5/15/2025

speaker
Sherry
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Canadian Solar's first quarter 2025 earnings call. My name is Sherry and I will be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the call over to Wynna Hong, Head of Investor Relations at Canadian Solar. Please go ahead.

speaker
Wynna Hong
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Operator, and welcome everyone to Canadian Solar's first quarter of 2025 conference call. Please note that today's conference call is accompanied with slides which are available on Canadian Solar's Investor Relations website within the Events and Presentations section. Joining us today are Dr. Shawn Hsu, Chairman and CEO, Yan Zhuang, President of Canadian Solar subsidiary CSI Solar, Ismael Guerrero, Corporate VP and President of Canadian Solar Decidiary Recurrent Energy, and Simbo Azul, Senior VP and CFO. All company executives will participate in the Q&A session after management's formal remarks. On this call, Sean will go over some key messages for the quarter. Yan and Ismael will review business highlights for CSI Solar and Recurrent Energy, respectively, and Simbo will go through the financial results. Sean will conclude the prepared remarks with the business outlook, after which we will have time for questions. Before we begin, I would like to remind listeners that management's prepared remarks today, as well as their answers to questions, will contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. The company claims protection under the State Harbor for forward-looking statements that is contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ from management's current expectations. Any projections of the company's future performance represent management's estimates as of today. Canadian solar assumes no obligation to update these projections in the future unless otherwise required by applicable law. A more detailed discussion of risks and uncertainties can be found in the company's annual report on Form 20F, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Management prepared remarks will be presented within the requirements of SEC Regulation G regarding generally accepted accounting principles or GAAP. Some financial information presented during the call will be provided on both a GAAP and non-GAAP basis. By disclosing certain non-GAAP information, management intends to provide investors with additional information to enable further analysis of the company's performance and underlying trends. Management uses non-GAAP measures to better assess operating performance and to establish operational goals. Non-GAAP information should not be viewed by investors as a substitute for data prepared in accordance with GAAP. And now, I would like to turn the call over to Canadian Solar's Chairman and CEO, Dr. Shawn Chu.

speaker
Shawn Chu

Shawn, please go ahead. Your line might be muted. Thank you.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Thank you, Wina, and thank you all for joining our first quarter earnings call. Please turn to slide three. We began the year with a solid performance. Module shipment reached 6.9 gigawatts, slightly above our guidance. Revenue totaled $1.2 billion at the high end of our range, with a gross margin of 11.7%, modestly exceeded expectations. Profitability was impacted by lower contributions from storage, duties and tariffs, recurrence, ongoing transformation, and intercompany elimination. This resulted in a net loss to shareholders of $34 million, or 69 cents per diluted shares. 2025 will face many of the same challenges that define 2024. While near-term headwinds remain, we are confident in the long-term opportunities and will continue to invest in them. Please turn to slide four. In the near term, we are tackling challenges that test us both operationally and financially. Structural overcapacity across the solar supply chain has prolonged the market downturn, putting pressure on module pricing in most global markets. In addition to fierce competition, tariffs and shifting policies are raising costs and squeezing margins. To navigate these challenges, We are maintaining a profit-focused approach to our modules business, carefully managing volumes in less profitable markets, leveraging a blended supply chain strategies, and offering bundled sales. Storage continues to be a key differentiator and profit driver. We are also rigorously managing operating expenses and capital expenditures to support our bottom line and cash flow. Recently, we held an internal town hall meeting where I posed a question on behalf of the broader renewable energy sectors. Does this industry still have a bright future? My answer is a resounding yes. Global electricity demand is growing at its fastest pace in years, and the rise of AI and other energy-intensive applications is widening the energy gap. Solar power, clean, affordable, and easy to deploy, can quickly meet this demand, especially when paired with storage. Canadian solar has a proven track record of navigating policy shifts and market cycles, demonstrating our technological leadership and resilience in challenging times. While our operating environment continues to evolve, one constant is our commitment to R&D and leadership through innovation. Please turn to slide five. Over the past two months, we have announced several new products, showcasing our leadership across both solar and energy storage technologies. In solar, we completed our first deployment of Canadian Solar's innovative anti-hail technology in Australia. This technology protects solar panels from severe weather, reflecting our dedications to delivering durable, high-performance solutions in even the most demanding environment. We also introduced our new N-type high-power TOPCON Gen2 modules for utility scale and CNI system. Built on our latest TOPCON cell technology, These modules deliver a maximum power output of up to 660 watts and a conversion efficiency of up to 24.4%. By advancing our solar technology, we help customers lower their levelized cost of energy, and improve project economics, reinforcing solar as one of the most cost-effective energy generation options. On the storage front, we achieved key milestones in both utility scale and residential offerings. At InterSolar in Munich, we officially launched our SoBank 3.0+. Enhancements to the lithium-ion phosphate battery cell manufacturing process elevate its performance beyond the already successful SoBank 3.0. This solution offers a 25-year lifespan, near-zero degradation for the first four years, and up to 12,000 cycles at 95% round-trip efficiency. SoBank 3.0 Plus can significantly reduce our customers' operational costs by boosting overall lifetime energy throughput by over 13%. We are also proud that Our residential energy storage solution, EP-Cube, received the prestigious 2025 IF Design Award and gold at the 2025 MUSE Design Awards. EP-Cube combines aesthetically pleasing design important to homeowners with functional advantages like easy installation and flexible capacity options. It continues to gain strong traction in global markets. With that, I will now turn the call over to Yan, who will provide more details on our CSI solar business. Yan, please go ahead.

speaker
Simbo Azul
Senior VP and CFO

Thank you, Shawn. Please turn to slide six.

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

In the first quarter of 2025, module shipments increased by 9.4% year over year to 6.9 gigawatts. We slightly exceeded our module shipment guidance, driven by incremental shipments to China, as the industry rushed to complete installations ahead of new policies taking effect on June the 1st. Storage deliveries aligned with guidance, totaling 849 megawatt hours. Revenue reached $1.2 billion, and our gross margin declined by 640 basis points, quarter over quarter, to 13.4%, primarily due to lower energy storage shipments. While costs rose slightly partly from non-refundable VAT changes in China effective last December, and slightly higher manufacturing costs in Southeast Asia under our blended supply chain strategy. Average selling prices improved with a higher share of shipments to North America, with shipping costs declining sequentially due to softening global shipping rates and our rigorous management of our pre-team expenses. We achieved a pre-team income of $2 million. Now turning to eStorage. Please refer to page seven. In the first quarter, we recognized revenue from 849 megawatt hours of shipped solutions. The software performance was due to contract timing, and we expect a much stronger second quarter. Understandably, the ongoing U.S.-China tariff negotiations remain top of mind for all stakeholders. While we cannot predict final outcomes, it is critical to recognize that these U.S. energy storage projects, essentially for great resilience and energy dispatchability, took years of planning and significant investment. While clarity may take some time, the industry will work together to advance these projects. Like old market participants, we're navigating this uncertainty. For e-storage, the U.S. accounts for upwards of one-third of our energy storage business expected for this year. We are actively engaging with customers to mitigate risk and ensure smooth project execution. NoteBully were well positioned with our global blended manufacturing strategy. Beyond our planned Kentucky storage facility, we have cell manufacturing capabilities and supplier partnerships that will allow us to offer customers flexible options starting in 2026. Demand for storage is stronger than ever, not just in the US, but globally. As of March 31st, our record pipeline of 91 gigawatt hours, including $3.2 billion in contracted backlog, highlights the structural growth potential of energy storage worldwide. For example, we recently secured another major project in Latin America. Please turn to slide eight. Coborn, a leading Chilean power generation company, selected eStorage to supply a 912 megawatt hour battery energy storage system for their Diago de Almagro SER project in Chile's Atacama region. Like many in eStorage's global track record, now exceeding 11 gigawatt hours, this project highlights the value of energy storage. It strengthens grid reliability, optimizes renewable energy use, and ensures secure, continuous power for industrial demand. Now let me hand the call over to Ismael, who will provide an overview of Recurrent Energy, Canadian Solar's global project development business. Ismael, please go ahead.

speaker
Ismael Guerrero
Corporate VP and President of Recurrent Energy

Thank you, Jan. Please turn to slide nine. In the first quarter, we generated $125 million in revenue. Gross margin was 18.6 percent, driven by project sales in Latin America. Due to the operating costs of our platform and the ongoing scaling of our IPP portfolio, we posted an operating loss of $12 million for the quarter. Regarding our business transformation, we remain focused on execution. Currently, we have 1.2 GW peak of solar and 1.4 GW hours of energy storage projects under construction in Europe and the US. In January, our 35 MW peak Montalto project in Lazio, Italy, reached commercial operation. The PV project was contracted with Axpo with an attractively priced PPA. In addition, Montalto is also one of the first co-located PV and best projects in the Italian market. The best portion won a 15 years fixed capacity payment in a public auction and it is now under construction. In the US, we secured tax equity and project finance for Fort Duncan. a 200 megawatt hours merchant project, merchant storage project in Ercot, Texas. This is testament to the strength of our projects and financing teams, as well as the strong support from our capital partners in enabling innovative solutions to drive impact. Construction for Fort Duncan is complete and under commissioning as we speak. In line with our global growth strategy, we secured a $450 million multi-currency credit facility, which includes an accordion feature that allows for potential upsizing. This corporate facility provides flexible and scalable financing with disbursements in US dollars, euros, British sterling, and Australian dollars. supporting our strategy to expand our IPP portfolio across diverse markets and geographies. Given the uncertain policy environment in the U.S., we are proactively implementing safeguards for all major IPP projects, including safe harboring equipment. While the long-term effects of tariffs remain to be seen, we expect very limited impact given recent progress in trade negotiations. Now, please turn to slide 10 for an update on our pipeline. As of March 31st, 2025, we have secured interconnections for 9 gigawatts of solar and 16 gigawatt hours of storage globally, excluding projects already in operation. Our total project pipeline now stands at 27 gigawatts of solar and 76 gigawatt hours of energy storage. While we continue to expand our pipeline, the availability of easy-to-develop land with relatively cheap interconnections is becoming increasingly scarce. We are now prioritizing our core markets, the U.S. and Europe, while in other regions we focus primarily on low-cost greenfield development. Now, let me hand the call over to Shimbo, who will go through our financial results in more detail. Shimbo, please go ahead.

speaker
Simbo Azul
Senior VP and CFO

Thank you, Ismael. Please turn to slide 11.

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

In the first quarter, we shipped 6.9 gigawatts of modules, slightly above guidance, and delivered 849 megawatt hours of energy storage solutions in line with expectations. Revenue reached $1.2 billion. and the high end of our forecast. Growth margin of 11.7% exceeded guidance. The 260 basis point sequential decline was primarily due to lower energy storage shipments, while the 730 basis point year-over-year decline was driven by lower module ASPs. Operating expenses decreased 4% year-over-year, driven by lower shipping costs. Last quarter's results included nonrecurring impairment charts related to certain manufacturing and solar assets, making the year-over-year comparison more reflective of our ongoing operational performance. Net interest expense in the first quarter was $28 million. compared to $9 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 and less than $1 million in the first quarter of 2024. The current quarter reflects a more normalized interest expense, as prior comparative periods benefited from non-recurring interest income items. Net foreign exchange loss was $14 million, primarily due to dollar weakness and tariff-related pressures. Total net loss was $34 million, or $0.69 per diluted share. This result included a positive HLVV impact of $26 million, or $0.38 per share. from tax equity arrangements tied to certain US operating projects. Now let's turn to cash flow and the balance sheet.

speaker
Simbo Azul
Senior VP and CFO

Please turn to slide 12.

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

Net cash flow used in operating activities during the first quarter of 2025 was $264 million. This outflow was primarily driven by increased inventories and project assets. Total assets grew to $13.9 billion, driven by investments in project assets and solar power systems, positioning us for longer-term value creation. In the first quarter, we allocated $250 $56 million in capital expenditures, primarily toward U.S. manufacturing initiatives. Our full-year 2025 CapEx outlook remains unchanged at around $1.2 billion. We ended the quarter with a cash balance of $2.0 billion and total debt of $5.7 billion. reflecting borrowings for capacity extension, working capital, and the project and operational assets development. Now let me turn the call back to Sean, who will conclude with our guidance and business outlook. Sean, please go ahead.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Thank you, Xinbo. Please turn to slide 13. For the second quarter of 2025, We anticipate CSS Solar's module shipment will range between 7.5 to 8 gigawatts, including approximately 500 megawatts allocated to our own project. We also expect to deliver between 2.4 and 2.6 gigawatts of energy storage solutions during this period. We project a total second quarter revenue to be in the range of $1.9 to $2.1 billion, with gross margin expected to be between 23% and 25%. The anticipated margin improvement reflects strong energy storage shipment and includes a sizable margin contribution from the deconsolidation of a U.S. project. This deconsolidation was released previously eliminating intra-company growth margin on CSI solar components installed within the project. We continue to operate in an environment marked by global pricing volatility and evolving policy uncertainty, which limits our margin visibility. Based on our recent assessment, of market and geopolitical development, we are updating our full year guidance as follows. For the full year of 2025, we update module volume guidance to 25 to 30 gigawatts, including approximately one gigawatt to our own projects. For energy storage shipments, we provide conditional guidance between seven to nine gigawatt hours, including approximately one gigawatt hour allocated to our own projects. The reduced module volumes primarily reflect our strategic reduction of exposure to a less profitable market, while the expected storage adjustment relate to U.S. volumes affected by trade negotiations. As a result of this volume adjustment, we now expect full-year revenue to be between $6.1 and $7.1 billion. With that, I would now like to open the floor for questions. Operator?

speaker
Sherry
Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. And for participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question is from Colin Rush with Oppenheimer and Company. Please proceed.

speaker
Colin Rush
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Co.

Thanks so much, guys. There's a lot of variables here, and Sean, obviously, you've gone through a variety of policy shifts. One element that I'd love to get a bit more detail on is around the FEOC provisions that were released in the budget. I guess as you guys look at how that might evolve and get solidified in the budget, how does that impact your plans for U.S. capacity investments? And how should we think about that, you know, some of those elements impacting, you know, the variability in your guidance?

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Well, thanks, Colin. It's a good question, but also a tough question. Now, the new draft of the FEOC was only released two days ago by the House OASAN Means Committee. And it's only the first draft. We believe it will not look like this at the final bill, final reconciliation bill. So it's hard to comment at this moment because in the next two or three years, There will be, we believe there will be changed. We will also put our opinion, our suggestions to, you know, through the relevant representatives and senators. and also to the administration. So I will not comment now because it's only two days of the draft and only the first draft from the House of Ways and Means. Colin?

speaker
Colin Rush
Analyst, Oppenheimer & Co.

Perfect. Appreciate that answer. And then just shifting gears to the balance sheet, as you move through this year, we've seen some of the long-term debt increase, assuming that the bulk of that is around projects, how should we think about target ratios for you guys from a cash flow perspective and a leverage perspective?

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, Simbo, do you want to answer this question?

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

From a recovery perspective, we are still in the transition of... from the project to IPP, so we are continuing to do projects and . So the leverage of will increase a little bit. For , we will maintain a similar leverage ratio to balance the growth and capital structure.

speaker
Shawn Chu

Okay, thanks, guys. I'll hop back in here.

speaker
Sherry
Operator

Our next question is from Philip Shen with Roth Capital Partners. Please proceed.

speaker
Philip Shen
Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. In terms of the 2025 guidance, you lowered your module shipments by 15%, and battery shipments, I think, by 30%. But the revenue guide only came down 10%. Can you walk us through again or just walk us through how revenue is able to be down only 10%? Do you expect pricing to go higher? Sorry if I missed some of your explanation. Thanks.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, maybe we are at the best position to answer these questions.

speaker
Wynna Hong
Head of Investor Relations

So, as Sean mentioned, we are maintaining a profit-first strategy, which means that the volume will be reduced for modules, and it is in less profitable markets, whereas for storage, this is our best estimate given the ongoing trade negotiations. So this is still very fluid. As you can see, it's a pretty wide revenue guidance range.

speaker
Philip Shen
Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Okay, thank you, guys. And as it relates to the draft House bill, I know, Sean, you talked about the FEOC rules and how that might need to be changed. Well, you expect it to be changed ahead. They also have new rules as it relates to the ITC and PTC. If they were to pass, You know, now they're looking to get placement service requirements instead of construction starts to secure the ITC and PTZ. How would you expect that to impact your installations over the next two years? Do you think there would be modest to limited impacts on the recurrent business, or do you think there might be some challenges with that new language? Thank you.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, Philip, this is also a very good question. The FEOC is important, and the ITC schedule is also very important. So we are paying lots of attention to the draft from the Way and Mean Committee. And as I said, I expect this to change. It looks like it's still far from the final law. However, the ITC does mean a lot to developers and also to manufacturers. And Canadians are both developers and manufacturers. So indeed, ITC will have a significant, meaningful impact if it is scaled back. Our calculation shows One year of ITC credit means several hundred millions of dollars to Canadian Solar Loans, not to mention the whole industry. So it's very important. And we will put in our suggestions and our opinions. But on the other hand, Philip, if you remember, there has been talking of ITC face out several times in the past 10, 15 years. And I believe ITC was first introduced during President Bush's time. And then every year, every president afterward, and also the House and Senate, reduced, extended this ITC. But we also have been preparing for ITC phase-out several times and just for Recurrent. I remember Recurrent had like a safe hub for modules and other equipment several times in the past 15 years. And every time ITC got extended. So ITC seems to have good longevity. So we'll see how it looks like this time. But the industry and also Recurrent Plus Canadian Solar, we're prepared to go through another round. I believe the solar project and any historic project, you know, the price is very economic these days. And also the electricity demand is high. So Whatever the ITC is, I think the industry will adjust. The venture will adjust and then continue to grow further.

speaker
Philip Shen
Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Okay. Thanks, Sean. I had a follow-up question on the Q2 margin guide. You gave some detail around the strength is due to storage and I think the deconsolidation of the U.S. project. Can you share a little more color there? What is the expectation for storage margins these days? Historically, I think you guys have talked about 20-ish percent, but is it closer to mid-20s percent or even higher? And just provide a little bit more detail on the deconsolidation. Thanks.

speaker
Shawn Chu

provide comments on the energy storage and margin.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

And then, Xinbo, you may want to explain the deconsolidation of solar project. Yan?

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

Oh, so on the storage side, the Q2 storage shipment happened in Q1. So it was before this tariff war. And so margin-wise, I can only say it's above 20%. It was pretty healthy. And also volume-wise, Q2 is going to be much higher. So the guidance is 2.6 to 2.8, 2.4 to 2.6 gigawatt hour. So it's much higher than Q1. Yeah, let me comment the deconsolidation. We have a storage project with fixed-rate toll agreement covering about 80% of the project lifetime. According to the accounting standard, when the projects reach COD, the majority of the risks and controls are transferred to the counterpart So according to accounting standards, we need to deconsolidate this project from our balance sheet and release the intercompany profit eliminated in early quarters. And it's a one-time event, contributing about 5% to 6% of gross margin in next quarter.

speaker
Philip Shen
Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Okay, thank you. And would you expect this strength What kind of gross margins could we see in Q3 and 4? Thanks.

speaker
Simbo Azul
Senior VP and CFO

No, we're not guiding this.

speaker
Philip Shen
Analyst, Roth Capital Partners

Okay. Appreciate it. Thank you, guys. I'll pass it on.

speaker
Sherry
Operator

Our next question is from Brian Lee with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed.

speaker
Tyler Bisset
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, guys. This is Tyler Bisset on for Brian. Thanks for taking our questions. You guys lowered storage volume expectations due to the trade negotiations. Can you provide some details on what sort of tariff assumptions are embedded in your guidance? I know there are some recent negotiations. I just want to confirm what's embedded there. And similarly, you mentioned offering some flexible sourcing capabilities. So can you provide some more details on kind of the pricing differentials of you know, leveraging different sources versus your existing products.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Yeah. Ian, do you want to handle this question? The energy storage guidance, new guidance?

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

Yeah. I think to the sound to mine, uh, uh, people at our actually covered, uh, uh, you know, the, the, the different uncertainties already. Uh, so, uh, So that is, you know, that included the study days exemption and also the oncogenesis after that. So it can be as low as seven or as high as nine. So that's our assumption.

speaker
Tyler Bisset
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

And any sort of details on just like pricing differential from different sourcing capabilities?

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

Okay, and actually for the storage contracts, most of the, we all have a change of law protection. Some of them are like capped pricing and the others we've shared on tariff. So even, you know, with the different uncertainties, I think the 7 to 9 gigawatt hour, we continue to have a healthy margin.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, Brian, just one comment. The sourcing flexibility will only help us in 2026. The sourcing, we are seeing sourcing flexibility with our suppliers start to build and ramp up their capacities outside China. But most of this will only help us in 2026. So 2025, we have to deliver all the storage projects from China. So the impact does have, you know, the territory does have an impact. And because of that, some of customers ask it to push their project deliver to next year. And when we have this non-China project, battery cell option ready. So that accounts for most of the change on the guidance.

speaker
Tyler Bisset
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Super helpful, Color. Appreciate that. And then you discussed some pull forward of demand in China given some policy changes there. Do you have any sort of expectation for shipment growth next year in China?

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Yan, do you want to answer this question?

speaker
Tyler Bisset
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

The shipping growth in China.

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

Yeah. So, you know, we're still waiting for policy clarification at provincial level, which is the action points, right? So before that, the investment decisions in China are mostly on health. So, however, from our understanding about the market dynamics, we think it will have a few months of adjustment in China. But after that, once we have the policy clarification, it will not be a disaster. The demand will start to pick up. However, I think the second half will be weak next year. We don't really know because there's a lot of uncertainty. We're still waiting for the policy clarification. However, we believe the healthy demand for storage is going to come. Because in the past, most of the storage demand in China was kind of mandatory on solar. But since this policy changed, the policy 133, I think we'll have a free-trade market. The trading market will actually bring in a real demand for storage, so we anticipate a healthy growth of high-quality storage projects coming up next year.

speaker
Tyler Bisset
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Perfect. Really appreciate the call. Thank you.

speaker
Shawn Chu

Thank you.

speaker
Sherry
Operator

Our next question is from Alan Lau with Jefferies. Please proceed.

speaker
Alan Lau
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks for taking my question. A follow-up question on the 6% margin contribution from the consolidation of this project. So I would like to know, there's a fixed rate agreement covering the project life. So based on our timing standard, we have to record the profit. But I would like to know if it's a one-off Just to confirm, is it a one-off impact on Q2? Or how does the AMO tie over the time?

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

From a timing perspective, yeah, it's a one-off impact on Q2 this year.

speaker
Alan Lau
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay. Thank you. Thank you. That's clear. So Q3 onwards, unless you have other projects that are deconsolidated. Otherwise, this is only one-off on Q2, right? Correct. Thank you. And then next question is a follow-up on US policies because there's a lot of prevalence in the past one week. Would like to check on your view, because the language is actually saying that at least for the next two years, if a FEOC is not having the majority stake, then we'll be still able to get 45x. Just to reconfirm, Our company, CSIQ, is actually Canadian-owned. And also, to your understanding, it's not an FDOC? Or what do you think about that?

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Canadian Solar itself is Canadian-owned and also traded on NASDAQ. So there are common shareholders from the U.S. stock market. Now, Canadian Solar holds about 65% of CSI Solar, which is trading on Shanghai Stock Exchange, which is organized under the Chinese corporate law and is trading on Shanghai Stock Exchange. And then CSI Solar invested into the facilities in the U.S., including the module factory in Mesquite, also the cell factory in Jeffersonville, Indiana, and a storage factory in Shelbyville, Kentucky. So if the current language in the new draft stay as yet, then all these three facilities will be impacted. We'll have to change the ownership structure in order to fit or comply with the new laws. But on the other hand, as you see that CSIQ, which is a Canadian company, still holds 65%, and it's the controlling shareholder for CSI Solar. So I suppose that it will be much easier for us to change the structure or maybe to invite some third-party investors in order to make all three entities comply with the new rules. But I also mentioned when I answered the previous question from Philip Chen that what released by the House way and means committee two days ago was only the first draft. We expected to go through many, many changes before it become the law. So there's a question of how fast the reconciliation will go through. Some say it's July for the August recess, and some say it's September. So we're not experts. uh in you know how the legislature bodies uh work uh however we are uh sending our comment and opinions uh through our channels and uh so i hope the uh final bills will consider all this and final bill will uh i hope the final bill will truly help to make manufacturing, back to get manufacturing, go back to China, rather than otherwise. And that's my hope.

speaker
Simbo Azul
Senior VP and CFO

Let's go back to the U.S. Sorry, Xiao.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, this is about U.S. What I've been talking about U.S. is about a House way and mean draft of the new requirement. And also I answered your question on FEOC.

speaker
Alan Lau
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. So next question is, because I saw on a news mentioning Canadian solar is having a commitment in Ethiopia. So we'd like to know what's your plan there in terms of modules or is there any plan for sales?

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Yeah, that's not true. Our business development people have traveled around the world, so they travel to Ethiopia, but we haven't made any committed decision to any activities in Ethiopia yet.

speaker
Alan Lau
Analyst, Jefferies

I see. So there's probably due diligence, but not up to the stage of making commitment yet.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Right, we are developing and exploring options, but no, we haven't committed anything.

speaker
Alan Lau
Analyst, Jefferies

I see, I see. So my last question is about should the guidance, we'd like to know like the guidance, actually module guidance has came down. I would like to know is that main, the difference versus last time, is that mainly the U.S. volume?

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Yan, should you answer this question?

speaker
Yan Zhuang
President of CSI Solar

Okay, so the U.S. annual volume stays, so we don't have a new update on that.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Okay, so... Yeah, so what Yan means, the shipment to U.S. is pretty much still what we got it before. And this volume reduction reflects the reduction of unprofitable sales to other markets.

speaker
Shawn Chu

That's very clear. I'll pass on. Thanks a lot for taking my question.

speaker
Sherry
Operator

Our next question is from Praneeth Satish with Wells Fargo. Please proceed.

speaker
Praneeth Satish
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thank you. Good morning. Just going back to the FEOC draft legislation, I guess the question here is on your Indiana, Kentucky facilities. Does it make sense to put those on pause? You maintained your CapEx guidance, $1.2 billion. But, you know, until you get final clarity on the rules, is there a chance that maybe, you know, some of that CapEx comes down, you ship the projects out? Or are you confident that the draft language will change with the future revisions? Or you see a path here that even if it doesn't change through ownership changes, bringing in third-party investors, that you can comply with the rules?

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Jeffersonville. The Indiana factory, as you mentioned, is in the middle of the building construction and also the equipment. We are already shipping most of the phase one equipment. And those phase one equipment, which is about two gigawatts of capacity, solar cell capacity, those equipment stay in the warehouse. in Indiana right now, waiting for the building to complete. So I think phase one of about two gigawatt. The Jeffersonville facility, we have announced a proposal, a plan to reach five gigawatt, and we cut into phase one and phase two. So we are quite conservative when it come to actually spending money. So at this moment, Phase one, as I said, equipment are almost there. So we will, I think we will complete the phase one. Well, and the phase two decision will probably be made, you know, in the summer or after summer, the final decision. And so I hope, I think this budget reconciliation will come to a conclusion, final form, either before the summer or after summer. So in a way that we are not spending a lot of money on the Jeffersonville, other than what we already committed. And so the schedule is in parallel with the schedule of this budget reconciliation. process. So if somehow we think the final language will be reasonable, final language about if the OC will be reasonable. But also, as you said, we are ready to change the capital structure once the policy is clear, the language is clear, the legal explanation is clear, then we will make our existing capacity to meet with whatever the new language but we don't want to completely stop. So we are still continuing with, you know, design some final like detailed design of the factory and also certain civil construction work because the IRA itself only have a few years of shelf time, right? Even the previous original IRA already started uh, contains a face down after, uh, 2030. And, uh, I think by 20, 20, 2035, right. Uh, all the ITC and also the advanced, uh, manufacturing, uh, credit for IDC, the so-called 45 X will stop. So, uh, that's the only final time. So, you know, uh, uh, only, uh, finite amount of time limited amount of time so if we delay too much the project will become uneconomic so we'll balance this and we're spending some money to keep the construction and design work going and however for most of the equipment other than what we're already shipping we will probably only be able to make decision let's say in August or September I hope by that time this budget reconciliation is already completed.

speaker
Praneeth Satish
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay, that's helpful. And maybe one more on the recurrent business here. So at least in the U.S., you know, PPA prices are going up, and we're seeing, you know, on the gas side for CCGT, costs and prices are going up a lot with data center demand. So is that giving you more headroom on the solar and storage side to increase PPA prices and absorb a lot of the cost increases that we're seeing from all the trade and policy uncertainty? And then are you any more inclined for long-term ownership of assets versus monetization in the current environment?

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Ismail, this is a question for you.

speaker
Ismael Guerrero
Corporate VP and President of Recurrent Energy

Thank you, Sean. Thanks for the question. We see the market in a similar way as you do. We are experiencing the same things you are referring to. In general, with the capital we have, we have a limited capability to hold a certain amount of projects and we are continuously assessing every time a project reaches the RTV status whether we should sell it or we should keep it in operation. So how many projects we keep in operation is a decision taken based on the amount of money we have available and the status of the project and which are better to hold and better to sell. But the market remains very attractive. This is what we are seeing both in the US and Europe.

speaker
Simbo Azul
Senior VP and CFO

Got it.

speaker
Praneeth Satish
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Sherry
Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for closing remarks.

speaker
Dr. Shawn Hsu
Chairman and CEO

Thank you, and thank you for joining us today and for your continued support. If you have any questions or would like to set up a call, please contact our investor relations team. Take care and have a great day.

speaker
Sherry
Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation.

Disclaimer

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