7/28/2020

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the CoStar Group's second quarter 2020 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star 0. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Sarah Spray, Investor Relations. Thank you. Please go ahead. Thank you.

speaker
Sarah Spray
Investor Relations

Good evening, and thank you all for joining us to discuss the second quarter 2020 results of the CoStar Group. Before I turn the call over to Andy Florence, CoStar's CEO and founder, and Scott Wheeler, our CFO, I would like to review our State Harbor Statement. Certain portions of the discussion today may contain forward-looking statements, including expectations for the third quarter and full year 2020. Forward-looking statements involve many risks, uncertainties, assumptions, estimates, and other factors that can cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. Important factors that can cause actual results to differ include but are not limited to those stated in CoStar Group's press release issued earlier today and in our filing for the SEC. including our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly report on Form 10-Q under the heading Risk Factors. All forward-looking statements are based on information available to COSTAR on the date of this call. COSTAR assumes no obligation to update these statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Reconciliation to the most directly comparable gap measure up to the non-GAAP financial measures discussed on this call, including EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, non-GAAP net income, and forward-looking non-GAAP guidance, are shown in detail in our press release issued today, along with definitions for those terms. The press release is available on our website, located at costargroup.com, under Press Room. As a reminder, today's conference call is being web-tapped, and the link is also available on our website under Investors. please refer to today's press release on how to access a replay of this call. And with that, I would like to turn over to our founder and CEO, Andy Florence.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Thank you, Sarah. Good evening, and thank you for joining us today for CoStar's second quarter 2020 earnings call. A caveat, I see a large thunderstorm rolling into my position, so if I get disconnected, Scott Wheeler, our CFO, will pick up my script and deliver it not quite as well as I do, but he'll muddle through. So, going into the second quarter, it has been one of the most difficult to predict quarters in my decades of experience. It'd be hard to ever imagine the scale of this location our country's experiencing. Yet, despite the challenges we've faced so far, our team here at Coast, our group, has performed exceptionally well, turning in one of our strongest quarters ever. We grew revenue 16%, increased adjusted EBITDA 17%, set a record sales month, raised $2.7 billion in equity and debt into the equity and debt markets, and acquired 10X, all while working 100% from remote locations. Traffic to our apartments.com and movement marketplaces rose to new record levels, exceeding pre-pandemic levels. We had 62 million monthly unique visitors on our platforms in the second quarter, an increase of 13% over our record traffic levels of 55 million monthly unique visitors reached in the first quarter of 2020. I hope you can agree with me that these results indicate that our business is not only resilient but is, in fact, countercyclical. Our business, like I believe most businesses, was slowed in the first part of the quarter as people adjusted to the new normal. This progressed back in each month this quarter, eventually reaching our best sales results ever in June. CoStar, LoopNet, Apartments.com, Lands of America, BizBuySell, Real Estate Manager, Risk Analytics, and SDR all showed positive growth in the month of June. In a world of social distancing, our digital marketplaces uniquely enabled our clients to continue their mission-critical leasing efforts. While many were debating whether recovery would be V-shaped, CoStar Group's recovery to date looks more like a checkmark. While I believe the challenges from the pandemic are far from over, The progressive improvements in our operating results each month throughout the second quarter gives us greater confidence in the positive outlook for our business. CoStar Group's total revenue grew 16% year-over-year to $397 million. Across the second quarter, our sales force brought in $35 million in net bookings, with $22 million of that being in June alone. Our marketplace businesses delivered strong revenue growth, with Apartments.com growing 21% and LoopNet growing 18% year-over-year in the second quarter. Our net income was strong at $60 million. Our overall EBITDA was well ahead of expectations at $109 million, an increase of 17% year-over-year. And our non-GAAP net income per share of $2.34 was up 5%, well ahead of expectations, regardless of the 2% dilution from our equity raise in May. Apartments.com was truly the countercyclical standout in Q2, hitting new records throughout the quarter. Net new sales were up 33% against our previous record set in the second quarter of 2019. In fact, every single month this quarter, our sales hit a new record high. In the true and accurate words of Paige Forrest, our head of multifamily sales, every single benchmark was blown away. We had a series of all-time record high traffic numbers for our apartments network sites during the quarter, including 23 million average monthly unique visitors, up 6% year-over-year, and 200 million visits, up 16% year-over-year, according to Comscore. Our apartments.com sales force logged a 58% increase in quality meetings and interactions with our clients, delivering critical service to our customers at a time of significant challenges for their business. Apartments hit a new quarterly record revenue of 146 million. This June, the largest annual multifamily industry conference, the National Apartment Association Conference, was postponed due to the pandemic. This conference is a significant customer event for apartments.com and typically makes June our best sales month of the year. Without the possibility of meeting in person, we organized and produced a two-day virtual summer showcase event conducted entirely with video meetings. We lined up speakers from top tech, digital media, and advertising companies along with our own research staff and economists to speak on a range of topics from local market updates to marketing in anxious times, all in support of our customers. The event was a resounding success. Over 3,200 customers participated, resulting in connections to over 1,000 new customers. The customer response was tremendous and contributed to a record June in terms of net new sales, nearly 20% above the previous record and for less than 5% of the cost of the annual in-person event. We saved $4 million going digital. As announced last year, we've increased our marketing expense and we've increased our marketing investment in Apartments.com by nearly 50%. We plan to continue our increased investment in marketing despite the pandemic because we believe that we can still generate an outsized ROI on that investment even in this environment. Based upon our results this quarter, we think we're in fact seeing an excellent ROI on that increased investment. Our Q2 marketing campaign highlights start with the launch of our new broadcast ads featuring the iconic Jeff Goldblum as Brad Belfour, the inventor of the apartment internet. These ads hit the airways at the end of March with an increase of 12% more ads over our 2019 campaign, airing across an even wider variety of digital and streaming video platforms. This year, we also increased marketing via paid social and media and retargeting ads, as well as addressable TV through personalized advertising based on household composition. We raised our SEM spend significantly, leading to a higher frequency of number one positioning in a broad range of search terms. Overall, these paid initiatives led to a 57% increase in impressions. Paid advertising isn't the whole story either. Our continuous investment in the functionality of and content on our site helped to continue to fuel organic site traffic growth of 16% in Q2. We were also rewarded by new highs in unaided brand awareness, an important measure of the reach and effectiveness of our campaigns. And we are now leading the pack with Zillow in second place and Craigslist and Rent.com tied for third. We believe that strong and improving levels of consumer awareness is the key to our ultimate success in penetrating the broader rental markets, and the timing and magnitude of our investment is clearly paying off. The strength of our business is evident in that we can make these aggressive investments in growingapartments.com while still generating 109 million of EBITDA in the quarter. We're focused on accelerating our sales penetration across all categories of rentals from the largest apartment buildings to midsize apartment communities to single-family homes, condos, and townhouses. In late 2019, we added an inside sales team based in Richmond, Virginia to focus on selling apartments.com solutions to owners of mid-sized and smaller apartment buildings and single-family dwellings. Nine months into launching this under 100-unit sales force, we're seeing great results. This quarter, we grew our net new sales in the under 100-unit segment nearly 70% versus Q1 2020. Over the last 12 months, half of all advertisers we added, 2,400 properties, were in the sub-100 unit category. When we acquired Apartments.com in 2014, little to no effort was made selling to apartment communities with under 100 units. Now, 16% of Apartments.com revenue comes from properties with under 100 units. This means that today we have more revenue in the previously overlooked below 100-unit communities than Apartments.com had in total when we bought them. Clearly, there's demand for Apartments.com in rentals of all types, big and small. But as much as we have sold, we are still less than 1% penetrated into the sub-100-unit segment. We are excited about the amazing multi-billion-dollar scale of the opportunity we have here, and plan to continue to build out the marketing efforts and sales teams to fully monetize our leading position. Don't costs get behind us. On June 9th, the bankruptcy court signed off on Rent Pass Chapter 11 plan and our acquisition proposal as part of the plan. So, the remaining hurdle is the FCC process. On April 29th, we received a second request as part of the FTC approval process for our proposed acquisition of RedPak. This was anticipated and we are responding quickly to the request. Should we get approval to close the transaction, it would be completed within a 3 to 12 month timeframe that we gave in February. In the meantime, we continue to compete aggressively in the market as always. We believe that we're continuing to take significant market share away from Redpath because we offer vastly superior traffic, more exposure, and thus more leads and leases. Over this past quarter, we began integration of our successful lender risk analytics solutions into CoStar Suite. Productizing these solutions into the larger platform will allow CoStar to expand its reach from the top tier of CRA leaders to the many thousands of institutions that could greatly benefit from analytics only available with CoStar data. For over a decade, our highly experienced risk analytics team has been a trusted source to lenders, providing credit risk models for portfolio stress testing and loan loss reserves used in regulatory reporting, examinations, and for internal risk management. By leveraging curated costar property data and market research, we can provide up-to-the-minute information on a lender's collateral, allowing them to perform real-time performance surveillance. This is a capability unmatched in the industry. We think combining these time-proven models with costar data in a scalable platform creates exceptional growth opportunity in the lending market. LoopNet finished the quarter on a strong note, overcoming the market disruption that began in March and April caused by the pandemic. Monthly unique visitors are now tracking over 7 million, which is an all-time high, being the record set earlier this year. Net new sales improvement followed the improvement in traffic, finishing June with net new sales up 91% year over year. To keep this momentum going, we have really leaned in with significant product enhancements and marketing efforts. We position LoopNet diamond and platinum level signature ads to property owners as powerful digital marketing innovation that generates unprecedented and differentiated marketing reach, frequency, and branding for their valuable properties. Beginning in April, we dramatically expanded our use of broad retargeting to further increase the frequency, reach, and brand enhancements that our top signature advertisers enjoy on LoopNet. With over 7 million unique monthly visitors, LoopNet is by far and away the most heavily trafficked commercial real estate website, so we believe we have the best insights into who is currently in the market for commercial real estate. Once we identify a prospective tenant or buyer on LoopNet, we retarget them across the internet, thereby increasing the critical frequency of views for our top signature ads by 600% above the great performance they're already getting. In addition to driving up the frequency of valuable exposure for our advertisers, this retargeting investment has the benefit of bringing a significant number of LoopNet visitors back to LoopNet for further re-engagement. In addition to retargeting, we've launched a new program to leverage our database of 6 million tenants and digitally target them across the web and social media to bring these tenants to our advertisers' properties digitally. We've also added video conference-enabled co-touring to LoopNet this quarter. This allows registered LoopNet users to invite colleagues to virtually tour potential spaces together. At the end of June, we closed our first virtual M&A deal with our acquisition of 10X. 10X is the leading innovator of online commercial real estate options, having completed more than $24 billion in property sales online. In the few weeks since we closed the deal, 10X has held two auctions transacting an aggregate value of $50 million. We have approximately $400 million in aggregate value going to online auction over the next two weeks. 10X has been used by all the major broker terms in America to transact properties online and close deals faster. While 10X is used to transact both performing and distressed properties, it was born out of the Great Recession and the need to liquidate a high volume of distressed properties quickly. We believe that 10X is highly countercyclical. If there's an increase in distressed commercial properties in the cycle, we believe that 10X will see an increase in auctions and revenue. We are starting to see tangible signs of financial distress in the commercial real estate market, the first being delinquencies, which are clearly on the rise. This month, 30-day delinquencies jumped five percentage points versus June 2019. This is only two percentage points lower than the peak of the Great Recession, and this time around, delinquencies are driven primarily by retail and lodging. In June of this year, we saw 7% of CMBS go 30 days delinquent, which could translate into over 3% of CMBS defaulting over the next few months. You may remember that one of the key synergies of the 10X acquisition is that we can leverage our millions of LoopMed visitors and global co-star users to increase awareness of properties going to auction at 10X, and thereby dramatically increase the potential bidder pool for properties. Auctions with three or more engaged bidders are much more likely to transact above the reserve than are auctions with just one or two bidders. More bidders drive more closed auctions, which we believe will, draw more properties for sale, which in turn draws in more bidders. And all that generates more commissions for our brokers. One of the first steps we've taken is to move 10X auction candidates to the top of LoopNet and CoStar and present them as enhanced diamond placements with enhanced retargeting, which will dramatically increase their exposure to potential bidders. We will continue to invest in harvesting our unique data sets of millions of potential buyers and their search activities on our sites that digitally target them and draw these potential bidders to 10X. We're very excited about the enormous potential of this acquisition. This quarter, the SPR business model has clearly proven its resilience in what must sadly be the darkest days of the hospitality industry in modern times. Remarkably, STR generated positive net new sales in Q2 and a recovery in ad hoc revenues that was a positive surprise. In April of this year, 19% of hotels in the U.S. were closed, but by this month, only 7% were closed. Looking elsewhere, in April, 98% of Spanish hotels were closed, but in contrast today, only 3% of the hotels in China remain closed. Globally, the hotel industry is slowly recovering from the bottom, although more recently occupancy and demand have started to decline again in the U.S. But as long as hotels are open, STR is essential. With global occupancy rates in the mid-40s, 40%, and little hope of a quick recovery of business travel, it is very probable that we will see many hotels restructuring and changing hands. But lenders, investors, and new owners will also need SDR data in order to accomplish those transactions. As you know, our strategies combine SDR hospitality data with CoStar's complimentary building set in order to create new products that provide a full view of building data, income, and occupancy information, sales comps, and for sale information. We're making good progress on this step and hope to launch within the next year. We had two successful capital raising events in the quarter. In May, we issued $1.7 billion in equity. In June, two of the three rating agencies awarded our initial debt issue with an investment grade rating wisely. As a result, we were able to issue $1 billion of 10-year debt with a coupon of 2.8% on July 1. Including our cash generation this quarter, this leaves us with a current cash balance of approximately 3.8 billion. This, combined with our undrawn revolver of 750 million, gives us over 4.5 billion of firepower and growing. As we move forward to grow this business aggressively, we're positioned with a phenomenal balance sheet and are well prepared to take advantage of what we expect could be significant opportunities in the coming years. I'm grateful for the confidence of our investors, grateful for the confidence that our investors have placed in us. Our investors are the 12th player in the CoStar football team and one of our company's greatest strengths. We have a long, successful history of acquisition integration, having made over 30 acquisitions since CoStar was founded. A number of our great acquisitions have been made during down cycles. Examples include Comps.com, which we purchased in 2000 at a 60% discount to the pre.com premium, and LoopNet, which we acquired in 2012 at a 40% discount to its pre-great recession premium. In total, acquisitions have provided about 30% of our revenue growth since our IPO, but it is how we integrate them and how they accelerate our organic growth that's more important. Taking the two examples above, comps.com now brings in eight times its acquisition level revenue and LoopNet four times. It's this kind of discount and development potential that we aim to exploit in the coming years and why we view market stress as an opportunity rather than a concern. Over 7,000 PropTech companies have emerged over the past decade or so. Probably 500 or so have truly viable business models that are interesting that create plenty of future M&A opportunity for CoStar Group. CoStar Group is the largest prop tech company with the strongest balance sheet and the most experience in successful M&A. So, we believe we are well positioned to make a number of accretive acquisitions in the prop tech space in the years to come. We are very patient and have always waited for the right opportunity. Digital real estate consolidation is clearly a very hot space right now. I think the proof point is Bill Foley's Tenet and Senator launching a $7 billion hostile takeover bid for CoreLogic in the midst of the global pandemic. I'm very familiar with CoreLogic since decades ago. As a young software engineer starting CoStar Group, I invented the first ever version of their flagship digital public records product. Perhaps my first M&A success for our investors was declining an offer from CoreLogic's predecessor company to acquire the fledgling CoStar Group for $250,000 in our first year of operations. I had thought we were aggressive in acquiring 10X in a friendly deal during a lockdown, but I must say that even leaving aside the clear antitrust issues, Foley has one-upped us with the aggressiveness of seeking to operate a company acquired in a hostile takeover in the midst of a pandemic.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Lastly, a few words on what we're seeing in the U.S.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

economy and commercial real estate. The rebound in the labor market that began in April was largely driven by workers coming off of furlough and reattaching to their previous jobs in restaurants and retail. However, as a second wave of infections have spread across areas of the south and southwest, the momentum in job gains has predictably slowed as reopening plans were paused and reversed. The improvement in initial claims for unemployment has stalled at a level that is still more than double the worst single week during the Great Recession. Other high-frequency indicators in hiring seem to have slowed as well, so it seems that the initial V-shape recovery in the labor market is likely to pause. And with the emergency unemployment benefits set to expire in some form at the end of the week, the sharp bounce back in retail sales could also be at risk. Looking at the commercial estate market, the lockdown has affected demand drivers for every property type in very different ways. None have been as negatively impacted as hospitality and retail. The retail sector has shown a sharp bifurcation in property performance and rent collections between tenants deemed essential and those labeled nonessential, with the former nearly unaffected. The vast majority of rent forbearance and delinquencies during the lockdown have come from hospitality and retail. And we've seen a corresponding pickup in activity from clients in asset management and special servicing, as well as from billions of dollars of opportunistic capital that have been raised in recent months. While certain parts of the industrial market have also been negatively impacted, the lockdown has accelerated positive trends for logistics. In fact, once CoStar researchers capture all the leases signed in the month of June, it looks like it will be a record month for industrial leasing volume, all-time record. For multifamily, data from apartments.com suggests that the spring leasing season was disrupted, as you would expect. Asking rents are largely flat year-to-date instead of the gains that are typically seen during the warmer months of the year. We're seeing more noticeable moves lower in the rents of four- and five-star properties in major metros and the CBs predominantly, but these are also metros where there are record high levels of new supply coming into the market. Given this increased competition among landlords looking to fill newly delivered space, it's no surprise that apartments.com continues to experience record sales months. The office sector is perhaps the most talked about property type of the mall, and its fate is certainly the most heavily debated in the media. April leasing volume predictably dropped as the transition to work from home began, and people were more worried about getting a new router delivered to their home office than looking at office space. That being said, April still saw nearly 15 million square feet of new leases signed. As we move through the quarter, the number increased sharply as the news cycle shifted from breathless stories about the benefits of remote work to ones about its obvious pitfalls. There seem to be fewer stories today about companies moving toward full-time work from home, and we're hearing more about hub and spoke office models where firms are looking to lease additional spaces closer to residential nodes from where their employees are commuting. Even if we have a successful vaccine, full herd immunity may be elusive, and the realities of social distancing may be with us for years. In that context, I think it's highly likely that the amount of office space utilized at the workstation expands from a typical 36 square feet per workstation to a pi r squared or 3.4 times 6 squared or 113 square feet, from 36 square feet to 113 square feet. That could be a huge demand boost requiring tens of thousands of new office buildings, albeit in shifting geographies. Uncertainty has permitted the capital markets landscape, permeated the capital markets landscape, and we've seen a drop-off in deal volume, which registered at just over $46 billion in the second quarter of this year, about 30% of where it trended in 2019 and 40% of what we've seen over the last five years. Yet the absence of deal flow isn't a reflection of CRE's commercial real estate's relevance waning, rather that investors and lenders are finding it difficult to underwrite deals in this uncertain environment. and that there's a pricing disconnect between buyers hoping for a steep discount and sellers holding on to pre-pandemic valuations. We expect that rising vacancies, slowing or negative rent growth, and rising cap rates is likely to impair pricing and valuations by upwards of 10% relative to pre-COVID levels. These capital market trends illustrate the counter-cyclical nature of CoStar's business and its suite of products during times of change, and exogenous cyclicality, investors, owners, operators, and lenders, and tenants rely just as heavily on technology and data insights to inform their decisions and facilitate their deals, operations, and apartment searches on the apartment internet. As we conclude our first quarter operating results in this terrible pandemic, I am very grateful to all of my colleagues who continue to execute in our business at the highest levels of professionalism. My colleagues did not miss a beat, and I have the greatest confidence in their ability to continue to deliver great results for our customers and investors, whatever the challenges we face in the quarters ahead. Our services clearly remain mission critical. Our online marketplaces are providing critical support to tens of thousands of clients, maybe hundreds of thousands of clients, who need our virtual leasing solutions to bridge them until we can return to the normalcy of an in-person property tour. This is a great quarter to be especially grateful to our great team, including you, our investors, the 12th player. At this call, having survived the thunderstorm without a power failure, I will turn the call over to our CFO, Scott Wheeler.

speaker
Scott Wheeler
Chief Financial Officer

Well done. Thank you, Andy. Moved through that quite quickly to avoid the storm. Glad I didn't have to pick it up and read it. Never quite the same coming from me. So, yeah, I'm also encouraged by our second quarter results. And we've seen great improvements in each month of this quarter since the pandemic disruption began back in March and April. Our revenues in the second quarter of 2020 increased 16% over the second quarter of 2019, coming in above our 13% revenue growth guidance for the second quarter and $5 million above the high end of our revenue guidance range. Revenue growth in the second quarter, excluding STR, was 12% year over year. We did not record any revenue from the 10x acquisition in the second quarter. CoStar Suite revenue grew 8% in the second quarter of 2020 versus the second quarter of 2019, coming in at the high end of our guidance range. CoStar Suite sales hit a low point in April and improved throughout the quarter, with June sales for CoStar coming in as the strongest month of the quarter, resulting in positive net sales bookings for CoStar in the second quarter. This is certainly encouraging when you compare it to the 2008 or 2009 recession, when net sales bookings for CoStar were negative for four consecutive quarters. We certainly didn't see that trend materializing in the second quarter. As the lower subscription sales levels this past quarter start to impact the second half revenue, the revenue growth rates for CoStar are expected to be sequentially lower for the third and fourth quarters of 2020. Accordingly, we now expect the revenue growth rates for CoStar Suite to be in the 6 to 7% range for the full year of 2020. At this time, we don't have any renewal price increases assumed in our full-year outlook. Revenue and information services grew 47% year-over-year in the second quarter to $31 million, coming in above the high end of our guidance range. Overall, we expect reported revenue from information services to grow at a rate of approximately 45% on a year-over-year basis in 2020, with STR contributing revenue in the range of $52 to $54 million for the year. Multifamily revenue growth for the second quarter was outstanding, improving to 21% over the second quarter of 2019. As Andy mentioned, we had record sales in multifamily in the second quarter, driven by an increase in the number of properties advertising with us, which went up 10% in the second quarter, as well as growth in the average revenue per property, which increased 11% in the second quarter as properties continued to upgrade to increase their exposure. Based on continuing strong sales, we expect revenue growth of approximately 21% for the full year of 2020. Commercial property and land revenue grew 13% year-over-year in the second quarter, exceeding the high end of our guidance range. The LoopNet Marketplace grew 18% year-over-year in the second quarter, and sales results improved each month, falling a low point in March and April, very similar to CoStar. With LoopNet traffic now above pre-pandemic levels and increased exposure that our signature ads are producing for our customers, we expect sales and revenue to improve sequentially in the second half of this year, and they'll perform more alike to the apartments marketplace. For the full year, we expect organic growth for commercial property and land of approximately 13%. Beginning in the third quarter of 2020, we will be including 10X revenue in the commercial property and land category, alongside LoopNet, including forecasted revenue in the range of $25 to $30 million in the second half of 2020 for 10X. We expect that the commercial property and land revenue growth rate will be approximately 25 to 28% for the full year of 2020. Our gross margins came in at 81% in the second quarter, exceeding our forecast of 80%. We now expect gross margins of 81% to continue for the remainder of the year. Our profitability was strong in the second quarter with net income, adjusted EBITDA, and non-GAAP EPS results all ahead of the guidance that we issued in April. Our second quarter 2020 adjusted EBITDA of $129 million represents a 17% increase compared to adjusted EBITDA of $110 million in the second quarter of 2019. Due to adjusted EBITDA was approximately $16 million above the midpoint of our guidance range. Approximately half of the favorable profit outcome was from higher revenues in the quarter. The other half was from holding overall spend levels in line with the first quarter of 2020. Our marketing costs increased seasonally in the second quarter, although less than expected given some of the disruptions in April. Our hiring restrictions continued throughout the second quarter, resulting in modest headcount declines as attrition continues at slow paces and resulting in lower personnel costs. The resulting adjusted EBITDA margin of 32% is 350 basis points above the midpoint of our guidance range, and it's in line with the margin we achieved in the second quarter of 2019.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Now let's take a look at the performance metrics for the quarter.

speaker
Scott Wheeler
Chief Financial Officer

At the end of the second quarter, our sales force totaled approximately 860 people, including approximately 60 salespeople from STR and 10X, which we included for the first time in our reporting. Excluding STR and 10X, our sales force totaled approximately 800 people, which is in line with the sales headcount we had at the end of the first quarter of 2020. The renewal rate on annual contracts for the second quarter of 2020 was 89%, down approximately 100 basis points from the first quarter of 2020, which was a better result than the 200 basis point decline that we expected when we gave you our outlook last quarter. Our current forecast for renewal rates anticipates an additional decline of approximately 100 basis points in the third quarter, with stabilization and gradual recovery expected thereafter. This is indeed a positive trend and testament to the value our customers place on our information. In the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009, our renewal rates declined approximately 800 basis points before recovering. We're not seeing anything near that type of a recession impact in this downturn. The renewal rates for the quarters for customers who've been subscribers for five years or longer was 95%, in line with the renewal rate of 95% in the first quarter of 2020. Subscription revenue on annual contracts accounts for 82% of our revenue in the second quarter of 2020, slightly below the 83% from the first quarter of 2020. Now, on to our outlook. We are reinstating revenue and earnings guidance for the remainder of 2020 given the stabilization and improvement in our sales and the operating results over the last 90 days. Although there's still potential for continued economic disruptions in the months ahead, we believe we can forecast the remainder of 2020 within a reasonable range of outcomes, given the relative predictability of our subscription revenue model. We currently expect revenue for the full year in a range of $1.63 to $1.64 billion, which represents a growth rate of 17% at the midpoint of the range compared to 2019. This estimate includes approximately $25 to $30 million in revenue from 10X in the second half of the year. We expect revenue for the third quarter of 2020 in the range of $415 to $420 million, representing top-line growth of around 18% at the midpoint compared to the third quarter of 2019. This estimate includes approximately $12 to $13 million in revenue from 10X. We expect adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2020 to be in the range of $515 to $525 million, which is within $5 million of the previous full-year guidance range of $520 to $530 million that we provided back in February of this year, prior to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our current forecast assumes roughly break-even adjusted EBITDA for 10X in the second half of the year. Our outlook for the year currently includes year-over-year increase in our marketing spend of approximately $80 million. which is a significant increase year over year, although lower than the full year estimate we provided to you back in February. As Andy discussed, our marketing efforts are focused on the most effective digital and broadcast marketing channels for both Apartments.com and LoopNet, and they are proving to be very effective. Our marketing spend in these channels was briefly disrupted in early March and April, but has since returned to the spend levels that we anticipated in our original plans. On the other hand, there are certain marketing activities from our original 2020 plan, such as in-person industry conferences, direct mail, advertising, major sports events. These are no longer possible nor effective, and so they're not included in our outlook for the remainder of this year. For the third quarter of 2020, we expect adjusted EBITDA in the range of 120 to 125 million. We expect marketing costs to increase sequentially in the third quarter as we continue to build momentum on the heels of our strong second quarter marketplace performances. We now expect full-year non-GAAP earnings per share in the range of $9.22 to $9.42 a share based on 38.3 million weighted average shares. This estimate includes the impact of the recently completed equity and debt offerings. For the equity offering in May, we issued 2.6 million additional shares. The additional shares dilute our non-GAAP EPS by approximately 6 cents for the second quarter, and approximately $0.38 for the full year, which is an approximate 4% dilution, which is lower than any of our previous follow-on equity raises. With regard to the debt offering, which closed July 1st, the net interest impact of the new notes after the paydown on the revolver is expected to be approximately $7 million, or $0.14, in non-GAAP earnings per share for the full year. That's incremental for the interest on the revolver. For the third quarter of 2020, we expect non-GAAP net income per share in the range of $2 to $2.10, based on 39.4 million shares. So I'd like to make a few comments about our balance sheet and our capital structure before we open up the call for questions. Over the past 90 days, we raised approximately $2.7 billion, consisting of our follow-on equity offering of $1.7 billion in May and our first public debt offering of $1 billion in June, which closed July 1st. In addition, we renewed our revolving credit agreement for additional five-year term at $750 million, and we converted it to an unsecured structure. Our balance sheet is stronger than ever. We now have approximately $3.8 billion in cash, $1 billion of structured debt, and an undrawn revolver. We're in a very strong position to take advantage of both organic and acquisition growth opportunities that might present themselves in the months and years ahead. We have a strong track record of successful value-creating acquisitions, which is why I believe investors are confident in our ability to effectively deploy acquisition capital in the future. Over the past 10 years, we've used a balanced approach to fund almost $3 billion of acquisitions, deploying operating cash, equity, and debt in roughly equal amounts. In just the past year, we have committed approximately $1.2 billion for three strategic acquisitions, STR, 10X, and RentPath. If we can continue executing our acquisition strategy at this pace, it would take us approximately three years to deploy our current cash reserves.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

In summary, we had a very eventful second quarter.

speaker
Scott Wheeler
Chief Financial Officer

We adjusted to a new way of working. We continued to support our customers, protect our employees, deliver very strong financial results, complete our first remote acquisition, and raised $2.7 billion and significantly strengthened our balance sheet. I can't wait to see what we're going to do next. Thank you for your continued support. I look forward to updating you all on our progress in October. With that, we will now open up the call for questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1 in your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Please limit yourself to one question only. For any follow-up questions, please contact CoStar's Investor Relations following the call. And your first question comes from the line of Pete Christensen from Citibank. Your line is open.

speaker
Pete Christensen
Analyst, Citibank

Good evening. Thanks for letting me ask a question here. Good trends and congrats on the recent capital raises. I had a question. You're welcome. As the health crisis has kind of changed here and it's migrated to other states, Do you believe that you can continue the bookings momentum that you saw in June into July? Have you seen similar trends there? Just curious if you've seen changes in bookings activity with the health crisis changing.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

The trending seems to be similar to what it has been in the last three months. So it seems to be performing roughly the same.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

So we're not seeing much of a shift in any way. That's helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Our next question comes from the line of David Chu from Bank of America. Your line is open.

speaker
David Chu
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, thank you. Andy, why do you believe that renewal rates will be so much better in this recession versus the past recession? Is this a reflection of just lower CRE broker bankruptcies?

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

I think it's a couple of things. I think One factor is that in the Great Recession, we had two super low-cost competitors. So we were competing against a very well-funded, intelligent back in the Great Recession. And, you know, approximately for every dollar they charged a customer, they were spending $2 to $3 producing the product. So they were heavily subsidized. And they were charging probably... they were probably charging 15, 20% of what we charge for a service. So we saw people shifting down to the lower cost product. We also were competing against LoopNet at that time, who was offering a product at 5% of the cost of our product. So those two things are no longer a factor. And I think that we've made good progress over the last, gosh, the last 10 years or so, continue to improve the product, the value of the product, news, more functionality. People are living in it more frequently. So unless someone's going out of business, which is certainly happening, you know, we would anticipate more resiliency in this downturn than the last on the CoStar side.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

And then the other areas, I think, are, in fact, countercyclical. I think we're ready for the next question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

And your next question comes from the line of George Tong from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

speaker
George Tong
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, thanks. Good afternoon. So, CoStar Suite revenue growth, hello, accelerated in 2Q to 8% year-over-year. Can you elaborate on the broader sales environment for CoStar Suite, including changes in the sales cycle and Salesforce productivity? as well as what impact you expect the commercial real estate market to have on CoStar Suite?

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Yeah, so I think that the, you know, the big takeaway is that first month of the quarter, April, was just a stop. Not much was happening. So that was a big factor, and then it began to build back up, and I think it will continue to build back up. Sales productivity, you know, began to return back to more normal levels as we went into June, began to improve. And, you know, one of the things that, one of the considerations is that we have this, the CoStar Salesforce is selling both LoopNet and CoStar. So you can get, you could get Salesforce productivity climbing while you have one of those two products not climbing as quickly. So one could take from the other. So one of the things we'll be looking to do over the next year or so is continue to invest at a modest level in building more resources to be able to go after both product areas simultaneously. But I think, you know, I think in my remarks I've addressed the fact that I think CoStar remains in strong demand throughout a cycle, you know. Opportunistic PE folks come in with billions, hundreds of billions of dollars to invest and look for dislocation. People continue to return with new leases, fully expect that. And so, people are going to still be looking to CoStar to understand where the values are, what transactions are possible. So, I think we'll do, you know, optimistic about it. Also, remember, we're adding more and more to CoStar. You'll be seeing 10X auctions in CoStar. You're going to be seeing STR data in CoStar. You're going to continue to see enhancement. You're going to see more lending solutions. So it's growing. It's strong. Feel good about it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

And your next question comes from the line of Bill Warmington from Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

speaker
Bill Warmington
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Good afternoon, everyone.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Good evening, Bill.

speaker
Bill Warmington
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hello, Bill.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

We've changed it up on you. For 20 years, we did these things in the morning. We switched to evening, and it could take a little while to catch up.

speaker
Bill Warmington
Analyst, Wells Fargo

I appreciate your patience. So I had a question for you on signature ads, and it sounded like in some of your prepared remarks, you talked about LoopNet recovering. You know, I remember in the first quarter, it sounded like January and February had started out really strong, and then COVID had derailed things. And I was hoping you could talk a little bit about what the average price you're getting these days is and where you're getting traction, you know, within diamond, platinum, gold, and the premium lister, and what the contract links look like. I think they had started out at three months, now they're moving more to six months. I was hoping I had to get a better picture of where signature ads are headed.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Yeah, that's correct. They started three months, they've gone to six months, and that's basically because we invest a fair amount up front and bring them up online. And it takes more than three months to lease a $100 million building or to sell a large property like that. Scott, do you have specific numbers on the movement? I mean, it's small, but... Yeah.

speaker
Scott Wheeler
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, as far as the Like the signature ad pricing that you're talking about, we continue to see upward lifts in signature ad pricing as they're shifting into more high-value ads. I think the average price now in the signature ads is, you know, blended across the different tiers is about $750 for those ads compared to the premium listers, which are somewhere in the, you know, low to mid-60s per ad. So we're overall blended at around $70 to $75 still on the ad with the mixed. So still seeing good positive pricing generation and pricing momentum on the signature ad.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

And Bill, if we were to look out over the next five years, I actually feel that those, that $700 price point could move into the thousands of dollars pretty comfortably. And I think we could take significantly more share into the signature ads up from the premium listing. which would give us dramatic growth in the blended average price and do that with a satisfied customer base, which we're feeling they're getting value. And I'm very bullish on the value we're delivering our advertisers. I think we're delivering amazing value to these folks right now, and I think that it's our job to communicate how much value we're bringing to them. So I think we'll have a good story there for five years plus.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Tomaleso from KEBW. Your line is open.

speaker
Ryan Tomaleso
Analyst, KBW

Hi. Good evening, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to hone in on apartments.com. You know, it really seems like the current environment is a bit of a Goldilocks scenario for that business with the accelerated move to digital and some of the counter cyclicality starting to play out. So I guess my question is, You know, if this backdrop is changing your strategic thinking, if at all, around the apartment business in terms of penetrating that TAM that you've talked about with products outside of just advertising, you know, do you think that there is enough greenfield opportunity there to continue just to focus on the advertising product, or is there also an opportunity, you know, more near term to move beyond Legion and and more directly monetize other areas in leasing and payments and areas like that?

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

I think that the approach we're taking is, first of all, to be very clear, I think there is a massive amount of greenfield. So, I am absolutely convinced that the area below 100 units is just as relevant as the area above 100 units. And it's just sort of an accident of history that it hasn't been monetized to date. And so we have growth above 100 units, and we have only penetrated 1% of the below 100 units. So we have 99% to go. So it's a massive opportunity. However, we doesn't keep us from wanting to add more tools to improve the overall experience. And you know, the margin as we invest in these tools and we can spread that across a large audience, it won't really impact our margin. So we want to provide as much value as we possibly can to accelerate penetration. I think that the addition of this relatively small inside sales team in Richmond and the fact that they spun up and became productive working a new sector so quickly is a lesson that We may want to invest in growing our sales force at a measured level because we, you know, the productivity per salesperson and the ROI per salesperson is great and the market is huge.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Your next question comes from the line of Sterling Otte from J.P. Morgan. Your line is open.

speaker
Sterling Otte
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Yeah, thanks.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Good evening, Sterling.

speaker
Sterling Otte
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Good evening.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

I was worried as I got to the 20th page. I was worried if I got to the 20th page there would be feedback.

speaker
Sterling Otte
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

So you talked about the efficiencies in terms of the customer acquisition by doing digital marketing versus in person. How do you think about, you know, as we move past and business travel opens up, et cetera, you know, to whatever extent it does, How much did you have a learning experience that maybe you're going to be able to capture and even drive higher margins than what you may have thought six and nine months ago because of how effective this has been through this environment?

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Well, I think it's a really excellent question, and there's a lot of truth laced in there. So there are a lot of things we do as we deploy people in different markets and the amount of business travel we do. to reach our customers face to face. And we invest a lot in travel and move even within a city. And I think there's no substitute for face to face interaction with our customers over time. But we have seen 100 million people have now just learned what zoom is and FaceTime and go to meeting and WebEx. And so 100 million people who before were complete Luddites are now well versed in digital and video communication. So our ability to train on board support, grow our accounts very cost effectively, I think is really enhancing them. That's a positive that's come out of this. But I do think there'll still be a return, there'll still be a need for face to face, but dramatically less. So A little bit of margin benefit there, probably a little bit of customer acquisition benefit there. Maybe a lot.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Your next question comes from the line of Mario Cortolazzi from Jefferies. Your line is open.

speaker
John Filling
Analyst, Jefferies

Hi, it's John Filling from Mario. Hello. You have a lot of cash right now. Could you give us a sense for what a third leg to the business might look like? The 10X deal was interesting in that you haven't played that market before. What other types of businesses would you look at? Any specific criteria from a growth perspective or end market or product type? Thank you.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Well, I think one of the challenges is be careful not to say anything. So, that's probably the hardest thing is not answering. The, you know, there are a wealth of opportunities. And if you look at the things we've done in the past, those are sort of indicative of what we might do in the future. So we're looking for things that have high overlap with strengths we already have. So where we look at their business, and we think that there are things that we can bring into our business that will not incur incremental costs, but incur incremental value into our existing business, and vice versa, so that we can bring things into their business. that we already have as part of our inventory and part of our sunk costs and will add value to their business. That could be distribution channel, data, software, marketing, any number of things. So, the example with 10X, we can bring that into our operation and bring them massive exposure for their options, which I think will dramatically improve their business. And it has relatively low cost to us. So things like that. Now, we're not going to stray terribly far from like, there's no need to stray terribly far from where we've been in the past, because there are literally 100s of companies that are immediately adjacent to some area we're already in. And they range from small to very, very large. So I think that the future is going to be more like the past. I know I've been waiting for the first phone call. You know, we raised the first question on the call, and thank you for delivering it. I talked about it while we were raising the capital. I said we will complete this capital round, and we'll be answering the question, but we'll be patient. The first earnings call will be answering the question, what are you going to do with the money? We'll be patient. And we'll be prepared to answer the question multiple times until we find the right deal. It may take one, two, three, four, five deals to make an impact. It may take four or five earning calls. It may take 10 earnings calls. But we're looking for the right deal, right value with low risk and with us prepared to do the right integration execution. So, we'll be patient and it'll be related. and we'll have more than two or three theses for why we think the deal will work.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Your next question comes from the line of Jeff Mueller from Baird. Your line is open.

speaker
Jeff Mueller
Analyst, Baird

Yeah, thanks. Good evening. I was hoping you could expand on your comments about the data that you're using for digital outreach targeting and retargeting and loop note signatures. So, you mentioned The tenant data, just if you could be more specific about how granular you get, and obviously, I have a broad wealth of data throughout the suite, so I would just love more detail on the data informing the targeting and retargeting.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Sure. I think I go to painful detail there, but just give you a couple of examples. We can look at any particular cluster of buildings in the United States by property type and say office in Tyson's Corner and then we can look at 15 years of leasing history and we can see what the most probable sources of a tenant are for any particular building. So we know that there's a high correlation between tenants in Tyson's Corner tend to lease in Tyson's Corner but also tenants in Boston tend to shift to Tyson's Corner a little bit less going from rest in Tyson's Corner shockingly some from Bethesda over to Tyson's Corner. So, we can look at those patterns and then we can, we have a list of all of the tenants that are roughly in that quality zone for property in the TARC, in the source markets over history. And then we have lists of emails and people associated with those tenants. And then we retarget those people aggressively. So, we funnel our spend for a Tyson's Corner building against the people who are most likely to come in. And we also know the lease expirations. We know when they moved into the space. We know if they're growing, if they're contracting. So it's very, very targeted spend. Then when someone, when we see someone come from a particular organization to look at a property in CISIS Corner, we can look at other people that looked at that same property, what other buildings they looked at. And we use collaborative filtering and similar to the way Amazon does. invest in retargeting against people that either look at the subject building to sink in frequency, or we may use a collaborative filtered property to bring in bring someone from a building just like that one and try to engage them in this other building. And that's also true with people that are, you know, we look at buying patterns of what people are investing in, we're looking at what people are searching, looking at for 10x. So It's just an endless sort of big data exercise, AI exercise of how we invest money against the right targets to very efficiently drive people. And it's working like a rock star right now. I'm very, very happy with the 600% increase in frequency we've delivered to our silver and our diamond and platinum advertisers in Luton over the last quarter, that is real value they're going to see, and it really drives their brands home to their target. And it's sort of fun to do. We have a bunch of folks that enjoy doing that. A couple of wonks over here.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Your next question comes from a line of Andrew Jeffries from SunTrust. Your line is open.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Hey guys, I appreciate you taking the question.

speaker
spk15

Andy, maybe would like to expand a little bit on a question asked earlier at a more strategic level. You know, I hear you talk about, for example, the sub 100 unit apartment market is being, you implied a $10 billion TAM. I think when you add up these marketplaces TAMs, they're bigger, you might argue how many times bigger than Sweet, but bigger than Sweet, and clearly have these counter-cyclical or even structural growth attributes in terms of the shift to digital. So I guess what I'm getting at is does there come a time or are we approaching a time where Sweet, although it still grows, is positioned more as the funding source for growth in these marketplace businesses, which are bigger, and perhaps can sustain faster multiyear growth. I mean, would you articulate that kind of strategic change in CoStar's business?

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Well, I mean, I think if you look at five to ten years, I think there will be a lot of growth in these marketplaces for sure, and I wouldn't be surprised if they don't. if our source of revenue doesn't become more and more diversified between theory marketplace, multi-family marketplace, some, you know, land marketplace, biz by cell marketplace, and other marketplaces we may enter. So, I would not at all be surprised if the marketplace didn't eclipse the revenue from CoStar Suite as CoStar Suite grows. But I wouldn't count CoStar Suite out. There are many, many growth drivers for CoStar Suite. So, we are well penetrated in the brokerage community. But we have a lot of green space, a lot of green field in the owner area, in the lender area, and in international growth. So we, you know, we have some exciting stuff happening in the fourth quarter and in the first quarter, third, fourth quarter, and first quarter. So in the third, fourth quarter, we're going to have a fully internationalized version of CoStar Suite. many languages so people can, you know, look at properties from Spain and in Spanish across multiple European countries and across the United States. And I think that just like the company experienced a surge of growth as we went from being in three or four U.S. cities to being a largely national footprint, I think we have that same opportunity internationally. And we'll be communicating some things over the months to come that I think will sort of reinforce that opportunity. And I think that it will change the way that London broker perceives us when their terminal isn't just showing them their Mayfair information, but it's showing them the whole civilized world and their terminal eventually, right? I think it'll change perception and the value of the product and the reach, especially the owners and lenders, investors and private equity funds. So There's a lot of growth there. Also, the tools that are going to productize our lender solutions to a much broader audience I think are pretty exciting. So I think there are a lot of growth drivers there. I worry about one of the things I think is a stressor on the business right now is not the market. It's not the – it's just – it's the fact that our sales force over the last – five or six years hasn't grown much. We have roughly the same size Salesforce, but it has CoStar and LoopNet now. It has the banking side. It has so many things going on, but I just think that, you know, maybe we need to grow that Salesforce a little bit to be able to capture all the different opportunities we've got.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Your next question comes from the line of Brett Huff from Stevens Inc. Your line is open.

speaker
Brett Huff
Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Good evening, guys. Thanks for taking the time. I appreciate it. Good evening. Quick question, follow-up on LoopNet. Follow-up on LoopNet, that was the business of yours that we struggled most in trying to figure out what would happen in the pandemic. You know, looking at history, it was, I think, Andy, you mentioned it was hit harder than this time. my gut is that there's some demand, you know, compression because people may just not be advertising as much in some instances, bid-ask prices or bid-ask spreads are wider. On the other hand, you have a much stronger shift to quote-unquote digital advertising within the vertical that is commercial real estate. Can you talk about that trend and kind of the power of the down arrow and the up arrow and where we're getting, you know, the fact that Scott said, you know, revenue is going to get better over the next couple of quarters is really, I think, indicative of But how do we think about those down and up arrows? And then I'll ask again the question I asked last time, which I thought was helpful, and if any change, the microeconomic decision of a person thinking about advertising a building or a lease, has that changed at all, gotten better, worse, et cetera?

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Thanks. Yeah, so LoopNet is, I think the arrows overall go strongly towards counter cyclical to LoopNet, and I think it's a, the trend you're going to see even after we come out of this particular cycle. So your comment about bid-ask spread is correct. People are not going to be doing as many transactions, but you're going to actually pick up that business over in the 10X side. So you'll pay us differently, but we'll monetize the transaction. Really, the value we're delivering is the digital marketplace, but you're going to monetize it over on 10X. On the leasing side, I think you're a nut job right now if you're not leasing your high-end, marketing your high-end building on LoopNet. I mean, I think it's beyond me what you'd be thinking. So you have this $200 million building. No one wants to crowd in an elevator and go up and down your building with a bunch of people and look at it. But you have, you know, most people searching for office space on LoopNet right now are retail space, industrial space. And to not be front and center in front of that community and that buying audience in this environment is, you know, just nutty. So I think it's more of an education thing. I think that apartments.com was – it's an education thing and it's a size of Salesforce thing. So apartments.com had a much bigger Salesforce going into this cycle. And people were more – it was more established and people were more used to digital marketing for apartments. So the combination of bigger sales force and behavior allowed it to flex hard into counter-cyclical. LoopNet in the, you know, had predominantly been a lower-end broker marketing solution, was newer at the upper-end property solution area. The office retail industrial industry was less experienced in digital marketing. We had smaller sales force there. So it's taking longer for it to flex into counter-cyclical, but we're going to be looking for it to do that, and truth is on our side. So we'll work into that and play into that.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Your next question comes from a line of Mayank Tandem from Needham & Company. Your line is open.

speaker
Kyle Peterson
Analyst, Needham & Company

Hey, good evening. It's actually Kyle Peterson from Mayank. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to drill down in the FTR business. It's a good sign. It seems like the trends in net new sales have actually been at least better than we were expecting, given all the headwinds the travel industry is facing. Just wondering if you could just drill down a little bit more into what drives these sales and eventually revenue growth, if it's not directly, I guess, related to things like occupancy.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Yeah, so one of the first things that drives the positive sales result in the face of just astoundingly negative economic conditions is the fact that people don't cancel their STR because things are going poorly. So, you know, in a rough environment, STR is your compass. When you're lost in the woods, STR is your compass to try to find your way out. And you're paying – you've got multimillion-dollar property or $100 million property, and STR is costing you a couple thousand dollars a year. So, you know, you don't – when you discover you're lost in the woods, that's not the time you throw out your compass. So that's a critical fact. you know, some independent owners, this will be too much for them, sustained low occupancy levels will break their ability to keep their properties. There's billions of dollars of capital looking to take advantage of that dislocation and some of those folks are coming in and buying information and services from SDR. So we're getting a little counter cyclical going on there. We anticipate that we will lose some of those independents. Bad debt is coming up a little bit, some of those small independents. But there may well be significantly more revenue on the 10X side as we pick up that business in other forms elsewhere in our business. Longer term, I think we have a really straightforward opportunity to provide some real software value to the industry. lenders, investors, operators, REITs by integrating the STR content into CoStar. STR's technology magic for the first decades of its life were benchmarking and the ability to keep the data anonymized and secure and give people quality benchmarking. I think we'll retain that technical skill, but we're going to bring a new skill set, which is more processing power against the analytics, more correlating data, expanding the breadth and depth of the different sorts of datasets we have from benchmarking to P&L benchmarking to forward casting to, you know, forward booking information, all that sort of stuff. So, product flow will probably drive a lot of growth in the future. they'll likely be, you know, we also going into the future, you know, intermediate term, STR did a really great job at selling into the hotels themselves, but there's so many other parties that are interested in the intelligence STR produces that a larger sales force, a larger marketing operation will allow us to reach more untapped segments there. So, A bunch of drivers there. And, you know, I think all of us, our investors, our analysts, and our staff are pleasantly surprised at the fact that SDR has actually been so resilient in unprecedented economic headwind. So, you know, hats off to the team at SDR, Amanda Hite and Elizabeth and the whole team holding things together, marching on in a tough environment.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Your next question comes from the line of Steven Sheldon from William Blair. Your line is open.

speaker
Steven Sheldon
Analyst, William Blair

Hi, thanks. Wanted to ask for some more detail on bookings trends. So how much of bookings activity in June was potentially a catch-up of activity from prior months? What did booking trends look like so far in July? And then, Andy, maybe what surprised you the most in terms of bookings activity overall since the pandemic began? Thanks.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Yeah, so I had never had a context for a pandemic, so anything would surprise me. I was like, what is this? Everything was a surprise. So by far and away, the biggest surprise was the mega empirical counter-cyclicality of Apartments.com. That was just amazing. And I don't think the selling activity is catch up. You know, I think the management team, Fred St. Page, Forrest, Patrick Dan, did a great job of innovating. You know, when NAA canceled their conference, our team put on their own conference and sold a lot of product for little to no money invested. So I don't think it's catch-up. I think this is new business they're winning. And I think they're just people in a world in which they can't put the sign spinner in front of their apartment building productively or buying digital instead. So that's just a very positive trend, you know, and I think that's going to go forward. I also think that one of the positive things that comes out of these bad situations is that People modify their behaviors going into one of these severe disruptions, but they don't modify them back. Very often that 30-unit community that never bought any solution for apartments.com starts buying it because of a particularly tough environment, but settles into it, likes the results, and stays with it for a while. I think the other thing that, you know, if I could say surprised me was the fact that I spent 30 years looking closely at employment data, and this is the worst it's ever been by far. So I would have expected a much more severe down drop than we've actually experienced. And to come into June with virtually every one of our product platforms growing is remarkable. That was a big surprise. Everything is growing. There's nothing. I mean, even STR is growing. And So the speed at which we came out of it, and I think that I'm just going to, you know, we will definitely chalk up April permanently to just people saying what's going on. You know, it's the buying a comfortable office chair for home and a router. That's what April 2020 was, so.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

And your next question comes from the line of Joe Goodwin from JMP Securities. Your line is open.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Hey, guys. Thank you for taking the question. Can you talk about how the pricing for apartments.com changes when you're selling into the sub-100 unit segment? And perhaps maybe how your approach in that segment differs on pricing versus, you know, the north of the 100 unit segment. Thank you. Yes, absolutely. So the price per unit comes way up. So actually, the cost of marketing a 10-unit apartment building in traditional methods versus the cost of marketing a 400-unit apartment building in traditional methods, your cost per unit is much higher at the smaller properties. And on down to the, if I take the cost per unit at a single-family dwelling, that might be paying a real estate agent a month of rent, which that's where you're getting your highest cost per unit. So our pricing sort of follows a little bit of that. So you're going to come down where you might be spending $700, $800 for a 130-unit community for a midline ad. That price may come down to several hundred dollars at the lower end Also, you may be in and out of the market at the single-family dwelling, so that may be a shorter contract period. But surprisingly, you know, the pricing is actually not that dissimilar. And what really happens is that people with the 200-unit community will go aggressively for the Diamond Plus because they need higher lead flow. They've got more units to fill. So they might choose to up their exposure, their sort, and go up to $7,000 a month, whereas the person with a single-family dwelling can be quite happy with the results they get at, you know, $295 in a month, or $295 for a campaign that might last for two months or three months. So it's not wildly dislocated. There's more money at the bottom than there is at the top in this industry, I believe.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

And there are no further questions at this time. Andy, I turn the call back over to you for some closing remarks.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

Well, thank you all for joining us on this call. We had a solid quarter despite the challenges. And, again, I want to thank the investors, the new investors who joined us. Thank you for your confidence. And we're getting to work deploying your capital responsibly in the best timeframe possible. So thank you, everyone, for joining us.

speaker
Operator
Conference Moderator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating.

speaker
Andy Florence
Founder & CEO

You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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