Enanta Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Q4 2023 Earnings Conference Call

11/20/2023

spk09: Good afternoon, and welcome to Enanta's Pharmaceuticals Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Year-End Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a question-and-answer session at the end of prepared remarks. Please be advised that this call is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Ms. Jennifer Vieira, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
spk10: Thank you, Operator, and thanks to everyone for joining us this afternoon. The news release with our fiscal fourth quarter and year-end 2023 financial results was issued this afternoon and is available on our website. Making formal remarks on today's call are Dr. Jay Lulli, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Paul Mellett, our Chief Financial Officer. Dr. Scott Rottinghaus, our Chief Medical Officer, and Dr. Tara Kiefer, our Senior Vice President of New Product Strategy and Development, will be available during the Q&A portion of the call. Before we begin with our formal remarks, we want to remind you that we will be making forward-looking statements, which may include our plans and expectations with respect to our research and development pipeline and financial projections, all of which involve certain assumptions and risks beyond our control that could cause our actual developments and results to differ materially from those statements. A description of these risks is in our most recent Form 10-K and other periodic reports filed with the SEC. Ananta does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during the call. With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Dr. Jay Lulli, President and CEO. Jay?
spk13: Thank you, Jennifer, and good afternoon, everyone. In fiscal 2023, Ananta took important steps leading to meaningful progress in addressing the unmet need for treating serious respiratory viruses and advancing our business objectives. As we look toward the future, we continue to assess opportunities that will leverage our expertise to transform the lives of patients by discovering novel treatments for viral infections and other diseases. 2024 is shaping up to be an important year for us with multiple inflection points expected, including potential growth into new therapeutic areas. Today, I'll provide an overview of our progress during the fourth quarter, beginning with our respiratory syncytial virus or RSV program, and then I will comment on the rest of our pipeline and give a business update. RSV is a severe respiratory infection associated with significant morbidity and mortality that can cause serious disease in infants, children, and other high-risk populations, including the elderly and individuals with congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or asthma. There remains a significant unmet need for RSV treatments, despite the availability of vaccines and prophylactic monoclonal antibodies that reduce the risk of infection for some high-risk populations. Vaccines will inevitably have suboptimal uptake, and as we've seen with other respiratory viruses, even with adoption, breakthrough infections will still occur. Further, while monoclonal antibodies can provide short-term passive immunity for infants, they will only shift the infant's first infection to the next season. We aim to fill this unmet need for an RSV treatment through the advancement of our broad RSV program, which includes EDP938, the only N-protein inhibitor in clinical development, and EDP323, an L-protein inhibitor, both of which have fast-track designation from the FDA. As such, we are evaluating EDP938 and two Phase II studies, RSV-PEDS and RSV-HR, as a potential treatment in high-risk patient populations. RSV-PEDS is a Phase II randomized double-blind placebo-controlled study in approximately 90 hospitalized and non-hospitalized pediatric patients with RSV aged 28 days to 36 months. It's a two-part study. Because this is the first time the drug is being dosed in pediatrics, the objective of the first part of the study is to evaluate the safety and pharmacokinetics of EDP938 and multiple ascending doses in order to select the optimal dose for each age group. The objective of the second part of the study is to evaluate the antiviral activity of EDP938 at the selected optimal dose. It was designed as a small cohort to show a trend toward improved virology metrics for EDP938 compared to placebo and to give confidence to move forward efficiently into registrational studies. Additionally, we will evaluate symptom scores assessed through the treatment duration. RSV-HR is a Phase IIb randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study in adults with RSV infection who are at high risk of complications, including the elderly and individuals with congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or asthma. Approximately 180 patients will be treated with 800 milligrams of EDP-938 or placebo for five days and evaluated over a 28-day period thereafter. The primary endpoint of RSV-HR is time to resolution of RSV lower respiratory tract disease symptoms as assessed by the Respiratory Infection Intensity and Impact Questionnaire, or RIIQ, symptom scale. Secondary endpoints include additional clinical efficacy measures and antiviral activity compared to placebo, as well as pharmacokinetics and safety of EDP938. In this study, we will be looking for an improvement in time-to-symptom resolution, our primary endpoint, as well as effects on other secondary endpoints, such as antiviral activity. Both studies continue to enroll throughout the global footprint, with RSV-PEDS having over 75 sites across 15 countries and RSV-HR over 130 sites across 16 countries. Our goal continues to be completion of enrollment and at least one of these EDP 938 studies with top line data in the third quarter of 2024, assuming we return to a normal pre-pandemic type of RSV season in the northern hemisphere. We are still early in that season, but initial data are consistent with a more normal season. Also advancing our leadership in RSV, today we announced the initiation of our Phase 2A challenge study of EDP323, an L-protein inhibitor in development as a once-daily oral treatment for RSV. In this randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study, up to 114 healthy adult subjects will be infected with the RSV-A Memphis 37B virus and then randomized one-to-one-to-one to receive once daily dosing of either 600 milligrams of EDP-323, 200 milligrams of EDP-323 with a loading dose of 600 milligrams on the first day, or placebo for five days. Primary and secondary outcome measures include safety, changes in viral load measurements, and changes in baseline symptoms. We plan to report data from this study in the third quarter of 2024. The advancement of EDP323 is supported by positive phase one results in which EDP323 demonstrated favorable safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetics in healthy volunteers. We believe either EDP938 or EDP323 would be effective as a monotherapy, but because the mechanism of action of each is different, we also have the opportunity to use them in combination. Preclinically, the combination of EDP-938 and EDP-323 has additive to synergistic activity. A combination approach would allow us to explore potentially broadening the treatment window or providing additional benefit in specific harder-to-treat populations. In hepatitis B, we believe we need an additional mechanism to develop in combination with EDP-514, our potent core inhibitor with FDA fast-track designation. We think a core inhibitor such as EDP514 could ultimately be an important component of a successful combination regimen and potentially help us address the high level of unmet need in chronic HPV. I'd like to take a moment to acknowledge that we have made important adjustments to our business this year to significantly reduce our 2024 spending and extend our cash runway through fiscal 2027, which Paul will cover in a moment. As previously disclosed, we made the decision to stop RSV-TX, our phase two study in adult hematopoietic cell transplant recipients with RSV infection. We felt it prudent to concentrate our efforts and resources on our pediatric and high-risk adult studies, which comprise the largest patient populations with unmet need and represent the faster paths to market. Furthermore, we made the decision to pause our HMPV RSV dual inhibitor program. While the dual inhibitor has shown significant promise preclinically, we do not plan to move a third RSV compound into the clinic as long as our other two more advanced candidates continue to progress. And as we've mentioned before, we intend to conduct all future work in COVID-19 in the context of a collaboration. These changes allow us to reallocate our focus and resources to diversify our portfolio into other disease areas. We believe this path forward best aligns with our long-term goal at Enanta to deliver highly differentiated therapeutics through innovative chemistry and positions us to provide significant value to patients and our shareholders. To that end, we are excited about the expansion of our research efforts into non-virology indications that leverage our core strength in small molecule drug discovery. We look forward to providing more insight into our progress and announcing new therapeutic programs starting in early 2024. With that, I'd like to wrap up by highlighting our near-term milestones. We look forward to reporting results from our Phase IIa challenge study of EDP323 in the third quarter of 2024. And assuming there is a return to a normal pre-pandemic type of RSV season in the northern hemisphere, we expect to complete enrollment in one or both of our Phase II studies of EDP938 and to have data in the third quarter of 2024. Finally, we will announce new non-virology therapeutic programs beginning in early 2024. Now I'll turn the call over to Paul to discuss our financials. Paul? Thank you, Jay.
spk12: I'd like to remind everyone that Enanto reports on a September 30th fiscal year schedule. Today we are reporting results for our fourth quarter and full year ended September 30th, 2023. For the quarter, total revenue was $18.9 million and consisted of royalty revenue earned on AbbVie's global Maverick net product sales. This compares to total revenue of $20.3 million for the same period in 2022. For the 12 months ended September 30th, 2023, total revenue was $79.2 million compared to $86.2 million for the same period in 2022. The decrease in the quarter in year-over-year revenue is due to decline in AbbVie's sales of Maverick. Beginning in the quarter ended September 30th, 2023, 54.5% of Inanta's ongoing royalties from AbbVie's net sales of Maverick that are included in our revenue are being paid to OMERS, one of Canada's largest defined benefit pension plans, pursuant to a royalty sale transaction in April 2023. For financial reporting purposes, the transaction was treated as debt with the upfront purchase payment to us of $200 billion recorded as a liability. Enanto will continue to record 100% of the royalties earned as revenue It will then amortize the debt liability proportionally as 54.5% of the cash royalty payments are paid to owners until a cap of 1.42 times the purchase payment is met, after which point 100% of the cash royalty payments will be retained by Enanta. Non-cash interest expense for the debt will be recorded in Enanta's consolidated statement of operations as a non-operating expense based on an imputed interest rate. Interest expense was $3.2 million for the three months ended September 30th, 2023 and $5.1 million for the 12 months ended September 30th, 2023. Moving now to our operating expenses. For the three months ended September 30th, 2023, research and development expenses totaled $36.2 million compared to $34.8 million for the same period in 2022. The slight increase was due to an increase in the timing of clinical trial costs offset by a decrease in preclinical and manufacturing costs. For the 12 months ended September 30, 2023, research and development expenses were $163.5 million compared to $164.5 million in 2022. General and administrative expenses totaled $13.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2023, compared to 12.6 million for the three months ended September 30th, 2022. For the 12 months ended September 30th, 2023, general and administrative expenses were 52.9 million compared to 45.5 million in 2022. The increases in both periods were primarily due to an increase in legal fees related to our patent infringement suit against Pfizer. Other income net, total of $4.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2023, compared to $0.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022. For the 12 months ended September 30, 2023, other income net totaled $11.4 million compared to $1.7 million in 2022. The increases in both periods were primarily due to an increase in investment income due to an increase in our average invested cash balance from the receipt in April 23 of $200 million from the sale of our Maverick royalty, as well as increases in interest rates year over year. Enanto recorded an income tax benefit of $1.4 million for the three months ended September 30th, 2023, compared to an income tax expense of less than $0.1 million for the three months ended September 30th, 2022. Enanto recorded an income tax expense of $2.8 million for the 12 months ended September 30th, 2023. compared to an income tax benefit of 0.4 million for the 12 months ended September 30th, 2022. Despite recording a financial reporting loss before taxes during the 12 months ended September 30th, 2023, we recorded tax expense driven by the receipt of the 200 million from the royalty sale agreement, which is treated as income for federal and state income tax purposes. This taxable income and its related income tax expense was substantially offset by net operating loss carry-fords, research and development tax credit carry-fords, and a deduction for foreign-derived intangible income. That loss of the three months ended September 30th, 2023, was $28.1 million, or a loss of $1.33 per diluted common share, compared to a net loss of $26.3 million, or a loss of $1.27 per diluted common share for the corresponding period in 2022. For the 12 months ended September 30, 2023, net loss was $133.8 million, or a loss of $6.38 per diluted common share, compared to a net loss of $121.8 million, or a loss of $5.91 per diluted common share for the corresponding period in 2022. And then to end of the quarter with approximately $370 million in cash and marketable securities. We expect that our current cash, cash equivalents, and short-term marketable securities, as well as our ongoing retained portion of royalties, will continue to be sufficient to meet the anticipated cash requirements of our existing business and development programs through fiscal 2027. Regarding guidance for fiscal 24, we expect our research and development expense to be between $100 million and $120 million and our general and administrative expense to be between $45 million and $50 million. This is reduced from research and development expense of $163.5 million and general and administrative expense of $52.9 million in fiscal 2023. This general and administrative expense includes an increase in legal fees associated with our patent infringement suit against Pfizer. Further financial details are included in our press release and will be available in our annual report on Form 10-K when filed. I'd now like to turn the call back to the operator and open up the lines for questions. Operator?
spk09: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1-1 on your telephone. Again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1-1. One moment for our first question. Our first question comes from the line of Rowanna Ruiz of LeeRank Partners. Your line is open.
spk11: Hi. Afternoon, everyone. So I wanted to ask about one of your RSV programs for 323 with a challenge study. I was curious, assuming that's successful, how fast could you proceed to Phase III, and what sort of measures are you considering for a Phase III design, like symptoms or virology endpoints?
spk13: Hi Rowana, this is Jay. So we're aiming as we said on the call to finish up the challenge study and to report out data in Q3. There's obviously some other things we would need to do in terms of preparedness for phase, well beyond the challenge study, let's just say that. And I think what we're going to do is, you know, simultaneously be watching the 938 studies and learning, you know, ultimately from hopefully at least one of those data sets in PEDS or HR to help inform, you know, the development path of how we're thinking about 323 going forward. So it's a little bit I want to also take a peek at the data from the challenge study. Again, it's a very, very potent molecule. It's got great PK. We've set up a couple of different dosing arrangements, both of which are effectively QD. One's the high-dose QD, and then the other is a loading dose on day one, QD, followed by a lower dose on days two through five. So we'll get the aggregate of the data, look at it, see how it compares to 938 and the challenge study, at least as best we can compare two challenge studies. And then, you know, be thinking a lot about how we position either of these in the market. We think that, you know, either of them could be used as a single agent, but they also, since they have different mechanisms, could potentially be used in combination There's no cross-resistance, and I think we would have a good barrier to resistance under the way we've chose the mechanisms in dosing them. So lots of different kinds of options, but a little bit premature to talk about 323 too far down the line.
spk11: Yep, understood. And my second question, I just wanted to ask about the dual inhibitor program for human metapneumovirus and RSV. I was curious, is the pause in development there, is it more just to prioritize your other more later stage RSV trials, or was there any new data that informed this decision?
spk13: No, the data, I mean, the data continued to look really interesting in terms of the profile. You know, as we think about it, again, We've got a fair number of things on our plate right now, but we've got two more advanced RSV molecules moving ahead well in development. And, you know, the dual, when you distill it down, yes, it hits human metanuma, which we do think is an advantage. Human metanuma is a, you know, a fraction of the market of RSV. It's not an insignificant fraction, but it's still a fraction. I think RSV, having RSV in that dual is very, very important because RSV is a big piece of what that market would look like anyway. And when we sort of sat back and looked at our current ongoing studies and the resources involved, we um you know we have two two that are moving along very nicely for the large piece of the overall market which is obviously rsv so i think we'll um um you know we still have some you know light activities you know sort of uh smoldering on that but i think the key focus is going to be watching at our two lead horses watching that clinical data come out and then we've always got that molecule in our
spk09: back pocket uh in reserve got it thanks you're welcome thank you one moment please our next question comes from the line of jay olson of oppenheimer your line is open oh hey thanks for taking the question and
spk05: recognizing that it's early, maybe just to follow up on 323. I guess, what are you hoping to see in the Phase 2A challenge study? What extent of viral load reduction would be clinically meaningful? And how do you plan to differentiate 323 from 938? Thank you.
spk13: Thanks, Jay. This is Jay. I always look forward to saying that once a quarter. So I think, you know, the challenge study is nice because it's been run, you know, against different classes of compounds. It's been done substantially in the same way across different classes. We've got a very strong data set with EDP938, you know, that serves as a certain standard internally anyway to compare data to. So the type of data that you would get from that is, you know, you look at both virology and symptoms. So you look at, and it's really compared against placebo, right? So everyone is infected on inoculation day, so to speak. You wait for the viral loads to begin to build, and that happens variously on a different day for one person versus another. But once you start to register viral loads, the next day you begin dosing, right? And so what we found, at least with 938, was almost immediately upon dosing, you change the trajectory of the infection. So people who are dosed with placebo, viral loads continue to rise, they peak, and then they gradually decline over a period of many days. people who are dosed with our test agent, you see viral loads basically stopped in their tracks and, in fact, are pushed downward rapidly. So what that allows you to do is compare the area under the curve of drug treatment versus placebo, and we've put very strong numbers on the boards with UDP938, I think in the 70s percent, reduction in the AUC. Simultaneously, you're tracking symptom scores and you're looking at a composite of multiple different symptoms and it's pretty much the same graph. Placebos track upward, ultimately plateau and then have a slow decline and drug treatment presses that curve down pretty rapidly and pretty completely. Again, it allows you to compare the AUC of drug treatment in the numerator versus AUC of placebo in the denominator. And once again, at least with 938, we put very strong numbers on the board in terms of percent inhibition. So that's the type of data that we'll be going for with 323. Again, we need to run the study to get the results, but it's preclinically, it's a very, very strong and very potent inhibitor. And I would say we've even got more from an exposure standpoint, everything else, even greater pressure on the virus with 323 exposures, even over 938, which were good. So, again, we'll look at the data. It may not be possible to differentiate at that stage. But, you know, if it does differentiate somehow, we'll see. We certainly believe that 938 has sufficient horsepower to go the distance in most patients as a single agent. Obviously, we need to prove that with the phase 2s. But to the extent we want to segment and maybe use a combo in a different patient population or relegate one of the drugs in a slightly different way than the other, again, having both of these mechanisms at our disposal will allow us to think of all kinds of things.
spk05: Great. Thank you, Jay, for the comprehensive explanation. And if I could ask just one follow-on. You have various non-virology programs at early stages, discovery stage of development. Can you just talk about what disease areas you're interested in for those non-virology programs? Thank you.
spk13: Yeah, not today. As I indicated, we'll begin to talk about that early next year.
spk05: Okay, great. Look forward to that. Thanks again for taking the questions.
spk09: Thank you. Thank you. One moment, please. Our next question comes from the line of Ed Arce of HC Wayne Writing Company. Your line is open.
spk06: Hi, Jay and Paul. Thanks for taking our questions. Appreciate it. And congratulations on the initiation of the Phase 2A Challenge Study for 323. I also have a question in that regard. Kind of drill down a little bit further from the previous question with regards to, you know, improvements measured as AUC with both virology and symptoms versus placebo. You mentioned in virology previous asset had or I guess 938 has shown about 70% reductions in AUC. And so what I wanted to ask is what level you believe is both competitive and clinically meaningful, or perhaps put another way, you know, what specific level or degree of reduction defines a success for the study sufficient to proceed to further development? And then I have a follow-up.
spk13: Sure. Well, I think no one really knows yet, and hopefully we'll be, you know, the first to show is the, you know, what level you really need to drive efficacy in the real world infection. We've looked at all the challenge study models that have been done and, you know, EDP 938 is basically as good as it gets in terms of driving those kinds of numbers in a challenge model. So, you know, we're hopeful that those are at least adequate numbers to do that translation in the real world. And in terms of what we're aiming for, I mean, obviously 938 is some sort of a standard. I would aim to be in the ballpark of 938-like efficacy, which, again, you can't translate this preclinically to clinically perfectly, but I think we use the same sort of criteria, metrics, thresholds to pass pre-clinically for 323 as we did for 938. So, you know, we'll see how that translates. But 938, like efficacy and the challenge is very strong. And I'm hoping we can do about that well with 323. It's a high bar.
spk06: Right. Right. Great. And then Staying with 323, I wanted to ask also, given that you're testing two different doses, one with a loading dose in the first day and then another one which is uniform throughout the treatment, if both of those, you know, show positive encouraging results, What would be the rationale to continue to study both doses, especially given the differential populations that might ultimately be treated with 323?
spk13: Yeah, it's a good question, Ed. I think probably the short answer is we're hoping that we will define a dose from the challenge study and then move one forward. Obviously, 600 QD for five days has more sort of horsepower, maybe more than we need, right? And so infectious disease often will use a loading dose you know, to help you get to steady state quicker and then steady state PK. And then, so what we're asking really is, can that lower dose on the tail end of the, well, not the tail end, but after the high loading dose and the maintenance dose, lower maintenance dose, is that enough just as good horsepower? Obviously, from a cost of goods perspective, they're very different. And So it's worth exploring. We'll get an answer, and hopefully we'll get a clear answer in terms of helping us guide future studies.
spk06: Okay, great. And actually, one last one, if I may. Also, as has been asked before on the non-thorology indications, I recognize that you're not prepared at this moment to discuss specifics, But just in terms of timing, early 2024, would that necessarily be around JPM? And also, given your expertise, would these new candidates necessarily be small molecule assets? Thanks so much.
spk13: Well, you're correct. Our historic skill set has been in small molecule good discovery and development. That is still predominantly our main focus. And with regards to timing, it'll be early next year.
spk06: Great. Thank you so much.
spk09: Thank you. One moment, please. Our next question comes from the line of Eric Joseph of JPMorgan. Your line is open.
spk04: Hi. Good evening. Thanks for taking the question. For the thing to RSV high-risk study with ADP 938, I'm not sure if it has been clarified previously, but maybe you can just remind us whether that study is open to patients who have been immunized with either of the commercial RSV vaccines. Um, do you expect, um, prior immunization to comprise a meaningful proportion of, uh, that studies enrollment? And I'm just kind of maybe just looking longer term. I'm curious to get, um, your thoughts on whether, um, uh, sort of how prior RSV vaccination should be treated, um, uh in a phase three study design i guess would you want to i guess how important is kind of looking at activity on that background um for the purposes of a registrational trial thank you well i'll answer part of the question and then hand it over to scott rottinghaus our chief medical officer with regards to current state of immunization i think
spk13: Less than 5% of the adult population has been immunized. And so it's not a significant factor in the current backdrop of RSV recruitment today. I'll let Scott talk about inclusion, et cetera.
spk03: Thanks, Jay. So hi, Eric. It's Scott Rottinghaus. currently studying vaccinated patients in our phase two study. Obviously, we'll have to see how things are going for phase three when we design that study going forward.
spk04: Okay. And maybe just to follow up on your runway guidance into 2027, can you talk about a little bit about sort of what that anticipates in terms of additional 938 or 323
spk02: development, assuming the data in third quarter are supportive?
spk13: Yeah, so, well, it's advancing, you know, really both of those agents a pace, you know, advancing into registration studies for each. So, yeah, no, we're just pushing them ahead. I think a big piece of it, you know, in terms of the reductions, you know, came from at least focusing down on some of the, you know, current activities. Obviously, not taking a third RSV molecule into the clinic has an impact, even though, you know, as I detailed a little bit, we're maybe leaving a little bit of an HMPV opportunity on the table for now. The big driver was obviously not doing COVID outside of a partnership. I mean, COVID was a big thing, not only with regards to development, but also some of the other discovery activities we had ongoing. And then the third one was focusing 938 development on the two – largest patient populations, you know, peds being number one and adult high-risk being number two. It's not to say that, again, an agent, once it's, you know, far along and hopefully treating, you know, those two patient populations, it's not to say that you couldn't pick up broader label subsequently and ultimately include transplant. But just in terms of a bandwidth, it's helpful. And from a pocketbook perspective, it's also helpful.
spk14: Thank you. One moment, please.
spk09: Our next question comes from the line of Brian Scorney of Bayard. Your line is open.
spk07: Hey guys, thanks for taking the questions. This is Luke on for Brian. For 938, we were wondering, is it more likely that we see data from the pediatric or high risk study first? And then do you have any specific goals in mind for the efficacy or biomarker endpoints that would give you a particular degree of confidence as you think about planning a pivotal program? Thanks.
spk13: So, we can't make the call at this point in terms of which trial could come before the other. Again, they're recruiting two very different patient populations with different, you know, sort of, you know, interesting aspects regarding recruitment. So, they're not similar studies from a patient population perspective at all. I think in each of the studies, you know, we're looking for virologic, especially in the PEDS study, we're looking for virologic trends that push us, you know, toward registration. These will be the different virologic, you know, sort of measures that we've outlined and generally seeing something good in virology is probably very important. It's a smaller study, as we've indicated. Symptoms, getting enough symptom data is going to be, well, you'll collect the symptom data you get, and then we'll try to figure out which are the most impactful symptoms and look at that sort of data. But it's a very small study to be you know, harvesting a lot of symptom data that you can use productively. As a secondary endpoint, we'll take anything we can get there. And I think also in the high-risk patient population, we're looking at time to resolution of symptoms. And it's a symptomatic endpoint, again, looking for a clinically meaningful readout there is what we would be aiming to do as well. And so the key is, the challenge is, not to be confused with the challenge study, but the challenge is constructing these studies in such a way that they're decision enabling to move forward to registration studies, but not sizing them to be registration studies in and of themselves. I think that's the balance that we've tried to strike with each of these. So we're hoping for a good northern hemisphere season. To the extent that seasonality can be viewed as being somewhat normal, it seems to be coming around at a historically more normal time. Recall that the pandemic first moved RSV out of the equation as well as flu, and you're starting to see headlines now about flu starting to come back, and we know that RSV is coming back, and we started to see it again. Historically, it picks up in late October and then begins its ascent there. So far, it looks like the season is on track. We'll just continue to monitor and recruit away, though.
spk02: Great. Thank you.
spk14: Thank you. One moment, please.
spk09: Our next question comes from the line of Lisa Baco of Evercore. Your line is open.
spk08: Hi. I think most of my questions have been answered, but... I guess, would you preclude entering into the GLP-1 space, or might that be an interesting area for you to contemplate developing a compound? Thanks.
spk13: Yeah, we're not really discussing our new areas today. Sorry, Lisa.
spk09: No problem. Happy Thanksgiving. Thank you. One moment, please. Our next question comes from the line of Roy Buchanan of JMP. Your line is open.
spk02: Thanks for taking the questions.
spk01: Just a couple quick ones. First on RCPs, can you just kind of break down how many patients you expect in the MAD portion versus the, I guess, dose expansion range? portion. And then I think you were planning to have discussions with the FDA for 235 around potential endpoints.
spk02: Can you just update us on any of those discussions, any feedback from the FDA? Thanks.
spk13: Yeah, so the PEDS study, it's broken into a bunch of different parts, you know, because you have you know, dose escalation going on in multiple different little age groups, subsets, and then ultimately you do the dose ranging there and then move over into the other side. I think the, you know, the dose ranging part is slightly bigger than the other part, but they're roughly balanced. And then 235, You know, I think it's a situation where the world is still settling down with COVID. I think what we're seeing is, well, what the world is seeing is not a lot of hospitalization and death. That has mercifully changed a little bit. I think that's in part due to two factors. The virus has changed. And the host has changed. People have variously become more immune experienced either through natural infection or through multiple vaccinations or both. And then the virus has sort of twisted and turned into one form of Omicron or another. And now the result of that is you see much less hospitalization and death. In fact, I think Gilead had a high risk study running in phase three, and they recently stopped that study due to challenges in recruiting. So I think it's fair to say, summing everything up, looking at the background of the patient population as well as thinking about how you register a drug, the most expedient straightforward path is probably in standard risk patients. And then, you know, trying to build on that as you go and ultimately get more kinds of patients into studies. But I think focusing on high risk itself right now is a more challenging proposition.
spk09: Thank you. One moment, please. I'm sure no further questions at this time. Let's turn the call back over to Jennifer Vieira for any closing remarks.
spk10: Thank you, Operator, and thanks, everyone, for joining us today. If you have additional questions, feel free to contact us by email or calling the office. Thanks, and have a great night.
spk09: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's conference. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.
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