10% EBITDA margin. Any updated thoughts there? Is there anything that's changed in that viewpoint since we're six months into this, closer to 2025?
Yeah, no. That guidance and projections that we talked about I think I would summarize it as follows, right? That was how we were looking at things in March. Obviously, here as we sit in November, I think the takeaway that everyone should hear from our prepared remarks and my comments and the rest of the team's comments is we are tracking. at outdoor. I think Neil's prepared remarks are very clear. We're going to hit that $185 million, and we're going to have a strong foundation that we can grow the business off of, and most importantly, profitable growth, double-digit EBITDA going forward on a prospective basis. Adventure is a little behind where we hoped it would be and what we thought it would be when we gave those projections back in March in New York in the first week of March of this year. And for all the reasons I just laid out and some of the prepared remarks you heard, we're $12 million behind the guide that we gave back in March. So the 2025 guidance and how we're thinking about 2025, we're going through the budgeting process and putting that all together now. And we'll reserve the right to update that as well. um, you know, at our next call, um, here, you know, once the calendar turns, but at this point in time, we are behind at adventure compared to where we thought in March from a top line and profitability standpoint, but we're tracking where we thought we would be right on the numbers at outdoor.
That's very helpful. And then, you know, on the third quarter gross margins, just, you know, very nice uptick there for, I think up 420 that's year over year. Um, Can you maybe, if you could possibly help us think about how should we think about 4Q gross margins and then to that path to double the GE, but that margins kind of remind us where ultimately you want gross margins to go over time.
Well, sure, sure. So when I'm looking at fourth quarter gross margins, we haven't given official guidance, but just to, you know, I think those at both between 39 and 40% at both, at both, um, both segments is what I would expect.
Okay, very helpful. Thank you very much. Best of luck.
Thank you.
One moment for our next question. Our next question will come from the line of Matt Karanda from Roth Capital Partners. Your line is open.
Hi, this is Joseph on for Matt today. Just wanting to look into 2025 a little bit more, just hopping on to the gross margin aspect as well as growth and revenues. are we expecting, do we need market growth in each segment in order to get back to growth? And can you provide any colors on levers for gross margin expansion? Exactly like where do we see that? And in terms of revenue growth, what can you do for self-help in these categories if they remain flat and more specifically for the adventure segments?
Well, I mean, again, from a 2025 perspective, we're not going to give any guidance today or speak to that, right? We're in the process of working through our budgets and our view on 2025. From an outdoor perspective, Neil went through a litany of things in the prepared remarks that will show up in the transcript of improvements that the team has made, right? And they've done a wonderful job dealing with driving productivity, driving to simplification, working with suppliers, resourcing products, changing processes to take cost out of the business. I think the takeaway that everyone should hear on the outdoor side is we have right-sized the business here in 24 from a cost standpoint. We've improved processes. We've improved the mix of our inventory. We've leaned into our best products that I just described in the last question, right? And we're selling more of our A styles, right, that have the higher margins, higher gross margins, and higher volumes where we actually sell more of those products to our best customers. That's exactly what we want to do, but that's the baseline. Once we've established that in 25, I think growth comes, right? On top of that, and that's why we're confident that whether we get a top line growth or we'll call it a market tailwind from, you know, improving market conditions, because to be clear, both segments in the outdoor space and in general are still in a recession. I think we said that in, again, our prepared remarks, you know, both. the adventure and the outdoor space is still in a recession coming off the highs from 2022. But we're well positioned to grow profitably. And if we get a tailwind with the market, that will only fuel the top line and then the operating leverage that follows when the top line expands. So we feel very good about that. From an adventure standpoint, the same can be true. We've made several investments around e-commerce, around Matt covered in detail, the efforts around new products and development of new products, both at the Maxtrax business and at the Rhino Rack business. Several of those will launch in 25, right? So we are trying to self-help ourselves through new product development. We're trying to drive enhanced e-commerce business where obviously our margins are better all right in that right and that's easy to sell accessories through the e-commerce platform and the margins are better because we you know we're But we're also working to make it easier for consumers to acquire what I'll call racks, right? And through introduction of new fits, right? We have spent an enormous amount of time and engineering resources to improve and to simplify the fit that the rails and bars have. not just the platform racks, but the rails and bars and how those attach to vehicles. We're targeting fit for over 180 different vehicles, which is a strategic shift from what we were talking about two and a half, three years ago when we bought this business, right? So we're trying to build up what I'll call the available market for both the platforms and, more importantly, for the crossbars. So that's something we're excited about in 2025. So, I mean, I think as we think about 2025, it's all about scaling the adventure business, and it's all about continuing to simplify the black diamond business, all of which both businesses then will have better operating leverage as the markets become tailwinds and the markets begin to grow.
All right. Thank you for that, Cutler. We'll go ahead and take the rest of ours online, and thank you for taking our questions today.
You're welcome.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. Next question from Mark Smith from Lake Street. Your line is open. Hello, Mark.
Hi, guys. Hey, I apologize if this was hit a bit, but just looking at the outdoor segment, can you just update us on kind of how the consumer in international markets is doing, you know, with all of the work in, in right-sizing the business, if there's still any work for international that needs to be done, that's maybe lagging, uh, domestic.
I'll, I'll make one comment and then I'll throw it over to Neil. You know, our view of the international markets that outdoor is that they're 12 to 18 months behind, um, kind of where we've seen the U.S. from an outdoor standpoint, meaning many of our customers, retail partners are still struggling with too much of the wrong inventory, right? However, you know, we're working through that this year, you know, and I think we would expect that to improve next year. But I do, you know, the market, I think, is the first year in over 20 years internationally, like in Japan, that it's slowed down. That's my understanding of the market. And, internationally, and Japan being one of our biggest international markets, you know, in Asia. But I'll see. Neil, what would you add to that?
Thanks, Mike. I think you covered it. Maybe one point of clarity. I would actually split Europe from our international distributor markets, because Europe is largely an owned operation, whereas China, Japan, New Zealand, Australia, et cetera, go through distributors. And we're seeing different dynamics in those two. In Europe, I see Europe sort of tracking maybe just a couple months behind the U.S. in its correction, but the pattern looks quite similar. And so I think we'll see those markets start to behave more similarly as we go into 2021. And I would expect, barring some macroeconomic or geopolitical disruption, that those markets would start to track and stabilize together. The international distributor markets are a slightly different dynamic because our distributors buy from us and then their customers buy from them. So you kind of have an extra layer, if you will, of inventory in the system. another 12 months for the international distributor markets to fully correct. There's just one extra step in the process. And that's why I think you see in our IGD segment this year, as we talked about from the very beginning, we expected this correction to be particularly pronounced this year, less so next year, I think, without giving guidance, I think you'll start to see a rebound in international distributor markets next year. But the contraction was particularly concentrated given there were effectively two redundant layers of inventory in those markets.
Perfect. The second question for me is just curious if you can speak to maybe your exposure to potential rise in tariffs as we look at stuff, you know, coming out of China. And I know it may be hard to quantify, but if you can speak to maybe what your exposure is, you know, and how maybe you could combat that, you know, if that comes to fruition here over the next year or so.
Neil, you want to cover outdoor? I know we've done a great job delivering from China, but go ahead and cover that.
Yeah, we've been hard at work at diversifying our sourcing base out of China. We still have a few items there, but relatively small exposure, a little bit of our headlamp business and a little bit of our smaller footwear business. And those also have supply chain transitions where we can move that business to Vietnam or other countries in the Asia-Pacific. So I think that China-specific tariffs were relatively well insulated from. Obviously, once we get a sense of the timing and the magnitude of those, we can also adjust our purchases to pull those forward on this side of the tariff increase and then use that added buffer time to transition those products out of China. So we may end up hedging inventory a little bit to buy us consistency in our pricing as we diversify the last piece. So that's the China piece. I would say the thing that is more of a question mark for us, and I'm sure everybody at this point, is whether there's going to be something more along the lines of a universal tariff that applies to all product. And then I think all industries are going to be looking at how to react to that. But the China-specific piece, I think we've contained, we've got a plan for, and we can mitigate the impact of.
Mike, if you don't mind, I think from an adventure point of view, I'll just add some color. Go ahead. Predominantly, you know, within adventure, Rhino-Rack business, you know, there's two main materials, aluminum and plastics. Over the last two quarters, and with the addition of our new global head of supply chain and ops, we've kicked off a project to look at our global supply chain, our partners, and our footprint. And this was an initiative that was central to 2024, but will roll into 25. And this study has been looking at finding opportunities close to the source, close to the market, close to the customer. In the short term and near term, We're standing back up existing partnerships in Australia to counter some of the potential headwinds, especially as it relates to China and US tariffs. And so that's already been done and enacted. Additionally, at the same time, we're about five months through the process of identifying the de-risking manufacturing sources. So there's kind of two timelines that we're operating on, a near term where we stand up And we make sure there's no potential impact to delivery of key components for US, EMEA and Australia. And then within a 12 to 16 months, which kicked off in Q2 as mentioned, we're looking at new partners and new locations to then fuel all market growth by reducing impact on China. So that's already in motion and there is already activities and deliveries based on those actions. But it is a key topic within our category and industry as well.
Perfect. Thank you.
Thank you. And with that, I would now like to turn it back over to Mike Yates for any closing remarks.
Great. Thank you, Victor. Thank you very much, everyone, for attending the call this afternoon and your questions. We appreciate them. And more importantly, we appreciate the continued support and interest in CLARIS. We look forward to updating you on our results again next quarter. We'll talk to you all soon. Thank you very much.
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone have a great day.