11/7/2025

speaker
Chloe
Conference Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Calumet Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to John Compa, Investor Relations for Calumet. Please go ahead.

speaker
John Compa
Investor Relations, Calumet Inc.

Thanks, Chloe. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining our call today. With me on today's call are Todd Borgman, CEO, David Lunen, EVP and Chief Financial Officer, Bruce Fleming, EVP Montana Renewables and Corporate Development, and Scott Oldmeyer, EVP of Specialties. You may now download the slides that accompany the remarks made on today's conference call, which can be accessed in the IR section of our website at countymed.com. Also, a webcast replay of this call will be available on our site within a few hours. Turning to the presentation, on slide two, you can find our cautionary statements. I'd like to remind everyone that during this call, we may provide various forward-looking statements. Please refer to our press release that was issued this morning, as well as our latest filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, for a list of factors that may affect our results and cause them to differ from our expectations. As we turn to slide three, I'll now pass the call to Todd.

speaker
Todd Borgman
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, John, and welcome to Calumet's third quarter 2025 earnings call. This past quarter was a strong one, both financially and strategically. TIDEMAT generated $92.5 million of adjusted EBITDA with tax attributes, and strategically, we're hitting the key milestones laid out earlier this year. At Montana Renewables, we remain on schedule for our max half expansion in the first half of 2026. And our staff marketing plan is pacing well ahead of schedule, as the team has roughly 100 million gallons of post-expansion volumes placed through contracts which are fully complete for the final review step within our DOE process. Across Calumet, our cost and reliability initiatives are outperforming expectations, and our commercial organization continues to sell growing production into stable high-margin accounts. Let me dig deeper into these themes, starting with costs, before turning it over to David for the financials. In the third quarter, China removed another $24 million of operating costs from the system versus the same quarter last year. Quite frankly, operations improved rapidly throughout 2024, so much so that while we expected year-over-year progress to continue, we did expect a little tapering in the second half. Instead, the rate of savings accelerated this past quarter, which is a testament to the ops talent we have throughout the country and their willingness to take this initiative head-on. Year-to-date, operating costs are $60 million lower versus last year, and we've mapped out a couple more years worth of ops excellence opportunities to continue moving the ball forward from here. Deeply connected to costs, and just as important, is reliability, which has advanced as well. Year-to-date production is up nearly 600,000 barrels versus last year, much of which is in our specialties business. On a unit basis, the combination of cost and reliability initiatives have reduced operating costs by $3.37 a barrel throughout the system. Specifically to our specialty products and solutions segment, the third quarter marked a record production quarter. And despite softness reported across much of the broader specialty chemicals world over the past year, our commercial team again sold over 20,000 barrels a day at margins well above $60 per barrel, while also rebuilding some inventory following the Shreveport turnaround. We also saw strong fuel performance on both the margin and volume front. This reinforces the core advantage of Calumet's integrated model. Specialties provide stable, strong, and growing baseline earnings, while fuels deliver more variable upside. Today, that excess cash flow is being used to reduce debt. Over time, it will fund further specialty growth. Last in specialties, I'd be remiss to not note continued growth in our performance brand segments. Year-to-date EBITDA is up versus last year, despite divesting the Royal Purple industrial business earlier in 2025. We've implemented our top-tier commercial excellence program across our brands and leveraged our deep specialties footprint, which is yielding tremendous results. Further, TruFuel is on track for another record EBITDA year, even in a year that's been void of major Gulf Coast weather events, as the brand continues to grow its position as a channel leader and is benefiting from capturing space at over 4,000 new Walmart stores. Let's go to slide four and dig a little deeper into Montana renewables. During the quarter, we saw more key regulatory signals towards the industry recovery, and specifically to MRL, we continue to fortify the advantage we have in all margin environments with great logistics costs and product myths. While the future is bright, the industry continued to see weakness in renewable diesel margins. In fact, during the third quarter, realized margins across the industry were actually a bit lower than even the normal index margin formula would suggest, as the feedstock physical basis widened out, which means feedstocks were about 20 cents a gallon more expensive than a traditional CBOT marker would suggest across the industry. We've seen this revert back during October, and we're back to the more normal environment where CBOT index margin is the correct industry signal. On an industry level, biomass-based diesel production remains cut back at roughly 60% utilization. 2025 industry production volumes seem to be stabilizing just above 350 million gallons a month, which on an annualized basis is right for the currently roughly 4.5 billion gallon implied RVO, which is made up of about 3.5 billion gallons of D4 RVO, plus roughly a billion gallons of short-pole and other REN classes, which are ultimately covered by D4 RENs. Separately, the carry forward of 2024 RENs, which will expire shortly, creates temporary length in the D4 REN market. Against this backdrop of low industry utilization, we continue to see shutdowns occurring in industry. We look forward to an environment where biomass-based diesel demand increases through a stronger RVO. Further, the regulators appear to be bullish on reallocation of the small refinery exemptions, which would add to the RVO. These steps are expected to increase demand to the point where idle facilities would need to restart to meet the mandated demand. These restart decisions mean biodiesel producers need to be convinced they can confidently cover fixed costs. If not, the rent will need to go higher or feedstock lower than set. This is a stark contrast to the past two years where we've seen massive shutdowns, but also many hanging on at the margin and barely covering variable costs with the expectation of an improved future environment. Of course, in the past, we routinely saw stable margins incentivizing the small biodiesel players to run in order to fill the D4 RIN gap, and we're optimistic that when we see the finalized RVO, margins will revert positively, as they've done historically before the prior administration's 2023 RVO error. Next, during the quarter, we completed our first $25 million PTC sales, proving this method of monetizing PTCs as viable as expected. We subsequently sold another $15 million in October and continue to see our credits trending towards a more normal tax credit environment after the 45Z credit was extended through the Big Beautiful Bill. Finally, momentum continues to build as we approach the launch of our max SAF expansion in the first half of next year. During the third quarter, we completed a test run to confirm our ability to generate 120 to 150 million annual gallons of SAF. To complete this task, we slowed down the plant for about a week, which cost us a couple million dollars worth of volume, but the task was successful and confirmed our ability to meet the 120 to 150 million gallon SAF target and supplied important data that's being used in the final detailed engineering and optimization of our project. In addition to the technical work to de-rest the SAF project, the team also is tracking well ahead of plan and placing the expanded volumes. As I mentioned earlier, we have approximately 75% of our max staff expansion either contracted or within the final DOE review process as we sit here today. And we're comfortably positioned to have all of the volume placed the next time we talk. Like we mentioned last quarter, our offtake is shaping up to be a diversified slate of direct physical customers, airlines, FBOs, and scope 3 customers of varying sizes. some of which are large multinationals who you might routinely envision when you think of carbon reduction initiatives, and some of which are more boutique customers. In many ways, the SAF business highly resembles our specialty products business, where the ability to be flexible on logistics, go to market in varying ways to suit a wide range of customer needs, and sell in all types of sizes make us preferred and differentiated supplier. Unlike a large fuels business, this volume doesn't all just go in a pipe and disappear. It's a concerted sales effort, where we work with one airport at a time, one airline at a time, or one SASE credit buyer at a time. And in the supply chain, we've managed individual rail cars and trucks, carefully controlled quality, and blend the product through a deep logistical network. This is how it creates value in this business. And we at Calumet have been doing it for decades. In fact, you may have seen a press release last week where our physical truck rack opened for SASE sales in Montana. What this means is that we can sell physical barrels in truckload volumes, and in some cases to the same regional outlets we've been selling for years. We can deliver the full physical barrel and leave the credits with the customer, or pull off the scope one and scope three credits, sell those and generate the same SAF premium, and save a lot of money on logistics. Of course, we also continue to sell physical SAF barrels via rail into the West Coast, Midwest, and Canada, and we expect it to continue as a large and important piece of our business. We could sell all of our volume to either of these markets. And at the end of the day, we're optimizing across them to find the most diversified, stable, and highest net back customer base for Montana renewables. And we continue to place the volume of the SAF premium in the $1 to $2 per gallon range we've discussed historically. This SAF premium is one that's received a lot of discussion over time. We've discussed the chart on this slide before, which suggests that global supply and demand is largely balanced in 2025. And that turns to a supply deficit in 2026 as that gap grows each year as European mandates and other global mandates step up. Interestingly, early on we received questions around this outlook, which really fit into three general categories. One was, will Europe really increase their volume mandate? Two, will voluntary demand grow? And three, weren't we underestimating new supply? Let's start from the back. Our view in modeling the supply-demand balance was very conservative on voluntary demand, and therefore the base model also doesn't add new-build supply. We conservatively assume voluntary demand remained unchanged from 2024 throughout the graph, and if that's the case, we wouldn't expect new supply to come online. In reality, what's occurred is a bit more bullish. We've seen cancellations or delays of global megaprojects as they pause and observe international growth in domestic tariffs and rent policy. Also, we've seen voluntary demand growing nicely. I mentioned earlier that we've adjusted our strategy to take advantage of this as we see a real opportunity with truck and rail car quantities and staff in the voluntary markets across a broad range of airports and FBOs, and we're selling quite a few Scope 3 credits to airlines and large multinationals on a voluntary basis. In fact, Montana Renewables staff has set up on every major Scope 1 and Scope 3 registry that exists. We believe this readiness, the relationships, and the progress on logistics all equate to a meaningful early mover advantage. And we look forward to capturing this immediately upon startup of our MaxShaft 150 project. The last question I mentioned above is European demand. And I think we've seen clear signs that volume mandates are, in fact, increasing in Europe. In fact, we've seen European SAF prices increase approximately 60% over the past six months. while feedstock prices have remained essentially flat. We've even seen meaningful fines defined for participants that don't need their quotas, which have been said to be up to $2,700 per ton, or for us imperial measurement thinkers, nearly $8 a gallon. And even then, the participant doesn't shed the requirement to purchase the SAF. We believe these developments mean that the SAF premiums we're contracting will continue to be strong. And we look forward to relying on our roots as a customer-focused and service-oriented provider and parlaying that with our first mover advantage into a rapidly expanding leadership position in sustainable aviation fuel. With that, I'll turn the call over to David to take us deeper into the quarter.

speaker
David Lunen
EVP and Chief Financial Officer

David? Thanks, Todd. Before I get into the quarter results, let me address an error in our reported Q1 and Q2 2025 cash flow statements, which we discussed in an 8 filing this morning. In accounting for a series of transactions during the first quarter, we misclassified debt extinguishment costs and inventory financing flows as cash flow from operating activity rather than cash flow from financing activity. The correction of the error will result in an approximate $80 million increase to cash flows from operations for the first quarter. Total free cash flow, the income statement, balance sheet, and adjusted EBITDA all remain unchanged, and we will restate Q1 and Q2 financials alongside our Q3 filing. With that, let's get into the quarter. We reported 92.5 million of adjusted EBITDA during the quarter, which was the strongest quarter in a number of years. We were able to reduce our restricted group debt by over 40 million, despite the third quarter being our largest cash interest period of the year. De-leveraging continues to be a strategic priority, which we expect to continue in Q4, given the strong business performance. Further, during the quarter and after the ruling on the small refinery exemptions, we reduced our outstanding balance sheet rent obligation by over $320 million. As Todd mentioned, we also sold our first $25 million of PTCs at MRL, demonstrating the ability to turn those into cash as the market has opened up and started to normalize following the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. We look forward to more ratable monetization of our tax credits over the coming periods. Turning to slide five, our specialty products and solutions segment generated $80.2 million of adjusted EBITDA during the quarter. The third quarter of 2025 reflected the strong commercial momentum in our specialty products portfolio, as well as the benefits of our overall improved reliability and cost discipline. This was the fourth consecutive quarter that our specialty products posted sales volume exceeding 20,000 barrels per day. And coupled with strong margins, we continue to demonstrate the resiliency of our specialty business. Despite broad industry chatter over the year that specialty markets have been a little soft, our sales team has demonstrated the continued ability to take advantage of our integrated asset base and diversify markets to continue to place our products at over $60 a barrel. Further, we posted third quarter production volume gains of 8% compared to the prior year. Our production has grown reliably over the past few years as we've improved our operating discipline. We look forward to continuing that trend through the remainder of the year and into next year. Our steady production environment also enabled the capture of stronger crack environment as fuel margins increased significantly year over year, which we view as upside in our integrated model as we continually optimize our crew slate product yields to capture market opportunities. To begin this year, we gained access to a new crude oil supply chain, including the ability to target specific segregated or blended crews in Cushing and further north in the DJ basin. at the same time reducing our pipeline tariff. To date, this improvement has driven $15.3 million decrease in transportation costs and provides even further ability to dial in our assets and feed to a specific use. We remain focused on driving additional operational improvements in the segment and look to further reduce our cost per barrel in the segment. As we said, During our second quarter earnings call, strong operations to not only increase volume and reduce costs, but also supports increased margin as well, as it allows our commercial teams to place more volume to secure contracted homes rather than relying on spot market sales. Moving to slide six in our performance brand segment, we are pleased to post another strong quarter driven by our commercial excellence program and growing recognition of our brands. You'll remember that we sold the Royal Purple industrial business earlier this year, and despite that even being fully reflected in the prior year financials and not this quarter's, the segment was essentially flat year over year. We also continue to benefit from our integration strategy as we gear up to target markets that best unlock the intrinsic value that exists in our ability to vertically integrate where and when it makes sense to do so. Last, as Todd mentioned earlier, the third quarter results reflected strong volumes and margins in our TruFuel brand. Not only is TruFuel growing on the shelves and with brand awareness, It's also benefiting from favorable procurement initiatives as the team has successfully leveraged its growing volume over the past couple of years. Moving to slide seven, our Montana slash renewables segment generated adjusted EBITDA with tax attributes of $17.1 billion in the third quarter compared to $14.6 million in the prior year period. Montana renewables specifically posted slightly negative just even with tax attributes of 3.5 million for our 87% share. As I mentioned earlier, we successfully monetized 25 million of PTCs during the third quarter and continue to monetize PTCs at improving price levels as we continue to expect to trend towards roughly 95% capture on those sales. Earlier, you heard about the SAF test run that was important to de-risking our project, and this run meant the unit slowed down temporarily during the quarter, resulting in a couple million dollars of lost margin alongside some wider-than-normal feedstock basis, which increased feed costs temporarily more than RID offsets, and this has reset to more normal levels here recently. While we've gained a lot of regulatory clarity this year, the industry is now just waiting for the rules to be finalized. With that in hand, we believe the business is set up for a strong recovery in 2026 based on the preliminary RVO targets that were announced by the Trump EPA. Fortunately, the core building blocks of our renewables business, marketing customers, cost advantage assets, unmatched feedstock and market proximity and an improving yield slate remain intense combined with our relentless focus on cost of production we remain well positioned for the rebound that we expect to inevitably occur once we see the epa land uh the proverbial plane on the rbo In fact, our operating costs, excluding SG&A, reached $0.40 per gallon and was our eighth straight quarter of improvement, excluding a turnaround in the fourth quarter of 2014. In the interim, we continue to increase our outlets for SAF, as demonstrated by our recent announcement on site blending and shipping capabilities. Initial distribution is through AEG's fuels network, and they are already proving to be a strong partner. On-site blending capabilities enables back SAF sales from the truck rack to local and regional service, further broadens the SAF market outside of major airports. This investment also allows us to strip credits and monetize SAF outside of direct off-takers. On the Montana asphalt side, the third quarter is typically a good one. This quarter in particular, we saw one of the strongest quarters in recent memory and a $14 million year-over-year gain. Our polymer-modified asphalt business continues to be an advantage, as well as the niche fuels distribution, and with costs dramatically improved, we are pleased to see the impact on the bottom line this quarter. Thank you for your time today. We remain focused on driving meaningful free cash flow generation as we conclude 2025, while steadily marching towards major value-creating opportunities that rest ahead for our shareholders. With that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for any questions.

speaker
Chloe
Conference Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your touchtone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question comes from Alexa Petrick with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Alexa Petrick
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, good morning team, and thank you for taking our question. my first question is just on, as we think about the max staff expansion, and I think you've also talked about, you know, being on track to do 120 to 150 million gallons of annualized staff production in QQ, what are the gating items? And just, you know, as we think about operations on the ground, what are, what are some of the checklist items?

speaker
Bruce Fleming
EVP, Montana Renewables and Corporate Development

Hey Alexa, this is Bruce. Um, very little, frankly, you know, the, uh, The unit, as we stood it up back in 2022, was known to have some latent capacity. And we've got a couple of tactical constraint removal things that we'll do during the scheduled turnaround, a few tens of millions of dollars. So, you know, we're pretty excited about the leverage that implies on our cost of goods sold, including the capital charge. And the reason we've arranged the output is – you know, we'll see about catalyst performance in the new configuration. Probably we're being a little conservative there, but give us, you know, give us some room to grow into that maybe.

speaker
Alexa Petrick
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, that sounds good. And then can you talk a little bit about some of these, you know, off-take agreements? I think there's also some commentary that, you know, you've been in some final conversations as well. Where do those stand?

speaker
Bruce Fleming
EVP, Montana Renewables and Corporate Development

So the – Bruce, again, thank you. The way that we've set this up is the same thing we did in 2022 pre-commissioning of the whole business. So last April, I asked our marketing team to go ahead and pre-sell the increase in SAF that will be coming in spring. So we're halfway through that 12-month program to get it placed, and we're well above halfway through signing people up. So, you know, there's a mixture of executed and in-service contracts. There are a couple of material contracts that are effectively complete but require the DOE to approve them, and so they're with the DOE. And then we've got a pipeline of additional origination that we're pretty excited about. So as I said a second ago, as we probably grow into maybe more capability than we've advertised, We've got the customers standing by to pick that up. You know, the market shows every characteristic of being supply short. And we're, again, I can't overemphasize how exciting this is.

speaker
Alexa Petrick
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Sounds great. Thank you, guys. I'll turn it back.

speaker
Chloe
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Amit Dayal with H.C. Wainwright. Please go ahead.

speaker
Amit Dayal
Analyst, H.C. Wainwright

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Congrats on the pretty solid results. You know, for Montana renewables, I know you touched on it, Todd, a little bit, but the gross margin issue, is it primarily just stemming from the current market conditions, or is there anything in the sort of production ramp that you are playing with that may be causing near-term pressure?

speaker
Todd Borgman
Chief Executive Officer

Hey, man, it's Todd. No, I think nothing outside of what I talked about in the prepared remarks earlier. You know, I'd say there were a couple of things abnormal to the quarter, one to us and one to industry as a whole. The one to us was, you know, we talked about something to volume a little bit to run the tests. that Bruce was talking about, which have given us a lot of confidence around our ability going forward on max staff. So that costs a couple million gallons, and obviously that's back to the full capacity. And then the other one that was more, I'd say, just broader industry is Typically, all fees just trade off of an index to CBOT. And there's always a little bit of lag. And, you know, there can be volatility from time to time that over time just balances out. And what we saw during the quarter was a blowout on a physical basis. So feedstock was, we said in the call earlier, about 20 cents a gallon more expensive than our normal index margin was. you know, thinking would imply. So basically 20 cents outside of CI parity. Now that's fixed. There'll be times when it's a little bit better than that, right? So there's a little bit of volatility, of course, between the grains. And that's something that gives us the ability, gives us an advantage to switch, quite frankly, over time. But industry did see that in the quarter. And again, you kind of add that to the downtime and volume. And that really speaks to probably the difference between this quarter and last quarter.

speaker
Amit Dayal
Analyst, H.C. Wainwright

Understood. Thank you for that. And, you know, just another follow-up on that. What's the primary feedstock you're using for the MRL right now?

speaker
Bruce Fleming
EVP, Montana Renewables and Corporate Development

Hey, Amit. This is Bruce. You know, there's not a primary feedstock. One of our key competitive advantages is short supply chains that can access any of the principal classes of feed. And we are very, very dynamic as we re-optimize each month. We think that we're gaining competitive advantage versus some of our peers with longer supply chains. And, you know, we shift gears very, very quickly. With that said, you know, if you wanted to think broadly, you can think one-third vegetable oil, one-third corn oil, and one-third tallow and cooking oils.

speaker
Amit Dayal
Analyst, H.C. Wainwright

Okay. That's helpful, Bruce. Thank you. Just last one from me. know when you sort of look at 2026 it looks like you know the operating side of the story is you know running pretty well um are most of the risks and opportunities based on you know how the macro plays out for you guys yeah i think as a whole as we step into 2026 we're quite excited um for a number of reasons um one

speaker
Todd Borgman
Chief Executive Officer

And you mentioned it, operationally, we've made some real improvements and expect to not only keep those, but build on those improvements going forward. And then, of course, as we look at the regulatory environment, the overhang that's been in Montana Renewables specifically, and all of biofuels, quite frankly, is being removed. So the RVO that's plagued us for 24 and 25 is going to get finalized here soon and will, as we've said, kind of routinely expect to lift up industry margins. And that's a major deal, right? We've barely been floating above above break-even this year, which we're happy to do in an extremely depressed environment. But as the whole industry returns with better macro environment, we're really going to be able to take advantage of that. And then, of course, third is outside of index margin, just the ability to add SAF is a major ability, right? It's major upside, and it's also major de-risking because we'll be less – susceptible to just general party index margins going forward because of the SAF premium.

speaker
Amit Dayal
Analyst, H.C. Wainwright

Yes, understood. Thank you, guys. That's all I have. Thank you.

speaker
Chloe
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Jason Gableman with TD Cohen. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jason Gableman
Analyst, TD Cohen

Yeah, hey, morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I don't believe there was much talk about small refinery exemptions in your prepared remarks. So just wondering how that impacts, one, your financials directly, and two, your view on the written balances moving forward.

speaker
Bruce Fleming
EVP, Montana Renewables and Corporate Development

Hey, Jason, Bruce. I think that's probably a two-parter, but redirect me if I'm off target. you know, our two small refineries, you could call them micro refineries by industry scale, have always qualified on the merits. We're confident we will continue to do so. When you come to carry forward, you know, we're all waiting for the EPA to process the public comments, which I'm sure they've received 17 terabytes of. But You know, that's a policy question, and we'll all find out together. Am I responsive to your interest?

speaker
Jason Gableman
Analyst, TD Cohen

Yeah, I guess I'm just wondering more directly if there's any impact from the exemptions that were granted, if there was any financial impact to you, positive or negative.

speaker
Bruce Fleming
EVP, Montana Renewables and Corporate Development

Well, David covered that. As you're aware, the balance sheet has had an inventory accounting style accrual while all of our cases were pending. Now that they've been resolved generally favorably, we've extinguished 80-plus percent of that. I believe David was $329 million.

speaker
David Lunen
EVP and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Jason and I, so you'll see that we reduced our outstanding grant obligation related to the grants or refinery exceptions. And so it was kind of roughly a $320 million reduction in that outstanding obligation as reported on the balance sheet.

speaker
Jason Gableman
Analyst, TD Cohen

Okay, got it. Thank you for that. And then on the comments around kind of feedstocks impacting 3Q MRL results. It sounds like that's been alleviated in the near term here, but I'm wondering, what do you think caused that feedstock tightness? And if we get a ramp up in renewable diesel capacity as a result of a more bullish 2026 RVO, is there potential that feedstock prices can tighten again and impact your margins, or do you see the 3Q impacts as very transitory in nature?

speaker
Todd Borgman
Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Jason, it's Don. I'll start off and see if Bruce wants to jump in. We think it's transitory, but it happens, right? There's general lag on the physical side that happens from time to time. We see the same thing in the crude oil markets when you get an overbuild or shortness just due to kind of a physical near-term, you know, glider shortage in like Cushing, for example. So I don't think that it's anything that we should think about changing any sort of long-term view. In fact, you know, if you go back over time, you know, There's never been a lasting difference to CBOT outside of CI parity, and we wouldn't expect that to change. So this is kind of just normal volatility. We've seen times where it's helpful. This quarter, it was negative for the industry, but I don't see anything that would impact that going forward. In fact, we have so much more capacity and availability of feedstocks then even the currently forecasted RVO would suggest that it's hard to imagine a feedstock shortage. Even if there was, you should see that play out through kind of the base CBOT margin and not some sort of physical basis differential.

speaker
Jason Gableman
Analyst, TD Cohen

Okay, great. Thanks for the answers. You bet.

speaker
Chloe
Conference Operator

Again, if you have a question, please press star then one. The next question comes from Greg Brody with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Greg Brody
Analyst, Bank of America

You guys, I don't normally do this, but congrats. A lot of great developments this quarter. In particular, probably removing the Greg Brody slide is one of the big ones. But just operationally, you guys really demonstrated a lot of improvement. So congrats to everybody. Just to second, maybe you mentioned that deleveraging is still the priority. You're starting to generate cash. Can you talk a little bit about what you think is next to sort of help address the maturities and just to give us a sense of how you're thinking about it today?

speaker
Todd Borgman
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, sure. I'll take it and see if David wants to jump in. You know, I think I mentioned last where we expect cash flow from the business, particularly in the second half, to be strong. And that, along with the RPI sale earlier in the year, is adequate to knock out the 26th note. So we kind of look past that. And as you think about 27 maturity management after that and our ability to de-lever, you know, it includes cash flows from organic operations. It includes potential strategic activity, like we said, as long as it's you know, accretive to both the debt and the equity and doesn't take away anything from our, from our integrated story. So that remains an option. And of course, ultimately it's, it's a partial monetization of Montana renewal. So not, not a lot's changed there. We're just working the game plan here as, as you know, we look forward to an ultimate, taking that ultimate step on, on MRL. And as we talked about a lot during the call, you know, the next, the next milestone in doing that is, is, demonstrating the success of this max staff expansion and seeing the, the RVO firmed up and think with a couple of strong quarters on the heels of those events, um, we'll be in place to take that final step.

speaker
Greg Brody
Analyst, Bank of America

And you don't, it's sort of refinancing some of the 27s. Um, is that, that's part of the equation potentially?

speaker
Todd Borgman
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, look, I think, I think, um, refinancings are always, and just managing the timing, are always part of just the general, you know, menu. As we sit right here today, we don't have anything active or anything, you know, specifically in the plan. But bigger picture, we're looking to execute the longer-term deleveraging strategy, which is a reduction of an additional $600, $800 million of debt. So, you know, we have plenty of opportunities to do that. So if there was some sort of opportunity or reason to, you know, have refinancing as part of that, then we'd certainly be happy to do that in the step of optimization. But most importantly, we're focused on kind of the organic cash flows, you know, potential strategic activity and, you know, monetization of Montana renewables to permanently reduce that debt.

speaker
Greg Brody
Analyst, Bank of America

Great. And one last one for you. You mentioned you you've started to be able to monetize the PTCs. What's been the realizations on those in terms of how much of a discount to the actual PTC EBITDA are you realizing?

speaker
David Lunen
EVP and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so, you know, you have to go back. The PTCs were kind of new at the beginning of this year. and kind of weren't fully you know clarified until kind of the big beautiful bill and even today some of the you know ultimate kind of final rules aren't already been you know completed i think we expect over time to kind of monetize um kind of closer to 95 i think the initial monetizations were probably you know kind of closer to 90 and then we continue to kind of close the gap as we monetize more and have more term sheets as we kind of look further out and so um you know we've seen the market get a lot kind of deeper and a lot more interest as they've normalized you know earlier in the year was um you know kind of still new for people to digest

speaker
Greg Brody
Analyst, Bank of America

And it seems like the activity picked up in monetization, should we expect it pretty consistently now every quarter, or are there some market dynamics we need to think about?

speaker
David Lunen
EVP and Chief Financial Officer

No, I think we expect to kind of monetize them more radically. Todd mentioned his remarks that we also monetized the portion in October, and so we're just kind of working through them.

speaker
Greg Brody
Analyst, Bank of America

Yep. All right, guys, thanks for the time, and congrats again. Thanks, Ray.

speaker
Chloe
Conference Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to John Compa, Investor Relations for Talumet, for any closing remarks.

speaker
John Compa
Investor Relations, Calumet Inc.

Thank you, Chloe. And on behalf of Todd and the entire management team, I'd like to thank our shareholders for joining our call today and our continued support. Have a great rest of the day. Thanks.

speaker
Chloe
Conference Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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