Amdocs Limited

Q4 2022 Earnings Conference Call

11/8/2022

spk08: Thank you for standing by, and welcome to Amdoc's fourth quarter 2022 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone. I would now like to hand the call over to Matt Smith, head of investor relations. Please go ahead.
spk01: Thank you, operator. Before we begin, I need to call your attention to our disclaimer statement on slide two of the presentation. It notes that some of our comments today may be forward-looking statements and are subject to risks and uncertainties, including as described in Amdocs' SEC filings, and that we will discuss certain financial information that is not prepared in accordance with GAAP. For more information regarding our use of non-GAAP financial measures, including reconciliations of these measures, we refer you to today's earnings release, which will also be furnished with the SEC. on Form 6-K. Participating on the call with me today are Shuki Sheffer, President and Chief Executive Officer of Amdocs Management Limited, and Tamar Rappaport de Gim, Chief Financial and Operating Officer. To support today's earnings call, we are providing a presentation which can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website, and as always, a copy of today's prepared remarks will also be posted immediately following the conclusion of this call. On today's agenda, Shiki will recap our business and financial achievements for the fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2022, and we'll update you on the continued progress we have made executing against our strategic growth framework. Shiki will finish by commenting on our financial outlook for the full year fiscal 2023, after which Tamar will provide additional details on our fourth quarter financial performance and forward guidance. As a reminder, our comments today will refer to certain financial metrics on a pro forma basis where applicable, to provide you with a sense of the underlying business trends, excluding the financial impact of open market, which we divested on December 31st, 2020. And with that, I'll turn it over to Shuki.
spk02: Thanks, Matt, and good afternoon to everyone joining us on the call today. Let me begin by saying how extremely proud I am of Amdoc's achievement in fiscal 2022, which in many respects was a landmark year for the company. With our industry-leading portfolio of technology and services, and global reach, we delivered on our objective to sustain accelerated and profitable revenue growth, and we did so while playing a major role in serving the mission-critical needs and strategic requirements of the global communication media industry, which was without question become more the backbone of society post the global pandemic. Of course, none of this would be possible without the dedication and commitment of our global and diverse base of more than 30,000 talented employees to whom I wish to extend my huge gratitude for making fiscal 2022 an amazing year by providing market leading innovation and exceptional service to our customers. Turning to slide seven, we wrapped up strong fiscal 2022 financial performance with solid Q4 results that were in line with our guidance despite persistent foreign currency headwinds and inflationary pressures throughout the quarter. Recapping the full year highlights. The record revenue of approximately 4.57 billion increased 10.3% on a performer constant currency basis and was consistent with our high end of our outlook for six to 10% growth as provided at the start of the fiscal year. Reflecting heavily sales momentum, We finished fiscal 2022 with record high 12-month backlog of $3.97 billion, up approximately 8% from a year ago, and we achieved record non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $5.30, up 12.1% on a performer basis as we delivered on our targets for accelerated and profitable top-line growth. To further add, our earning-to-cash conversion exceeded 100% in fiscal 2022, resulting in a better-than-expected normalized free cash flow of $665 million, of which we returned more than 100% to shareholders via share repurchases and dividends. To provide additional color and spec to Amdoc's full-year financial performance, All three of our core operating regions grew revenue on a performer content currency basis in fiscal 2022, as shown on slide eight. The broad-based growth across geographies demonstrate that our strategy to bring product and services innovation across 5G monetization, cloud, network automation, and digital is highly relevant and well aligned with the needs of our customers worldwide. For instance, North America delivered a record yield, driven by 5G and cloud transformation projects. In addition to AT&T and T-Mobile, revenue grew across the broader North American region as we continued to expand activities with many customers, such as Comcast, Charter, Dish, Verizon, Bell Canada, and Rogers. Our efforts to further expand in Europe and the rest of the world were also apparent in fiscal 2022. We won important strategic awards with long-standing customers like Vodafone, N1 Telecom, Globe, PLDT, and Excel Axiata, and new logos like PPF Group, Vodacom, and AzarCell, which all together demonstrate Amdoc's impressive global reach. Fiscal 2022 was also a year in which we solidified our unrivaled reputation for execution. Driven by our consistent focus on operational excellence, we achieved a record number of project milestone deployments in the fourth quarter and full year fiscal 2022, including major low-lights in Q4 at Verizon, 3UK, Vivo, and Excel Akshata, to name a few. As to our gross investment, we excelled at R&D in fiscal 2022 to further extend our technological leadership as recognized by various industry analysts throughout the year. Moreover, We now have dozens of accounts using the latest versions of our cloud-native CS suite, which I believe is a testament to the rapid cadence and industry-leading capabilities of our platform. Additionally, we remain committed to M&A as a lever to accelerate our growth strategy by augmentation of R&D investments. During fiscal 2022, we accelerated the post-matter integration of DevOps Group to strengthen our cloud consulting expertise, and required one digital to expand our digital experience capability. We also initiated a move to add service assurance to our network automation portfolio with the plan acquisition of MyComOSI, which subject to sales and regulatory approval, we expect to close before the end of fiscal Q1. Turning to slide nine. Let me also say a quick word about Amdoc's approach to corporate social responsibility, which is tightly interwoven with Amdoc's business strategy. Since Amdoc is crucial to empowering our inclusively connected world, I believe we have an obligation to provide sustainable products that help our customers to advance the interests of the environment, while also taking responsibility to enable digital inclusion whenever we can. A great example is our work with Winity Telecom, which is a rolling out 4G and 5G network across remote communities in Brazil, bringing connectivity to more than 600 small municipalities and public schools to help close the gap in the digital divide. Now, let me update you on our framework for strategic growth, the key pillars of which shown on slide 10. As a reminder, our growth strategy is clear and simple. Enable our customers to derive growth, improve cost efficiency, and providing amazing experiences to consumers and enterprises by bringing market-leading innovation in respect to end-to-end cloud platform and services, creating seamless digital experiences by transforming IT operations, monetizing new 5G services, and delivering dynamic connected experiences with real-time automated networks. During Q4, we made additional progress executing against each of these growth pillars, beginning with cloud. I am delighted to announce that AT&T Mexico has selected us to migrate its Amdoc system from on-premises to the cloud. This five-year agreement will enable AT&T Mexico to quickly adopt the latest 5G innovation facilitated new business models, and allow unmatched flexibility and capacity by ensuring the right IT service infrastructure to support its network evolution and growing business needs. Additionally, and prior to say that Amdocs is working with Rogers Canada to move existing Amdocs services and application to Rogers private cloud. Moving next to digital transformation, we've expanded our work with T-Mobile as they implemented Amdocs AI and data platform on the cloud to unlock business insight for an improved customer experience. We signed a multi-year strategic managed services agreement with Telefonica, East Point America, to deploy new BSS and cloud native OSS modules on the public cloud for Telefonica's entities in Argentina, Chile, and Peru, enabling cost reduction, faster time to market for new services, advanced digital capabilities, and an improved customer experience. I'm also happy to announce of our first digital transformation engagement with AzureCell and as a Bidjan-based operator, Ambrox will modernize AzureCell BSS and OSS infrastructure with the cloud-native platform to improve time to market for new product and services while increasing efficiency by digitizing and streamlining processes. Moving to 5G monetization. At Verizon, we recently went into production with Amdocs Catalog One, our cloud-native platform designed to rapidly create and launch new 5G services offering. Earlier in Q4, we also launched our next-generation Amdocs Charging, which combines the industry-leading charging and BSS capabilities of both Amdocs and OpenNet to support rapid time-to-market, and the monetization of innovative new services across standalone 5G networks and beyond. Leading service providers, including two Tier 1 operators in North America, are already using Amdox charging, and we are busy working with many others as they explore the ways to make a return on their 5G investments. To learn more about the significant market potential of future 5G use cases, we invite you to join us for a webinar on December 12th, where we will share global perspectives and insights highlighting 5G's growing contribution to innovation services, the potential economic impact across industries, as well as three world examples illustrating Amdoc's critical role in bringing 5G to life. Switching to network automation, we are continuing to broaden and strengthen our relationship with SCS a leading operator of multi-orbit satellites to deliver enhanced form of connectivity. Amdocs recently signed an important new managed services agreement with SES under which we will provide anomaly detection, monitoring, diagnostics, and remediation across SES new satellite communication systems. Amdocs is also seeing increased customer demand for private enterprise networks as society becomes more reliant on ubiquitous connectivity. As an example, Amdocs is now working with EAF, a new Brazilian communication services provider, to build a private network for the Brazilian government. Finally, I would like to quickly acknowledge Amdocs Media, where we are proud to say the juice, which is the part of ubiquity, earned a Netflix Preferred Fulfillment Partner on the Year Award for the American region. This is your third NPFP of the Year win, the most of any partner since this program launch. Additionally, Ubiquiti was recently selected by Cellcom in Israel to ensure a personalized digital content experience for Cellcom Fiverr TV viewers under a newly extended agreement. Now, moving to our fiscal year 2003 outlook, as presented on slide 11. As you expected, we are closely monitoring the global macroeconomic environment, which has become even more complex since we spoke last quarter. While Amdocs and our global customers are not immune to macroeconomic cycles, we are confident in our unique and relatively resilient business model, which result in a highly recurring revenue stream and strong business visibility from the mission critical system we support and the multi-year engagement. We're already working with our customer to optimize their plans to address the complex macroeconomic situation, helping them to improve customer experience, accelerate cost reduction, and increase efficiency by bringing our highly relevant capabilities in digital clouds and automation. We continue to see a rich pipeline of opportunity, which I believe reflects Amdoc's position as a key technology enabler situated at the heart of the 5G monetization and cloud-related investments, strategies that we believe our customer will continue to execute in the next several years. Tying everything together on slide 12. We expect to deliver full-year revenue growth of between six to 10% on a constant currency basis in fiscal 2023, consistent with the long-term guidance range we provided previously. Our visibility is supported by record 12-month backlog entering the fiscal year. We expect all three of our core operating regions to grow on a constant currency basis in fiscal 2023, with Europe and the rest of the world enjoying a stronger yield compared with fiscal 2022, as recent project awards continue to ramp up. On the bottom line, we expect non-GAAP diluted earnings per share growth of roughly 8% to 12% in fiscal 2023. The outlook assumes an increased level of profitability as compared with the 2022 fiscal year, mainly resulting from ongoing efforts to improve operational excellence through automation and other sophisticated tools, which are now yield benefits. Additionally, we expect cost saving enabled by our move to the new campus in Israel. We expect earnings to cash conversion to remain at around 100% in fiscal 2023, supporting another year of strong free cash flow generation, the majority of which we plan to return to shareholders. To summarize, we expect to deliver double-digit expected total shareholder returns for the third straight year in fiscal 2023, assuming our non-GAAP diluted earnings per share, gross guidance, plus our dividend yield of about 2%. With that, let me turn the call over to Tamar for her remarks.
spk03: Thank you, Shuki, and hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us. As a reminder, my comments today will refer to certain financial metrics on a performance basis, which exclude the financial impact of open markets, which we divested on December 31st, 2020. Turning to our financial highlights on slide 14, I'm happy to report solid fourth quarter financial results rounding out a remarkable full year fiscal 2022. Record Q4 revenue of approximately $1.17 billion was up 9.5% year-over-year in constant currency. On a reported basis, revenue increased 7.3% and was slightly above the midpoint of guidance despite unfavorable foreign currency movements of roughly 9 million compared to our guidance assumption. Moving down the income statement, our non-GAAP operating margin was 17.6% in Q4, consistent with the prior quarter and up 10 basis points from a year ago. During Q4, we continued to balance accelerated R&D investments in a competitive labor environment with our initiatives to improve operational excellence and efficiency through ongoing implementation of automation and other sophisticated tools. Additionally, I would like to remind you that our foreign currency hedging program is designed to protect our profitability and free cash flow generation, rather than revenue, and we are once again pleased that this strategy has proven mostly effective through the volatile currency markets of Q4. On the bottom line, Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.29 was at the midpoint of our guidance range and included non-GAAP effective tax rates of 20.6%, which, as expected, was above the high end of our annual non-GAAP effective tax rate guidance of 13 to 17%. For the full fiscal year, our non-GAAP effective tax rate of 15.7% was within our annual guidance range. Diluted GAAP EPS was $1.05 for the fourth fiscal quarter, which was at the higher end of the guidance range of 98 to 106. Summarizing fiscal 2022 on slide 15, we delivered revenue growth of 10.3% on a performa constant currency basis, slightly above the high end of the 6% to 10% guidance range we provided at the start of the year. As Shuki mentioned, all three of our cooperating regions grew on a performa constant currency basis for the full year. Our growth in North America was very strong, both at our top two customers as well as the rest of the region. In Europe, revenue declined as reported, but realistically, the region grew on a performa constant currency basis as new project activities ramped up through the fiscal second half. Additionally, the rest of the world grew in both Southeast Asia and Latin America in fiscal 2022. To provide some further data points highlighting the results of our global diversification initiative, six of our top 10 customers were located outside North America in 2022, despite strong growth in North America. Three of these six customers were new logos added in the last decade. Additionally, The number of countries in which we generate annual revenue of more than $40 million has almost doubled over the 10 years, which is a result of our intentional geographic expansion. On the bottom line, we achieved double-digit non-GAAP diluted earning per share growth of 12.1% on a performer basis in fiscal year 2022, driven by strong top-line performance, a slightly better non-GAAP operating margin, and the benefits of our share repurchase activity. Moving to slide 16, 12 months backlog was a record high at $3.97 billion, up 7.6% from a year ago, as strong sales momentum continued in the fourth quarter. On a sequential basis, 12 months backlog was up $20 million as compared to the third quarter. Our 12 months backlog has traditionally served as a good leading indicator of our business, having consistently averaged around 80% of forward-looking 12 months revenue over the years. Turning to slide 17, I'm delighted to report a strong fourth quarter and our best-ever year in managed services. Fourth quarter managed services revenue of $715 million was up 12.1% from a year ago and accounted for about 61% of total revenue. During Q4, we continued to expand our list of managed services customers with new multi-year deals, including those with Telefonica, Hispanoamerica, and SES, which Shuki referenced earlier. Additionally, Charter and Amdocs have signed an expansion to our Managed Services Agreement, providing ongoing support for Charter's growth of Spectrum Mobile. These deals add to an already impressive year for Managed Services renewals, including with customers such as Bell Canada, PLDT, Cricket Wireless, and BT, in line with our track record of nearly 100% renewal rate. Additionally, it is worth noting that we have virtually doubled our number of managed services accounts over the last 10 years. To remind you, our managed services engagements underpin the resiliency of our business with recurring revenue streams, high renewal rates, and expanded activities, which may sometimes include also transformation projects with existing customers. Now, turning to the balance sheet and cash flow highlights on slide 18. DSO of 74 days declined by eight days sequentially in Q4, reflecting healthy customer collections in the period. Additionally, the net difference of deferred revenue and unbilled receivables declined by 7 million year over year. We generated normalized free cash flow of $176 million in Q4 and 665 million for the full fiscal year 2022, exceeding our targets of $650 million. On a reported basis, full-year free cash flow was $530 million, including capex of $116 million in relation to our new campus in Israel. I'm very excited to report that as we speak, our employees in Israel are starting the process of moving into the new premises. Since the Israel campus is now substantially complete, we plan to stop disclosing Moving forward, normalized free cash flows starting from next quarter, and only free cash flow will be provided moving forward. Overall, we ended the year with strong balance sheets and a healthy cash balance of approximately $0.8 billion, including aggregate borrowings of roughly $650 million. Moreover, we have ample liquidity to support our ongoing business needs while retaining the capacity to fund strategic growth. This includes the acquisition of Michael Morisai, which, subject to certain regulatory approvals, we expect to close before the end of Q1 for approximately $188 million cash. Turning to capital allocation on slide 19, we repurchased $108 million of our shares in the fourth quarter and paid cash dividends of $48 million. Overall, we returned a total of $694 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends in fiscal 2022, equating to roughly 104% of normalized free cash flow. Looking ahead to fiscal 2023, we expect free cash flow of approximately $700 million, which represents a healthy free cash flow yield of about 7% relative to Amdoc's current market capitalization. Our outlook assumes a conversion rate of approximately 100% relative to non-GAAP net income. Regarding our capital allocations in fiscal year 2023, we expect to return the majority of our free cash flow to shareholders. This includes dividends for which we are pleased to announce a proposed increase of 10% in our quarterly cash payment to a new rate of 43.5 cents per share subject to shareholder approval at the annual meeting in January. Overall, I believe fiscal 2022 was a remarkable year for Amdocs, which included record high revenue, slightly better profitability, strong free cash flow generation, and double-digit growth in non-GAAP diluted earnings per share. Now, turning to our outlook on slide 20, as Shuki indicated earlier, we are closely monitoring the prevailing level of macroeconomic business and operational uncertainty which remains elevated in the current business environment. That's the first quarter and fully of fiscal 2023 financial guidance reflects what we consider to be the most likely outcomes based on the information we have today, but we cannot predict all possible scenarios. With that said, we are positioned to deliver revenue growth in line with the midpoint of our long-term guidance range of six to 10% year over year on constant currency basis in fiscal 2023. Visibility to this outlook is supported by a record 12-month backlog and the strong pipeline we see. Our revenue growth for fiscal 2023 includes a contribution of about 60 basis points from Michael Morisai. Given our expectation that subject to certain regulatory approvals, this deal will close before the end of Q1. This is similar to the inorganic growth contribution that was assumed in the guidance initially for fiscal 2022. Additionally, we expect to deliver revenue growth across all three operating regions of North America, Europe, and the rest of the world on a constant currency basis for the full year of fiscal 2023. Our annual outlook includes first fiscal quarter revenue within the range of $1.155 billion to $1.195 billion. On a reported basis, we expect full year revenue growth in the range of 48% year-over-year, which anticipates an unfavorable foreign currency impact of approximately 2% year-over-year. Moving down the income statement, we anticipate quarterly non-GAAP operating margins around the midpoint of a new and improved annual target range of 17.5% to 18.1%, reflecting the benefits of our ongoing initiatives to improve operational excellence, automation, other sophisticated tools, and disciplined resource management, as well as expected cost saving resulting from our move to the new campus in Israel. Below the operating line, we anticipate that foreign currency fluctuations and cost of hedging will continue to impact our non-GAAP net interest and other expense lines in the range of a few million dollars on a quarterly basis. We expect that our non-GAAP effective tax rates will remain within an unchanged annual target range of 13 to 17% for the full fiscal year 2023. Specifically, our non-GAAP effective tax is expected to be above that high end of the annual range in the first fiscal quarter. Bringing everything together, we expect non-GAAP diluted earnings per share growth in the range of 8% to 12% for the full fiscal year 2023. Overall, we expect to deliver a double-digit total shareholders' return for the third year running in fiscal 2023, including our outlook for non-GAAP earnings per share growth, plus our dividend yield of about 2%. based on the newly proposed quarterly cash payment to be approved by shareholders at January's annual meeting. With that, back to you, Shuki.
spk02: Thanks, Tamar. As you can probably tell from our remarks today, I am very proud of our achievements for the fourth quarter and the full year of fiscal 2022. And I believe we are in a strong shape to deliver another year of profitable growth in 2023. With that, we are happy to take your questions.
spk08: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. Again, that's star 1-1 on your telephone to ask a question. We ask that you please ask one question and one follow-up, then return to the queue. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster.
spk07: Our first question comes from the line of Tal Lani of Bank of America. Please go ahead. First question comes from Tal Lani of Bank of America. Please go ahead. Kalani, please make sure your line is unmuted. And if you're in a speakerphone, lift your handset. We'll go to the next question.
spk08: Our next question comes from Ashwin Shervikar of Citi. Please go ahead.
spk06: Thank you. Hey, congratulations on the good quarter. Thank you. Hey, sure. I guess my first question is, you know, related to the comments on macro, which is, you know, front and center for investors as well. Are you seeing perhaps a change in the nature of projects, maybe more cost savings, like more cloud or more managed services instead of more growth-oriented projects? new product type projects, and could you sort of let us know in your base of revenues, does that lean more towards cost savings or growth?
spk03: I think, Ashwin, you know, if you think about what we are bringing to the market in terms of the investment domains we are supporting, Many of them are relevant also in a more challenging macro environment. If you think about the journey to the cloud, for example, in terms of offering the service provider, the agility of providing quick services, matching in an easier way the peaks of capacity that is required around the peak seasons, like holiday seasons, and a more agile cost structure. Those are things that are very applicable also in a more challenging macro environment. Same goes for how do you provide quicker time from marketing ideas to customer experience. So many of those things that we're looking at are very relevant also in more challenging times. Now one of the big changes we've done, irrespective of the macro situation, we've done this decision a couple years back, is to provide for more sophisticated technology a faster time to market of our product to the production of the customer environment. That from their point of view, is creating faster value. Now, one may say, in this kind of environment, what kind of features and functions will they want relative to maybe prior times, but that's the beauty of the thing, that we can actually respond very quickly with bringing these ideas to production, given today's environment, if I'm comparing it to years back, where it took us a year or two to develop a product version. So we are very close to our customers, monitoring what are their needs, You touched on managed services. I think this is absolutely one of the vehicles that we can bring to our customers in terms of reducing their cost structure. We are seeing managed services growing, as you've seen already, 12% in Q4, continue to enjoy very high renewal rate, plus new engagements and new logos of managed services. So that continues to be a vector we push forward. But if you ask me, are you seeing a big change as of now of the behavior of customers? Not yet. I hope never, but we have not noticed anything like that. So we are continuing to look very carefully, of course, and we are very close to what's happening out there. The big impact, frankly, the immediate impact we are seeing is inflation and currency volatility.
spk06: Understood. No, got that. And then on the campus, first of all, congratulations on completing this long process. I wanted to understand, there should be ongoing benefits, things like rent expense goes down, maybe because employees are together, it helps in terms of bringing out product faster, things like that. Could you kind of go through what some of the original benefits were that you expected and are those kinds of things incorporated in your outlook?
spk03: Yes, definitely. We're very happy to see that coming to life. And as you've indicated, this was a long-term and a very important investment in terms of the talent that we're seeking to have as well as the productivity. Now, to remind you, when we talked about investing in the new campus and we believed that this is going to be economically beneficial, we took into our business case only direct savings, meaning tangible reduction in expenses of rent, et cetera. At the same time, I absolutely agree with you. There are also indirect positive influences in terms of productivity, team engagement, and things like that. So I'm talking right now in terms of the direct benefit. That's already factored into the operating margin improvement we are guiding for 2023. The full year impact of that will happen in 2024, but already to a large extent we are enjoying that in 2023. And the indirect influence is something that is harder to measure in an accurate way, but definitely something we're looking forward to seeing and feeling as we move into the new campus. And I can tell you the employees are highly excited about the move.
spk08: Thank you. Our next question comes from Edward Yank. of Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.
spk05: Thank you, and congratulations on a nice quarter.
spk00: Thank you.
spk05: First question for me would just be around your fiscal 23 outlook. I was a little surprised you kept the fairly wide constant currency growth range, 6% to 10% for fiscal year 23. I know it's in line with your long-term outlook, and you gave the same range last year for fiscal year 22 but the low-end 6% would be a fairly draconian slowdown from the constant currency growth rates you're seeing right now. So what kind of scenarios, is this conservatism, or what kind of scenarios do you see where potentially the low-end could play out in that range?
spk03: So when we look into how we're guiding for the year in terms of the range, it's not different than what we've done a year ago and also two years ago. just to give it some context. And the reason for the range is that eventually when we're thinking about our visibility, it's pretty good, as we talked about having the 12 months backlog, covering roughly 80% of our business, and having a solid pipeline ahead of us. But at the same time, we're enjoying a peak level of transformation project activity, which by itself is just thinking about what does it entail. It's not just about having the signed agreements, it's about having the plan of execution aligned with the customer, with different milestones. So we need to be considering that as part of the moving parts, and hopefully we have given the midpoint, the most likely scenario based on the plan of records we have right now with our customers, but we need to take into consideration some changes that may come along to the upside as well as the downside. And in addition to that, it's about the demand environment, because while going with 80% visibility into the year, we still have 20% to make up from new signings. And just looking on what's on the pipeline and the conversion rate that we're expecting, we're trying to give the possible scenarios within that range. I would say the bottom line is, yes, there is a range, but we are guiding to something we believe is the midpoint to be the most likely scenario.
spk05: Fair enough. And my second question would just be on your backlog. And the backlog slowed somewhat. Was that driven by currency or any change? It doesn't seem like there were any changes in customer ordering patterns or macro. And if it was impacted by currency, what would the constant currency backlog growth have looked like in the quarter? Thank you.
spk02: Tamar can give you the details, but we don't guide the backlog in constant currency, but definitely there was a currency impact on the backlog this quarter. Tamar, you want to take it from there?
spk03: I think what you see, if we're looking on the 12, the year ahead, the next 12 months of revenue completion, we're talking about the 2% headwind coming from currency year over year. So definitely part of that is reflected also in the backlog that we have. I would say in general, we don't see slowdown in terms of the momentum. Some quarters, in terms of specific signings, can be different than others, so I wouldn't sign too much into it. But I think we're encouraged to see more deals coming in. We gave a lot of examples today in the prepared remarks. And to me, and I hope the message got across, the fact that we are continuing to sign deals with existing customers, but at the same time adding new logos, And intentionally diversifying our customer base and entering more new countries is extremely important. We obviously love our existing customers. We want to have relationships that last for decades and sell to them more of the next generation of great technology we're bringing to the table. But we want to expand the number of customers and the number of countries in which we operate. And the momentum on that is extremely important and continues to be something we expect to see in 2023.
spk02: And just to add, we see a growth in all three regions. And the pipeline is great.
spk08: Thank you. And again, to ask a question, please press star 1-1 on your telephone. Again, that's star 1-1 on your telephone to ask a question. Our next question comes from the line of Talani of Bank of America. Please go ahead.
spk04: Can you hear me now? finally we can hear me bad memories from my ex-wife I used to tell her I'm talking but you're not hearing me everything is recorded okay okay I want to I want to go back to the guidance for next next quarter in the year so I The guidance for next quarter in revenues is about $15 million below consensus. And for the year, it's about $80 million. So that means it's not just Q1. It's below the consensus for the next few quarters. And I want to understand – I'm going to have two sets of questions. One is on revenues, and the other one is on margins. So this one is on the revenues. So the question I have is, what is driving – this guidance versus expectations is it is there a specific region is there any big project that is ending or can you give us more information about the trends that you're you're guiding just given that it's below consensus the answer is pretty simple it's called foreign currencies if you think about the 90 million we are expecting as a headwind going into the year 2023
spk03: that spread over the year. We said explicitly our numbers for Q4 relative to regional guidance Q4 are lower by 9 million. If we look ahead, we continue to see this negative impact. So if you just take the 19 divided by 4 to make it simple, you understand that the magnitude is roughly 20-something million per quarter. And again, it's not behaving in a linear way, but just to make it simple. Obviously, this is something that everybody is talking about, everybody is looking at. Our hedging program is designed to protect the bottom line, not the top line. We are quite effective in doing so, both in protecting the margins as well as protecting the cash flow, and we will continue to focus on doing so.
spk04: Got it. Okay. So the next question is on margins. You don't give guidance for the margin, but you give guidance for EPS, and EPS is about $0.09 lower than the street for next quarter.
spk03: We actually guided, just to add, we've guided to the fact we believe operating margin is going to be elevated relative to prior year with a range of 17.5% to 18.1%. And we are actually looking on, if you compare it to where we were until 2021, 17 and a half was the high end of our range. So you can understand that we are pushing forward on the margin to an improved view. Regarding EPS, I think there are a couple things at play here. One, when we are looking on what's happening around the finance line, with the currencies. Yes, we are heavily trying to hedge, but at the end of the day, it also means there is some cost of hedging that goes into the numbers. And while we are extremely focused on trying to hedge everything possible, it's obviously based also what's effective in terms of cost. So I'll give you an example. If there is a thing about Argentina, for example, it doesn't make sense necessarily to go into extensive hedging in Argentina if it's very expensive to do so. So this is one aspect that goes into into the numbers. So although operating margin are improving, and by the way, while continuing to have an elevated level of R&D. So it's not coming because we cut R&D. It's coming while we are continuing to have strong R&D investments. And we are continuing to focus on hedging and trying to protect the bottom line. It does have some costs.
spk04: Got it. But when I compare your Q1 guidance to the full year, There is about $0.09 difference between your guidance and consensus for next quarter, but there is $0.08 difference for the year. That means you're expecting that after Q1, you should be fine with EPS versus expectations.
spk03: Again, we're guiding for the year. I want to be clear. I cannot take accountability for consensus. I can explain what we are guiding. We are guiding for an EPS growth rate year-over-year of 8% to 12% targeting the midpoint of 10% growth for the year. Specifically in Q1, we said that we expect a higher tax rate specifically in Q1. For the full year, we take the same position around the range of the tax rate being 13% to 17%. Specifically in Q1, given the recent volatility in tax rate between the quarters, we think it's going to be higher, and that's why Q1 EPS is lower relative to the full year.
spk04: Got it. Great. Last question is about cash conversion rate. Now that the investment is over, can you talk about, you know, you improved the cash conversion rate over the last few years. Can you talk about your plan for 2023 and beyond, and what are the puts and takes in the calculations?
spk03: So the bottom line is we continue to focus on everything that has to do with converting earnings to cash, and that's why we are confident in the message that we are targeting 100% earnings to cash conversion also in 2023, which leads to the target number of roughly $700 million of free cash flow generated. Within that, of course, there are many moving parts. It starts, obviously, with a very strong focus on converting the great business activity that we have into invoicing and money in the bank collected from customers, which is something we are very focused on. And then, of course, it's managing the outflow of cash in a disciplined manner, as we've done always. I make it sound simple. Obviously, it requires a lot of activities around that. And within the company, there is a very high focus on that as we are continuing to to look forward into other aspects. The one thing I wanted to take note is that if during the cycle of investing in the campus we reported two metrics, the reported cash flow and normalized cash flow, to give full transparency of the investment we're making in the campus, now that it's practically done, We don't need to continue to report normalized cash flow moving forward, and there will be one metric of the reported cash flow.
spk08: Thank you. At this time, I'd like to turn the call back over to Matt Smith for any closing remarks.
spk01: Thanks, Operator, and thanks, everybody, for joining the call today and for your interest in Amdocs. As always, we do look forward to hearing from you in the coming days, and if you do have any additional questions, please reach out to us here in the Investor Relations group. With that, have a great evening. Thank you.
spk08: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating.
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